Thursday, October 31, 2013

KDVN [311302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 311302
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
802 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0802 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ENE FORT MADISON 40.63N 91.33W
10/31/2013 M2.20 INCH LEE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

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KLSX [311301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 311301
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
800 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN HANNIBAL 39.71N 91.38W
10/31/2013 M2.00 INCH MARION MO TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 7 AM.


&&

$$

TRUETT

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 311252
SWODY1
SPC AC 311250

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

VALID 311300Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WRN GULF COAST TO
MID-SOUTH...LOWER-MID MS RIVER VALLEY AND LAKE ERIE REGION...

...SYNOPSIS...
MAIN SYNOPTIC-SCALE FEATURE FOR THIS OUTLOOK WILL REMAIN
WELL-DEFINED TROUGH -- LOCATED INITIALLY FROM ERN DAKOTAS SSWWD
ACROSS SRN HIGH PLAINS. TWO EMBEDDED/PRIMARY VORTICITY MAXIMA AND
RELATED MESOSCALE CIRCULATIONS ALOFT ARE EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY...
1. OVER ERN SD AT 31/12Z -- FCST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS UPPER MS VALLEY
TO WI BY 1/00Z AND ACCELERATE ENEWD ACROSS LH TO NECK OF ONT BY
1/12Z.
2. OVER OK PANHANDLE AS 31/12Z...WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH SWD ACROSS
MERIDIONAL SEGMENT OF TX/NM BORDER. THIS PERTURBATION SHOULD WEAKEN
SLIGHTLY UNTIL MOVING ENEWD OVER OZARKS BY 1/00Z...THEN
ACCELERATE/WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY WHILE EJECTING OVER IL/INDIANA/OH/LE
REGION OVERNIGHT.

ASSOCIATED SFC LOW OVER SERN WI SHOULD BECOME BETTER-DEFINED
THROUGHOUT DAYLIGHT HOURS...AS IT CROSSES REMAINDER WI AND WRN/NRN
LM. BY 00Z...COLD FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM LOW ACROSS NWRN
INDIANA...NEAR WRN TIP OF KY...NWRN LA...AND DEEP S TX. BY END OF
PERIOD...LOW SHOULD BECOME SUBSTANTIALLY OCCLUDED AND VERTICALLY
STACKED WITH NRN PERTURBATION OVER ONT. COLD FRONT SHOULD BE
CROSSING PORTIONS CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...AL...AND SERN LA BY 1/12Z.

...WRN GULF COAST...LOWER MS VALLEY TO LOWER GREAT LAKES...
WRN GULF COAST REGION IS EXPERIENCING PERIPHERAL INFLUENCE OF
MID-UPPER LEVEL PERTURBATION IN FORM OF STRENGTHENING DEEP SHEAR AND
DEEP-LAYER LIFT...JUXTAPOSED WITH VERY RICHLY MOST BOUNDARY LAYER --
E.G. SFC DEW POINTS INTO MID-70S F. SUCH MOISTURE IS NEEDED TO
OFFSET WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT TO MAINTAIN BUOYANCY ROOTED IN
BOUNDARY LAYER. ACCORDINGLY...CONVECTION HAS BEEN GETTING BETTER
ORGANIZED IN BROAD LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE ACROSS PORTIONS SE TX
AND LA. OCNL DAMAGING GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE...AND A FEW TORNADOES
CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN LARGE SIZE OF LOW-LEVEL VWP/RAOB
HODOGRAPHS E OF MAIN CONFLUENCE/CONVECTIVE AXIS. REF SPC MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION 1989 AND WW 551 FOR ADDITIONAL NEAR-TERM GUIDANCE.

WITH NWD EXTENT...BOUNDARY-LAYER THETAE WILL DIMINISH WHILE
STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS ALOFT WILL YIELD MORE SUBSTANTIAL
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. AS SUCH...OUTLOOK BECOMES MORE CONDITIONAL.
ANTECEDENT CLOUDS/PRECIP ACROSS MUCH OF PREFRONTAL CORRIDOR FROM
MID-SOUTH REGION NWD SUGGEST LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN
WEAK...ALTHOUGH FCST SOUNDINGS CAN PRODUCE EFFECTIVELY SFC-BASED
INFLOW PARCELS WITH ONLY A FEW DEG F ADJUSTMENT OF SFC TEMPS
RESULTING FROM POCKETS OF MUTED INSOLATION. ONE OR MORE
QUASI-LINEAR CONVECTIVE BANDS MAY DEVELOP ALONG OR AHEAD OF SFC COLD
FRONT -- SOMETIMES WITHOUT LIGHTNING DUE TO STUNTED CAPE DEPTH WITH
RESPECT TO OPTIMAL ICING LAYER -- BUT STILL WITH POTENTIAL TO
TRANSFER STG-SVR GUSTS TO SFC OR SPAWN A BRIEF QLCS TORNADO.

