KALY [242034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 242034
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
434 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM TSTM WND DMG DOVER PLAINS 41.75N 73.58W
05/24/2009 DUTCHESS NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

&&

$$

JQ

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KTBW [242017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 242017
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
417 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0416 PM HAIL LAKE WALES 27.90N 81.59W
05/24/2009 E0.25 INCH POLK FL TRAINED SPOTTER

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND PEA SIZE HAIL.

&&

$$

NOAH

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KCYS [242015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 242015
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
215 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0207 PM HEAVY RAIN WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
05/24/2009 E1.00 INCH PLATTE WY EMERGENCY MNGR

3 TO 5 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER SOME STREETS IN
WHEATLAND. PALMER CANYON ROAD HAS SOME MINOR FLOODING
WITH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND IN SOME LOCATIONS.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KPBZ [242015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 242015
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
415 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM HAIL 5 NE VANDERGRIFT 40.65N 79.51W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH ARMSTRONG PA PUBLIC

&&

$$

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KBOX [242013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 242013
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
413 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM TSTM WND DMG NEEDHAM 42.28N 71.24W
05/24/2009 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN ON BIRCH HILL WAY

0158 PM HAIL NEEDHAM 42.28N 71.24W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

0202 PM TSTM WND DMG BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
05/24/2009 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN AND ARCING SETTING A TREE ON FIRE.

0206 PM HAIL 1 NE WESTWOOD 42.23N 71.20W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

MIXED WITH SMALLER HAIL...LASTED FOR 9 MINUTES.

0210 PM HAIL MILTON 42.24N 71.08W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

AT BLUE HILL OBSERVATORY

0212 PM TSTM WND DMG QUINCY 42.26N 71.01W
05/24/2009 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE LIMBS AND WIRES DOWN ON ELM STREET.

0219 PM LIGHTNING BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
05/24/2009 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN DUE TO LIGHTNING CAUSING A HOUSE FIRE ON ELVIN
STREET.

0235 PM TSTM WND DMG ELLINGTON 41.90N 72.47W
05/24/2009 TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

TREE AND WIRES DOWN ON ABBOTT ROAD.

0304 PM HAIL MANCHESTER 41.78N 72.52W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

ON MANCHESTER-VERNON COUNTY LINE

0309 PM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH WINDSOR 41.82N 72.62W
05/24/2009 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON KELLEY ROAD

0310 PM TSTM WND DMG CANTON 42.15N 71.13W
05/24/2009 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN ON BALLARD CIRCLE

0311 PM HAIL VERNON 41.82N 72.48W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

0315 PM HAIL AVON 42.12N 71.03W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

MIXED WITH SMALL HAIL...LASTING FOR 7 MINUTES.

0320 PM HAIL BOLTON 41.77N 72.43W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

0320 PM HAIL 2 NNE BROCKTON 42.11N 71.01W
05/24/2009 E1.00 INCH PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

NORTHEAST BROCKTON NEAR AVON LINE.

0324 PM HAIL VERNON 41.82N 72.48W
05/24/2009 E1.00 INCH TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

COVERING THE GROUND

0325 PM HAIL VERNON 41.82N 72.48W
05/24/2009 E1.25 INCH TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

0357 PM HAIL BROCKTON 42.08N 71.03W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

PWR OUTAGES

0357 PM HAIL BROCKTON 42.08N 71.03W
05/24/2009 E1.00 INCH PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

0357 PM TSTM WND DMG MANCHESTER 41.78N 72.52W
05/24/2009 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0357 PM HAIL ABINGTON 42.12N 70.96W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

0357 PM LIGHTNING BROCKTON 42.08N 71.03W
05/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

SHED FIRE FROM LTG STRIKE ON CAROL AVE

0357 PM HAIL WHITMAN 42.08N 70.93W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

&&

$$

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KCAR [242005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 242005
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
405 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL 10 N CARIBOU 47.01N 68.01W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH AROOSTOOK ME NWS EMPLOYEE

35 MPH WIND GUST

0300 PM TSTM WND DMG WOODLAND 46.89N 68.14W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME PUBLIC

50 FT BY 100 FT SHED BLOWN DOWN

0300 PM TSTM WND DMG CARIBOU 46.86N 68.01W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME NWS EMPLOYEE

1.5 FOOT DIAMETER TREE SNAPPED NEAR CARY MEDICAL CENTER

&&

$$

FOSTER

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KTBW [242003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 242003
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
403 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0357 PM HAIL 8 NE BUSHNELL 28.75N 82.02W
05/24/2009 E0.50 INCH SUMTER FL PUBLIC

SUMTER DISPATCH REPORTED HAIL IN SUMTERVILLE.

0359 PM HAIL 1 NE ZEPHYRHILLS 28.25N 82.16W
05/24/2009 E0.25 INCH PASCO FL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

NOAH

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KCAR [242000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 242000
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
400 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM HAIL LIMESTONE 46.91N 67.83W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH AROOSTOOK ME PUBLIC

&&

$$

FOSTER

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KALY [241959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 241959
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
358 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HAIL CLOVE 41.67N 73.68W
05/24/2009 M0.88 INCH DUTCHESS NY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JQ

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KGJT [241951]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 241951
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
151 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0135 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 N MONTROSE 38.51N 107.87W
05/24/2009 MONTROSE CO PUBLIC

FIVE MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC SAW A FUNNEL CLOUD BETWEEN
1335 AND 1340 MDT.

