KHGX [040310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 040310
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1010 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM HAIL JERSEY VILLAGE 29.89N 95.57W
05/03/2007 E0.50 INCH HARRIS TX AMATEUR RADIO

0438 PM HAIL 3 N LIVINGSTON 30.75N 94.94W
05/03/2007 E1.75 INCH POLK TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL AND 50 MPH WINDS ALONG FM 350

0440 PM HAIL JERSEY VILLAGE 29.89N 95.57W
05/03/2007 E1.25 INCH HARRIS TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

METRO TRAFFIC REPORTED HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL

0505 PM HAIL CONROE 30.32N 95.47W
05/03/2007 E0.75 INCH MONTGOMERY TX AMATEUR RADIO

PENNY SIZED HAIL ON I-45 JUST NORTH OF CONROE

0525 PM HAIL 5 W NEW CANEY 30.16N 95.29W
05/03/2007 E1.25 INCH MONTGOMERY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL BETWEEN PORTER AND NEW CANEY

0530 PM FUNNEL CLOUD PORTER 30.10N 95.23W
05/03/2007 MONTGOMERY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTED FROM MOORE ST.

0535 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW CANEY 30.16N 95.21W
05/03/2007 MONTGOMERY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE ON THE WEST SIDE OF NEW CANEY - KEY
MAP 256S. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG DUNN AND THOMAS
STREETS. 4 HOUSES DAMAGED NEARBY ALONG LEONARD STREET AND
LOUS LANE. NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED IN AREA WITH FALLEN
TREES ON CARS AND HOUSES. RADAR SHOWED STRONG INDICATION
OF A TORNADO AT THIS TIME.

0535 PM HAIL ONALASKA 30.81N 95.11W
05/03/2007 E0.25 INCH POLK TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0550 PM HAIL SHENANDOAH 30.18N 95.45W
05/03/2007 E0.75 INCH MONTGOMERY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

KEY MAP 293A

0552 PM HAIL 2 W EAST BERNARD 29.53N 96.10W
05/03/2007 E0.25 INCH WHARTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

PEA SIZED HAIL AT INTERSECTION OF SH 60 AND FM HIGHWAY
1164

0610 PM HAIL PORTER 30.10N 95.23W
05/03/2007 E0.75 INCH MONTGOMERY TX AMATEUR RADIO

0615 PM HAIL HOUSTON 29.77N 95.39W
05/03/2007 E0.25 INCH HARRIS TX AMATEUR RADIO

PEA SIZED HAIL AT INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT

0615 PM HAIL NEW CANEY 30.16N 95.21W
05/03/2007 E0.75 INCH MONTGOMERY TX AMATEUR RADIO

0640 PM TSTM WND DMG ORCHARD 29.60N 95.97W
05/03/2007 FORT BEND TX EMERGENCY MNGR

MOBILE HOME DESTROYED. POWER POLES SNAPPED. BARN BLOWN
DOWN.

0655 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 NE PORTER 30.13N 95.19W
05/03/2007 MONTGOMERY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTED BETWEEN NEW CANEY AND PORTER AT
INTERSECTION OF FM 1314 AND US 59

&&

$$

MORELAND

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0677

ACUS11 KWNS 040257
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040257
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-040430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0677
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0957 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...NE CO/WRN NEB PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 221...224...

VALID 040257Z - 040430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 221...224...CONTINUES.

..MAIN SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN NEB
PANHANDLE AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST CO AHEAD OF CONVECTIVE BOWING
SEGMENT...

LATEST RADAR LOOPS SHOW THAT THE MOST INTENSE PORTION OF BOWING
SEGMENT EXTENDS FROM 40 W AKO TO 20 S AIA. NRN PORTION OF THIS LINE
WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR 51 KT WIND GUSTS OBSERVED AT BFF WITHIN THE PAST
2 HOURS AND SOME HAIL/WIND DAMAGE. THE SEVERE THREAT IS NOT AS GREAT
FOR THE NRN PORTION OF THE LINE...WHICH IS AFFECTING SWRN SD ATTM.
HOWEVER...RECENT WIND GUSTS TO 38KT AT CUT SUGGEST ISOLD WIND DAMAGE
IS STILL A POSSIBILITY.

