KREV [280342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 280342
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
842 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E GARDNERVILLE 38.94N 119.65W
03/27/2012 M60.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0757 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW GARDNERVILLE 38.91N 119.83W
03/27/2012 M62.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KAPX [280333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 280333
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1133 PM EDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1128 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 W GREILICKVILLE 44.80N 85.71W
03/27/2012 M48 MPH LEELANAU MI BROADCAST MEDIA

ASSOCIATED WITH LINE OF SHOWERS

&&

$$

JZ

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KMFR [280234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 280234
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
731 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 SW WEED 41.37N 122.43W
03/27/2012 M6.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER SY39 7AM-7PM .76 WATER
EQUIVALENT EVENT DURATION 720 MINUTES.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KMFR [280144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 280144
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
637 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE SELMA 42.27N 123.57W
03/27/2012 M1.15 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER JO61 EVENT DURATION 1440
MINUTES.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0370

ACUS11 KWNS 280143
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280143
INZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-280345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0370
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0843 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NRN/WRN IL...EXTREME NERN/N-CENTRAL
KS...EXTREME NWRN INDIANA...WRN/NRN MO...EXTREME SERN IA...EXTREME
SRN LM.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 280143Z - 280345Z

GRADUAL DEEPENING OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN NOTED IN PREFRONTAL BAND
FROM N-CENTRAL IL TO NERN MO...WITH POTENTIAL MOVEMENT ACROSS SRN LM
REGION AND POSSIBLE BACKBUILDING TOWARD KS/MO BORDER REGION DURING
NEXT FEW HOURS. OCNL SVR HAIL OR DAMAGING GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.

01Z SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWED COLD FRONT FROM E-CENTRAL WI SWWD ACROSS
DBQ/OTM/STJ AREAS. WARM FRONT WAS DRAWN FROM ERN WI SSEWD ACROSS
CHI AREA TO NEAR SDF...HOWEVER RELATIVELY DRY SFC AIR WITH MID-UPPER
40S F DEW POINTS EXTENDED W OF WARM FRONT OVER ERN IL. GIVEN SWLY
FLOW ON BOTH SIDES OF COLD FRONT...FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WAS
WEAK...AND SHOULD REMAIN SO THROUGH AT LEAST 04Z. HOWEVER...SFC
CONFLUENCE LINE WAS EVIDENT OVER W-CENTRAL/N-CENTRAL IL. THOUGH AT
OBLIQUE ANGLE TO DEVELOPING CONVECTION...STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL LIFT
APPEARS TO BE NEAR SFC CONFLUENCE ZONE. MOIST AXIS WAS DRAWN ABOUT
35-45 NM AHEAD OF FRONT OVER MOST OF AREA. 850 AND 925 MB UPPER AIR
CHARTS SHOWED MOIST AXES AT THOSE LEVELS NEARLY COLLOCATED FROM
PNC-MKC-PIA. 00Z UPPER AIR CHARTS AND LATEST VWP/PROFILER WINDS
INDICATED LLJ AXIS SLIGHTLY FARTHER S NEAR OKC-COU-SBN LINE.

CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF FRONT...ALONG SRN FRINGE OF
LOW-LEVEL MOIST PLUME...S OF MOIST AXES AND N OF LLJ. MOIST
ADVECTION...AND INCREASING ISENTROPIC ASCENT...SHOULD HELP TO
MAINTAIN THIS ACTIVITY AND PERHAPS INCREASE COVERAGE...WHILE BAND
TRANSLATES EWD 20-25 KT AND EMBEDDED CELLS MOVE FASTER NEWD.
MODIFIED DVN/ILX/TOP/SGF RAOBS...ORD ACARS SOUNDING AND RUC FCST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE NEAR MOIST AXIS...BUT ALSO
INCREASING MLCINH LIKELY WITH EVENING DIABATIC COOLING NEAR SFC.
THIS WILL MAKE DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL MORE CONDITIONAL/MRGL WITH
TIME. MEANWHILE NEARLY PARALLEL NATURE OF MEAN FLOW TO CONVECTIVE
PLUME SUPPORTS QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE...LIKELY LIMITING THREAT
FOR SIGNIFICANT SVR HAIL. NONETHELESS...PRESENCE OF FAVORABLE
BUOYANCY ATOP MOISTURE PLUME...AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES
RANGING FROM AROUND 50 KT OVER NRN IL TO 35 KT NEAR MKC...WILL
SUPPORT SOME POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION WITH SPORADIC SVR.
THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH SEWD OVER E-CENTRAL IL AND NRN INDIANA INTO
PROGRESSIVELY WEAKER LOW-LEVEL THETAE.

..EDWARDS.. 03/28/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON 39399540 42418725 41048727 38139546 39399540

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KMFR [280137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 280137
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
636 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM HEAVY RAIN KERBY 42.19N 123.65W
03/27/2012 M1.19 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER JO22 EVENT DURATION 1440
MINUTES.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KMFR [280135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 280135
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
634 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSW OBRIEN 42.05N 123.71W
03/27/2012 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER JO36 SINCE MIDNIGHT

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KAMA [280058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KAMA 280058
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
758 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0758 PM HAIL FOUR WAY 35.69N 101.96W
03/26/2012 E0.75 INCH MOORE TX STORM CHASER

0842 PM HAIL 1 SSE DUMAS 35.85N 101.96W
03/26/2012 E0.88 INCH MOORE TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0845 PM HAIL 1 SE DUMAS 35.85N 101.95W
03/26/2012 M1.00 INCH MOORE TX PUBLIC

DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR DUMAS

0845 PM HAIL 1 SSE DUMAS 35.85N 101.96W
03/26/2012 M1.00 INCH MOORE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORTS OF PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL RECEIVED FROM SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST OF DUMAS

0930 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 15 SW PERRYTON 36.24N 100.99W
03/26/2012 OCHILTREE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

BARN ROOF BLOWN OFF AND INTO SOME POWER LINES AT THE
INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 376 AND 759. SEVERAL POWER POLES
DOWN IN THIS AREA.

