NWUS52 KJAX 032135
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
535 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 E OCALA 29.19N 82.07W
07/03/2013 MARION FL LAW ENFORCEMENT
STATE WARNING POINT RELAYED REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON A
HOME AT 4712 NE 7TH ST IN OCALA. NO INJUIRES WERE
REPORTED. TIME IS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.
&&
$$
JHESS
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Wednesday, July 3, 2013
KJAX [032131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KJAX 032131
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
531 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 ENE RAINBOW LAKES EST 29.20N 82.32W
07/03/2013 MARION FL LAW ENFORCEMENT
STATE WARNING POINT RELAYED REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON A
MOBILE HOME AT 815 NW 120TH AVE IN OCALA. NO INJUIRES
WERE REPORTED. TIME IS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.
&&
$$
JHESS
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LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
531 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 ENE RAINBOW LAKES EST 29.20N 82.32W
07/03/2013 MARION FL LAW ENFORCEMENT
STATE WARNING POINT RELAYED REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON A
MOBILE HOME AT 815 NW 120TH AVE IN OCALA. NO INJUIRES
WERE REPORTED. TIME IS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.
&&
$$
JHESS
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KTAE [032129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTAE 032129
LSRTAE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
529 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW TALLAHASSEE 30.45N 84.30W
07/03/2013 M4.91 INCH LEON FL OFFICIAL NWS OBS
2.71 INCHES OF RAIN FROM 8 AM TO 525 PM AT THE NWS OFFICE
ON THE FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY CAMPUS. A TOTAL OF 4.91
INCHES OF RAIN INCLUDING YESTERDAYS RAIN.
&&
$$
08-LAMERS
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LSRTAE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
529 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW TALLAHASSEE 30.45N 84.30W
07/03/2013 M4.91 INCH LEON FL OFFICIAL NWS OBS
2.71 INCHES OF RAIN FROM 8 AM TO 525 PM AT THE NWS OFFICE
ON THE FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY CAMPUS. A TOTAL OF 4.91
INCHES OF RAIN INCLUDING YESTERDAYS RAIN.
&&
$$
08-LAMERS
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KILM [032127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KILM 032127
LSRILM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
527 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM FLOOD 6 NW JOHNSONVILLE 33.89N 79.52W
07/03/2013 FLORENCE SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
ROADWAY FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF US378 BETWEEN BIG
SWAMP AND KINGSBURG HIWAYS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1300206
$$
DCH
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LSRILM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
527 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM FLOOD 6 NW JOHNSONVILLE 33.89N 79.52W
07/03/2013 FLORENCE SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
ROADWAY FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF US378 BETWEEN BIG
SWAMP AND KINGSBURG HIWAYS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1300206
$$
DCH
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KKEY [032126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KKEY 032126
LSRKEY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
526 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0435 PM TSTM WND GST 14 NW KEY WEST 24.71N 81.93W
07/03/2013 M40.00 MPH GMZ033 FL MESONET
WEATHERFLOW MESONET AT SMITH SHOAL LIGHT REPORTED A WIND
GUST OF 35 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH AT 435PM IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A PASSING THUNDERSTORM.
0510 PM TSTM WND GST 14 NW KEY WEST 24.71N 81.93W
07/03/2013 M40.00 MPH GMZ033 FL MESONET
WEATHERFLOW MESONET AT SMITH SHOAL LIGHT REPORTED A
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 35 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH
SOUTHEAST AT 510PM.
0518 PM TSTM WND GST N KEY WEST 24.56N 81.78W
07/03/2013 M39.00 MPH LOWER KEYS IN MONR FL UTILITY COMPANY
DAVIS INSTRUMENT AT FLEMING KEY REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM
WIND GUST OF 39MPH AT 518PM.
&&
$$
LK
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LSRKEY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
526 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0435 PM TSTM WND GST 14 NW KEY WEST 24.71N 81.93W
07/03/2013 M40.00 MPH GMZ033 FL MESONET
WEATHERFLOW MESONET AT SMITH SHOAL LIGHT REPORTED A WIND
GUST OF 35 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH AT 435PM IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A PASSING THUNDERSTORM.
0510 PM TSTM WND GST 14 NW KEY WEST 24.71N 81.93W
07/03/2013 M40.00 MPH GMZ033 FL MESONET
WEATHERFLOW MESONET AT SMITH SHOAL LIGHT REPORTED A
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 35 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTH
SOUTHEAST AT 510PM.
0518 PM TSTM WND GST N KEY WEST 24.56N 81.78W
07/03/2013 M39.00 MPH LOWER KEYS IN MONR FL UTILITY COMPANY
DAVIS INSTRUMENT AT FLEMING KEY REPORTED A THUNDERSTORM
WIND GUST OF 39MPH AT 518PM.
&&
$$
LK
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KILM [032122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KILM 032122
LSRILM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
522 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0455 PM FLOOD 7 S PAMPLICO 33.89N 79.55W
07/03/2013 FLORENCE SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
HALF MOON RD AT U.S. HWY 378 CLOSED DUE TO ROADWAY
FLOODING
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1300205
$$
BJR
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LSRILM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
522 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0455 PM FLOOD 7 S PAMPLICO 33.89N 79.55W
07/03/2013 FLORENCE SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
HALF MOON RD AT U.S. HWY 378 CLOSED DUE TO ROADWAY
FLOODING
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1300205
$$
BJR
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KILM [032119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KILM 032119
LSRILM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
519 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0252 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSE QUINBY 34.20N 79.71W
07/03/2013 FLORENCE SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
TREE DOWN ACROSS NORTH PINE COURT CIRCLE IN THE 200
BLOCK.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1300204
$$
DCH
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LSRILM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
519 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0252 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSE QUINBY 34.20N 79.71W
07/03/2013 FLORENCE SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
TREE DOWN ACROSS NORTH PINE COURT CIRCLE IN THE 200
BLOCK.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1300204
$$
DCH
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KFFC [032113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KFFC 032113
LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
513 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM HEAVY RAIN NEWNAN 33.37N 84.80W
07/03/2013 M2.92 INCH COWETA GA PUBLIC
THIS IS A 6 HOUR TOTAL FROM 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM.
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
513 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM HEAVY RAIN NEWNAN 33.37N 84.80W
07/03/2013 M2.92 INCH COWETA GA PUBLIC
THIS IS A 6 HOUR TOTAL FROM 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM.
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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KBTV [032058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 032058
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
458 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 S KEESEVILLE 44.44N 73.49W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY EMERGENCY MNGR
ROUTE 9 IS CLOSED JUST SOUTH OF ROUTE 22
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300197
$$
NEILES
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
458 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 S KEESEVILLE 44.44N 73.49W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY EMERGENCY MNGR
ROUTE 9 IS CLOSED JUST SOUTH OF ROUTE 22
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300197
$$
NEILES
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KTBW [032058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTBW 032058
LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
457 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0351 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 NNW DUNEDIN 28.07N 82.80W
07/03/2013 M47 MPH GMZ853 FL MESONET
MESONET STATION 2 NW DUNEDIN /XDUN/ REPORTED A WIND GUST
OF 47 MPH.