AIRMASS ACROSS MUCH OF NEB DID NOT BECOME AS UNSTABLE AS IT COULD
HAVE DUE TO EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS THIS AFTN WHICH LIMITED DAYTIME
HEATING. HOWEVER...RECENT MLCAPE VALUES ACROSS ERN CO RANGE FROM
1000-1500 J/KG AND THIS AGREES WITH AROUND 1000 J/KG OF CAPE NOTED
ON 00Z DENVER SOUNDING. TORNADO THREAT STILL PERSISTS ACROSS NE
CO...PARTICULARLY FOR MORGAN/WASHINGTON/LOGAN COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO. SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR LOW LEVEL
MESOCYCLONES...ESPECIALLY GIVEN 35 KT SELY LOW LEVEL JET UNDERNEATH
40 KT MID LEVEL FLOW.

.TAYLOR.. 05/04/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

38720193 38590448 40850402 41860331 41850204

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KSGF [040251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 040251
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
951 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 PM FLASH FLOOD ALTON 36.69N 91.40W
05/03/2007 OREGON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER STILL FLOWING OVER COUNTY ROADS THROUGHOUT OREGON
COUNTY FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAINS.

0942 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E WINONA 37.01N 91.31W
05/03/2007 SHANNON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

CONTINUED FLOODING EAST OF WINONA. WATER RESCUE OCCURRED
AFTER MOTORIST BECAME STUCK TRYING TO CROSS WATER FLOWING
OVER ROADWAY.

&&

$$

LINDENBERG

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KSHV [040242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KSHV 040242
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
942 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 18 W MONROE 32.51N 92.39W
05/03/2007 OUACHITA LA BROADCAST MEDIA

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN NEAR CALHOUN...ALSO A
ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF A HOUSE.

0414 PM TSTM WND DMG WEST MONROE 32.51N 92.15W
05/03/2007 OUACHITA LA TRAINED SPOTTER

FEW TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN WEST MONROE.

0415 PM TSTM WND DMG MONROE 32.51N 92.08W
05/03/2007 OUACHITA LA BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 INJ *** TREE DOWN WITH ONE INJURED IN MONROE NEAR
ULM.

0415 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 S MONROE 32.37N 92.08W
05/03/2007 OUACHITA LA PUBLIC

POWERLINES DOWN.

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG FARMERVILLE 32.77N 92.40W
05/03/2007 UNION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES AND POWERLINES BLOWN DOWN IN FARMERVILLE
AREA.

&&

$$

03

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KBOU [040226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 040226
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
826 PM MDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM TORNADO 5 E WELDONA 40.35N 103.88W
05/03/2007 MORGAN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0758 PM HAIL 5 N WIGGINS 40.30N 104.07W
05/03/2007 E0.88 INCH MORGAN CO LAW ENFORCEMENT

0750 PM TORNADO 4 W NEW RAYMER 40.61N 103.90W
05/03/2007 WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0735 PM HAIL 4 S BUCKINGHAM 40.57N 103.97W
05/03/2007 M0.75 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0621 PM TORNADO KERSEY 40.39N 104.56W
05/03/2007 WELD CO LAW ENFORCEMENT

0621 PM TORNADO 1 N CORNISH 40.53N 104.42W
05/03/2007 WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0621 PM TORNADO 2 S CORNISH 40.49N 104.42W
05/03/2007 WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0616 PM TORNADO 5 S CORNISH 40.45N 104.42W
05/03/2007 WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0558 PM TORNADO 8 ENE AULT 40.63N 104.59W
05/03/2007 WELD CO LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOCATION ESTIMATED

0529 PM TORNADO 2 SW PIERCE 40.61N 104.78W
05/03/2007 WELD CO PUBLIC

&&

$$

JK

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KMFL [040121]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 040121
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
921 PM EDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM HAIL 5 N PALMDALE 27.01N 81.31W
05/03/2007 E0.75 INCH GLADES FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

BRABANDER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0675

ACUS11 KWNS 040055
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040055
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-040230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0675
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 222...

VALID 040055Z - 040230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 222 CONTINUES.

