KMFR [190345]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 190345
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
845 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0816 PM HAIL 4 SE BROOKINGS 42.02N 124.24W
03/18/2011 E0.25 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

THUNDERSTORM WITH PEA-SIZED HAIL. ACCUMULATED ON GROUND.
THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT.

&&

$$

STOCKTON

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KMAF [190303]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 190303
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1003 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0955 PM FLASH FLOOD BIG SPRING 32.25N 101.48W
03/18/2011 HOWARD TX BROADCAST MEDIA

CARS UNDERWATER. SEVERAL STREETS CLOSED. WEST SIDE OF
TOWN WITHOUT POWER.

&&

$$

DH

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KSTO [190155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 190155
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
655 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HEAVY SNOW 6 ENE BLUE CANYON 39.31N 120.61W
03/18/2011 E8.0 INCH PLACER CA BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 FATAL *** HEAVY SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITIES CAUSED A
THIRTY CAR PILE ON INTERSTATE 80 NEAR YUBA GAP.

&&

$$

DRP

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KCYS [190154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 190154
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
753 PM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW 35 S RAWLINS 41.28N 107.23W
03/18/2011 E3.6 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

SAGE CREEK SNOTEL. ELEVATION 7850. SWE 0.3 INCHES FROM
17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED.

0600 AM SNOW 19 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.10N 107.13W
03/18/2011 E6.0 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

DIVIDE PEAK SNOTEL. ELEVATION 8880 FEET. SWE 0.5 INCHES
FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

0600 AM SNOW 17 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.03N 107.03W
03/18/2011 E4.8 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

SANDSTONE RANGER STATION SNOTEL. ELEVATION 8150 FEET. SWE
0.4 INCHES FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

0600 AM SNOW 10 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.15N 106.97W
03/18/2011 E6.0 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

OLD BATTLE SNOTEL. ELEVATION 10000 FEET. SWE 0.5 INCHES
FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

0600 AM SNOW 5 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.16N 106.86W
03/18/2011 E7.2 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

WEBBER SPRINGS SNOTEL. ELEVATION 9250 FEET. SWE 0.6
INCHES FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

0600 AM SNOW 10 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.11N 106.93W
03/18/2011 E8.4 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

LITTLE SNAKE RIVER SNOTEL. ELEVATION 8915 FEET. SWE 0.7
INCHES FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

0600 AM SNOW 17 ENE RIVERSIDE 41.31N 106.48W
03/18/2011 E7.2 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

SOUTH BRUSH CREEK SNOTEL. ELEVATION 8440 FEET. SWE 0.6
INCHES FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

0600 AM SNOW 12 WNW CENTENNIAL 41.37N 106.32W
03/18/2011 E8.4 INCH ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

NORTH FRENCH CREEK SNOTEL. ELEVATION 10130 FEET. SWE 0.7
INCHES FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

0600 AM SNOW 30 WNW LARAMIE 41.48N 106.12W
03/18/2011 E6.0 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

SAND LAKE SNOTEL. ELEVATION 10050 FEET. SWE 0.5 INCHES
FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

0600 AM SNOW 7 NW CENTENNIAL 41.37N 106.21W
03/18/2011 E6.0 INCH ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

BROOKLYN LAKE SNOTEL. ELEVATION 10240 FEET. SWE 0.5
INCHES FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

0600 AM SNOW 6 SW CENTENNIAL 41.24N 106.19W
03/18/2011 E6.0 INCH ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

CINNABAR PARK SNOTEL. ELEVATION 9574 FEET. SWE 0.5 INCHES
FROM 17/00L TO 18/06L. 12 TO 1 RATIO USED

&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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KSJT [190152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 190152
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
852 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM HAIL 5 S WINTERS 31.89N 99.93W
03/18/2011 E1.00 INCH RUNNELS TX STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1100045

$$

KHOEPPNER

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KSJT [190138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 190138
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
837 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM HAIL WINTERS 31.97N 99.93W
03/18/2011 E1.00 INCH RUNNELS TX AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1100044

$$

KHOEPPNER

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KCAR [190123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCAR 190123
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
922 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ENFIELD 45.25N 68.57W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG OLD TOWN 44.93N 68.65W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN WHICH BROUGHT DOWN POWER LINES IN
TOWN.

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BRADFORD 45.07N 68.94W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES.

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ORONO 44.88N 68.67W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREES ON POWER LINES.

0140 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GRINDSTONE 45.74N 68.59W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON ROUTE 11 NEAR GRINDSTONE

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BROWNVILLE JUNCTION 45.35N 69.05W
03/18/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN SECTIONS OF TOWN.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PARKMAN 45.13N 69.43W
03/18/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG HANCOCK 44.53N 68.25W
03/18/2011 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GUILFORD 45.17N 69.39W
03/18/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ELLSWORTH 44.54N 68.42W
03/18/2011 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN TOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NW PRINCETON 45.25N 67.61W
03/18/2011 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON GRAND LAKE STREAM ROAD.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BANGOR 44.80N 68.78W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME UTILITY COMPANY

3000 HOMES WITHOUT POWER IN SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY DUE
TO WIND.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ELLSWORTH 44.54N 68.42W
03/18/2011 HANCOCK ME UTILITY COMPANY

2100 HOMES WITHOUT POWER IN HANCOCK COUNTY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 W LINCOLN 45.37N 68.57W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME UTILITY COMPANY

5600 HOMES WITHOUT POWER THIS AFTERNOON IN BANGOR HYDRO
NORTHERN SERVICE AREA. THIS INCLUDES PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTIES. MOST OUTAGES
ARE BETWEEN HOWLAND AND MILLINOCKET.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WESLEY 44.95N 67.66W
03/18/2011 WASHINGTON ME TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 9 NEAR WESLEY ELEMENTARY SCHOOL.
11 INCH DIAMETER SPRUCE.

&&

$$

JAH

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KREV [190120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 190120
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
619 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0617 PM SNOW 5 W BECKWOURTH 39.81N 120.47W
03/18/2011 M8.0 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW BEGAN AT 11 AM AND IS STILL FALLING. MEASURED AT
4900 FOOT ELEVATION.

&&

$$

KLABELLE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 190057
SWODY1
SPC AC 190056

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

VALID 190100Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN TX...

EARLY THIS EVENING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NRN AR SWWD THROUGH
SWRN TX NEAR MIDLAND AND IS MOVING SWD. ISOLATED STORMS HAVE BEEN
DEVELOPING IN VICINITY OF THIS BOUNDARY AS WELL AS OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SWRN TX. OUTFLOW FROM THE SWRN TX CONVECTION HAS MERGED
WITH THE FRONT RESULTING IN ADDITIONAL STORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE
MIDLAND AREA. MODIFIED CP AIR WITH UPPER 40S TO NEAR 50F DEWPOINTS
HAVE ADVECTED INTO SWRN TX BENEATH WARM EML WITH 700-500 MB LAPSE
RATES FROM 8-8.5 C/KM AND 500-1000 J/KG MLCAPE. DESPITE PRESENCE OF
CAP AND WEAK UPPER FORCING...MESOSCALE LIFT OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
AND ALONG THE FRONT AS WELL AS DIABATIC WARMING OF THE BOUNDARY
LAYER HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT. TENDENCY HAS
BEEN FOR STORMS TO MOVE ONTO THE COOL SIDE OF FRONT WHERE VERTICAL
SHEAR IS AT LEAST MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS. THREAT FOR
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT 03Z...BUT ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS NOCTURNAL COOLING COMMENCES.

...TX AND OK PANHANDLES THROUGH WRN OK AND SRN KS...

THETA-E ADVECTION ALONG STRENGTHENING NOCTURNAL LLJ ACROSS WRN TX
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO NWD DESTABILIZATION AND INCREASING ISENTROPIC
LIFT NORTH OF FRONT FROM THE TX PANHANDLE INTO WRN OK. EFFECTIVE
SHEAR FROM 35-40 KT AND MUCAPE INCREASING TO NEAR 1000 J/KG MAY
BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR A THREAT OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL IF STORMS
INITIATE WITHIN DEVELOPING WARM ADVECTION REGIME LATE TONIGHT.

