KFGZ [240317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KFGZ 240317
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
816 PM MST MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1135 AM HAIL 5 N ASH FORK 35.29N 112.49W
07/23/2007 E1.00 INCH COCONINO AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH HAIL

0430 PM FLASH FLOOD PAGE 36.90N 111.46W
07/23/2007 COCONINO AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

MUDSLIDE ON COPPER MINE ROAD.

0500 PM HAIL 14 W SPRINGERVILLE 34.13N 109.53W
07/23/2007 E1.00 INCH APACHE AZ PARK/FOREST SRVC

MEASURED AT GREENS PEAK FIRE LOOKOUT ELEVATION 10200 FT.

&&

$$

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KEWX [240301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KEWX 240301
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1001 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 NW AUSTIN 30.39N 97.85W
07/23/2007 TRAVIS TX EMERGENCY MNGR

LOW WATER CROSSING FLOODED AND ROADWAY CLOSED AT OLD
SPICEWOOD SPRINGS UNDER LOOP 360.

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 10 N AUSTIN 30.45N 97.75W
07/23/2007 WILLIAMSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

LOW WATER CROSSING FLOODED- ONE CAR STALLED IN HIGH WATER
AT WATER PARKS DR NEAR ADELPHI LANE/ONEAL LANE. OCCUPANTS
GOT OUR ON THEIR OWN. ROADWAY NOW CLOSED.

0645 PM HEAVY RAIN 10 NNW AUSTIN 30.44N 97.81W
07/23/2007 M1.33 INCH TRAVIS TX CO-OP OBSERVER

AUSTIN GREAT HILLS BETWEEN 415 AND 615 PM

0745 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE CEDAR PARK 30.54N 97.81W
07/23/2007 M2.36 INCH WILLIAMSON TX UTILITY COMPANY

UPPER BRUSHY CREEK FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM RAIN GAGE AT DAM
3 MEASURED FROM 330 PM TO 745 PM.

0745 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 ENE CEDAR PARK 30.52N 97.82W
07/23/2007 M2.64 INCH WILLIAMSON TX UTILITY COMPANY

UPPER BRUSHY CREEK FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM RAIN GAUGE AT DAM
4. MEASURED FROM 330 PM TO 745 PM.

&&

$$

JPB

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KBOI [240248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 240248
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
848 PM MDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0837 PM TSTM WND GST N BURNS 43.59N 119.06W
07/23/2007 M47.00 MPH HARNEY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

THUNDERSTORM GUSTS TO 47 MPH RECORDED ALONG WITH 0.15
INCHES OF RAINFALL.

&&

$$

DFISHLER

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KRNK [240229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 240229
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1029 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM HAIL WEST JEFFERSON 36.40N 81.50W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH ASHE NC PUBLIC

&&

$$

MATTAROCHIA

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KJKL [240227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KJKL 240227
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1026 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0348 PM HAIL 5 S SALYERSVILLE 37.67N 83.06W
07/23/2007 E1.00 INCH MAGOFFIN KY COUNTY OFFICIAL

QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT DICTRICT 3 FIRE DEPARTMENT

0356 PM HAIL IVYTON 37.71N 82.98W
07/23/2007 E1.00 INCH MAGOFFIN KY PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL

0400 PM HAIL 2 N MARTIN 37.60N 82.76W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH FLOYD KY PUBLIC

NICKEL SIZE HAIL

0400 PM HAIL 5 SE SALYERSVILLE 37.70N 83.00W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH MAGOFFIN KY PUBLIC

DIME TO NICKEL HAIL AT ROYAL

0403 PM HAIL BRAINARD 37.66N 82.90W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH FLOYD KY PUBLIC

PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED 2 MILES NW OF BRAINARD

0514 PM HAIL CARPENTER 36.72N 83.97W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH WHITLEY KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED

0533 PM HAIL 8 W WILLIAMSBURG 36.74N 84.31W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH WHITLEY KY PUBLIC

PENNY TO NICKEL HAIL HWY 478 ACCUMULATING IN STORE
PARKINGLOT

0535 PM HAIL WILLIAMSBURG 36.74N 84.17W
07/23/2007 M1.00 INCH WHITLEY KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT DISPATCH CENTER

0647 PM HAIL PINE KNOT 36.66N 84.44W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH MCCREARY KY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED

0652 PM HAIL 7 SE LONDON 37.06N 83.99W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH LAUREL KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL REPORTS OF PENNY SIZE HAIL

0656 PM HAIL RIO VISTA 36.85N 83.36W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH HARLAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 PM HAIL 2 W HARLAN 36.85N 83.36W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH HARLAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED

0704 PM TSTM WND DMG MANCHESTER 37.15N 83.77W
07/23/2007 CLAY KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

4 TREES BLOWN DOWN IN TOWN

&&

$$

WJM

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KEWX [240222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 240222
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
922 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 NW AUSTIN 30.39N 97.85W
07/23/2007 TRAVIS TX EMERGENCY MNGR

LOW WATER CROSSING FLOODED AND ROADWAY CLOSED AT OLD
SPICEWOOD SPRINGS UNDER LOOP 360.

0630 PM DENSE FOG 10 N AUSTIN 30.45N 97.75W
07/23/2007 WILLIAMSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

LOW WATER CROSSING FLOODED- ONE CAR STALLED IN HIGH WATER
AT WATER PARKS DR NEAR ADELPHI LANE/ONEAL LANE. OCCUPANTS
GOT OUR ON THEIR OWN. ROADWAY NOW CLOSED.

0645 PM HEAVY RAIN 10 NNW AUSTIN 30.44N 97.81W
07/23/2007 M1.33 INCH TRAVIS TX CO-OP OBSERVER

AUSTIN GREAT HILLS BETWEEN 415 AND 615 PM

0745 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 ENE CEDAR CREEK 30.09N 97.48W
07/23/2007 M2.64 INCH BASTROP TX UTILITY COMPANY

UPPER BRUSHY CREEK FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM RAIN GAUGE AT DAM
4. MEASURED FROM 330 PM TO 745 PM.

0745 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE CEDAR PARK 30.54N 97.81W
07/23/2007 M2.36 INCH WILLIAMSON TX UTILITY COMPANY

UPPER BRUSHY CREEK FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM RAIN GAGE AT DAM
3 MEASURED FROM 330 PM TO 745 PM.

