NWUS53 KDMX 162136
LSRDMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
436 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0428 PM TSTM WND DMG OTTUMWA 41.02N 92.42W
06/16/2012 WAPELLO IA UNKNOWN
3 INCH OR LARGER TREE BRANCHES DOWN.
&&
$$
DEROY
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Saturday, June 16, 2012
KOUN [162130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KOUN 162130
LSROUN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
430 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0421 PM HAIL 5 S CACHE 34.56N 98.62W
06/16/2012 E1.00 INCH COMANCHE OK TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
EM
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LSROUN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
430 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0421 PM HAIL 5 S CACHE 34.56N 98.62W
06/16/2012 E1.00 INCH COMANCHE OK TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
EM
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KILN [162128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 162128
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
528 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0527 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE SIDNEY 40.30N 84.13W
06/16/2012 M2.61 INCH SHELBY OH COCORAHS
2.61 INCHES IN 40 MINUTES
&&
$$
JOHNF
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
528 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0527 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 ENE SIDNEY 40.30N 84.13W
06/16/2012 M2.61 INCH SHELBY OH COCORAHS
2.61 INCHES IN 40 MINUTES
&&
$$
JOHNF
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KGRR [162117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 162117
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
517 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0505 PM TSTM WND GST 4 NE HOLLAND 42.83N 86.06W
06/16/2012 M42.00 MPH OTTAWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER ALSO MEASURED 1/3 INCH OF RAIN IN 15 MINUTES.
&&
$$
HOVING
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
517 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0505 PM TSTM WND GST 4 NE HOLLAND 42.83N 86.06W
06/16/2012 M42.00 MPH OTTAWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER ALSO MEASURED 1/3 INCH OF RAIN IN 15 MINUTES.
&&
$$
HOVING
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KGRR [162111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 162111
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
511 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0503 PM TSTM WND GST 2 S HOLLAND 42.75N 86.11W
06/16/2012 M59 MPH ALLEGAN MI ASOS
WIND GUST AT HOLLAND ASOS.
&&
$$
HOVING
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
511 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0503 PM TSTM WND GST 2 S HOLLAND 42.75N 86.11W
06/16/2012 M59 MPH ALLEGAN MI ASOS
WIND GUST AT HOLLAND ASOS.
&&
$$
HOVING
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KGRR [162108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 162108
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
508 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0455 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SSE SAUGATUCK 42.61N 86.17W
06/16/2012 ALLEGAN MI BROADCAST MEDIA
TREE DOWN ON 126TH AVE SOUTH OF SAUGATUCK. HEALTH
UNKNOWN. REPORT RELAYED BY WOODTV.
&&
$$
HOVING
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
508 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0455 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SSE SAUGATUCK 42.61N 86.17W
06/16/2012 ALLEGAN MI BROADCAST MEDIA
TREE DOWN ON 126TH AVE SOUTH OF SAUGATUCK. HEALTH
UNKNOWN. REPORT RELAYED BY WOODTV.
&&
$$
HOVING
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KLOT [162108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 162108
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
408 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM HAIL 4 WSW BOONE GROVE 41.33N 87.19W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH PORTER IN COCORAHS
&&
$$
ACS
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
408 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM HAIL 4 WSW BOONE GROVE 41.33N 87.19W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH PORTER IN COCORAHS
&&
$$
ACS
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KEAX [162108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 162108
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
407 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0401 PM HAIL 2 NE CHILLICOTHE 39.81N 93.53W
06/16/2012 E1.75 INCH LIVINGSTON MO AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
DUX
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
407 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0401 PM HAIL 2 NE CHILLICOTHE 39.81N 93.53W
06/16/2012 E1.75 INCH LIVINGSTON MO AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
DUX
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KEAX [162105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 162105
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
405 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0358 PM TSTM WND GST BEVIER 39.75N 92.56W
06/16/2012 E55.00 MPH MACON MO TRAINED SPOTTER
WINDS ESTIMATED AROUND 55 MPH WITH SMALL BRANCHES DOWN
AND PEA SIZE HAIL
&&
$$
CBOWMAN
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
405 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0358 PM TSTM WND GST BEVIER 39.75N 92.56W
06/16/2012 E55.00 MPH MACON MO TRAINED SPOTTER
WINDS ESTIMATED AROUND 55 MPH WITH SMALL BRANCHES DOWN
AND PEA SIZE HAIL
&&
$$
CBOWMAN
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KEAX [162102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 162102
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
402 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM HAIL CHILLICOTHE 39.79N 93.55W
06/16/2012 E1.00 INCH LIVINGSTON MO PUBLIC
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 50 MPH WINDS.
&&
$$
MJM
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
402 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM HAIL CHILLICOTHE 39.79N 93.55W
06/16/2012 E1.00 INCH LIVINGSTON MO PUBLIC
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 50 MPH WINDS.
&&
$$
MJM
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KLOT [162102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 162102
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
402 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM HAIL 1 N CROWN POINT 41.44N 87.35W
06/16/2012 M1.00 INCH LAKE IN COCORAHS
&&
$$
ACS
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
402 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM HAIL 1 N CROWN POINT 41.44N 87.35W
06/16/2012 M1.00 INCH LAKE IN COCORAHS
&&
$$
ACS
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KEAX [162058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 162058
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
358 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM HAIL CHILLICOTHE 39.79N 93.55W
06/16/2012 M0.88 INCH LIVINGSTON MO AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
DUX
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
358 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM HAIL CHILLICOTHE 39.79N 93.55W
06/16/2012 M0.88 INCH LIVINGSTON MO AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
DUX
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KLOT [162055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 162055
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
355 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0344 PM HAIL CROWN POINT 41.42N 87.36W
06/16/2012 M1.75 INCH LAKE IN LAW ENFORCEMENT
MEASURED AT CROWN POINT POLICE DEPT
0345 PM HAIL MERRILLVILLE 41.47N 87.33W
06/16/2012 M1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL LASTED FROM 345-350 PM
0345 PM HAIL 1 E CROWN POINT 41.42N 87.34W
06/16/2012 M1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
ACS
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
355 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0344 PM HAIL CROWN POINT 41.42N 87.36W
06/16/2012 M1.75 INCH LAKE IN LAW ENFORCEMENT
MEASURED AT CROWN POINT POLICE DEPT
0345 PM HAIL MERRILLVILLE 41.47N 87.33W
06/16/2012 M1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL LASTED FROM 345-350 PM
0345 PM HAIL 1 E CROWN POINT 41.42N 87.34W
06/16/2012 M1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
ACS
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KEAX [162042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 162042
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
342 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0334 PM HAIL 5 W UNIONVILLE 40.48N 93.10W
06/16/2012 M1.75 INCH PUTNAM MO 911 CALL CENTER
FIRE DEPT REPORTS GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL 5.5 MILES WEST OF
UNIONVILLE ON RT U/IOWA LINE. FIRE CHIEF REPORTED SEEING
SOME ROTATION LASTED 2-3 MINUTES AND DISSIPATED. ALSO
REPORTED 50 MPH WINDS.
