KABR [062130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 062130
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
430 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM HAIL 6 WSW WATERTOWN 44.88N 97.28W
07/06/2009 E0.75 INCH CODINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO PENNY SIZED HAIL. WINDS 35 MPH.

&&

$$

KKRAML

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KCYS [062127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 062127
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
327 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM FUNNEL CLOUD CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
07/06/2009 LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE

DID NOT TOUCH GROUND.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KABQ [062112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 062112
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
312 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0311 PM HAIL COLONIAS 35.11N 104.85W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH GUADALUPE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

EBREON

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KABQ [062110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 062110
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
310 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0308 PM HAIL COLONIAS 35.11N 104.85W
07/06/2009 M0.88 INCH GUADALUPE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

EBREON

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KCYS [062106]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 062106
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
306 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0306 PM HAIL CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
07/06/2009 M0.75 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KABQ [062104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 062104
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
304 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0257 PM HAIL 5 S YATES 36.06N 103.90W
07/06/2009 E1.00 INCH HARDING NM TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

EBREON

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KEWX [062100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 062100
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
359 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0354 PM LIGHTNING KERRVILLE 30.04N 99.14W
07/06/2009 KERR TX PUBLIC

CONSIDERABLE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX0900001

$$

AKF

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KPUB [062059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 062059
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
259 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0257 PM HAIL 6 SSE PEYTON 38.95N 104.44W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH EL PASO CO PUBLIC

&&

$$

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KPUB [062058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 062058
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
257 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0210 PM HAIL 1 NW FALCON 38.94N 104.63W
07/06/2009 E1.50 INCH EL PASO CO PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT RELAYED FROM TV METEOROLOGIST

&&

$$

STARK

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KTFX [062049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 062049
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
249 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0247 PM HAIL 7 SE CANYON CREEK 46.73N 112.16W
07/06/2009 E1.75 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED 7 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF CANYON CREEK.

&&

$$

HOENISCH

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KMSO [062047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KMSO 062047
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
247 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM HAIL SALMON 45.18N 113.89W
07/06/2009 E0.50 INCH LEMHI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH
DIAMETER HAIL IN THE SALMON AREA.

0100 PM HAIL 6 SW CONNER 45.87N 114.21W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH RAVALLI MT STORM CHASER

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL ACCUMULATED TO 1.5 INCH DEPTH ON
GROUND.

0100 PM HAIL 1 SW DARBY 46.01N 114.19W
07/06/2009 E0.25 INCH RAVALLI MT PARK/FOREST SRVC

WEST FORK/DARBY RANGER STATION REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL ONE
INCH DEEP.

0100 PM HAIL CONNER 45.93N 114.12W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH RAVALLI MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 PM HAIL PHILIPSBURG 46.33N 113.29W
07/06/2009 E0.75 INCH GRANITE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT OF DIME SIZE HAIL IN PHILIPSBURG

0222 PM HAIL PHILIPSBURG 46.33N 113.29W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH GRANITE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN
PHILIPSBURG. 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF PHILIPSBURG,CAMPER
REPORTED 1/2 INCH DIAMETER HAIL AT 5500 FEET.

0245 PM HAIL GEORGETOWN 46.20N 113.25W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH DEER LODGE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

&&

$$

FELSCH

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KTFX [062031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 062031
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
231 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0223 PM HAIL 6 NE HELENA 46.66N 111.93W
07/06/2009 E0.75 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT NWS EMPLOYEE

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
HELENA.

&&

$$

HOENISCH

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KPUB [062028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 062028
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
228 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0218 PM HAIL 4 SSW BLACK FOREST 38.96N 104.72W
07/06/2009 M0.88 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAILED FROM 218 PM TO 223 PM

&&

$$

KT

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KABQ [062026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 062026
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
225 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL 3 SE GLADSTONE 36.27N 103.93W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH UNION NM TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

EBREON

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KMSO [062025]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KMSO 062025
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
225 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM HAIL SALMON 45.18N 113.89W
07/06/2009 E0.50 INCH LEMHI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH
DIAMETER HAIL IN THE SALMON AREA.

0100 PM HAIL 1 SW DARBY 46.01N 114.19W
07/06/2009 E0.25 INCH RAVALLI MT PARK/FOREST SRVC

WEST FORK/DARBY RANGER STATION REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL ONE
INCH DEEP.

0100 PM HAIL CONNER 45.93N 114.12W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH RAVALLI MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0100 PM HAIL 6 SW CONNER 45.87N 114.21W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH RAVALLI MT STORM CHASER

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL ACCUMULATED TO 1.5 INCH DEPTH ON
GROUND.

0200 PM HAIL PHILIPSBURG 46.33N 113.29W
07/06/2009 E0.75 INCH GRANITE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT OF DIME SIZE HAIL IN PHILIPSBURG

0222 PM HAIL PHILIPSBURG 46.33N 113.29W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH GRANITE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN
PHILIPSBURG. 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF PHILIPSBURG,CAMPER
REPORTED 1/2 INCH DIAMETER HAIL AT 5500 FEET.

&&

$$

FELSCH

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KPUB [062021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 062021
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
221 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0216 PM HAIL 5 W FALCON 38.93N 104.71W
07/06/2009 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER LOCATED AT WOODMAN AND POWERS.