0930 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 8 SSW SPEARMAN 36.09N 101.25W
03/26/2012 HANSFORD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SOUTH SIDE OF A COTTON GIN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 51 AND COUNTY ROAD 23 WAS REMOVED. TIN WAS BLOWN
ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF A MILE. SEVERAL POWER
POLES KNOCKED DOWN AT SAME LOCATION. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
RADAR.

1047 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 7 WSW BOOKER 36.42N 100.66W
03/26/2012 OCHILTREE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

8 POWER POLES KNOCKED DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200175 AMA1200176 AMA1200180 AMA1200182 AMA1200178
AMA1200179 AMA1200181

$$

LG

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KSTO [280048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 280048
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
547 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW SIMS 41.06N 122.36W
03/27/2012 M3.63 INCH SHASTA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

MONTHLY RAINFALL TOTAL NOW 17.01 EVENT
DURATION 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 280041
SWODY1
SPC AC 280039

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0739 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NRN MO INTO CNTRL IL AND
WRN INDIANA...

...NRN MO INTO CNTRL IL AND WRN INDIANA...
CONVECTION HAS BEEN SLOW TO FORM ALONG A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH
NOW FROM SRN WI SWWD INTO NRN MO. VISIBLE IMAGERY DOES INDICATE SOME
DEEPER CU FORMING OVER NWRN IL...BUT WEAK FORCING IS HAVING TROUBLE
OVERCOMING CAPPING. STILL...COOLING ALOFT WILL PERSIST AS THE UPPER
TROUGH PASSES TO THE N...AND SEVERAL MODELS INSIST ON CONVECTION
THIS EVENING FROM NRN MO INTO IL. HODOGRAPHS WOULD FAVOR SUPERCELLS
WITH MAINLY A LARGE HAIL THREAT. RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AND
MODERATE FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS SUGGESTS STRONG WIND GUST POTENTIAL
AS WELL.

...SW TX...
A SMALL MCS CONTINUES TO DRIFT SEWD OVER BREWSTER AND TERRELL
COUNTIES AND SHOULD PERSIST FOR A WHILE LONGER WITH ESTABLISHED COLD
POOL MOVING INTO AN UNSTABLE AIR MASS. THE DRT SOUNDING INDICATES
SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY BUT LACK OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR A
MORE SUSTAINED WIND AND HAIL THREAT. FOR MORE INFORMATION SEE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 369.

...CNTRL/WRN KS OVERNIGHT...
THE 00Z DDC SOUNDING SHOWS RATHER STEEP MID TO UPPER LEVEL LAPSE
RATES IN PLACE WITH MODERATE WLY FLOW ALOFT AND WEAKLY VEERING LOW
LEVELS. WITH MID TO UPPER 50S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS SLOWLY
ADVECTING NWD OVERNIGHT...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. IF THEY DO FORM BEFORE 12Z...THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF LARGE
HAIL.

..JEWELL.. 03/28/2012

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KMFR [280016]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 280016
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
516 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.73W
03/27/2012 M0.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0369

ACUS11 KWNS 272356
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272355
TXZ000-280130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0369
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS...EDWARDS
PLATEAU...AND TRANS-PECOS REGION OF TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 272355Z - 280130Z

A THREAT FOR ISOLATED SVR STORMS WILL EXIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOW
ROLLING PLAINS...EDWARDS PLATEAU...AND TRANS-PECOS REGION OF TX THIS
EVENING. A WW IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE REQUIRED.

A SMALL...FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS THAT DEVELOPED OVER THE
TRANS-PECOS REGION WILL MOVE SEWD OVER SRN SECTIONS OF THE EDWARDS
PLATEAU ADJACENT TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER THIS EVENING...AND
POTENTIALLY PERSIST INTO THE NIGHT. THIS MCS IS ACCOMPANIED BY A
WELL-DEFINED COLD POOL...WITH PRESSURE RISES IN EXCESS OF 5 MB PER 2
HRS NOTED OVER SWRN TX IN THE WAKE OF THE LEADING CONVECTIVE LINE.
HEAVY RAINFALL...PARTICULARLY AS IT ENTERS RICHER TROPOSPHERIC
MOISTURE CURRENTLY TO ITS EAST PER GPS PW DATA...WILL BE OF
INCREASING CONCERN. WHILE THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE MCS IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ONLY MODEST...ISOLATED INSTANCES OF DMGG WIND GUSTS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT OWING TO THE SYSTEM-ENHANCED COLD POOL CIRCULATION.

FARTHER NORTH...CONVECTION WILL BE MORE ISOLATED.
HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ALONG A DRYLINE ORIENTED NNE-SSW ACROSS
PARTS OF WRN TX HAS BEEN SUFFICIENT FOR THE RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF
ISOLATED CONVECTION OVER PORTIONS OF REAGAN COUNTY. ONE OR TWO
ADDITIONAL STORMS COULD DEVELOP AS HORIZONTAL DENSITY CONTRASTS
ACROSS THE DRYLINE INCREASE IN TANDEM WITH NOCTURNAL COOLING BEFORE
CINH INCREASES SUBSTANTIALLY. MODERATE INSTABILITY EAST OF THE
DRYLINE WILL ALLOW THIS CONVECTION TO PERSIST FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO. AND...WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDES OF 30-35 KT
/ENHANCED MAINLY BY MODERATE HIGH LEVEL FLOW ATOP WEAKER LOW- AND
MID-LEVEL FLOW/...LOCALIZED CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION WITH ATTENDANT
THREATS OF ISOLATED SVR HAIL/WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL LIKELY DIMINISH AFTER 02Z OWING TO NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION.

..COHEN.. 03/27/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 32510087 32550029 32220003 31740018 30750018 29899981
29140009 28950070 29360236 29820281 30880235 31600178
32100144 32510087

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KSTO [272317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 272317
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
417 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 W CENTRAL VALLEY 40.68N 122.39W
03/27/2012 M1.97 INCH SHASTA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER SH40 EVENT DURATION 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KABR [272143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 272143
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
443 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM TSTM WND GST 9 S KELDRON 45.80N 101.81W
03/26/2012 E70 MPH CORSON SD PUBLIC

ESTIMATED 70 MPH WINDS AROUND 900 PM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1200074

$$

TROGDON

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KMFR [272109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 272109
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
209 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0206 PM SNOW ESE MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.31W
03/27/2012 M5.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY WET SNOW. TEMPERATURE 32 DEGREES. SNOWING FOR THE
PAST 15 HOURS.