&&
$$
KBRONIS
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
342 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0334 PM HAIL 5 W UNIONVILLE 40.48N 93.10W
06/16/2012 M1.75 INCH PUTNAM MO 911 CALL CENTER
FIRE DEPT REPORTS GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL 5.5 MILES WEST OF
UNIONVILLE ON RT U/IOWA LINE. FIRE CHIEF REPORTED SEEING
SOME ROTATION LASTED 2-3 MINUTES AND DISSIPATED. ALSO
REPORTED 50 MPH WINDS.
&&
$$
KBRONIS
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1189
ACUS11 KWNS 162038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162038
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-162215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1189
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MO...SERN IA AND WRN/NWRN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 400...
VALID 162038Z - 162215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 400
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING FROM NRN MO...SERN IA INTO WRN AND NWRN
IL.
DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH COMPACT
VORT MAX FROM SRN IA INTO NRN MO AS WELL AS FARTHER EAST ALONG
CONFLUENCE AXIS IN NWRN IL. MORE ROBUST STORMS WILL REMAIN IN
VICINITY OF THE PROGRESSIVE VORT MAX WHERE VERTICAL SHEAR FROM 35-40
KT IS SUFFICIENT FOR ACTIVITY TO BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
WITH POTENTIAL FOR FEW STORMS TO DEVELOP MID LEVEL UPDRAFT ROTATION
AND EVOLVE INTO BOWING SEGMENTS. ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE EWD THROUGH
INSTABILITY AXIS FROM NERN MO...SERN IA INTO NRN IL DURING THE
EVENING.
..DIAL.. 06/16/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
LAT...LON 40059445 41509209 42228951 40388985 39269430 40059445
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162038
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-162215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1189
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MO...SERN IA AND WRN/NWRN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 400...
VALID 162038Z - 162215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 400
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING FROM NRN MO...SERN IA INTO WRN AND NWRN
IL.
DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH COMPACT
VORT MAX FROM SRN IA INTO NRN MO AS WELL AS FARTHER EAST ALONG
CONFLUENCE AXIS IN NWRN IL. MORE ROBUST STORMS WILL REMAIN IN
VICINITY OF THE PROGRESSIVE VORT MAX WHERE VERTICAL SHEAR FROM 35-40
KT IS SUFFICIENT FOR ACTIVITY TO BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
WITH POTENTIAL FOR FEW STORMS TO DEVELOP MID LEVEL UPDRAFT ROTATION
AND EVOLVE INTO BOWING SEGMENTS. ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE EWD THROUGH
INSTABILITY AXIS FROM NERN MO...SERN IA INTO NRN IL DURING THE
EVENING.
..DIAL.. 06/16/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
LAT...LON 40059445 41509209 42228951 40388985 39269430 40059445
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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KDVN [162027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDVN 162027
LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
327 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0322 PM HAIL BLUE GRASS 41.51N 90.76W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH SCOTT IA NWS EMPLOYEE
PEA SIZED HAIL RELAYED BY NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
SCHULTZ
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LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
327 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0322 PM HAIL BLUE GRASS 41.51N 90.76W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH SCOTT IA NWS EMPLOYEE
PEA SIZED HAIL RELAYED BY NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
SCHULTZ
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KEAX [162021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 162021
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
321 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0305 PM HAIL LUCERNE 40.46N 93.29W
06/16/2012 E1.50 INCH PUTNAM MO AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
DUX
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
321 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0305 PM HAIL LUCERNE 40.46N 93.29W
06/16/2012 E1.50 INCH PUTNAM MO AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
DUX
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KPUB [162020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPUB 162020
LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
220 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM HAIL 5 NE HILLSIDE 38.32N 105.53W
06/16/2012 M1.50 INCH FREMONT CO PUBLIC
&&
$$
PJC
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LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
220 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM HAIL 5 NE HILLSIDE 38.32N 105.53W
06/16/2012 M1.50 INCH FREMONT CO PUBLIC
&&
$$
PJC
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KEAX [162019]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 162019
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
318 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM HAIL 2 E LUCERNE 40.46N 93.25W
06/16/2012 M1.75 INCH PUTNAM MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL
&&
$$
DUX
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
318 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM HAIL 2 E LUCERNE 40.46N 93.25W
06/16/2012 M1.75 INCH PUTNAM MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL
&&
$$
DUX
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KDVN [162003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDVN 162003
LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
303 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0216 PM HAIL NNW HILLSBORO 40.84N 91.71W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH HENRY IA TRAINED SPOTTER
LASTED FOR 5 TO 10 MINUTES AND ENDED AT 216PM.
0301 PM HAIL 3 SE NEW LONDON 40.90N 91.37W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH DES MOINES IA PUBLIC
HAIL BEGAN TO FAIL AT 301PM.
&&
$$
DC
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LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
303 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0216 PM HAIL NNW HILLSBORO 40.84N 91.71W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH HENRY IA TRAINED SPOTTER
LASTED FOR 5 TO 10 MINUTES AND ENDED AT 216PM.
0301 PM HAIL 3 SE NEW LONDON 40.90N 91.37W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH DES MOINES IA PUBLIC
HAIL BEGAN TO FAIL AT 301PM.
&&
$$
DC
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1188
ACUS11 KWNS 162002
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162002
OKZ000-TXZ000-162130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1188
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0302 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...CNTRL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 162002Z - 162130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NW TX AND CNTRL OK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRIMARY SEVERE
THREATS ARE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. ANTICIPATED ISOLATED/BRIEF
NATURE OF THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.
DISCUSSION...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INITIATED ALONG A REMNANT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER NW TX FROM THE LAST NIGHTS THUNDERSTORMS AMID
A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. FARTHER NE /ACROSS CNTRL OK/...THE
AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE AND RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A MORE AGITATED CB FIELD...SUGGESTING CONVECTIVE INITIATION
MAY OCCUR SOON. THE WEAKLY SHEARED/MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
/0-6 KM BULK SHEAR AOB 20 KT AND MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG PER
LATEST RUC ANALYSIS/ ACROSS THE AREA WILL SUPPORT STRONG BUT BRIEF
PULSE CONVECTION. DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS W TX SUGGESTS
THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS /ALSO SUPPORTED BY DCAPE
VALUES AROUND 1200 J/KG PER LATEST RUC ANALYSIS/ WITH A SECONDARY
THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL. BETTER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STEEP MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ACROSS CNTRL OK APPEAR MORE SUPPORTIVE OF A PRIMARY
THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL WITH A SECONDARY THREAT OF STRONG WINDS. ONE
ADDITIONAL ITEM OF NOTE...LATEST RAP-BASED MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS
MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL OK. A CLOSER LOOK
AT THE RAP SOUNDINGS REVEALS A SUPER-ADIABATIC LAYER NEAR THE
SURFACE...CAUSING THE ANALYZED TEMPERATURE TO BE A FEW DEGREE HIGHER
THAN OBSERVED. ANTICIPATED ISOLATED/BRIEF NATURE OF THE SEVERE
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW BUT CONVECTIVE
TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY.
..MOSIER/HART.. 06/16/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...