ADDITIONAL SVR POTENTIAL MAY ARISE OVER OZARKS REGION AS SERN
PORTIONS OF STRONGEST MIDLEVEL ASCENT/COOLING...RELATED TO DCVA
REGION OF SHORTWAVE PERTURBATION -- JUXTAPOSE WITH AREAS OF SFC
DIABATIC HEATING. RESULTANT STEEPENING OF LOW-MIDDLE LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...RESIDUAL MOISTURE WITH DEW POINTS 60S F...AND STG DEEP SHEAR
MAY YIELD ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR STG/DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED
HAIL.

..EDWARDS/COHEN.. 10/31/2013

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KBOU [311252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOU 311252
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
652 AM MDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0617 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S EVERGREEN 39.59N 105.34W
10/31/2013 M56.00 MPH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KBOWEN

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KGRR [311249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 311249
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
848 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN KEELER 42.11N 86.17W
10/31/2013 M1.70 INCH VAN BUREN MI MESONET

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN HARTFORD 42.21N 86.17W
10/31/2013 M1.96 INCH VAN BUREN MI MESONET

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 ESE LANSING 42.71N 84.47W
10/31/2013 M1.12 INCH INGHAM MI MESONET

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN LESLIE 42.45N 84.43W
10/31/2013 M1.14 INCH INGHAM MI MESONET

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN HASTINGS 42.65N 85.29W
10/31/2013 M1.24 INCH BARRY MI MESONET

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN BROOKLYN 42.11N 84.25W
10/31/2013 M1.10 INCH JACKSON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 N HOPKINS 42.64N 85.76W
10/31/2013 M1.17 INCH ALLEGAN MI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW BATTLE CREEK 42.33N 85.21W
10/31/2013 M1.53 INCH CALHOUN MI ASOS

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SSE KALAMAZOO 42.23N 85.56W
10/31/2013 M1.83 INCH KALAMAZOO MI ASOS

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN KALAMAZOO 42.28N 85.59W
10/31/2013 M1.48 INCH KALAMAZOO MI MESONET

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN SOUTH HAVEN 42.40N 86.28W
10/31/2013 M1.35 INCH VAN BUREN MI MESONET

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN LAWRENCE 42.22N 86.05W
10/31/2013 M1.64 INCH VAN BUREN MI MESONET

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN CERESCO 42.27N 85.06W
10/31/2013 M1.66 INCH CALHOUN MI MESONET

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM


&&

$$

JMAPLES

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KDVN [311248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 311248
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
748 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0748 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW SHERRARD 41.31N 90.53W
10/31/2013 M1.69 INCH MERCER IL TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 551

WWUS20 KWNS 311232
SEL1
SPC WW 311232
LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-311900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 551
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
730 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI
EXTREME SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 730 AM UNTIL
200 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES NORTH OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...GRADUALLY ORGANIZING BAND OF TSTMS IS EXPECTED TO POSE
RISK OF DAMAGING GUSTS AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES AS IT MOVES
EWD INTO ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY AT LEAST MARGINAL
BUOYANCY...INCREASING DEEP SHEAR FROM W-E WITH TIME...AND LARGE
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS PER PRECONVECTIVE RAOB/VWP. REF SPC MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION 1989 FOR MORE INITIAL/NEAR-TERM DETAILS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...EDWARDS

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KCYS [311233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 311233
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
633 AM MDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE ARLINGTON 41.58N 106.17W
10/31/2013 E58 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT SITE ARLINGTON EAST


&&

$$

LIEBL

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KIWX [311233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 311233
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
832 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSE STEVENSVILLE 41.99N 86.50W
10/31/2013 M2.29 INCH BERRIEN MI COCORAHS

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNE BENTON HARBOR 42.13N 86.42W
10/31/2013 M2.31 INCH BERRIEN MI ASOS

STORM TOTAL THRU 8 AM

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 ESE BUCHANAN 41.82N 86.34W
10/31/2013 M2.25 INCH BERRIEN MI COCORAHS

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN WNW NEW CARLISLE 41.70N 86.51W
10/31/2013 M2.30 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL THRU 8 AM