&&

$$

JPB

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KJKL [240210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 240210
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1010 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0652 PM HAIL 7 SE LONDON 37.06N 83.99W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH LAUREL KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL REPORTS OF PENNY SIZE HAIL

&&

$$

WJM

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KJKL [240203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 240203
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1002 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0704 PM TSTM WND DMG MANCHESTER 37.15N 83.77W
07/23/2007 CLAY KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

4 TREES BLOWN DOWN IN TOWN

&&

$$

WJM

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KGJT [240202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 240202
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
801 PM MDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM HAIL IGNACIO 37.12N 107.63W
07/23/2007 M0.88 INCH LA PLATA CO BROADCAST MEDIA

0615 PM HAIL 10 SE DURANGO 37.18N 107.74W
07/23/2007 E0.50 INCH LA PLATA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0655 PM HAIL 15 SE DURANGO 37.13N 107.68W
07/23/2007 E0.50 INCH LA PLATA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JDC

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KVEF [240146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 240146
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
645 PM PDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0223 PM HEAVY RAIN 15E KINGMAN 35.08N 113.86W
07/23/2007 M1.0 INCH MOHAVE AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED 6 TENTHS OF AN INCH IN 10 MINUTES AND
1 INCH IN 45 MINUTES
&&

$$

BELL

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KJKL [240144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 240144
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
944 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0656 PM HAIL RIO VISTA 36.85N 83.36W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH HARLAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

HAL

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KDDC [240127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 240127
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
827 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HAIL 4 SSE INGALLS 37.77N 100.42W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH GRAY KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MSCOTT

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KJKL [240122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 240122
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
922 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0647 PM HAIL PINE KNOT 36.66N 84.44W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH MCCREARY KY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED

&&

$$

WJM

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KTWC [240107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KTWC 240107
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
607 PM MST MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0254 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE TUCSON 32.22N 110.92W
07/23/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

12 POWER POLES DOWN ALONG HOUGHTON RD NEAR VALENCIA.

0310 PM FLASH FLOOD TUCSON 32.24N 110.94W
07/23/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

SWIFT WATER RESCUE...KLEINDALE AND TUCSON BLVD.

0316 PM TSTM WND DMG MARANA 32.41N 111.17W
07/23/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

MICROBURST AT TANGERINE AND INTERSTATE 10...GLADEN FARMS.
TREES DOWN...ROOF DAMAGE

0316 PM FLASH FLOOD TUCSON 32.24N 110.94W
07/23/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

SWIFT WATER RESCUE...6TH AND IRVINGTON

&&

$$

GLADER

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KJKL [240107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 240107
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
907 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM HAIL 2 W HARLAN 36.85N 83.36W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH HARLAN KY TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED

&&

$$

WJM

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KFWD [240105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 240105
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
804 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 W ALEDO 32.70N 97.64W
07/23/2007 PARKER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

UNDERWOOD AND JENKINS STREETS CLOSED WEST OF ALEDO.

$$

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KTFX [240054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 240054
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
654 PM MDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM TSTM WND GST 15 S INVERNESS 48.34N 110.68W
07/23/2007 E70.00 MPH HILL MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 70 MPH WIND GUST WITH PEA SIZED HAIL.

&&

$$

DE

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KJKL [240053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 240053
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
853 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0514 PM HAIL CARPENTER 36.72N 83.97W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH WHITLEY KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED

&&

$$

WJM

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KJKL [240046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 240046
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
845 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM HAIL WILLIAMSBURG 36.74N 84.17W
07/23/2007 M1.00 INCH WHITLEY KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT DISPATCH CENTER

&&

$$

WJM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240044
SWODY1
SPC AC 240042

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF KS/WRN OK AND
INTO THE ERN TX AND OK PANHANDLES...

..PARTS OF KS/WRN OK/ERN PARTS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES/WRN N TX...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ATTM FROM PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SWRN KS INTO
WRN OK AND THE TX/OH PANHANDLE AREA...INVOF SWWD-MOVING UPPER
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH. STORMS ARE NOW GENERALLY FOCUSED INVOF
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...WITH SOME INCREASE IN COVERAGE
EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPS.

WHILE FLOW FIELD IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...20 TO 30 KT NELY
MID-LEVEL FLOW ATOP LOW-LEVEL SLY COMPONENT WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT
IN AMPLE SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS -- AND ASSOCIATED
THREAT FOR LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL WITH A FEW STRONGER STORMS --
AT LEAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

..PARTS OF NRN ID/WRN AND CENTRAL MT...
STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF WRN AND CENTRAL MT AND
ADJACENT NRN ID...INVOF WEAK/SUBTLE DISTURBANCES ALOFT MOVING NEWD
AROUND THE NWRN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE -- CENTERED OVER THE
NRN HIGH PLAINS/NRN ROCKIES ATTM. COMBINATION OF MODEST SHEAR AND
AMPLE INSTABILITY /GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE/
SUGGESTS THAT A FEW STRONGER STORMS -- CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS -- WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING.

.GOSS.. 07/24/2007

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KRNK [240040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 240040
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
839 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HAIL 4 E LINDSIDE 37.45N 80.59W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH MONROE WV PUBLIC

PEA TO PENNY SIZE. UP TO AN INCH DEEP COVERING PETERS
MOUNTAIN... LOOKED LIKE IT HAD SNOWED. LEAVES STRIPPED
FROM TREES. 2 ACRES OF TOBACCO COMPLETELY STRIPPED FROM
STALK. GARDENS ALSO DAMAGED.

&&

$$

11

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KDDC [240028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 240028
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
728 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG 13 W ASHLAND 37.19N 100.01W
07/23/2007 CLARK KS PUBLIC

THREE TO FOUR INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN.

&&

$$

01

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KTWC [240022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 240022
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
522 PM MST MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM FLASH FLOOD TUCSON 32.24N 110.94W
07/23/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

SWIFT WATER RESCUE...KLEINDALE AND TUCSON BLVD.

&&

$$

CSHOEMAK

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KTWC [240018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 240018
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
518 PM MST MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0316 PM FLASH FLOOD TUCSON 32.24N 110.94W
07/23/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

SWIFT WATER RESCUE...6TH AND IRVINGTON

&&

$$

CSHOEMAK

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KTWC [240017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 240017
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
517 PM MST MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0316 PM TSTM WND DMG MARANA 32.41N 111.17W
07/23/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

MICROBURST AT TANGERINE AND INTERSTATE 10...GLADEN FARMS.
TREES DOWN...ROOF DAMAGE

&&

$$

CSHOEMAK

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KBMX [240008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 240008
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
708 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TSTM WND GST LEESBURG 34.18N 85.77W
07/23/2007 E45 MPH CHEROKEE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN NEAR LEESBURG.

&&

$$

GGOGGINS

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KFWD [240003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 240003
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
703 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0702 PM FLASH FLOOD FORT WORTH 32.75N 97.34W
07/23/2007 TARRANT TX AMATEUR RADIO

3 CARS STALLED IN HIGH WATER AT 377 AND NE LOOP 820
ENTRANCE RAMP

$$

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KDDC [240001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 240001
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
701 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM HAIL 4 SSE INGALLS 37.77N 100.42W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH GRAY KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 PM TSTM WND GST 8 SSW INGALLS 37.72N 100.51W
07/23/2007 E60 MPH GRAY KS PUBLIC

TWO INCH DIAMETER LIMBS BLOWN DOWN. PENNY SIZED HAIL ALSO
FELL.

&&

$$

01

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KFWD [232348]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 232348
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
647 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM FLASH FLOOD NORTH RICHLAND HILLS 32.86N 97.22W
07/23/2007 TARRANT TX AMATEUR RADIO

AREA OF GLENVIEW FLOODED AND POLICE CLOSING INTERSECTION
IN NORTH RICHLAND HILLS.

$$

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KOUN [232345]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 232345
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM TSTM WND GST 3 W CANUTE 35.43N 99.33W
07/23/2007 E60 MPH WASHITA OK PUBLIC

&&

$$

JPIKE

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KBMX [232335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 232335
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
635 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM HAIL LEESBURG 34.18N 85.77W
07/23/2007 E0.25 INCH CHEROKEE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS REPORTED.