LAT...LON 33680115 33940012 34369921 35119889 36309876 36949835
36599654 34329697 32959827 32800104 33680115
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162002
OKZ000-TXZ000-162130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1188
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0302 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...CNTRL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 162002Z - 162130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NW TX AND CNTRL OK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRIMARY SEVERE
THREATS ARE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL. ANTICIPATED ISOLATED/BRIEF
NATURE OF THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.
DISCUSSION...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INITIATED ALONG A REMNANT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER NW TX FROM THE LAST NIGHTS THUNDERSTORMS AMID
A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. FARTHER NE /ACROSS CNTRL OK/...THE
AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE AND RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A MORE AGITATED CB FIELD...SUGGESTING CONVECTIVE INITIATION
MAY OCCUR SOON. THE WEAKLY SHEARED/MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
/0-6 KM BULK SHEAR AOB 20 KT AND MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG PER
LATEST RUC ANALYSIS/ ACROSS THE AREA WILL SUPPORT STRONG BUT BRIEF
PULSE CONVECTION. DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS W TX SUGGESTS
THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS /ALSO SUPPORTED BY DCAPE
VALUES AROUND 1200 J/KG PER LATEST RUC ANALYSIS/ WITH A SECONDARY
THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL. BETTER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STEEP MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ACROSS CNTRL OK APPEAR MORE SUPPORTIVE OF A PRIMARY
THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL WITH A SECONDARY THREAT OF STRONG WINDS. ONE
ADDITIONAL ITEM OF NOTE...LATEST RAP-BASED MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS
MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL OK. A CLOSER LOOK
AT THE RAP SOUNDINGS REVEALS A SUPER-ADIABATIC LAYER NEAR THE
SURFACE...CAUSING THE ANALYZED TEMPERATURE TO BE A FEW DEGREE HIGHER
THAN OBSERVED. ANTICIPATED ISOLATED/BRIEF NATURE OF THE SEVERE
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW BUT CONVECTIVE
TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY.
..MOSIER/HART.. 06/16/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...
LAT...LON 33680115 33940012 34369921 35119889 36309876 36949835
36599654 34329697 32959827 32800104 33680115
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 162002
SWODY1
SPC AC 162000
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
VALID 162000Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTHEAST CO...ACROSS MUCH
OF OK...THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY...INTO LOWER MI......
...IA/MO/IL/WI/MI...
SCATTERED TSTMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN MO
INTO IL/INDIANA AT MID-AFTERNOON WITHIN AN UNSTABLE/WEAKLY CAPPED
BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF AN MCV NEAR NORTHWEST MO. ONLY OUTLOOK
CHANGE WAS TO INTRODUCE A CORRIDOR OF SLIGHTLY HIGHER WIND
PROBABILITIES PER SEVERE TSTM WATCHES 400/401.
...SOUTHEAST CO TO TX/OK PANHANDLES...
LIMITED SPATIAL ADJUSTMENTS TO EXISTING SLIGHT RISK WERE MADE TO
ACCOUNT FOR DEVELOPMENTAL TRENDS NEAR THE CO FRONT RANGE...BUT
SCENARIO OTHERWISE REMAINS AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.
...OK...
NO CHANGES...SEE PRIOR DISCUSSION BELOW.
...FAR EAST/NORTHEAST MN AND NORTHWEST WI...
RELATIVELY LOW-TOPPED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/INCREASE
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHERN
MANITOBA/NORTHERN MN. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS/SOME
HAIL.
..GUYER.. 06/16/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012/
...IA/MO/IL/WI/MI...
SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW A SERIES OF REMNANT MCVS OVER PARTS OF
NEB/KS/OK. THESE FEATURES HAVE BEEN WEAKENING THROUGH THE
MORNING...BUT ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST IN SUFFICIENT STRENGTH INTO THE
AFTERNOON TO ENHANCE CONVECTIVE RE-DEVELOPMENT OVER PARTS OF IA/MO.
THE AIR MASS OVER THIS REGION HAS BEEN RAPIDLY DESTABILIZING WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S AND MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000
J/KG NOTED. EFFECTIVE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG
ACROSS THIS AREA...BUT THE HBR PROFILER NEAR ICT SHOWED A PRONOUNCED
MID LEVEL REAR-INFLOW JET ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCV A FEW HOURS AGO.
THIS MAY HELP TO ORGANIZE CONVECTION INTO A BOWING SEGMENT LATER
TODAY. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT STORMS WILL FORM FIRST OVER
NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA AND TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING INTO NORTHERN IL/SOUTHERN WI AND PERHAPS INTO
LOWER MI TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT...AS WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES TEND TO WEAKEN UPDRAFTS AND
LIMIT THE LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.
...OK...
THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION NOW STRETCHES
E-W ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND IS DISSIPATING. THIS REGION IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME ONLY WEAKLY CAPPED BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON WITH SEVERAL
MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. VERTICAL SHEAR
AND STEERING FLOW WILL BE WEAK...SUGGESTING SLOW MOVING MULTICELL
STORMS. HOWEVER...HIGH CAPE VALUES AND PRESENCE OF BOUNDARY MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL.
...SOUTHEAST CO INTO TX/OK PANHANDLES...
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED ON BACK SIDE OF
OVERNIGHT MCS...HELPING TO TRANSPORT MOISTURE WESTWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST CO. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN THIS CORRIDOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE EVENING. EASTERLY COMPONENT OF LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT FOR SUFFICIENT
EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 162000
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
VALID 162000Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTHEAST CO...ACROSS MUCH
OF OK...THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY...INTO LOWER MI......
...IA/MO/IL/WI/MI...
SCATTERED TSTMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN MO
INTO IL/INDIANA AT MID-AFTERNOON WITHIN AN UNSTABLE/WEAKLY CAPPED
BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF AN MCV NEAR NORTHWEST MO. ONLY OUTLOOK
CHANGE WAS TO INTRODUCE A CORRIDOR OF SLIGHTLY HIGHER WIND
PROBABILITIES PER SEVERE TSTM WATCHES 400/401.
...SOUTHEAST CO TO TX/OK PANHANDLES...
LIMITED SPATIAL ADJUSTMENTS TO EXISTING SLIGHT RISK WERE MADE TO
ACCOUNT FOR DEVELOPMENTAL TRENDS NEAR THE CO FRONT RANGE...BUT
SCENARIO OTHERWISE REMAINS AS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.
...OK...
NO CHANGES...SEE PRIOR DISCUSSION BELOW.
...FAR EAST/NORTHEAST MN AND NORTHWEST WI...
RELATIVELY LOW-TOPPED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/INCREASE
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHERN
MANITOBA/NORTHERN MN. A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS/SOME
HAIL.
..GUYER.. 06/16/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012/
...IA/MO/IL/WI/MI...
SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW A SERIES OF REMNANT MCVS OVER PARTS OF
NEB/KS/OK. THESE FEATURES HAVE BEEN WEAKENING THROUGH THE
MORNING...BUT ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST IN SUFFICIENT STRENGTH INTO THE
AFTERNOON TO ENHANCE CONVECTIVE RE-DEVELOPMENT OVER PARTS OF IA/MO.