&&
$$
RGARCIA
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LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
457 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0351 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 NNW DUNEDIN 28.07N 82.80W
07/03/2013 M47 MPH GMZ853 FL MESONET
MESONET STATION 2 NW DUNEDIN /XDUN/ REPORTED A WIND GUST
OF 47 MPH.
&&
$$
RGARCIA
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KGJT [032053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KGJT 032053
LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
253 PM MDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0242 PM TSTM WND GST 1 ESE CRAIG 40.51N 107.53W
07/03/2013 M52 MPH MOFFAT CO ASOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1301186
$$
TB
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LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
253 PM MDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0242 PM TSTM WND GST 1 ESE CRAIG 40.51N 107.53W
07/03/2013 M52 MPH MOFFAT CO ASOS
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1301186
$$
TB
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KBMX [032045]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 032045
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
345 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0342 PM HEAVY RAIN GRAYSVILLE 33.63N 86.97W
07/03/2013 E1.50 INCH JEFFERSON AL EMERGENCY MNGR
MINOR STREET FLOODING OCCURRING ON HIGHWAY 78 AT
GRAYSVILLE AND ADAMSVILLE. RADAR ESTIMATED 1 TO 1.5
INCHES.
&&
$$
KSUMRALL
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LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
345 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0342 PM HEAVY RAIN GRAYSVILLE 33.63N 86.97W
07/03/2013 E1.50 INCH JEFFERSON AL EMERGENCY MNGR
MINOR STREET FLOODING OCCURRING ON HIGHWAY 78 AT
GRAYSVILLE AND ADAMSVILLE. RADAR ESTIMATED 1 TO 1.5
INCHES.
&&
$$
KSUMRALL
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KTBW [032044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTBW 032044
LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
444 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0410 PM HEAVY RAIN NW SAINT PETERSBURG 27.76N 82.67W
07/03/2013 E2.00 INCH PINELLAS FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORT OF 2.10 INCHES OF RAIN IN 40 MINUTES.
NUMEROUS STREETS FLOODED.
&&
$$
WYNN
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LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
444 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0410 PM HEAVY RAIN NW SAINT PETERSBURG 27.76N 82.67W
07/03/2013 E2.00 INCH PINELLAS FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORT OF 2.10 INCHES OF RAIN IN 40 MINUTES.
NUMEROUS STREETS FLOODED.
&&
$$
WYNN
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KTAE [032044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTAE 032044
LSRTAE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
444 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0440 PM FLOOD 2 WSW TALLAHASSEE 30.43N 84.31W
07/03/2013 LEON FL 911 CALL CENTER
WATER OVER THE ROAD AT ROBERTS AND IAMONIA.
&&
$$
08-LAMERS
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LSRTAE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
444 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0440 PM FLOOD 2 WSW TALLAHASSEE 30.43N 84.31W
07/03/2013 LEON FL 911 CALL CENTER
WATER OVER THE ROAD AT ROBERTS AND IAMONIA.
&&
$$
08-LAMERS
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1319
ACUS11 KWNS 032043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032043
NMZ000-COZ000-032215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1319
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...LOCATIONS NEAR AND TO THE S-SW OF HIGHER TERRAIN IN
NM
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 032043Z - 032215Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE EARLY EVENING INVOF AND TO THE S-SW OF HIGHER TERRAIN IN
NM. LOCALLY STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...WITH HAIL A THREAT AS WELL.
DISCUSSION...AT 2030Z...MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED STRONG STORMS
DEVELOPING OVER NERN...NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL NM --- WITH
MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY DEVELOPING INVOF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE AIR
MASS ACROSS MUCH OF NM HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE /MLCAPE TO
AROUND 1000 J PER KG/...WHILE 30-40 KT NLY MIDLEVEL WINDS/SHEAR
SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR STORM SUSTENANCE/UPDRAFT ROTATION. STEEP
LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL.
SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW DAYS...ANTICIPATED COVERAGE OF STRONGER
STORMS AND THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION WILL BE THE MAIN LIMITING
FACTORS PRECLUDING THE NEED FOR A WATCH AT THIS TIME.
IF STORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON BEGIN TO MERGE WITH COLD POOL
COALESCENCE...THEN A WATCH WOULD BE POSSIBLE FOR PRIMARILY AN
INCREASED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
..PETERS/MEAD.. 07/03/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...EPZ...
LAT...LON 37040517 36370467 36300371 35760326 35560393 35550470
34550500 33430539 32440519 32100577 32260677 32640769
33050816 33610849 33920819 34130744 34980723 36340684
36320615 37040517
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032043
NMZ000-COZ000-032215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1319
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...LOCATIONS NEAR AND TO THE S-SW OF HIGHER TERRAIN IN
NM
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 032043Z - 032215Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE EARLY EVENING INVOF AND TO THE S-SW OF HIGHER TERRAIN IN
NM. LOCALLY STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...WITH HAIL A THREAT AS WELL.
DISCUSSION...AT 2030Z...MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED STRONG STORMS
DEVELOPING OVER NERN...NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL NM --- WITH
MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY DEVELOPING INVOF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE AIR
MASS ACROSS MUCH OF NM HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE /MLCAPE TO
AROUND 1000 J PER KG/...WHILE 30-40 KT NLY MIDLEVEL WINDS/SHEAR
SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR STORM SUSTENANCE/UPDRAFT ROTATION. STEEP
LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL.
SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW DAYS...ANTICIPATED COVERAGE OF STRONGER
STORMS AND THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION WILL BE THE MAIN LIMITING
FACTORS PRECLUDING THE NEED FOR A WATCH AT THIS TIME.
IF STORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON BEGIN TO MERGE WITH COLD POOL
COALESCENCE...THEN A WATCH WOULD BE POSSIBLE FOR PRIMARILY AN
INCREASED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
..PETERS/MEAD.. 07/03/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...EPZ...
LAT...LON 37040517 36370467 36300371 35760326 35560393 35550470
34550500 33430539 32440519 32100577 32260677 32640769
33050816 33610849 33920819 34130744 34980723 36340684
36320615 37040517
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KTBW [032037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTBW 032037
LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
437 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0425 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 S BRADENTON 27.45N 82.58W
07/03/2013 E2.00 INCH MANATEE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORT OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF PONDING WATER AT
INTERSECTION OF HWY 41 AND 53RD AVE. RADAR ESTIMATE OF
1-2 INCHES PER HOUR.
&&
$$
WYNN
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LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
437 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0425 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 S BRADENTON 27.45N 82.58W
07/03/2013 E2.00 INCH MANATEE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORT OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF PONDING WATER AT
INTERSECTION OF HWY 41 AND 53RD AVE. RADAR ESTIMATE OF
1-2 INCHES PER HOUR.