&&

$$

SARGEANT

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0368

ACUS11 KWNS 272104
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272103
TXZ000-272230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0368
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0403 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SW TEXAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 272103Z - 272230Z

LITTLE SUBSTANTIVE LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION
APPEARS LIKELY TO IMPACT THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AREA HAS RESULTED IN
SIGNIFICANT RECENT STORM DEVELOPMENT. BENEATH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...SURFACE HEATING HAS YIELDED MODERATELY LARGE MIXED LAYER
CAPE OF 2000+ J/KG...SUPPORTIVE OF VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING AT LEAST MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. EVAPORATIVE COOLING
ASSOCIATED WITH SIZABLE LOWER/MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURE-DEW POINT
SPREADS MAY ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO A LOCALIZED DOWNBURST OR TWO. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN WEAK...BUT MODEST SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
BENEATH LIGHT WESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW MAY TEND TO ALLOW FOR EAST
SOUTHEASTWARD PROPAGATION OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AS SURFACE COLD
POOLS CONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN. IF LIFT ALONG THE GUST FRONT IS
ABLE TO OVERCOME MID-LEVEL INHIBITION AND MAINTAIN CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT...ACTIVITY COULD APPROACH THE SANDERSON AREA WITH A RISK
FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS TOWARD 23-01Z.

..KERR.. 03/27/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...

LAT...LON 30400348 30740245 30710190 29970194 29780224 29720312
29790342 30060350 30400348

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0367

ACUS11 KWNS 272058
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272058
WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-272300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0367
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN IA/SOUTHERN WI/NORTHWEST IL/NORTHEAST MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 272058Z - 272300Z

MONITORING FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT...WHICH COULD INITIALLY
OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION INTO THE 23Z-02Z TIME FRAME. A
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

A WEAK COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MAKE A GRADUAL EASTWARD PROGRESSION
TOWARD THE UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY AT MID AFTERNOON WITHIN A
NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED CORRIDOR FROM WESTERN WI TO
SOUTH-CENTRAL IA/NORTHWEST MO. MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH
SURFACE DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE 50S F...OTHERWISE CONTINUES TO
STEADILY INCREASE WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD EXTENT IMMEDIATELY AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. NEAR/AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
REMAINS MODEST AS WINDS AT/JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE HAVE CONTINUED TO
VEER PER SURFACE OBSERVATIONS/REGIONAL DERIVED WIND DATA.
HOWEVER...A LOW-AMPLITUDE EASTWARD-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH/SPEED MAX
CURRENTLY OVER SD/SOUTHWEST MN PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MAY PROVIDE
AN IMPETUS FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AS INHIBITION OTHERWISE CONTINUES TO ERODE
WITHIN THE MODESTLY MOIST NEAR-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR.

WHILE CONFIDENCE IN CONVECTIVE DETAILS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY
HIGH...AN ASSORTMENT OF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE INCLUDING A NUMBER OF 15Z
SREF MEMBERS IMPLY THAT SUCH DEVELOPMENT WILL BE MORE PROBABLE INTO
THE 23Z-02Z TIME FRAME ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR EASTERN IA/FAR
NORTHWEST IL AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTHERN MO...ALTHOUGH A GRADUAL
DEEPENING OF THE CUMULUS FIELD HAS BEEN NOTED AS FAR NORTHEAST AS
SOUTHWEST WI AT MID-AFTERNOON. IF/WHERE DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
DOES OCCUR INTO THIS EVENING...STRONG EFFECTIVE SHEAR /45-50 KT OR
GREATER/ WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED/SUSTAINED STORMS INCLUDING INITIAL
MODE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL/PERHAPS A TORNADO...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS A POSSIBILITY AS WELL. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WATCH.

..GUYER.. 03/27/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...

LAT...LON 41099298 42569163 43789064 43698967 42328921 40329133
41099298

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KUNR [272012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KUNR 272012
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
211 PM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 N WRIGHT 43.94N 105.50W
03/26/2012 M72.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY WYOMING DOT OBSERVATION SITE BETWEEN 300 PM
AND 400 PM MDT.

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 17 SW WRIGHT 43.58N 105.74W
03/26/2012 M59.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY WYOMING DOT OBSERVATION SITE BETWEEN 300 PM
AND 400 PM AT PINE TREE JUNCTION.

0406 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 16 WSW DOWNTOWN GILLETT 44.20N 105.80W
03/26/2012 M62.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY WYOMING DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNW DOWNTOWN GILLETTE 44.36N 105.54W
03/26/2012 M64.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY OFFICIAL NWS OBS

REPORTED AT GILLETTE AIRPORT BY NWS ASOS.

0446 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PINE HAVEN 44.35N 104.81W
03/26/2012 M55.00 MPH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

WINDS SUSTAINED FROM 45 TO 50 MPH FOR ONE MINUTE.

0451 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE ECHETA 44.47N 105.83W
03/26/2012 M68.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY OTHER FEDERAL

REPORTED BY USFS RAWS OBSERVATION SITE.

0452 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNE UPTON 44.17N 104.59W
03/26/2012 E50.00 MPH WESTON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND GST HILL CITY 43.93N 103.57W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 25 NNE WESTON 44.97N 105.14W
03/26/2012 M59.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNW FAIRBURN 43.75N 103.24W
03/26/2012 E80.00 MPH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0535 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 E DOWNTOWN HOT SPRING 43.43N 103.36W
03/26/2012 M60.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD AWOS

0535 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 6 E DOWNTOWN HOT SPRING 43.43N 103.36W
03/26/2012 M46.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD AWOS

0537 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S DOWNTOWN HOT SPRING 43.42N 103.48W
03/26/2012 M54.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0540 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW DOWNTOWN CUSTER 43.74N 103.62W
03/26/2012 M62.00 MPH CUSTER SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

REPORTED BY ASOS AT CUSTER AIRPORT.

