DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0618 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
VALID 230100Z - 231200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..MEAD.. 11/23/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
421 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 7 WSW GARRETSON 43.68N 96.63W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH MINNEHAHA SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW 1 ESE SIOUX FALLS 43.54N 96.71W
11/22/2008 M1.4 INCH MINNEHAHA SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW 6 S HARTFORD 43.54N 96.94W
11/22/2008 M1.2 INCH MINNEHAHA SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW NNE VIBORG 43.17N 97.08W
11/22/2008 M2.0 INCH TURNER SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW NE MARION 43.42N 97.26W
11/22/2008 M2.0 INCH TURNER SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW 5 NW MONTROSE 43.75N 97.25W
11/22/2008 M2.6 INCH MCCOOK SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW 4 NW HERRICK 43.16N 99.24W
11/22/2008 M0.0 INCH GREGORY SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW 8 NW WHITE 44.52N 96.76W
11/22/2008 M0.5 INCH BROOKINGS SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW 8 S DALLAS 43.12N 99.52W
11/22/2008 M0.0 INCH GREGORY SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW BROOKINGS 44.31N 96.79W
11/22/2008 E1.5 INCH BROOKINGS SD LAW ENFORCEMENT
0700 AM SNOW W CHAMBERLAIN 43.81N 99.32W
11/22/2008 M0.0 INCH BRULE SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW SSW BROOKINGS 44.31N 96.79W
11/22/2008 M0.7 INCH BROOKINGS SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW 1 SSW GAYVILLE 42.87N 97.18W
11/22/2008 M0.0 INCH YANKTON SD MESONET
0700 AM SNOW 8 SSW HERRICK 43.01N 99.25W
11/22/2008 M0.0 INCH GREGORY SD MESONET
0715 AM SNOW WHITE LAKE 43.73N 98.71W
11/22/2008 M2.5 INCH AURORA SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0728 AM SNOW ROCK VALLEY 43.20N 96.30W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER
0728 AM SNOW WORTHINGTON 43.63N 95.60W
11/22/2008 M0.6 INCH NOBLES MN CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW PIPESTONE 44.00N 96.31W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH PIPESTONE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
0840 AM SNOW HOLSTEIN 42.49N 95.54W
11/22/2008 M0.3 INCH IDA IA CO-OP OBSERVER
0845 AM SNOW WALL LAKE 43.53N 96.96W
11/22/2008 M1.2 INCH MINNEHAHA SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0900 AM SNOW HURON 44.36N 98.22W
11/22/2008 M3.5 INCH BEADLE SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS
0900 AM SNOW SIOUX FALLS 43.54N 96.73W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH MINNEHAHA SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS
0900 AM SNOW 4 WSW SIOUX FALLS 43.53N 96.80W
11/22/2008 M1.4 INCH MINNEHAHA SD TRAINED SPOTTER
0900 AM SNOW MITCHELL 43.73N 98.03W
11/22/2008 M0.0 INCH DAVISON SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS
0903 AM SNOW HARDWICK 43.78N 96.20W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH ROCK MN CO-OP OBSERVER
0940 AM SNOW SHELDON 43.18N 95.84W
11/22/2008 M0.8 INCH O'BRIEN IA CO-OP OBSERVER
0945 AM SNOW ALTON 42.99N 96.01W
11/22/2008 M2.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER
1000 AM SNOW SIOUX CITY 42.50N 96.39W
11/22/2008 M1.3 INCH WOODBURY IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS
1010 AM SNOW AKRON 42.83N 96.56W
11/22/2008 M3.0 INCH PLYMOUTH IA CO-OP OBSERVER
0140 PM SNOW STORM LAKE 42.65N 95.20W
11/22/2008 M1.5 INCH BUENA VISTA IA CO-OP OBSERVER
0145 PM SNOW SPENCER 43.15N 95.15W
11/22/2008 M0.5 INCH CLAY IA CO-OP OBSERVER
0155 PM SNOW CHEROKEE 42.75N 95.55W
11/22/2008 M1.5 INCH CHEROKEE IA CO-OP OBSERVER
0332 PM SNOW SPIRIT LAKE 43.42N 95.11W
11/22/2008 E1.0 INCH DICKINSON IA LAW ENFORCEMENT
0336 PM SNOW 6 SE OCHEYEDAN 43.36N 95.45W
11/22/2008 E0.5 INCH OSCEOLA IA TRAINED SPOTTER
0345 PM SNOW 1 W GEORGE 43.34N 96.02W
11/22/2008 E1.0 INCH LYON IA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
DMORIN
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
222 PM MST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0421 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BABB 48.86N 113.44W
11/22/2008 M71.00 MPH GLACIER MT TRAINED SPOTTER
0915 AM NON-TSTM WND GST HEART BUTTE 48.29N 112.83W