&&
$$
WYNN
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KTBW [032034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTBW 032034
LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
434 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0342 PM TSTM WND GST 4 WNW CLEARWATER 27.98N 82.83W
07/03/2013 M40.00 MPH PINELLAS FL OTHER FEDERAL
CLEARWATER BEACH CO-OPS SITE RECORDED 40 MPH WIND GUST AT
1942Z
&&
$$
CARLISLE
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LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
434 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0342 PM TSTM WND GST 4 WNW CLEARWATER 27.98N 82.83W
07/03/2013 M40.00 MPH PINELLAS FL OTHER FEDERAL
CLEARWATER BEACH CO-OPS SITE RECORDED 40 MPH WIND GUST AT
1942Z
&&
$$
CARLISLE
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KTBW [032034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTBW 032034
LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
433 PM EDT WED JUL 3 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0351 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 NNW DUNEDIN 28.05N 82.80W
07/03/2013 GMZ853 GM MESONET
MESONET STATION 2 NW DUNEDIN /XDUN/
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
433 PM EDT WED JUL 3 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0351 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 NNW DUNEDIN 28.05N 82.80W
07/03/2013 GMZ853 GM MESONET
MESONET STATION 2 NW DUNEDIN /XDUN/
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KTAE [032028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTAE 032028
LSRTAE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
428 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0420 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N TALLAHASSEE 30.45N 84.28W
07/03/2013 LEON FL EMERGENCY MNGR
A COUPLE VEHICLES STALLED OUT IN WATER NEAR THE MONROE
AND THOMASVILLE ROAD SPLIT.
&&
$$
08-LAMERS
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LSRTAE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
428 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0420 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N TALLAHASSEE 30.45N 84.28W
07/03/2013 LEON FL EMERGENCY MNGR
A COUPLE VEHICLES STALLED OUT IN WATER NEAR THE MONROE
AND THOMASVILLE ROAD SPLIT.
&&
$$
08-LAMERS
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KTAE [032026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTAE 032026
LSRTAE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
426 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM FLASH FLOOD VERNON 30.62N 85.71W
07/03/2013 WASHINGTON FL LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER HAD REPORTEDLY ENTERED AT LEAST FIVE HOMES...AS
WELL AS A SCHOOL NEAR VERNON.
&&
$$
08-LAMERS
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LSRTAE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
426 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM FLASH FLOOD VERNON 30.62N 85.71W
07/03/2013 WASHINGTON FL LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER HAD REPORTEDLY ENTERED AT LEAST FIVE HOMES...AS
WELL AS A SCHOOL NEAR VERNON.
&&
$$
08-LAMERS
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KRNK [032015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KRNK 032015
LSRRNK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
415 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0348 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW HALIFAX 36.81N 78.95W
07/03/2013 HALIFAX VA 911 CALL CENTER
TREE DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF MURPHY GROVE ROAD AND
HIGHWAY 501
&&
$$
WERT
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LSRRNK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
415 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0348 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW HALIFAX 36.81N 78.95W
07/03/2013 HALIFAX VA 911 CALL CENTER
TREE DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF MURPHY GROVE ROAD AND
HIGHWAY 501
&&
$$
WERT
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KILM [032003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KILM 032003
LSRILM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
402 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0329 PM FLOOD 7 WSW LONGS 33.90N 78.84W
07/03/2013 HORRY SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
RED BLUFF RD CLOSED DUE TO WACCAMAW RIVER FLOODING
BETWEEN SC 90 AND SC 905
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1300203
$$
BJR
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LSRILM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
402 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0329 PM FLOOD 7 WSW LONGS 33.90N 78.84W
07/03/2013 HORRY SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
RED BLUFF RD CLOSED DUE TO WACCAMAW RIVER FLOODING
BETWEEN SC 90 AND SC 905
&&
EVENT NUMBER ILM1300203
$$
BJR
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KBTV [032002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS51 KBTV 032002
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
402 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNW HUNTINGTON 44.35N 73.01W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERMAN HOLLOW ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
0248 PM FLASH FLOOD HUNTINGTON 44.33N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHING OUT INCLUDING HAPPY
HOLLOW ROAD AND EAST STREET
0335 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N HUNTINGTON 44.36N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
HUNTINGTON ROAD FLOODED NEAR MAYO ROAD
0336 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE HINESBURG 44.34N 73.05W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHED OUT IN HINESBURG
INCLUDING HAYDEN HILL...MEADOW...AND TEXAS HILL ROADS
0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE PORT DOUGLASS 44.46N 73.41W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY 911 CALL CENTER
HIGHLAND ROAD WASHED OUT
0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 W WILLSBORO POINT 44.42N 73.48W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY 911 CALL CENTER
ROUTE 22 WASHED OUT
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300191 BTV1300192 BTV1300193 BTV1300194 BTV1300195
BTV1300196
$$
MUCCILLI
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
402 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNW HUNTINGTON 44.35N 73.01W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERMAN HOLLOW ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
0248 PM FLASH FLOOD HUNTINGTON 44.33N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHING OUT INCLUDING HAPPY
HOLLOW ROAD AND EAST STREET
0335 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N HUNTINGTON 44.36N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
HUNTINGTON ROAD FLOODED NEAR MAYO ROAD
0336 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE HINESBURG 44.34N 73.05W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHED OUT IN HINESBURG
INCLUDING HAYDEN HILL...MEADOW...AND TEXAS HILL ROADS
0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE PORT DOUGLASS 44.46N 73.41W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY 911 CALL CENTER
HIGHLAND ROAD WASHED OUT
0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 W WILLSBORO POINT 44.42N 73.48W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY 911 CALL CENTER
ROUTE 22 WASHED OUT
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300191 BTV1300192 BTV1300193 BTV1300194 BTV1300195
BTV1300196
$$
MUCCILLI
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KBTV [031955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 031955
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
355 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 W WILLSBORO POINT 44.42N 73.48W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY 911 CALL CENTER
ROUTE 22 WASHED OUT
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300196
$$
NEILES
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
355 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 W WILLSBORO POINT 44.42N 73.48W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY 911 CALL CENTER
ROUTE 22 WASHED OUT
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300196
$$
NEILES
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KBTV [031953]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 031953
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
353 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE PORT DOUGLASS 44.46N 73.41W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY 911 CALL CENTER
HIGHLAND ROAD WASHED OUT
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300195
$$
NEILES
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
353 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE PORT DOUGLASS 44.46N 73.41W
07/03/2013 ESSEX NY 911 CALL CENTER
HIGHLAND ROAD WASHED OUT
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300195
$$
NEILES
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 031940
SWODY1
SPC AC 031938
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0238 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
VALID 032000Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST
INTO SRN APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN AZ INTO SRN ROCKIES
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
NO CHANGES REQUIRED TO 1630Z OUTLOOK. CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF
CONVECTION/PRECIPITATION PERSISTS WITHIN TROPICAL PLUME FROM THE ERN
GULF BASIN...NWD INTO THE SRN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS. WHILE AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...IT APPEARS HEAVY RAIN IS THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ELSEWHERE...SCT TSTMS WILL ONCE
AGAIN EVOLVE/MATURE ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES WHERE GUSTY WINDS MAY
ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.