THE AIR MASS OVER THIS REGION HAS BEEN RAPIDLY DESTABILIZING WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S AND MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000
J/KG NOTED. EFFECTIVE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG
ACROSS THIS AREA...BUT THE HBR PROFILER NEAR ICT SHOWED A PRONOUNCED
MID LEVEL REAR-INFLOW JET ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCV A FEW HOURS AGO.
THIS MAY HELP TO ORGANIZE CONVECTION INTO A BOWING SEGMENT LATER
TODAY. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT STORMS WILL FORM FIRST OVER
NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA AND TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING INTO NORTHERN IL/SOUTHERN WI AND PERHAPS INTO
LOWER MI TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT...AS WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES TEND TO WEAKEN UPDRAFTS AND
LIMIT THE LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.
...OK...
THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION NOW STRETCHES
E-W ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND IS DISSIPATING. THIS REGION IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME ONLY WEAKLY CAPPED BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON WITH SEVERAL
MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. VERTICAL SHEAR
AND STEERING FLOW WILL BE WEAK...SUGGESTING SLOW MOVING MULTICELL
STORMS. HOWEVER...HIGH CAPE VALUES AND PRESENCE OF BOUNDARY MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL.
...SOUTHEAST CO INTO TX/OK PANHANDLES...
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED ON BACK SIDE OF
OVERNIGHT MCS...HELPING TO TRANSPORT MOISTURE WESTWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST CO. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN THIS CORRIDOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE EVENING. EASTERLY COMPONENT OF LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT FOR SUFFICIENT
EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.
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KDVN [161955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDVN 161955
LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
255 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0242 PM HAIL 5 WNW LOWELL 40.87N 91.51W
06/16/2012 E1.00 INCH HENRY IA TRAINED SPOTTER
DIME AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL LASTING FOR ABOUT 15 MINUTES.
HE82
&&
$$
SCHULTZ
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LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
255 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0242 PM HAIL 5 WNW LOWELL 40.87N 91.51W
06/16/2012 E1.00 INCH HENRY IA TRAINED SPOTTER
DIME AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL LASTING FOR ABOUT 15 MINUTES.
HE82
&&
$$
SCHULTZ
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KPUB [161951]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPUB 161951
LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
151 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0151 PM HAIL 5 NE HILLSIDE 38.32N 105.53W
06/16/2012 M1.00 INCH FREMONT CO PUBLIC
&&
$$
PJC
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LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
151 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0151 PM HAIL 5 NE HILLSIDE 38.32N 105.53W
06/16/2012 M1.00 INCH FREMONT CO PUBLIC
&&
$$
PJC
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KILN [161948]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 161948
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
348 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0338 PM TSTM WND DMG BOWERSVILLE 39.58N 83.72W
06/16/2012 GREENE OH PUBLIC
TREE DOWNED...HOUSE SIDING DAMAGED...CHIMNEY KNOCKED
OVER...CHICKEN COOP DAMAGED.
&&
$$
MYRONP
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
348 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0338 PM TSTM WND DMG BOWERSVILLE 39.58N 83.72W
06/16/2012 GREENE OH PUBLIC
TREE DOWNED...HOUSE SIDING DAMAGED...CHIMNEY KNOCKED
OVER...CHICKEN COOP DAMAGED.
&&
$$
MYRONP
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KIWX [161946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KIWX 161946
LSRIWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
346 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0338 PM HAIL N ELIDA 40.79N 84.20W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH ALLEN OH TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA SIZED HAIL.
&&
$$
LEWIS
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LSRIWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
346 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0338 PM HAIL N ELIDA 40.79N 84.20W
06/16/2012 M0.25 INCH ALLEN OH TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA SIZED HAIL.
&&
$$
LEWIS
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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 401
WWUS20 KWNS 161944
SEL1
SPC WW 161944
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-170200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 401
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST IOWA
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
NORTHEAST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF
KIRKSVILLE MISSOURI TO 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PEORIA
ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 400...
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF INTENSE STORMS IS ONGOING OVER SOUTHEAST
IA...WHILE STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING MCV ARE INCREASING
ACROSS MO. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. FAVORABLE WESTERLY
FLOW THROUGH THE MID TROPOSPHERE COUPLED WITH HIGH CAPE VALUES WILL
PROMOTE STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS IN THE STRONGER STORMS. LARGE HAIL
IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...HART
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SEL1
SPC WW 161944
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-170200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 401
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST IOWA
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
NORTHEAST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF
KIRKSVILLE MISSOURI TO 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PEORIA
ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 400...
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF INTENSE STORMS IS ONGOING OVER SOUTHEAST
IA...WHILE STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING MCV ARE INCREASING
ACROSS MO. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. FAVORABLE WESTERLY
FLOW THROUGH THE MID TROPOSPHERE COUPLED WITH HIGH CAPE VALUES WILL
PROMOTE STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS IN THE STRONGER STORMS. LARGE HAIL
IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...HART
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KLOT [161926]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 161926
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
225 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM TSTM WND GST ROLLING MEADOWS 42.08N 88.03W
06/16/2012 E50 MPH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER
CANOPIES LIFTED SEVERAL FEET OFF GROUND
&&
$$
ACS
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
225 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM TSTM WND GST ROLLING MEADOWS 42.08N 88.03W
06/16/2012 E50 MPH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER
CANOPIES LIFTED SEVERAL FEET OFF GROUND
&&
$$
ACS
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KEAX [161920]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 161920
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
220 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0159 PM TSTM WND GST MARYVILLE 40.34N 94.87W
06/16/2012 M59 MPH NODAWAY MO AWOS
TREES REPORTED DOWN ALONG STATE HIGHWAY AB...TIME UNKNOWN
&&
$$
DUX
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
220 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0159 PM TSTM WND GST MARYVILLE 40.34N 94.87W
06/16/2012 M59 MPH NODAWAY MO AWOS
TREES REPORTED DOWN ALONG STATE HIGHWAY AB...TIME UNKNOWN
&&
$$
DUX
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KILX [161910]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KILX 161910
LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
210 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1215 PM TSTM WND DMG RANTOUL 40.30N 88.16W
06/16/2012 CHAMPAIGN IL TRAINED SPOTTER
SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN. A SCHOOL LOST PART OF ITS ROOF.
REPORT FROM WFO CHICAGO STORM SPOTTER.
&&
$$
GEELHART
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LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
210 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1215 PM TSTM WND DMG RANTOUL 40.30N 88.16W
06/16/2012 CHAMPAIGN IL TRAINED SPOTTER
SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN. A SCHOOL LOST PART OF ITS ROOF.
REPORT FROM WFO CHICAGO STORM SPOTTER.