0543 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH 44.50N 103.96W
03/26/2012 M60.00 MPH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SE FOLSOM 43.80N 102.81W
03/26/2012 E70.00 MPH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 NW ROCKYPOINT 44.99N 105.20W
03/26/2012 M79.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0616 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E PINE RIDGE 43.03N 102.52W
03/26/2012 M64.00 MPH SHANNON SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

REPORTED BY ASOS AT PINE RIDGE AIRPORT.

0631 PM TSTM WND GST RAPID CITY AIRPORT 44.04N 103.06W
03/26/2012 M58.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD ASOS

0640 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SW BATESLAND 43.05N 102.21W
03/26/2012 M55.00 MPH SHANNON SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY SOUTH DAKOTA DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0640 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S WALL 43.88N 102.24W
03/26/2012 M65.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD OTHER FEDERAL

REPORTED BY AUTOMATED USFS RAWS OBSERVATION AT PINNACLES.

0641 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE PORCUPINE 43.28N 102.26W
03/26/2012 M68.00 MPH SHANNON SD OTHER FEDERAL

USFS RAWS OBSERVATION

0645 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NW WALL 44.00N 102.25W
03/26/2012 M60.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD OTHER FEDERAL

REPORTED BY AUTOMATED AWOS AT WALL AIRPORT.

0650 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 W DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH 44.50N 104.02W
03/26/2012 M54.00 MPH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0650 PM NON-TSTM WND GST INTERIOR 43.73N 101.98W
03/26/2012 E80.00 MPH JACKSON SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0700 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW WASTA 44.10N 102.49W
03/26/2012 M63.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY SOUTH DAKOTA DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0705 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E COTTONWOOD 43.96N 101.86W
03/26/2012 M58.00 MPH JACKSON SD MESONET

0710 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 E CACTUS FLAT 43.84N 101.82W
03/26/2012 M52.00 MPH JACKSON SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY SOUTH DAKOTA DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0710 PM NON-TSTM WND GST UNION CENTER 44.56N 102.67W
03/26/2012 M61.00 MPH MEADE SD MESONET

0719 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PHILIP 44.05N 101.67W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH HAAKON SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

0720 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BEULAH 44.53N 104.08W
03/26/2012 M57.00 MPH CROOK WY MESONET

0720 PM HIGH SUST WINDS BEULAH 44.53N 104.08W
03/26/2012 M41.00 MPH CROOK WY MESONET

0720 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH 44.50N 103.96W
03/26/2012 M66.00 MPH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0731 PM TSTM WND GST 7 SSW PLAINVIEW 44.52N 102.21W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0746 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PHILIP 44.05N 101.67W
03/26/2012 M61.00 MPH HAAKON SD ASOS

MEASUREMENT TAKEN FROM KPHP ASOS.

0750 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 10 NE BELVIDERE 43.94N 101.13W
03/26/2012 M44.00 MPH JACKSON SD MESONET

0750 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 NE BELVIDERE 43.94N 101.13W
03/26/2012 M55.00 MPH JACKSON SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY SOUTH DAKOTA DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SE MUD BUTTE 44.93N 102.77W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH 44.45N 103.85W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN

0915 PM NON-TSTM WND GST HOOVER 45.11N 103.27W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH BUTTE SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0939 PM TSTM WND GST WINNER 43.37N 99.86W
03/26/2012 M53.00 MPH TRIPP SD ASOS

1000 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 3 NNE DEVILS TOWER JUNC 44.54N 104.67W
03/26/2012 M43.00 MPH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SW ROCHELLE 43.52N 105.06W
03/26/2012 M59.00 MPH WESTON WY MESONET

ROCHELLE HILLS RAWS

1026 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N PIEDMONT 44.25N 103.40W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD NWS EMPLOYEE

1051 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE ECHETA 44.47N 105.83W
03/26/2012 M56.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY MESONET

1150 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PROVO 43.19N 103.83W
03/26/2012 E70.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

1215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 SE DOWNTOWN HOT SPRIN 43.37N 103.40W
03/27/2012 M66.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD AWOS

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SE RALPH 45.68N 102.89W
03/27/2012 E60.00 MPH PERKINS SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1249 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E PINE RIDGE 43.03N 102.52W
03/27/2012 M58.00 MPH SHANNON SD ASOS

1257 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 NE EDGEMONT 43.40N 103.69W
03/27/2012 M56.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD MESONET

RED CANYON RAWS

0110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E PINE RIDGE 43.03N 102.52W
03/27/2012 M67.00 MPH SHANNON SD ASOS

0130 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SW BATESLAND 43.05N 102.21W
03/27/2012 M70.00 MPH SHANNON SD MESONET

0141 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE PORCUPINE 43.28N 102.26W
03/27/2012 M74.00 MPH SHANNON SD MESONET

PORCUPINE RAWS

0150 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE MARTIN 43.16N 101.72W
03/27/2012 M56.00 MPH BENNETT SD MESONET

MARTIN SDSU SITE

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MARTIN 43.17N 101.73W
03/27/2012 M63.00 MPH BENNETT SD MESONET

0215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE MARTIN 43.17N 101.71W
03/27/2012 M57.00 MPH BENNETT SD AWOS

0220 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 W PARMELEE 43.32N 101.14W
03/27/2012 M61.00 MPH TODD SD MESONET

MAGPIE CREEK RAWS

0255 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE FAITH 45.04N 102.02W
03/27/2012 M55.00 MPH PERKINS SD ASOS

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE CEDAR BUTTE 43.60N 101.01W
03/27/2012 E60.00 MPH MELLETTE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0355 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSW SOUTH EAGLE BUTTE 44.98N 101.24W
03/27/2012 M55.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD AWOS

0355 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 1 WSW SOUTH EAGLE BUTTE 44.98N 101.25W
03/27/2012 M41.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD AWOS

0413 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MOUNT RUSHMORE 43.88N 103.45W
03/27/2012 M50.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD MESONET

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 NW FAITH 45.10N 102.15W
03/27/2012 M0.47 INCH PERKINS SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 ESE GLAD VALLEY 45.36N 101.64W
03/27/2012 M0.58 INCH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 3 SSE HARDING 45.36N 103.81W
03/27/2012 E40.00 MPH HARDING SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

THIS TABLE LISTS THE REPORTS BY HAIL SIZE OR WIND SPEED OR RAIN
AMOUNT...AND MAY NOT NECESSARILY BE THE FINAL HAIL SIZE OR WIND
SPEED OR RAIN AMOUNT FOR THAT LOCATION.