&&

$$

GGOGGINS

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KPUB [232320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 232320
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
520 PM MDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0509 PM HAIL ANTONITO 37.08N 106.01W
07/23/2007 M0.75 INCH CONEJOS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0513 PM HAIL ANTONITO 37.08N 106.01W
07/23/2007 M0.88 INCH CONEJOS CO PUBLIC

&&

$$

LW

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KMFL [232316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 232316
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
716 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HAIL SUNRISE 26.17N 80.28W
07/23/2007 E1.75 INCH BROWARD FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERIFF REPORTED GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL ALONG NOBHILL RD
BETWEEN OAKLAND BLVD AND 33 STREET.

&&

$$

BAXTER

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KMLB [232302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KMLB 232302
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
655 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TORNADO 2 W PORT SAINT LUCIE 27.28N 80.39W
07/23/2007 ST. LUCIE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLORIDA TURNPIKE AT PORT SAINT LUCIE EXIT 142.
(SAINT LUCIE BLVD.) DAMAGE, TREES DOWN.
NO STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WAS REPORTED.

0632 PM TORNADO 1 W PORT SAINT LUCIE 27.28N 80.37W
07/23/2007 ST. LUCIE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

TORINO PARKWAY BETWEEN I-95 AND THE FLORIDA TURNPIKE.
DAMAGE, TREES DOWN. NO STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WAS REPORTED.

&&

$$

FXD

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KOHX [232258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 232258
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
558 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM HAIL 1 NNW NOLENSVILLE 35.96N 86.65W
07/23/2007 E1.00 INCH WILLIAMSON TN PUBLIC

&&

$$

MGIRODO

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KMRX [232257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 232257
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
657 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0552 PM TSTM WND DMG HARROGATE-SHAWANEE 36.58N 83.64W
07/23/2007 CLAIBORNE TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN HARROGATE. REPORTED BY THE SHERIFFS
DISPATCH.

&&

$$

FERRELL

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KOHX [232256]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 232256
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
556 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM HAIL 11 SW FRANKLIN 35.82N 86.98W
07/23/2007 E1.00 INCH WILLIAMSON TN TRAINED SPOTTER

TOWN OF BOSTON

&&

$$

MGIRODO

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KMLB [232255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 232255
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
655 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TORNADO 2 W PORT SAINT LUCIE 27.28N 80.39W
07/23/2007 ST. LUCIE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

TORNADO F0 FLORIDA TURNPIKE AND PORT SAINT LUCIE EXIT 142
TREE DAMAGE NMO STRUCTURE DAMAGE

0632 PM TORNADO 1 W PORT SAINT LUCIE 27.28N 80.37W
07/23/2007 ST. LUCIE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

F0 TORNADO TORINO PARKWAY BETWEEN I95 AND THE FLORIDA
TURNPIKE. DAMAGE, TREES DOWN.

&&

$$

FXD

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KDDC [232252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 232252
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
551 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0444 PM DOWNBURST 3 NW BUCKLIN 37.58N 99.67W
07/23/2007 FORD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

NUMEROUS POWER POLES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF US 400 AND
HIGHWAY 34

0427 PM DOWNBURST 8 S PLAINS CITY 37.15N 100.59W
07/23/2007 MEADE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

CATTLE TRUCKS BLOWN OVER ON ROAD

&&

$$

JB

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KTWC [232243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 232243
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
343 PM MST MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0254 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE TUCSON 32.22N 110.92W
07/23/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

12 POWER POLES DOWN ALONG HOUGHTON RD NEAR VALENCIA.

&&

$$

CSHOEMAK

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KRNK [232230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 232230
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
629 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HAIL 3 NW LANSING 36.53N 81.55W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH ASHE NC PUBLIC

0515 PM HAIL 2 N LANSING 36.53N 81.51W
07/23/2007 E0.25 INCH ASHE NC PUBLIC

1/4 TO 3/8 INCH HAIL COVERED GROUND

&&

$$

PMANUEL

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KTFX [232223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 232223
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
423 PM MDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM HAIL 7 NE HIGHWOOD 47.66N 110.68W
07/23/2007 M1.00 INCH CHOUTEAU MT CO-OP OBSERVER

WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED 50-60 MPH.

&&

$$

EK

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KTBW [232214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 232214
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
614 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM WATER SPOUT 1 W SIESTA KEY 27.28N 82.58W
07/23/2007 GMZ853 FL PUBLIC

0405 PM WATER SPOUT 2 W HUDSON 28.36N 82.73W
07/23/2007 GMZ850 FL PUBLIC

0422 PM WATER SPOUT 20 W MADEIRA BEACH 27.80N 83.12W
07/23/2007 GMZ853 FL AIRPLANE PILOT

PILOT REPORT OF WATERSPOUT.

0427 PM WATER SPOUT 4 WSW LONGBOAT KEY 27.40N 82.71W
07/23/2007 GMZ853 FL AIRPLANE PILOT

PILOT REPORT OF WATERSPOUT.

0448 PM WATER SPOUT 16 WSW MADEIRA BEACH 27.71N 83.03W
07/23/2007 GMZ853 FL AIRPLANE PILOT

PILOT REPORT OF WATERSPOUT.

&&

$$

CLOSE

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KFWD [232212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 232212
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
512 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0428 PM TSTM WND GST 5 W BOYD 33.08N 97.65W
07/23/2007 MMM62 MPH WISE TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

COTTONDALE FIRE DEPT MEASURED 62 MPH WIND GUST

$$

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KOHX [232204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 232204
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
504 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM HAIL 2 W SMYRNA 35.98N 86.55W
07/23/2007 E1.00 INCH RUTHERFORD TN PUBLIC

HAIL NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE REPORTED BETWEEN SMYRNA AND
NOLENSVILLE, ALONG WILLIAMSON-RUTHERFORD COUNTY LINE.

&&

$$

DMASSIE

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KJKL [232142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KJKL 232142
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
542 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0533 PM HAIL 8 W WILLIAMSBURG 36.74N 84.31W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH WHITLEY KY PUBLIC

PENNY TO NICKEL HAIL HWY 478 ACCUMULATING IN STORE
PARKINGLOT

&&

$$

BTERRIZZ

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KJKL [232141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KJKL 232141
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
541 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0533 PM HAIL 10 W WILLIAMSBURG 36.74N 84.35W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH MCCREARY KY PUBLIC

PENNY TO NICKEL HAIL HWY 478 ACCUMULATING IN STORE
PARKINGLOT

&&

$$

BTERRIZZ

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KJKL [232138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 232138
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
538 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0533 PM HAIL 2 W DUCKRUN 36.74N 84.35W
07/23/2007 E0.88 INCH MCCREARY KY PUBLIC

PENNY TO NICKEL HAIL HWY 478 ACCUMULATING IN STORE
PARKINGLOT

&&

$$

BTERRIZZ

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KJKL [232100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 232100
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
500 PM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0403 PM HAIL BRAINARD 37.66N 82.90W
07/23/2007 E0.75 INCH FLOYD KY PUBLIC

PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED 2 MILES NW OF BRAINARD

&&

$$

HAL

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KFGZ [231837]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 231837
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1137 AM MST MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1135 AM HAIL 5 N ASH FORK 35.29N 112.49W
07/23/2007 E1.00 INCH COCONINO AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH HAIL 1130 TO 1135 AND CONTINUING

&&

$$

BYRONP

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1570

ACUS11 KWNS 231832
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231832
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-231930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1570
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0132 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MS...WRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 231832Z - 231930Z

THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ERN MS AND WRN AL MAY HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG GUSTY WINDS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL
WILL REMAIN VERY MARGINAL AND A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
REGION.