&&

$$

KT

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KPUB [062020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 062020
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
220 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0218 PM HAIL 4 SW PEYTON 38.99N 104.53W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH EL PASO CO PUBLIC

&&

$$

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KPUB [062014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 062014
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
214 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM HAIL 3 SE BLACK FOREST 38.99N 104.67W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

15 MINUTES OF 1 INCH DIAMETER HAIL FROM APPROXIMATELY 145
PM TO 200 PM.

&&

$$

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 555

WWUS20 KWNS 062007
SEL5
SPC WW 062007
COZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-070200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 555
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM MDT MON JUL 6 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTER COLORADO
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST WYOMING

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL 800
PM MDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF DOUGLAS WYOMING TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF LIMON
COLORADO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 553...WW 554...

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES AHEAD OF A VIGOROUS MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE
NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION ATTM. NWWD ADVECTION OF UPPER 50S TO
LOW 60S SURFACE DEWPOINTS INTO THE HIGH PLAINS COMBINED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING HAVE RESULTED IN MODERATE DESTABILIZATION...WHICH WILL
SUPPORT AN INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS MOVING SEWD OFF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN.
STORM INTENSIFICATION WILL ALSO BE AIDED BY INCREASING MID-LEVEL
FLOW WITH TIME...CONTRIBUTING TO SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR MULTICELL
ORGANIZATION -- AND EVENTUALLY PERHAPS SOME MID-LEVEL UPDRAFT
ROTATION. ALONG WITH THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY
STRONG/GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30025.

...GOSS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 062003
SWODY1
SPC AC 062000

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

VALID 062000Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE NRN
ROCKIES AND NRN HIGH PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE CNTRL AND
SRN ROCKIES AND SRN HIGH PLAINS...

...NRN ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS FROM MT/NRN WY TO WRN
...ND...

CURRENT FORECAST STILL APPEARS ON TRACK IN THIS REGION. STORMS ARE
DEVELOPING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT OVER HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN MT...AND
STORM COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN ZONE OF LARGE
SCALE ASCENT DOWNSTREAM FROM EJECTING VORT MAX. BULK SHEAR OF 35-45
KT WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH INITIAL DEVELOPMENT. LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. STORMS SHOULD EVENTUALLY
CONSOLIDATE INTO AN MCS BY LATER THIS EVENING WITH AN INCREASING
THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND.

...CNTRL ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS...

A RESERVOIR OF 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE CNTRL
AND SRN HIGH PLAINS WHERE STEEP LAPSE RATES HAVE OVERSPREAD WRN
PERIPHERY OF UPPER 50S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS AND WHERE STRONG
DIABATIC HEATING IS OCCURRING. STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WILL SPREAD SEWD INTO THE UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS. SELY LOW LEVEL WINDS VEERING TO 20-25 KT AT ABOVE 700
MB IS RESULTING IN SUFFICIENT BULK SHEAR FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP
UPDRAFT ROTATION. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DOWNBURSTS WILL BE THE
MAIN THREATS THROUGH MID EVENING.

...ERN SD AREA...

REF SWOMCD 1458.

...NERN STATES...

COOL AIR ALOFT AND ASCENT RESULTING FROM VORTICITY MAXIMA ROTATING
THROUGH UPPER TROUGH WILL PROMOTE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER A
PORTION OF THE NERN STATES. ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS COULD ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER CORES. HOWEVER...THE
MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WITH MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL PROBABLY REMAIN A LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE
THREAT.

...SERN STATES...

WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND AREAS OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH ONGOING
STORMS AS WELL AS WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...INSTABILITY AND
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN LIMITING FACTORS FOR SEVERE WEATHER IN
THIS REGION. HOWEVER...POCKETS OF HEATING ARE OCCURRING AHEAD OF MCV
MOVING EAST THROUGH SERN AL/SWRN GA. SUFFICIENT BOUNDARY LAYER
DESTABILIZATION MAY TRANSPIRE IN LOCALIZED AREAS TO SUPPORT VERY
ISOLATED WET MICRO-BURSTS. HOWEVER...MORE THAN 5% SEVERE
PROBABILITIES DO NOT APPEAR WARRANTED DUE TO THE PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED LIMITING FACTORS.

..DIAL.. 07/06/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1134 AM CDT MON JUL 06 2009/

...NRN ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS FROM MT/NRN WY TO WRN ND...
POTENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED STRONG PACIFIC FRONT WILL
CONTINUE EAST ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
HEATING DOWNSTREAM FROM THE INCREASINGLY STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING FOR
ASCENT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO ADEQUATE AIRMASS BUOYANCY FOR ROBUST TSTM
DEVELOPMENT. CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RAPIDLY ADVANCING FRONT
WILL ACT TO FOCUS DEEP CONVECTION AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL THEN
DEVELOP EWD INTO AN AIRMASS CHARACTERIZED BY WELL-MIXED MLCAPE AOA
1000 J/KG. ALL GUIDANCE REVIEWED FOR THIS OUTLOOK STRONGLY SUGGEST A
SEVERE QUASI-LINEAR MCS SWEEPING EAST ACROSS MUCH OF MT THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. MAJOR CONCERN WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR DAMAGING WINDS ACCOMPANYING THE PASSAGE OF THE SQUALL LINE.
GIVEN THE PRE-STORM STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT AND 50-60KT MID
LEVEL JET DIRECTED INTO THE BACK OF THE MCS...EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM TO BE WIDESPREAD AND POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT
WITH A COUPLE OF LOCAL TSTM WIND EVENTS PERHAPS APPROACHING 70KT.

IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE...BUT LESS LIKELY...THAT A FEW DISCRETE CELLS
COULD ATTAIN SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS EITHER EARLY IN THE
DEVELOPMENT CYCLE...OR EMBEDDED IN OR AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE. A
LOW PROBABILITY TORNADO THREAT COULD EVOLVE FROM STORMS EXHIBITING
THIS BEHAVIOR. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE A THREAT.

...CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS...
AIRMASS BACKED INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN CONTINUES TO CONTAIN
RELATIVELY HIGH MOISTURE/PW VALUES TODAY /AROUND 150 PCT OF NORMAL/.
STORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN FIRE AS DIFFERENTIAL HEATING CONTRIBUTES TO
ELIMINATING ANY INHIBITION. WHILE LOW LEVEL ELY/SELY UPSLOPE FLOW
HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY COMPARED TO PRIOR DAYS...25-30KT NWLY MID
LEVEL FLOW SHOULD PROVIDE MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE SHEAR FOR A FEW
BETTER ORGANIZED/PERSISTENT STORMS EVENTUALLY GENERATING HAIL AND
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. FORECAST STORM MOTION TO THE SOUTH SUGGESTS
THIS ACTIVITY MAY NOT MOVE THAT FAR OFF THE FRONT RANGE.
HOWEVER...ANOTHER AXIS OF DESTABILIZATION AND WEAK LARGE SCALE
ASCENT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS FROM NEB PNHDL SWD TO TX PNHDL MAY
CONTRIBUTE TO STORM DEVELOPMENT IN THESE AREAS. SLIGHTLY GREATER LOW
LEVEL SLY FLOW AND MOISTURE RETURN INTO THESE AREAS MAY ALLOW STORMS
OR STORM CLUSTERS TO PROPAGATE EWD/SEWD THIS EVENING WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

...GULF COAST...
A NUMBER OF STORM OUTFLOWS AND SMALL-SCALE CONVECTIVELY-INDUCED
CIRCULATIONS EXIST AMIDST A VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG THE
GULF COAST FROM TX TO FL. POCKETS OF INTENSE HEATING WHERE AIRMASS
HAS YET TO BE OVERTURNED BY DEEP CONVECTION WILL PROVIDE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS. LAND
AREAS REMAINING UNAFFECTED BY ONGOING OR PRIOR STORMS ARE LIMITED
AND THEREFORE OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING
COMPARED TO PRIOR DAYS.

...NORTHEAST...
PRONOUNCED SHORT WAVE TROUGH /50-60KT JET STREAK/ EMBEDDED WITHIN
STRONG AND PERSISTENT BELT OF NW FLOW ACROSS SRN CANADA/NRN GREAT
LAKES WILL SWEEP SEWD ACROSS NRN ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT AS TRAILING
CLOSED UPPER LOW REMAINS ESSENTIALLY STATIONARY NEAR SRN
ONTARIO/QUEBEC BORDER AREA. HEATING IS WELL UNDERWAY ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND ATTM AND EXPECTED STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND INCREASING
LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH TROUGH AND APPROACHING COLD FRONT TO RESULT
IN SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT. AREAS OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR IN THE
20-35KT RANGE WILL PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR A FEW BETTER
ORGANIZED/PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND SMALL HAIL. UNCERTAINTIES ABOUT STORM COVERAGE AND DURATION
GIVEN LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE PRECLUDE HIGHER SEVERE
PROBABILITIES THIS AREA AT THIS TIME.

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KMSO [062003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KMSO 062003
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
202 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM HAIL SALMON 45.18N 113.89W
07/06/2009 E0.50 INCH LEMHI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH
DIAMETER HAIL IN THE SALMON AREA.

0100 PM HAIL 1 SW DARBY 46.01N 114.19W
07/06/2009 E0.25 INCH RAVALLI MT PARK/FOREST SRVC

WEST FORK/DARBY RANGER STATION REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL ONE
INCH DEEP.

0100 PM HAIL CONNER 45.93N 114.12W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH RAVALLI MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0100 PM HAIL 6 SW CONNER 45.87N 114.21W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH RAVALLI MT STORM CHASER

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL ACCUMULATED TO 1.5 INCH DEPTH ON
GROUND.

0200 PM HAIL PHILIPSBURG 46.33N 113.29W
07/06/2009 E0.75 INCH GRANITE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT OF DIME SIZE HAIL IN PHILIPSBURG

&&

$$

FELSCH

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KTFX [062002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 062002
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
202 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM HAIL 3 SE STANFORD 47.12N 110.17W
07/06/2009 M0.88 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED 3.5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
STANFORD.

0158 PM HAIL BASIN 46.27N 112.26W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH HAIL

&&

$$

HOENISCH

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KFSD [062001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 062001
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
301 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 PM TSTM WND GST 11 S HENDRICKS 44.35N 96.43W
07/06/2009 E70 MPH LINCOLN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

1.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN 10 MINUTES, 60 TO 70 MPH
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, AND PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL.