..DIAL.. 03/19/2011

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KMAF [190006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 190006
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
706 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0642 PM HAIL 19 ENE BIG SPRING 32.35N 101.18W
03/18/2011 E1.75 INCH MITCHELL TX BROADCAST MEDIA

ON HOWARD/MITCHELL COUNTY LINE.

&&

$$

KURT.KOTENBERG

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KCAR [190001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KCAR 190001
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
800 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG OLD TOWN 44.93N 68.65W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN WHICH BROUGHT DOWN POWER LINES IN
TOWN.

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ENFIELD 45.25N 68.57W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ORONO 44.88N 68.67W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREES ON POWER LINES.

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BRADFORD 45.07N 68.94W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES.

0140 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GRINDSTONE 45.74N 68.59W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON ROUTE 11 NEAR GRINDSTONE

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BROWNVILLE JUNCTION 45.35N 69.05W
03/18/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN SECTIONS OF TOWN.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PARKMAN 45.13N 69.43W
03/18/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GUILFORD 45.17N 69.39W
03/18/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WESLEY 44.95N 67.66W
03/18/2011 WASHINGTON ME TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 9 NEAR WESLEY ELEMENTARY SCHOOL.
11 INCH DIAMETER SPRUCE.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NW PRINCETON 45.25N 67.61W
03/18/2011 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON GRAND LAKE STREAM ROAD.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 W LINCOLN 45.37N 68.57W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME UTILITY COMPANY

5600 HOMES WITHOUT POWER THIS AFTERNOON IN BANGOR HYDRO
NORTHERN SERVICE AREA. THIS INCLUDES PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTIES. MOST OUTAGES
ARE BETWEEN HOWLAND AND MILLINOCKET.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ELLSWORTH 44.54N 68.42W
03/18/2011 HANCOCK ME UTILITY COMPANY

2100 HOMES WITHOUT POWER IN HANCOCK COUNTY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BANGOR 44.80N 68.78W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME UTILITY COMPANY

3000 HOMES WITHOUT POWER IN SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY DUE
TO WIND.

&&

$$

JAH

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KREV [182355]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KREV 182355
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
455 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0903 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE MOUNT ROSE SKI ARE 39.38N 119.83W
03/18/2011 M76.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

1012 AM SNOW 1 E SLOAT 39.87N 120.72W
03/18/2011 M3.0 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL.

1012 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SW FALLON 39.47N 118.79W
03/18/2011 CHURCHILL NV TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE UPROOTED AND HANGING OVER HIGHLINE WIRES IN
FALLON.

1049 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S SWEETWATER SUMMIT 38.51N 119.21W
03/18/2011 E57.00 MPH LYON NV MESONET

1112 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE HONEY LAKE 40.20N 120.30W
03/18/2011 E55.00 MPH LASSEN CA MESONET

1235 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SSE SILVER SPRINGS 39.40N 119.25W
03/18/2011 E67.00 MPH LYON NV MESONET

0142 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNE SCHURZ 39.05N 118.79W
03/18/2011 E58.00 MPH MINERAL NV MESONET

0157 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 W RENO 39.54N 119.86W
03/18/2011 M65.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 WNW TAHOE CITY 39.21N 120.26W
03/18/2011 E123 MPH PLACER CA MESONET

MEASURED ALONG SIERRA CREST AT 8700 FEET.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE RENO 39.55N 119.79W
03/18/2011 M60.00 MPH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

OFFICIAL NWS OBSERVATION.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 W TAHOE CITY 39.17N 120.27W
03/18/2011 E103 MPH PLACER CA MESONET

MEASURED ALONG THE SIERRA CREST AT 8600 FEET.

0231 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE RENO 39.51N 119.78W
03/18/2011 M62.00 MPH WASHOE NV ASOS

RENO-TAHOE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

0247 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E COLEVILLE 38.56N 119.46W
03/18/2011 M66.00 MPH MONO CA MESONET

&&

$$

WHOHMANN

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KREV [182349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 182349
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
449 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0903 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE MOUNT ROSE SKI ARE 39.38N 119.83W
03/18/2011 M76.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

1012 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SW FALLON 39.47N 118.79W
03/18/2011 CHURCHILL NV TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE UPROOTED AND HANGING OVER HIGHLINE WIRES IN
FALLON.

1012 AM SNOW 1 E SLOAT 39.87N 120.72W
03/18/2011 M3.0 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL.

1049 AM TSTM WND GST 1 S SWEETWATER SUMMIT 38.51N 119.21W
03/18/2011 M57.00 MPH LYON NV MESONET

1112 AM TSTM WND GST 3 SE HONEY LAKE 40.20N 120.30W
03/18/2011 M55.00 MPH LASSEN CA MESONET

1235 PM TSTM WND GST SSE SILVER SPRINGS 39.40N 119.25W
03/18/2011 M67.00 MPH LYON NV MESONET

0142 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NNE SCHURZ 39.05N 118.79W
03/18/2011 M58.00 MPH MINERAL NV MESONET

0157 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 W RENO 39.54N 119.86W
03/18/2011 M65.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

0215 PM TSTM WND GST 7 WNW TAHOE CITY 39.21N 120.26W
03/18/2011 M123 MPH PLACER CA MESONET

MEASURED ALONG SIERRA CREST AT 8700 FEET.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE RENO 39.55N 119.79W
03/18/2011 M60.00 MPH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

OFFICIAL NWS OBSERVATION.

0215 PM TSTM WND GST 7 W TAHOE CITY 39.17N 120.27W
03/18/2011 M103 MPH PLACER CA MESONET

MEASURED ALONG THE SIERRA CREST AT 8600 FEET.

0231 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE RENO 39.51N 119.78W
03/18/2011 M62.00 MPH WASHOE NV ASOS

RENO-TAHOE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

0247 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E COLEVILLE 38.56N 119.46W
03/18/2011 M66.00 MPH MONO CA MESONET

&&

$$

WHOHMANN

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KCAR [182326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCAR 182326
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
725 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ENFIELD 45.25N 68.57W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG OLD TOWN 44.93N 68.65W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN WHICH BROUGHT DOWN POWER LINES IN
TOWN.

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BRADFORD 45.07N 68.94W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES.

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ORONO 44.88N 68.67W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREES ON POWER LINES.

0140 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GRINDSTONE 45.74N 68.59W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON ROUTE 11 NEAR GRINDSTONE

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PARKMAN 45.13N 69.43W
03/18/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BROWNVILLE JUNCTION 45.35N 69.05W
03/18/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN SECTIONS OF TOWN.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GUILFORD 45.17N 69.39W
03/18/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WESLEY 44.95N 67.66W
03/18/2011 WASHINGTON ME TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 9 NEAR WESLEY ELEMENTARY SCHOOL.
11 INCH DIAMETER SPRUCE.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NW PRINCETON 45.25N 67.61W
03/18/2011 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON GRAND LAKE STREAM ROAD.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 W LINCOLN 45.37N 68.57W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME UTILITY COMPANY

5600 HOMES WITHOUT POWER THIS AFTERNOON IN BANGOR HYDRO
NORTHERN SERVICE AREA. THIS INCLUDES PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTIES. MOST OUTAGES
ARE BETWEEN HOWLAND AND MILLINOCKET.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ELLSWORTH 44.54N 68.42W
03/18/2011 HANCOCK ME UTILITY COMPANY

2100 HOMES WITHOUT POWER IN HANCOCK COUNTY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS.

0230 PM DOWNBURST BANGOR 44.80N 68.78W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME UTILITY COMPANY

3000 HOMES WITHOUT POWER IN SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY DUE
TO WIND.

&&

$$

JAH

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KSTO [182258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 182258
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
358 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM SNOW 1 ESE PLACERVILLE 38.72N 120.78W
03/18/2011 E0.5 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW JUST BEGAN. 0.5 INCHES SNOW AT 2200 FEET. RAIN AND
SNOW MIX AT 1850 FEET.