&&
$$
GEELHART
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KABQ [161858]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KABQ 161858
LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1258 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1256 PM HAIL RUIDOSO DOWNS 33.33N 105.60W
06/16/2012 E1.00 INCH LINCOLN NM AMATEUR RADIO
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201248
$$
JF
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LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1258 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1256 PM HAIL RUIDOSO DOWNS 33.33N 105.60W
06/16/2012 E1.00 INCH LINCOLN NM AMATEUR RADIO
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201248
$$
JF
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KEAX [161855]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 161855
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
155 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0149 PM TSTM WND GST MARYVILLE 40.34N 94.87W
06/16/2012 M58 MPH NODAWAY MO AWOS
&&
$$
DUX
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
155 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0149 PM TSTM WND GST MARYVILLE 40.34N 94.87W
06/16/2012 M58 MPH NODAWAY MO AWOS
&&
$$
DUX
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KDVN [161834]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDVN 161834
LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
134 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM HAIL BIRMINGHAM 40.88N 91.95W
06/16/2012 E0.50 INCH VAN BUREN IA TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN 1/2 MILE SOUTH
BIRMINGHAM.
&&
$$
DLS
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LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
134 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM HAIL BIRMINGHAM 40.88N 91.95W
06/16/2012 E0.50 INCH VAN BUREN IA TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN 1/2 MILE SOUTH
BIRMINGHAM.
&&
$$
DLS
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KLOT [161824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 161824
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
124 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SW ARLINGTON HEIGHTS 42.08N 88.00W
06/16/2012 M0.75 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS
RAIN FELL IN THE PAST 15 MINUTES
&&
$$
ACS
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
124 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SW ARLINGTON HEIGHTS 42.08N 88.00W
06/16/2012 M0.75 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS
RAIN FELL IN THE PAST 15 MINUTES
&&
$$
ACS
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KLOT [161817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 161817
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
117 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0116 PM HAIL SCHAUMBURG 42.03N 88.08W
06/16/2012 E0.25 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC
&&
$$
ACS
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
117 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0116 PM HAIL SCHAUMBURG 42.03N 88.08W
06/16/2012 E0.25 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC
&&
$$
ACS
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1187
ACUS11 KWNS 161743
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161742
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-161845-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1187
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IA...NERN MO INTO NRN/WRN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 161742Z - 161845Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM NERN MO THROUGH SERN IA
AND WRN/NRN IL. PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND
LARGE HAIL. A WW WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED SOON.
DISCUSSION...LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW CUMULUS INCREASING ALONG A
SW-NE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE TROUGH FROM SERN IA INTO NRN IL. A
DECAYING OUTFLOW/GRAVITY WAVE WAS ALSO INDICATED MOVING THROUGH ERN
AND NERN MO. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF THESE
BOUNDARIES SOON AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES AND CAP WEAKENS WITH
MLCAPE FROM 2000-2500 J/KG. WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
MULTICELLS. HOWEVER...THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WITH 6.5-7 C/KM
LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE A THREAT OF
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND.
..DIAL/HART.. 06/16/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
LAT...LON 40589246 41549125 42348967 41618914 40868963 39249094
39989183 40589246
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161742
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-161845-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1187
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IA...NERN MO INTO NRN/WRN IL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 161742Z - 161845Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM NERN MO THROUGH SERN IA
AND WRN/NRN IL. PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND
LARGE HAIL. A WW WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED SOON.
DISCUSSION...LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOW CUMULUS INCREASING ALONG A
SW-NE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE TROUGH FROM SERN IA INTO NRN IL. A
DECAYING OUTFLOW/GRAVITY WAVE WAS ALSO INDICATED MOVING THROUGH ERN
AND NERN MO. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF THESE
BOUNDARIES SOON AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES AND CAP WEAKENS WITH
MLCAPE FROM 2000-2500 J/KG. WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
MULTICELLS. HOWEVER...THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WITH 6.5-7 C/KM
LAPSE RATES AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL PROMOTE A THREAT OF
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND.
..DIAL/HART.. 06/16/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...
LAT...LON 40589246 41549125 42348967 41618914 40868963 39249094
39989183 40589246
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KLUB [161743]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KLUB 161743
LSRLUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1243 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM NON-TSTM WND GST HAPPY 34.74N 101.86W
06/16/2012 E75 MPH SWISHER TX TRAINED SPOTTER
LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN...SHINGLES BLOWN OFF
ROOFS...DUMPSTERS BLOWN OVER. TIME ESTIMATED BETWEEN 100
AM AND 200 AM.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LUB1200350
$$
MCQUEEN
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LSRLUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1243 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM NON-TSTM WND GST HAPPY 34.74N 101.86W
06/16/2012 E75 MPH SWISHER TX TRAINED SPOTTER
LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN...SHINGLES BLOWN OFF
ROOFS...DUMPSTERS BLOWN OVER. TIME ESTIMATED BETWEEN 100
AM AND 200 AM.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LUB1200350
$$
MCQUEEN
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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 400
WWUS20 KWNS 161736
SEL0
SPC WW 161736
IAZ000-MOZ000-170000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 400
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN IOWA
NORTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF KNOXVILLE IOWA TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF CHILLICOTHE
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING RAPIDLY AHEAD OF AN MCV OVER
NORTHWEST MO. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK RAPIDLY
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN IA AND NORTHERN MO THIS
AFTERNOON. AMPLE CAPE AND MESOSCALE ORGANIZATION OF MCV SUGGEST AND
INCREASING RISK OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN THE STRONGER STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...HART
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SEL0
SPC WW 161736
IAZ000-MOZ000-170000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 400
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN IOWA
NORTHERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF KNOXVILLE IOWA TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF CHILLICOTHE
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING RAPIDLY AHEAD OF AN MCV OVER
NORTHWEST MO. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK RAPIDLY
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN IA AND NORTHERN MO THIS
AFTERNOON. AMPLE CAPE AND MESOSCALE ORGANIZATION OF MCV SUGGEST AND
INCREASING RISK OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN THE STRONGER STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...HART
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 161732
SWODY2
SPC AC 161730
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
DAKOTAS/UPPER MIDWEST...
...SYNOPSIS...
ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
TWO-THIRDS OF CANADA...A SOMEWHAT FLATTER/MORE ZONAL LARGE SCALE
PATTERN WILL EVOLVE OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS ON SUNDAY. WITHIN
THIS REGIME...THE PRIMARY DEEP CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FOR THE PERIOD
WILL BE INFLUENCED BY THE EASTWARD TRANSITION OF LOW AMPLITUDE
WESTERLIES/STRENGTHENING POLAR JET OVER THE NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL
CONUS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY.
...EASTERN DAKOTAS/MIDDLE MO VALLEY/UPPER MIDWEST...
GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED LARGE SCALE SCENARIO...A RELATIVELY MOIST
AIRMASS /GENERALLY LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS/ WILL
QUICKLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL PLAINS/MO RIVER
VALLEY ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL BE IN TANDEM WITH A
NORTHWARD-SHIFTING/SHARPENING WARM FRONT AND ANTICIPATED SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. WEAK SHORTWAVE
RIDING/CAPPING SHOULD GIVE WAY TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DEEP
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WITH AID OF
AN APPROACHING SPEED MAX ALOFT. THIS SHOULD INITIALLY BE THE CASE IN
VICINITY OF A TRIPLE POINT NEAR/EAST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER ACROSS
THE DAKOTAS. STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE IN EARNEST
ESPECIALLY TOWARD/AFTER DARK...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH-NORTHEAST
OF THE NORTHWARD-SHIFTING WARM FRONT WITH AID OF A NOCTURNALLY
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET/ASSOCIATED WARM ADVECTION REGIME.
