Friday, September 7, 2007

KKEY [080311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 080311
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1111 PM EDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1031 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
09/07/2007 M40 MPH GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

PULASKI SHOAL CMAN


&&

$$

DFM

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KSGF [080310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 080310
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1010 PM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1008 PM FLOOD HASTAIN 38.21N 93.18W
09/07/2007 BENTON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO FEET OF WATER OVER ROAD AT DEER CREEK ON HASTAIN AVE.

&&

$$

DSA

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KSGF [080242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 080242
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
941 PM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0939 PM FLASH FLOOD ST. JAMES 38.00N 91.61W
09/07/2007 PHELPS MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

CREEK IN ST. JAMES REPORTED OUT OF BANKS AND APPROACHING
PROPERTIES. MULTIPLE LOW WATER CROSSINGS ACROSS PHELPS
COUNTY REPORTED UNDER WATER AS WELL.


&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KTOP [070647]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KTOP 070647
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
147 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0452 PM HAIL NETAWAKA 39.60N 95.72W
09/06/2007 M1.00 INCH JACKSON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTS OF HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE FROM SPOTTER FOR
COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

0510 PM HAIL 6 W HORTON 39.66N 95.64W
09/06/2007 M1.00 INCH BROWN KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

KICKAPOO RESERVATION FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED QUARTER
SIZE HAIL TO COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

0531 PM HAIL WILLIS 39.72N 95.51W
09/06/2007 M1.75 INCH BROWN KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0615 PM HAIL 8 NNE CLAY CENTER 39.48N 97.07W
09/06/2007 E0.88 INCH CLAY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0619 PM HAIL 11 NE CLAY CENTER 39.49N 96.98W
09/06/2007 M1.00 INCH CLAY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0630 PM HAIL 9 NNW LEONARDVILLE 39.48N 96.92W
09/06/2007 M1.00 INCH RILEY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0649 PM TSTM WND DMG BLUE RAPIDS 39.68N 96.66W
09/06/2007 MARSHALL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TELEPHONE POLE REPORTED BLOWN DOWN. PEAS SIZE HAIL ALSO
REPORTED.

0655 PM HAIL 2 W BLUE RAPIDS 39.68N 96.70W
09/06/2007 M0.88 INCH MARSHALL KS STORM CHASER

EVIDENCE OF WIND DAMAGE WITH 2 TO 4 INCH TREE LIMBS BLOWN
DOWN.

0658 PM TSTM WND DMG MARYSVILLE 39.84N 96.65W
09/06/2007 MARSHALL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER POLE DOWN 17TH AND HWY 36.

0700 PM TSTM WND DMG MARYSVILLE 39.84N 96.65W
09/06/2007 MARSHALL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER POLE DOWN NORTH 11TH ST.

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E AXTELL 39.87N 96.22W
09/06/2007 NEMAHA KS EMERGENCY MNGR

NEMAHA COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT RELAYED A PUBLIC
REPORT OF WIND DAMAGE TO OUT BUILDINGS.

0715 PM FLOOD FRANKFORT 39.71N 96.42W
09/06/2007 MARSHALL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

MINOR FLOODING REPORTED OVER SEVERAL STREETS IN TOWN.

0722 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW BAILEYVILLE 39.82N 96.21W
09/06/2007 NEMAHA KS TRAINED SPOTTER

OUT BUILDINGS REPORTED DESTROYED ON FARMSTEAD. TIME
ESTIMATED.

0749 PM HEAVY RAIN BLUE RAPIDS 39.68N 96.66W
09/06/2007 M1.76 INCH MARSHALL KS CO-OP OBSERVER

COOP OBSERVER REPORTED 1.76 INCHES STORM TOTAL AT THIS
TIME. STATIONARY SPOTTER REPORTED 2.00 INCHES STORM
TOTAL.

0750 PM HAIL 4 NW FRANKFORT 39.75N 96.47W
09/06/2007 E0.88 INCH MARSHALL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0803 PM HAIL 5 WSW BEATTIE 39.83N 96.51W
09/06/2007 M1.50 INCH MARSHALL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTED 1 MILE SOUTHEAST OF HOME CITY.

0833 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 E VERMILLION 39.72N 96.17W
09/06/2007 NEMAHA KS EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORT OF FUNNEL CLOUD RELAYED TO EMERGENCY MANAGER.