11/22/2008 M67.00 MPH PONDERA MT MESONET
WIND FROM W
0940 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BROWNING 48.56N 113.01W
11/22/2008 M62.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
WIND FROM SSW
0945 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ENE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.20W
11/22/2008 M62.00 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
WINDS FROM WSW
&&
$$
MCGINNIS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
306 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0705 PM SNOW BISMARCK 46.81N 100.78W
11/21/2008 M1.2 INCH BURLEIGH ND NWS EMPLOYEE
AT BISMARCK WFO
0600 AM SNOW FORT YATES 46.09N 100.63W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH SIOUX ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL AS OF 6 AM CST.
0700 AM SNOW 4 NW HAZELTON 46.53N 100.34W
11/22/2008 M2.6 INCH EMMONS ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 SNOWFALL AS OF 7 AM CST.
0700 AM SNOW 5 NW LINTON 46.32N 100.31W
11/22/2008 M3.0 INCH EMMONS ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL AS OF 7 AM CST.
0800 AM SNOW FLASHER 46.46N 101.23W
11/22/2008 M1.8 INCH MORTON ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL AS OF 8 AM CST.
0900 AM SNOW ASHLEY 46.03N 99.37W
11/22/2008 M1.1 INCH MCINTOSH ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 SNOWFALL AS OF 9 AM CST.
&&
$$
PJA
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
305 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0304 PM SNOW 3 S POLK CITY 41.74N 93.72W
11/22/2008 M1.7 INCH POLK IA TRAINED SPOTTER
SNOWFALL TOTAL FOR THE EVENT AT THE NWS IN JOHNSTON. SNOW
HAS TAPERED OFF TO FLURRIES.
&&
$$
MS NOV 08
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
301 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0833 AM SNOW WHEATON 45.81N 96.50W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH TRAVERSE MN CO-OP OBSERVER
0833 AM SNOW CLEAR LAKE 44.77N 96.68W
11/22/2008 M2.0 INCH DEUEL SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0833 AM SNOW IPSWICH 45.44N 99.03W
11/22/2008 M1.5 INCH EDMUNDS SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0833 AM SNOW 20 W ONIDA 44.70N 100.47W
11/22/2008 E2.0 INCH SULLY SD PUBLIC
SULLY BUTTES 2 NW
0833 AM SNOW DOLAND 44.89N 98.10W
11/22/2008 M2.4 INCH SPINK SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0833 AM SNOW WEBSTER 45.34N 97.52W
11/22/2008 M1.5 INCH DAY SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0833 AM SNOW BLUNT 44.52N 99.99W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH HUGHES SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0833 AM SNOW WESTPORT 45.65N 98.50W
11/22/2008 M3.0 INCH BROWN SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0833 AM SNOW 4 NW MILBANK 45.26N 96.69W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH GRANT SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0833 AM SNOW 8 NE COLUMBIA 45.70N 98.19W
11/22/2008 M2.0 INCH BROWN SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0947 AM SNOW 11 ESE HOSMER 45.52N 99.26W
11/22/2008 M2.0 INCH EDMUNDS SD PUBLIC
FROM PRECIPITATION REPORTER
0950 AM SNOW REDFIELD 44.87N 98.52W
11/22/2008 M2.5 INCH SPINK SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0950 AM SNOW 10 N TIMBER LAKE 45.57N 101.07W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC
0953 AM SNOW 19 NNW HIGHMORE 44.77N 99.59W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH HYDE SD PUBLIC
0953 AM SNOW 8 WSW MCINTOSH 45.88N 101.50W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC
1043 AM SNOW LEOLA 45.72N 98.94W
11/22/2008 M2.4 INCH MCPHERSON SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0257 PM SNOW ISABEL 45.40N 101.43W
11/22/2008 M2.0 INCH DEWEY SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0257 PM SNOW COLUMBIA 45.61N 98.31W
11/22/2008 M1.3 INCH BROWN SD CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
TDK
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
210 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM SNOW DALLAS CENTER 41.68N 93.98W
11/22/2008 M1.5 INCH DALLAS IA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MS NOV 08
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
149 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW FLASHER 46.46N 101.23W
11/22/2008 M1.8 INCH MORTON ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL AS OF 8 AM CST.