TSTM WIND REPORTS LISTED BY SPEED (MPH)

SPEED LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
60.00 7 SSW PLAINVIEW SD MEADE 0731 PM
58.00 RAPID CITY AIRPORT SD PENNINGTON 0631 PM
53.00 WINNER SD TRIPP 0939 PM

RAIN AMOUNTS (INCHES)

AMOUNT LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
0.58 7 ESE GLAD VALLEY SD ZIEBACH 0500 AM
0.47 8 NW FAITH SD PERKINS 0500 AM

$$

KEWY

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KUNR [272011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KUNR 272011
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
211 PM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 N WRIGHT 43.94N 105.50W
03/26/2012 M72.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY WYOMING DOT OBSERVATION SITE BETWEEN 300 PM
AND 400 PM MDT.

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 17 SW WRIGHT 43.58N 105.74W
03/26/2012 M59.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY WYOMING DOT OBSERVATION SITE BETWEEN 300 PM
AND 400 PM AT PINE TREE JUNCTION.

0406 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 16 WSW DOWNTOWN GILLETT 44.20N 105.80W
03/26/2012 M62.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY WYOMING DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNW DOWNTOWN GILLETTE 44.36N 105.54W
03/26/2012 M64.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY OFFICIAL NWS OBS

REPORTED AT GILLETTE AIRPORT BY NWS ASOS.

0446 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PINE HAVEN 44.35N 104.81W
03/26/2012 M55.00 MPH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

WINDS SUSTAINED FROM 45 TO 50 MPH FOR ONE MINUTE.

0451 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE ECHETA 44.47N 105.83W
03/26/2012 M68.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY OTHER FEDERAL

REPORTED BY USFS RAWS OBSERVATION SITE.

0452 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNE UPTON 44.17N 104.59W
03/26/2012 E50.00 MPH WESTON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND GST HILL CITY 43.93N 103.57W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 25 NNE WESTON 44.97N 105.14W
03/26/2012 M59.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNW FAIRBURN 43.75N 103.24W
03/26/2012 E80.00 MPH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0535 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 E DOWNTOWN HOT SPRING 43.43N 103.36W
03/26/2012 M60.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD AWOS

0535 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 6 E DOWNTOWN HOT SPRING 43.43N 103.36W
03/26/2012 M46.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD AWOS

0537 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S DOWNTOWN HOT SPRING 43.42N 103.48W
03/26/2012 M54.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0540 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW DOWNTOWN CUSTER 43.74N 103.62W
03/26/2012 M62.00 MPH CUSTER SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

REPORTED BY ASOS AT CUSTER AIRPORT.

0543 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH 44.50N 103.96W
03/26/2012 M60.00 MPH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SE FOLSOM 43.80N 102.81W
03/26/2012 E70.00 MPH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 NW ROCKYPOINT 44.99N 105.20W
03/26/2012 M79.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0616 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E PINE RIDGE 43.03N 102.52W
03/26/2012 M64.00 MPH SHANNON SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

REPORTED BY ASOS AT PINE RIDGE AIRPORT.

0631 PM TSTM WND GST RAPID CITY AIRPORT 44.04N 103.06W
03/26/2012 M58.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD ASOS

0640 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SW BATESLAND 43.05N 102.21W
03/26/2012 M55.00 MPH SHANNON SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY SOUTH DAKOTA DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0640 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S WALL 43.88N 102.24W
03/26/2012 M65.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD OTHER FEDERAL

REPORTED BY AUTOMATED USFS RAWS OBSERVATION AT PINNACLES.

0641 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE PORCUPINE 43.28N 102.26W
03/26/2012 M68.00 MPH SHANNON SD OTHER FEDERAL

USFS RAWS OBSERVATION

0645 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NW WALL 44.00N 102.25W
03/26/2012 M60.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD OTHER FEDERAL

REPORTED BY AUTOMATED AWOS AT WALL AIRPORT.

0650 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 W DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH 44.50N 104.02W
03/26/2012 M54.00 MPH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0650 PM NON-TSTM WND GST INTERIOR 43.73N 101.98W
03/26/2012 E80.00 MPH JACKSON SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0700 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW WASTA 44.10N 102.49W
03/26/2012 M63.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY SOUTH DAKOTA DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0705 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E COTTONWOOD 43.96N 101.86W
03/26/2012 M58.00 MPH JACKSON SD MESONET

0710 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 E CACTUS FLAT 43.84N 101.82W
03/26/2012 M52.00 MPH JACKSON SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY SOUTH DAKOTA DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0710 PM NON-TSTM WND GST UNION CENTER 44.56N 102.67W
03/26/2012 M61.00 MPH MEADE SD MESONET

0719 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PHILIP 44.05N 101.67W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH HAAKON SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

0720 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BEULAH 44.53N 104.08W
03/26/2012 M57.00 MPH CROOK WY MESONET

0720 PM HIGH SUST WINDS BEULAH 44.53N 104.08W
03/26/2012 M41.00 MPH CROOK WY MESONET

0720 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH 44.50N 103.96W
03/26/2012 M66.00 MPH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0731 PM TSTM WND GST 7 SSW PLAINVIEW 44.52N 102.21W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0746 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PHILIP 44.05N 101.67W
03/26/2012 M61.00 MPH HAAKON SD ASOS

MEASUREMENT TAKEN FROM KPHP ASOS.

0750 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 10 NE BELVIDERE 43.94N 101.13W
03/26/2012 M44.00 MPH JACKSON SD MESONET

0750 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 NE BELVIDERE 43.94N 101.13W
03/26/2012 M55.00 MPH JACKSON SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY SOUTH DAKOTA DOT OBSERVATION SITE.

