KDLH [152200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 152200
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
400 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0359 PM SNOW LITTLEFORK 48.40N 93.56W
12/15/2012 M3.5 INCH KOOCHICHING MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KSEW [152148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 152148
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
148 PM PST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0147 PM SNOW 1 E BREMERTON 47.55N 122.68W
12/15/2012 M1.0 INCH KITSAP WA PUBLIC

AN INCH OF SNOW, ROADS BARE AND WET


&&

$$

19

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KFSD [152145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 152145
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
345 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM SNOW HENDRICKS 44.51N 96.43W
12/15/2012 M2.0 INCH LINCOLN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0300 PM SNOW WHITE 44.43N 96.65W
12/15/2012 M2.5 INCH BROOKINGS SD PUBLIC


&&

$$

JH

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KEKA [152023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 152023
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
1223 PM PST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0908 AM SNOW 10 N LAYTONVILLE 39.81N 123.48W
12/15/2012 E0.0 INCH MENDOCINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

ON IRON PEAK MTN BETWEEN 730-800 STARTED SNOWING AT 3750
FEET. TEMPERATURE 28.

1100 AM SNOW 8 NW UKIAH 39.22N 123.33W
12/15/2012 U0.0 INCH MENDOCINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT 2500 FEET...SNOW FALLING HEAVY...JUST STARTING TO
STICK.

1100 AM SNOW 25 NE RUTH 40.54N 123.06W
12/15/2012 M3.0 INCH TRINITY CA PUBLIC

AT 4400 FEET...3 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 7 AM. HEAVY.
TEMPERATURE 29 DEGREES AND PRESSURE 30.11.

1100 AM SNOW 1 W RUTH 40.28N 123.42W
12/15/2012 M200 INCH TRINITY CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT 2710 FEET BEEN SNOWING SINCE 730 AM. 4 INCHES ON
GROUND.

1100 AM SNOW 6 WNW BLOCKSBURG 40.31N 123.74W
12/15/2012 M2.0 INCH HUMBOLDT CA PUBLIC

AT AROUND 2250 FEET. SNOWING. 2 INCHES ON GROUND.


&&

$$

ASHFORD

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KAMA [152019]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KAMA 152019
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
218 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM TSTM WND DMG 12 SSW VEGA 35.09N 102.51W
12/14/2012 DEAF SMITH TX TRAINED SPOTTER

CENTER PIVOTS BLOWN OVER WITH PEA SIZE HAIL. WINDS
ESTIMATED BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH

0329 PM TSTM WND GST 2 ESE WILDORADO 35.21N 102.21W
12/14/2012 M59 MPH OLDHAM TX BROADCAST MEDIA

VIA SCHOOLNET

0329 PM HAIL BOYS RANCH 35.51N 102.25W
12/14/2012 E1.00 INCH OLDHAM TX TRAINED SPOTTER

0330 PM TSTM WND GST 2 WNW HEREFORD 34.83N 102.43W
12/14/2012 M61 MPH DEAF SMITH TX MESONET

0330 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NNW HEREFORD 34.84N 102.41W
12/14/2012 M66 MPH DEAF SMITH TX BROADCAST MEDIA

VIA SCHOOLNET

0332 PM TSTM WND DMG 15 N VEGA 35.46N 102.43W
12/14/2012 OLDHAM TX BROADCAST MEDIA

A COUPLE OF TRUCKS WERE OVERTURNED ON US HIGHWAY 385.

0344 PM TSTM WND GST 14 SE BUFFALO LAKE 34.76N 101.96W
12/14/2012 M68 MPH RANDALL TX BROADCAST MEDIA

0350 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 ENE CANYON 34.99N 101.89W
12/14/2012 RANDALL TX EMERGENCY MNGR

SEMI BLOWN OVER ON INTERSTATE 27. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
RADAR.

0352 PM TSTM WND GST 1 WSW CANYON 34.98N 101.94W
12/14/2012 E60 MPH RANDALL TX PUBLIC

CANYON JUNIOR HIGH SCHOOL

0354 PM TSTM WND GST 6 SW AMARILLO 35.14N 101.91W
12/14/2012 E70 MPH RANDALL TX NWS EMPLOYEE

WITH PEA SIZED HAIL

0354 PM TSTM WND GST 8 ESE BUSHLAND 35.14N 101.94W
12/14/2012 E60 MPH RANDALL TX NWS EMPLOYEE

0357 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NW AMARILLO 35.23N 101.86W
12/14/2012 M64 MPH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W TIMBERCREEK CANYON 35.06N 101.85W
12/14/2012 RANDALL TX EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL *** SEMI ROLL OVER AT MCAFEE RD AND
WASHINGTON

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W TIMBERCREEK CANYON 35.06N 101.88W
12/14/2012 RANDALL TX EMERGENCY MNGR

RADIO TOWER BLOWN DOWN...LYING OVER RAILDROAD TRACKS

0400 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NNW LAKE TANGLEWOOD 35.08N 101.80W
12/14/2012 M77 MPH RANDALL TX PUBLIC

DAMAGE ALSO WAS REPORTED.

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW LAKE TANGLEWOOD 35.08N 101.80W
12/14/2012 RANDALL TX PUBLIC

CORNER OF METAL SHED ROOF WAS PEELED BACK.

0401 PM TSTM WND GST 6 SW AMARILLO 35.14N 101.89W
12/14/2012 E61 MPH RANDALL TX PUBLIC

0402 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NNW PALO DURO CANYON 34.99N 101.69W
12/14/2012 M60 MPH RANDALL TX MESONET

0410 PM TSTM WND DMG CANYON 34.98N 101.92W
12/14/2012 RANDALL TX BROADCAST MEDIA

POWER LINES ARE DOWN AT 15TH AND RAILROAD TRACKS

0417 PM TORNADO 3 NE WASHBURN 35.21N 101.54W
12/14/2012 CARSON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

EF0 TORNADO LASTED APPROXIMATELY 5 MINUTES. SPOTTER
PROVIDED PHOTOGRAPHIC EVIDENCE.

0426 PM TSTM WND GST CLAUDE 35.11N 101.36W
12/14/2012 E60 MPH ARMSTRONG TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0435 PM HAIL 1 S BORGER 35.64N 101.40W
12/14/2012 M0.75 INCH HUTCHINSON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

GUSTY WINDS TO 55 MPH ALSO OBSERVED.

0453 PM TORNADO 5 SSE CLARENDON 34.87N 100.86W
12/14/2012 DONLEY TX TX DPS

DAMAGE TO A METAL BARN AND A SMALL SHED WAS DESTROYED.
RATED EF0 WITH 80 MPH WINDS

0458 PM TORNADO 1 NNW LELIA LAKE 34.91N 100.78W
12/14/2012 DONLEY TX PUBLIC

RESIDENT REPORTED PORTIONS OF A TREE...8 FT PRIVACY
FENCE PANELS...AND IRRIGATION PIPE WERE LOFTED AND
SPIRALED IN THE AIR AS TORNADO PASSED NEAR HER HOME.
WITNESS REPORTS TORNADO MOVED NEARLY SOUTH TO NORTH BY
HER RESIDENCE. RATED EF0 WITH 80 MPH WINDS

0534 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N WELLINGTON 34.88N 100.21W
12/14/2012 COLLINGSWORTH TX CO-OP OBSERVER

A FIFTH WHEELER TRAILER WAS FLIPPED OVER WHILE BEING
PULLED BY A PICKUP AT THE INTERSECTION OF U.S. HIGHWAY
83 AND HIGHWAY 203. 8 TO 12 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS
DOWN ON ROAD.

0555 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SW CANADIAN 35.89N 100.40W
12/14/2012 M58 MPH HEMPHILL TX AWOS

0837 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 ENE AMARILLO 35.22N 101.72W
12/14/2012 M59 MPH POTTER TX ASOS

0855 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 WNW AMARILLO 35.23N 101.92W
12/14/2012 M58 MPH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

0915 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 ENE AMARILLO 35.22N 101.72W
12/14/2012 M62 MPH POTTER TX ASOS


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200732 AMA1200729 AMA1200734 AMA1200728 AMA1200730
AMA1200731 AMA1200733 AMA1200747 AMA1200736 AMA1200735 AMA1200737
AMA1200738 AMA1200741 AMA1200744 AMA1200752 AMA1200753 AMA1200740
AMA1200739 AMA1200751 AMA1200746 AMA1200743 AMA1200742 AMA1200745
AMA1200749 AMA1200750 AMA1200748 AMA1200754 AMA1200756 AMA1200755

$$

SFJ

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KDLH [152000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 152000
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
200 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0158 PM SNOW BIGFORK 47.75N 93.65W
12/15/2012 M3.0 INCH ITASCA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

OBSERVER REPORTS ROADS ARE GLARE ICE.