&&

$$

CCUOCO

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KCYS [241946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 241946
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
146 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0144 PM HAIL WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
05/24/2009 M0.75 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

UP TO THREE QUARTER OF AN INCH DIAMETER HAIL AND HEAVY
RAIN. THE HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSE STREET FLOODING IN
WHEATLAND.

&&

$$

MWEILAND

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241944
SWODY1
SPC AC 241940

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NE PA...NJ...SE
NY AND SRN NEW ENGLAND...

...NE PA/SE NY/NJ/SRN NEW ENGLAND...
EXTENDED THE SLIGHT RISK AREA WEST INTO NE PA AND EAST INTO CT WHERE
AN EAST TO WEST BOUNDARY EXISTS. SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S
F...MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 1500 TO 2500 J/KG RANGE AND 0-3 KM LAPSE
RATES EXCEEDING 7.5 C/KM ACCORDING TO THE RUC SHOULD SUPPORT A
THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. IN ADDITION...THE
INSTABILITY AND RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL ESPECIALLY ACROSS NJ...SE NY AND CT WHERE
INSTABILITY IS LOCALLY MAXIMIZED.

...MAINE...
STRONG CELLS ARE LOCATED JUST AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR THE
CANADA-U.S. BORDER IN NERN MAINE. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOWN BY THE RUC SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL THREAT. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGER CELLS ARE NOW JUST
EAST OF THE MAINE STATE-LINE...REDEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR OVER THE
NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS MAINLY IN AROOSTOOK COUNTY.

...FLORIDA...
REMOVED 5 PERCENT HAIL AND WIND PROBABILITIES ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF FLORIDA IN STABILIZED AIRMASS BEHIND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY.

ELSEWHERE...NO CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.

..BROYLES.. 05/24/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1051 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009/

ANOTHER DAY OF RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE UNITED STATES TODAY. THIS WILL LEAD
TO NUMEROUS AREAS OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ONLY ISOLATED
REGIONS WHERE PARAMETERS SUGGEST A RISK OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS.

...PA/NY/NJ/CT/MA...
WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT IS SAGGING SOUTHWARD ACROSS NY THIS MORNING.
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT ARE SLOWLY
TRANSPORTING 60S DEWPOINTS INTO REGION...WHILE GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES
HELP TO DESTABILIZE AIRMASS. AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES AT OR ABOVE
1000 J/KG ARE LIKELY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY ALONG THE FRONT BY MID AFTERNOON AND TRACK
SOUTHEASTWARD. SOUTHERLY ONSHORE FLOW OVER MA/CT WILL LESSEN
INSTABILITY AND LIKELY WEAKEN STORMS AS THEY MOVE INTO THAT AREA.
HOWEVER...THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING AS FAR
SOUTH AS CENTRAL NJ. REFER TO SWOMCD NUMBER 861 FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

...FL...
MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CLEAR SKIES OVER ALL OF THE
FL PENINSULA THIS MORNING. SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S AND 500MB
TEMPERATURES AOB -10C WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000
J/KG. WEAK FLOW AT ALL LEVELS WILL PROMOTE SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS
AND LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND AVAILABILITY OF SOME DRY AIR ALOFT SUGGEST
A RISK OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN STRONGER CORES. REFER TO SWOMCD
NUMBER 860 FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

...WY/SD/NEB...
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS ARE IN PLACE THIS MORNING OVER EASTERN WY AND
WESTERN SD/NEB. SLOW EROSION OF CLOUDS IS EXPECTED FROM THE WEST
TODAY...LEADING TO RELATIVELY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
MODERATE INSTABILITY OVER EASTERN WY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THIS CORRIDOR
AND MOVE EASTWARD INTO WESTERN SD/NEB PANHANDLE BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. WINDS ALOFT ARE RATHER WEAK...BUT SHOW A VEERING
PROFILE WHICH MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW ORGANIZED/SEVERE
STORMS...ESPECIALLY IF THEY CAN INTERACT WITH A WEAK REMNANT
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEAST MT INTO THE BLACK HILLS.

...SOUTH TX...
AMPLE MOISTURE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WEAK BUT SUFFICIENT DEEP
LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR FOR ISOLATED STORMS TO BECOME STRONG THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX. GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.

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KCAE [241944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 241944
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
344 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0336 PM HEAVY RAIN 8 SW WEST COLUMBIA 33.91N 81.18W
05/24/2009 M1.62 INCH LEXINGTON SC PUBLIC

1.62 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 75 MINUTES.

&&

$$

MILLER

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KCAR [241939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 241939
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM TSTM WND DMG CARIBOU 46.86N 68.01W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES

&&

$$

FOSTER

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KTBW [241935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 241935
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
335 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0331 PM HAIL 2 S LAND O' LAKES 28.19N 82.45W
05/24/2009 E0.50 INCH PASCO FL TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED JUST NORTH OF THE PASCO/HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY
LINE.

&&

$$

NOAH

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KCAR [241934]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 241934
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
333 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM HAIL EAGLE LAKE 47.04N 68.59W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH AROOSTOOK ME TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

FOSTER

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KBOX [241933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBOX 241933
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
333 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM TSTM WND DMG NEEDHAM 42.28N 71.24W
05/24/2009 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN ON BIRCH HILL WAY

0158 PM HAIL NEEDHAM 42.28N 71.24W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

0202 PM TSTM WND DMG BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
05/24/2009 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN AND ARCING SETTING A TREE ON FIRE.