0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SE MUD BUTTE 44.93N 102.77W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH 44.45N 103.85W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN

0915 PM NON-TSTM WND GST HOOVER 45.11N 103.27W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH BUTTE SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0939 PM TSTM WND GST WINNER 43.37N 99.86W
03/26/2012 M53.00 MPH TRIPP SD ASOS

1000 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 3 NNE DEVILS TOWER JUNC 44.54N 104.67W
03/26/2012 M43.00 MPH CROOK WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SW ROCHELLE 43.52N 105.06W
03/26/2012 M59.00 MPH WESTON WY MESONET

ROCHELLE HILLS RAWS

1026 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N PIEDMONT 44.25N 103.40W
03/26/2012 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD NWS EMPLOYEE

1051 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE ECHETA 44.47N 105.83W
03/26/2012 M56.00 MPH CAMPBELL WY MESONET

1150 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PROVO 43.19N 103.83W
03/26/2012 E70.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

1215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 SE DOWNTOWN HOT SPRIN 43.37N 103.40W
03/27/2012 M66.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD AWOS

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SE RALPH 45.68N 102.89W
03/27/2012 E60.00 MPH PERKINS SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1249 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E PINE RIDGE 43.03N 102.52W
03/27/2012 M58.00 MPH SHANNON SD ASOS

1257 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 NE EDGEMONT 43.40N 103.69W
03/27/2012 M56.00 MPH FALL RIVER SD MESONET

RED CANYON RAWS

0110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E PINE RIDGE 43.03N 102.52W
03/27/2012 M67.00 MPH SHANNON SD ASOS

0130 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SW BATESLAND 43.05N 102.21W
03/27/2012 M70.00 MPH SHANNON SD MESONET

0141 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE PORCUPINE 43.28N 102.26W
03/27/2012 M74.00 MPH SHANNON SD MESONET

PORCUPINE RAWS

0150 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE MARTIN 43.16N 101.72W
03/27/2012 M56.00 MPH BENNETT SD MESONET

MARTIN SDSU SITE

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MARTIN 43.17N 101.73W
03/27/2012 M63.00 MPH BENNETT SD MESONET

0215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE MARTIN 43.17N 101.71W
03/27/2012 M57.00 MPH BENNETT SD AWOS

0220 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 W PARMELEE 43.32N 101.14W
03/27/2012 M61.00 MPH TODD SD MESONET

MAGPIE CREEK RAWS

0255 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE FAITH 45.04N 102.02W
03/27/2012 M55.00 MPH PERKINS SD ASOS

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE CEDAR BUTTE 43.60N 101.01W
03/27/2012 E60.00 MPH MELLETTE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0355 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSW SOUTH EAGLE BUTTE 44.98N 101.24W
03/27/2012 M55.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD AWOS

0355 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 1 WSW SOUTH EAGLE BUTTE 44.98N 101.25W
03/27/2012 M41.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD AWOS

0413 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MOUNT RUSHMORE 43.88N 103.45W
03/27/2012 M50.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD MESONET

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 NW FAITH 45.10N 102.15W
03/27/2012 M0.47 INCH PERKINS SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 ESE GLAD VALLEY 45.36N 101.64W
03/27/2012 M0.58 INCH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 3 SSE HARDING 45.36N 103.81W
03/27/2012 E40.00 MPH HARDING SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KEWY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271958
SWODY1
SPC AC 271956

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

VALID 272000Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTN AND EVE ACROSS
PARTS OF MIDDLE MS VALLEY...

...20Z OUTLOOK UPDATE...MIDDLE MS VALLEY...

LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF THE COMPACT
BUT VIGOROUS UPPER MIDWEST CLOSED LOW IS STILL LIFTING
NORTHEASTWARD...NOW ACROSS NORTHWEST ONTARIO. MODERATELY STRONG
FLOW ON ITS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY HAS ADVECTED WARM
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR ACROSS THE MID/LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY AREA
INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND THIS CONTINUES TO CAP RELATIVELY WEAK
TO MODEST WARM SECTOR MOISTURE RETURN. DEEPER LAYER MOISTENING
APPEARS TO BE CONFINED TO A NARROW PRE-FRONTAL CORRIDOR EXTENDING
OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH NORTHERN MISSOURI INTO EASTERN
IOWA. AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW GRADUALLY VEERS TO AN INCREASINGLY WESTERLY
COMPONENT...THIS WILL TEND TO SHIFT MORE RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN ILLINOIS...THAN SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE I-70 CORRIDOR OF
MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

INITIATION OF STORM DEVELOPMENT REMAINS A BIT UNCLEAR...BUT LATEST
RUC GUIDANCE SEEMS TO POINT TO THE QUAD CITIES AREA AROUND 23-00Z
...AND EAST NORTHEAST OF KANSAS CITY INTO THE KIRKSVILLE AREA NOT
LONG THEREAFTER. AT LEAST WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AS FAR SOUTH
AS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS ARE EXPECTED BY THAT
TIME...IN ASSOCIATION WITH A GRADUAL EASTWARD TURN OF THE MID-LEVEL
LOW AND TRAILING SHORT WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST. THIS
PROBABLY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT WEAKENING OF INHIBITION TO
ALLOW AT LEAST SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT IN THE PRESENCE OF MIXED
LAYER CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000-2000 J/KG AND 40-50 KT WESTERLY DEEP
LAYER MEAN FLOW AND SHEAR. IN ADDITION TO THE RISK FOR A COUPLE OF
SUPERCELLS...THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO THE EVOLUTION OF
ONE OR TWO SMALL ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL.

TORNADIC POTENTIAL IS MORE UNCERTAIN. FORECAST SOUNDINGS CONTINUE
TO INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL BE LARGE AND
CLOCKWISE CURVED...BUT VERTICAL SHEAR FROM MID-LEVELS ON UP IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN RATHER WEAK. AND...PERHAPS MORE IMPORTANTLY...THE
LOW-LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC STRUCTURE...WITH LINGERING LAYERS OF
POTENTIALLY SIZABLE TEMPERATURE-DEW POINT SPREADS...APPEARS MORE
QUESTIONABLE FOR SUSTAINED NEAR SURFACE STRONG ROTATION.