&&

$$

SGOHDE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151954
SWODY1
SPC AC 151952

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0152 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

VALID 152000Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...E TX TO LWR MS/TN VLYS TODAY THROUGH EARLY SUN...
NO CHANGES NEEDED TO PRIOR OUTLOOK...SEE DISCUSSION BELOW. LATEST
SHORT-TERM GUIDANCE STILL SUGGESTS AN INCREASE IN TSTM
COVERAGE/VIGOR WILL OCCUR LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY FOR AREAS
INCLUDING E/SE TX INTO LA/SOUTHERN AR AND NORTHERN MS.

..GUYER.. 12/15/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1028 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...
FAST SW TO WSW FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM THE S CNTRL STATES INTO THE
EAST THIS PERIOD...ON NRN FRINGE OF PERSISTENT...ELONGATED RIDGE
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO/FL. WITHIN THIS FLOW...LEAD SHORTWAVE
IMPULSE NOW IN IA/IL EXPECTED TO DEAMPLIFY AS IT CONTINUES NE TO LK
MI THIS EVE...AND TO LK HURON EARLY SUN. ELSEWHERE...A PAIR OF UPR
DISTURBANCES IN BROAD...LARGER-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE GRT BASIN WILL
REACH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION/NW MEXICO THIS EVE...AND THE OK/TX
PANHANDLE/W TX BY 12Z SUN...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY.

AT THE SFC...COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH IA/IL TROUGH SHOULD WEAKEN
AND BECOME QSTNRY FROM THE LWR OH VLY TO E TX BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD AS SFC LOW NOW IN IA CONTINUES NE TO NEAR GREEN BAY. THE SWRN
END OF THE FRONT MAY EDGE A BIT NWD ACROSS E TX EARLY SUN IN
RESPONSE TO UPR SYSTEMS APPROACHING FROM THE W.

...E TX TO LWR MS/TN VLYS TODAY THROUGH EARLY SUN...
SCTD SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL TSTMS WILL PERSIST INVOF WEAKENING
FRONTAL ZONE TODAY/TNGT FROM THE LWR TN VLY SW INTO PARTS OF E TX.
ABSENCE OF STRONG/DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT AND WEAK TO MODEST MID LVL
LAPSE RATES SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/STRENGTH...DESPITE
PRESENCE OF SEASONABLY RICH MOISTURE /PW TO 1.25 INCHES/ NEAR
BOUNDARY.

SOME INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE/STRENGTH MAY OCCUR LATE TNGT THROUGH
EARLY SUN...ESPECIALLY FROM E/SE TX ENE INTO NRN LA/SRN AR AND NRN
MS AS WAA AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASE DOWNSTREAM FROM
APPROACHING UPR DISTURBANCES. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...OCCURRING ALONG AND N OF FRONT. WHILE MID-LVL
LAPSE RATES LIKELY WILL REMAIN WEAK...QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW /PW
INCREASING TO AOA 1.50 INCHES/ AND 50 KT CLOUD-LAYER SHEAR SUGGEST
THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS/LOOSELY-ORGANIZED
CLUSTERS.

WITH THE UPR IMPULSES AND ASSOCIATED STRONGER ASCENT LIKELY TO
REMAIN WELL WEST OF PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND
WITH THE DISTURBANCES NOT EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY...CONFIDENCE REMAINS
LOW THAT A SUSTAINED SVR WEATHER THREAT WILL OCCUR...ESPECIALLY
GIVEN TIME OF DAY/LACK OF SFC HEATING. NEVERTHELESS...STRENGTH OF
MEAN FLOW AND HIGH PW VALUES TOGETHER POSE A SUFFICIENT RISK FOR
ISOLD RAIN-LOADING ENHANCED GUSTS TO MAINTAIN A LOW PROBABILISTIC
FORECAST FOR DMGG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION.

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KMPX [151936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KMPX 151936
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
136 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM SNOW CLEAR LAKE 45.25N 92.27W
12/10/2012 M16.0 INCH POLK WI TRAINED SPOTTER

CORRECTED REPORT. ORIGINAL REPORTED LOCATION WAS CLEAR
LAKE, MN. SHOULD HAVE BEEN CLEAR LAKE, WI.


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [151913]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KMPX 151913
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
113 PM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0112 PM SNOW MOTLEY 46.34N 94.64W
12/15/2012 M2.0 INCH MORRISON MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KPUB [151908]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 151908
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1207 PM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0716 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/15/2012 M21.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.

0655 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S STONEWALL 37.07N 105.02W
12/14/2012 M79.00 MPH LAS ANIMAS CO MESONET

TERCIO RANCH

0449 PM SNOW ALAMOSA 37.47N 105.87W
12/14/2012 M4.5 INCH ALAMOSA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL

0237 PM SNOW 1 SSE CRESTONE 37.98N 105.69W
12/14/2012 M2.8 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SINCE 7AM

0209 PM SNOW 11 NNE CRESTONE 38.13N 105.58W
12/14/2012 M4.8 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0207 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/14/2012 M15.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL IN PAST 24 HOURS. 12 INCHES FELL SINCE 637 AM.

0102 PM SNOW 1 NNW MONARCH PASS 38.51N 106.33W
12/14/2012 M5.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO PUBLIC

REPORTED BY MONARCH SKI PATROL.

1131 AM SNOW ALAMOSA 37.47N 105.87W
12/14/2012 M3.0 INCH ALAMOSA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1035 AM SNOW 4 SW SOUTH FORK 37.63N 106.67W
12/14/2012 M6.0 INCH RIO GRANDE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SNOW WITH 5 INCHES SINCE 7 AM

0637 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/14/2012 M3.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES IN PAST 24 HOURS REPORTED AT WOLF CREEK SKI


&&

THE TOTALS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET
CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE
FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION.


SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT

INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
21.00 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS CO MINERAL 0716 AM
STORM TOTAL.
15.00 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS CO MINERAL 0207 PM
FELL IN PAST 24 HOURS. 12 INCHES FELL SINCE
637 AM.
6.00 4 SW SOUTH FORK CO RIO GRANDE 1035 AM
TOTAL SNOW WITH 5 INCHES SINCE 7 AM
5.00 1 NNW MONARCH PASS CO CHAFFEE 0102 PM
REPORTED BY MONARCH SKI PATROL.
4.80 11 NNE CRESTONE CO CUSTER 0209 PM
4.50 ALAMOSA CO ALAMOSA 0449 PM
12 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL
3.00 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS CO MINERAL 0637 AM
3 INCHES IN PAST 24 HOURS REPORTED AT WOLF
CREEK SKI
3.00 ALAMOSA CO ALAMOSA 1131 AM
2.80 1 SSE CRESTONE CO SAGUACHE 0237 PM
STORM TOTAL SINCE 7AM

$$

KT

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KPUB [151907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 151907
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1207 PM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0716 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/15/2012 M21.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.

0655 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S STONEWALL 37.07N 105.02W
12/14/2012 M79.00 MPH LAS ANIMAS CO MESONET

TERCIO RANCH

0449 PM SNOW ALAMOSA 37.47N 105.87W
12/14/2012 M4.5 INCH ALAMOSA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL

0237 PM SNOW 1 SSE CRESTONE 37.98N 105.69W
12/14/2012 M2.8 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SINCE 7AM

0209 PM SNOW 11 NNE CRESTONE 38.13N 105.58W
12/14/2012 M4.8 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0207 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/14/2012 M15.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL IN PAST 24 HOURS. 12 INCHES FELL SINCE 637 AM.

0102 PM SNOW 1 NNW MONARCH PASS 38.51N 106.33W
12/14/2012 M5.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO PUBLIC

REPORTED BY MONARCH SKI PATROL.