0904 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NE BEATTIE 39.89N 96.38W
09/06/2007 E60.00 MPH MARSHALL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0924 PM TSTM WND GST 3 SSW BAILEYVILLE 39.80N 96.21W
09/06/2007 E60.00 MPH NEMAHA KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0940 PM TSTM WND GST SABETHA 39.90N 95.80W
09/06/2007 E60.00 MPH NEMAHA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

1003 PM HAIL 6 S SUMMERFIELD 39.90N 96.35W
09/06/2007 M1.00 INCH MARSHALL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL. MAY BE SOME BIGGER STONES WITHIN. ALSO
HAD 4 INCHES OF RAIN IN ABOUT 2 HOURS.

1015 PM FLASH FLOOD SABETHA 39.90N 95.80W
09/06/2007 NEMAHA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED OVER COUNTY ROADS W AND 184TH AND
162ND.

1052 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SSW BAILEYVILLE 39.79N 96.21W
09/06/2007 M4.00 INCH NEMAHA KS TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SINCE AROUND 730 PM CDT.

1101 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 WNW IDANA 39.39N 97.35W
09/06/2007 CLAY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

OUTBUILDING BLOWN ACROSS HWY 24 JUST EAST OF COUNTY LINE
IN CLAY COUNTY.

1101 PM TSTM WND GST CLAY CENTER 39.38N 97.12W
09/06/2007 E60.00 MPH CLAY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS AT 14TH AND FRONTIER.

1117 PM HEAVY RAIN SENECA 39.83N 96.06W
09/06/2007 M4.85 INCH NEMAHA KS TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL. STILL RAINING HEAVILY. MINOR STREET FLOODING
IN SENECA, MAINLY AT INTERSECTIONS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

1120 PM TSTM WND GST 8 NNE CHAPMAN 39.08N 96.97W
09/06/2007 E60.00 MPH DICKINSON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED GUSTS AT 50 TO 60 MPH.

1121 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 N CENTRALIA 39.80N 96.13W
09/06/2007 NEMAHA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGWAY 187 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN CENTRALIA AND
HIGHWAY 36. LOCATION ESTIMATED.

1121 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 W BERN 39.96N 96.03W
09/06/2007 NEMAHA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 71 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN HIGHWAY 63 AND
BERN. LOCATION ESTIMATED.

1125 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S BEATTIE 39.85N 96.42W
09/06/2007 MARSHALL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 99 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN BEATTIE AND
HIGHWAY 36. LOCATION ESTIMATED.

1125 PM HEAVY RAIN MARYSVILLE 39.84N 96.65W
09/06/2007 M5.42 INCH MARSHALL KS PUBLIC

1128 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 N MINNEAPOLIS 39.18N 97.71W
09/06/2007 OTTAWA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS WATER OVER 120TH NORTH OF
MINNEAPOLIS AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 41.

1138 PM FLASH FLOOD 11 N MINNEAPOLIS 39.28N 97.71W
09/06/2007 OTTAWA KS NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS 8 INCHES OF WATER OVER THE ROAD IN
NORTHERN OTTAWA COUNTY, EXACT LOCATION UNKNOWN.

1141 PM TSTM WND DMG MANHATTAN 39.18N 96.57W
09/06/2007 RILEY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON MOBIL HOME NEAR ALLEN ROAD AND TUTTLE CREEK
BLVD IN EAST MANHATTAN. LOTS OF POWER OUTAGES ALSO
REPORTED.

1159 PM TSTM WND GST 6 NW ALMA 39.08N 96.37W
09/06/2007 E65.00 MPH WABAUNSEE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

60-70 MPH WINDS.

1208 AM HEAVY RAIN ST. GEORGE 39.19N 96.42W
09/07/2007 M1.00 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

15 MINUTE RAINFALL TOTAL. POWER HAD BEEN OUT FOR AT LEAST
15 MINUTES.

1210 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 N PAXICO 39.14N 96.17W
09/07/2007 WABAUNSEE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT RELAYED REPORT FROM PUBLIC THAT
TIN SECTIONS FROM OUT BUILDING WERE CARRIED A COUPLE
MILES TO THE EAST AND BARBED WIRE FENCES WERE KNOCKED
DOWN.

1215 AM TSTM WND DMG MAPLE HILL 39.08N 96.03W
09/07/2007 WABAUNSEE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO LARGE TREES DOWNED WHICH BROUGHT POWER LINES DOWN.
TIME ESTMATED.

1225 AM HEAVY RAIN BAILEYVILLE 39.84N 96.18W
09/07/2007 M7.05 INCH NEMAHA KS CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL.