&&

$$

DKEETON

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0232

ACUS11 KWNS 182253
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 182253
TXZ000-190130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0232
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0553 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF W CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 182253Z - 190130Z

STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY LATE EVENING. MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL OR WIND GUSTS
MAY OCCUR...BUT THERE SHOULD NOT BE ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT.

STRONG HEATING HAS RESULTED IN VERY STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATE PROFILES OVER SW TX S OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH WAS
DECELERATING. WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT AND SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE HAS RESULTED IN SCATTERED STRONG STORMS.

WIND PROFILES ALOFT ARE GENERALLY WEAK WITH SOME RIDGINESS WITH LESS
THAN 30 KTS OF MID LEVEL FLOW NOTED ON AREA PROFILERS. IN
ADDITION...WINDS IN THE LOWEST FEW KM ARE WEAK AS WELL...WHICH DOES
NOT LEND SUPPORT TO UPSCALE GROWTH. HOWEVER...A SELY LOW LEVEL JET
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET...WHICH MAY PUSH THE EFFECTIVE
BOUNDARY A BIT FARTHER N ACROSS THE S PLAINS. WHILE THIS MAY ALLOW
FOR ISOLATED STORMS TO PERSIST THROUGH ABOUT 06Z...THE THREAT IS NOT
EXPECTED TO WARRANT A WATCH.

..JEWELL.. 03/18/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 33030205 33240092 33009931 32699893 31859899 31699989
31110176 30530247 30590278 31240276 32120270 32470247
33030205

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KSTO [182250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 182250
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
350 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM SNOW 2 ESE CAMINO 38.72N 120.64W
03/18/2011 U0.0 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY SNOW FALLING. JUST BEGAN ACCUMULATING. WIND GUSTS
ESTIMATED 40 MPH.

0340 PM SNOW 5 S GRASS VALLEY 39.14N 121.05W
03/18/2011 E1.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION. ELEVATION 2480 FEET.

&&

$$

DKEETON

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KSTO [182243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 182243
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
343 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1040 AM HEAVY SNOW SE CHESTER 40.30N 121.23W
03/18/2011 M13.0 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

13 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVER LAST 12 HOURS. 14 INCHES TOTAL
ON GROUND. SNOW COVERED ROADS.

&&

$$

DKEETON

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KEKA [182223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 182223
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
323 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM SNOW 10 W FOREST GLEN 40.38N 123.51W
03/18/2011 U0.0 INCH TRINITY CA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

CAHINS OR SNOW TIRES REQUIRED FROM MAD RIVER TO SHASTA
COUNTY LINE ON HWY 36 AS OF MIDNIGHT.

1200 AM SNOW 20 N TRINITY CENTER 41.29N 122.70W
03/18/2011 U0.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

HWY 3 IS CLOSED FROM 20 NORTH OF TRINITY CENTER TO THE
SISKIYOU COUNTY LINE DUE TO SNOW.

0900 AM SNOW 9 N HAYFORK 40.70N 123.13W
03/18/2011 U0.0 INCH TRINITY CA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

CHAINS OR SNOW TIRES REQUIRED FROM 9 MILES NORTH OF
HAYFORK TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF DOUGLAS CITY ON HWY 3.

0929 AM SNOW 10 NW RUTH 40.38N 123.53W
03/18/2011 M0.0 INCH TRINITY CA PUBLIC

13 INCHES OF SNOW AT 4300 FT IN THE PAST 24 HRS. 18
INCHES ON THE GROUND.

&&

$$

ANDERSON

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KEKA [182159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 182159
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
258 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 AM SNOW 4 E RUTH 40.29N 123.33W
03/18/2011 M12.0 INCH TRINITY CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT 2980 FEET...12 INCHES OF SNOW IN OVERNIGHT...21
PERCENT WATER. 32 DEGREES.

0820 AM SNOW 12 S ZENIA 40.03N 123.48W
03/18/2011 M8.0 INCH TRINITY CA PUBLIC

IN HOADGIN AT 3000 FEET...8 INCHES SNOW OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE 35 DEGREES.

0830 AM SNOW 8 SE MAPLE CREEK 40.69N 123.76W
03/18/2011 M13.0 INCH HUMBOLDT CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT 2520 FEET SNOWING 4 AM. TEMPERATURE 33 DEGREES.

&&

$$

ASHFORD

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KMFR [182115]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 182115
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
214 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0214 PM SNOW SSE MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.31W
03/18/2011 M7.5 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL. AN ADDITIONAL 3 INCHES FELL FROM
830 AM TO 1215 PM TODAY. ANY SNOW SINCE 1215 PM HAS NOT
ACCUMULATED. CURRENTLY SNOWING VERY LIGHTLY.

&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KMTR [182044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMTR 182044
LSRMTR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
143 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM TORNADO SANTA ROSA 38.45N 122.70W
03/18/2011 SONOMA CA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

EF1 TORNADO COMPLETELY DESTROYED METAL BUILDING AND
SEVERELY BENT METAL GATE.

&&

$$

ANDERSON

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KMFR [182038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 182038
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
137 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1253 PM SNOW 2 SW MOUNT SHASTA 41.30N 122.34W
03/18/2011 M6.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL ACCUMULATION SINCE 8 AM. SNOW IS VERY WET AND HAS
BEEN ACCUMULATING VERY SLOWLY DESPITE A HIGH AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION FALLING.

&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KCAR [182001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KCAR 182001
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
401 PM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GRINDSTONE 45.74N 68.59W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON ROUTE 11 NEAR GRINDSTONE

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WESLEY 44.95N 67.66W
03/18/2011 WASHINGTON ME TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 9 NEAR WESLEY ELEMENTARY SCHOOL.
11 INCH DIAMETER SPRUCE.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NW PRINCETON 45.25N 67.61W
03/18/2011 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON GRAND LAKE STREAM ROAD.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 W LINCOLN 45.37N 68.57W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME UTILITY COMPANY

5600 HOMES WITHOUT POWER THIS AFTERNOON IN BANGOR HYDRO
NORTHERN SERVICE AREA. THIS INCLUDES PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
PENOBSCOT AND SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS COUNTIES. MOST OUTAGES
ARE BETWEEN HOWLAND AND MILLINOCKET.

0230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ELLSWORTH 44.54N 68.42W
03/18/2011 HANCOCK ME UTILITY COMPANY

2100 HOMES WITHOUT POWER IN HANCOCK COUNTY DUE TO HIGH
WINDS.

0230 PM DOWNBURST BANGOR 44.80N 68.78W
03/18/2011 PENOBSCOT ME UTILITY COMPANY

3000 HOMES WITHOUT POWER IN SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT COUNTY DUE
TO WIND.

&&

$$

TODDL

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KUNR [182001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 182001
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
201 PM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0121 PM FLOOD 5 W RALPH 45.77N 103.17W
03/18/2011 HARDING SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

LINCOLN RD AT NORBECK STILL CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0121 PM FLOOD 1 SSE CAMP CROOK 45.54N 103.98W
03/18/2011 HARDING SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

SOUTH CAMP RD STILL CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0121 PM FLOOD 5 E BISON 45.52N 102.36W
03/18/2011 PERKINS SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

MISSOURI RIVER RD STILL BLOCKED BY ICE

0121 PM FLOOD 5 SE REVA 45.49N 103.03W
03/18/2011 HARDING SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

JEFFERSON RD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0121 PM FLOOD 9 W REDIG 45.28N 103.73W
03/18/2011 HARDING SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

DILLION RD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0121 PM FLOOD 5 E BISON 45.52N 102.36W
03/18/2011 PERKINS SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