1131 AM SNOW ALAMOSA 37.47N 105.87W
12/14/2012 M3.0 INCH ALAMOSA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1035 AM SNOW 4 SW SOUTH FORK 37.63N 106.67W
12/14/2012 M6.0 INCH RIO GRANDE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SNOW WITH 5 INCHES SINCE 7 AM

0637 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/14/2012 M3.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES IN PAST 24 HOURS REPORTED AT WOLF CREEK SKI


&&

$$

KT

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KVEF [151856]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 151856
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1049 AM PST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1044 AM SNOW ENE HUALAPAI MOUNTAIN 35.10N 113.88W
12/15/2012 E5.0 INCH MOHAVE AZ PUBLIC

HUALAPAI MOUNTAIN PARK ESTIMATED 5 INCHES OF SNOW FRIDAY
NIGHT ENDING AROUND 1130 AM MST. ELEVATION NEAR 6525
FEET.


&&

$$

BP

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KABR [151750]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 151750
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1150 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 AM FREEZING RAIN SISSETON 45.66N 97.05W
12/15/2012 E0.06 INCH ROBERTS SD CO-OP OBSERVER

MOST ROADS AROUND TOWN WERE ICY AND SLIPPERY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1200542

$$

VIPOND

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KMPX [151739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KMPX 151739
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1139 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM SNOW MOTLEY 46.34N 94.64W
12/15/2012 M1.5 INCH MORRISON MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [151738]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 151738
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1138 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1138 AM SNOW CANBY 44.71N 96.27W
12/15/2012 E2.0 INCH YELLOW MEDICINE MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KGJT [151734]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 151734
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1034 AM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW SILVERTON 37.81N 107.66W
12/15/2012 M4.0 INCH SAN JUAN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HR SNOW ACCUMULATION. STORM TOTAL OF 6.4 INCHES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200564

$$

JAD

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 151732
SWODY2
SPC AC 151730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SOUTHEAST TX/CENTRAL GULF COAST
STATES...

...SOUTHEAST TX/CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION TO TN VALLEY...
BROAD CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE
CONUS ON SUNDAY. SEVERAL LOW AMPLITUDE DISTURBANCES ALOFT WILL CROSS
THE REGION /AND ADJACENT MIDWEST/ DURING THE PERIOD...BUT MORE
SUBSTANTIAL TROUGH AMPLIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER THE
PLAINS/OZARKS SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/SOME TSTMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING
ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH PERSISTENT WARM
ADVECTION AND A STEADY MOISTURE INFLUX AHEAD OF A FRONT. RELATIVELY
WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT AND A LIMITED NORTHWARD MOISTURE
RETURN...ALONG WITH CLOUD COVER/POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION...SHOULD
LIMIT THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE REGION. EVEN
SO...SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SURFACE BASED AS THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WARMS...WITH AT LEAST SOME ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/PERHAPS
TORNADO POTENTIAL.

THE MOST PROBABLE SCENARIO FOR STORM INTENSIFICATION MAY OCCUR
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TX INTO LA/PARTS OF MS SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND SUNDAY NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY NEAR AN ADVANCING/ACCELERATING COLD
FRONT. SOMEWHAT STRONGER DESTABILIZATION IS LIKELY IN THESE AREAS IN
THE PRESENCE OF A HIGHER THETA-E AIRMASS...WITH THE REGION
INCREASINGLY COMING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE AMPLIFYING UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS/OZARKS BY SUNDAY NIGHT. WHERE STORMS DO
INCREASE/MATURE...VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND
ASSOCIATED VERTICAL SHEAR OF 50-80 KT /0-6 KM/ WILL SUPPORT
FAST-MOVING LINE SEGMENTS/SOME SUPERCELLS WITH ASSOCIATED POTENTIAL
FOR DAMAGING WIND/ISOLATED TORNADOES.

..GUYER.. 12/15/2012

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KABQ [151723]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 151723
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1023 AM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW OCATE 36.18N 105.05W
12/14/2012 E3.0 INCH MORA NM PUBLIC

0800 AM SNOW WHITE ROCK 35.82N 106.21W
12/14/2012 E1.5 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM PUBLIC

0800 AM SNOW EL VADO 36.59N 106.73W
12/14/2012 M1.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW 2 W LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.35W
12/14/2012 E4.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM PUBLIC

0915 AM SNOW 1 WNW WHITE ROCK 35.83N 106.23W
12/14/2012 M1.8 INCH SANTA FE NM COCORAHS

0915 AM SNOW CHAMISAL 36.17N 105.73W
12/14/2012 M2.0 INCH TAOS NM COCORAHS

0915 AM SNOW 2 WNW MINERAL HILL 35.62N 105.43W
12/14/2012 M1.5 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM COCORAHS

0950 AM SNOW 3 WSW TAOS 36.37N 105.63W
12/14/2012 M3.0 INCH TAOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1031 AM SNOW 1 SE LAS VEGAS 35.59N 105.21W
12/14/2012 E1.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1044 AM SNOW 1 E SEDILLO 35.10N 106.28W
12/14/2012 E1.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1045 AM SNOW LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.31W
12/14/2012 E3.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM PUBLIC

1100 AM SNOW 5 E TIJERAS 35.09N 106.29W
12/14/2012 M2.7 INCH BERNALILLO NM COCORAHS

1117 AM SNOW 3 NNE SEDILLO 35.14N 106.28W
12/14/2012 M3.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1200 PM SNOW 6 SW MOUNTAINAIR 34.46N 106.32W
12/14/2012 M1.0 INCH TORRANCE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1212 PM SNOW 2 WNW SEDILLO 35.11N 106.33W
12/14/2012 M1.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0118 PM SNOW 6 WSW BONITO LAKE 33.40N 105.80W
12/14/2012 E6.0 INCH LINCOLN NM PUBLIC

SKI APACHE.

0136 PM SNOW 6 W LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.39W
12/14/2012 E6.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM PUBLIC

PAJARITO SKI AREA.

0140 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SW DORA 33.92N 103.36W
12/14/2012 M63 MPH ROOSEVELT NM MESONET

0150 PM SNOW TAOS 36.39N 105.58W
12/14/2012 E4.0 INCH TAOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0155 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NNW TEXICO 34.43N 103.07W
12/14/2012 M66 MPH CURRY NM AWOS

KCVN AWOS.

0200 PM SNOW DATIL 34.15N 107.84W
12/14/2012 E1.0 INCH CATRON NM POST OFFICE

0235 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 3 NNW TEXICO 34.43N 103.07W
12/14/2012 M43 MPH CURRY NM AWOS

KCVN AWOS.

0238 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N CANNON AFB 34.39N 103.31W
12/14/2012 M58 MPH CURRY NM ASOS

KCVS ASOS.

0238 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 1 N CANNON AFB 34.39N 103.31W
12/14/2012 M41 MPH CURRY NM ASOS

KCVS ASOS.

0300 PM SNOW 6 WNW SUGARITE 36.99N 104.48W
12/14/2012 E3.0 INCH COLFAX NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0300 PM SNOW 6 SSE LUNA 33.73N 108.93W
12/14/2012 E9.0 INCH CATRON NM OTHER FEDERAL

FRISCO DIVIDE SNOTEL.

0309 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE DUNKEN 32.82N 105.18W
12/14/2012 M59 MPH CHAVES NM PARK/FOREST SRVC

DUNKEN RAWS.

0330 PM SNOW 3 SSE TAOS 36.35N 105.56W
12/14/2012 M5.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

0337 PM SNOW ANGEL FIRE 36.40N 105.28W
12/14/2012 M7.0 INCH COLFAX NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0339 PM SNOW 3 NNE SEDILLO 35.14N 106.28W
12/14/2012 M3.5 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0351 PM SNOW CIMARRON 36.51N 104.91W
12/14/2012 E3.0 INCH COLFAX NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM SNOW 6 ESE MOGOLLON 33.36N 108.70W
12/14/2012 E11.5 INCH CATRON NM OTHER FEDERAL

SILVER CREEK DIVIDE SNOTEL.

0400 PM SNOW 5 SW BONITO LAKE 33.40N 105.78W
12/14/2012 E10.0 INCH LINCOLN NM OTHER FEDERAL

SIERRA BLANCA SNOTEL.