0206 PM HAIL WESTWOOD 42.22N 71.22W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

MIXED WITH SMALLER HAIL...LASTED FOR 9 MINUTES.

0210 PM HAIL MILTON 42.24N 71.08W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

AT BLUE HILL OBSERVATORY

0212 PM TSTM WND DMG QUINCY 42.26N 71.01W
05/24/2009 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE LIMBS AND WIRES DOWN ON ELM STREET.

0219 PM LIGHTNING BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
05/24/2009 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN DUE TO LIGHTNING CAUSING A HOUSE FIRE ON ELVIN
STREET.

0235 PM TSTM WND DMG ELLINGTON 41.90N 72.47W
05/24/2009 TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

TREE AND WIRES DOWN ON ABBOTT ROAD.

0304 PM HAIL MANCHESTER 41.78N 72.52W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

ON MANCHESTER-VERNON COUNTY LINE

0309 PM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH WINDSOR 41.82N 72.62W
05/24/2009 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON KELLEY ROAD

0310 PM TSTM WND DMG CANTON 42.15N 71.13W
05/24/2009 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN ON BALLARD CIRCLE

0311 PM HAIL VERNON 41.82N 72.48W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

0315 PM HAIL AVON 42.12N 71.03W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

MIXED WITH SMALL HAIL...LASTING FOR 7 MINUTES.

0320 PM HAIL BOLTON 41.77N 72.43W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

0320 PM HAIL BROCKTON 42.08N 71.03W
05/24/2009 E1.00 INCH PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

NORTHEAST BROCKTON NEAR AVON LINE.

0324 PM HAIL VERNON 41.82N 72.48W
05/24/2009 E1.00 INCH TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

COVERING THE GROUND

0325 PM HAIL VERNON 41.82N 72.48W
05/24/2009 E1.25 INCH TOLLAND CT AMATEUR RADIO

&&

$$

RGOULD

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KLCH [241933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 241933
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
232 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM FLOOD LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
05/24/2009 CALCASIEU LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

911 CENTER REPORTING MINOR STREET FLOODING ON ENTERPRISE
BLVD...CREOLE ST...AND ALAMO ST.

0158 PM FLOOD LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
05/24/2009 CALCASIEU LA BROADCAST MEDIA

KPLC-TV REPORTS THAT LAKE STREET NEAR THE I-210 UNDERPASS
IS IMPASSIBLE.

0217 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 S LAKE CHARLES 30.12N 93.22W
05/24/2009 M2.34 INCH CALCASIEU LA ASOS

FELL AT THE KLCH ASOS IN ABOUT ONE HOUR TWENTY MINUTES.

&&

$$

SCARBONI

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KEWX [241931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 241931
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
231 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0209 PM HAIL 1 S MARTINDALE 29.83N 97.84W
05/24/2009 E0.25 INCH CALDWELL TX PUBLIC

PEA SIZE HAIL WITH 40 MPH WIIND GUSTS

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00581

$$

MCDONALD

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KEWX [241929]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 241929
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
229 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0207 PM HAIL 1 N GONZALES 29.52N 97.45W
05/24/2009 E0.50 INCH GONZALES TX PUBLIC

PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00580

$$

MCDONALD

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KBGM [241924]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 241924
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
324 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL MOOSIC 41.36N 75.70W
05/24/2009 E1.00 INCH LACKAWANNA PA PUBLIC

&&

$$

JAB

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KCAE [241924]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 241924
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
324 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 N POMARIA 34.32N 81.42W
05/24/2009 M1.05 INCH NEWBERRY SC PUBLIC

1.05 INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN IN ONE HOUR ENDING AT 315
PM. RAIN WAS STILL FALLING.

&&

$$

MILLER

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KCAR [241923]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 241923
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
323 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0152 PM DOWNBURST ALLAGASH 47.08N 69.04W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME CO-OP OBSERVER

60 MPH WIND GUST

0200 PM HAIL SAINT FRANCIS 47.17N 68.89W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH AROOSTOOK ME PUBLIC

0237 PM HAIL EAGLE LAKE 47.04N 68.59W
05/24/2009 E1.75 INCH AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

0300 PM HAIL CARIBOU 46.86N 68.01W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH AROOSTOOK ME OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

FOSTER

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KTBW [241858]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 241858
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
258 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM HAIL 3 S INVERNESS 28.80N 82.34W
05/24/2009 E1.00 INCH CITRUS FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY EMS SOUTH OF INVERNESS.

&&

$$

JILLSON

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KCAE [241850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 241850
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
249 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM HEAVY RAIN COLUMBIA 34.00N 81.04W
05/24/2009 M0.73 INCH RICHLAND SC OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0.73 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 45 MINUTES ENDING AT 1250 PM
EDT AT KCUB...COLUMBIA HAMILTON OWENS FIELD.

0114 PM FLASH FLOOD COLUMBIA 34.00N 81.04W
05/24/2009 RICHLAND SC PUBLIC

INTERSECTION OF WHALEY AND MAIN STREETS WAS FLOODED AND
IMPASSABLE TO VEHICLES. FLOOD WATERS HAD RECEDED BY 150
PM EDT.