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 W NILES 41.83N 86.31W
10/31/2013 M2.24 INCH BERRIEN MI COCORAHS

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW LA PORTE 41.62N 86.74W
10/31/2013 M2.13 INCH LA PORTE IN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL THRU 8 AM

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNE WATERVLIET 42.20N 86.25W
10/31/2013 M2.03 INCH BERRIEN MI COCORAHS

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW DOWAGIAC 42.05N 86.15W
10/31/2013 M2.34 INCH CASS MI COCORAHS


&&

$$

CEO

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KILX [311231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KILX 311231
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
731 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N GERMANTOWN HILLS 40.80N 89.47W
10/31/2013 M1.64 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE NORMAL 40.56N 88.95W
10/31/2013 M1.30 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN VIRGINIA 39.95N 90.21W
10/31/2013 M1.47 INCH CASS IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN ALTONA 41.12N 90.16W
10/31/2013 M1.15 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN MOWEAQUA 39.63N 89.02W
10/31/2013 M1.20 INCH SHELBY IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN WATAGA 41.03N 90.28W
10/31/2013 M1.16 INCH KNOX IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 89.07W
10/31/2013 M1.47 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN HAVANA 40.30N 90.06W
10/31/2013 M1.40 INCH MASON IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0630 AM HEAVY RAIN EUREKA 40.72N 89.28W
10/31/2013 M1.72 INCH WOODFORD IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL

0630 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SE DUNLAP 40.83N 89.64W
10/31/2013 M1.79 INCH PEORIA IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN ROANOKE 40.80N 89.20W
10/31/2013 M1.40 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN GALESBURG 40.95N 90.38W
10/31/2013 M1.34 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN CONGERVILLE 40.62N 89.21W
10/31/2013 M3.02 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN GILSON 40.87N 90.20W
10/31/2013 M2.17 INCH KNOX IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN MORTON 40.61N 89.47W
10/31/2013 M2.44 INCH TAZEWELL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 88.97W
10/31/2013 M1.26 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 E BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 88.92W
10/31/2013 M1.50 INCH MCLEAN IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CAMP GROVE 41.06N 89.66W
10/31/2013 M1.90 INCH STARK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN PANA 39.39N 89.08W
10/31/2013 M1.14 INCH CHRISTIAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN MINONK 40.90N 89.04W
10/31/2013 M1.63 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

25

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KILX [311231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 311231
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
731 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN GALESBURG 40.95N 90.38W
10/31/2013 M1.34 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN ROANOKE 40.80N 89.20W
10/31/2013 M1.40 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN MINONK 40.90N 89.04W
10/31/2013 M1.63 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

25

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KLOT [311228]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 311228
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
728 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN PARK FOREST 41.48N 87.69W
10/31/2013 M2.63 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

BN

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KILX [311221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 311221
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
721 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN PANA 39.39N 89.08W
10/31/2013 M1.14 INCH CHRISTIAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CAMP GROVE 41.06N 89.66W
10/31/2013 M1.90 INCH STARK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 E BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 88.92W
10/31/2013 M1.50 INCH MCLEAN IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 88.97W
10/31/2013 M1.26 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN MORTON 40.61N 89.47W
10/31/2013 M2.44 INCH TAZEWELL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN GILSON 40.87N 90.20W
10/31/2013 M2.17 INCH KNOX IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN CONGERVILLE 40.62N 89.21W
10/31/2013 M3.02 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

25

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KGRR [311217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 311217
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
817 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN BLOOMINGDALE 42.38N 85.96W
10/31/2013 M2.18 INCH VAN BUREN MI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL THROUGH 8 AM


&&

$$

JMAPLES

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KLOT [311217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 311217
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
717 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN WESTMONT 41.80N 87.97W
10/31/2013 M3.69 INCH DUPAGE IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

BN

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KLOT [311215]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 311215
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
715 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN WOODRIDGE 41.74N 88.04W
10/31/2013 M4.05 INCH DUPAGE IL AMATEUR RADIO

24 HOUR TOTAL. AT 75TH AND LEMONT RD.


&&

$$

BN

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KFWD [311214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 311214
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
713 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 AM FLASH FLOOD ROSEBUD 31.08N 96.98W
10/31/2013 FALLS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 53 NEAR ROSEBUD WAS FLOODED

$$

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KGRR [311211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 311211
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
811 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN OKEMOS 42.71N 84.41W
10/31/2013 M1.24 INCH INGHAM MI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 8 AM.