OWEN RD CLOSED AT LAKE

0121 PM FLOOD 12 SW BISON 45.40N 102.64W
03/18/2011 PERKINS SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

DATE RD STILL CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0121 PM FLOOD 11 WSW USTA 45.17N 102.38W
03/18/2011 PERKINS SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

COTTONWOOD CREEK RD STILL CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0121 PM FLOOD 3 N FAITH 45.06N 102.03W
03/18/2011 PERKINS SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FLINT ROCK ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0121 PM FLOOD SSW MEADOW 45.53N 102.22W
03/18/2011 PERKINS SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

COUNTY ROAD 15 CLOSED AT MEADOW DUE TO FLOODING

0121 PM FLOOD 14 ENE ZEONA 45.30N 102.67W
03/18/2011 PERKINS SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

DATE RD AT PRAIRIE CITY CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0121 PM FLOOD 1 S LODGEPOLE 45.79N 102.67W
03/18/2011 PERKINS SD DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

ELLINGSON RD AT LODGEPOLE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

&&

$$

KCLARK

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KBOU [181956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 181956
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
156 PM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0909 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 S EVERGREEN 39.58N 105.34W
03/18/2011 M5.6 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0832 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 ENE BERGEN PARK 39.71N 105.32W
03/18/2011 M6.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0801 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 SE BRECKENRIDGE 39.50N 106.03W
03/18/2011 M6.0 INCH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW WILLIAMS FORK RESERVOIR 40.03N 106.20W
03/18/2011 M6.0 INCH GRAND CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW GEORGETOWN 39.72N 105.70W
03/18/2011 M5.5 INCH CLEAR CREEK CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0757 AM SNOW 8 SSW RUSTIC 40.59N 105.63W
03/18/2011 M5.2 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HOURGLASS LAKE

0745 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 ENE VIRGINIA DALE 40.99N 105.23W
03/18/2011 M6.8 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0744 AM SNOW 1 NNW EVERGREEN 39.65N 105.35W
03/18/2011 M4.7 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0743 AM SNOW GENESEE 39.69N 105.27W
03/18/2011 M4.2 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0739 AM SNOW 3 NNW PARKER 39.56N 104.78W
03/18/2011 M1.3 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW LAKEWOOD 39.70N 105.11W
03/18/2011 M2.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0730 AM SNOW 5 SSW KASSLER 39.41N 105.12W
03/18/2011 M2.0 INCH DOUGLAS CO CO-OP OBSERVER

STRONTIA SPRINGS RESERVOIR

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 NNE BAILEY 39.43N 105.44W
03/18/2011 M6.5 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0720 AM SNOW GRANT 39.45N 105.67W
03/18/2011 M5.0 INCH PARK CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0716 AM SNOW PARKER 39.51N 104.76W
03/18/2011 M0.5 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 AM SNOW 13 ENE NUNN 40.78N 104.55W
03/18/2011 M0.5 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0712 AM SNOW 1 SSE ESTES PARK 40.36N 105.51W
03/18/2011 M2.4 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
03/18/2011 M1.5 INCH JEFFERSON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 9 WSW RUSTIC 40.65N 105.73W
03/18/2011 M1.2 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 AM SNOW HEREFORD 40.97N 104.30W
03/18/2011 M1.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM SNOW 7 SSW LOVELAND 40.33N 105.12W
03/18/2011 M1.0 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PINEWOOD LAKE

0626 AM SNOW 1 S EVERGREEN 39.62N 105.34W
03/18/2011 M5.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 AM SNOW 1 E BUCKHORN MOUNTAIN 40.61N 105.31W
03/18/2011 M1.4 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0608 AM SNOW 3 S GOLDEN 39.70N 105.21W
03/18/2011 M2.8 INCH JEFFERSON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM SNOW 6 NE DENVER 39.79N 104.88W
03/18/2011 M0.6 INCH DENVER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0526 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 N BAILEY 39.44N 105.47W
03/18/2011 M7.2 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSE TABERNASH 39.95N 105.84W
03/18/2011 M7.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW RABBIT EARS PASS 40.38N 106.61W
03/18/2011 M10.0 INCH GRAND CO MESONET

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW CAMERON PASS 40.52N 105.88W
03/18/2011 M14.0 INCH JACKSON CO MESONET

1008 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 NNE TABERNASH 40.03N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M7.8 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWING HEAVILY SINCE 5 PM. 9000 FEET AT RED BIRD HILL.

0910 PM SNOW SW HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS 40.07N 106.10W
03/17/2011 M5.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

4.5 INCHES SINCE MORNING. 2-3 INCHES SINCE 5 PM.
CURRENTLY S+. 7700 FEET.

&&

$$

FREDIN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 181953
SWODY1
SPC AC 181951

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

VALID 182000Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

--- UPDATES ---

...MO/IL...
ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO BACK EDGE OF GEN TSTM AREA OVER PORTIONS MO/IL
GIVEN CONVECTIVE TRENDS...WITH PRIMARY/ELEVATED BAND MOVING E/SE OF
AREA...AND ADDITIONAL POSTFRONTAL CONVECTION NOT ANTICIPATED BEFORE
END OF PERIOD. ERN PORTIONS OF THIS REGIME AND/OR MORE ISOLATED
CONVECTION TO ITS E MAY SHIFT EWD AND YIELD MRGL THUNDER POTENTIAL
ACROSS PORTIONS WV AND SRN OH BEFORE WEAKENING.

...CENTRAL/NRN CA COAST...
GUSTS APCHG SVR LIMITS AND CAPABLE OF MINOR DMG MAY AFFECT PORTIONS
MRY BAY REGION OF CA FOR ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS...AS BAND OF MOSTLY
LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION MOVES ASHORE. ACTIVITY SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY
AS IT MOVES INLAND...AWAY FROM SUPPORTIVE MARINE AIR AND INTO REGIME
OF LOWER THETAE/BUOYANCY. UNCONDITIONAL SVR POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE
TOO SMALL/ISOLATED FOR AOA 5% PROBABILITIES.

...SW TX...
INTENSE CAPPING OVER MOST OF SRN PLAINS SHOULD SUPPRESS DIURNAL DEEP
CONVECTION S OF FRONTAL ZONE...HOWEVER VERY BRIEF/ISOLATED THUNDER
CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH CONVECTION OVER DAVIS MOUNTAINS/BIG BEND
REGION...WHERE SEVERAL TCU AND STRUGGLING/IMMATURE CB NOW ARE
EVIDENT IN VIS IMAGERY. VERY DRY AIR MASS IN LOW LEVELS WILL KEEP
BUOYANCY MINIMAL...THOUGH MOISTURE MAY INCREASE BEFORE SUNSET WITH
ADVECTION FROM AREA OF HIGHER DEW POINTS NOW OBSERVED AROUND 6R6.
OROGRAPHIC LIFT AND HEATING OF HIGHER TERRAIN WILL REMAIN PRIMARY
ASCENT FOCI.

..EDWARDS.. 03/18/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011/

THE LARGE UPPER LOW OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
DIG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD...WHILE A WEAK
UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES. THE RESULT WILL BE A
RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN FOR THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW AREAS WILL HAVE
A LOW-END RISK OF STRONG STORMS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

...MID MS AND LOWER OH VALLEYS...
A CLUSTER OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MO/IL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EASTWARD TODAY AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. SMALL HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED IN
THE STRONGEST CORES...BUT VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY SHOULD GREATLY
LIMIT THE SEVERE THREAT. LATER THIS AFTERNOON...SUFFICIENT HEATING
IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE WARM FRONT MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHERN MO/NORTHERN AR. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS
LIKELY TO BE ELEVATED JUST NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT.
HOWEVER...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR
MAY POSE A RISK OF A FEW STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL THROUGH THE
EVENING. CONVECTION MAY SPREAD EASTWARD OVERNIGHT INTO THE LOWER OH
VALLEY WITH A MINIMAL RISK OF GUSTY WINDS IN THE STRONGER STORMS.