0115 PM FLASH FLOOD COLUMBIA 34.00N 81.04W
05/24/2009 RICHLAND SC OTHER FEDERAL

WATER LEVEL AT RBWS1...AT WHALEY AND MAIN STREETS...
PEAKED AT 8.1 FEET AT 115 PM EDT. FLOOD STAGE IS 7.2
FEET.

0120 PM FLASH FLOOD COLUMBIA 34.00N 81.04W
05/24/2009 RICHLAND SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

INTERSECTION OF BLUFF ROAD AND OLYMPIA AVE WAS FLOODED
AND IMPASSABLE TO VEHICLES. FLOOD WATER RECEDED AROUND
220 PM.

0146 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NNW IRMO 34.15N 81.21W
05/24/2009 M1.42 INCH RICHLAND SC PUBLIC

1.42 INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED IN A 36 MINUTE PERIOD OF
TIME.

0229 PM HEAVY RAIN WEST COLUMBIA 33.99N 81.08W
05/24/2009 M0.70 INCH LEXINGTON SC OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0.70 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN A 32 MINUTE PERIOD ENDING AT
229 PM EDT AT KCAE...COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT.

&&

$$

MILLER

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KPBZ [241842]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 241842
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
242 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0226 PM HAIL CORAOPOLIS 40.51N 80.16W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH ALLEGHENY PA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PUBLIC

&&

$$

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KTFX [241839]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 241839 CCA
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1238 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1236 PM HAIL 3 E LEWISTOWN 47.06N 109.36W
05/24/2009 E0.50 INCH FERGUS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. HAIL COVERING GROUND

&&

$$

WILLIAMSON DC

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KTFX [241838]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 241838
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1238 PM MDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1236 PM HAIL 3 E LEWISTOWN 47.06N 109.36W
05/24/2009 E0.50 INCH FERGUS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. HAIL COVERING GROUND

1230 PM HAIL 3 E LEWISTOWN 47.06N 109.36W
05/24/2009 E0.50 INCH FERGUS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WILLIAMSON DC

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KTBW [241827]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 241827
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
227 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM HAIL INVERNESS 28.84N 82.34W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH CITRUS FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT OF PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL RELAYED BY
CITRUS COUNTY DISPATCH.

&&

$$

JILLSON

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KTBW [241808]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 241808
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
207 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM HAIL HERNANDO 28.91N 82.37W
05/24/2009 E0.50 INCH CITRUS FL TRAINED SPOTTER

HALF INCH TO DIME SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

&&

$$

JILLSON

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KPBZ [241805]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 241805
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
204 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0156 PM HAIL GEORGETOWN 40.64N 80.50W
05/24/2009 E1.00 INCH BEAVER PA PUBLIC

1.00 INCH HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC.

&&

$$

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KBGM [241751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 241751
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
150 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM HAIL GLENDALE 41.33N 75.72W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH LUZERNE PA PUBLIC

0145 PM HAIL MOSCOW 41.34N 75.53W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH LACKAWANNA PA PUBLIC

&&

$$

JAB

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KLCH [241735]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 241735
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1235 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 SW LAKE CHARLES 30.05N 92.71W
05/24/2009 VERMILION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

911 OPERATOR REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD TOUCH DOWN AT
CALCASIEU REFINERY ON 4359 W. TANK FARM ROAD. ALSO
REPORTED TWO FUNNEL CLOUDS ON BIG LAKE ROAD.

&&

$$

JNUNN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 241732
SWODY2
SPC AC 241729

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
A SUBTLE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD INTO THE NRN
PLAINS MONDAY AS A FAST-MOVING COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD ACROSS THE
DAKOTAS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE
ONGOING IN NORTH DAKOTA MONDAY MORNING ON THE NOSE OF A WELL-FOCUSED
LOW-LEVEL JET. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ELEVATED MOVING EWD ACROSS
ERN ND DURING THE LATE MORNING. ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD
OCCUR BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AS
INSTABILITY INCREASES. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE SFC-BASED AND MAY
CONGEAL INTO A LINE OF STRONG STORMS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AS SOME
MODEL FORECAST SUGGEST.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE BOUNDARY BY 00Z TUE SHOW THE GREATEST
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET OVER ERN
ND AND NW MN. IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP IN THIS AREA...A
SUPERCELL WITH LARGE HAIL WOULD BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THE STRONGER
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST FROM NRN NEB NNEWD ACROSS ERN SD WHERE
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL NOT BE AS STRONG LIMITING STORM ORGANIZATION. IN
SPITE OF THE WEAKER VERTICAL SHEAR...SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S
F...STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 20 KT OF FLOW ABOVE THE BOUNDARY
LAYER SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS.