&&

$$

EBW

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KGRR [311207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 311207
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
807 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN GERALD R FORD ARPT 42.89N 85.53W
10/31/2013 M1.08 INCH KENT MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AT NWS THROUGH 8 AM.


&&

$$

EBW

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KGRR [311206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 311206
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
806 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SW ALLEGAN 42.52N 85.86W
10/31/2013 M1.37 INCH ALLEGAN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 8 AM.


&&

$$

EBW

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1989

ACUS11 KWNS 311156
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311156
LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-311400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1989
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...LA...SWRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 311156Z - 311400Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD INTO LATE MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
PRE-FRONTAL QLCS. AWAITING 12Z RAOBS AND CLOSELY MONITORING
SUFFICIENT INTENSIFICATION OF THE QLCS FOR POSSIBLE WW ISSUANCE.

DISCUSSION...GRADUAL TIGHTENING OF THE RADAR REFLECTIVITY GRADIENT
HAS BEEN EVIDENT WITH A QLCS EXTENDING FROM N-CNTRL LA TOWARDS
GALVESTON BAY. THE LONE REPORT OF WIND DAMAGE THIS MORNING OCCURRED
IN THE PAST HOUR IN JASPER COUNTY TX AND MAY BE THE SIGNAL FOR AT
LEAST A LOCALIZED SEVERE RISK FINALLY BEING REALIZED. THIS QLCS IS
CURRENTLY INTERCEPTING THE PLUME OF RICHER GULF DEW
POINTS...CHARACTERIZED BY MIDDLE 70S AT THE MOUTH OF THE SABINE
RIVER. ALTHOUGH THE DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS TOWARDS THE MS VALLEY IS
LIKELY NOT QUITE AS BUOYANT AND TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES ARE
POOR...INTENSE LOW/MID-LEVEL SHEAR MAY COMPENSATE AND YIELD
LEWP/BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND A
BRIEF TORNADO.

..GRAMS/EDWARDS.. 10/31/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 32159214 32399131 32359013 31868975 31388981 30109043
29289127 29699418 30399383 31399274 32159214

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KSGF [311155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 311155
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
655 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0655 AM FLOOD FORT SCOTT 37.84N 94.71W
10/31/2013 BOURBON KS 911 CALL CENTER

ROADS ARE CURRENTLY BEING CLOSED OFF FROM MOTORISTS DUE
TO FLOODING IN FORT SCOTT.


&&

$$

DCRAMER

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KCYS [311149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 311149
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
548 AM MDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0526 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
10/31/2013 M60 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT SENSOR AT ARLINGTON. SUSTAINED WINDS 45 MPH.


&&

$$

LIEBL

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KILX [311146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 311146
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
646 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SE DUNLAP 40.83N 89.64W
10/31/2013 M1.79 INCH PEORIA IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN VIRGINIA 39.95N 90.21W
10/31/2013 M1.47 INCH CASS IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0630 AM HEAVY RAIN EUREKA 40.72N 89.28W
10/31/2013 M1.72 INCH WOODFORD IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

25

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KCYS [311146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 311146
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
546 AM MDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0401 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 15 NE CENTENNIAL 41.45N 105.91W
10/31/2013 M60.00 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT SENSOR AT STROUSS HILL

0500 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
10/31/2013 M41.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT SENSOR AT HALLECK RIDGE SUSTAINED WINDS 41 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 57 MPH.


&&

$$

LIEBL

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KLOT [311142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLOT 311142
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
642 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM HEAVY RAIN ENE PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
10/31/2013 M2.54 INCH WILL IL COCORAHS

0530 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTAGE 41.59N 87.18W
10/31/2013 M2.20 INCH PORTER IN CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.75N 87.79W
10/31/2013 M2.61 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL WITH 1.02 IN LAST 6 HOURS.

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN JOLIET 41.53N 88.12W
10/31/2013 M1.70 INCH WILL IL NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE YORKVILLE 41.62N 88.42W
10/31/2013 M2.78 INCH KENDALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S EARLVILLE 41.55N 88.92W
10/31/2013 M2.75 INCH LA SALLE IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

BN

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KLOT [311142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 311142
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
635 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S EARLVILLE 41.55N 88.92W
10/31/2013 M2.75 INCH LA SALLE IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

BN

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KLCH [311134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 311134
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
634 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 S JASPER 30.91N 94.00W
10/31/2013 JASPER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

JASPER COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN
AND A HOLE IN THE ROOF OF A RESIDENCE ALONG HWY 96 AND
COUNTY ROADS 302 AND 303.