..KERR.. 03/27/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1124 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...
INTENSE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY MOVING NEWD OVER NRN MN IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE INTO ONTARIO AND PROGRESS EWD TONIGHT JUST NORTH OF THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES...AS AN UPSTREAM TROUGH OVER THE ERN PACIFIC
APPROACHES THE PACIFIC NW COAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE PRIMARY
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT EXTENDING FROM THE PACIFIC COAST AND ACROSS THE
NRN HALF OF THE CONUS...WITH WEAK WINDS ALOFT ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN
US. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW OVER EXTREME NWRN MN WILL TRANSLATE
ACROSS THE NRN MN BORDER TODAY BEFORE MOVING INTO ONTARIO TONIGHT.
A COLD FRONT ARCING SWD/SWWD FROM THE LOW WILL PROGRESS INTO WI/ERN
IA/NWRN MO/SRN KS AND THE TX PANHANDLE BY THIS EVENING...REACHING A
SERN LOWER MI/CENTRAL IL/NRN OK LINE BY LATER TONIGHT.

...MIDDLE MS VALLEY REGION...
SATELLITE DATA INDICATE A RELATIVELY NARROW AXIS OF MOISTURE IS
PRESENT FROM THE SRN PLAINS ACROSS ERN KS/NWRN MO INTO CENTRAL/ERN
IA AND WRN WI WITH PW VALUES OF 0.75-1.0 INCH. THIS CORRESPONDS TO
AN AXIS OF 55-60F SURFACE DEW POINTS EXTENDING NNEWD INTO CENTRAL IA
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. A BAND OF ELEVATED STORMS HAS
BEEN OCCURRING WITHIN THE MOIST AXIS FROM NERN KS INTO NRN MO/SRN
IA...AND SATELLITE/RADAR/LIGHTNING TRENDS INDICATE THE STORMS HAVE
BEEN SLOWLY WEAKENING.

12Z UPPER AIR DATA SHOW AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER PLUME HAS SPREAD
NEWD FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY ON THE SRN EDGE OF
THE STRONGER SWLY MID LEVEL WINDS. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THE EML
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHICH WILL LIKELY
LIMIT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SURFACE-BASED STORMS IN THE WARM SECTOR
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE.

THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR POTENTIAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL BE ALONG
THE COLD FRONT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH NWP GUIDANCE
VARYING SOMEWHAT IN THE TIMING...LOCATION AND COVERAGE OF DEEP
CONVECTION. THE MOST LIKELY REGION FOR INITIAL CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF EXTREME EASTERN IA/NWRN IL
INTO NRN MO...WHERE MODEL/ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS IS THE HIGHEST. THIS
ALSO IS WITHIN A REGION OF STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR JUST TO THE SOUTH
OF A STRONG 500 MB JET STREAK...WHICH WILL ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALSO
SHOW FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR/CLOCKWISE HODOGRAPHS SUGGESTING
THREAT FOR A TORNADO OR TWO TO DEVELOP WITH ANY PERSISTENT
SUPERCELLS THAT ARE ABLE TO DEVELOP. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE AFTER DARK FOR SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE STORMS GRADUALLY
DIMINISH AFTER 06Z.

...KS/OK...
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN WITH SWWD
EXTENT...AND THE PERSISTENT CAPPING INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT
STORM COVERAGE OVER PARTS OF KS INTO OK. HOWEVER...CONTINUED
DESTABILIZATION DURING THE DIURNAL HEATING PERIOD WILL RESULT IN
CAPE OF 1500-2000 J/KG LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AND
DESPITE WEAKER WINDS ALOFT...VEERING PROFILES WITH HEIGHT WILL
RESULT IN DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF AROUND 30 KT WHICH MAY PROMOTE A
ORGANIZED MULTICELL STORM STRUCTURES FOR ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS THAT
DEVELOP. ISOLATED STRONGER STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS VERY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

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KAMA [271940]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 271940
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
240 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 PM HAIL 1 SSE DUMAS 35.85N 101.96W
03/26/2012 M1.00 INCH MOORE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORTS OF PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL RECEIVED FROM SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST OF DUMAS

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200182

$$

FENNER

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KAMA [271930]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 271930
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
230 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1047 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 7 WSW BOOKER 36.42N 100.66W
03/26/2012 OCHILTREE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

8 POWER POLES KNOCKED DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200181

$$

BUFFALO

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KAMA [271920]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 271920
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
220 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 PM HAIL 1 SE DUMAS 35.85N 101.95W
03/26/2012 M1.00 INCH MOORE TX PUBLIC

DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR DUMAS

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200180

$$

FENNER

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KMFR [271915]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 271915
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1215 PM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM HEAVY SNOW MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.31W
03/27/2012 M6.5 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER SY01. ACCUMULATION SINCE
MIDNIGHT.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KMFR [271853]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 271853
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1152 AM PDT TUE MAR 27 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW WILDERVILLE 42.46N 123.49W
03/27/2012 M0.50 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY SPOTTER JO70. 3 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KUNR [271826]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 271826
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1226 PM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SE MUD BUTTE 44.93N 102.77W
03/26/2012 E60 MPH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KEWY

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KUNR [271820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 271820
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1220 PM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SE RALPH 45.68N 102.89W
03/27/2012 E60 MPH PERKINS SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KEWY

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KUNR [271814]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 271814
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1213 PM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 3 SSE HARDING 45.36N 103.81W
03/27/2012 E40 MPH HARDING SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KEWY

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KMQT [271805]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KMQT 271805
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
204 PM EDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NW MARQUETTE 46.56N 87.41W
03/27/2012 MARQUETTE MI PUBLIC

ROUGHLY 1 FOOT DIAMETER TREE UPROOTED ON NMU CAMPUS.

0158 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SKANDIA 46.38N 87.23W
03/27/2012 MARQUETTE MI PUBLIC

TWO LARGE MAPLE TREES DOWN. ONE SNAPPED OFF AND THE OTHER
SPLIT DOWN THE MIDDLE.

&&

$$

SRF

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KMQT [271800]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 271800
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
200 PM EDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0158 PM TSTM WND DMG SKANDIA 46.38N 87.23W
03/27/2012 MARQUETTE MI PUBLIC

TWO LARGE MAPLE TREES DOWN. ONE SNAPPED OFF AND THE OTHER
SPLIT DOWN THE MIDDLE.