&&

$$

MDB

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KPUB [061959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 061959
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
159 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0153 PM HAIL 3 N FALCON 38.98N 104.61W
07/06/2009 M0.75 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1458

ACUS11 KWNS 061958
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061958
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-062030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1458
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN SD / SWRN MN / NWRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 061958Z - 062030Z

INCREASING SEVERE POTENTIAL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS
OF SERN SD / SWRN MN / AND NWRN IA. A SLIGHT RISK WILL BE ADDED FOR
THE 20Z CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK UPDATE.

RECENT RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS STRONG/SEVERE STORMS STRADDLING THE SD/MN
BORDER MOVING SEWD ALONG OLD STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE. WEAK SURFACE
CONVERGENCE APPEARS TO BE PARTIALLY AIDING TSTM DEVELOPMENT...WITH A
STORM OVER LINCOLN COUNTY MN EXHIBITING WEAK LOW LEVEL ROTATION IN
THE PAST HOUR. A RESERVOIR OF LOWER 60S DEWPOINTS ON THE WWD SIDE
OF BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO FEED UPDRAFTS AS THEY PROPAGATE TO THE
SE. ADEQUATE NWLY FLOW ALOFT ON THE PERIPHERY OF STRONGER LAPSE
RATES FROM THE WEST WILL LIKELY SERVE TO MAINTAIN STORM INTENSITY
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING--POSING MAINLY AN ISOLD LARGE
HAIL/DMGG WIND THREAT.

..SMITH.. 07/06/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...

LAT...LON 43209537 43229593 43649683 44839790 45699893 46089856
45949761 44849635 43829538 43209537

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KPUB [061955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 061955
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
155 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0148 PM HAIL 3 SW PUEBLO WEST 38.31N 104.75W
07/06/2009 M1.25 INCH PUEBLO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAILED FROM 144 PM TO 148 PM

&&

$$

KT

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KPUB [061950]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 061950
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
150 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0149 PM HAIL 3 SSW PUEBLO WEST 38.31N 104.75W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH PUEBLO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KBIS [061944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 061944
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
244 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND GST 18 WNW AMIDON 46.58N 103.67W
07/05/2009 E60.00 MPH SLOPE ND PUBLIC

MANY SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN...BUT A FEW LARGER LIMBS OF 4
INCH DIAMETER ALSO DOWN. A ROUND METAL PICNIC TABLE
TURNED OVER AS WELL. SOME PEA SIZED HAIL THAT BEGAN
AROUND 605 PM CDT. HEAVY RAIN AS WELL.

&&

$$

JVINING

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KPUB [061947]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 061947
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
147 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0144 PM HAIL 3 SW PUEBLO WEST 38.31N 104.75W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH PUEBLO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KPUB [061945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 061945
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
145 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0142 PM HAIL PUEBLO WEST 38.35N 104.72W
07/06/2009 E1.75 INCH PUEBLO CO PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED DIME TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL.

&&

$$

STARK

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1457

ACUS11 KWNS 061941
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061940
COZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-062115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1457
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY/N CENTRAL AND NERN CO/WRN NEB PNHDL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 061940Z - 062115Z

CONVECTION INCREASING ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES MAY REQUIRE WW
ISSUANCE WITHIN THE MD AREA IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

DAYTIME HEATING COMBINED WITH THE NWWD SPREAD OF UPPER 50S TO LOW
60S SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE RESULTED IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AROUND
1000 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. STORMS CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...AHEAD OF
A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH CROSSING WRN MT/WRN WY/NERN UT ATTM. WHILE
LESSER INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT THE THREAT OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...STORMS SPREADING OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO THE MORE
MOIST/UNSTABLE LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS OVER HIGH PLAINS SHOULD
INTENSIFY/BECOME LOCALLY-SEVERE. LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY-DAMAGING
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.

..GOSS.. 07/06/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...UNR...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...RIW...GJT...

LAT...LON 38860507 39140601 40180698 42040706 43270517 43280414
40720287 38940308 38860507

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 554

WWUS20 KWNS 061933
SEL4
SPC WW 061933
IDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-070300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 554
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM MDT MON JUL 6 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN IDAHO
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MONTANA
NORTHWEST WYOMING

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL 900
PM MDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 185
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH OF
DRUMMOND MONTANA TO 55 MILES EAST OF HARLOWTON MONTANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 553...

DISCUSSION...A POTENT AND WELL-DEFINED SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND ENCOUNTER AN
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE SYNOPTIC FORCING ACTS TO STEEPEN MID
LAPSE RATES...BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING/WARMING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
MLCAPE IN THE 800-1200 J/KG RANGE...MORE THAN ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT
ROBUST STORM UPDRAFTS IN THE PRESENCE OF INCREASINGLY STRONG SHEAR
AND LARGER SCALE DYNAMICS.
INITIALLY QUASI-DISCRETE CELLS/SUPERCELLS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FOCUSED AND TAKE ON LINEAR CHARACTERISTICS AS COLD FRONT BECOMES
BETTER DEFINED EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN LATER TODAY. A FEW OF
THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY EVEN A BRIEF/WEAK
TORNADO BEFORE ACTIVITY MERGES AND EVOLVES INTO A SEVERE SQUALL LINE
WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS BECOMING MORE OF A THREAT WITH TIME.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.