...SRN PLAINS...
AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY IS FORECAST ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS MONDAY FROM
THE TX HILL COUNTRY EXTENDING NNWWD INTO THE TX PANHANDLE. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INITIATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AS A CAP WEAKENS AND
INSTABILITY INCREASES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS
AT 00Z TUE SHOW 30 TO 40 KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR FROM THE LOW-ROLLING
PLAINS SWD INTO SOUTH TX MAINLY DUE TO DIRECTIONAL TURNING IN THE
LOW TO MID-LEVELS. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE
THREAT AS STORMS INCREASE IN COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE DEPENDENT ON THE PRESENCE OF SUBTLE
PERTURBATIONS IN THE FLOW AND UPON WHERE THE STRONGEST INSTABILITY
DEVELOPS BY LATE AFTERNOON. SOME MODELS SUGGEST THE SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY COMBINATION WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS IN SOUTH
TX. HOWEVER...THE MODELS DISAGREE CONCERNING THE CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL IN THIS AREA SO WILL KEEP THE PROBABILITIES AT 5 PERCENT.

..BROYLES.. 05/24/2009

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0862

ACUS11 KWNS 241725
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241724
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-241830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0862
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AL/SWRN GA/FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 241724Z - 241830Z

HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RATES AOA 1 INCH AN HOUR WILL VERY SLOWLY
DEVELOP EWD AND NEWD.

AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER CONVECTION IN AL/FL PANHANDLE HAS
BEGUN TO SURGE EWD AND NEWD. GIVEN WEAK FLOW...PROGRESSION OF THE
OUTFLOW WILL PRIMARILY BE DRIVEN BY GREATER INSTABILITY AHEAD OF
IT...MLCAPE AOA 1500 J/KG PER MODIFIED 12Z SOUNDINGS. NEARLY 2 INCH
PWATS WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS CAPABLE OF HEAVY
RAINFALL ALONG THE OUTFLOW...AND AS A SEA BREEZE QUICKLY PROGRESSES
INLAND OVER THE FL PANHANDLE. ALTHOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE
ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THESE FEATURES...NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL SLY
FLOW...A WEAK SHORT WAVE...AND LINGERING INSTABILITY DESPITE A RAIN
COOLED AIRMASS WILL MAINTAIN A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF HEAVY RAIN
OVER SERN AL/SWRN GA AND PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE. SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE HEAVY RAINFALL.

..HURLBUT.. 05/24/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON 30728412 30338440 30228508 30288553 30428584 30698593
31098575 31708588 32308584 32438549 32178469 31788420
30948402 30728412

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KLCH [241719]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 241719
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1218 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM LIGHTNING BRANCH 30.35N 92.27W
05/24/2009 ACADIA LA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

LIGHTNING STRUCK AN OUTDOOR KITCHEN IN THE TOWN OF BRANCH
AND SET THE KITCHEN ON FIRE.

&&

$$

JNUNN

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KFWD [241700]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 241700
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1200 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1159 AM FLASH FLOOD ROCKDALE 30.66N 97.01W
05/24/2009 MILAM TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROCKDALE PD REPORTS SEVERAL STREETS ARE IN THE PROCESS
OF BEING CLOSED

$$

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KBRO [241637]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBRO 241637
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1137 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0507 AM LIGHTNING WESLACO 26.16N 97.98W
05/24/2009 HIDALGO TX EMERGENCY MNGR

STRUCK A HOME IN WESLACO. BUILDING WAS A COMPLETE LOSS.
NO INJURIES REPORTED. TIME OF EVENT IS TIME CALL WAS
REPORTED TO 911.

0510 AM TSTM WND GST HARLINGEN 26.20N 97.69W
05/24/2009 E60.00 MPH CAMERON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

60MPH GUSTS REPORTED APPROX 5 MILES SW OF HARLINGEN
AIRPORT.

0542 AM TSTM WND GST BROWNSVILLE 25.93N 97.48W
05/24/2009 M52.00 MPH CAMERON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

52 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED BY WEATHERBUG CAMERA AT LONE
STAR NATIONAL BANK.

0600 AM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 26.08N 97.18W
05/24/2009 CAMERON TX NWS EMPLOYEE

AWNINGS BLOWN OFF AT ISLA BLANCA.

0600 AM TSTM WND GST SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 26.08N 97.18W
05/24/2009 M53.00 MPH CAMERON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

53 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED AT ISLA GRAND BEACH RESORT BY
WEATHERBUG CAMERA. TIME IS APPROX.

&&

$$

HART

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241554
SWODY1
SPC AC 241551

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1051 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF NY/NJ/PA/CT/MA...

ANOTHER DAY OF RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE UNITED STATES TODAY. THIS WILL LEAD
TO NUMEROUS AREAS OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ONLY ISOLATED
REGIONS WHERE PARAMETERS SUGGEST A RISK OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS.

...PA/NY/NJ/CT/MA...
WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT IS SAGGING SOUTHWARD ACROSS NY THIS MORNING.
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT ARE SLOWLY
TRANSPORTING 60S DEWPOINTS INTO REGION...WHILE GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES
HELP TO DESTABILIZE AIRMASS. AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES AT OR ABOVE
1000 J/KG ARE LIKELY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY ALONG THE FRONT BY MID AFTERNOON AND TRACK
SOUTHEASTWARD. SOUTHERLY ONSHORE FLOW OVER MA/CT WILL LESSEN
INSTABILITY AND LIKELY WEAKEN STORMS AS THEY MOVE INTO THAT AREA.
HOWEVER...THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING AS FAR
SOUTH AS CENTRAL NJ. REFER TO SWOMCD NUMBER 861 FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.

