KMLB [100320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 100320
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1118 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1020 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE PLAYALINDA BEACH 28.61N 80.61W
10/09/2011 M81.00 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

USAF 60 FT WIND TOWER NUMBER 393 MEASURED A 70 KT/81 MPH
WIND GUST.

1020 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE PLAYALINDA BEACH 28.61N 80.60W
10/09/2011 M78.00 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

USAF 60 FT WIND TOWER NUMBER 394 MEASURED A 68 KT/78 MPH
WIND GUST.

&&

$$

ARB

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KMLB [100251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 100251
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1051 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E HAULOVER CANAL 28.74N 80.70W
10/09/2011 M75 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

USAF 54 FT WIND TOWER NUMBER 19 MEASURED A WIND GUST OF
65 KT/75 MPH.

&&

$$

ARB

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KJAX [100228]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 100228
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1027 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0942 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FLAGLER BEACH 29.47N 81.13W
10/09/2011 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF WINDS OF 40-50 MPH WITH SCATTERED
POWER OUTAGES AND TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

&&

$$

ARS

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KMLB [100221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 100221
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1020 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSE PLAYALINDA BEACH 28.60N 80.60W
10/09/2011 M69.00 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

USAF 54 FT WIND TOWER NUMBER 394 MEASURED A 60 KT/69 MPH
WIND GUST.

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSE PLAYALINDA BEACH 28.61N 80.61W
10/09/2011 M75.00 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

USAF 60 FT WIND TOWER NUMBER 393 MEASURED A WIND GUST OF
65 KT/75 MPH.

&&

$$

ARB

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KJAX [100141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 100141
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
940 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
10/09/2011 E50.00 MPH FLAGLER FL TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED GUSTS TO 50 MPH OFF BUNKER VIEW LANE IN
PALM COAST. REPORTED VIA EMA OFFICE.

0759 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SE ST. AUGUSTINE 29.86N 81.26W
10/09/2011 M51.00 MPH ST. JOHNS FL C-MAN STATION

THE ST AUGUSTINE CMAN STATION REPORTED GUSTS TO 51 MPH.

0900 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 4 SE ST. AUGUSTINE 29.86N 81.26W
10/09/2011 M42.00 MPH ST. JOHNS FL C-MAN STATION

SUSTAINED WINDS MEASURED AT 42 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 49 MPH.

0909 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ST. AUGUSTINE 29.89N 81.31W
10/09/2011 M49.00 MPH ST. JOHNS FL AWOS

WIND GUSTS WERE MEASURED AT 49 MPH AT THE ST AUGUSTINE
AIRPORT.

&&

$$

ARS

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KMLB [100118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 100118
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
918 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0905 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NE CAPE CANAVERAL 28.44N 80.56W
10/09/2011 M69 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

USAF 54 FT WIND TOWER NUMBER 20 MEASURED A 60 KT/69 MPH
WIND GUST.

&&

$$

ARB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 100102
SWODY1
SPC AC 100100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AS THE PRIMARY FACTOR FOR AREAS SUCH AS
NORTH FL/ADJACENT ATLANTIC COAST...IN ADDITION A BROAD NORTH-SOUTH
EXTENT OF THE PLAINS AS A MERIDIONAL LONGWAVE REGIME PERSISTS.

...FL EAST COAST...
SURFACE LOW NEAR THE EAST COAST OF FL MAY CONTINUE TO MOVE
INLAND/WESTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. ALSO REFERENCE NHC FORECASTS FOR
DISCUSSION ON POTENTIAL SUBTROPICAL DEVELOPMENT. REGARDLESS...A
STRONG WIND FIELD DOES COINCIDE WITH THIS LOW...AND A SOMEWHAT
HIGHER LOW-LEVEL THETA-E AIRMASS COULD PIVOT CLOSER TO THE NORTHEAST
FL COAST THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. AS SUCH...A VERY LOW POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR A FEW LOW-TOPPED ROTATING STORMS CAPABLE OF A BRIEF TORNADO
ASIDE FROM GUSTY WINDS.

..GUYER.. 10/10/2011

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KCYS [100101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 100101
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
701 PM MDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 9 N CHEYENNE 41.28N 104.79W
10/09/2011 M10.0 INCH LARAMIE WY COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

&&

$$

HAMMER

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KMLB [092349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 092349
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
749 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE PLAYALINDA BEACH 28.61N 80.60W
10/09/2011 M62.00 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

USAF 54 FT WIND TOWER MEASURED 54 KT/62 MPH WIND GUST.