0400 PM SNOW TERERRO 35.74N 105.68W
12/14/2012 E7.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM SNOW 7 NNE JEMEZ SPRINGS 35.87N 106.64W
12/14/2012 E7.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM SNOW 2 W TESUQUE 35.76N 105.97W
12/14/2012 E2.2 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM SNOW HOLMAN 36.04N 105.38W
12/14/2012 E4.0 INCH MORA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0403 PM SNOW CHACON 36.14N 105.37W
12/14/2012 E5.0 INCH MORA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0406 PM SNOW GASCON 35.89N 105.45W
12/14/2012 M6.0 INCH MORA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0415 PM SNOW 4 NNW TAOS 36.44N 105.60W
12/14/2012 M6.3 INCH TAOS NM NWS EMPLOYEE

0430 PM SNOW SAPELLO 35.77N 105.25W
12/14/2012 E5.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0430 PM SNOW 5 SSW TERERRO 35.68N 105.69W
12/14/2012 M6.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0447 PM SNOW MOGOLLON 33.40N 108.80W
12/14/2012 M5.0 INCH CATRON NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0450 PM SNOW VANDERWAGEN 35.27N 108.75W
12/14/2012 E1.5 INCH MCKINLEY NM POST OFFICE

0452 PM SNOW RED RIVER 36.71N 105.42W
12/14/2012 E6.5 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

RED RIVER SKI AREA.

0501 PM SNOW 5 SW PREWITT 35.31N 108.10W
12/14/2012 M1.1 INCH MCKINLEY NM TRAINED SPOTTER

7750 FEET ELEVATION

0506 PM SNOW CROWNPOINT 35.69N 108.15W
12/14/2012 E1.0 INCH MCKINLEY NM LAW ENFORCEMENT

0511 PM SNOW NARBONA PASS 36.08N 108.86W
12/14/2012 E3.0 INCH SAN JUAN NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0523 PM SNOW 1 WNW RED RIVER 36.71N 105.42W
12/14/2012 E4.0 INCH TAOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0528 PM SNOW 1 SE RED RIVER 36.70N 105.40W
12/14/2012 E8.0 INCH TAOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0529 PM SNOW 13 ESE CUBA 35.95N 106.75W
12/14/2012 M5.5 INCH SANDOVAL NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0535 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNW ANGEL FIRE 36.42N 105.29W
12/14/2012 M60 MPH COLFAX NM AWOS

KAXX AWOS.

0600 PM SNOW 9 ENE SHADY BROOK 36.40N 105.32W
12/14/2012 E5.0 INCH COLFAX NM OTHER FEDERAL

PALO SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 4 NNW TRES RITOS 36.18N 105.55W
12/14/2012 E8.0 INCH TAOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

GALLEGOS PEAK SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 5 ESE RED RIVER 36.68N 105.33W
12/14/2012 E4.0 INCH COLFAX NM OTHER FEDERAL

RED RIVER PASS SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 8 SW ROCIADA 35.76N 105.53W
12/14/2012 E10.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM OTHER FEDERAL

WESNER SPRINGS SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW CAPULIN 36.74N 103.99W
12/14/2012 M2.1 INCH UNION NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 PM SNOW 8 NE ARROYO SECO 36.58N 105.45W
12/14/2012 E7.5 INCH TAOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

TAOS POWDERHORN SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 6 WNW TERERRO 35.76N 105.78W
12/14/2012 E8.0 INCH SANTA FE NM OTHER FEDERAL

SANTA FE SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 8 NNW GLORIETA 35.70N 105.80W
12/14/2012 E4.0 INCH SANTA FE NM OTHER FEDERAL

ELK CABIN SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 8 SE EAGLE NEST 36.46N 105.17W
12/14/2012 E5.0 INCH COLFAX NM OTHER FEDERAL

TOLBY SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 5 WNW LOS ALAMOS 35.91N 106.38W
12/14/2012 E7.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

QUEMAZON SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 7 ESE CUBA 36.00N 106.83W
12/14/2012 E2.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

SENORITA DIVIDE SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 9 E CUBA 36.02N 106.80W
12/14/2012 E4.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

VACAS LOCAS SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 7 E CANJILON 36.50N 106.31W
12/14/2012 E4.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

BATEMAN SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 8 SSW SAN MIGUEL 36.87N 106.23W
12/14/2012 E5.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

SAN ANTONIO SINK SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 5 SSW TOADLENA 36.17N 108.93W
12/14/2012 E2.5 INCH SAN JUAN NM OTHER FEDERAL

NAVAJO WHISKEY CREEK SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW TRES RITOS 36.13N 105.52W
12/14/2012 E5.0 INCH TAOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

TRES RITOS SNOTEL.

0600 PM SNOW 11 WSW BLUEWATER LAKE 35.23N 108.26W
12/14/2012 E2.0 INCH CIBOLA NM OTHER FEDERAL

RICE PARK SNOTEL.

0605 PM SNOW ARROYO SECO 36.52N 105.57W
12/14/2012 M4.0 INCH TAOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

7625 FT ELEVATION

0605 PM SNOW RANCHOS DE TAOS 36.36N 105.60W
12/14/2012 M5.0 INCH TAOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0617 PM SNOW COYOTE 36.17N 106.62W
12/14/2012 M4.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0632 PM SNOW 4 W GALLINA 36.24N 106.93W
12/14/2012 E2.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0645 PM SNOW 4 E SANDIA PARK 35.17N 106.29W
12/14/2012 E3.8 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

0650 PM SNOW CHIMAYO 36.00N 105.93W
12/14/2012 M3.5 INCH SANTA FE NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 PM SNOW 5 NW CHAMA 36.95N 106.65W
12/14/2012 E10.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

CHAMITA SNOTEL.

0900 PM SNOW 11 ENE RED RIVER 36.78N 105.23W
12/14/2012 E5.0 INCH COLFAX NM OTHER FEDERAL

SHUREE SNOTEL.

1022 PM SNOW 3 NW TRES RITOS 36.16N 105.55W
12/14/2012 E6.5 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

SIPAPU SKI AREA.

1049 PM SNOW 4 NW SANDIA PARK 35.21N 106.41W
12/14/2012 E2.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

SANDIA SKI AREA.

1100 PM SNOW CHAMA 36.89N 106.58W
12/14/2012 M11.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1200 AM SNOW 11 NNW CANON PLAZA 36.70N 106.25W
12/15/2012 E11.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

HOPEWELL SNOTEL.

1200 AM SNOW 11 ENE AMALIA 36.98N 105.25W
12/15/2012 E2.0 INCH TAOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

NORTH COSTILLA SNOTEL.

0455 AM SNOW 3 ESE ANGEL FIRE 36.38N 105.24W
12/15/2012 E8.0 INCH COLFAX NM PUBLIC

ANGEL FIRE SKI AREA.

0531 AM SNOW 7 ESE CHUPADERO 35.79N 105.80W
12/15/2012 E14.0 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

SKI SANTA FE.

0543 AM SNOW 8 SSW RED RIVER 36.59N 105.45W
12/15/2012 E8.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

TAOS SKI AREA.

0653 AM SNOW 2 SE MANZANO 34.62N 106.31W
12/15/2012 M2.0 INCH TORRANCE NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 1 N MORIARTY 35.01N 106.05W
12/15/2012 M2.0 INCH TORRANCE NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 2 WNW SEDILLO 35.11N 106.33W
12/15/2012 E1.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW EAGLE NEST 36.56N 105.26W
12/15/2012 M5.0 INCH COLFAX NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 1 WNW RED RIVER 36.71N 105.42W
12/15/2012 M4.0 INCH TAOS NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0715 AM SNOW 13 NW TAOS 36.52N 105.74W
12/15/2012 M2.8 INCH TAOS NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 5 NW CANONES 36.24N 106.50W
12/15/2012 M1.5 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 2 NW EDGEWOOD 35.09N 106.22W
12/15/2012 M1.2 INCH SANTA FE NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 4 N LA PLATA 36.99N 108.19W
12/15/2012 E2.0 INCH SAN JUAN NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 AM SNOW 3 E RED RIVER 36.70N 105.35W
12/15/2012 E5.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

ENCHANTED FORECAST SKI AREA.