1231 AM TSTM WND GST 4 W TOPEKA 39.05N 95.75W
09/07/2007 E60.00 MPH SHAWNEE KS PUBLIC

METAL PATIO CHAIR BLOWN OFF THE GROUND

0124 AM FLASH FLOOD 7 NE FRANKFORT 39.78N 96.32W
09/07/2007 MARSHALL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 87 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN HIGHWAY 36 AND
FRANKFORT. LOCATION ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

JL

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KTOP [070645]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070645
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
145 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0124 AM FLASH FLOOD 7 NE FRANKFORT 39.78N 96.32W
09/07/2007 MARSHALL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 87 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN HIGHWAY 36 AND
FRANKFORT. LOCATION ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

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KTOP [070635]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070635
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
135 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1120 PM TSTM WND GST 8 NNE CHAPMAN 39.08N 96.97W
09/06/2007 E60 MPH DICKINSON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED GUSTS AT 50 TO 60 MPH.


&&

$$

JL

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KTOP [070630]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KTOP 070630
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
130 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 N PAXICO 39.14N 96.17W
09/07/2007 WABAUNSEE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT RELAYED REPORT FROM PUBLIC THAT
TIN SECTIONS FROM OUT BUILDING WERE CARRIED A COUPLE
MILES TO THE EAST AND BARBED WIRE FENCES WERE KNOCKED
DOWN.


&&

$$

JL

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KDMX [070629]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 070629
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
129 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 AM HEAVY RAIN DALLAS CENTER 41.68N 93.98W
09/07/2007 E2.55 INCH DALLAS IA AMATEUR RADIO

2.55 INCHES SINCE 1000 PM. STREET FLOODING IN TOWN.


&&

$$

SMALL

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KTOP [070626]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070626
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
126 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 N PAXICO 39.14N 96.17W
09/07/2007 WABAUNSEE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

COUNTY LAW ENFORCEMENT RELAYED REPORT FROM PUBLIC THAT
TIN SECTIONS FROM OUT BUILDING WERE CARRIED A COUPLE
MILES TO THE EAST AND BARBED WIRE FENCES WERE KNOCKED
DOWN.


&&

$$

JL

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 668

WWUS20 KWNS 070623
SEL8
SPC WW 070623
IAZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-070700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 668
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
123 AM CDT FRI SEP 7 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 668 ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

IOWA
KANSAS
MISSOURI
NEBRASKA

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KTOP [070622]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KTOP 070622
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
122 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1128 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 N MINNEAPOLIS 39.18N 97.71W
09/06/2007 OTTAWA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS WATER OVER 120TH NORTH OF
MINNEAPOLIS AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 41.


&&

$$

JL

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KTOP [070600]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070600
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
100 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 AM TSTM WND DMG MAPLE HILL 39.08N 96.03W
09/07/2007 WABAUNSEE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO LARGE TREES DOWNED WHICH BROUGHT POWER LINES DOWN.
TIME ESTMATED.


&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 070552
SWODY1
SPC AC 070550

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SRN PLAINS ACROSS THE
MS VALLEY TO LOWER MI...

..SYNOPSIS...
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NOW CROSSING THE CNTRL PLAINS IS FORECAST TO
DEAMPLIFY AND BECOME INCREASINGLY ABSORBED INTO STRONG WLY FLOW
ACROSS SRN CANADA AS BELT OF RELATIVELY FAST FLOW PERSISTS ACROSS
THE NRN STATES. AS THIS IMPULSE ACCELERATES NEWD FROM THE UPPER MS
VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON...ASSOCIATED SURFACE
CYCLONE WILL INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING TOWARD JAMES BAY. COLD FRONT
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST ACROSS WRN GREAT LAKES AND
UPPER MIDWEST AREAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. FARTHER SW...TRAILING
EXTENSION OF THE COLD FRONT...INTERSPERSED WITH CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOWS...WILL SETTLE SEWD ACROSS THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY...AND SWD
ACROSS SRN PLAINS BENEATH WEAKER FLOW AND FORCING ALOFT.