...WEST-CENTRAL TX...
A SURFACE COLD FRONT IS SAGGING SOUTHWARD TODAY INTO WESTERN NORTH
TX...AND SHOULD LIE FROM NEAR MAF TO WEST OF FTW BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS SOUTH OF THE FRONT WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN
50S TO LOWER 60S SURFACE DEWPOINTS AND A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A STOUT CAP OVER THE WARM
SECTOR...WHICH SHOULD SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORMS SOUTH OF THE FRONT.
HOWEVER...LIFT ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE FRONT MAY BE SUFFICIENT
FOR A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL. MOST MESOSCALE AND
12Z OPERATIONAL MODELS HAVE NOW CONVERGED ON THIS SOLUTION. WILL
MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES DUE TO RATHER WEAK VERTICAL
SHEAR AND LACK OF CERTAINTY ON COVERAGE OF SEVERE STORMS.

...TX PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST OK...
HAVE OPTED TO MAINTAIN LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES OVER THIS REGION FOR
LATE TONIGHT AS LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND LIFT HELP IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS APPEAR TO SUPPORT SOME RISK OF HAIL IN THE STRONGER
CORES...BUT CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WHETHER HAIL COULD REACH
SEVERE LIMITS.

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KMFR [181953]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 181953
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1252 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM SNOW 1 SSE ASHLAND 42.18N 122.69W
03/18/2011 M0.5 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

33 DEGREES AND SNOWING WITH MOST ACCUMULATION ON NONPAVED
SURFACES. TOTAL ACCUMULATION A COATING TO A HALF INCH.

&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KLSX [181446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181446
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
946 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0946 AM HAIL MEDORA 39.18N 90.14W
03/18/2011 U0.00 INCH MACOUPIN IL TRAINED SPOTTER

VERY SMALL HAIL...BB SIZED.

&&

$$

TRUETT

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KMPX [181446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 181446
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
946 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 AM FLOOD JORDAN 44.67N 93.63W
03/18/2011 SCOTT MN EMERGENCY MNGR

ICE JAM IS BACKING UP WATER ON SAND CREEK ON THE NORTH
SIDE OF JORDAN...NORTH OF HWY 169.

&&

$$

FRANKS

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KLSX [181445]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181445
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
939 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0932 AM HAIL HANNIBAL 39.71N 91.38W
03/18/2011 U0.00 INCH MARION MO TRAINED SPOTTER

VERY SMALL HAIL...SMALLER THAN BB SIZE

&&

$$

TRUETT

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KMFR [181444]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 181444
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
744 AM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0743 AM SNOW N TENNANT 41.59N 121.91W
03/18/2011 M6.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HOUR AMOUNT.

&&

$$

SPILDE

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KBOU [181430]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 181430
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
830 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0801 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 SE BRECKENRIDGE 39.50N 106.03W
03/18/2011 M6.0 INCH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW GEORGETOWN 39.72N 105.70W
03/18/2011 M5.5 INCH CLEAR CREEK CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0757 AM SNOW 8 SSW RUSTIC 40.59N 105.63W
03/18/2011 M5.2 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HOURGLASS LAKE

0745 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 ENE VIRGINIA DALE 40.99N 105.23W
03/18/2011 M6.8 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0744 AM SNOW 1 NNW EVERGREEN 39.65N 105.35W
03/18/2011 M4.7 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0743 AM SNOW GENESEE 39.69N 105.27W
03/18/2011 M4.2 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0739 AM SNOW 3 NNW PARKER 39.56N 104.78W
03/18/2011 M1.3 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW 5 SSW KASSLER 39.41N 105.12W
03/18/2011 M2.0 INCH DOUGLAS CO CO-OP OBSERVER

STRONTIA SPRINGS RESERVOIR

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 NNE BAILEY 39.43N 105.44W
03/18/2011 M6.5 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW LAKEWOOD 39.70N 105.11W
03/18/2011 M2.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0720 AM SNOW GRANT 39.45N 105.67W
03/18/2011 M5.0 INCH PARK CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0716 AM SNOW PARKER 39.51N 104.76W
03/18/2011 M0.5 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 AM SNOW 13 ENE NUNN 40.78N 104.55W
03/18/2011 M0.5 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0712 AM SNOW 1 SSE ESTES PARK 40.36N 105.51W
03/18/2011 M2.4 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 9 WSW RUSTIC 40.65N 105.73W
03/18/2011 M1.2 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 AM SNOW HEREFORD 40.97N 104.30W
03/18/2011 M1.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM SNOW 7 SSW LOVELAND 40.33N 105.12W
03/18/2011 M1.0 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PINEWOOD LAKE

0626 AM SNOW 1 S EVERGREEN 39.62N 105.34W
03/18/2011 M5.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 AM SNOW 1 E BUCKHORN MOUNTAIN 40.61N 105.31W
03/18/2011 M1.4 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0608 AM SNOW 3 S GOLDEN 39.70N 105.21W
03/18/2011 M2.8 INCH JEFFERSON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM SNOW 6 NE DENVER 39.79N 104.88W
03/18/2011 M0.6 INCH DENVER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0526 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 N BAILEY 39.44N 105.47W
03/18/2011 M7.2 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSE TABERNASH 39.95N 105.84W
03/18/2011 M7.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW CAMERON PASS 40.52N 105.88W
03/18/2011 M14.0 INCH JACKSON CO MESONET

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW RABBIT EARS PASS 40.38N 106.61W
03/18/2011 M10.0 INCH GRAND CO MESONET

1008 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 NNE TABERNASH 40.03N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M7.8 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWING HEAVILY SINCE 5 PM. 9000 FEET AT RED BIRD HILL.

&&

$$

FREDIN

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KLSX [181428]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181428
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
928 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM HAIL ROCHEPORT 38.98N 92.56W
03/18/2011 E0.25 INCH BOONE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

TRUETT

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KLSX [181414]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181414
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
914 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0913 AM HAIL COLUMBIA 38.95N 92.33W
03/18/2011 E0.25 INCH BOONE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

TRUETT

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KLSX [181409]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181409
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
909 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0908 AM HAIL 6 WNW COLUMBIA 38.99N 92.43W
03/18/2011 E0.25 INCH BOONE MO STORM CHASER

&&

$$

TRUETT

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KLSX [181402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181402
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
902 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0854 AM HAIL GOLDEN 40.11N 91.02W
03/18/2011 M0.25 INCH ADAMS IL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

BB TO PEA SIZED HAIL AT THE GOLDEN FIRE STATION.

&&

$$

CARNEY

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KLSX [181401]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181401
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
901 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0859 AM HAIL MOUND STATION 40.01N 90.87W
03/18/2011 U0.00 INCH BROWN IL TRAINED SPOTTER

VERY SMALL HAIL.