0715 AM SNOW CHAMISAL 36.17N 105.73W
12/15/2012 M6.0 INCH TAOS NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 10 S SANTA FE 35.54N 105.95W
12/15/2012 M1.0 INCH SANTA FE NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 4 E SAN ANTONITO 35.16N 106.28W
12/15/2012 M3.8 INCH BERNALILLO NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 10 N FARMINGTON 36.90N 108.19W
12/15/2012 M1.1 INCH SAN JUAN NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 2 SSE TAOS 36.36N 105.57W
12/15/2012 M3.8 INCH TAOS NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 2 SW AGUA FRIA 36.41N 105.33W
12/15/2012 M1.7 INCH COLFAX NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 3 NE FARMINGTON 36.79N 108.15W
12/15/2012 M1.8 INCH SAN JUAN NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 3 NW EL PRADO 36.46N 105.61W
12/15/2012 M3.4 INCH TAOS NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW TALPA 36.34N 105.60W
12/15/2012 M3.8 INCH TAOS NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 4 NW LAMY 35.52N 105.93W
12/15/2012 M1.0 INCH SANTA FE NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 2 NNE QUESTA 36.74N 105.58W
12/15/2012 M3.0 INCH TAOS NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 8 WNW ABIQUIU 36.25N 106.44W
12/15/2012 M3.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 6 NNW LAMY 35.56N 105.92W
12/15/2012 M1.0 INCH SANTA FE NM COCORAHS

0715 AM SNOW 2 NW EL RITO 36.37N 106.22W
12/15/2012 M2.1 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM COCORAHS


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201532
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201533
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201534
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201535
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201536
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201537
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201538
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201539
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201540
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201541
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201542
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201543
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201544
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201545
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201546
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201547
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201548
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201549
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201550
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201551
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201552
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201553
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201554
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201555
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201556
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201557
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201558
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201559
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201560
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201561
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201562
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201563
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201564
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201565
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201566
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201567
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201568
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201569
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201570
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201571
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201572
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201573
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201574
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201575
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201576
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201577
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201578
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201579
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201580
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201581
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201582
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201583
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201584
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201585
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201586
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201587
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201588
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201589
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201590
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201591
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201592
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201593
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201594
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201595
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201596
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201597
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201598
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201599
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201600
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201601
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201602
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201603
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201604
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201605
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201606
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201607
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201608
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201609
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201610
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201611
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201612
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201613
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201614
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201615
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201616
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201617
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201618
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201619
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201620
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201621
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201622
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201623
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201624
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201625
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201626
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201627
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201628
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201629
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201630
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201631
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201632
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201633
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201634
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201635
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201636
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201637
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201638
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201639
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201640

$$

JF

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KDLH [151702]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 151702
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1102 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM SNOW 5 N PILLAGER 46.40N 94.48W
12/15/2012 M1.2 INCH CASS MN COCORAHS

RAIN TURNED TO SNOW AT 930AM.


&&

$$

SGOHDE

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KEKA [151655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 151655
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
855 AM PST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 AM SNOW 7 E BRIDGEVILLE 40.47N 123.67W
12/15/2012 E200 INCH HUMBOLDT CA PUBLIC

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED SNOWING SINCE 720 AM AFT 2800
FEET. 2 INCHES. TEMPERATURE 35 DEGREES. LOCATED ON
MCLELLAN MTN. WATER EQUIV 0.08.

0800 AM SNOW 1 SSW WEAVERVILLE 40.71N 122.94W
12/15/2012 M1.0 INCH TRINITY CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT 2900 FEET SNOWING VERY LGTLY ON TOP OF OREGON MTN.
TEMPERATURE 32 DEGREES...SNOW VERY FINE.

0745 AM SNOW 8 SE MAPLE CREEK 40.69N 123.76W
12/15/2012 M1.0 INCH HUMBOLDT CA PUBLIC

AT 2500 FEET...1 INCH OF SNOW STARTED ABOUT 0745.
TEMPERATURE 32 DEGREES.

0745 AM SNOW 5 S WEAVERVILLE 40.65N 122.94W
12/15/2012 M0.0 INCH TRINITY CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT 1700 FEET IN DOUGLAS CITY. SNOW JUST STARTED...STEADY
AND VERY LIGHT.

0745 AM SNOW 2 WNW RUTH 40.29N 123.43W
12/15/2012 M1.0 INCH TRINITY CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT 3000 FEET AND A TEMPERATURE OF 30 DEGREES...BEEN
LIGHTLY SNOWING SINCE ABOUT 5 AM.


&&

$$

ASHFORD

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KMPX [151649]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 151649
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1049 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1047 AM SNOW MOTLEY 46.34N 94.64W
12/15/2012 M1.0 INCH MORRISON MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KEKA [151638]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 151638
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
837 AM PST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..


&&

$$

ASHFORD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151630
SWODY1
SPC AC 151628

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1028 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

VALID 151630Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
FAST SW TO WSW FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM THE S CNTRL STATES INTO THE
EAST THIS PERIOD...ON NRN FRINGE OF PERSISTENT...ELONGATED RIDGE
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO/FL. WITHIN THIS FLOW...LEAD SHORTWAVE
IMPULSE NOW IN IA/IL EXPECTED TO DEAMPLIFY AS IT CONTINUES NE TO LK
MI THIS EVE...AND TO LK HURON EARLY SUN. ELSEWHERE...A PAIR OF UPR
DISTURBANCES IN BROAD...LARGER-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE GRT BASIN WILL
REACH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION/NW MEXICO THIS EVE...AND THE OK/TX
PANHANDLE/W TX BY 12Z SUN...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY.

AT THE SFC...COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH IA/IL TROUGH SHOULD WEAKEN
AND BECOME QSTNRY FROM THE LWR OH VLY TO E TX BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD AS SFC LOW NOW IN IA CONTINUES NE TO NEAR GREEN BAY. THE SWRN
END OF THE FRONT MAY EDGE A BIT NWD ACROSS E TX EARLY SUN IN
RESPONSE TO UPR SYSTEMS APPROACHING FROM THE W.

...E TX TO LWR MS/TN VLYS TODAY THROUGH EARLY SUN...
SCTD SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL TSTMS WILL PERSIST INVOF WEAKENING
FRONTAL ZONE TODAY/TNGT FROM THE LWR TN VLY SW INTO PARTS OF E TX.
ABSENCE OF STRONG/DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT AND WEAK TO MODEST MID LVL
LAPSE RATES SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/STRENGTH...DESPITE
PRESENCE OF SEASONABLY RICH MOISTURE /PW TO 1.25 INCHES/ NEAR
BOUNDARY.

SOME INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE/STRENGTH MAY OCCUR LATE TNGT THROUGH
EARLY SUN...ESPECIALLY FROM E/SE TX ENE INTO NRN LA/SRN AR AND NRN
MS AS WAA AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASE DOWNSTREAM FROM
APPROACHING UPR DISTURBANCES. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...OCCURRING ALONG AND N OF FRONT. WHILE MID-LVL
LAPSE RATES LIKELY WILL REMAIN WEAK...QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW /PW
INCREASING TO AOA 1.50 INCHES/ AND 50 KT CLOUD-LAYER SHEAR SUGGEST
THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS/LOOSELY-ORGANIZED
CLUSTERS.

WITH THE UPR IMPULSES AND ASSOCIATED STRONGER ASCENT LIKELY TO
REMAIN WELL WEST OF PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND
WITH THE DISTURBANCES NOT EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY...CONFIDENCE REMAINS
LOW THAT A SUSTAINED SVR WEATHER THREAT WILL OCCUR...ESPECIALLY
GIVEN TIME OF DAY/LACK OF SFC HEATING. NEVERTHELESS...STRENGTH OF
MEAN FLOW AND HIGH PW VALUES TOGETHER POSE A SUFFICIENT RISK FOR
ISOLD RAIN-LOADING ENHANCED GUSTS TO MAINTAIN A LOW PROBABILISTIC
FORECAST FOR DMGG WINDS ACROSS THE REGION.

..CORFIDI/COHEN.. 12/15/2012

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KDLH [151607]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KDLH 151607
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1007 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM FREEZING RAIN 5 E LEADER 46.52N 94.54W
12/15/2012 E0.25 INCH CASS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

OBSERVER REPORTS RAIN TURNED TO SNOW AT 1000 AM


&&

$$

SGOHDE

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KDLH [151607]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 151607
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1007 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM FREEZING RAIN 5 E LEADER 46.52N 94.54W
12/15/2012 E0.25 INCH CASS MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SGOHDE

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KPUB [151551]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 151551
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
851 AM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0716 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/15/2012 M21.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.