...CARBIN

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KABQ [061933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 061933
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
133 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM HAIL LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.28W
07/06/2009 M1.50 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

DENTED AUTOMOBILES AND CRACKED WIND SHEILDS

&&

$$

EBREON

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KMSO [061931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KMSO 061931
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
131 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM HAIL SALMON 45.18N 113.89W
07/06/2009 E0.50 INCH LEMHI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH
DIAMETER HAIL IN THE SALMON AREA.

0100 PM HAIL 1 SW DARBY 46.01N 114.19W
07/06/2009 E0.25 INCH RAVALLI MT PARK/FOREST SRVC

WEST FORK/DARBY RANGER STATION REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL ONE
INCH DEEP.

0100 PM HAIL CONNER 45.93N 114.12W
07/06/2009 M1.00 INCH RAVALLI MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0100 PM HAIL 6 SW CONNER 45.87N 114.21W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH RAVALLI MT STORM CHASER

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL ACCUMULATED TO 1.5 INCH DEPTH ON
GROUND.

&&

$$

FELSCH

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KGGW [061930]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KGGW 061930
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
130 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM HAIL HELL CREEK RECREATION A 47.62N 106.89W
07/02/2009 E0.75 INCH GARFIELD MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN.

0630 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 E GLASGOW 48.20N 106.61W
07/03/2009 VALLEY MT NWS EMPLOYEE

A LARGE TREE JUST EAST OF TOWN ON HIGHWAY 42 HAD SEVERAL
6-8 AROUND BRANCHES THAT WERE GREATER THAN 15 FEET LONG
BROKEN OFF. THE WIND GUST AT THE KGGW AIRPORT 2.5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF THIS LOCATION WAS AT 48 MPH.

0553 PM HAIL SCOBEY 48.79N 105.42W
07/03/2009 M0.75 INCH DANIELS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.

0555 PM HAIL SCOBEY 48.79N 105.42W
07/03/2009 M0.75 INCH DANIELS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 PM HAIL 4 S SCOBEY 48.73N 105.42W
07/03/2009 M0.75 INCH DANIELS MT AIRPLANE PILOT

ONE INCH OF RAIN ALSO.

0600 PM TSTM WND GST 5 S OPHEIM 48.78N 106.41W
07/03/2009 E60.00 MPH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 PM HAIL TAMPICO 48.30N 106.83W
07/03/2009 M0.75 INCH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

LASTED ABOUT 10 MINUTES.

0630 PM HAIL 8 S SCOBEY 48.68N 105.42W
07/03/2009 M0.88 INCH DANIELS MT PUBLIC

ALSO REPORTED 60 MPH ESTIMATED WINDS.

0815 PM TSTM WND GST POPLAR 48.11N 105.20W
07/03/2009 E60.00 MPH ROOSEVELT MT PUBLIC

0822 PM TSTM WND GST BROCKTON 48.15N 104.92W
07/03/2009 E60.00 MPH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ANCHORED SWINGSET BLOWN OVER

0825 PM TSTM WND GST 6 E POPLAR 48.11N 105.07W
07/03/2009 M58.00 MPH ROOSEVELT MT MESONET

MEASURED WIND GUST AT THE POPLAR RAWS TO 58 MPH

0845 PM TSTM WND GST 17 NNW CIRCLE 47.64N 105.74W
07/03/2009 E58.00 MPH MCCONE MT CO-OP OBSERVER

BRANCHES BROKEN IN TREES.

&&

$$

TANJAF

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 553

WWUS20 KWNS 061922
SEL3
SPC WW 061922
COZ000-NMZ000-070200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 553
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 PM MDT MON JUL 6 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

THE SOUTHEAST QUARTER OF COLORADO
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL 800
PM MDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF
COLORADO SPRINGS COLORADO TO 75 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TUCUMCARI NEW
MEXICO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND SRN ROCKIES...AND HAVE BEGUN TO SPREAD SEWD INTO THE
HIGH PLAINS...WHERE DEWPOINTS NEAR 60 AND DAYTIME HEATING HAVE
COMBINED TO PUSH MIXED-LAYER CAPE INTO THE 500 TO 1000 J/KG RANGE.
WHILE MID-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS SOMEWHAT WEAK FROM THE NW...LOW-LEVEL
SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED/WEAKLY-ROTATING STORMS. ALONG WITH LARGE
HAIL...LOCALLY STRONG/GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS CONVECTION
ORGANIZES/SPREADS SEWD INTO THE HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30025.

...GOSS

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KABQ [061917]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 061917
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
117 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 PM HAIL LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.28W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

EBREON

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KPUB [061917]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 061917
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
117 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0106 PM HAIL 9 E AGUILAR 37.40N 104.49W
07/06/2009 M0.75 INCH LAS ANIMAS CO PUBLIC

&&

$$

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KABQ [061915]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 061915
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
115 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM HAIL LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.28W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0105 PM HAIL LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.28W
07/06/2009 M1.50 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0110 PM HAIL LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.28W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM LAW ENFORCEMENT

0113 PM HAIL LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.28W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

CJONES

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KMSO [061911]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 061911
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
111 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM HAIL SALMON 45.18N 113.89W
07/06/2009 E0.50 INCH LEMHI ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH
DIAMETER HAIL IN THE SALMON AREA.