...FL...
MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CLEAR SKIES OVER ALL OF THE
FL PENINSULA THIS MORNING. SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S AND 500MB
TEMPERATURES AOB -10C WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000
J/KG. WEAK FLOW AT ALL LEVELS WILL PROMOTE SEABREEZE CIRCULATIONS
AND LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND AVAILABILITY OF SOME DRY AIR ALOFT SUGGEST
A RISK OF HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS IN STRONGER CORES. REFER TO SWOMCD
NUMBER 860 FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

...WY/SD/NEB...
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS ARE IN PLACE THIS MORNING OVER EASTERN WY AND
WESTERN SD/NEB. SLOW EROSION OF CLOUDS IS EXPECTED FROM THE WEST
TODAY...LEADING TO RELATIVELY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
MODERATE INSTABILITY OVER EASTERN WY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THIS CORRIDOR
AND MOVE EASTWARD INTO WESTERN SD/NEB PANHANDLE BY LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. WINDS ALOFT ARE RATHER WEAK...BUT SHOW A VEERING
PROFILE WHICH MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW ORGANIZED/SEVERE
STORMS...ESPECIALLY IF THEY CAN INTERACT WITH A WEAK REMNANT
BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM SOUTHEAST MT INTO THE BLACK HILLS.

...SOUTH TX...
AMPLE MOISTURE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WEAK BUT SUFFICIENT DEEP
LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR FOR ISOLATED STORMS TO BECOME STRONG THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX. GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.

..HART/HURLBUT.. 05/24/2009

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0861

ACUS11 KWNS 241550
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241549
MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-241745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0861
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1049 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN PA...NRN NJ...SERN NY INCLUDING WRN LONG
ISLAND...NWRN CT...CNTRL/WRN MA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 241549Z - 241745Z

MESOANALYSIS PLACES THE PRIMARY CDFNT FROM UPSTATE NY/NRN VT SWWD
INTO THE FINGER LAKES REGION THEN SWWD INTO NWRN PA AT 15Z. A
PRE-FRONTAL SURGE OR TROUGH AND DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARIES WERE
EVOLVING ACROSS CNTRL MA...SERN NY AND NERN PA. AHEAD OF THESE
FEATURES...AIR MASS WAS WARMING RAPIDLY THROUGH THE 70S WITH SFC DEW
POINTS NEAR 60 DEG F. MODIFIED SOUNDINGS SUGGEST 1000-1500 J/KG
SBCAPE WILL EXIST BY MID-AFTN IN A NARROW CORRIDOR BETWEEN THE
AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES AND THE NRN EDGE OF THE MARINE BOUNDARY
LAYER LOCATED OVER SRN NEW ENGLAND.

JET STREAK ALONG THE BASE OF THE UPR TROUGH WILL TRAVEL FROM THE
CNTRL GRTLKS INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE AFTN...BOOSTING BOTH UVV
AND VERTICAL SHEAR...STRONGEST OVER NEW ENGLAND. BOUNDARY LAYER CU
WAS ALREADY FORMING FROM NERN PA INTO SERN NY. EXPECT TSTMS WILL
GRADUALLY DEVELOP INTO SHORT LINES/CLUSTERS AND MOVE ENE INTO PARTS
OF SRN NEW ENGLAND AND PORTIONS OF NJ/WRN LONG ISLAND BY MID-LATE
AFTN. RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR WILL EXIST
FOR STRONGER MULTICELL /PERHAPS BRIEF SUPERCELL/ STRUCTURES WITH SVR
HAIL/WIND GUSTS. ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN AS IT APCHS THE MARINE
BOUNDARY LAYER OVER SERN/SRN NEW ENGLAND AND ERN LONG ISLAND.

..RACY.. 05/24/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...

LAT...LON 42017185 41127327 40617395 40357497 40347590 40527637
41127635 41587604 42287483 42637322 42707237 42697147
42317139 42017185

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0860

ACUS11 KWNS 241518
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241517
FLZ000-241615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0860
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1017 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...FLORIDA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 241517Z - 241615Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING OVER THE SERN PENINSULA...BUT WILL BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE PENINSULA BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. PRIMARY THREATS OF MARGINAL HAIL/WIND AND HEAVY RAINFALL
CAN BE EXPECTED. DUE TO THE DISORGANIZED/MARGINAL NATURE OF THE
CONVECTION...A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

CU FIELD HAS BEEN INCREASING ACROSS FL THIS MORNING...WHILE A WEST
COAST SEA BREEZE HAS BEGUN TO PUSH INLAND...PRIMARILY FROM NEAR
TAMPA SWD. ALONG THE EAST COAST...THE SEA BREEZE HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT
MODIFIED FROM OFFSHORE CONVECTION. HOWEVER...GIVEN HOT
TEMPERATURES/DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 70S BEHIND THE OUTFLOW...THE
SEA BREEZE WILL ONLY BE SHORTLY DELAYED. 12Z SOUNDINGS APPEAR VERY
FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION...WITH -10 TO -11 C AT 500
MB...AND RELATIVELY STEEP LOW AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. AS AMPLE
HEATING ERODES REMAINING CINH...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL QUICKLY
DESTABILIZE...WITH 1500 TO 2000 J/KG MLCAPE PER 12Z SOUNDINGS
COMMON. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION WILL PRIMARILY BE FOCUSED OVER INLAND
PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO
RENEWED DEVELOPMENT ELSEWHERE. LIGHT FLOW AND HIGH PWATS WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL IN NEARLY STATIONARY STORMS. MARGINAL
HAIL/WIND AND ISOLD SEVERE CAN BE ANTICIPATED.