&&
$$
PAYD
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
148 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0144 PM SNOW BOONE 42.05N 93.88W
11/22/2008 M3.0 INCH BOONE IA NWS EMPLOYEE
0144 PM SNOW 3 S POLK CITY 41.74N 93.72W
11/22/2008 M1.4 INCH POLK IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS
NWS OFFICE IN JOHNSTON
&&
$$
MS NOV 08
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
147 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 AM SNOW ASHLEY 46.03N 99.37W
11/22/2008 M1.1 INCH MCINTOSH ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 SNOWFALL AS OF 9 AM CST.
&&
$$
PAYD
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
146 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW FORT YATES 46.09N 100.63W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH SIOUX ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL AS OF 6 AM CST.
&&
$$
PAYD
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
142 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 4 NW HAZELTON 46.53N 100.34W
11/22/2008 M2.6 INCH EMMONS ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 SNOWFALL AS OF 7 AM CST.
&&
$$
PAYD
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
141 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 5 NW LINTON 46.32N 100.31W
11/22/2008 M3.0 INCH EMMONS ND CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL AS OF 7 AM CST.
&&
$$
PAYD
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0129 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
VALID 222000Z - 231200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..PETERS.. 11/22/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1159 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1150 AM SNOW 5 W DE SOTO 41.53N 94.11W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH DALLAS IA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MS NOV 08
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER ORE...IS EXPECTED TO
PHASE WITH WRN CANADA/NRN ROCKIES TROUGH SUNDAY AS THESE SYSTEMS
AMPLIFY SEWD...REACHING THE UPPER/MID MS VALLEY BY 12Z MONDAY.
STRONGEST HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH
IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST AND LOWER
OH VALLEY. IN THE LOW LEVELS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE E/SEWD FROM
THE NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...AND SHOULD EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES SSWWD THROUGH AR TO CENTRAL TX BY 12Z MONDAY.
...ARKLATEX TO THE LOWER OH VALLEY...
A SWLY LLJ IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN FROM CENTRAL TX INTO THE OZARKS
THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.
FURTHER STRENGTHENING /50+ KT/ OF THE LLJ IS LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT
FROM ARKLATEX TO LOWER OH VALLEY IN RESPONSE TO STRONGER HEIGHT
FALLS DEVELOPING TOWARD THE MIDWEST WITH THE AMPLIFYING UPPER
TROUGH. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/WARM AIR ADVECTION EXTENDING NEWD FROM
ERN TX AHEAD OF THE PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT WILL AID IN LOWER
TROPOSPHERIC DESTABILIZATION.