NEXT UPSTREAM LOW-AMPLITUDE IMPULSE EMBEDDED WITHIN FAST FLOW WILL
SPREAD ESEWD ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH
POCKET OF STRONG HEIGHT FALLS MOVING FROM MT TO THE WRN DAKOTAS
THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

..SRN PLAINS ACROSS THE MS VALLEY TO LOWER MI...
AREAS OF CONVECTION...BOTH ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE DEEP-LAYER FRONTAL
ZONE...SHOULD BE ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF KS/MO NEWD TO IL AND THE
GREAT LAKES EARLY TODAY. STRONGER LARGE SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES AREA
SHOULD SUSTAIN SUFFICIENT LIFT ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD
FRONT FOR TSTMS TO CONTINUE EAST INTO LOWER MI AND PARTS OF IND/IL
INTO THE AFTERNOON. THIS PROCESS SHOULD UNFOLD COINCIDENT WITH A
MODEST INCREASE IN WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THESE AREAS SO
THAT STORM INTENSITY GRADUALLY INCREASES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
SHEAR AND LINEAR FORCING ALONG THE ADVANCING FRONTAL ZONE APPEAR
ADEQUATE FOR LINE SEGMENTS AND PERHAPS SOME EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES TO EVOLVE WITH ATTENDANT THREATS OF HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

FARTHER SW...FROM IL SWWD ACROSS MO TO KS/OK...FRONTAL POSITION WILL
LIKELY LAG RESIDUAL CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS ACROSS THESE AREAS. POCKETS
OF STRONG DIURNAL HEATING OF VERY MOIST AIR MASS SHOULD CONTRIBUTE
TO INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS DEVELOPING AMIDST THE FRONTAL
ZONE AND VARIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES BENEATH 20-30KT MID LEVEL WLY
FLOW. DESPITE GENERALLY WEAKER LARGE SCALE SUPPORT FOR ASCENT ACROSS
THE FRONT...BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS...AND POSSIBLE SUPPORT FROM
EJECTING SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCE FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH T.S.
HENRIETTE...COULD SPUR SEVERAL TSTM CLUSTERS. MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS
AREAS OF MARGINALLY FAVORABLE EFFECTIVE SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION
SUGGESTING SOME WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL FROM A FEW
ORGANIZED/PERSISTENT MULTICELL STORM CLUSTERS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..MT...
FOCUSED QG-FORCING FOR ASCENT IS FORECAST TO ACCOMPANY THE
LOW-AMPLITUDE IMPULSE SPREADING SEWD ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES DURING
THE AFTERNOON. STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW AND DIMINISHING
STATIC STABILITY SHOULD LEAD TO HIGH-BASED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
DESPITE SOMEWHAT MARGINAL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. LEE-SIDE CYCLOGENESIS
ALONG TIGHTENING THERMAL GRADIENT ACROSS SCNTRL MT WILL FURTHER
SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR A FEW ORGANIZED TSTMS WITH WIND AND HAIL
POTENTIAL. AT PRESENT...LIMITED DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED TO
INHIBIT MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE AREA.

.CARBIN/GRAMS.. 09/07/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 070551
SWODY2
SPC AC 070550

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
ENERGETIC NRN STREAM TO PREVAIL ACROSS CANADA AND INTO THE NRN TIER
OF THE CONUS...WITH A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN THE
FAST/FLATLY-CYCLONIC FLOW FIELD FORECAST TO CROSS THE DAKOTAS/MN
THIS PERIOD. MEANWHILE...A SECOND SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO
DIG SWD OUT OF WRN CANADA INTO THE PC NW/NRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. ELSEWHERE...WEAKER FLOW ALOFT
IS FORECAST WITH SWD EXTENT ACROSS THE PLAINS/NORTHEAST...WITH A
RIDGE PERSISTING OVER THE SRN THIRD OF THE CONUS.

AT THE SURFACE...MAIN COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SEWD ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE PERIOD...WHILE REMAINING MORE OR LESS
QUASI-STATIONARY FROM THE OH VALLEY WSWWD ACROSS THE KS/OK REGION.
MEANWHILE...A SECONDARY FRONT -- TRAILING FROM A WEAK LOW MOVING
ACROSS SD DURING THE AFTERNOON -- IS FORECAST TO SHIFT RAPIDLY SEWD
ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

..NRN KS ACROSS ERN NEB INTO SERN SD/FAR SWRN MN/WRN IA...
WITH MAIN COLD FRONT -- AND THUS MORE FAVORABLY MOIST WARM SECTOR --
S OF THIS REGION...ONLY MODEST DESTABILIZATION IS FORECAST ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. FURTHER...WHILE INSTABILITY EXPECTED TO FURTHER
DECREASE WITH NWD EXTENT ACROSS NEB...STRONGER WIND FIELD IS
FORECAST TO DECREASE WITH SWD EXTENT -- WITH HIGHER-MAGNITUDE FLOW
CONFINED TO AREAS N OF THE NEB/SD BORDER. THIS SUGGESTS AN OVERALL
ENVIRONMENT ONLY MARGINALLY-SUPPORTIVE OF ANY SEVERE THREAT AHEAD OF
SECONDARY COLD FRONT FORECAST TO EVOLVE/SHIFT SEWD ACROSS THE
PLAINS. WILL INTRODUCE 5% SEVERE PROBABILITY FROM THE MID MO VALLEY
REGION SSWWD INTO PARTS OF NRN KS...BUT POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO LOW
ATTM TO INTRODUCE CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK FORECAST.