&&

$$

TRUETT

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KBOU [181400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 181400
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
800 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0757 AM SNOW 8 SSW RUSTIC 40.59N 105.63W
03/18/2011 M5.2 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HOURGLASS LAKE

0745 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 ENE VIRGINIA DALE 40.99N 105.23W
03/18/2011 M6.8 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0744 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 NNW EVERGREEN 39.65N 105.35W
03/18/2011 M7.4 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0743 AM SNOW GENESEE 39.69N 105.27W
03/18/2011 M4.2 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0739 AM SNOW 3 NNW PARKER 39.56N 104.78W
03/18/2011 M1.3 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW 5 SSW KASSLER 39.41N 105.12W
03/18/2011 M2.0 INCH DOUGLAS CO CO-OP OBSERVER

STRONTIA SPRINGS RESERVOIR

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 NNE BAILEY 39.43N 105.44W
03/18/2011 M6.5 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0720 AM SNOW GRANT 39.45N 105.67W
03/18/2011 M5.0 INCH PARK CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0716 AM SNOW PARKER 39.51N 104.76W
03/18/2011 M0.5 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 AM SNOW 13 ENE NUNN 40.78N 104.55W
03/18/2011 M0.5 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0712 AM SNOW 1 SSE ESTES PARK 40.36N 105.51W
03/18/2011 M2.4 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 AM SNOW 7 SSW LOVELAND 40.33N 105.12W
03/18/2011 M1.0 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PINEWOOD LAKE

0630 AM SNOW HEREFORD 40.97N 104.30W
03/18/2011 M1.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0626 AM SNOW 1 S EVERGREEN 39.62N 105.34W
03/18/2011 M5.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 AM SNOW 1 E BUCKHORN MOUNTAIN 40.61N 105.31W
03/18/2011 M1.4 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0608 AM SNOW 3 S GOLDEN 39.70N 105.21W
03/18/2011 M2.8 INCH JEFFERSON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM SNOW 6 NE DENVER 39.79N 104.88W
03/18/2011 M0.6 INCH DENVER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0526 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 N BAILEY 39.44N 105.47W
03/18/2011 M7.2 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSE TABERNASH 39.95N 105.84W
03/18/2011 M7.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW RABBIT EARS PASS 40.38N 106.61W
03/18/2011 M10.0 INCH GRAND CO MESONET

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW CAMERON PASS 40.52N 105.88W
03/18/2011 M14.0 INCH JACKSON CO MESONET

1008 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 NNE TABERNASH 40.03N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M7.8 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWING HEAVILY SINCE 5 PM. 9000 FEET AT RED BIRD HILL.

0910 PM SNOW SW HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS 40.07N 106.10W
03/17/2011 M5.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

4.5 INCHES SINCE MORNING. 2-3 INCHES SINCE 5 PM.
CURRENTLY S+. 7700 FEET.

0900 PM SNOW GRAND LAKE 40.25N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M2.0 INCH GRAND CO CO-OP OBSERVER

FARR PUMPING PLANT. 1-2 INCHES WITH MODERATE SNOW.

&&

$$

FREDIN

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KLSX [181343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181343
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
843 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0842 AM HAIL 6 WNW COLUMBIA 38.99N 92.43W
03/18/2011 U0.00 INCH BOONE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

VERY SMALL HAIL...RICE SIZED.

&&

$$

TRUETT

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KLSX [181333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181333
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
833 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0832 AM HAIL QUINCY 39.93N 91.39W
03/18/2011 U0.00 INCH ADAMS IL TRAINED SPOTTER

VERY SMALL HAIL...APPROXIMATELY ONE-EIGHTH INCH

&&

$$

TRUETT

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KMFR [181332]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 181332
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
632 AM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0631 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 NW MOUNT SHASTA 41.38N 122.39W
03/18/2011 M10.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HOUR AMOUNT ENDING AT 630 AM PDT. ELEVATION 3940 FEET.
STILL SNOWING HARD...BUT SPOTTER ESTIMATES A LITTLE UNDER
AN INCH PER HOUR.

&&

$$

SPILDE

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KBOU [181331]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 181331
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
731 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 NNE BAILEY 39.43N 105.44W
03/18/2011 M6.5 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0720 AM SNOW GRANT 39.45N 105.67W
03/18/2011 M5.0 INCH PARK CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0716 AM SNOW PARKER 39.51N 104.76W
03/18/2011 M0.5 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 AM SNOW 13 ENE NUNN 40.78N 104.55W
03/18/2011 M0.5 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0712 AM SNOW 1 SSE ESTES PARK 40.36N 105.51W
03/18/2011 M2.4 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 AM SNOW 7 SSW LOVELAND 40.33N 105.12W
03/18/2011 M1.0 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PINEWOOD LAKE

0630 AM SNOW HEREFORD 40.97N 104.30W
03/18/2011 M1.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0626 AM SNOW 1 S EVERGREEN 39.62N 105.34W
03/18/2011 M5.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 AM SNOW 1 E BUCKHORN MOUNTAIN 40.61N 105.31W
03/18/2011 M1.4 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0608 AM SNOW 3 S GOLDEN 39.70N 105.21W
03/18/2011 M2.8 INCH JEFFERSON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM SNOW 6 NE DENVER 39.79N 104.88W
03/18/2011 M0.6 INCH DENVER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0526 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 N BAILEY 39.44N 105.47W
03/18/2011 M7.2 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSE TABERNASH 39.95N 105.84W
03/18/2011 M7.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW RABBIT EARS PASS 40.38N 106.61W
03/18/2011 M10.0 INCH GRAND CO MESONET

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW CAMERON PASS 40.52N 105.88W
03/18/2011 M14.0 INCH JACKSON CO MESONET

1008 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 NNE TABERNASH 40.03N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M7.8 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWING HEAVILY SINCE 5 PM. 9000 FEET AT RED BIRD HILL.

0910 PM SNOW SW HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS 40.07N 106.10W
03/17/2011 M5.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

4.5 INCHES SINCE MORNING. 2-3 INCHES SINCE 5 PM.
CURRENTLY S+. 7700 FEET.

0900 PM SNOW GRAND LAKE 40.25N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M2.0 INCH GRAND CO CO-OP OBSERVER

FARR PUMPING PLANT. 1-2 INCHES WITH MODERATE SNOW.

0854 PM SNOW 1 NW FRASER 39.95N 105.81W
03/17/2011 M2.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

CURRENTLY SNOWING HEAVILY. 1 TO 1.5 INCH PER HOUR.

&&

$$

FREDIN

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KLSX [181325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181325
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
825 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0824 AM HAIL HANNIBAL 39.71N 91.38W
03/18/2011 E0.25 INCH MARION MO PUBLIC

&&

$$

TRUETT

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KGJT [181324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 181324
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
724 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW 1 E MESA 39.17N 108.11W
03/18/2011 M6.2 INCH MESA CO NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR SNOWFALL..WATER EQUIV..0.42 INCH

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100259

$$

TB

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KBOU [181300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 181300
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
700 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW HEREFORD 40.97N 104.30W
03/18/2011 M1.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0626 AM SNOW 1 S EVERGREEN 39.62N 105.34W
03/18/2011 M5.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 AM SNOW 1 E BUCKHORN MOUNTAIN 40.61N 105.31W
03/18/2011 M1.4 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0608 AM SNOW 3 S GOLDEN 39.70N 105.21W
03/18/2011 M2.8 INCH JEFFERSON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM SNOW 6 NE DENVER 39.79N 104.88W
03/18/2011 M0.6 INCH DENVER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0526 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 N BAILEY 39.44N 105.47W
03/18/2011 M7.2 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSE TABERNASH 39.95N 105.84W
03/18/2011 M7.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW RABBIT EARS PASS 40.38N 106.61W
03/18/2011 M10.0 INCH GRAND CO MESONET

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW CAMERON PASS 40.52N 105.88W
03/18/2011 M14.0 INCH JACKSON CO MESONET

1008 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 NNE TABERNASH 40.03N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M7.8 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWING HEAVILY SINCE 5 PM. 9000 FEET AT RED BIRD HILL.

0910 PM SNOW SW HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS 40.07N 106.10W
03/17/2011 M5.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

4.5 INCHES SINCE MORNING. 2-3 INCHES SINCE 5 PM.
CURRENTLY S+. 7700 FEET.

0900 PM SNOW GRAND LAKE 40.25N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M2.0 INCH GRAND CO CO-OP OBSERVER

FARR PUMPING PLANT. 1-2 INCHES WITH MODERATE SNOW.

0854 PM SNOW 1 NW FRASER 39.95N 105.81W
03/17/2011 M2.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

CURRENTLY SNOWING HEAVILY. 1 TO 1.5 INCH PER HOUR.