THE LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS AN INVERTED SFC TROUGH LOCATED ACROSS
SRN AND CNTRL MS WITH A MOIST AXIS LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE TROUGH
WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE LOWER 70S F. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE WITH MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY REMAINING IN PLACE
ALONG THE MOIST AXIS FROM COLUMBUS MS SWD TO NEAR MOBILE AL.
ALTHOUGH WSR-88D VWPS SHOW VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES GENERALLY BELOW
20 KT...THE INSTABILITY SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR STRONG PULSE
THUNDERSTORMS. AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THE MORE INTENSE PULSE STORMS. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY
WINDS WILL LIKELY BE BETWEEN 20Z AND 22Z ACROSS THE REGION.

.BROYLES.. 07/23/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...

30238841 31038897 32168959 33248956 34068905 34258810
33818782 32478787 31398719 30878697 30288723

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KTOP [231752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 231752
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1252 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM HEAVY RAIN BERN 39.96N 95.97W
07/23/2007 E2.75 INCH NEMAHA KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

BYRNE

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KJAN [231750]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 231750
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1250 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM TSTM WND DMG SHUQUALAK 32.98N 88.57W
07/20/2007 NOXUBEE MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DAMAGED A HOUSE IN CITY LIMITS REPORTED BY PD

&&

$$

40

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 231720
SWODY2
SPC AC 231718

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1218 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS ACROSS SRN CANADA
FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA INTO SASKATCHEWAN ON TUESDAY...RESULTING IN
THE NRN PORTION OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS TO SHIFT EWD FROM THE NRN
ROCKIES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. MAIN BELT OF WLY/S WILL REMAIN
ACROSS CANADA...THOUGH TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE SWRN CANADIAN
PROVINCES WILL STRENGTHEN THE MID LEVEL FLOW SWD INTO THE U.S.
PORTION OF THE NRN ROCKIES. FARTHER EAST...CLOSED LOW OVER VA/NC
IS FORECAST TO LIFT SLOWLY NWD INTO THE OH VALLEY AS HEIGHTS SLOWLY
RISE ACROSS THE SERN THIRD OF THE NATION.

..SRN PLAINS...
UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE...CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR THE IA/MO BORDER... IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUING ROTATING SWWD AROUND THE ROCKIES HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM...AND SHIFT FROM SRN OK INTO SWRN TX DURING THE DAY.
ELEVATED STORMS MAY BE ONGOING ACROSS WRN/CENTRAL OK IN THE
MORNING...WITHIN ZONE OF WEAK LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION. NEWLY MID
LEVEL WINDS AND SWWD MOTION OF UPPER TROUGH SHOULD PROPEL STORMS
ACROSS THE WRN THIRD OF TX DURING THE DAY. THE STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES MAY SUPPORT AN ISOLATED HAIL THREAT IN THE MORNING AND
POSSIBLY STRONG WIND GUSTS IN WRN TX DURING THE AFTERNOON...AS
STORMS POSSIBLY BECOME SURFACE BASED AND FUELED BY MORE UNSTABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER. HOWEVER...STORMS AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH TODAY
HAVE RESULTED IN CONSIDERABLE CLOUDS...WHICH IS POSSIBLE AGAIN
TUESDAY...AND WOULD REDUCE INSTABILITY AND STEEPNESS OF LOW LEVEL
RATES. THESE FACTORS COMBINED WITH MARGINAL SHEAR FOR SEVERE STORMS
PRECLUDES A SLIGHT RISK AT THIS TIME.

..PORTIONS OF ID...MT AND WY...
ALTHOUGH SURFACE FRONT IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED ACROSS ERN MT
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE OF INCREASING UVV/S BEHIND
THE FRONT DUE TO SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE SW AND AREA
BEING LOCATED WITHIN THE RIGHT REAR QUAD OF UPPER JET IN CANADA.
MODELS ALSO SHOW NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THIS AREA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS. STRENGTHING MID
LEVEL WINDS/DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MLCAPE VALUES FROM 1000-1500 J/KG
MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR SOME HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS.

..SERN STATES...
ALTHOUGH HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE
PERIOD...THE AIR MASS SHOULD REMAIN QUITE MOIST AND WEAKLY CAPPED.
CONVERGENCE ALONG REMNANT SURFACE FRONT AND COLLIDING SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARIES SHOULD GENERATE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION.
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND VEERING WIND PROFILES MAY PRODUCE A FEW
STORMS WITH HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS.

..SWRN STATES...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN IN MOIST MONSOONAL FLOW THAT
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NWD ACROSS UT/ERN NV. SHEAR WILL BE WEAK AS THE
BASE OF THE UPPER RIDGE WILL EXTEND SWWD INTO THE AREA. HOWEVER...IN
AREAS WHERE STRONG HEATING OCCURS PRIOR TO STORM
DEVELOPMENT..ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS WOULD BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS.

.IMY.. 07/23/2007

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KICT [231715]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 231715
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1214 PM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM FLOOD EUREKA 37.82N 96.29W
07/23/2007 GREENWOOD KS AMATEUR RADIO

STATE STREET WAS REPORTED TO BE CLOSED. RAINFALL

MEASUREMENTS FROM THE AREA WERE BETWEEN 3 AND 3.5 INCHES.

&&

$$

CDB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1569

ACUS11 KWNS 231642
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231641
NEZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-231815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1569
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SE NEB...CNTRL KS...NW AND NCNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 231641Z - 231815Z

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SE NEB...CNTRL KS INTO
NCNTRL AND NW OK OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE STRONGER CELLS MAY
HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL. WW
ISSUANCE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT IS EVIDENT ON SFC ANALYSIS EXTENDING FROM
ERN NEB SWD ACROSS CNTRL KS INTO CNTRL OK. SFC DEWPOINTS ALONG THE
BOUNDARY ARE IN THE LOWER 70S F AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS CURRENTLY
SHOWS SBCAPE VALUES IN THE 2000 TO 3500 J/KG RANGE. SEVERAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES HAVE MOVED WWD ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION WITH THE MOST
NOTABLE BEING LOCATED IN SE NEB...NRN KS AND NW OK. AS SFC TEMPS
CONTINUE TO WARM THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...STORM INITIATION WILL
BECOME LIKELY ALONG THESE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. 12Z MORNING SOUNDINGS
ACROSS THE REGION SUGGEST VERTICAL SHEAR IS STRONG ENOUGH FOR
ORGANIZED MULTICELL STORMS ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL MAY OCCUR
IN AREAS WITH LOCALLY ENHANCED VERTICAL SHEAR. ABUNDANT LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE AND STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE FAVORABLE
FOR WIND DAMAGE WITH THE MORE-ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS THIS
AFTERNOON. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7.0 C/KM MAY ALSO
SUPPORT ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.