&&

$$

KT

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KCHS [151546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 151546
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1046 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.93W
12/15/2012 CHARLESTON SC NWS EMPLOYEE

ROAD BLOCKED OFF DUE TO SALTWATER FLOODING AT THE
INTERSECTION OF SOUTH MARKET AND CHURCH STREET.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200850

$$

ECT

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KLBF [151543]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 151543
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
942 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM FREEZING RAIN STUART 42.60N 99.14W
12/15/2012 U0.00 INCH HOLT NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

DEPUTIES REPORTING FREEZING DRIZZLE AND BLACK ICE ACROSS
WESTERN HOLT COUNTY.


&&

$$

SNIVELY

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KCHS [151536]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 151536
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1036 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0948 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 3 WNW FORT SCREVEN 32.03N 80.90W
12/15/2012 CHATHAM GA TIDE GAGE

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 9.49 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT
THE FORT PULASKI TIDE GAGE. SHALLOW COASTAL FLOODING
TYPICALLY BEGINS ALONG THE UPPER GEORGIA COAST WHEN TIDE
LEVELS REACH 9.2 FT MLLW AT FORT PULASKI.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200849

$$

ECT

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KAMA [151535]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KAMA 151535
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
934 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0417 PM TORNADO 3 NE WASHBURN 35.21N 101.54W
12/14/2012 CARSON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

EF0 TORNADO LASTED APPROXIMATELY 5 MINUTES. SPOTTER
PROVIDED PHOTOGRAPHIC EVIDENCE.


&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200746

$$

SFJ

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KDLH [151530]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 151530
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
929 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0921 AM FREEZING RAIN 2 E GRAND RAPIDS 47.23N 93.48W
12/15/2012 E0.01 INCH ITASCA MN COCORAHS

OBSERVER REPORTS ROADS ARE GLARE ICE.


&&

$$

SGOHDE

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KPIH [151528]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 151528
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
828 AM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 1 W VICTOR 43.60N 111.13W
12/15/2012 M2.0 INCH TETON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT ACCUMULATION. STILL SNOWING AT THE TIME OF
OBSERVATION. ELEVATION APPROXIMATELY 6200 FEET.


&&

$$

JMESSICK

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KCHS [151526]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 151526
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1021 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0924 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 E CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.93W
12/15/2012 CHARLESTON SC TIDE GAGE

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 7.60 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT
THE CHARLESTON HARBOR GAGE. SHALLOW COASTAL FLOODING
TYPICALLY BEGINS ALONG THE LOWER SOUTH CAROLINA COAST
WHEN TIDE LEVELS REACH 7.0 FT MLLW IN THE CHARLESTON
HARBOR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200848

$$

ECT

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2159

ACUS11 KWNS 151524
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151524
MNZ000-151930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2159
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0924 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...N CNTRL MN

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 151524Z - 151930Z

SUMMARY...A TRANSIENT FREEZING RAIN THREAT WILL SUPPORT VERY
LOCALIZED/BRIEF FREEZING RAINFALL RATES OF 0.02 TO 0.04 INCH AN
HOUR. A PHASE CHANGE TO RAIN AND THEN SNOW WILL OCCUR LATER THIS
MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...12Z ABR AND MSX SOUNDINGS REFLECT A WARM LAYER JUST
ABOVE THE SURFACE TO NEAR 700 MB. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF SUBFREEZING
SURFACE TEMPERATURES...A NARROW CORRIDOR OF FREEZING RAIN HAS
DEVELOPED WITHIN A DEFORMATION ZONE. ALTHOUGH ONLY A FEW OBS ARE
REPORTING FZRA...RATES HAVE APPROACHED 0.04 INCHES AT TIMES /PER
PARK RAPIDS MN 1436Z OB/. A SUBTLE RISE IN SURFACE TEMPERATURES
OWING TO DIURNAL HEATING AND VERY WEAK WARM ADVECTION SHOULD ALLOW A
BRIEF PHASE CHANGE TO RAIN. THEREAFTER...THE UPPER/SURFACE LOW
LOCATED NEAR ERN NEB/WRN IA AS OF 15Z WILL TRACK NEWD...WITH COLD
AIR ADVECTION IN ITS WAKE SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOW ACROSS MN LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

..DISPIGNA.. 12/15/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...

LAT...LON 47469524 47959436 48039346 48099284 47919266 47719275
47199313 47029391 46989502 47469524

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KOUN [151510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 151510
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
910 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM TSTM WND DMG CROWELL 33.98N 99.72W
12/14/2012 FOARD TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

PWR LINES DOWN, WINDOWNS BLOWN IN, TIN ROOFS PEELED BACK.
RELAYED VIA NWS/LUBBOCK


&&

$$

DW

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KLUB [151445]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 151445
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
842 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM TSTM WND GST TELL 34.38N 100.39W
12/14/2012 E70 MPH CHILDRESS TX CO-OP OBSERVER

CARPORT DAMAGED


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200423

$$

MCONDER

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KGJT [151437]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 151437
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
737 AM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0708 AM SNOW 4 NNE CEDAREDGE 38.95N 107.90W
12/15/2012 M7.5 INCH DELTA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200563

$$

BK

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KGJT [151434]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KGJT 151434
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
733 AM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0655 AM SNOW LA SAL SNOTEL 38.48N 109.27W
12/15/2012 E17.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT MESONET

1.70 WATER CONTENT AT 9500 FEET - LASU1

0655 AM SNOW 1 S LA SAL SNOTEL 38.47N 109.26W
12/15/2012 E15.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT MESONET

GOLD BASIN AT 10000 FEET

0655 AM SNOW 2 SSE ABAJAO SNOTEL 37.81N 109.49W
12/15/2012 E12.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT MESONET

1.30 WATER CONTENT


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200560 GJT1200561 GJT1200562

$$

BK

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KDLH [151342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 151342
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
740 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FREEZING RAIN 3 N BRAINERD 46.40N 94.19W
12/15/2012 E0.02 INCH CROW WING MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0.09 INCHES OF RAIN. DRIVEWAY AND OTHER UNTREATED
SURFACES HAVE THIN GLAZE OF ICE.


&&

$$

SGOHDE

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KCYS [151335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 151335
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
635 AM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 35 S RAWLINS 41.28N 107.23W
12/15/2012 E2.0 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

SAGE CREEK BASIN SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE.
ELEVATION 7850 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES
AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 10 TO 1.
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 19 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.10N 107.13W
12/15/2012 E2.4 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

DIVIDE PEAK SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE. ELEVATION
8880 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES AND THE
SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 12 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS
OVER PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 14 E DIXON 41.03N 107.27W
12/15/2012 E2.4 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

BATTLE MOUNTAIN SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE.
ELEVATION 7440 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES
AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 12 TO 1.
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 17 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.03N 107.03W
12/15/2012 E3.6 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

SANDSTONE RANGER STATION SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE
RANGE. ELEVATION 8150 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS
0.3 INCHES AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 12 TO 1.
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 10 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.15N 106.97W
12/15/2012 E4.5 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

OLD BATTLE SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE. ELEVATION
10000 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.3 INCHES AND THE
SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS
OVER PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 5 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.16N 106.86W
12/15/2012 E3.0 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

WEBBER SPRINGS SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE.
ELEVATION 9250 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES
AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1.
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 28 E SAVERY 41.02N 106.91W
12/15/2012 E3.0 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

WHISKEY PARK SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE. ELEVATION
8950 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES AND THE
SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS
OVER PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 11 SSE ENCAMPMENT 41.06N 106.71W
12/15/2012 E3.0 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

BLACKHALL MOUNTAIN SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE.
ELEVATION 9820 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES
AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1.
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 21 SSE ELK MOUNTAIN 41.41N 106.26W
12/15/2012 E4.5 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

MEDICINE BOW SNOTEL IN THE SNOWY RANGE. ELEVATION 10500
FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.3 INCHES AND THE SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS OVER
PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 12 WNW CENTENNIAL 41.37N 106.32W
12/15/2012 E1.5 INCH ALBANY WY OTHER FEDERAL

NORTH FRENCH CREEK SNOTEL IN THE SNOWY RANGE. ELEVATION
10130 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.1 INCHES AND THE
SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS
OVER PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 30 WNW LARAMIE 41.48N 106.12W
12/15/2012 E1.5 INCH CARBON WY OTHER FEDERAL

SAND LAKE SNOTEL IN THE SNOWY RANGE. ELEVATION 10050
FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.1 INCHES AND THE SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS OVER
PAST 6 HOURS.