&&

$$

FELSCH

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1456

ACUS11 KWNS 061906
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061905
MTZ000-WYZ000-IDZ000-062000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1456
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...ID...MT...WY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY

VALID 061905Z - 062000Z

EXPECT TSTM DEVELOPMENT TO INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY OVER THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF WRN MT AND NWRN WY. THIS WILL OCCUR AS A
POTENT AND WELL-DEFINED SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
MOVE ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND ENCOUNTER AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. LATEST SURFACE AND
SATELLITE ANALYSIS PLACES COLD FRONT ON THE ID/MT BORDER. WEAK LEE
TROUGHING EXISTS AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND A QUASI-STATIONARY WARM
FRONT EXTENDS EWD ACROSS CNTRL AND SERN MT. THESE FEATURES...IN
ADDITION TO FAVORABLE OROGRAPHIC/UPSLOPE FLOW...WILL ACT AS FOCUSING
MECHANISMS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS.

AS THE SYNOPTIC FORCING ACTS TO STEEPEN MID LAPSE RATES...BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTENING/WARMING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE IN THE 800-1200
J/KG RANGE...MORE THAN ADEQUATE TO SUPPORT ROBUST STORM UPDRAFTS IN
THE PRESENCE OF INCREASINGLY IMPRESSIVE LARGER SCALE DYNAMICS.

ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE INITIALLY QUASI-DISCRETE
CELLS/SUPERCELLS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FOCUSED AND TAKE ON LINEAR
CHARACTERISTICS AS COLD FRONT BECOMES BETTER DEFINED EAST OF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN LATER TODAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY EVEN A BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO BEFORE ACTIVITY
MERGES AND EVOLVES INTO SEVERE SQUALL LINE WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WINDS BECOMING MORE OF A THREAT WITH TIME.

..CARBIN.. 07/06/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...RIW...TFX...PIH...MSO...

LAT...LON 44250889 44271267 45971397 47741398 48261315 48631162
48580833 48030672 46600622 45920634 45000750 44250889

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KABQ [061906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 061906
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
106 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM HAIL LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.28W
07/06/2009 M1.75 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

50

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KGGW [061838]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 061838
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
1238 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0118 PM HAIL 3 W BRUSETT 47.43N 107.32W
07/01/2009 M0.75 INCH GARFIELD MT TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

TANJAF

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1455

ACUS11 KWNS 061823
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061822
OKZ000-COZ000-TXZ000-NEZ000-NMZ000-WYZ000-062015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1455
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY/ERN CO/NERN NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 061822Z - 062015Z

CONVECTION SLOWLY INCREASING ACROSS THE E SLOPES OF THE ROCKIES MAY
EVENTUALLY REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE.

CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN FROM SERN WY SWD INTO NRN NM...AHEAD OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL
SHORT-WAVE FEATURE MOVING ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AREA WITHIN THE
BROADER SHORT-WAVE RIDGE. THIS FEATURE APPEARS TO BE ASSISTING IN
SOME BACKING OF THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW FIELD OVER THE HIGH PLAINS --
WITH GENERALLY SELY FLOW NOW INDICATED.

STRONG DIURNAL HEATING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THIS REGION...AND WITH
DEWPOINTS NEAR 60 ADVECTING NWWD ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...MIXED-LAYER CAPE /NOW IN THE 500 TO 1000 J/KG RANGE/ WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE. THIS COMBINED WITH THE WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW
SHOULD SUPPORT CONTINUED/SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH STORMS SHIFTING SLOWLY SEWD WITH TIME OFF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN AND INTO THE HIGH PLAINS.

ONLY MODEST NWLYS ARE INDICATED THROUGH THE MIDDLE TROPOSPHERE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...VEERING FLOW WITH
HEIGHT SHOULD RESULT IN SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SOME ORGANIZATION/WEAK
ROTATION...AND ASSOCIATED/LOCAL THREATS FOR HAIL/WIND -- OR EVEN AN
ISOLATED WEAK/BRIEF TORNADO. EVENTUAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION/SEVERE
THREAT MAY WARRANT WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 07/06/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...

LAT...LON 40940539 41840492 41570390 40440275 37500248 35500282
35120436 35540536 36790555 38370529 39220500 40940539

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KGGW [061808]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KGGW 061808
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
1208 PM MDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM HAIL 14 SW PEERLESS 48.64N 106.05W
07/05/2009 M0.88 INCH VALLEY MT PUBLIC

TEN MINUTES OF HAIL THAT HAD DIME AND NICKEL SIZE PIECES
IN IT.

0355 PM HAIL 5 N LUSTRE 48.47N 105.88W
07/05/2009 M1.25 INCH VALLEY MT PUBLIC

HAIL LASTED FOR 10 MINUTES FROM 355 TO 405 PM. HAIL
COVERED THE GROUND AND IT RESEMBLED A WINTER STORM.

0359 PM HAIL 4 NE VOLT 48.43N 105.66W
07/05/2009 E1.00 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA-SIZED TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL COVERING GROUND AND 0.50
INCH OF RAINFALL

0405 PM HAIL LUSTRE 48.39N 105.88W
07/05/2009 E1.75 INCH VALLEY MT PUBLIC

HAIL LASTED FOR FIVE MINUTES FROM 405 TO 410 PM.