&&

$$

FREDIN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 181244
SWODY1
SPC AC 181242

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

VALID 181300Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
COLD UPPER LOW OFF THE PACIFIC NW COAST IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE THROUGH TONIGHT AS A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH ROTATES INTO
THE BASE OF THE LOW...WITH HEIGHTS FALLING ALONG THE NRN/CNTRL
PACIFIC COAST. THIS AMPLIFICATION WILL RESULT IN GRADUAL BUILDING
OF A RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL AND NRN HIGH PLAINS BY TONIGHT.
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE PACIFIC LOW...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A
LOW AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING RAPIDLY ENEWD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES TONIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
SWWD ACROSS THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY AND INTO NWRN TX AND NERN NM. THE
FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD/SWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...EXTENDING FROM ERN NC
ACROSS NRN AL...SRN AR AND SWRN TX BY 19/12Z.

...MO/NRN AR INTO LOWER OH VALLEY...
ELEVATED CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING OVER NRN/CENTRAL MO WITHIN A WARM
ADVECTION ZONE NORTH OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT ON THE NOSE OF A SWLY
LOW LEVEL JET. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EWD TODAY TOWARD
THE LOWER OH VALLEY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO FORM DURING THE
MID/LATE AFTERNOON CLOSER TO THE SURFACE FRONT FROM THE OZARKS EWD
INTO WRN KY AND POSSIBLY NWRN TN WHERE DIURNAL HEATING WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO A GRADUAL WEAKENING OF THE CAP. A PLUME OF STEEPER
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTENDING EWD ACROSS THE OZARKS REGION WILL
ENHANCE UPDRAFT INTENSITY...WITH ISOLATED STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING GUSTY SURFACE WINDS AND MARGINAL HAIL. THESE STORMS ARE
LIKELY TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

...NWRN TX INTO WRN OK...
THE AREA SOUTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT IS LIKELY TO REMAIN CAPPED
THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE LITTLE DYNAMIC FORCING FOR
LARGE SCALE ASCENT...STRONG DIURNAL HEATING MAY WEAKEN THE CAP
SUFFICIENTLY FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER NWRN TX. STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL AID IN
DEVELOPMENT OF AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-1500
J/KG. THE AREA WILL BE ALONG THE SRN EDGE OF STRONGER SWLY WINDS
ALOFT WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 25-35 KT IN THE LOWEST 6 KM. THE
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL ENHANCE STORM ORGANIZATION WITH ORGANIZED
MULTICELL AND ISOLATED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS.

MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A MODEST LOW LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP THIS
EVENING OVER PARTS OF WRN TX INTO SWRN OK WITH THE 850 MB FRONT
RETREATING NWD INTO NRN OK. INCREASING LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE ERN TX PANHANDLE INTO PARTS OF WRN OK
TONIGHT. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS MAINTAIN STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES SUGGESTING STRONGER CELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
MARGINAL HAIL.

..WEISS/GRAMS.. 03/18/2011

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KMFR [181211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 181211
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
511 AM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0511 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE GOLD BEACH 42.45N 124.37W
03/18/2011 M2.50 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 5 AM PDT

&&

$$

SPILDE

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KGJT [181203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 181203
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
602 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 NW RIDGWAY 38.21N 107.82W
03/18/2011 M10.9 INCH OURAY CO CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL...

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100258

$$

TB

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KBOU [181150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 181150
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
550 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0526 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 N BAILEY 39.44N 105.47W
03/18/2011 M7.2 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSE TABERNASH 39.95N 105.84W
03/18/2011 M7.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW RABBIT EARS PASS 40.38N 106.61W
03/18/2011 M10.0 INCH GRAND CO MESONET

0200 AM HEAVY SNOW CAMERON PASS 40.52N 105.88W
03/18/2011 M14.0 INCH JACKSON CO MESONET

1008 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 NNE TABERNASH 40.03N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M7.8 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWING HEAVILY SINCE 5 PM. 9000 FEET AT RED BIRD HILL.

0910 PM SNOW SW HOT SULPHUR SPRINGS 40.07N 106.10W
03/17/2011 M5.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

4.5 INCHES SINCE MORNING. 2-3 INCHES SINCE 5 PM.
CURRENTLY S+. 7700 FEET.

0900 PM SNOW GRAND LAKE 40.25N 105.82W
03/17/2011 M2.0 INCH GRAND CO CO-OP OBSERVER

FARR PUMPING PLANT. 1-2 INCHES WITH MODERATE SNOW.

0854 PM SNOW 1 NW FRASER 39.95N 105.81W
03/17/2011 M2.0 INCH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER

CURRENTLY SNOWING HEAVILY. 1 TO 1.5 INCH PER HOUR.

&&

$$

FREDIN

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KAMA [181101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 181101
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
601 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM WILDFIRE 2 NW SANFORD 35.73N 101.55W
03/16/2011 E300 ACRE HUTCHINSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

THE BUGBEE CREEK WILDFIRE THREATENED THREE OR FOUR
HOMES AND ALSO TWO OIL AND GAS WELLS. NO DAMAGE OR
INJURIES WERE REPORTED. THE WILDFIRE IS BEING
INVESTIGATED AS ARSON. THE WILDFIRE STARTED JUST BEFORE
1400 CST ABOUT TWO MILES NORTH OF THE SANFORD DAM JUST
OFF HIGHWAY 687. THE WILDFIRE WAS CONTAINED AROUND 1650
CST.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1100181

$$

KJS

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 180859
SWOD48
SPC AC 180858

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

VALID 211200Z - 261200Z

...PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A SEVERE RISK AREA...

THE PRESENCE OF STEEP LAPSE RATES AND STRENGTHENING SHEAR WILL
UNDOUBTEDLY CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST SOME INCREASE IN SEVERE POTENTIAL
ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH THE APPROACH OF THE
SIGNIFICANT UPPER IMPULSE EMERGING FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
HOWEVER...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THE QUALITY
OF THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN MAY REMAIN A LIMITING FACTOR WITH
RESPECT TO THE AREAL COVERAGE OF THIS THREAT. ANY SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER RISK SEEMS LIKELY TO REMAIN CONFINED TO SMALLER SCALE
FORCING THAT IS TOO UNPREDICTABLE WITH REGARD TO INTENSITY AND
LOCATION AT THIS EXTENDED TIME RANGE.

LATEST GUIDANCE DOES APPEAR TO EXHIBIT A GREATER SIGNAL CONCERNING
THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE WIDESPREAD STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTIVE EVENT
FROM UPPER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE
LOWER OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS BY WEDNESDAY...AS THE UPPER IMPULSE
AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE WAVE DEVELOP EASTWARD. THIS MAY INCLUDE A
FAST MOVING SQUALL LINE WITH POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...THAT COULD SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS
BY THURSDAY. HOWEVER...THIS OCCURS AS THE SPREAD WITHIN THE MODEL
ENSEMBLES BECOMES INCREASINGLY LARGE...AND CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO
DELINEATE AN AREA AT THE PRESENT TIME.

..KERR.. 03/18/2011

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0229

ACUS11 KWNS 180735
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180735
CAZ000-181000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0229
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL NRN CA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 180735Z - 181000Z

ORGANIZED LINE OF SHOWERS/STORMS ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AND MAY BE CAPABLE OF
LOCAL GUSTS NEAR -- OR SLIGHTLY EXCEEDING -- SEVERE LEVELS.

FRONTAL BAND OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED LOW-TOPPED STORMS CONTINUES
APPROACHING THE NRN CA COAST...AND REMAINS FAIRLY WELL-ORGANIZED.
THOUGH LIGHTNING HAS INCREASED OFFSHORE OVER THE PAST
HOUR...MODIFYING NAM AND RUC MODEL SOUNDINGS FOR
TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE COAST SUGGESTS
INSTABILITY GENERALLY INSUFFICIENT FOR LIGHTNING. THIS IS ALSO
CONFIRMED BY OBJECTIVE ANALYSES...REVEALING ONLY OFFSHORE CAPE.