.BROYLES.. 07/23/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...

41919718 41649662 40419631 38529668 36979705 35879722
35379815 35549892 36309903 38079880 39929875 41289884
41869809

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KICT [231633]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 231633
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1133 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1128 AM FLOOD EUREKA 37.82N 96.29W
07/23/2007 GREENWOOD KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

MINOR STREET FLOODING REPORTED.

&&

$$

CDB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 231631
SWODY1
SPC AC 231628

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

VALID 231630Z - 241200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...

..CENTRAL PLAINS...
EXPANSIVE UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE ROCKIES AND PLAINS STATES
TODAY...WITH SEVERAL SMALL SCALE UPPER FEATURES ROTATING ATOP RIDGE
AND TRACKING SOUTHWARD INTO PARTS OF NEB/IA/KS/MO/OK. AMPLE
INSTABILITY AND SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS OVER THIS REGION TODAY. HOWEVER...
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF
CONVECTION.

BAND OF ONGOING STORMS EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWEST IA...ACROSS EASTERN
KS...INTO CENTRAL OK. THESE STORMS ARE DRIFTING SLOWLY
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO AN INCREASINGLY WARM/UNSTABLE AIR MASS /MLCAPE
VALUES LIKELY TO EXCEED 3000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON/. WEAK OUTFLOWS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS MORNINGS CONVECTION WILL LIKELY HELP INITIATE
NEW STORMS FROM EASTERN NEB INTO WESTERN OK THIS AFTERNOON.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS THROUGHOUT THIS AREA SHOW STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND EFFECTIVE VERTICAL SHEAR OF 25-35 KNOTS. COMBINED WITH A
VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS...THESE PARAMETERS SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED MULTICELL AND ISOLATED SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. STORMS MAY SPREAD WESTWARD THIS EVENING
INTO MORE DEEPLY MIXED AIR MASS OVER WESTERN KS AND THE EASTERN TX
PANHANDLE...WITH A CONTINUED THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

..MT...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALONG THE ID/MT
BORDER. THIS FEATURE WILL RESULT IN LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL MT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FULL
SUNSHINE OVER THIS REGION WILL YIELD STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
INVERTED-V THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN MT THIS
AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EASTWARD THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER CELLS.

..ND...
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS INDICATED OVER EASTERN MT NEAR GGW.
THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD AND MAINTAIN WEAK ASCENT
ACROSS WESTERN ND TODAY. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARM INTO THE
LOWER 100S IN THIS AREA...WITH DEWPOINTS REMAINING NEAR 70F. THIS
EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS /MLCAPE VALUES OVER 4000 J/KG/ WILL BE
CONDUCIVE TO DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS CAN FORM.
12Z NAM...09Z SREF...AND 00Z 4KM WRF DO INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THIS AREA THIS EVENING...SO HAVE ADDED LOW PROBABILITIES OF SEVERE
STORMS.

..FL...
MORNING SOUNDINGS ARE SLIGHTLY WARMER ALOFT THIS MORNING OVER THE FL
PENINSULA...ALONG WITH SCATTERED CLOUDS THAT MAY HINDER DAYTIME
HEATING AND DESTABILIZATION. THESE CHANGES OVER YESTERDAY SUGGEST
THE THREAT HAS DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT COMPARED TO THE LAST FEW DAYS.
NEVERTHELESS...MLCAPE VALUES OVER 1500 J/KG AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AS STORMS FORM ALONG EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE.

.HART/TAYLOR.. 07/23/2007

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KTOP [231519]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 231519
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1019 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1017 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 NE DELIA 39.30N 95.89W
07/23/2007 E3.50 INCH JACKSON KS PUBLIC

STANDING WATER IN FIELDS AND WATER WASHED OVER DRIVEWAY.

&&

$$

BYRNE

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KTOP [231514]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 231514
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1014 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1013 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 ENE DELIA 39.26N 95.91W
07/23/2007 M3.50 INCH JACKSON KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

BYRNE

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KCHS [231433]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 231433
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1033 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM RIP CURRENTS FOLLY BEACH 32.65N 79.94W
07/22/2007 CHARLESTON SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

A 31 YEAR OLD MALE WAS RESCUED FROM A RIP CURRENT IN
FRONT OF THE DUNES HOUSE AT 5 PM.

&&

$$

DPB

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KJAX [231426]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 231426
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1025 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HAIL MOSS BLUFF 29.08N 81.88W
07/21/2007 E1.00 INCH MARION FL TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN MOSS BLUFF.

&&

$$

MZ

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KJAX [231326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 231326
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
926 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W WAYCROSS 31.21N 82.44W
07/21/2007 WARE GA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

LARGE PECAN TREE LIMB DOWN ON ALBANY AVE NEAR
INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 82.

&&

$$

MTRABERT

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KJAX [231313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KJAX 231313
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
913 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM FLOOD WAYCROSS 31.21N 82.36W
07/21/2007 WARE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING OCCURRED MANY AREAS OF WAYCROSS INCLUDING
CARSWELL AVE, PLANT AVE, STATE ST, MEMORIAL DR, RIVERSIDE
DR, AND HAINES AVE. APPROX ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FOOT
WATER WAS ACROSS THE HIGHWAYS.

0845 PM TSTM WND DMG BLACKSHEAR 31.30N 82.24W
07/21/2007 PIERCE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO LARGE PECAN LIMBS BROKEN OFF AT 119 HOBBS ST. ALSO
TREES AND POWER LINES WERE DOWN IN CHERRY ST EXTENSION
AREA.

&&

$$

MTRABERT

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KMLB [231310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 231310
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
910 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM WATER SPOUT 2 S PONCE INLET 29.07N 80.93W
07/23/2007 VOLUSIA FL COAST GUARD

WATER SPOUT SIGHTED BY MARINER 10 MILES OFFSHORE.
REPORTED RELAYED BY US COAST GUARD AT PONCE INLET.

&&

$$

JRC

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KJAX [231309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 231309
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
909 AM EDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM FLOOD WAYCROSS 31.21N 82.36W
07/21/2007 WARE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING OCCURRED MANY AREAS OF WAYCROSS INCLUDING
CARSWELL AVE, PLANT AVE, STATE ST, MEMORIAL DR, RIVERSIDE
DR, AND HAINES AVE. APPROX ONE TO ONE AND A HALF FOOT
WATER WAS ACROSS THE HIGHWAYS.