..DARROW.. 07/03/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1117 AM CDT WED JUL 03 2013/
...SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN IS FORECAST DURING THE D1
PERIOD. A HIGH-AMPLITUDE RIDGE-TROUGH-RIDGE CONFIGURATION WILL BE
MAINTAINED FROM THE SWRN CONUS TO WRN ATLANTIC WITH THE POLAR BRANCH
OF WESTERLIES CONFINED TO CANADA. WITHIN THIS BROAD-SCALE
REGIME...THE SLIGHT WWD RETROGRESSION OF THE WRN ATLANTIC HIGH WILL
ENHANCE THE MIDLEVEL HEIGHT GRADIENT FROM THE GULF COAST STATES
THROUGH THE TN VALLEY INTO LOWER GREAT LAKES. IN THE LOW LEVELS...A
N-S BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FROM THE OH VALLEY
TO CNTRL GULF COAST...WHILE FARTHER TO THE NW A COLD FRONT SETTLES
SEWD THROUGH THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.
...CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST INTO SRN APPALACHIANS THIS
AFTERNOON/TONIGHT...
A CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY MOIST
AND POTENTIALLY MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO FOSTER NUMEROUS
TSTMS BY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. ELY/SELY SURFACE WINDS
BENEATH A STEADILY STRENGTHENING SLY MIDLEVEL WIND FIELD WILL RESULT
IN A VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR
FOR DEEP UPDRAFT ROTATION. THIS SETUP WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH A RISK FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES
GIVEN THE VERY MOIST/LOW LCL PBL. LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE OWING TO WATER LOADING OF CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFTS.
...SERN AZ INTO SRN ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
SIMILAR TO PAST DAYS...DIURNALLY ENHANCED TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS
ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATE AND
MODESTLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. SUFFICIENT /35-45 KT/ DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS AS THE INITIAL STORM MODE WITH A
RISK FOR HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. COALESCING COLD POOLS MAY
SUPPORT THE UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS BY THIS EVENING WITH AN
INCREASING RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
...OH VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
A SURFACE LOW OVER NERN IL/NWRN IND WILL DEVELOP NWD TODAY IN TANDEM
WITH A VORTICITY MAXIMUM PIVOTING AROUND THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE
PARENT UPPER LOW. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE NRN EXTENSION OF THE WARM SECTOR THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN
THE COMBINATION OF MODEST AMOUNTS OF VERTICAL SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY...THE SETUP WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL AND MARGINAL
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF SOME HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS...AND
PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.
...NRN HIGH PLAINS THIS EVENING/TONIGHT...
LOW-LEVEL UPLIFT ALONG THE COLD FRONT COUPLED WITH THE GLANCING
INFLUENCE OF A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH AMPLIFYING OVER THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIE PROVINCES INTO NRN HIGH PLAINS WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT MAINLY AFTER 04/00Z. SOME HAIL
AND/OR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS.
...NRN SIERRAS INTO NRN ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
THE TRAILING EXTENSION OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT SETTLING SEWD
THROUGH THE PACIFIC NW IN CONJUNCTION WITH TERRAIN-INDUCED
CIRCULATIONS WILL FOSTER SCATTERED AFTERNOON TSTMS ON THE NRN
PERIPHERY OF GREAT BASIN MIDLEVEL ANTICYCLONE. LOCALLY DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OWING TO STRONG EVAPORATIONAL COOLING
POTENTIAL WITHIN THE DEEP WELL-MIXED SUB-CLOUD LAYER.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 031938
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0238 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
VALID 032000Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST
INTO SRN APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN AZ INTO SRN ROCKIES
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
NO CHANGES REQUIRED TO 1630Z OUTLOOK. CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF
CONVECTION/PRECIPITATION PERSISTS WITHIN TROPICAL PLUME FROM THE ERN
GULF BASIN...NWD INTO THE SRN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS. WHILE AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...IT APPEARS HEAVY RAIN IS THE
PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY. ELSEWHERE...SCT TSTMS WILL ONCE
AGAIN EVOLVE/MATURE ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES WHERE GUSTY WINDS MAY
ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.
..DARROW.. 07/03/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1117 AM CDT WED JUL 03 2013/
...SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN IS FORECAST DURING THE D1
PERIOD. A HIGH-AMPLITUDE RIDGE-TROUGH-RIDGE CONFIGURATION WILL BE
MAINTAINED FROM THE SWRN CONUS TO WRN ATLANTIC WITH THE POLAR BRANCH
OF WESTERLIES CONFINED TO CANADA. WITHIN THIS BROAD-SCALE
REGIME...THE SLIGHT WWD RETROGRESSION OF THE WRN ATLANTIC HIGH WILL
ENHANCE THE MIDLEVEL HEIGHT GRADIENT FROM THE GULF COAST STATES
THROUGH THE TN VALLEY INTO LOWER GREAT LAKES. IN THE LOW LEVELS...A
N-S BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FROM THE OH VALLEY
TO CNTRL GULF COAST...WHILE FARTHER TO THE NW A COLD FRONT SETTLES
SEWD THROUGH THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.
...CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST INTO SRN APPALACHIANS THIS
AFTERNOON/TONIGHT...
A CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL INTERACT WITH A VERY MOIST
AND POTENTIALLY MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO FOSTER NUMEROUS
TSTMS BY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. ELY/SELY SURFACE WINDS
BENEATH A STEADILY STRENGTHENING SLY MIDLEVEL WIND FIELD WILL RESULT
IN A VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR
FOR DEEP UPDRAFT ROTATION. THIS SETUP WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH A RISK FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES
GIVEN THE VERY MOIST/LOW LCL PBL. LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE OWING TO WATER LOADING OF CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFTS.
...SERN AZ INTO SRN ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
SIMILAR TO PAST DAYS...DIURNALLY ENHANCED TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS
ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATE AND
MODESTLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. SUFFICIENT /35-45 KT/ DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS AS THE INITIAL STORM MODE WITH A
RISK FOR HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS. COALESCING COLD POOLS MAY
SUPPORT THE UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS BY THIS EVENING WITH AN
INCREASING RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
...OH VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
A SURFACE LOW OVER NERN IL/NWRN IND WILL DEVELOP NWD TODAY IN TANDEM
WITH A VORTICITY MAXIMUM PIVOTING AROUND THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE
PARENT UPPER LOW. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE NRN EXTENSION OF THE WARM SECTOR THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN
THE COMBINATION OF MODEST AMOUNTS OF VERTICAL SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY...THE SETUP WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL AND MARGINAL
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF SOME HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS...AND
PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.