HOWEVER...WITH THE FRONT MOVING ONSHORE /EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
BETWEEN 0830 AND 0900 Z/ AND GIVEN THE ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE
CONVECTION...A FEW STRONGER CONVECTIVE GUSTS MAY BE POSSIBLE LOCALLY
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST...BEFORE CONVECTION WEAKENS INLAND. ANY
SEVERE POTENTIAL...THOUGH...IS EXPECTED REMAIN LIMITED IN BOTH
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY -- THUS NOT REQUIRING WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 03/18/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EKA...

LAT...LON 41652471 41902434 41832401 41292389 41062398 40842398
40562417 40202416 39522430 39102528 39832517 40192492
40662496 41102475 41622477 41652471

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 180730
SWODY3
SPC AC 180729

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS SUGGEST THAT A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSE...LIFTING
THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SUNDAY...WILL TURN EASTWARD WITHIN A GENERALLY CONFLUENT REGIME
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE MAY
CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MODEST FRONTAL WAVE FROM THE
NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION BY LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT...WHILE FLATTENING THE CREST OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS CENTERED
NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. HOWEVER...A MUCH MORE
SIGNIFICANT...AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH IS PROGGED TO GRADUALLY MIGRATE
INLAND ACROSS THE CALIFORNIA COAST...AS THE UPSTREAM PATTERN ACROSS
THE MID LATITUDE PACIFIC BEGINS TO BECOME MORE ZONAL. AS THIS
OCCURS...UPPER RIDGING PROBABLY WILL MAINTAIN STRENGTH
DOWNSTREAM....ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN INTO CENTRAL
PLAINS...WHILE ALSO BEGINNING TO BUILD TO THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES.

HIGHEST THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
FOCUSED WITHIN A LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION REGIME
GRADUALLY DEVELOPING NORTHEAST OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
WITH ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT PROBABLE ALONG A REMNANT FRONTAL
ZONE FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY SOUTHWARD INTO THE EASTERN GULF
COAST AND FLORIDA PENINSULA. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS MOST CONDUCIVE TO
SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONFINED TO PORTIONS
OF THE PLAINS INTO UPPER PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
THIS IS WHERE MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN STEEP AND LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT MODERATE CAPE IN THE PRESENCE OF
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR...BUT INHIBITION TOO STRONG/LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT TOO WEAK TO SUPPORT APPRECIABLE THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES.
ADDITIONALLY...CONSIDERABLE VARIABILITY EXISTS AMONG MODEL DATA
CONCERNING LOW-LEVEL FOCUS FOR STORM INITIATION. CURRENTLY...IT
SEEMS MOST PROBABLE THAT A DRY LINE SETTING UP ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA THROUGH NORTHEAST KANSAS/NORTHWEST MISSOURI COULD BECOME A
FOCUS FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE DEVELOPING FRONTAL WAVE
ACROSS IOWA LATER SUNDAY EVENING.

..KERR.. 03/18/2011

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KPUB [180634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 180634
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1234 AM MDT FRI MAR 18 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1201 AM SNOW 2 NE LEADVILLE 39.27N 106.27W
03/18/2011 M3.7 INCH LAKE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3.7 INCHES OF SNOW DURING THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS ENDING AT
MIDNIGHT/06Z ON THE 18TH. MODERATE SNOW IS CONTINUING.

&&

$$

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 180554
SWODY2
SPC AC 180553

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1253 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL UNDERGO
AMPLIFICATION DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD...WITH AN UPPER TROUGH
PROGGED TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC INTO THE WESTERN
U.S...WHILE AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ALONG AN AXIS NEAR OR JUST EAST OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. WITHIN THE UPPER TROUGH...THE MORE PROMINENT
SHORT WAVE TROUGHS APPEAR LIKELY TO DIG OFF THE PACIFIC COAST...BUT
GUIDANCE DOES SUGGEST THAT A SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE WILL MIGRATE INLAND
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST BY EARLY SATURDAY...BEFORE
LIFTING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES BY
SATURDAY EVENING.

EAST OF THE ROCKIES...AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS...THE CENTER OF A
LARGE COLD SURFACE RIDGE IS PROGGED TO RETREAT EASTWARD ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES...WHILE A WEAKER HIGH CENTER DOES THE SAME ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO...CURRENTLY IN THE PROCESS OF BECOMING DISRUPTED...MAY NOT
COMMENCE AGAIN UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT...WHEN IT PROBABLY WILL BE
DIRECTED TOWARD THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...A RIBBON OF
HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER /IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH/...ASSOCIATED WITH
MOISTURE THAT HAS ALREADY ADVECTED INLAND...IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
FOCUSED ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE GREAT
LAKES HIGH CENTER. THIS APPEARS LIKELY TO EXTEND FROM SOUTHERN MID
ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY 12Z
SATURDAY...BEFORE CONTINUING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTH
ATLANTIC COAST STATES...WHILE RETREATING NORTHWARD WITH THE FRONT
THROUGH THE LOWER MISSOURI/ MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

...SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MID MS VALLEY...
ASSOCIATED WITH THE EVOLVING PATTERN...AN INCREASINGLY DIVERGENT
UPPER FLOW FIELD COUPLED WITH STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
LIKELY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO FAVORABLE LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS BY
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED TO THE COOL SIDE
OF THE RETREATING FRONT...BUT MOISTENING ABOVE THE FRONTAL
INVERSION...BENEATH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...PROBABLY WILL
YIELD MODEST CAPE. THIS MAY PROMOTE THE RISK FOR HAIL IN STRONGER
STORMS. WHILE SOME OF THIS COULD APPROACH OR BRIEFLY EXCEED SEVERE
CRITERIA...THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED BY SOMEWHAT WEAK
VERTICAL SHEAR. CONVECTION ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP
NORTHWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

...SOUTHEAST...
DAYTIME HEATING MAY YIELD MODERATE CAPE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES BY LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROBABLY BE WEAK...BUT INHIBITION MAY WEAKEN
ENOUGH WITH AT LEAST SOME MID-LEVEL COOLING TO ALLOW THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM...PARTICULARLY FROM PARTS OF NORTHERN
ALABAMA INTO THE SAVANNAH VALLEY. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE...BUT THIS IS MOSTLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND SHOULD DIMINISH BY EARLY EVENING.

...PECOS VALLEY INTO TX SOUTH PLAINS...
STRONG HEATING ALONG A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH MAY BECOME A FOCUS FOR
SUBSTANTIVE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION...AND INHIBITION MAY
WEAKEN ENOUGH FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SHEAR ALONG THE WEST EDGE OF A DEVELOPING SOUTHERLY
LOW-LEVEL JET...BENEATH MODEST AND BROADLY CYCLONIC WESTERLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW PROBABLY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS...HOWEVER
MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IS UNCLEAR AND SEEMS
LIKELY TO REMAIN WEAK. SO POTENTIAL FOR MUCH BEYOND A COUPLE OF
ISOLATED STORMS REMAINS UNCLEAR...AND 5 PERCENT SEVERE PROBABILITIES
HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED.

...PACIFIC COAST INTO NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES APPEAR GENERALLY NEAR THE MINIMUM
THRESHOLD FOR A /GENERAL THUNDER/ OUTLOOK ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
HOWEVER...A MID-LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH MAY ENHANCE DESTABILIZATION
AND CONTRIBUTE TO THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SACRAMENTO AND SAN JOAQUIN VALLEYS SATURDAY. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ALSO APPEAR POSSIBLE FROM THE SALT LAKE AREA THROUGH
THE UPPER SNAKE RIVER VALLEY...WHERE STRONGER MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS
ARE EXPECTED COINCIDENT WITH PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING.
FINALLY...SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH STRONG
HEATING ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...TO SUPPORT WIDELY
SCATTERED STORMS BY EARLY EVENING...PERHAPS AIDED BY FORCING
DOWNSTREAM OF THE IMPULSE LIFTING NORTHEAST OF THE GREAT BASIN.

..KERR.. 03/18/2011

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