0500 AM SNOW 6 SW CENTENNIAL 41.24N 106.19W
12/15/2012 E1.5 INCH ALBANY WY OTHER FEDERAL

CINNABAR PARK SNOTEL IN THE SNOWY RANGE. ELEVATION 9574
FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.1 INCHES AND THE SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS OVER
PAST 6 HOURS.



&&

$$

LIEBL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151247
SWODY1
SPC AC 151245

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0645 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

VALID 151300Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
IN MID-UPPER LEVELS...SEVERAL SHORTWAVES ARE FCST TO TRAVERSE BELT
OF CYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH WRN CONUS MEAN TROUGH. FIRST OF
THESE...NOW MANIFEST AS CLOSED 500-MB CYCLONE OVER NRN MO/SRN IA
REGION -- WILL MOVE NEWD TO LH BY 16/12Z AND WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY.
UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- CURRENTLY OVER SRN PORTIONS NV/CA -- IS
EXPECTED TO PIVOT GENERALLY EWD ACROSS NRN AZ BY EARLY
EVENING...REACHING TX PANHANDLE BY 16/12Z. WEAKER AND INITIALLY
SEPARATE PERTURBATION -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY
OVER PAC NEAR 30N120W -- SHOULD MOVE EWD ACROSS CENTRAL BAJA AROUND
00Z...THEN ESSENTIALLY PHASE WITH MORE NRN FEATURE....REACHING SW TX
AROUND 16/12Z.

SFC CYCLONE -- ANALYZED AT 15/12Z BETWEEN HSI-LNK -- IS FCST TO
EJECT ENEWD ACROSS IA TO UPPER MS VALLEY...REACHING SERN MN BY 00Z
AND WRN LS/WRN UPPER MI REGION NEAR END OF PERIOD. TRAILING PAC
COLD FRONT -- FROM ERN PORTIONS KS/OK INTO S-CENTRAL TX THIS MORNING
-- SHOULD BECOME QUASISTATIONARY NEAR OR JUST SE OF PRESENT
POSITION...WHILE AWAITING ARRIVAL OF REINFORCING CAA/BAROCLINICITY
PRECEDING AFOREMENTIONED LATE-PERIOD SHORTWAVES. SLGT NWWD DRIFT OF
THIS BOUNDARY ALSO IS POSSIBLE AFTER 06Z...PARTICULARLY WHERE NO
BAROCLINICALLY REINFORCING PRECIP HAS DEVELOPED BY THEN.

...PORTIONS LA...UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN...
ONGOING THIN BAND OF CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING EWD ACROSS
ARKLATEX REGION AND SLOWLY SEWD OVER MID-UPPER TX COASTAL
PLAIN...WITH GEN WEAKENING TREND THROUGH REMAINDER OF MORNING.

GREATEST TSTM POTENTIAL OVER THIS REGION WILL BE WIDELY SCATTERED
COVERAGE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY DURING LAST 3-6 HOURS OF PERIOD AS
SUBTLE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT RELATED TO CA/PAC SHORTWAVES APCHS FRONTAL
ZONE. THIS SHOULD COMBINE WITH SUFFICIENT THETAE TO OFFSET WEAK
MID-UPPER LEVEL LAPSE RATES...RESULTING IN 500-1000 J/KG MUCAPE AND
WEAKENING OF PREVIOUSLY STOUT LOW-LEVEL CAPPING DURING 09-12Z TIME
FRAME. ALTHOUGH FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN WEAK...DECREASING
CINH SHOULD SUPPORT INCREASING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. HEIGHT
GRADIENTS ALOFT WILL TIGHTEN AHEAD OF SWRN CONUS
SHORTWAVES...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING DEEP SHEAR ATOP RELATIVELY
WEAK NEAR-SFC WINDS. 50-60 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES ARE
POSSIBLE.

HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS NOT VERY STG IN DEVELOPMENT OF GREATER
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/INTENSITY IN THIS REGIME...GIVEN WEAK LAPSE
RATES ALOFT...LACK OF MORE ROBUST FLOW/CONVERGENCE IN LOW
LEVELS...AND ERRATIC/INCONSISTENT PRECIP SIGNALS IN
CONVECTION-ALLOWING/SSEO GUIDANCE. ANY SUSTAINED/INTENSE CELLS THAT
DO DEVELOP COULD TRANSFER MOMENTUM TO SFC FROM STG FLOW ALOFT...AND
POSE THREAT OF STG/ISOLATED SVR GUSTS PENETRATING SHALLOW/NEAR-SFC
STABLE LAYER.

..EDWARDS/SMITH.. 12/15/2012

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KSLC [151210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 151210
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
509 AM MST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 2 N BRIGHTON 40.61N 111.54W
12/15/2012 M7.0 INCH SUMMIT UT TRAINED SPOTTER

PARK CITY SUMMIT - 9300 FT

0140 PM SNOW 3 S BRYCE CANYON 37.59N 112.17W
12/14/2012 M6.0 INCH PARK/FOREST SERVICE

0140 PM SNOW 18 S BRYCE CANYON 37.38N 112.17W
12/14/2012 M12.0 INCH KANE UT PARK/FOREST SERVICE

0411 AM SNOW 1 N ALTA 40.58N 111.64W
12/15/2012 M9.0 INCH SALT LAKE UT TRAINED SPOTTER

ALTA COLLINS - 9662 FT

&&

$$

ROGOWSKI

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2158

ACUS11 KWNS 151150
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151150 COR
MNZ000-SDZ000-151500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2158
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0550 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND NERN SD INTO A SMALL
PORTION OF SWRN-WEST CENTRAL MN

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 151150Z - 151500Z

CORRECTED FOR TYPOS IN FIRST PARAGRAPH OF DISCUSSION

SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN RATES OF 0.05 INCH PER 3-HOURS CAN BE
EXPECTED IN A 30-40 MILE WIDE CORRIDOR ORIENTED SW-NE IN NERN SD
/FROM HAND COUNTY TO ROBERTS COUNTY/ AND ADJACENT WRN TRAVERSE/BIG
STONE COUNTIES MN. MEANWHILE...A SMALLER SPATIAL COVERAGE FREEZING
RAIN THREAT EXISTS IN A 25 MILE WIDE CORRIDOR ORIENTED NW-SE FROM
ERN GRANT COUNTY SD TO MML IN SWRN MN...WHERE RATES COULD EXCEED
0.1-0.2 INCH PER 3-HOURS THROUGH 15Z.

DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATED TEMPERATURES REMAINING BELOW 32 F...GENERALLY W-N OF A
LINE FROM 9V9 /CHAMBERLAIN SD/ TO HON TO ATY. ALTHOUGH MOST SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN CENTRAL AND SRN MN WERE ABOVE 32 F...A SMALL
CORRIDOR EXTENDING FROM MML TO WRN PARTS OF YELLOW MEDICINE/LAC QUI
PARLE COUNTIES MN TO THE MN/SD BORDER AT GRANT COUNTY SD HAD
TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID-UPPER 20S. REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY
SUGGESTED A SW-NE DEFORMATION ZONE WAS DEVELOPING IN THE
AFOREMENTIONED SW-NE ORIENTED CORRIDOR IN NERN SD. GIVEN THIS
REGION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE NWRN EXTENT OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE INFLOW AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NEWD INTO WEST CENTRAL IA
BETWEEN 15-18Z...PRECIPITATION RATES SHOULD TEND TO BE LESS THAN
LOCATIONS FARTHER EAST IN MN.

MEANWHILE...REGIONAL RADAR/SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED HIGHER
REFLECTIVITY AND RAINFALL RATES...RESPECTIVELY OCCURRING IN NWRN IA
/0.1 TO 0.3 INCH PER HR IN THE 09-10Z OBSERVATIONS/. A BAND OF
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM FAR NWRN IA INTO SWRN MN WILL
CONTINUE TO SHIFT NWWD REACHING LYON COUNTY BY 12Z AND THE REST OF
THE SWRN-WEST CENTRAL MN SUB-FREEZING SURFACE TEMPERATURES BETWEEN
12-15Z. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES MAY WARM A FEW DEGREES IN THIS
REGION...MODELS SUGGEST FREEZING RAIN SHOULD BE THE PREDOMINANT
PRECIPITATION-TYPE THROUGH 15Z...WITH RATES EXCEEDING 0.1 INCH IN
1-3 HOURS.