...NRN HIGH PLAINS THIS EVENING/TONIGHT...
LOW-LEVEL UPLIFT ALONG THE COLD FRONT COUPLED WITH THE GLANCING
INFLUENCE OF A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH AMPLIFYING OVER THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIE PROVINCES INTO NRN HIGH PLAINS WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT MAINLY AFTER 04/00Z. SOME HAIL
AND/OR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS.
...NRN SIERRAS INTO NRN ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
THE TRAILING EXTENSION OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT SETTLING SEWD
THROUGH THE PACIFIC NW IN CONJUNCTION WITH TERRAIN-INDUCED
CIRCULATIONS WILL FOSTER SCATTERED AFTERNOON TSTMS ON THE NRN
PERIPHERY OF GREAT BASIN MIDLEVEL ANTICYCLONE. LOCALLY DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OWING TO STRONG EVAPORATIONAL COOLING
POTENTIAL WITHIN THE DEEP WELL-MIXED SUB-CLOUD LAYER.
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KABQ [031940]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KABQ 031940
LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
140 PM MDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM HAIL SAN JOSE 35.40N 105.48W
07/03/2013 E0.88 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1301210
$$
JF
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LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
140 PM MDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM HAIL SAN JOSE 35.40N 105.48W
07/03/2013 E0.88 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1301210
$$
JF
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KBTV [031937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS51 KBTV 031937
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
337 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNW HUNTINGTON 44.35N 73.01W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERMAN HOLLOW ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
0248 PM FLASH FLOOD HUNTINGTON 44.33N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHING OUT INCLUDING HAPPY
HOLLOW ROAD AND EAST STREET
0335 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N HUNTINGTON 44.36N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
HUNTINGTON ROAD FLOODED NEAR MAYO ROAD
0336 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE HINESBURG 44.34N 73.05W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHED OUT IN HINESBURG
INCLUDING HAYDEN HILL...MEADOW...AND TEXAS HILL ROADS
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300191 BTV1300192 BTV1300193 BTV1300194
$$
MUCCILLI
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
337 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNW HUNTINGTON 44.35N 73.01W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERMAN HOLLOW ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
0248 PM FLASH FLOOD HUNTINGTON 44.33N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHING OUT INCLUDING HAPPY
HOLLOW ROAD AND EAST STREET
0335 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N HUNTINGTON 44.36N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
HUNTINGTON ROAD FLOODED NEAR MAYO ROAD
0336 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE HINESBURG 44.34N 73.05W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHED OUT IN HINESBURG
INCLUDING HAYDEN HILL...MEADOW...AND TEXAS HILL ROADS
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300191 BTV1300192 BTV1300193 BTV1300194
$$
MUCCILLI
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KBTV [031937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 031937
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
337 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0336 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE HINESBURG 44.34N 73.05W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHED OUT IN HINESBURG
INCLUDING HAYDEN HILL...MEADOW...AND TEXAS HILL ROADS
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300194
$$
MUCCILLI
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
337 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0336 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE HINESBURG 44.34N 73.05W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHED OUT IN HINESBURG
INCLUDING HAYDEN HILL...MEADOW...AND TEXAS HILL ROADS
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300194
$$
MUCCILLI
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KFFC [031936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KFFC 031936
LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
336 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM FLASH FLOOD WORKMORE 31.94N 82.94W
07/02/2013 TELFAIR GA EMERGENCY MNGR
EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED A COUPLE OF ROAD CLOSURES
ACROSS THE COUNTY DUE TO WATER COVERING ROADWAYS.
&&
$$
RWILLIS
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LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
336 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM FLASH FLOOD WORKMORE 31.94N 82.94W
07/02/2013 TELFAIR GA EMERGENCY MNGR
EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED A COUPLE OF ROAD CLOSURES
ACROSS THE COUNTY DUE TO WATER COVERING ROADWAYS.
&&
$$
RWILLIS
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KBTV [031936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 031936
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
336 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N HUNTINGTON 44.36N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
HUNTINGTON ROAD FLOODED NEAR MAYO ROAD
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300193
$$
MUCCILLI
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
336 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N HUNTINGTON 44.36N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT BROADCAST MEDIA
HUNTINGTON ROAD FLOODED NEAR MAYO ROAD
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300193
$$
MUCCILLI
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KMSO [031934]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 031934
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
134 PM MDT WED JUL 3 2013
0530 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE SHOUP 45.40N 114.24W
07/02/2013 LEMHI ID OTHER FEDERAL
USFS EMPLOYEE REPORTED FLASH FLOODING THAT
PUSHED DEBRIS ACROSS THE SALMON RIVER RD
EAST OF SPRING CREEK. THE ROAD WAS STILL
PASSABLE.
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
134 PM MDT WED JUL 3 2013
0530 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE SHOUP 45.40N 114.24W
07/02/2013 LEMHI ID OTHER FEDERAL
USFS EMPLOYEE REPORTED FLASH FLOODING THAT
PUSHED DEBRIS ACROSS THE SALMON RIVER RD
EAST OF SPRING CREEK. THE ROAD WAS STILL
PASSABLE.
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KMFL [031934]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 031934
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
333 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 PM FUNNEL CLOUD NAPLES 26.14N 81.80W
07/03/2013 COLLIER FL TRAINED SPOTTER
FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED JUST OFF THE COAST.
&&
$$
DIEHL
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
333 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 PM FUNNEL CLOUD NAPLES 26.14N 81.80W
07/03/2013 COLLIER FL TRAINED SPOTTER
FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED JUST OFF THE COAST.
&&
$$
DIEHL
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KFFC [031926]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KFFC 031926
LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
326 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM FLOOD LAGRANGE 33.04N 85.03W
07/03/2013 TROUP GA BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING IS OCCURING ON SOUTH GREENWOOD STREET IN
LAGRANGE.
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
326 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM FLOOD LAGRANGE 33.04N 85.03W
07/03/2013 TROUP GA BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING IS OCCURING ON SOUTH GREENWOOD STREET IN
LAGRANGE.
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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KTBW [031919]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KTBW 031919
LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
319 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0316 PM TSTM WND GST ALBERT WHITTED AIRPORT 27.77N 82.63W
07/03/2013 M40 MPH PINELLAS FL ASOS
35 KNOT WIND GUST MEASURED AT KSPG AT 1905Z
&&
$$
CARLISLE
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LSRTBW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
319 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0316 PM TSTM WND GST ALBERT WHITTED AIRPORT 27.77N 82.63W
07/03/2013 M40 MPH PINELLAS FL ASOS
35 KNOT WIND GUST MEASURED AT KSPG AT 1905Z
&&
$$
CARLISLE
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MESO: Nws Weather Prediction Center College Park Md
AWUS01 KWNH 031912
FFGMPD
NCZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-040110-
MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0145
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
311 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN GA INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE
VALID 031910Z - 040110Z
SUMMARY...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS SCATTERED CONVECTION
INCREASES IN COVERAGE WITH CONTINUED DAYTIME HEATING WITHIN A
STAGNANT FLOW PATTERN.