FARTHER SOUTH...A MORE APPRECIABLE EML WILL CONSIDERABLY HINDER THE
LIKELIHOOD/EXTENT OF DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SOUTHWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING IN VICINITY OF A
DRYLINE/SURFACE TROUGH.
PROVIDED BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE RETURNS AS EXPECTED...FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SURFACE LOW/S AND WARM FRONT FAVOR
SUPERCELLS POTENTIALLY CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL. ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY
LAYER MIXING MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR...AMPLE VERTICAL SHEAR/SRH MAY
YIELD A TORNADO THREAT ESPECIALLY NEAR THE WARM FRONT DURING THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE EASTERN DAKOTAS/WESTERN MN. A
DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST FOR A TIME WITH POTENTIAL FOR
UPSCALE GROWTH FOCUSED NEAR THE WARM FRONT SUNDAY EVENING. SEVERE
POTENTIAL WILL OTHERWISE SHIFT EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF
MN/MAINLY NORTHERN IA SUNDAY NIGHT...ALTHOUGH ON AN INCREASINGLY
ISOLATED/MARGINAL BASIS BY OVERNIGHT AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLS/INFLOW BECOMES ELEVATED.
...SOUTHERN PLAINS/OZARKS TO THE OH VALLEY...
WEAK WESTERLY/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL COINCIDE WITH AN
ANTICIPATED DIURNAL INCREASE OF ISOLATED-SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ALONG AND SOUTH OF AN
EFFECTIVE FRONT ANGLING SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TO UPPER OH VALLEY. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT POCKETS OF
SEVERE HAIL/LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS ACROSS THIS BROAD CORRIDOR. WHILE VERTICAL
SHEAR IS ANTICIPATED TO BE MEAGER /20-25 KT OR LESS/...AREAS SUCH AS
THE OH VALLEY COULD WARRANT A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK FOR
PULSE/MULTICELLULAR INDUCED BOUTS OF DAMAGING WIND/HAIL GIVEN
POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE DESTABILIZATION WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR.
..GUYER.. 06/16/2012
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SWODY2
SPC AC 161730
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
DAKOTAS/UPPER MIDWEST...
...SYNOPSIS...
ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
TWO-THIRDS OF CANADA...A SOMEWHAT FLATTER/MORE ZONAL LARGE SCALE
PATTERN WILL EVOLVE OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS ON SUNDAY. WITHIN
THIS REGIME...THE PRIMARY DEEP CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FOR THE PERIOD
WILL BE INFLUENCED BY THE EASTWARD TRANSITION OF LOW AMPLITUDE
WESTERLIES/STRENGTHENING POLAR JET OVER THE NORTHWEST/NORTH-CENTRAL
CONUS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY.
...EASTERN DAKOTAS/MIDDLE MO VALLEY/UPPER MIDWEST...
GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED LARGE SCALE SCENARIO...A RELATIVELY MOIST
AIRMASS /GENERALLY LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS/ WILL
QUICKLY SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL PLAINS/MO RIVER
VALLEY ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL BE IN TANDEM WITH A
NORTHWARD-SHIFTING/SHARPENING WARM FRONT AND ANTICIPATED SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. WEAK SHORTWAVE
RIDING/CAPPING SHOULD GIVE WAY TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DEEP
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WITH AID OF
AN APPROACHING SPEED MAX ALOFT. THIS SHOULD INITIALLY BE THE CASE IN
VICINITY OF A TRIPLE POINT NEAR/EAST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER ACROSS
THE DAKOTAS. STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE IN EARNEST
ESPECIALLY TOWARD/AFTER DARK...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH-NORTHEAST
OF THE NORTHWARD-SHIFTING WARM FRONT WITH AID OF A NOCTURNALLY
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET/ASSOCIATED WARM ADVECTION REGIME.
FARTHER SOUTH...A MORE APPRECIABLE EML WILL CONSIDERABLY HINDER THE
LIKELIHOOD/EXTENT OF DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SOUTHWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING IN VICINITY OF A
DRYLINE/SURFACE TROUGH.
PROVIDED BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE RETURNS AS EXPECTED...FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SURFACE LOW/S AND WARM FRONT FAVOR
SUPERCELLS POTENTIALLY CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL. ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY
LAYER MIXING MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR...AMPLE VERTICAL SHEAR/SRH MAY
YIELD A TORNADO THREAT ESPECIALLY NEAR THE WARM FRONT DURING THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS ACROSS THE EASTERN DAKOTAS/WESTERN MN. A
DAMAGING WIND THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST FOR A TIME WITH POTENTIAL FOR
UPSCALE GROWTH FOCUSED NEAR THE WARM FRONT SUNDAY EVENING. SEVERE
POTENTIAL WILL OTHERWISE SHIFT EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF
MN/MAINLY NORTHERN IA SUNDAY NIGHT...ALTHOUGH ON AN INCREASINGLY
ISOLATED/MARGINAL BASIS BY OVERNIGHT AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLS/INFLOW BECOMES ELEVATED.
...SOUTHERN PLAINS/OZARKS TO THE OH VALLEY...
WEAK WESTERLY/NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL COINCIDE WITH AN
ANTICIPATED DIURNAL INCREASE OF ISOLATED-SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ALONG AND SOUTH OF AN
EFFECTIVE FRONT ANGLING SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS TO UPPER OH VALLEY. CURRENT THINKING IS THAT POCKETS OF
SEVERE HAIL/LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS ACROSS THIS BROAD CORRIDOR. WHILE VERTICAL
SHEAR IS ANTICIPATED TO BE MEAGER /20-25 KT OR LESS/...AREAS SUCH AS
THE OH VALLEY COULD WARRANT A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK FOR
PULSE/MULTICELLULAR INDUCED BOUTS OF DAMAGING WIND/HAIL GIVEN
POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE DESTABILIZATION WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR.
..GUYER.. 06/16/2012
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KDMX [161658]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDMX 161658
LSRDMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1157 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0444 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 E VARINA 42.66N 94.82W
06/15/2012 POCAHONTAS IA PUBLIC
SEVERAL 6 INCH LIMBS DOWN ACROSS THE YARD. PEA SIZE HAIL
ALSO OBSERVED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
$$
DEITSCH
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LSRDMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1157 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0444 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 E VARINA 42.66N 94.82W
06/15/2012 POCAHONTAS IA PUBLIC
SEVERAL 6 INCH LIMBS DOWN ACROSS THE YARD. PEA SIZE HAIL
ALSO OBSERVED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
$$
DEITSCH
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1186
ACUS11 KWNS 161641
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161640
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-161815-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1186
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME ERN KS...SRN IA THROUGH NWRN MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 161640Z - 161815Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM ERN KS THROUGH WRN MO
AND SRN IA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED ONCE INITIATION APPEARS IMMINENT.