..PETERS.. 12/15/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ABR...

LAT...LON 45839683 45899655 45509643 44999619 44579562 44339579
44649625 45089685 45009733 44389842 44219893 44419935
44809919 45479792 45889730 45839683

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2158

ACUS11 KWNS 151027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151026
MNZ000-SDZ000-151500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2158
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0426 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL AND NERN SD INTO A SMALL
PORTION OF SWRN-WEST CENTRAL MN

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 151026Z - 151500Z

SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN RATES OF 0.05 INCH PER 3-HOURS CAN BE
EXPECTED IN A 30-40 MILE WIDE CORRIDOR ORIENTED SW-NE IN NERN SD
/FROM HAND COUNTY TO ROBERTS COUNTY/ AND ADJACENT WRN TRAVERSE/BIG
STONE COUNTIES MN. MEANWHILE...A SMALLER SPATIAL COVERAGE FREEZING
RAIN THREAT EXISTS IN A 25 MILE WIDE CORRIDOR ORIENTED NW-SE FROM
ERN GRANT COUNTY SD TO MML IN SWRN MN...WHERE RATES COULD EXCEED
0.1-0.2 INCH PER 3-HOURS THROUGH 15Z.

DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATED TEMPERATURES REMAINING BELOW 32 F...GENERALLY W-N OF A
LINE FROM 9V9 /CHAMBERLAIN SD/ TO HON TO ATY. ALTHOUGH MOST SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN CENTRAL AND SRN MN WERE ABOVE 32 F...A SMALL
CORRIDOR EXTENDING FROM MML TO WRN PARTS OF YELLOW MEDICINE/LAC QUI
PARLE COUNTIES MN TO THE MN/SD BORDER AT GRANT COUNTY SD HAD
TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID-UPPER 20S. REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY
SUGGESTED A NW-SE DEFORMATION ZONE WAS DEVELOPING IN THE
AFOREMENTIONED SW-NE ORIENTED CORRIDOR IN NERN SD. GIVEN THIS
REGION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE NWRN EXTENT OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE INFLOW AS THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS NEWD INTO WEST CENTRAL IA
BETWEEN 15-18Z...PRECIPITATION RATES SHOULD TEND TO BE LESS THAN
LOCATIONS FARTHER EAST IN MN.

MEANWHILE...REGIONAL RADAR/SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED HIGHER
REFLECTIVITY AND RAINFALL RATES...RESPECTIVELY OCCURRING IN NWRN IA
/0.1 TO 0.3 INCH PER HR IN THE 09-10Z OBSERVATIONS/. A BAND OF
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM FAR NWRN IA INTO SWRN MN WILL
CONTINUE TO SHIFT NWWD REACHING LYON COUNTY BY 12Z AND THE REST OF
THE SWRN-WEST CENTRAL MN SUB-FREEZING SURFACE TEMPERATURES BETWEEN
12-15Z. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES MAY WARM A FEW DEGREES IN THIS
REGION...MODELS SUGGEST FREEZING RAIN SHOULD BE THE PREDOMINANT
PRECIPITATION-TYPE THROUGH 15Z...WITH RATES EXCEEDING 0.1 INCH IN
1-3 HOURS.

..PETERS.. 12/15/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ABR...

LAT...LON 45839683 45899655 45509643 44999619 44579562 44339579
44649625 45089685 45009733 44389842 44219893 44419935
44809919 45479792 45889730 45839683

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 151000
SWOD48
SPC AC 151000

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

VALID 181200Z - 231200Z

...DISCUSSION...
DAY 4...SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW DAY 4 AS ERN U.S.
TROUGH AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT EXIT THE ERN U.S. SEABOARD WITH
LIMITED MOISTURE INLAND.

LATE DAY 5-DAY 6...SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD INCREASE LATER DAY 5 AND
DAY 6 AS STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH DROPS SEWD AND AMPLIFIES OVER THE
WRN STATES...CONTINUING INTO THE SRN PLAINS LATE DAY 5 AND THE
LOWER-MID MS AND TN VALLEYS DAY 6. DEEP CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE THAT WILL ADVECT PARTIALLY MODIFIED
GULF AIR NWD THROUGH PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE
FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS DAY 5 INTO THE OH VALLEY BY DAY 6. TRAILING
COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP RAPIDLY THROUGH THE PLAINS INTO THE MS AND TN
VALLEYS...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN A FORCED LINE OF SEVERE STORMS.

GFS...ECMWF...UKMET DETERMINISTIC AS WELL AS THE GEFS AND ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON GENERAL SOLUTION.
HOWEVER...DIFFERENCES IN DETAILS EXIST AMONG THE MODELS SUCH AS
AMPLITUDE AND TIMING OF THE TROUGH AND RELATED INTENSITY OF SFC LOW
WHICH WILL IMPACT QUALITY AND EXTENT OF MOISTURE RETURN. FOR THIS
REASON WILL NOT INTRODUCE A HIGHER COVERAGE SEVERE AREA AT THIS
TIME...BUT RE-EVALUATE IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..DIAL.. 12/15/2012

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KABR [150953]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 150953
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
353 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0351 AM FREEZING RAIN MILLER 44.52N 98.99W
12/15/2012 E0.04 INCH HAND SD LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1200541

$$

TDK

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KABR [150841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 150841
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
240 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM FREEZING RAIN MILLER 44.52N 98.99W
12/15/2012 U0.00 INCH HAND SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

HWY 14 FROM MILLER TO HURON ICE COVERED. ROADS IN
MILLER ICE COVERED AND SLICK. TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATION
UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1200540

$$

TMT

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 150831
SWODY3
SPC AC 150830

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST SAT DEC 15 2012

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

BROAD SYNOPTIC TROUGH WILL ADVANCE THROUGH THE ERN STATES MONDAY. A
SERIES OF VORT MAXES EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS REGIME WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY AND SERN U.S. SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AND
LIFT NEWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN EJECTING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE LOW WILL SWEEP
SEWD...LIKELY EXTENDING FROM NEAR THE NERN U.S. COAST SWWD INTO THE
NRN GULF BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

...GA THROUGH THE ERN CAROLINAS...

SWLY LOW LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN FROM GA THROUGH ERN
CAROLINAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH HEIGHT FALLS ATTENDING THE PROGRESSIVE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS FEATURE WILL TRANSPORT MODIFIED CP AIR WITH
LOW 60S DEWPOINTS THROUGH THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR CONTRIBUTING
TO DESTABILIZATION. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN MARGINAL /MLCAPE AOB 500
J/KG/ ESPECIALLY WITH NWD EXTENT INTO WARM SECTOR OWING TO
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND WEAK LAPSE RATES. CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE
DEVELOPING WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT ALONG CONVEYOR BELT...AND MAY
UNDERGO SOME INTENSIFICATION AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENS AND
DESTABILIZES. ACTIVITY WILL BE EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG DEEP LAYER
WIND PROFILES...WITH LARGE HODOGRAPHS AND STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING BOWING STRUCTURES AND
SUPERCELLS. WILL INTRODUCE A 5% SEVERE COVERAGE AREA AT THIS TIME
DUE TO POTENTIAL LIMITING FACTORS IMPOSED BY THE EXPECTED MARGINAL
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER...AREA WILL BE RE-EVALUATED FOR A
POSSIBLE SLIGHT RISK ON THE DAY 2 UPDATE.

...OH VALLEY REGION...

MOISTURE WILL BE MORE LIMITED IN THIS REGION WITH DEWPOINTS
GENERALLY IN THE 40S. HOWEVER...COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT...STEEPER
LAPSE RATES AND POTENTIAL FOR BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING MAY YIELD AT
LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE AOB 300 J/KG. A FEW STORMS
MAY DEVELOP AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES...POSSIBLY AIDED BY AT
LEAST MODEST FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDING AN EJECTING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. IF SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY DEVELOPS...STRONG EFFECTIVE SHEAR
WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED STORMS AND AT LEAST A MODEST
SEVERE THREAT. LIKELIHOOD OF WEAK INSTABILITY PRECLUDES INTRODUCING
MORE THAN 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

..DIAL.. 12/15/2012

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