..SRN HIGH PLAINS...
POST-FRONTAL ELY UPSLOPE FLOW IS FORECAST ACROSS THE TX/OK
PANHANDLES AND INTO NERN NM/SERN CO BY AFTERNOON...AS COLD FRONT
REMAINS S OF THIS AREA. WHILE ELYS AT LOW LEVELS BENEATH MODEST
/AROUND 20 KT/ WLYS AT MID LEVELS MAY RESULT IN AMPLE SHEAR FOR SOME
STORM ORGANIZATION...QUESTIONS REGARDING DEGREE OF INSTABILITY
PRECLUDE ADDITION OF SEVERE PROBABILITIES OVER THIS REGION THIS
FORECAST.

.GOSS.. 09/07/2007

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KTOP [070534]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KTOP 070534
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1234 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1231 AM TSTM WND GST 4 W TOPEKA 39.05N 95.75W
09/07/2007 E60.00 MPH SHAWNEE KS PUBLIC

METAL PATIO CHAIR BLOWN OFF THE GROUND


&&

$$

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KTOP [070533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070533
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1233 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1159 PM TSTM WND GST 4 W TOPEKA 39.05N 95.75W
09/06/2007 E60 MPH SHAWNEE KS PUBLIC

METAL PATIO CHAIR BLOWN OFF THE GROUND


&&

$$

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KTOP [070530]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070530
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1230 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 AM HEAVY RAIN BAILEYVILLE 39.84N 96.18W
09/07/2007 M7.05 INCH NEMAHA KS CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL.


&&

$$

JL

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KDMX [070528]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 070528
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1227 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1203 AM TSTM WND GST CRESTON 41.06N 94.36W
09/07/2007 E70.00 MPH UNION IA MESONET

FROM KCCI SCHOOLNET AT CRESTON HIGH SCHOOL. SMALL
BRANCHES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS TOWN.


&&

$$

SMALL

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KTOP [070516]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070516
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1216 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1208 AM HEAVY RAIN ST. GEORGE 39.19N 96.42W
09/07/2007 M1.00 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

15 MINUTE RAINFALL TOTAL. POWER HAD BEEN OUT FOR AT LEAST
15 MINUTES.


&&

$$

JL

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KTOP [070515]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070515
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1215 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1141 PM TSTM WND DMG MANHATTAN 39.18N 96.57W
09/06/2007 RILEY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON MOBIL HOME NEAR ALLEN ROAD AND TUTTLE CREEK
BLVD IN EAST MANHATTAN. LOTS OF POWER OUTAGES ALSO
REPORTED.


&&

$$

JL

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KTOP [070510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070510
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1210 AM CDT FRI SEP 07 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1159 PM TSTM WND GST 6 NW ALMA 39.08N 96.37W
09/06/2007 E65.00 MPH WABAUNSEE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

60-70 MPH WINDS.


&&

$$

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KTOP [070449]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070449
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1149 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1125 PM HEAVY RAIN MARYSVILLE 39.84N 96.65W
09/06/2007 M5.42 INCH MARSHALL KS PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KTOP [070448]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070448
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1148 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1125 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S BEATTIE 39.85N 96.42W
09/06/2007 MARSHALL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 99 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN BEATTIE AND
HIGHWAY 36. LOCATION ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

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KTOP [070446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070446
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1146 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1121 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 N CENTRALIA 39.80N 96.13W
09/06/2007 NEMAHA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGWAY 187 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN CENTRALIA AND
HIGHWAY 36. LOCATION ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

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KTOP [070444]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070444
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1144 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1121 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 W BERN 39.96N 96.03W
09/06/2007 NEMAHA KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 71 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN HIGHWAY 63 AND
BERN. LOCATION ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

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KTOP [070444]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070444
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1144 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1138 PM FLASH FLOOD 11 N MINNEAPOLIS 39.28N 97.71W
09/06/2007 OTTAWA KS NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS 8 INCHES OF WATER OVER THE ROAD IN
NORTHERN OTTAWA COUNTY, EXACT LOCATION UNKNOWN.