THERMODYNAMIC ANALYSIS FOR DAY 2 INDICATES UNCERTAINTY FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF TSTMS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE AREA OF EXPECTED
PRECIPITATION EXTENDING FROM ERN TX/LA THROUGH THE OZARKS TO LOWER
OH VALLEY. MODELS DIFFER IN THE DEPTH OF THE CONVECTION CLOUD
ELEMENTS AND MICROPHYSICS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHTNING. THE 12Z
NAM/09Z NAMKF AND SREF SUGGEST THAT FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL NOT BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO ERODE THE MID LEVEL WARM LAYER CURRENTLY OBSERVED
OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL U.S. TO LOWER OH VALLEY. HOWEVER...IF
STRONGER FORCING DOES DEVELOP AS INDICATED BY THE 12Z GFS DUE TO
GREATER AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER TROUGH...THEN COLD MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ATOP THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/WARM AIR ADVECTION WOULD
SUPPORT ELEVATED TSTMS FROM ARKLATEX TO THE LOWER OH VALLEY.
..PETERS.. 11/22/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1126 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1118 AM SNOW DALLAS CENTER 41.68N 93.98W
11/22/2008 M0.5 INCH DALLAS IA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MS NOV 08
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1120 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1118 AM SNOW ADAIR 41.50N 94.64W
11/22/2008 M4.0 INCH ADAIR IA TRAINED SPOTTER
1118 AM SNOW GUTHRIE CENTER 41.68N 94.50W
11/22/2008 M2.8 INCH GUTHRIE IA TRAINED SPOTTER
1118 AM SNOW 6 N ADAIR 41.59N 94.64W
11/22/2008 M3.5 INCH GUTHRIE IA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MS NOV 08
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
909 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW 2 E WINONA 46.88N 88.86W
11/22/2008 M2.5 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
IN 24 HOURS.
0900 AM SNOW 8 NE NEWBERRY 46.43N 85.37W
11/22/2008 M25.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
2 DAY STORM TOTAL. 11 INCHES IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH
OF 16 INCHES.
&&
$$
SRF
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
856 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0856 AM SNOW 3 ESE ELMIRA 45.05N 84.79W
11/22/2008 M5.0 INCH OTSEGO MI NWS EMPLOYEE
24 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOWDEPTH 9 IN.
&&
$$
KAS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
836 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 PM SNOW 1 WSW MARENISCO 46.38N 89.70W
11/21/2008 E7.0 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER
IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 8 INCHES.
&&
$$
SRF
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
831 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM SNOW 3 NE PIKE LAKE 46.68N 85.37W
11/22/2008 M6.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
IN 24 HOURS. 2.0 INCHES IN LAST 12 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF
16 INCHES.
&&
$$
SRF
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
731 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW SIOUX CITY 42.50N 96.39W
11/22/2008 E0.3 INCH WOODBURY IA TRAINED SPOTTER
0600 AM SNOW HURON 44.36N 98.22W
11/22/2008 M3.5 INCH BEADLE SD TRAINED SPOTTER
0630 AM SNOW 3 SSE SIOUX FALLS 43.50N 96.71W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH MINNEHAHA SD TRAINED SPOTTER
0700 AM SNOW BROOKINGS 44.31N 96.79W
11/22/2008 E1.5 INCH BROOKINGS SD LAW ENFORCEMENT
0700 AM SNOW SIOUX FALLS 43.54N 96.73W
11/22/2008 M0.9 INCH MINNEHAHA SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS
0715 AM SNOW WHITE LAKE 43.73N 98.71W
11/22/2008 M2.5 INCH AURORA SD CO-OP OBSERVER
0728 AM SNOW WORTHINGTON 43.63N 95.60W
11/22/2008 M0.6 INCH NOBLES MN CO-OP OBSERVER
0728 AM SNOW ROCK VALLEY 43.20N 96.30W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
CJANSEN
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
716 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0715 AM SNOW WHITE LAKE 43.73N 98.71W
11/22/2008 M2.5 INCH AURORA SD CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
CJANSEN
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
816 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0759 AM SNOW SAULT STE. MARIE 46.48N 84.37W
11/22/2008 M5.7 INCH CHIPPEWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER
13 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.