0638 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PATRICK AIRFORCE BASE 28.24N 80.61W
10/09/2011 M60.00 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

STATION MEASURED 52 KT/60 MPH WIND GUST.

0715 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E HAULOVER CANAL 28.74N 80.70W
10/09/2011 M66.00 MPH BREVARD FL OTHER FEDERAL

USAF 54 FT WIND TOWER MEASURED 57 KT/66 MPH WIND GUST.

&&

$$

ARB

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KCYS [092338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 092338
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
537 PM MDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW YODER 41.90N 104.32W
10/09/2011 M2.00 INCH GOSHEN WY COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 ESE LA GRANGE 41.62N 104.09W
10/09/2011 M1.50 INCH GOSHEN WY COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NNW DIX 41.29N 103.52W
10/09/2011 M1.51 INCH KIMBALL NE COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 SE LYMAN 41.84N 103.93W
10/09/2011 M2.10 INCH SCOTTS BLUFF NE COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 S GERING 41.73N 103.67W
10/09/2011 M2.38 INCH SCOTTS BLUFF NE COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 WNW SCOTTSBLUFF 41.88N 103.72W
10/09/2011 M1.66 INCH SCOTTS BLUFF NE COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN HARRISON 42.69N 103.88W
10/09/2011 M1.66 INCH SIOUX NE CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 E CRAWFORD 42.69N 103.28W
10/09/2011 M2.73 INCH DAWES NE COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 14 ENE MARSLAND 42.52N 103.05W
10/09/2011 M1.50 INCH DAWES NE COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 SW HEMINGFORD 42.27N 103.15W
10/09/2011 M1.62 INCH BOX BUTTE NE COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN ALLIANCE AIRPORT 42.05N 102.81W
10/09/2011 M2.11 INCH BOX BUTTE NE ASOS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 600 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 13 SW BRIDGEPORT 41.53N 103.28W
10/09/2011 M2.43 INCH MORRILL NE COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN CHUGWATER 41.76N 104.82W
10/09/2011 M2.16 INCH PLATTE WY CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT.

&&

$$

HAMMER

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KCYS [092317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 092317
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
516 PM MDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 2 S ELK MOUNTAIN 41.66N 106.41W
10/09/2011 M6.0 INCH CARBON WY COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT. 0.71 INCHES OF LIQUID
EQUIVALENT.

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 SE LARAMIE 41.30N 105.57W
10/09/2011 M7.8 INCH ALBANY WY COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT. 0.74 INCHES OF LIQUID
EQUIVALENT.

0700 AM SNOW 27 WSW LARAMIE 41.16N 106.06W
10/09/2011 M5.0 INCH ALBANY WY COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT. 0.32 INCHES OF LIQUID
EQUIVALENT.

0700 AM SNOW 31 N CHEYENNE 41.59N 104.79W
10/09/2011 M4.0 INCH LARAMIE WY COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT. TOTAL LIQUID
PRECIPITATION WAS 1.82 INCHES.

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 NNW CHEYENNE 41.20N 104.82W
10/09/2011 M7.0 INCH LARAMIE WY COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 700 AM MDT. 0.92 INCHES OF LIQUID
EQUIVALENT.

0600 AM SNOW 17 WNW CHEYENNE 41.24N 105.09W
10/09/2011 M8.0 INCH LARAMIE WY COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL THROUGH 600 AM MDT.

0400 PM SNOW 6 W BUFORD 41.11N 105.42W
10/09/2011 M7.0 INCH ALBANY WY CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 400 PM MDT. 0.77 INCHES OF
LIQUID EQUIVALENT.

&&

$$

HAMMER

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KLBF [092305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 092305
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
605 PM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0601 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NW SWAN LAKE 42.22N 99.14W
10/09/2011 M2.94 INCH HOLT NE CO-OP OBSERVER

MEASURED SINCE FRIDAY. STANDING WATER ON THE SAND ROAD
AND ACROSS ALL LOW LYING AREAS.

&&

$$

CDC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2243

ACUS11 KWNS 092300
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092259
FLZ000-100200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2243
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0559 PM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS E-CENTRAL FL.