DISCUSSION...SHOWERS/T'STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AS
SEEN ON LOCAL RADAR IMAGERY ACROSS GA...SC AND PARTS OF THE SRN
APPALACHIANS. 3 HR RAINFALL RATES OF 2 - 4 INCHES PER MESONET
OBSERVATIONS ACROSS PARTS OF THE COHUTTA NATIONAL FOREST IN NRN GA
HAVE BEEN SEEN AS OF 18Z. THESE STORMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN DEEP
MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY PWATS NEAR 2 INCHES AS SEEN ON BLENDED
TPW IMAGERY AND INCREASED SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS CAUGHT BETWEEN BROAD
SCALE UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE CNTRL U.S. AND A LARGE SCALE RIDGE
SLOWLY RETROGRADING ACROSS THE WRN ATLANTIC.
BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER HAS ALLOWED INSTABILITY TO INCREASE TO
BETWEEN 500 - 1500 J/KG PER 18Z SPC MESOANALYSIS ACROSS ERN GA AND
THE WRN CAROLINAS. WITH LITTLE DRY AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS PER
MORNING RAOBS...EXPECT THE TALL SKINNY CAPE PROFILES AND DEEP
MOISTURE TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A CONTINUED
FLOW OF 20 - 30 KTS AT 850 MB PROMOTING TRAINING OF CELLS. FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES OF 1-3 IN/3HR ARE SPECKLED ACROSS THE THREAT
AREA AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE EXCEEDED ON A REGIONAL BASIS. WITH
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED FORCING ALOFT...THE EXPECTATION IS
THAT STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
ACROSS THE THREAT AREA.
OTTO
...PLEASE SEE WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...FFC...
ATTN...RFC...LMRFC...OHRFC...SERFC...
LAT...LON 34688533 35148526 35678483 36118364 36638236 36958107
36828038 36468044 35508115 34858274 34318344 33978429
34078494 34688533
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FFGMPD
NCZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-040110-
MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0145
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
311 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN GA INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE
VALID 031910Z - 040110Z
SUMMARY...FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS SCATTERED CONVECTION
INCREASES IN COVERAGE WITH CONTINUED DAYTIME HEATING WITHIN A
STAGNANT FLOW PATTERN.
DISCUSSION...SHOWERS/T'STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AS
SEEN ON LOCAL RADAR IMAGERY ACROSS GA...SC AND PARTS OF THE SRN
APPALACHIANS. 3 HR RAINFALL RATES OF 2 - 4 INCHES PER MESONET
OBSERVATIONS ACROSS PARTS OF THE COHUTTA NATIONAL FOREST IN NRN GA
HAVE BEEN SEEN AS OF 18Z. THESE STORMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN DEEP
MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY PWATS NEAR 2 INCHES AS SEEN ON BLENDED
TPW IMAGERY AND INCREASED SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS CAUGHT BETWEEN BROAD
SCALE UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE CNTRL U.S. AND A LARGE SCALE RIDGE
SLOWLY RETROGRADING ACROSS THE WRN ATLANTIC.
BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER HAS ALLOWED INSTABILITY TO INCREASE TO
BETWEEN 500 - 1500 J/KG PER 18Z SPC MESOANALYSIS ACROSS ERN GA AND
THE WRN CAROLINAS. WITH LITTLE DRY AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS PER
MORNING RAOBS...EXPECT THE TALL SKINNY CAPE PROFILES AND DEEP
MOISTURE TO PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH A CONTINUED
FLOW OF 20 - 30 KTS AT 850 MB PROMOTING TRAINING OF CELLS. FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES OF 1-3 IN/3HR ARE SPECKLED ACROSS THE THREAT
AREA AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE EXCEEDED ON A REGIONAL BASIS. WITH
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED FORCING ALOFT...THE EXPECTATION IS
THAT STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
ACROSS THE THREAT AREA.
OTTO
...PLEASE SEE WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...FFC...
ATTN...RFC...LMRFC...OHRFC...SERFC...
LAT...LON 34688533 35148526 35678483 36118364 36638236 36958107
36828038 36468044 35508115 34858274 34318344 33978429
34078494 34688533
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KEAX [031911]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KEAX 031911
LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
211 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0207 PM HAIL HAMILTON 39.74N 94.00W
07/03/2013 E1.00 INCH CALDWELL MO AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
BAILEY
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LSREAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
211 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0207 PM HAIL HAMILTON 39.74N 94.00W
07/03/2013 E1.00 INCH CALDWELL MO AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
BAILEY
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KFFC [031910]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KFFC 031910
LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
310 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 W ATLANTA 33.75N 84.44W
07/03/2013 M2.10 INCH FULTON GA ASOS
THIS IS A 6 HOUR TOTAL RECORDED AT FULTON COUNTY AIRPORT
FROM 8 AM TO 2 PM.
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
310 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 W ATLANTA 33.75N 84.44W
07/03/2013 M2.10 INCH FULTON GA ASOS
THIS IS A 6 HOUR TOTAL RECORDED AT FULTON COUNTY AIRPORT
FROM 8 AM TO 2 PM.
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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KFFC [031908]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KFFC 031908
LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
308 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM FLASH FLOOD BUCHANAN 33.80N 85.19W
07/03/2013 HARALSON GA EMERGENCY MNGR
TWO ROADS WERE CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. A COUPLE OF
CREEKS WERE ALSO TEMPORARILY OUT OF THEIR BANKS.
&&
$$
RWILLIS
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LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
308 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM FLASH FLOOD BUCHANAN 33.80N 85.19W
07/03/2013 HARALSON GA EMERGENCY MNGR
TWO ROADS WERE CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. A COUPLE OF
CREEKS WERE ALSO TEMPORARILY OUT OF THEIR BANKS.
&&
$$
RWILLIS
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KOTX [031906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KOTX 031906
LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1205 PM PDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE STUMP CAMPGROUND 47.35N 120.50W
06/29/2013 CHELAN WA PARK/FOREST SRVC
HIGH INTENSITY RAIN ON THE 2012 PEAVINE FIRE BURN SCAR
CAUSE AN EXTENSIVE DEBRIS FLOW IN DEVILS GULCH. A LONG
SEGMENT OF A USFS TRAIL/PATH WAS WIPED OUT. SEVERAL
HUNDRED LINEAL FEET OF THE TRAIL WAS COVERED SEVERAL FEET
DEEP IN DOWNED TREES CARRIED BY THE FLOOD.