0405 PM HAIL 10 NNE WOLF POINT 48.22N 105.56W
07/05/2009 M0.88 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE WAS REPORTED. IT LASTED FIVE
MINUTES STARTING AROUND 400 PM.

0414 PM HAIL 18 NNW WOLF POINT 48.33N 105.79W
07/05/2009 E1.75 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED GOLFBALL SIZE THEN PEA SIZE FOR ABOUT 10 MINUTES

0430 PM HAIL 17 N WOLF POINT 48.34N 105.64W
07/05/2009 E1.75 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0445 PM HAIL 10 N WOLF POINT 48.24N 105.64W
07/05/2009 E1.75 INCH ROOSEVELT MT PUBLIC

HAIL LASTED 10 MINUTES FROM 445 TO 455 PM. HAIL COVERED
THE GROUND.

0500 PM HAIL 13 NE VIDA 47.96N 105.29W
07/05/2009 E1.00 INCH MCCONE MT PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL DENTED VEHICLES ALONG WITH 40 MPH WIND

0509 PM HAIL 5 S SIDNEY 47.64N 104.16W
07/05/2009 M0.75 INCH RICHLAND MT PUBLIC

0510 PM HAIL 13 E WOLF POINT 48.09N 105.36W
07/05/2009 E1.00 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED 0.70 INCHES OF RAINFALL

0555 PM HAIL 10 NNE BLOOMFIELD 47.54N 104.82W
07/05/2009 E1.00 INCH DAWSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL LASTED 5 TO 10 MINUTES.

0645 PM HAIL 4 SW INTAKE 47.25N 104.59W
07/05/2009 E1.75 INCH DAWSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

30 TO 40 MPH WIND GUSTS IN ADDITION TO HAIL

0655 PM TORNADO 5 WSW GLENDIVE 47.08N 104.82W
07/05/2009 DAWSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SPOTTER
LOCATION. WALL CLOUD STILL PRESENT BUT OBSCURED BY
PRECIPITATION. 7-6-09 COMMENT- THIS REPORT IS STILL BEING
INVESTIGATED BY NWS GLASGOW AND IS NOT OFFICIAL YET.

0715 PM HAIL 13 E GLENDIVE 47.10N 104.44W
07/05/2009 E1.00 INCH DAWSON MT PUBLIC

0720 PM HAIL 8 NE GLENDIVE 47.19N 104.59W
07/05/2009 E1.75 INCH DAWSON MT PUBLIC

HALF DOLLAR TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL

0739 PM TORNADO 8 W WIBAUX 46.98N 104.36W
07/05/2009 DAWSON MT UNKNOWN

7-6-09 THIS REPORT HAS NOT BEEN VERIFIED. NWS GLASGOW IS
STILL TRYING TO TRACK DOWN FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS
BUT HAS BEEN UNSUCCESSFUL SO FAR.

&&

$$

TANJAF

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KCAR [061808]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCAR 061808
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
208 PM EDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 AM FLASH FLOOD CASTINE 44.39N 68.80W
07/03/2009 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROAD FLOODED IN THE TOWN OF CASTINE.

0300 AM FLASH FLOOD BAR HARBOR 44.39N 68.20W
07/03/2009 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

INTERSECTION OF ROUTE 3 AND WEST STREET FLOODED.

0300 AM FLASH FLOOD SEDGWICK 44.30N 68.62W
07/03/2009 HANCOCK ME EMERGENCY MNGR

GRAYTOWN ROAD IMPASSIBLE DUE TO WASHOUT OF SUBSURFACE AND
SINKHOLE.

0305 AM FLOOD BAR HARBOR 44.39N 68.20W
07/03/2009 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS HAVE BEEN FLOODED IN TOWN.

0500 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 W COOPER 44.95N 67.53W
07/03/2009 WASHINGTON ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

CULVERT WASHOUT ON 19 ROAD, SOUTH OF JOE HANSCOM HEATH
ROAD.

0500 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 SSE CRAWFORD 45.00N 67.51W
07/03/2009 WASHINGTON ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

TIMBERLANDS ROAD WASHED OUT BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

&&

$$

MAT

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KCAR [061807]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 061807
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
207 PM EDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM FLASH FLOOD SEDGWICK 44.30N 68.62W
07/03/2009 HANCOCK ME EMERGENCY MNGR

GRAYTOWN ROAD IMPASSIBLE DUE TO WASHOUT OF SUBSURFACE AND
SINKHOLE.

&&

$$

MAT

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KCAR [061759]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCAR 061759
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
159 PM EDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 AM FLASH FLOOD CASTINE 44.39N 68.80W
07/03/2009 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROAD FLOODED IN THE TOWN OF CASTINE.

0300 AM FLASH FLOOD BAR HARBOR 44.39N 68.20W
07/03/2009 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

INTERSECTION OF ROUTE 3 AND WEST STREET FLOODED.

0305 AM FLOOD BAR HARBOR 44.39N 68.20W
07/03/2009 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS HAVE BEEN FLOODED IN TOWN.