&&

$$

SRF

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KUNR [271734]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 271734
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1134 AM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE CEDAR BUTTE 43.60N 101.01W
03/27/2012 E60 MPH MELLETTE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KEWY

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 271730
SWODY2
SPC AC 271728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WED AFTN AND EVE ACROSS PARTS
OF THE LWR OH/TN VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WED AFTN AND EVE ACROSS PARTS
OF THE CNTRL PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL DIG FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION INTO LARGER-SCALE UPPER TROUGHING STILL EVOLVING ACROSS
EASTERN CANADA...MUCH OF THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. AND THE NORTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC DURING THIS PERIOD. AT THE SAME TIME...BROAD UPPER RIDGING
IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
U.S...BUT A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSE EMERGING FROM A
DEAMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH OFF THE PACIFIC COAST IS FORECAST TO
RAPIDLY LIFT INLAND ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND
NORTHERN ROCKIES BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A SURFACE FRONT ACCOMPANYING THE LEAD FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ITS SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCE...FROM THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST AND TENNESSEE VALLEY...WHILE IT STALLS THEN
REDEVELOPS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT WITH THE LATTER FEATURE...AS SURFACE TROUGHING DEEPENS ACROSS
THE HIGH PLAINS. PARTICULARLY EAST OF THE ROCKIES...THESE
BOUNDARIES APPEAR LIKELY TO PROVIDE A GENERAL FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SOME OF WHICH PROBABLY WILL
EXCEED SEVERE CRITERIA.

...LWR OH/TN VALLEYS INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS...
THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS...
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGGING OUT OF THE GREAT
LAKES...IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING THE
DAY WEDNESDAY...AHEAD OF THE SOUTHEASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT.
COINCIDING WITH DAYTIME DESTABILIZATION WITHIN A MODESTLY MOIST WEST
SOUTHWESTERLY UPSLOPE LOW-LEVEL FLOW...AND FRONTAL
FORCING...GUIDANCE SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR THE EVOLUTION OF A FAIRLY
SUBSTANTIAL SQUALL LINE. INITIATION MAY OCCUR NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE
OHIO RIVER...ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA AND KENTUCKY...BY OR SHORTLY AFTER
18Z...BEFORE ADVANCING SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE UPPER TENNESSEE
VALLEY/CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN THE PRESENCE OF AN
ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATELY LARGE MIXED LAYER CAPE /ON
THE ORDER OF 1000-2000 J PER KG/ AND 30-40 KT WESTERLY DEEP LAYER
MEAN FLOW AND SHEAR...CONDITIONS SHOULD BE CONDUCIVE FOR DAMAGING
CONVECTIVELY GENERATED WIND GUSTS...AS WELL AS LARGE HAIL.

...CENTRAL PLAINS...
THE OUTLOOK IS MORE UNCERTAIN ACROSS THIS AREA...DUE TO THE
LIKELIHOOD OF SUBSTANTIAL...AND PERHAPS STRENGTHENING...MID-LEVEL
INHIBITION AND WEAK/UNCERTAIN FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION.
HOWEVER...IN THE PRESENCE OF VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...BOTH
CONDITIONAL AND CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME QUITE
LARGE. MIXED LAYER CAPE MAY EXCEED 2000-3000 J/KG BY LATE AFTERNOON
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS.
CONSIDERABLE VARIABILITY EXISTS... BUT SOME MODEL DATA...INCLUDING
HIGH RESOLUTION CONVECTION ALLOWING GUIDANCE...SUGGESTS POTENTIAL
FOR THE EVOLUTION OF A SMALL MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM IN RESPONSE
TO LOW/MID-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN
KANSAS DURING THE MORNING HOURS. AT LEAST PARTIALLY DUE TO THE
APPARENT LACK OF A MORE SUBSTANTIVE SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL
JET...CONFIDENCE IN THIS DEVELOPMENT IS RELATIVELY LOW.
REGARDLESS...THE INITIATION OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS
STILL DOES NOT APPEAR OUT OF THE QUESTION IN THE PEAK AFTERNOON
HEATING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. IF
THIS OCCURS...ACTIVITY COULD BECOME ENHANCED BY A MORE SUBSTANTIVE
/30-40+ KT/ SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET...WHICH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

..KERR.. 03/27/2012

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KMQT [271720]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 271720
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
119 PM EDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 NW MARQUETTE 46.56N 87.41W
03/27/2012 MARQUETTE MI PUBLIC

ROUGHLY 1 FOOT DIAMETER TREE UPROOTED ON NMU CAMPUS.

&&

$$

SRF

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KUNR [271719]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 271719
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1118 AM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S DOWNTOWN SPEARFISH 44.45N 103.85W
03/26/2012 E60 MPH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN

&&

$$

KEWY

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KABR [271655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 271655
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1155 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SSW TIMBER LAKE 45.42N 101.08W
03/26/2012 M74 MPH DEWEY SD MESONET

TIMBER LAKE SDSU OBSERVATION SITE. TREES TOPPLED AROUND
THE TOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1200072

$$

NWS ABR

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KUNR [271646]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 271646
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1046 AM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SE FOLSOM 43.80N 102.81W
03/26/2012 E70 MPH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KEWY

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KUNR [271640]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 271640
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1040 AM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND GST HILL CITY 43.93N 103.57W
03/26/2012 E60 MPH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KEWY

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KUNR [271634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 271634
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1034 AM MDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNW FAIRBURN 43.75N 103.24W
03/26/2012 E80 MPH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

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KEWY

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KLIX [271628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 271628
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1127 AM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM TORNADO ABITA SPRINGS 30.48N 90.03W
03/21/2012 ST. TAMMANY LA NWS STORM SURVEY

WEAK EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
SILVER SPRINGS DR AND ALLEN RD. IT MOVED NNW SNAPPING
SEVERAL PINE TREES. SOME ROOF DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED TO ONE
HOME WHERE PART OF A TREE HAD FALLEN THROUGH THE ROOF.
THE TORNADO LIFTED AFTER CROSSING JARRELL RD. MAXIMUM
ESTIMATED WIND SPEED 65 MPH. MAXIMUM WIDTH 25 YDS. PATH
LENGTH 1.5 MILES. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

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DMANNING

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