&&

$$

DJONES

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KLOT [311133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 311133
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
633 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE YORKVILLE 41.62N 88.42W
10/31/2013 M2.78 INCH KENDALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

BN

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KGRR [311131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 311131
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
731 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 E VICKSBURG 42.12N 85.50W
10/31/2013 M1.57 INCH KALAMAZOO MI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 6 AM

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN BATTLE CREEK 42.32N 85.19W
10/31/2013 M1.13 INCH CALHOUN MI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 6 AM

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 W EATON RAPIDS 42.51N 84.69W
10/31/2013 M1.10 INCH EATON MI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 6 AM

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NNE PAW PAW 42.27N 85.86W
10/31/2013 M1.83 INCH VAN BUREN MI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH 7 AM


&&

$$

JMAPLES

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KLCH [311127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 311127
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
627 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0556 AM FLOOD WOODVILLE 30.77N 94.42W
10/31/2013 TYLER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TYLER COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS MINOR STREET FLOODING AT
WOLF CREEK AND HWY 92.


&&

$$

DJONES

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KILX [311123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 311123
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
623 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN ALTONA 41.12N 90.16W
10/31/2013 M1.15 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN HAVANA 40.30N 90.06W
10/31/2013 M1.40 INCH MASON IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 89.07W
10/31/2013 M1.47 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN MOWEAQUA 39.63N 89.02W
10/31/2013 M1.20 INCH SHELBY IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN WATAGA 41.03N 90.28W
10/31/2013 M1.16 INCH KNOX IL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

25

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KSHV [311123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 311123
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
623 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM FLOOD MANY 31.57N 93.47W
10/31/2013 SABINE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO HOMES FLOODED IN MANY AND VEHICLES STALLED AFTER
DRIVING INTO LOW LYING AREAS


&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1300397

$$

25

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KDVN [311123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 311123
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
623 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N NEW WINDSOR 41.23N 90.45W
10/31/2013 M1.76 INCH MERCER IL TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

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KLOT [311119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 311119
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
619 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.75N 87.79W
10/31/2013 M2.61 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL WITH 1.02 IN LAST 6 HOURS.


&&

$$

BN

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KTFX [311114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 311114
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
514 AM MDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 17 W PENDROY 48.06N 112.67W
10/31/2013 M56 MPH TETON MT MESONET

56 MPH WIND GUST AT THE THEODORE ROOSEVELT MEMORIAL
RANCH.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [311107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 311107
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
507 AM MDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.59W
10/31/2013 M53 MPH TETON MT MESONET

53 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DELLWO MCSCN SITE.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KLOT [311101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 311101
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
601 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN JOLIET 41.53N 88.12W
10/31/2013 M1.70 INCH WILL IL NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

BN

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KFWD [311100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 311100
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
600 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 S REAGAN 31.18N 96.78W
10/31/2013 FALLS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM1373 UNDERWATER BETWEEN FM413 AND HWY 6

$$

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KFWD [311054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 311054
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
554 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0539 AM FLASH FLOOD PALESTINE 31.75N 95.63W
10/31/2013 ANDERSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY...INCLUDING
PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 79 IN THE CITY OF PALESTINE

$$

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KSHV [311046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 311046
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
546 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NW LONGVIEW 32.57N 94.82W
10/31/2013 M4.89 INCH GREGG TX PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL AS OF 530 AM


&&

EVENT NUMBER SHV1300396

$$

25

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KDVN [311042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 311042
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
542 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 AM HEAVY RAIN S WELLMAN 41.47N 91.84W
10/31/2013 M1.40 INCH WASHINGTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SO FAR.

0540 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE COLUSA 40.59N 91.14W
10/31/2013 M2.67 INCH HANCOCK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SO FAR.