0500 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 W COOPER 44.95N 67.53W
07/03/2009 WASHINGTON ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

CULVERT WASHOUT ON 19 ROAD, SOUTH OF JOE HANSCOM HEATH
ROAD.

0500 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 SSE CRAWFORD 45.00N 67.51W
07/03/2009 WASHINGTON ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

TIMBERLANDS ROAD WASHED OUT BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

&&

$$

MAT

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KCAR [061759]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 061759
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
159 PM EDT MON JUL 06 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 W COOPER 44.95N 67.53W
07/03/2009 WASHINGTON ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

CULVERT WASHOUT ON 19 ROAD, SOUTH OF JOE HANSCOM HEATH
ROAD.

0500 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 SSE CRAWFORD 45.00N 67.51W
07/03/2009 WASHINGTON ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

TIMBERLANDS ROAD WASHED OUT BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

&&

$$

MAT

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 061733
SWODY2
SPC AC 061730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2009

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE NRN
PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE NERN
STATES...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF W CNTRL MT...

...SYNOPSIS...

TUESDAYS LARGE SCALE UPPER PATTERN WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY AN UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC AND NWRN U.S. COASTS AND A RIDGE AXIS FROM
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS. BY 12Z TUESDAY...PRIMARY
SYNOPTIC FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM A SURFACE LOW IN SERN CANADA INTO
THE NERN STATES THEN WNWWD THROUGH SD AND NERN MT. A LEE TROUGH WILL
STRETCH N-S THROUGH THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. A QUASISTATIONARY
FRONT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES.

...CNTRL THROUGH NRN PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF UPPER MS VALLEY...

A FEW STORMS MAY BE ONGOING EARLY TUESDAY FROM PORTIONS OF ND INTO
THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION NORTH OF
NW-SE ORIENTED FRONT. IN-SITU MOISTURE AND EVAPOTRANSPIRATION WILL
RESULT IN MIXED LAYER DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE 50S TO AROUND 60
FARTHER SOUTH IN WARM SECTOR. AXIS OF STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL HAVE OVERSPREAD A PORTION OF THE CNTRL-NRN PLAINS AND IN
CONJUNCTION WITH DIABATIC WARMING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 1000-2000 J/KG
MLCAPE.

THE BULK OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NW
WILL LIKELY LIFT NWD INTO SRN ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN. HOWEVER...MODELS
SUGGEST SRN END VORT MAX OR REMNANT MCV FROM MONDAYS STORMS MAY
CONTINUE OVER TOP OF UPPER RIDGE THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS
VALLEY. THE WEAK LARGE SCALE FORCING ALONG WITH PLUME OF WARM AIR IN
THE 850-700 MB LAYER ASSOCIATED WITH EML COULD BE PROBLEMATIC FOR
THUNDERSTORM INITIATION IN MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR. HOWEVER...AS
BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS AND MIXES THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS
TO INTENSIFY ALONG CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED BAROCLINIC ZONE. FARTHER
SOUTH MORE ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR IN VICINITY OF PRE-FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY ACROSS CNTRL SD BY LATE AFTERNOON.
STRENGTHENING SSWLY LOW LEVEL JET MAY SUPPORT ADDITIONAL STORMS
DEVELOPING PRIMARY NORTH OF BOUNDARY DURING THE EVENING. BULK SHEAR
OF 25-35 KT WILL SUPPORT BOTH MULTICELL AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
WITH STORMS EVOLVING INTO ONE MORE CLUSTERS OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS
PRIMARILY FROM LATE AFTERNOON TO MID EVENING.

...NERN STATES...

COLD AIR ALOFT WITH TEMPERATURES OF -15 TO -17C AT 500 MB WILL EXIST
ABOVE AXIS MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EAST OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY
RESULTING IN 500-1000 J/KG MLCAPE AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS DURING
THE AFTERNOON. THIS REGION WILL EXIST WITHIN EXIT REGION OF A
MID-UPPER LEVEL JET THAT WILL MOVE SEWD THROUGH BASE OF UPPER
TROUGH. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH BULK SHEAR OF 40+ KT SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED
STRUCTURES. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS.

...WRN AND CNTRL MT...

ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL MOVE THROUGH BASE OF
UPPER TROUGH AND INTO MT DURING THE AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN BY LATE AFTERNOON AND SPREAD NEWD
INTO THE HIGH PLAINS OF CNTRL MT DURING THE EVENING. STRONG BULK
SHEAR WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS WITH INVERTED-V BOUNDARY LAYERS AND
STEEP LAPSE RATES SUPPORTING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL. THERE
STILL REMAINS SOME QUESTION REGARDING QUALITY OF AIRMASS SINCE
INSTABILITY/MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED IN POSTFRONTAL
REGIME...BUT WILL BE COMPENSATED FOR TO SOME EXTENT BY COOL
TEMPERATURES ALOFT.

...SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

A FEW STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG LEE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL AND
SRN HIGH PLAINS WITHIN NWLY FLOW REGIME WHERE BULK SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...CAPPING INVERSION AND PROXIMITY TO
UPPER RIDGE SUGGEST IT MAY BE DIFFICULT TO INITIATE MORE THAN VERY
ISOLATED STORMS...WLL THEREFORE MAINTAIN 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT
THIS TIME.

..DIAL.. 07/06/2009

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