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 092259Z - 100200Z

MOST INTENSE PORTION OF PERSISTENT CLUSTER OF
CONVECTION...CONSISTING OF BOTH WARM-CLOUD RAIN PROCESSES AND
EMBEDDED TSTMS...WILL MOVE SLOWLY ASHORE PORTIONS SPACE COAST REGION
DURING 00Z-03Z. 1-2 INCH/HOUR RATES WILL BE COMMON. 2-3 INCH/HOUR
RATES ARE LIKELY IN CORE OF THIS COMPLEX...INITIALLY OVER MAINLY
BREVARD COUNTIES THEN INLAND ACROSS PORTIONS ORANGE/OSCEOLA
COUNTIES. TRAINING OF ECHOES WITHIN PRIMARY PRECIP ARC...COMBINED
WITH SLOW TRANSLATION OF MCS...WILL EXACERBATE HAZARD FROM HEAVY
RAIN.

AS OF 22Z...SFC MESOANALYSIS...SUPPORTED BY LONG LOOPS OF
REFLECTIVITY AND VIS IMAGERY...INDICATED LOW-MIDLEVEL CYCLONE ABOUT
50 ESE MLB. THIS LOW WAS LOCATED JUST S OR SSE OF T-SHAPED
INTERSECTION OF TWO WELL-DEFINED CONFLUENCE AXES...SRN ONE ARCHING
SEWD ACROSS GRAND BAHAMA...NRN ONE CURVING AROUND W SIDE OF LOW AND
NNEWD ACROSS ATLANTIC WATERS WELL OFFSHORE NRN FL.
RELATED/LONGSTANDING MAX IN DEEP-LAYER ASCENT OF VERY HIGH-MOISTURE
CONTENT AIR MASS OVER NERN SEMICIRCLE OF CYCLONE IS SUPPORTING MOST
EFFICIENT/PROLIFIC RAIN PRODUCTION IN CONVECTIVE BAND JUST SW
THROUGH W THROUGH NNW OF LOW. THOUGH NOT WITHIN SAMPLING DOMAIN OF
AVAILABLE GPS OBS OR RAOBS...MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS IN MOIST SECTOR
REASONABLY DEPICT 2-2.25 INCH PW OVER THAT SECTOR OF CYCLONE.
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE WELL-SUITED TO DEEP WARM-CLOUD RAIN
PROCESSES...WITH CAPE LAYER EXTENDING INTO UPPER-LEVEL ICING REGIONS
SUPPORTING TSTMS WITH RESULTANT LOCAL RAIN-RATE ENHANCEMENT...AS
EVIDENT IN LTG-DETECTION TRENDS AND RADAR-DERIVED PRECIP PRODUCTS
OFFSHORE. STG COOLING TREND ALSO HAS BEEN NOTED IN IR CLOUD TOPS
PAST HOUR OFFSHORE SRN BREVARD COUNTY...ATOP BOTH HEAVIEST
REFLECTIVITIES AND INTERSECTING CONFLUENCE LINES.

..EDWARDS.. 10/09/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...

LAT...LON 27758040 27938096 28308135 29008109 29118093 28418048
28438056 28278059 28108056 27758040

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KBRO [092242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 092242
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
541 PM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0513 PM TSTM WND GST BROWNSVILLE 25.93N 97.48W
10/09/2011 M45 MPH CAMERON TX ASOS

&&

$$

TS

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KBRO [092206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 092206
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
505 PM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM TSTM WND GST 52 ENE PORT MANSFIELD 26.92N 96.70W
10/09/2011 M38 MPH GMZ175 XX BUOY

&&

$$

TS

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KJAX [092202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 092202
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
602 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HIGH SURF 4 NNW JACKSONVILLE BEAC 30.33N 81.40W
10/09/2011 DUVAL FL PUBLIC

SURF ESTIMATED AT 7 TO 9 FEET IN THE ATLANTIC BEACH AREA.

0530 PM HIGH SURF 1 N VILANO BEACH 29.95N 81.30W
10/09/2011 ST. JOHNS FL COUNTY OFFICIAL

SURF WAS ESTIMATED AT 8 TO 10 FEET AND MODERATE BEACH
EROSION HAS OCCURRED.

&&

$$

ARS

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KMLB [092152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 092152
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
552 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0534 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW INDIALANTIC 28.11N 80.63W
10/09/2011 M54 MPH BREVARD FL ASOS

KMLB AT MELBOURNE AIRPORT MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 47
KT/54 MPH.

&&

$$

ARB

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KBRO [092131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 092131
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
431 PM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TSTM WND GST PORT MANSFIELD 26.55N 97.43W
10/09/2011 M41 MPH WILLACY TX CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

TS

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KMLB [092116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 092116
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
516 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0454 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW INDIALANTIC 28.11N 80.63W
10/09/2011 M47 MPH BREVARD FL ASOS

KMLB AT MELBOURNE AIRPORT MEASURED A 41 KT/47 MPH WIND
GUST.