0815 PM TSTM WND DMG BLACKSHEAR 31.30N 82.24W
07/21/2007 PIERCE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO LARGE PECAN LIMBS BROKEN OFF AT 119 HOBBS ST. ALSO
TREES AND POWER LINES WERE DOWN IN CHERRY ST EXTENSION
AREA.

&&

$$

MTRABERT

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KTOP [231305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 231305
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
805 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0803 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW ALMA 39.03N 96.32W
07/23/2007 M1.00 INCH WABAUNSEE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE INCH MEASURED IN ONE HOUR...STANDING WATER IN YARD

&&

$$

SBLAIR

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 231301
SWODY1
SPC AC 231258

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

VALID 231300Z - 241200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MID/LWR MO VLY INTO
THE CNTRL PLNS...

..SYNOPSIS...
BROAD UPR RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE NRN PLNS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT
WEATHER FEATURE OVER THE LWR 48 THIS PERIOD AS ERN LOW RETROGRESSES
SLIGHTLY NW. WEAK IMPULSES ROTATING AROUND PERIPHERY OF THE PLNS
RIDGE LIKELY WILL CONTINUE TO SERVE AS FOCI FOR LOCALLY
CONCENTRATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT.

FEATURES AT THE SFC WILL REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK. A COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING NE AROUND UPR LOW OFF THE
BC CST WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE PAC NW ACROSS MUCH OF WA AND ORE BY
12Z TUESDAY...AND A DIFFUSE FRONTAL ZONE WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY FROM THE UPR MS VLY TO THE CNTRL PLNS.

..MID/LWR MO VLY SW TO THE TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK...
SCTD STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING/DEVELOPING SW ACROSS THE MID/LWR
MO VLY INTO THE CNTRL PLNS...AHEAD OF WEAK SW-MOVING UPR IMPULSE.
WHILE A LIMITED THREAT FOR LOCALLY SVR WIND/HAIL MAY EXIST THROUGH
THE MORNING...A MORE SUBSTANTIAL POTENTIAL MAY DEVELOP WITH SFC
HEATING THIS AFTERNOON AS SBCAPE INCREASES TO AROUND 2000 J/KG.

MODERATE NNELY MID/UPR LVL FLOW WITH CONSIDERABLE DEEP VEERING WILL
YIELD PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED/ORGANIZED STORMS...INCLUDING
SW OR WSW-MOVING SUPERCELLS WITH HIGH WIND/HAIL AND POSSIBLY A
COUPLE TORNADOES. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS MOST LIKELY FROM WRN IA AND
PERHAPS SE SD SWD INTO CNTRL/ERN NEB TO NRN KS. WITH TIME THE
STORMS SHOULD MERGE INTO SEVERAL SW-MOVING CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SVR
STORMS. OTHER STORMS/CLUSTERS LIKELY WILL IN SOMEWHAT LESS
STRONGLY-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT EXTENDING S INTO CNTRL/WRN OK AND THE
TX PANHANDLE.

NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF SSWLY LLJ OVER WRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL
AND SRN PLNS THIS EVENING SUGGESTS THAT ADDITIONAL STORMS/CLUSTERS
MAY REMAIN ACTIVE OVER PARTS OF KS/OK...AND MOVE/DEVELOP INTO WRN
AND PERHAPS SW TX TONIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY.

..WRN/CNTRL MT AND ADJACENT AREAS OF ID...
WEAK SHORT-WAVE DISTURBANCES MOVING NE ACROSS ID AND WRN/CNTRL MT ON
WRN FRINGE OF UPR RIDGE EXPECTED TO MODULATE DIURNALLY ENHANCED
STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS REGION. STRONGER FLOW ALOFT WILL...
HOWEVER...FARTHER NW ACROSS WA/BC. COUPLED WITH RELATIVELY WARM MID
LVL TEMPERATURES ON W SIDE OF UPR RIDGE...ANY SVR THREAT SHOULD
REMAIN FAIRLY BRIEF AND/OR ISOLATED...MAINLY IN THE FORM OF LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND.

..CNTRL/SRN FL...
MORNING RAOBS AND SATELLITE DATA SUGGEST THAT MID LVL LAPSE RATES
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK OVER MUCH OF FL TODAY...WITH THE STEEPEST
LAPSE RATES /AROUND 6.5 DEG C PER KM/ EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHEAST PART
OF THE STATE. NEVERTHELESS...SLIGHTLY-ENHANCED WLY MID LVL FLOW ON
SRN EDGE OF ERN U.S. UPR LOW MAY ENHANCE STORM
ORGANIZATION/SUSTENANCE OVER PARTS OF SRN AND CNTRL FL GIVEN ELY
ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE SFC.

.CORFIDI/GUYER.. 07/23/2007

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KDMX [231137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDMX 231137
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
637 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1143 PM TSTM WND GST WATERLOO AIRPORT 42.56N 92.40W
07/22/2007 M62.00 MPH BLACK HAWK IA ASOS

1149 PM TSTM WND DMG WATERLOO 42.49N 92.35W
07/22/2007 BLACK HAWK IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN WATERLOO AND CEDAR FALLS.

1152 PM TSTM WND GST WATERLOO AIRPORT 42.56N 92.40W
07/22/2007 M62.00 MPH BLACK HAWK IA ASOS

1215 AM TSTM WND DMG DYSART 42.17N 92.31W
07/23/2007 TAMA IA BROADCAST MEDIA

POWER LINE DOWN. FROM KCRG TV.

0402 AM HAIL CRESTON 41.06N 94.36W
07/23/2007 M0.88 INCH UNION IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

RK

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KBIS [230923]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 230923
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
423 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0418 AM TSTM WND GST WILLISTON 48.16N 103.63W
07/23/2007 M75 MPH WILLIAMS ND ASOS

&&

$$

KBIRK

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KDMX [230907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 230907
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
407 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 AM HAIL CRESTON 41.06N 94.36W
07/23/2007 M0.88 INCH UNION IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

BMOYER

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 230859
SWOD48
SPC AC 230859

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0359 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

VALID 261200Z - 311200Z

..DISCUSSION...
THE STRONGER WESTERLIES APPEAR LIKELY TO GENERALLY REMAIN ALONG OR
TO THE NORTH OF THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER THROUGH THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. AND...THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE IS COMING
TO A BETTER CONSENSUS CONCERNING THE ULTIMATE FATE OF THE WEAK
EASTERN STATES CUT-OFF LOW. IT NOW SEEMS PROBABLE THAT THE LOW WILL
BE FORCED EAST OF THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY INTO THE NORTHEAST STATES BY
FRIDAY...BEFORE BECOMING ABSORBED BY BROADER CYCLONIC FLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH AN AMPLIFYING EASTERN CANADIAN POLAR TROUGH. THIS
MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY CONSIDERABLE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

HOWEVER...PRIOR TO THE EASTWARD ACCELERATION OF THE CLOSED LOW...IT
APPEARS THAT ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR EMANATING FROM THE
ROCKIES/PLATEAU REGION...WILL BE DIVERTED NORTHWARD INTO THE
VICINITY OF THE POLAR FRONT...INITIALLY WELL NORTH OF THE EASTERN
CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER...AS WELL AS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY TOWARD THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST. THIS SEEMS LIKELY TO LIMIT
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN QUARTER OF THE NATION...AND
MINIMIZE THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT...BOTH AHEAD OF THE CLOSED LOW...AND IN ITS WAKE...AS
MAIN POLAR FRONT FINALLY ADVANCES INTO THE GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST
LATER THIS WEEKEND.