&&
$$
KAS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
710 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW HURON 44.36N 98.22W
11/22/2008 M3.5 INCH BEADLE SD TRAINED SPOTTER
0600 AM SNOW SIOUX CITY 42.50N 96.39W
11/22/2008 E0.3 INCH WOODBURY IA TRAINED SPOTTER
0630 AM SNOW 3 SSE SIOUX FALLS 43.50N 96.71W
11/22/2008 M1.0 INCH MINNEHAHA SD TRAINED SPOTTER
0700 AM SNOW SIOUX FALLS 43.54N 96.73W
11/22/2008 M0.9 INCH MINNEHAHA SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS
&&
$$
CJANSEN
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
803 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0759 AM SNOW 9 SSW GAYLORD 44.91N 84.74W
11/22/2008 M3.7 INCH OTSEGO MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 8 IN.
&&
$$
KAS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
802 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0759 AM SNOW GAYLORD 45.03N 84.67W
11/22/2008 M6.2 INCH OTSEGO MI NWS EMPLOYEE
24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 8 IN.
&&
$$
KAS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
800 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0759 AM SNOW ALBA 45.00N 84.90W
11/22/2008 M3.0 INCH ANTRIM MI TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 11 IN.
&&
$$
KAS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
800 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 AM SNOW 1 WSW MUNISING 46.41N 86.66W
11/22/2008 M5.0 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 10 INCHES.
0700 AM SNOW 1 N NEWBERRY 46.37N 85.51W
11/22/2008 M2.5 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 14 INCHES.
&&
$$
SRF
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
VALID 221300Z - 231200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
PATTERN WILL DEAMPLIFY SOMEWHAT OVER THE LWR 48 THIS PERIOD AS DEEP
NEW ENG SYSTEM RETREATS NNE INTO QUEBEC...AND UPSTREAM DISTURBANCES
NOW OVER THE PACIFIC NW AND UPR MS VLY CONTINUE ESE AND WEAKEN.
POTENTIAL FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION CAPABLE OF GENERATING LIGHTNING
WILL REMAIN MINIMAL UNTIL LATER SUNDAY AS THE PACIFIC NW SYSTEM
REACHES THE MS VLY AND PARTLY PHASES WITH AN IMPULSE OF CANADIAN
ORIGIN. MOISTURE RETURN ON WRN SIDE OF LARGE OH/TN VLY SFC RIDGE
WILL BE LIMITED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AND CONFINED TO CNTRL/E TX.
..CORFIDI/BOTHWELL.. 11/22/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
722 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 2 SSW MCMILLAN 46.30N 85.69W
11/22/2008 M4.2 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 12 INCHES.
0707 AM SNOW 2 NNW SNYDER LAKE 46.51N 85.96W
11/22/2008 M5.0 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 12 INCHES.
&&
$$
SRF
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0246 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
VALID 251200Z - 301200Z
...DISCUSSION...
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL TUE NOV 25TH AND WED NOV 26TH
AS MOSTLY STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS THE CONUS IN THE WAKE OF
A DEEP LOW MOVING OUT OF NEW ENGLAND AND AN UPPER RIDGE COVERING
MUCH OF THE CONUS.
THEREAFTER...THE PAST SEVERAL ECMWF AND MREF RUNS HAVE BEEN IN VERY
GOOD AGREEMENT OF SHOWING A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING EWD
FROM THE SWRN STATES INTO THE SRN PLAINS NOV 27/28. THE 00Z MREF
CONTINUES THAT SAME TREND...WHILE THE 00Z ECMWF IS AN OUTLIER FROM
PREVIOUS ECMWF RUNS AND MREF. ALTHOUGH LATEST ECMWF SUGGESTS A LOWER
THREAT FOR SEVERE...MREF AND PREVIOUS RUNS SUGGEST A LOW THREAT FOR
SEVERE STORMS ACROSS TX DAY 6 AND/OR 7 AS GULF MOISTURE INCREASES
AHEAD OF APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. HOWEVER... UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE LOCATION/SPEED OF UPPER TROUGH AND DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY PRECLUDE A SEVERE WEATHER AREA ATTM.