DISCUSSION...LATE THIS MORNING A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A WEAK SFC LOW
IN EXTREME NERN KS SWWD THROUGH ERN AND SRN KS. ANOTHER CONVERGENCE
BOUNDARY EXTENDS EAST FROM THE LOW THROUGH SRN IA. DECAYING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY OR REMNANT GRAVITY WAVE CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY FROM
NCNTRL MO SWWD THROUGH CNTRL OK. THE ATMOSPHERE IS DESTABILIZING IN
WAKE OF THE INITIAL OUTFLOW AND EAST OF TROUGH AXIS FROM ERN KS
THROUGH MUCH OF MO AND SRN IA. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS PLUME OF
STEEPER LAPSE RATES ADVECTING EWD ABOVE MID-UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS.
THIS IN CONJUNCTION WITH DIABATIC WARMING SHOULD BOOST MLCAPE TO
2000-2500 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. PROFILER DATA FROM HOBART KS INDICATE
A 50 KT WLY MID LEVEL JET BETWEEN 3 AND 5 KM SOUTH OF AN MCV LOCATED
OVER NERN KS.
VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES A RAPID INCREASE IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVER
ERN KS...LIKELY INDICATIVE OF MESOSCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
MCV. AS THIS ZONE OF DEEPER ASCENT CONTINUES EWD THROUGH THE
DESTABILIZING ATMOSPHERE...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM
EXTREME ERN KS INTO WRN MO AND SWRN IA. VERTICAL SHEAR IS GENERALLY
MODEST SUPPORTING MOSTLY MULTICELLS. HOWEVER...A SMALL ZONE OF 35-40
KT SHEAR EXISTS WITHIN BELT OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW SOUTH OF THE
MCV...SUGGESTING A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND
DEVELOP UPDRAFT ROTATION AND BOWING SEGMENTS.
..DIAL/HART.. 06/16/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 37709549 38999511 40039524 41139515 41409301 39969236
37879369 37709549
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161640
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-161815-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1186
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME ERN KS...SRN IA THROUGH NWRN MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 161640Z - 161815Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM ERN KS THROUGH WRN MO
AND SRN IA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED ONCE INITIATION APPEARS IMMINENT.
DISCUSSION...LATE THIS MORNING A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A WEAK SFC LOW
IN EXTREME NERN KS SWWD THROUGH ERN AND SRN KS. ANOTHER CONVERGENCE
BOUNDARY EXTENDS EAST FROM THE LOW THROUGH SRN IA. DECAYING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY OR REMNANT GRAVITY WAVE CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY FROM
NCNTRL MO SWWD THROUGH CNTRL OK. THE ATMOSPHERE IS DESTABILIZING IN
WAKE OF THE INITIAL OUTFLOW AND EAST OF TROUGH AXIS FROM ERN KS
THROUGH MUCH OF MO AND SRN IA. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS PLUME OF
STEEPER LAPSE RATES ADVECTING EWD ABOVE MID-UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS.
THIS IN CONJUNCTION WITH DIABATIC WARMING SHOULD BOOST MLCAPE TO
2000-2500 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. PROFILER DATA FROM HOBART KS INDICATE
A 50 KT WLY MID LEVEL JET BETWEEN 3 AND 5 KM SOUTH OF AN MCV LOCATED
OVER NERN KS.
VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES A RAPID INCREASE IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVER
ERN KS...LIKELY INDICATIVE OF MESOSCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
MCV. AS THIS ZONE OF DEEPER ASCENT CONTINUES EWD THROUGH THE
DESTABILIZING ATMOSPHERE...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FROM
EXTREME ERN KS INTO WRN MO AND SWRN IA. VERTICAL SHEAR IS GENERALLY
MODEST SUPPORTING MOSTLY MULTICELLS. HOWEVER...A SMALL ZONE OF 35-40
KT SHEAR EXISTS WITHIN BELT OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW SOUTH OF THE
MCV...SUGGESTING A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND
DEVELOP UPDRAFT ROTATION AND BOWING SEGMENTS.
..DIAL/HART.. 06/16/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 37709549 38999511 40039524 41139515 41409301 39969236
37879369 37709549
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KDMX [161636]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDMX 161636
LSRDMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1136 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0431 PM TSTM WND DMG SSW JOLLEY 42.48N 94.72W
06/15/2012 CALHOUN IA PUBLIC
SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN ACROSS TOWN. ONE TREE FELL ON
TOP OF POWER LINES KNOCKING THEM TO THE GROUND. TIME
ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
$$
DEITSCH
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LSRDMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1136 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0431 PM TSTM WND DMG SSW JOLLEY 42.48N 94.72W
06/15/2012 CALHOUN IA PUBLIC
SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN ACROSS TOWN. ONE TREE FELL ON
TOP OF POWER LINES KNOCKING THEM TO THE GROUND. TIME
ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
$$
DEITSCH
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 161630
SWODY1
SPC AC 161629
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
VALID 161630Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTHEAST CO...ACROSS MUCH
OF OK...THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY...INTO LOWER MI...
...IA/MO/IL/WI/MI...
SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW A SERIES OF REMNANT MCVS OVER PARTS OF
NEB/KS/OK. THESE FEATURES HAVE BEEN WEAKENING THROUGH THE
MORNING...BUT ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST IN SUFFICIENT STRENGTH INTO THE
AFTERNOON TO ENHANCE CONVECTIVE RE-DEVELOPMENT OVER PARTS OF IA/MO.
THE AIR MASS OVER THIS REGION HAS BEEN RAPIDLY DESTABILIZING WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S AND MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000
J/KG NOTED. EFFECTIVE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG
ACROSS THIS AREA...BUT THE HBR PROFILER NEAR ICT SHOWED A PRONOUNCED
MID LEVEL REAR-INFLOW JET ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCV A FEW HOURS AGO.
THIS MAY HELP TO ORGANIZE CONVECTION INTO A BOWING SEGMENT LATER
TODAY. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT STORMS WILL FORM FIRST OVER
NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA AND TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING INTO NORTHERN IL/SOUTHERN WI AND PERHAPS INTO
LOWER MI TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT...AS WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES TEND TO WEAKEN UPDRAFTS AND
LIMIT THE LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.
...OK...
THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION NOW STRETCHES
E-W ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND IS DISSIPATING. THIS REGION IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME ONLY WEAKLY CAPPED BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON WITH SEVERAL
MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. VERTICAL SHEAR
AND STEERING FLOW WILL BE WEAK...SUGGESTING SLOW MOVING MULTICELL
STORMS. HOWEVER...HIGH CAPE VALUES AND PRESENCE OF BOUNDARY MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL.
...SOUTHEAST CO INTO TX/OK PANHANDLES...
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED ON BACK SIDE OF
OVERNIGHT MCS...HELPING TO TRANSPORT MOISTURE WESTWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST CO. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN THIS CORRIDOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE EVENING. EASTERLY COMPONENT OF LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT FOR SUFFICIENT
EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.
..HART/MOSIER.. 06/16/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 161629
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
VALID 161630Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTHEAST CO...ACROSS MUCH
OF OK...THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY...INTO LOWER MI...
...IA/MO/IL/WI/MI...
SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY SHOW A SERIES OF REMNANT MCVS OVER PARTS OF
NEB/KS/OK. THESE FEATURES HAVE BEEN WEAKENING THROUGH THE
MORNING...BUT ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST IN SUFFICIENT STRENGTH INTO THE
AFTERNOON TO ENHANCE CONVECTIVE RE-DEVELOPMENT OVER PARTS OF IA/MO.
THE AIR MASS OVER THIS REGION HAS BEEN RAPIDLY DESTABILIZING WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S AND MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000
J/KG NOTED. EFFECTIVE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG
ACROSS THIS AREA...BUT THE HBR PROFILER NEAR ICT SHOWED A PRONOUNCED
MID LEVEL REAR-INFLOW JET ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCV A FEW HOURS AGO.
THIS MAY HELP TO ORGANIZE CONVECTION INTO A BOWING SEGMENT LATER
TODAY. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT STORMS WILL FORM FIRST OVER
NORTHERN MO/SOUTHERN IA AND TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING INTO NORTHERN IL/SOUTHERN WI AND PERHAPS INTO
LOWER MI TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT...AS WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES TEND TO WEAKEN UPDRAFTS AND
LIMIT THE LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.
...OK...
THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION NOW STRETCHES
E-W ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND IS DISSIPATING. THIS REGION IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME ONLY WEAKLY CAPPED BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON WITH SEVERAL
MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. VERTICAL SHEAR
AND STEERING FLOW WILL BE WEAK...SUGGESTING SLOW MOVING MULTICELL
STORMS. HOWEVER...HIGH CAPE VALUES AND PRESENCE OF BOUNDARY MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL.
...SOUTHEAST CO INTO TX/OK PANHANDLES...
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED ON BACK SIDE OF
OVERNIGHT MCS...HELPING TO TRANSPORT MOISTURE WESTWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST CO. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN THIS CORRIDOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE EVENING. EASTERLY COMPONENT OF LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT FOR SUFFICIENT
EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS.
..HART/MOSIER.. 06/16/2012
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KCHS [161545]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KCHS 161545
LSRCHS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1144 AM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM RIP CURRENTS TYBEE ISLAND 32.02N 80.86W
06/15/2012 CHATHAM GA LIFEGUARD
*** 2 INJ *** TYBEE ISLAND LIFEGUARDS REPORTED 8
RESCUES DUE TO RIP CURRENTS NEAR THE PIER. 2 WERE
INJURED ON THE JETTIES.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1200393
$$
BDC
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LSRCHS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1144 AM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM RIP CURRENTS TYBEE ISLAND 32.02N 80.86W
06/15/2012 CHATHAM GA LIFEGUARD
*** 2 INJ *** TYBEE ISLAND LIFEGUARDS REPORTED 8
RESCUES DUE TO RIP CURRENTS NEAR THE PIER. 2 WERE
INJURED ON THE JETTIES.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1200393
$$
BDC
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KCHS [161542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KCHS 161542
LSRCHS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1142 AM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 AM RIP CURRENTS TYBEE ISLAND 32.02N 80.86W
06/16/2012 CHATHAM GA LIFEGUARD
TYBEE ISLAND LIFEGUARDS REPORTED 5 RESCUES SO FAR AS A
RESULT OF RIP CURRENTS NEAR THE PIER.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1200392
$$
BDC
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LSRCHS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1142 AM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1130 AM RIP CURRENTS TYBEE ISLAND 32.02N 80.86W
06/16/2012 CHATHAM GA LIFEGUARD
TYBEE ISLAND LIFEGUARDS REPORTED 5 RESCUES SO FAR AS A
RESULT OF RIP CURRENTS NEAR THE PIER.
&&
EVENT NUMBER CHS1200392
$$
BDC
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KDMX [161532]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDMX 161532
LSRDMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1030 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0403 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S FONDA 42.54N 94.85W
06/15/2012 CALHOUN IA PUBLIC
SEVERAL SIX TO EIGHT INCH LIMBS DOWN. TOP OF A LARGE TREE
WAS SHEARED OFF. PEA SIZE HAIL ALSO OBSERVED.
&&
$$
DEITSCH
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LSRDMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1030 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0403 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S FONDA 42.54N 94.85W
06/15/2012 CALHOUN IA PUBLIC
SEVERAL SIX TO EIGHT INCH LIMBS DOWN. TOP OF A LARGE TREE
WAS SHEARED OFF. PEA SIZE HAIL ALSO OBSERVED.
&&
$$
DEITSCH
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KLMK [161509]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLMK 161509
LSRLMK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1109 AM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1102 AM HEAVY RAIN SHELBYVILLE 38.22N 85.23W
06/16/2012 M2.40 INCH SHELBY KY TRAINED SPOTTER
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING REPORTED IN SHELBYVILLE
AND SOUTHVILLE.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LMK1200651
$$
TENHARMSEL
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LSRLMK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1109 AM EDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1102 AM HEAVY RAIN SHELBYVILLE 38.22N 85.23W
06/16/2012 M2.40 INCH SHELBY KY TRAINED SPOTTER
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING REPORTED IN SHELBYVILLE
AND SOUTHVILLE.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LMK1200651
$$
TENHARMSEL
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KLUB [161440]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KLUB 161440
LSRLUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
940 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1003 PM HAIL LUBBOCK 33.58N 101.88W
06/15/2012 E1.25 INCH LUBBOCK TX NWS EMPLOYEE
A FEW HAIL STONES JUST OVER 1.00 INCH DIAMETER AT 82ND
AND FRANKFORT.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LUB1200349
$$
MCQUEEN
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LSRLUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
940 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1003 PM HAIL LUBBOCK 33.58N 101.88W
06/15/2012 E1.25 INCH LUBBOCK TX NWS EMPLOYEE
A FEW HAIL STONES JUST OVER 1.00 INCH DIAMETER AT 82ND
AND FRANKFORT.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LUB1200349
$$
MCQUEEN
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KLUB [161439]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KLUB 161439
LSRLUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
939 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0947 PM DUST STORM 2 SE WOLFFORTH 33.49N 101.99W
06/15/2012 LUBBOCK TX METEOROLOGIST
VISIBILITY FREQUENTLY LESS THAN 50 YARDS FROM BLOWING
DUST...OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO...FROM 947 PM TO 957 PM.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LUB1200348
$$
MCQUEEN
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LSRLUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
939 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0947 PM DUST STORM 2 SE WOLFFORTH 33.49N 101.99W
06/15/2012 LUBBOCK TX METEOROLOGIST
VISIBILITY FREQUENTLY LESS THAN 50 YARDS FROM BLOWING
DUST...OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO...FROM 947 PM TO 957 PM.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LUB1200348
$$
MCQUEEN
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KLUB [161439]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KLUB 161439
LSRLUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
938 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0947 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SE WOLFFORTH 33.49N 101.99W
06/15/2012 E65 MPH LUBBOCK TX METEOROLOGIST
&&
EVENT NUMBER LUB1200347
$$
MCQUEEN
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LSRLUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
938 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0947 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SE WOLFFORTH 33.49N 101.99W
06/15/2012 E65 MPH LUBBOCK TX METEOROLOGIST
&&
EVENT NUMBER LUB1200347
$$
MCQUEEN
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