REMNANT HEAD OF THE BOW ECHO THAT MATURED OVER SERN AR/NERN LA
APPEARS TO BE TRACKING NEWD INTO COAHOMA COUNTY MS AT 0045Z. THIS
FEATURE SEEMS TO BE TIED TO A LARGER SCALE MCV ROTATING NEWD ALONG
THE MS RVR VLY ALONG AN OLD SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS NORTH TO
THE OH/MS RVR CONFLUENCE. COLLECTIVE COLD POOLS HAVE STRENGTHENED
THE BOUNDARY AND SURGED EWD INTO NWRN MS IN A SEGMENTED FASHION.
LEADING EDGE OF THESE COLD POOLS HAVE BEEN IMPETUS FOR NEW UPDRAFTS
WITHIN A CORRIDOR OF UNSTABLE/UNTOUCHED AIR. THIS CORRIDOR IS QUITE
NARROW...BEING MODULATED BY OUTFLOW AIR EMANATING FROM THE
COLLAPSING MCS OVER ECNTRL MS. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE SVR THREAT
SOMEWHAT LIMITED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE TORNADO WATCH IN NWRN MS
THROUGH MID-EVENING AS PRIMARY BELT OF WLYS ASSOCD WITH THE UPR LOW
SPREADS EWD THROUGH SRN LA. WHAT THREAT DOES EXIST SHOULD BE
LIMITED TO DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLD BRIEF SPIN-UPS.

.RACY.. 05/04/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...

32669117 33629104 34809032 34908974 34708942 34098964
33458991 32679039

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KJAN [040018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 040018
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
718 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0548 PM HAIL EUDORA 33.12N 91.26W
05/03/2007 E1.75 INCH CHICOT AR EMERGENCY MNGR

GOLFBALL HAIL REPORTED.

0548 PM TSTM WND DMG EUDORA 33.12N 91.26W
05/03/2007 CHICOT AR EMERGENCY MNGR

SHINGLES BLOWN OFF AND A FEW TREES DOWN IN EUDORA

0554 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE LAKE VILLAGE 33.30N 91.26W
05/03/2007 CHICOT AR EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ON AN RV IN AN RV PARK.

0606 PM HAIL HOLLANDALE 33.17N 90.85W
05/03/2007 E0.75 INCH WASHINGTON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

PENNY HAIL REPORTED IN HOLLANDALE.

0606 PM TSTM WND DMG HOLLANDALE 33.17N 90.85W
05/03/2007 WASHINGTON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE LIMBS DOWN AROUND HOLLANDALE

&&

$$

JCULIN

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KFWD [040013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 040013
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
713 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0712 PM HAIL 6 NE GAINESVILLE 33.70N 97.08W
05/03/2007 E2.75 INCH COOKE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

GOLFBALL TO BASEBALL AT MOSS LAKE

$$

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KBOU [040005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 040005
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
605 PM MDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0529 PM TORNADO 2 SW PIERCE 40.61N 104.78W
05/03/2007 WELD CO PUBLIC

0558 PM TORNADO 8 ENE AULT 40.63N 104.59W
05/03/2007 WELD CO LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOCATION ESTIMATED

&&

$$

JK

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0673

ACUS11 KWNS 032359
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032359
MTZ000-WYZ000-040100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0673
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0659 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 218...

VALID 032359Z - 040100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 218
CONTINUES.

A LOCALIZED SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS
ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY TO THE W OF N TO S ORIENTED SURFACE COLD FRONT
ANALYZED FROM 50 NE GGW TO 10 E MLS TO 40 NNW GCC. TSTM DEVELOPMENT
HAS BEEN CONFINED TO ATOP THE SURFACE-BASED COLD DOME WITH NEARLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW ABOVE 2-3 KM AGL /PER GLASGOW AND BILLINGS VAD
PROFILERS/. FAVORABLE SPEED SHEAR WITHIN THE EFFECTIVE LAYER /30 TO
40 KTS/...SHOULD MAINTAIN A MARGINALLY SEVERE ELEVATED HAIL THREAT
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. TO THE E OF THE COLD FRONT...THE AIR
MASS IS NOT EXPECTED TO SUFFICIENTLY DESTABILIZE WITH SURFACE DEW
POINTS NEAR 40 DEGREES.

.GRAMS.. 05/03/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...

45010478 44990645 45550658 45800667 48850705 49000676
48970593 48980503 48820459 48230441 47200449 46060458

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KCYS [032359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 032359
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
559 PM MDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0548 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 N CHEYENNE 41.19N 104.79W
05/03/2007 LARAMIE WY PUBLIC

DAMAGE REPORTED TO OUTBUILDINGS ON JACK RABBIT ROAD.

0548 PM HAIL 15 N CHEYENNE 41.36N 104.79W
05/03/2007 E1.00 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

HAHN

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0672

ACUS11 KWNS 032349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032349
TXZ000-040045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0672
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 032349Z - 040045Z

ISOLD SUPERCELLS HAVE FORMED ALONG A WEAK BOUNDARY...PARTIALLY
INDUCED BY SELY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THE DOWNSTREAM MCS. MESOANALYSIS
PLACES THIS BOUNDARY FROM COOKE COUNTY SWWD ACROSS DFW METROPLEX
THEN SWWD INTO HAMILTON COUNTY.