&&

$$

JL

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KTOP [070442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070442
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1142 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1128 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 N OTTAWA 38.67N 95.27W
09/06/2007 FRANKLIN KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS WATER OVER 120TH NORTH OF
MINNEAPOLIS AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 41.


&&

$$

JL

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KAMA [070436]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KAMA 070436
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1135 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0519 PM TSTM WND GST MCLEAN 35.23N 100.60W
09/06/2007 M61 MPH GRAY TX BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA RELAYED SCHOOLNET REPORT FROM MCLEAN


0520 PM TSTM WND GST 1 E MCLEAN 35.23N 100.58W
09/06/2007 M67 MPH GRAY TX MESONET

58 KNOT GUST REPORTED BY WEST TEXAS MESONET


0520 PM TSTM WND GST MCLEAN 35.23N 100.60W
09/06/2007 E70 MPH GRAY TX EMERGENCY MNGR

2 INCH BRANCHES DOWN OVER WIDESPREAD AREA


0522 PM TSTM WND GST MCLEAN 35.23N 100.60W
09/06/2007 E60 MPH GRAY TX CO-OP OBSERVER

UNSECURED ITEMS BLOWN AWAY


&&

$$

NUNEZ

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KDMX [070433]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 070433
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1133 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1127 PM HEAVY RAIN DES MOINES 41.58N 93.62W
09/06/2007 E1.50 INCH POLK IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTS OF CARS STALLED IN WATER AND SOME PLACES WITH 2
TO 2.5 FEET OF STANDING WATER IN ROADWAYS. ESTIMATED
RAINFALL OF 1.50 TO 2.00 INCHES.


&&

$$

ALBRECHT

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KTOP [070423]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070423
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1122 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1117 PM HEAVY RAIN SENECA 39.83N 96.06W
09/06/2007 M4.85 INCH NEMAHA KS TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL. STILL RAINING HEAVILY. MINOR STREET FLOODING
IN SENECA, MAINLY AT INTERSECTIONS AND LOW LYING AREAS.


&&

$$

JL

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KTOP [070416]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070416
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1113 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1101 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 WNW IDANA 39.39N 97.35W
09/06/2007 CLAY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

OUTBUILDING BLOWN ACROSS HWY 24 JUST EAST OF COUNTY LINE
IN CLAY COUNTY.


&&

$$

JL

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KTOP [070412]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 070412
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1112 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1101 PM TSTM WND GST CLAY CENTER 39.38N 97.12W
09/06/2007 E60 MPH CLAY KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS AT 14TH AND FRONTIER.


&&

$$

JL

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KLUB [070409]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLUB 070409
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1109 PM CDT THU SEP 06 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE SLATON 33.46N 101.62W
09/06/2007 M60 MPH LUBBOCK TX MESONET

REPORTED BY THE TEXAS TECH UNIVERISTY MESONET


0340 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 ESE KRESS 34.31N 101.59W
09/06/2007 SWISHER TX PUBLIC

COTTON TRAILER ROLLED OVER


0355 PM TSTM WND GST SILVERTON 34.47N 101.30W
09/06/2007 M58 MPH BRISCOE TX BROADCAST MEDIA

REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA AT SCHOOLNET SITE AT SILVERTON
HIGH SCHOOL


0705 PM HAIL FLOYDADA 33.98N 101.34W
09/06/2007 E0.88 INCH FLOYD TX PUBLIC

REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA


0742 PM TSTM WND GST NORTHFIELD 34.29N 100.60W
09/06/2007 E60 MPH MOTLEY TX TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE BRANCHES BROKEN UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER


0804 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NW CHILDRESS 34.44N 100.27W
09/06/2007 M59 MPH CHILDRESS TX ASOS

MEASURED BY THE CHILDRESS ASOS


0815 PM TSTM WND DMG CHILDRESS 34.42N 100.25W
09/06/2007 CHILDRESS TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

REPORTS OF POWER LINES DOWN AND MEDIUM SIZED TREE LIMBS
DOWNED


0819 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NW CHILDRESS 34.44N 100.27W
09/06/2007 M64 MPH CHILDRESS TX ASOS

MEASURED BY THE CHILDRESS ASOS


&&

$$

RBM

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 667

WWUS20 KWNS 070403
SEL7
SPC WW 070403
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-070400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 667
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 667 ISSUED AT 450 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

COLORADO
KANSAS
NEBRASKA

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