&&

$$

ARB

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KCYS [092012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 092012
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
211 PM MDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 NNW CHEYENNE 41.17N 104.81W
10/09/2011 M8.1 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 600 AM MDT. 1.14 INCHES OF
LIQUID EQUIVALENT.

&&

$$

HAMMER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 091958
SWODY1
SPC AC 091957

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

VALID 092000Z - 101200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
BOTH LOW-PROBABILITY SEVERE THREAT AREAS ARE BEING REMOVED THIS
FORECAST...AS CURRENT TRENDS SUGGEST DECREASING SEVERE POTENTIAL IN
GENERAL OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

IN S TX...AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS PRESSING SEWD AND WILL CONTINUE
MOVING BOTH OFFSHORE AND INTO FAR NERN MEXICO. THOUGH A ISOLATED/
MARGINAL HAIL OR WIND EVENT MAY OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...EXPECT
A CONTINUED DOWNWARD TREND IN POTENTIAL THUS WARRANTING REMOVAL OF
PROBABILITIES.

IN FL...A LARGE AREA OF STEADY/WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WITH EMBEDDED
CONVECTION IS DRIFTING NWWD JUST OFF THE E COAST OF FL...WITH
SUBSIDENCE SUPPRESSING CELLULAR CONVECTION JUST WEST OF THIS SYSTEM
INTO E CENTRAL FL -- WHERE LOW PROBABILITY TORNADO THREAT WAS
INCLUDED IN PRIOR FORECASTS. WITH THREAT THUS DIMINISHING
HERE...AND ONLY VERY LOW PROBABILITY POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF/WEAK
TORNADIC SPIN-UP AT BEST EVIDENT FARTHER NWD INTO NERN FL AND
VICINITY...WILL OPT TO REMOVE THE THREAT AREA ATTM.

..GOSS.. 10/09/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1120 AM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011/

...DEEP S TX TO ALONG THE MIDDLE TX COAST...

12Z SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT INFLOW AIR MASS TO ONGOING STORMS IS
QUITE MOIST WITH PW VALUES OF 1.8-1.9 INCHES. DAYTIME HEATING
COUPLED WITH THE MOIST ENVIRONMENT WILL YIELD MODERATE INSTABILITY
BY AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG. WHILE DEEP-LAYER WIND
FIELD WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY AS MIDLEVEL TROUGH
LIFTS NEWD AWAY FROM THE REGION...THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT WILL SUPPORT LOCALLY DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS WITH
STRONGER/LONGER-LIVED STORM CLUSTERS.

OVER THE MIDDLE TX COAST...CURRENT VAD DATA FROM HOUSTON INDICATE A
VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH 0-1 KM SRH OF AROUND 150 M2/S2.
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS WEAK...BUT GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF A
MOIST/LOW-LCL BOUNDARY LAYER...MODEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND POTENTIAL
FOR OUTFLOW BOUNDARY-SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS...A LOW RISK FOR A
BRIEF TORNADO WILL EXIST.

...CNTRL/SRN FL PENINSULA...

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A COUPLE OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS...
ONE JUST N OF GRAND BAHAMA AND THE OTHER ASSOCIATED WITH A
DEEPER-LAYER CIRCULATION WSW OF APF. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THAT THE FORMER WILL DEVELOP WWD...EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH THE
LATTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CORRIDOR OF
ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE E-CNTRL PENINSULA THIS
AFTERNOON WHERE A MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL ALIGN WITH A CHANNEL
OF STRONGER LOW-LEVEL FLOW. AS SUCH...A SMALL RISK FOR LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO WILL EXIST WITH ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

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KJAX [091758]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 091758
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
158 PM EDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
10/09/2011 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN REPORTED ON PANORAMA DRIVE AND RICKENBACHER
DRIVER IN PALM COAST.

&&

$$

MZ

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 091719
SWODY2
SPC AC 091718

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1218 PM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE-SCALE WRN U.S. TROUGH WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY EWD THIS
PERIOD...WITH TROUGH PROGRESSION STILL IMPEDED BY THE STOUT ERN U.S.
RIDGE. A SHORTER-WAVELENGTH/LEAD TROUGH AXIS WITHIN THE
LARGER-SCALE WRN TROUGH IS PROGGED TO CROSS THE PLAINS...AND THEN
APPROACH THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATE. MEANWHILE...A WEAK/COMPACT UPPER
LOW/TROUGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT NNEWD ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...THE BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE PLAINS -- ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LEAD PORTION OF THE UPPER TROUGH -- IS PROGGED TO WASH OUT
THIS PERIOD...RESULTING IN A WEAK/DIFFUSE SURFACE PATTERN OVER THE
MAJORITY OF THE CONUS. ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER THE FAR SERN
STATES...AS A MORE WELL-DEFINED LOW DRIFTS VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE
ERN GULF OF MEXICO -- NEAR OR JUST OFF THE FL COAST.