..HURLBUT.. 05/24/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON 26768013 25368029 25128073 25608120 26118164 27148215
27638243 28518262 29408294 29728295 30048248 30408187
29898132 28318081 26768013

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KBRO [241431]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 241431
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
931 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0507 AM LIGHTNING WESLACO 26.16N 97.98W
05/24/2009 HIDALGO TX EMERGENCY MNGR

STRUCK A HOME IN WESLACO. BUILDING WAS A COMPLETE LOSS.
NO INJURIES REPORTED. TIME OF EVENT IS TIME CALL WAS
REPORTED TO 911.

&&

$$

HART

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KBMX [241338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KBMX 241338
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
838 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0152 PM TORNADO 3 ESE MOUNTAIN CREEK 32.69N 86.43W
05/23/2009 F0 AUTAUGA AL NWS STORM SURVEY

SURVEY TEAM FINDS EF0 WITH WINDS NEAR 75MPH. PATH LENGTH
OF 650YDS...MAX WIDTH 50YDS...STORM MOTION 305 DEGREES.
SEVERAL HARDWOOD/SOFTWOOD TREES UPROOTED...ONE SOFTWOOD
TREE SNAPPED...DOZENS OF LARGE BRANCHES BROKEN. MINOR
SHEET METAL DAMAGE TO BARN. ALL DAMAGE OCCURED ON CR20
JUST OUTSIDE OF MARBURY IN NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA COUNTY.

&&

$$

KLAWS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241252
SWODY1
SPC AC 241249

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0749 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

VALID 241300Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A RELATIVELY BENIGN FLOW REGIME PERSISTS OVER THE CONUS WITH THE
PRIMARY POLAR JET TO THE N ACROSS SRN CANADA...AND THE SUBTROPICAL
JET TO THE S ACROSS NRN MEXICO AND THE GULF OF MEXICO. A SERIES OF
SLOW-MOVING VORTICES WILL CONTINUE IN BETWEEN THE PRIMARY FLOW
STREAMS...ONE OF WHICH WILL MOVE NWWD ACROSS AR...AND ANOTHER OVER
UT WILL MOVE NEWD AND GRADUALLY PHASE WITH A SEPARATE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH PROGRESSING EWD FROM THE PAC NW. A BROAD SWATH OF THE CONUS
WILL BE SUBJECTED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS /MAINLY DIURNAL/
WITHIN THE DEEP MOISTURE PLUMES ACCOMPANYING THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND
INTERMOUNTAIN W MID LEVEL TROUGHS.

...SRN NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SEWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND/NY/PA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING QUEBEC.
PRE-FRONTAL MOISTENING /BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS IN THE 60S/ AND
SURFACE HEATING WILL RESULT IN A BELT OF WEAK-MODERATE INSTABILITY
FROM PA EWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND...AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED BY EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG AND IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT.
MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG...0-6 KM BULK SHEAR OF 30-40 KT AND
RELATIVELY STRAIGHT HODOGRAPHS /ALONG THE SRN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER
MID-UPPER WLYS/ WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED CLUSTERS AND
POSSIBLY SPLITTING SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR FOR A
MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT WILL BE WEAK FLOW BELOW 700 MB...IN
COMBINATION WITH RATHER MODEST INSTABILITY.

...LOWER TX COAST THIS AFTERNOON...
AN INITIAL THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX HAS MOVED OFFSHORE AND IS
WEAKENING...WHILE CLOUD DEBRIS WILL CLEAR S TX BY MID MORNING AND
ANY LINGERING COLD POOL WILL DISSIPATE WITH DAYTIME HEATING. BY
EARLY AFTERNOON...EXPECT LOCAL SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS TO BECOME
ESTABLISHED IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY INLAND
/MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG/. MEANWHILE...AN EMBEDDED MID LEVEL
CYCLONIC VORTICITY CENTER NEAR DRT WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS ESEWD
TOWARD THE MATAGORDA BAY AREA. THIS VORT MAX IS WITHIN THE BELT OF
STRONGER MID-UPPER WLY/WNWLY FLOW OVER NRN MEXICO AND S TX...WHICH
WILL MAINTAIN SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS...AND PERHAPS STORMS WITH SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES. A FEW STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE
SEA BREEZE...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS.

...NRN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...
THE NEWD EJECTION OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER UT AND ITS PHASING
WITH A SEPARATE TROUGH APPROACHING THE NRN ROCKIES WILL INDUCE LEE
CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS WY/SE MT...AND A STRENGTHENING SELY LLJ THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
WAA AND THE NWD RETREAT OF A BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS OF KS/NE/CO...AS WELL AS NWWD TRANSPORT OF BOUNDARY LAYER DEW
POINTS IN THE MID 50S. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND POOR MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY ...AND WEAK
FLOW ALOFT WILL LIMIT DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR. THE RESULTANT
MOIST/WEAKLY UNSTABLE PROFILES WITH CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS BUT
WEAK FLOW ALOFT COULD SUPPORT A FEW STORMS THAT ROTATE BRIEFLY
BEFORE BECOMING OUTFLOW DOMINANT.