0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E BLEWETT PASS 47.33N 120.56W
06/29/2013 CHELAN WA PARK/FOREST SRVC
HIGH INTENSITY RAINFALL ON THE 2012 PEAVINE BURN SCAR
CAUSED A FLASH FLOOD AND DEBRIS FLOW IN TRONSEN CREEK,
AND OVER UPPER TRONSEN RD. DAMAGE INCLUDED WASH OUT OF A
PORTION OF UPPER TRONSEN RD AND DEPOSTION OF SEVERAL
BOULDERS ALONG THE ROAD.
&&
$$
KROWDEN
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LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1205 PM PDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE STUMP CAMPGROUND 47.35N 120.50W
06/29/2013 CHELAN WA PARK/FOREST SRVC
HIGH INTENSITY RAIN ON THE 2012 PEAVINE FIRE BURN SCAR
CAUSE AN EXTENSIVE DEBRIS FLOW IN DEVILS GULCH. A LONG
SEGMENT OF A USFS TRAIL/PATH WAS WIPED OUT. SEVERAL
HUNDRED LINEAL FEET OF THE TRAIL WAS COVERED SEVERAL FEET
DEEP IN DOWNED TREES CARRIED BY THE FLOOD.
0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E BLEWETT PASS 47.33N 120.56W
06/29/2013 CHELAN WA PARK/FOREST SRVC
HIGH INTENSITY RAINFALL ON THE 2012 PEAVINE BURN SCAR
CAUSED A FLASH FLOOD AND DEBRIS FLOW IN TRONSEN CREEK,
AND OVER UPPER TRONSEN RD. DAMAGE INCLUDED WASH OUT OF A
PORTION OF UPPER TRONSEN RD AND DEPOSTION OF SEVERAL
BOULDERS ALONG THE ROAD.
&&
$$
KROWDEN
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KKEY [031901]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KKEY 031901
LSRKEY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
301 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 14 NW KEY WEST 24.71N 81.93W
07/03/2013 M44 MPH GMZ033 FL MESONET
A WIND GUST OF 38 KNOTS...OR 44 MPH...OUT OF THE SOUTH
WAS MEASURED BY A WEATHERFLOW STATION AT SMITH SHOAL
LIGHT.
&&
$$
BS
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LSRKEY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
301 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 14 NW KEY WEST 24.71N 81.93W
07/03/2013 M44 MPH GMZ033 FL MESONET
A WIND GUST OF 38 KNOTS...OR 44 MPH...OUT OF THE SOUTH
WAS MEASURED BY A WEATHERFLOW STATION AT SMITH SHOAL
LIGHT.
&&
$$
BS
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KFFC [031857]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KFFC 031857
LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
257 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 PM FLOOD 8 E CANTON 34.24N 84.35W
07/03/2013 CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR
THE ROAD IS FLOODED AT CAMPGROUND AND DREW ROAD.
0238 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CANTON 34.24N 84.49W
07/03/2013 CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES ARE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY MAINLY DUE TO
THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND SATURATED GROUND. BRIEF WIND
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH OCCURED IN THE AREA. .
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
257 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 PM FLOOD 8 E CANTON 34.24N 84.35W
07/03/2013 CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR
THE ROAD IS FLOODED AT CAMPGROUND AND DREW ROAD.
0238 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CANTON 34.24N 84.49W
07/03/2013 CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES ARE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY MAINLY DUE TO
THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND SATURATED GROUND. BRIEF WIND
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH OCCURED IN THE AREA. .
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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KMLB [031854]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMLB 031854
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
254 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0140 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NNW APOPKA 28.74N 81.54W
07/03/2013 ORANGE FL BROADCAST MEDIA
PART OF APOPKA AMPHITHEATER ROOF BLOWN OFF. TIME
ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
$$
ARB
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LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
254 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0140 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NNW APOPKA 28.74N 81.54W
07/03/2013 ORANGE FL BROADCAST MEDIA
PART OF APOPKA AMPHITHEATER ROOF BLOWN OFF. TIME
ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
$$
ARB
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KBTV [031850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS51 KBTV 031850
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
250 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNW HUNTINGTON 44.35N 73.01W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERMAN HOLLOW ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
0248 PM FLASH FLOOD HUNTINGTON 44.33N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHING OUT INCLUDING HAPPY
HOLLOW ROAD AND EAST STREET
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300191 BTV1300192
$$
MUCCILLI
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
250 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNW HUNTINGTON 44.35N 73.01W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERMAN HOLLOW ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
0248 PM FLASH FLOOD HUNTINGTON 44.33N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHING OUT INCLUDING HAPPY
HOLLOW ROAD AND EAST STREET
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300191 BTV1300192
$$
MUCCILLI
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KBTV [031849]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 031849
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
249 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0248 PM FLASH FLOOD HUNTINGTON 44.33N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHING OUT INCLUDING HAPPY
HOLLOW ROAD AND EAST STREET
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300192
$$
MUCCILLI
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
249 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0248 PM FLASH FLOOD HUNTINGTON 44.33N 72.99W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
NUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED OR WASHING OUT INCLUDING HAPPY
HOLLOW ROAD AND EAST STREET
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300192
$$
MUCCILLI
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KFFC [031846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KFFC 031846
LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
246 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SW PEACHTREE CITY 33.39N 84.59W
07/03/2013 M2.12 INCH FAYETTE GA OFFICIAL NWS OBS
THIS IS 6 HOUR 8 AM TO 2 PM TOTAL FROM THE 8 INCH RAIN
GAUGE AT THE NWS OFFICE ON FALCON FIELD.
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
246 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SW PEACHTREE CITY 33.39N 84.59W
07/03/2013 M2.12 INCH FAYETTE GA OFFICIAL NWS OBS
THIS IS 6 HOUR 8 AM TO 2 PM TOTAL FROM THE 8 INCH RAIN
GAUGE AT THE NWS OFFICE ON FALCON FIELD.