.KERR.. 07/23/2007

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 230732
SWODY3
SPC AC 230730

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WED/WED NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF
THE NRN PLAINS....

..SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT AN INCREASINGLY ZONAL BELT OF POLAR WESTERLIES
WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVE TROUGHS. ONE
OF THESE IS PROGGED TO APPROACH THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST...WHILE
ANOTHER CONTINUES EASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF MANITOBA/ONTARIO AND
HUDSON BAY. THE LATTER FEATURE MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SOME
NORTH/NORTHWESTWARD ACCELERATION OF THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY/GREAT LAKES REGION...BUT THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
GENERALLY CUT-OFF FROM THE WESTERLIES THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD
AND BEYOND. SUBTROPICAL RIDGING IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE TO BUILD
WESTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD...AND NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
SOUTHEAST STATES. AND...RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND ROCKIES...THOUGH IN A WEAKENED STATE...DUE TO
THE CENTRAL CANADIAN SHORT WAVE TROUGH...AND WEAKER IMPULSES
PROGRESSING AROUND ITS PERIPHERY.

..NORTHERN PLAINS...
A FRONTAL ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTRAL CANADIAN SHORT WAVE
TROUGH IS PROGGED TO ADVANCE EAST OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS...BEFORE STALLING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IN ADVANCE OF
THE FRONT...STRONG HEATING IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...AND ALONG AN AXIS ACROSS WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA INTO
SOUTHWEST/SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS PROBABLY WILL PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR SIGNIFICANT
DESTABILIZATION...WITH A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER FORMING WITH
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR MIXED LAYER CAPE OF 1500-3000 J/KG.

SHORTLY AFTER PEAK HEATING...MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT ENOUGH
WEAKENING OF A CAPPING MID-LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE WILL OCCUR TO ALLOW
INITIATION OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. FLOW FIELDS AND DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL LIKELY BE WEAK...BUT THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT SHOULD
BE SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE STORMS...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE
PRIMARY THREAT...ALONG WITH A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL. ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE WEAKENING WITH
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. THEN...MODELS INDICATE AN INCREASE IN
STORMS COULD OCCUR ALONG/NORTH OF THE FRONTAL ZONE...FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST...ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA LATE WEDNESDAY
EVENING/WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AND...ENOUGH CAPE IS EXPECTED TO EXIST IN
A MOISTENING LAYER ABOVE FRONTAL INVERSION...AT LEAST IN A NARROW
CORRIDOR...FOR A CONTINUING RISK OF LARGE HAIL.

.KERR.. 07/23/2007

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KDVN [230633]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 230633
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
132 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 AM TSTM WND GST BELLE PLAINE 41.90N 92.27W
07/23/2007 M36 MPH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

NO DAMAGE REPORTED. ALSO RECEIVED 0.30 INCHES OF RAIN IN
30 MINUTES.

&&

$$

50

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KDMX [230604]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 230604
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
104 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 AM TSTM WND DMG DYSART 42.17N 92.31W
07/23/2007 TAMA IA BROADCAST MEDIA

POWER LINE DOWN. FROM KCRG TV.

&&

$$

RK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 230600
SWODY1
SPC AC 230559

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE MID MO
VALLEY/CENTRAL PLAINS AND VICINITY...

..SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE WRN AND INTO
THE CENTRAL CONUS THIS PERIOD -- CENTERED OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS
BY 24/00Z. NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THIS RIDGE SHOULD DRIFT EWD WITH
TIME...AS AN UPSTREAM TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE PAC NW DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.

MEANWHILE...A TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PERSIST OVER THE ERN
CONUS...WITH EMBEDDED CLOSED LOW FORECAST TO RETROGRADE WWD FROM THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION INTO THE MID/UPPER OH VALLEY.

THE SURFACE PATTERN OVER THE CONUS SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY WEAK
THROUGH THE PERIOD E OF THE ROCKIES...WHILE A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE NWRN CONUS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
UPPER TROUGH.

..MID MO VALLEY SWWD TO THE TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK...
STORMS SHOULD BE MOVING ACROSS THE MID MO VALLEY REGION AT THE START
OF THE PERIOD...IN CONJUNCTION WITH A WEAK/SWWD-MOVING UPPER WAVE.
SOME SEVERE THREAT MAY BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WITH
THESE STORMS...WITH THE THREAT FORECAST TO INCREASE INTO THE
AFTERNOON AS MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE PLAINS
HEATS/DESTABILIZES.

THOUGH FLOW IS FORECAST TO BE NELY IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
TROPOSPHERE BETWEEN UPPER HIGH TO THE NW AND UPPER LOW TO
ESE...MODERATE FLOW MAGNITUDE AND STRONG VEERING WITH HEIGHT
SUGGESTS AMPLE SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS.

ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT THE SWWD-MOVING CLUSTER OF STORMS INITIALLY
OVER THE MO VALLEY REGION SHOULD CROSS NRN MO/SERN NEB THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON...AND THEN MOVE INTO S CENTRAL NEB/CENTRAL KS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. WITH THIS CONVECTION POSSIBLY ORGANIZING INTO AN MCS
ALONG A LEADING COLD POOL...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS IS EXPECTED
ALONG WITH HAIL.

FURTHER S ACROSS KS AND INTO PARTS OF WRN OK...OTHER/MORE ISOLATED
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. WHILE SHEAR WILL BE SOMEWHAT WEAKER
ACROSS THIS REGION...MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD COMPENSATE --
LIKELY YIELDING A THREAT FOR HAIL AND PERHAPS LOCALLY-GUSTY WINDS.

AS LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPS FROM THE S ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SRN HIGH
PLAINS...STORMS MAY PERSIST IN ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...ALONG WITH A LIMITED SEVERE THREAT -- PERHAPS AS
FAR W AS WRN KS AND AS FAR S AS THE TX SOUTH PLAINS.

..PORTIONS OF WRN AND CENTRAL MT AND ADJACENT AREAS OF ID...
WEAK SHORT-WAVE DISTURBANCES MOVING NEWD ACROSS ID/WRN AND CENTRAL
MT -- ON WRN FRINGE OF UPPER RIDGE -- SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO AFTERNOON
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS REGION. HOWEVER...WITH STRONGER
FLOW ALOFT FORECAST TO REMAIN W/NW OF THIS REGION...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL. THIS COMBINED WITH LIMITED CAPE /GENERALLY
AROUND 500 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE/ SUGGESTS A FAIRLY ISOLATED SEVERE
THREAT -- MAINLY IN THE FORM OF LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS.