...TN VALLEY INTO THE MID SOUTH TODAY...
THE SUBTROPICAL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS WNWWD ACROSS AR TODAY.
A BELT OF ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL ELY/SELY FLOW AND STRONGER LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR WILL ALSO TRANSLATE WNWWD FROM AL ACROSS NRN MS/WRN TN/NE AR.
PER A COMPARISON OF THE 00Z/12Z BMX SOUNDINGS...VWP TRENDS...AND
SHORT TERM MODEL FORECASTS...IT APPEARS THAT THE STRONGER LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR WILL NO LONGER BE PHASED WITH THE RICHER LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY ACROSS AL AFTER ABOUT MID MORNING. INSTABILITY
WILL LIKELY REMAIN LIMITED FARTHER TO THE W TOWARD THE MS RIVER.
ANY POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING STORMS APPEARS TO BE LESS THAN YESTERDAY
AND TOO SMALL TO WARRANT THE ADDITION OF LOW TORNADO PROBABILITIES.

..THOMPSON/SMITH.. 05/24/2009

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KBRO [241117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 241117
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
616 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM TSTM WND GST SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 26.08N 97.18W
05/24/2009 M53 MPH CAMERON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

53 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED AT ISLA GRAND BEACH RESORT BY
WEATHERBUG CAMERA. TIME IS APPROX.

&&

$$

HART

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KBRO [241114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 241114
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
614 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0542 AM TSTM WND GST BROWNSVILLE 25.93N 97.48W
05/24/2009 M52 MPH CAMERON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

52 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED BY WEATHERBUG CAMERA AT LONE
STAR NATIONAL BANK.

&&

$$

HART

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KBRO [241108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 241108
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
607 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 26.08N 97.18W
05/24/2009 CAMERON TX NWS EMPLOYEE

AWNINGS BLOWN OFF AT ISLA BLANCA.

&&

$$

HART

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KBRO [241020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 241020
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
519 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 AM TSTM WND GST HARLINGEN 26.20N 97.69W
05/24/2009 E60 MPH CAMERON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

60MPH GUSTS REPORTED APPROX 5 MILES SW OF HARLINGEN
AIRPORT.

&&

$$

HART

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 240729
SWOD48
SPC AC 240729

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

VALID 271200Z - 011200Z

...DISCUSSION...
WEAK CENTRAL U.S. TROUGH IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS EWD WITH TIME...AND
IS FORECAST TO PHASE WITH A SECOND TROUGH MOVING ESEWD ACROSS
CENTRAL AND ERN CANADA/THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. THE ECMWF AND
GFS HANDLE THE PHASING/EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH DIFFERENTLY...BUT
BOTH AGREE THAT A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE ERN HALF
OF THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THE UPPER
TROUGH SHOULD REMAIN MODEST /GENERALLY LESS THAN 30 KT/. THIS
COMBINED WITH THE FACT THAT THE STRONGEST OF THE FLOW APPEARS TO
REMAIN TO THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT SUGGESTS THAT THE SEVERE
POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY-LIMITED TO
PRECLUDE INTRODUCTION OF ANY THREAT AREAS THIS FORECAST.

..GOSS.. 05/24/2009

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 240707
SWODY3
SPC AC 240704

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0204 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AS WEAK UPPER LOW OVER THE S CENTRAL CONUS CONTINUES TO BECOME
ABSORBED INTO THE WEAK WLY/MEAN FLOW...A BROAD/WEAK TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE PROGRESSING INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS.

AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE MAKING EWD/SEWD
PROGRESS ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS...THOUGH TIMING/POSITIONING
DIFFERENCES EMERGE WITHIN THE VARIOUS MODEL SOLUTIONS DURING THE DAY
3 PERIOD.

OVERALL...SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS GENERALLY LOW AGAIN THIS PERIOD.
THE NAM -- GENERALLY SLOWER IN ITS PROGRESSION OF THE SURFACE FRONT
THROUGH THE S CENTRAL CONUS -- SUGGESTS A ZONE OF SEVERE POTENTIAL
ACROSS N CENTRAL TX...JUST N OF A W-E SEGMENT OF THE FRONT AND E/NE
OF A WEAK LOW PROGGED OVER W CENTRAL TX. HERE...DESTABILIZATION
COMBINED WITH LOW-LEVEL ELYS/NELYS N OF THE FRONT VEERING WITH
HEIGHT TO MODERATE/WLY AT MID LEVELS WOULD PROVIDE AMPLE SHEAR FOR
SEVERE STORMS. HOWEVER...THE FASTER GFS PLACES A LOW OVER NERN TX
BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND MUCH LESS-PRONOUNCED ELYS ON THE COOL SIDE
OF THE FRONT. THUS...ANY SEVERE THREAT WOULD BE WEAKER -- DUE TO
THE WEAKER SHEAR -- AND FARTHER E -- DUE TO THE MORE ERN POSITION OF
THE SURFACE WAVE.

ATTM...WILL NOT INTRODUCE SEVERE PROBABILITY AS A RESULT OF THE
MODEL UNCERTAINTIES. LIMITED/ISOLATED SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EVIDENT
OVER A BROAD PORTION OF THE S CENTRAL CONUS HOWEVER...WHICH COULD
REQUIRE THE INTRODUCTION OF PROBABILITIES IN LATER FORECASTS.

..GOSS.. 05/24/2009

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