&&

$$

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KILX [311042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 311042
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
542 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 N GERMANTOWN HILLS 40.80N 89.47W
10/31/2013 M1.64 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE NORMAL 40.56N 88.95W
10/31/2013 M1.30 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

25

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KLOT [311040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 311040
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
540 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTAGE 41.59N 87.18W
10/31/2013 M2.20 INCH PORTER IN CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLOT [311039]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 311039
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
539 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM HEAVY RAIN ENE PEOTONE 41.33N 87.80W
10/31/2013 M2.54 INCH WILL IL COCORAHS


&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KFWD [311007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 311007
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
507 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0457 AM FLASH FLOOD FAIRFIELD 31.72N 96.17W
10/31/2013 FREESTONE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

STILL NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY

$$

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KFWD [311003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 311003
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
502 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0457 AM FLASH FLOOD GROESBECK 31.53N 96.52W
10/31/2013 LIMESTONE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 164 HAS SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND IS ESSENTIALLY
IMPASSABLE. OTHER MAJOR ROADWAYS IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF
THE COUNTY WERE ALSO EXPERIENCING SIGNFICANT FLOODING.

$$

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MESO: Nws Weather Prediction Center College Park Md

AWUS01 KWNH 310957
FFGMPD
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-311355-

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0286
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
556 AM EDT THU OCT 31 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN TX/SOUTHERN AR/WESTERN LA...

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY

VALID 310955Z - 311355Z

SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD
TOWARD THE TX/LA BORDER ALTHOUGH CONCERNS STILL LINGER UPSTREAM
FROM AUSTIN TX NORTHEASTERN TO NEAR TYLER TX.

DISCUSSION...A VERY IMPRESSIVE BAND OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED
MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH NUMEROUS REPORTS OF FLOODED
ROADS...EVACUATIONS...AND EVEN A FEW WATER RESCUES. MESONET
OBSERVATIONS HAVE DEPICTED A WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL
PER HOUR WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF 3 INCH RAIN RATES. DURING THE PAST
6 HOURS...DOPPLER ESTIMATES SUGGEST 9 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN MAY
HAVE FALLEN OVER THE AFFECTED REGION SINCE 03Z. ALTHOUGH CLOUD
TOPS HAVE BEGUN TO WARM ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY...RESIDUAL RAIN
FALLING ATOP THE SATURATED GROUNDS WILL AID IN ADDITIONAL RAINOFF
AND FURTHER FLASH FLOOD CONCERNS.

LOOKING DOWNSTREAM...THE AXIS OF HEAVY RAINFALL HAS BEGUN
EXPANDING CLOSER TO THE TX/LA BORDER WHERE MANY LOCATIONS HAVE
VERY LOW FFG VALUES. THIS REGION IS WELL ENTRENCHED WITHIN THE
2.00 TO 2.25 INCHES PWATS WITH CELL MOTIONS REMAINING SLOW.
ALTHOUGH THE ACTIVITY IS NOT CURRENTLY TRAINING...SUCH
TRAJECTORIES REMAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE
AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE EVENTUALLY LEADS TO A PROGRESSIVE STORM
MODE. AS HAS BEEN COMMON MUCH OF THE NIGHT...THE AIR MASS CLOSER
TO THE WESTERN GULF COAST REMAINS UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE VALUES
ABOVE 1000 J/KG ACCORDING TO THE 09Z RAP. THIS CONVECTION SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SPAWN WITHIN THE UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE RAIN-COOLED AIR. GIVEN THE 75 DEGREE PLUS
DEW POINTS COMBINED WITH HIGHLY ANOMALOUS PWATS...THIS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO FAVOR RATHER HIGH RAINFALL RATES. WITH THAT
SAID...FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY...PARTICULARLY IN AREAS OF TRAINING/BACKBUILDING
CONVECTION.

THE HIGH-RESOLUTION MODELS SHOW SUFFICIENT CLUSTERING WITH THE
PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH FURTHER INCREASES THE
CONFIDENCE IN THIS OUTLOOK. PARTICULARLY GIVEN THE RECENT TRENDS
ON RADAR/SATELLITE.


RUBIN-OSTER

...PLEASE SEE WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

ATTN...RFC...ABRFC...LMRFC...WGRFC...

LAT...LON 29209621 29449661 29429773 29769844 30509839 31119771
32209617 33009508 33409448 33929328 33659238 33189191
32329171 31529203 30959312 30409406 29129554 29209621

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KFWD [310858]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 310858
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
358 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 AM FLASH FLOOD PALESTINE 31.75N 95.63W
10/31/2013 ANDERSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS ROADS IN PALESTINE ARE IMPASSABLE INCLUDING
1200 BLOCK OF BASSETT, N SYCAMORE RD NEAR EZELL AND GREEN
STREETS.

$$

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KFWD [310851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 310851
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
350 AM CDT THU OCT 31 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0319 AM FLASH FLOOD TUCKER 31.68N 95.73W
10/31/2013 ANDERSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

WOMAN TRAPPED IN VEHICLE DUE TO FLOODING ON FM645 IN
TUCKER. RESCUED AT 332 AM.

$$

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