&&
$$
GWETZEL
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KILN [031846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 031846
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
246 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0245 PM HEAVY RAIN BALTIMORE 39.85N 82.61W
07/03/2013 M1.15 INCH FAIRFIELD OH TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL IN 30 TO 40 MINUTES
&&
$$
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
246 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0245 PM HEAVY RAIN BALTIMORE 39.85N 82.61W
07/03/2013 M1.15 INCH FAIRFIELD OH TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL IN 30 TO 40 MINUTES
&&
$$
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 031844
SWODY2
SPC AC 031843
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0143 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
CORRECTED FOR THUNDER GRAPHIC
...CNTRL GULF COAST/TN VALLEY/OH VALLEY...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE INTO THE DAY2
PERIOD WITH DOMINANT UPPER RIDGE HOLDING ACROSS THE SWRN U.S. AND
TROUGHING ANCHORED NEAR THE MS VALLEY. OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS A
BELT OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW HAS EXTENDED FROM THE CNTRL GULF
STATES...ARCING ANTICYCLONICALLY ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEY INTO NEW
ENGLAND. CONVECTION THAT HAS EVOLVED WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR OF
STRONGER SHEAR HAS TAKEN ON MULTI-CELL CHARACTERISTICS AND AT TIMES
EVEN PRODUCED GUSTY DOWNDRAFTS. WHILE THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN IS
NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE DRAMATICALLY...ONE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE
WILL EMERGE THURSDAY. LLJ IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE MARKEDLY ACROSS
AL INTO ERN TN/KY WHERE 850MB FLOW COULD EXCEED 45KT. LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST WIDESPREAD CONVECTION...SOME OF IF
DEEP ENOUGH TO PRODUCE LIGHTNING...WILL EVOLVE WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR
OF STRONGER FLOW. WHILE INSTABILITY SHOULD PROVE WEAK...WITH LAPSE
RATES LIKELY NEAR PSEUDO-ADIABATIC...LOW-MID LEVEL SHEAR MAY ALLOW
FOR WEAK SUPERCELL STRUCTURES TO EVOLVE WITHIN BROADER CONVECTIVE
SHIELD. IF SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP ISOLATED WEAK
TORNADOES COULD BE NOTED. FOR NOW HAVE OPTED TO EXPAND 5 PERCENT
SEVERE PROBS TO BETTER REFLECT EXPECTED CORRIDOR OF CONVECTION.
FARTHER NORTH...WEAK BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY
INTO UPSTATE NY COULD ENHANCE A FEW ROBUST UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS.
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS COULD ACCOMPANY SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY.
...MT...
UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN A BIT ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE DAY2
PERIOD AS HEIGHTS FALL AHEAD OF PROGRESSIVE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.
STRONG HEATING ACROSS THE PLAINS OF CNTRL MT SHOULD COINCIDE WITH
WEAK LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WHICH
COULD AID A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. FORECAST SOUNDING AT LWT BY
18Z SUGGESTS CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WILL BE REACHED BY MID
AFTERNOON. WITH SBCAPE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG AND 30KT WLY 500MB
FLOW...GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL COULD
ACCOMPANY WEAKLY FORCED TSTMS.
..DARROW.. 07/03/2013
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SWODY2
SPC AC 031843
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0143 PM CDT WED JUL 03 2013
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
CORRECTED FOR THUNDER GRAPHIC
...CNTRL GULF COAST/TN VALLEY/OH VALLEY...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE LITTLE INTO THE DAY2
PERIOD WITH DOMINANT UPPER RIDGE HOLDING ACROSS THE SWRN U.S. AND
TROUGHING ANCHORED NEAR THE MS VALLEY. OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS A
BELT OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW HAS EXTENDED FROM THE CNTRL GULF
STATES...ARCING ANTICYCLONICALLY ACROSS THE TN/OH VALLEY INTO NEW
ENGLAND. CONVECTION THAT HAS EVOLVED WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR OF
STRONGER SHEAR HAS TAKEN ON MULTI-CELL CHARACTERISTICS AND AT TIMES
EVEN PRODUCED GUSTY DOWNDRAFTS. WHILE THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN IS
NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE DRAMATICALLY...ONE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE
WILL EMERGE THURSDAY. LLJ IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE MARKEDLY ACROSS
AL INTO ERN TN/KY WHERE 850MB FLOW COULD EXCEED 45KT. LATEST MODEL
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST WIDESPREAD CONVECTION...SOME OF IF
DEEP ENOUGH TO PRODUCE LIGHTNING...WILL EVOLVE WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR
OF STRONGER FLOW. WHILE INSTABILITY SHOULD PROVE WEAK...WITH LAPSE
RATES LIKELY NEAR PSEUDO-ADIABATIC...LOW-MID LEVEL SHEAR MAY ALLOW
FOR WEAK SUPERCELL STRUCTURES TO EVOLVE WITHIN BROADER CONVECTIVE
SHIELD. IF SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP ISOLATED WEAK
TORNADOES COULD BE NOTED. FOR NOW HAVE OPTED TO EXPAND 5 PERCENT
SEVERE PROBS TO BETTER REFLECT EXPECTED CORRIDOR OF CONVECTION.
FARTHER NORTH...WEAK BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY
INTO UPSTATE NY COULD ENHANCE A FEW ROBUST UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS.
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS COULD ACCOMPANY SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY.
...MT...
UPPER RIDGE WILL FLATTEN A BIT ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE DAY2
PERIOD AS HEIGHTS FALL AHEAD OF PROGRESSIVE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.
STRONG HEATING ACROSS THE PLAINS OF CNTRL MT SHOULD COINCIDE WITH
WEAK LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WHICH
COULD AID A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. FORECAST SOUNDING AT LWT BY
18Z SUGGESTS CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES WILL BE REACHED BY MID
AFTERNOON. WITH SBCAPE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG AND 30KT WLY 500MB
FLOW...GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL COULD
ACCOMPANY WEAKLY FORCED TSTMS.
..DARROW.. 07/03/2013
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KBTV [031834]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 031834
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
234 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNW HUNTINGTON 44.35N 73.01W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERMAN HOLLOW ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300191
$$
MUCCILLI
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
234 PM EDT WED JUL 03 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0233 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNW HUNTINGTON 44.35N 73.01W
07/03/2013 CHITTENDEN VT LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERMAN HOLLOW ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1300191
$$
MUCCILLI
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KMSO [031831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 031831
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1231 PM MDT WED JUL 3 2013
0800 PM FLASH FLOOD 9 WSW SHOUP 45.32N 114.45W
06/29/2013 LEMHI ID PUBLIC
HIGH INTENSITY RAIN ON A BURN SCAR (MUSTANG
FIRE - 2012) CAUSED AN EXTENSIVE MUD/DEBRIS
FLOW IN OWL CREEK. DAMAGE INCLUDED
DESTRUCTION OF AN OUTBUILDING AND REMOVAL OF
A PROPANE TANK. THE MUD ALSO COVERED A 40
YARD STRETCH OF THE SALMON RIVER RD TO A
DEPT OF 12-18 INCHES. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM RAIN
INTENSITY BY RADAR WAS 0.75 INCHES IN 30
MINUTES.
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1231 PM MDT WED JUL 3 2013
0800 PM FLASH FLOOD 9 WSW SHOUP 45.32N 114.45W
06/29/2013 LEMHI ID PUBLIC
HIGH INTENSITY RAIN ON A BURN SCAR (MUSTANG
FIRE - 2012) CAUSED AN EXTENSIVE MUD/DEBRIS
FLOW IN OWL CREEK. DAMAGE INCLUDED
DESTRUCTION OF AN OUTBUILDING AND REMOVAL OF
A PROPANE TANK. THE MUD ALSO COVERED A 40
YARD STRETCH OF THE SALMON RIVER RD TO A
DEPT OF 12-18 INCHES. ESTIMATED MAXIMUM RAIN
INTENSITY BY RADAR WAS 0.75 INCHES IN 30
MINUTES.
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