..CENTRAL AND SRN FL...
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER BUT FAIRLY WEAK LAPSE RATES SHOULD YIELD ONLY
MARGINAL INSTABILITY /GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER
CAPE/ THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...SLIGHTLY-ENHANCED FLOW ALOFT
ACROSS THIS REGION -- AROUND SRN PERIPHERY OF ERN U.S. UPPER LOW --
MAY AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONGER/SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS.
THUS...WILL MAINTAIN 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES OVER THE SRN 2/3 OF THE
FL PENINSULA THIS FORECAST.

.GOSS/GUYER.. 07/23/2007

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1568

ACUS11 KWNS 230551
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230551
IAZ000-230745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1568
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1251 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SCNTRL IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 230551Z - 230745Z

A SMALL MCS THAT WAS BORNE OUT OF ELEVATED TSTMS OVER THE UPR MS VLY
HAS BECOME ROOTED CLOSER TO THE SURFACE EARLY THIS MORNING OVER NERN
IA. PREFERENTIAL DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN ALONG WRN SIDES OF THE STORM
COMPLEX WHERE UNSTABLE PARCELS WERE FEEDING INTO THE SYSTEM.

06Z RUC SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE COLUMN
BELOW THE CLOUD BASES WAS LOW...INDICATING THAT HEAVIER PCPN CORES
MAY AUGMENT WIND PRODUCTION AS ALREADY EVIDENCED BY THE 54 KT GUST
AT KALO. WHILE NOT WIDESPREAD...LOCAL DMGG WIND GUSTS MAY CONTINUE
TO BE A PROBLEM AS THE COMPLEX PROPAGATES INTO CNTRL/SCNTRL
IA...THOUGH RECENT TENDENCIES FOR THE OUTFLOW WINDS TO RACE WELL
AHEAD OF THE STORMS MAY BE A TELL-TALE SIGN THAT THE SVR WIND
POTENTIAL WILL BE ISOLD. IN THIS SITUATION...NEW UPDRAFTS TEND TO
DEVELOP ATOP THE DEEPENING COLD POOL WITH THE NEAR SFC STABILITY
DECREASING THE THREAT FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS TO REACH THE GROUND.
GIVEN THE RELATIVELY WEAK SFC WIND INFLOW...THE SHEAR WILL CONTINUE
TO BE UNBALANCED FOR THE DOWNDRAFT/UPDRAFT INTERFACE TO REMAIN
JUXTAPOSED.

LEADING EDGE OF THE MCS WAS MOVING 20/24 KTS AND WILL REACH KDSM AND
POINTS EAST ALONG I-80 BY 07-0730Z AND THE CHARITON OTTUMWA REGIONS
BY 08-09Z. ATTM...EXPECT THAT THE WIND THREATS WILL REMAIN
SUFFICIENTLY ISOLD TO PRECLUDE A NIGHTTIME SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH.

.RACY.. 07/23/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DVN...ARX...DMX...

41169492 43209357 43459274 43469263 42329301 41939195
41449218 40689260 40699320 40709471

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 230551
SWODY2
SPC AC 230550

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
THE BULK OF THE NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH APPEARS TO BE IN THE
PROCESS OF LIFTING TOWARD THE BRITISH COLUMBIA/PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COAST...MUCH AS HAS BEEN INDICATED BY THE MODELS THE PAST FEW DAYS.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS ACROSS THE CANADIAN ROCKIES
TODAY...BEFORE CONTINUING EAST NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD HUDSON BAY
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BEGIN TO
FLATTEN THE CENTRAL CANADIAN RIDGE AXIS...WHICH EXTENDS TO THE NORTH
OF AN UPPER HIGH CENTER OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
AND...SOME FURTHER WEAKENING OF THE WARM CORE HIGH MAY ENSUE.
BUT...IN GENERAL...A STRONG RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FROM THE
FOUR CORNERS STATES THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS...THROUGH THIS
FORECAST PERIOD.

FARTHER EAST...MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A WESTERN ATLANTIC
MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL EXPAND WESTWARD THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
..FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. AND...THE WEAK
EASTERN STATES CLOSED LOW WILL REMAIN CUT-OFF FROM THE POLAR
WESTERLIES...BETWEEN THE TWO RIDGES...PERHAPS SLOWLY SHIFTING
NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES/LOWER GREAT
LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY.

..CENTRAL PLAINS...
MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT AN IMPULSE...LIKELY TO CONTRIBUTE TO
STRENGTHENING NORTHEASTERLY MID/UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE MID MISSOURI
VALLEY TODAY...WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWESTWARD AROUND THE SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS COULD
ENHANCE FLOW FIELDS A BIT ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
PLAINS. BUT...IN GENERAL...WINDS/DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROBABLY WILL
REMAIN WEAK. HOWEVER...A MODERATE TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER...WITH MIXED LAYER CAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG...AND UNSATURATED
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...MAY BE SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW STRONG/ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS AS INHIBITION WEAKENS IN PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING.
LOCALIZED STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT...BUT SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE.

..SOUTHEAST STATES...
ALTHOUGH A GRADUAL WARMING ALOFT IS STILL FORECAST TO COMMENCE
TUESDAY...INHIBITION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK ENOUGH TO ALLOW
CONSIDERABLE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG A WEAK/WEAKENING SURFACE
FRONT AND SEA BREEZES ACROSS PARTS OF THE GULF COAST STATES.
CONVERGING BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA INTO NORTHERN
FLORIDA DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS MAY PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR THE
MOST VIGOROUS STORMS...WITHIN A THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT THAT
SHOULD STILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS...PERHAPS SOME
HAIL.

..INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE LEE OF THE MONTANA ROCKIES...
TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME AND FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH IMPULSES
MIGRATING ALONG/NEAR THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID/UPPER RIDGE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND PARTS OF THE ROCKIES. MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE
THAT ONE OF THESE IMPULSES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MONTANA BY LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVE. AND...SOME OF THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
EVENTUALLY DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL MONTANA TUESDAY
EVENING...AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENS/DESTABILIZES IN THE WAKE OF
A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE VIGOROUS CANADIAN SHORT WAVE
TROUGH. DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH WEAK TO MODERATE WEST
SOUTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR SOME HAIL IN
STRONGER STORMS...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS IN SUB
CLOUD AIR WITH SIZABLE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS.
OTHERWISE...ENOUGH HEATING IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER
FAVORABLE FOR LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS.

.KERR.. 07/23/2007

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KDMX [230527]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 230527
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1227 AM CDT MON JUL 23 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1149 PM TSTM WND DMG WATERLOO 42.49N 92.35W
07/22/2007 BLACK HAWK IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN WATERLOO AND CEDAR FALLS.

&&

$$

RK

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KDMX [230457]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 230457
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1156 PM CDT SUN JUL 22 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1152 PM TSTM WND GST WATERLOO AIRPORT 42.56N 92.40W
07/22/2007 M62 MPH BLACK HAWK IA ASOS

&&

$$

BMOYER

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KDMX [230448]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 230448
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1148 PM CDT SUN JUL 22 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1143 PM TSTM WND GST WATERLOO AIRPORT 42.56N 92.40W
07/22/2007 M62 MPH BLACK HAWK IA ASOS

&&

$$

BMOYER

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