..IMY.. 11/22/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
106 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0705 PM SNOW BISMARCK 46.81N 100.78W
11/21/2008 M1.2 INCH BURLEIGH ND NWS EMPLOYEE
AT BISMARCK WFO
&&
$$
KBIRK
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2008
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH AXIS FROM THE WRN GREAT LAKES SWD INTO THE MID MS
VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY ESEWD INTO THE ERN CONUS ON MONDAY
...AS AN 80-100 KT MID LEVEL JET MOVES SEWD ALONG THE SWRN SIDE OF
THE TROUGH. CONVECTION SHOULD BE ONGOING DURING THE MORNING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE WRN TN/LOWER OH VALLEYS SWD INTO NRN MS/AL...WITHIN
ZONE OF LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND LARGE SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED
WITH UPPER TROUGH. ALTHOUGH LIFT IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD
PCPN EXPANDING EWD INTO THE ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES...THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE SHOULD DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS THE PCPN SPREADS INTO AN
INCREASINGLY STABLE ENVIRONMENT. STORMS THAT DO OCCUR ARE EXPECTED
TO BE BASED BETWEEN 850-900 MB...WITH MUCAPES AOB 200 J/KG. THE WEAK
INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS.
..IMY.. 11/22/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2008
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH LOCATED FROM MANITOBA/SASKATCHEWAN SWD INTO THE NRN
ROCKIES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY SEWD AND EXTEND
FROM THE WRN GREAT LAKES SWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BY EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. THE STRONGEST UVV/S WILL BE LOCATED ALONG THE SRN PORTION
OF THE TROUGH...IN ASSOCIATION WITH A 70-80 KT MID LEVEL JET. A WEAK
COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH AND SHOULD STRETCH
ROUGHLY FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES SSWWD THROUGH AR AND INTO
ERN/SRN TX BY DAYBREAK MONDAY.
...ARKLATEX NEWD INTO THE WRN LOWER OH VALLEY...
CIRCULATION AROUND A LARGE SURFACE ANTICYCLONE...LOCATED IN THE
CAROLINAS...WILL STRENGTHEN THE SLY FLOW AND ADVECT MODIFIED GULF
MOISTURE NWD INTO TX/OK DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH WILL INDUCE A 50-60 KT LOW LEVEL JET TO DEVELOP ACROSS
PORTIONS OF ERN TX/OK LATE SUNDAY...AND THEN EXPAND NEWD INTO THE
TN/LOWER OH VALLEYS OVERNIGHT. WARM ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
LOW LEVEL JET AND UPPER JET/LARGE SCALE LIFTING SHOULD PROVIDE A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE SEWD MOVING COLD FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT. A RELATIVELY COOL AND
STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGESTS THE CONVECTIVE PARCELS WILL BE LIFTED
FROM AROUND 900 MB...WITH MUCAPES RANGING AROUND 100-300 J/KG.
ALTHOUGH FAIRLY STRONG AND VEERING WIND PROFILES WILL RESULT IN DEEP
LAYER SHEAR NEAR 50 KT...THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND POOR MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT A SEVERE POTENTIAL.
..IMY.. 11/22/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2008
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE WNWLY FLOW REGIME WILL NOT PROVE PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE
FOR MOIST DEEP CONVECTION...CAPABLE OF GENERATING LIGHTNING...UNTIL
LATER IN THE DAY2 PERIOD AS UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGS SEWD TOWARD
THE MS VALLEY. MOISTURE RETURN AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF DOMINANT SFC
ANTICYCLONE SHOULD BE DELAYED UNTIL LATER ON SUNDAY WHEN LARGE SCALE
ASCENT AND GREATER BUOYANCY SHOULD ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
..DARROW.. 11/22/2008
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