...SOUTHEAST U.S. ATLANTIC COAST...
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE PROGGED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST...NE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED
SURFACE LOW. WEAK WARM/MARINE FRONT NE OF THE LOW IS PROGGED TO
SPREAD VERY SLOWLY WWD/WNWWD ACROSS THE COASTAL CAROLINAS/GA AND
ADJACENT N FL...WITH RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NEAR AND E OF THE
FRONT.

WHICH MUCH OF THE CONVECTION WILL BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED AND DRIVEN BY
ISENTROPIC LIFT ATOP COOLER LOW-LEVEL AIR...SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION
NEAR THE COAST AND PERHAPS JUST INLAND MAY POSE VERY LOW-END/BRIEF
TORNADO POTENTIAL. HERE...ELY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW
VEERING/INCREASING WITH HEIGHT MAY PROVIDE AMPLE SHEAR FOR LOW-LEVEL
ROTATION -- WHICH SUPPORTS CONTINUATION OF LOW SEVERE PROBABILITY
ACROSS THIS REGION.

..GOSS.. 10/09/2011

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 091621
SWODY1
SPC AC 091620

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 AM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

VALID 091630Z - 101200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DEEP S TX TO ALONG THE MIDDLE TX COAST...

12Z SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT INFLOW AIR MASS TO ONGOING STORMS IS
QUITE MOIST WITH PW VALUES OF 1.8-1.9 INCHES. DAYTIME HEATING
COUPLED WITH THE MOIST ENVIRONMENT WILL YIELD MODERATE INSTABILITY
BY AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE OF 1500-2500 J/KG. WHILE DEEP-LAYER WIND
FIELD WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY AS MIDLEVEL TROUGH
LIFTS NEWD AWAY FROM THE REGION...THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT WILL SUPPORT LOCALLY DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS WITH
STRONGER/LONGER-LIVED STORM CLUSTERS.

OVER THE MIDDLE TX COAST...CURRENT VAD DATA FROM HOUSTON INDICATE A
VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH 0-1 KM SRH OF AROUND 150 M2/S2.
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS WEAK...BUT GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF A
MOIST/LOW-LCL BOUNDARY LAYER...MODEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND POTENTIAL
FOR OUTFLOW BOUNDARY-SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS...A LOW RISK FOR A
BRIEF TORNADO WILL EXIST.

...CNTRL/SRN FL PENINSULA...

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A COUPLE OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS...
ONE JUST N OF GRAND BAHAMA AND THE OTHER ASSOCIATED WITH A
DEEPER-LAYER CIRCULATION WSW OF APF. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THAT THE FORMER WILL DEVELOP WWD...EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH THE
LATTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CORRIDOR OF
ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE E-CNTRL PENINSULA THIS
AFTERNOON WHERE A MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL ALIGN WITH A CHANNEL
OF STRONGER LOW-LEVEL FLOW. AS SUCH...A SMALL RISK FOR LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO WILL EXIST WITH ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

..MEAD/ROGERS.. 10/09/2011

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KEWX [091611]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 091611
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1111 AM CDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 AM TORNADO 1 W LACKLAND AFB 29.38N 98.64W
10/09/2011 BEXAR TX NWS STORM SURVEY

A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SURVEY CONFIRMED THAT A
TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF SAN
ANTONIO NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF LOOP 410 AND MEDINA
BASE ROAD. THE TORNADO MOVED NNW AND DISSIPATED NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF ALLENHURST DRIVE AND SPRINGVALE DRIVE.
THE PATH OF THE TORNADO WAS 1.5 MILES LONG WITH A
MAXIMUM WIDTH OF AROUND 50 YARDS. WIND SPEED ESIMATES
AND STRENGTH OF TORNADO ARE YET TO BE DETERMINED PENDING
FURTHER INFORMATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1100360

$$

PAY

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KTFX [091608]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 091608
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1008 AM MDT SUN OCT 09 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0721 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
10/09/2011 M59 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

WIND GUSTS TO 59 MPH AT DEEP CREEK RAWS.

&&

$$

JOH

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