HEATING WAS MINIMAL...BUT JUST SUFFICIENT FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION
GIVEN THE RESIDUAL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE IN PLACE. 00Z FWD
SOUNDING SHOWED STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT AND 39 KT OF 0-6KM
SHEAR...SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLD SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. TORNADOES
CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE LOW LCLS. BUT...MAIN
NEGATIVE AGAINST MORE WIDESPREAD TSTM INITIATION HAS BEEN AND WILL
CONTINUE TO BE WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE. ANY SVR THREAT SHOULD
DIMINISH AS THE SUN SETS.

.RACY.. 05/03/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...

31749825 32289768 32889719 32969683 32759666 32259691
31879729 31619785

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KOUN [032306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 032306
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
605 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HAIL 1 W MARIETTA 33.93N 97.14W
05/03/2007 E0.88 INCH LOVE OK PUBLIC

DIME-NICKEL HAIL

0525 PM HAIL MARIETTA 33.93N 97.12W
05/03/2007 E1.75 INCH LOVE OK PUBLIC

&&

$$

DW

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KSGF [032256]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 032256
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
556 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E WINONA 37.01N 91.31W
05/03/2007 SHANNON MO NWS EMPLOYEE

SYCAMORE CREEK FLOWING OUT OF ITS BANKS ACROSS HIGHWAY H.
ROAD WAS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

$$

LINDENBERG

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KOUN [032208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 032208
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
508 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM HAIL MCLOUD 35.44N 97.09W
05/03/2007 E1.00 INCH POTTAWATOMIE OK PUBLIC

&&

$$

DW

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KILM [032151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 032151
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
551 PM EDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM HAIL FLORENCE 34.18N 79.78W
05/03/2007 E0.75 INCH FLORENCE SC PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED HAIL ON CHURCH STREET JUST EAST OF
DOWNTOWN FLORENCE. REPORT RELAYED BY WFO CAE.

&&

$$

RAS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0670

ACUS11 KWNS 032147
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032146
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-032245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0670
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0446 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN AR...NERN LA...WCNTRL MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 032146Z - 032245Z

A TSTM LINE SEGMENT HAS FORMED ALONG SERN PERIPHERY OF EARLY DAY
CONVECTION ACROSS SERN AR AND NCNTRL LA. AIR MASS ALONG THE MS RVR
BETWEEN THESE STORMS AND RESIDUAL CLUSTER OF CONVECTION OVER CNTRL
MS HAS BECOME UNSTABLE WITH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S RESULTING
IN MLCAPES TO 1000-1500 J/KG. INSPECTION OF REGIONAL VWPS SUGGESTS
THAT THE PRIMARY BELT OF MID-LEVEL FLOW AOA 45 KTS WILL SKIRT
FARTHER S ACROSS THE GULF COASTAL AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. NONETHELESS...SHV VWP SHOWS THAT THE MCV HAS ITS OWN
ENHANCED FLOW WITH 40-45 KTS OF WLY WINDS AROUND 1KM. PRIMARY
CONVECTIVE MODE SHOULD REMAIN MULTICELLULAR...BUT GIVEN THE
COLLECTIVE COLD POOL AND THE MEAN WLY FLOW REGIME...THESE STORMS MAY
PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLD SPIN-UP AS THEY
MOVE TOWARD THE MS RVR VLY AND INTO WCNTRL MS THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

.RACY.. 05/03/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...

32119207 32429201 32789196 33119201 33479122 33719008
32818988 32319028

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KILM [032135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 032135
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
535 PM EDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0526 PM HAIL DARLINGTON 34.30N 79.87W
05/03/2007 E1.00 INCH DARLINGTON SC UNKNOWN

REPORT RELAYED TO ILM BY CAE NWS OFFICE

&&

$$

ROSS

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KPAH [032131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 032131
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
431 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0428 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 S ESSEX 36.75N 89.86W
05/03/2007 STODDARD MO EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORTED THROUGH EMERGENCY MANAGER

&&

$$

MIKEY

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KGGW [032118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 032118
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
318 PM MDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HAIL 6 SE SAND SPRINGS 47.04N 107.39W
05/03/2007 E1.00 INCH GARFIELD MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ALSO ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

&&

$$

MCZ

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KILM [032055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 032055
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
455 PM EDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0449 PM HAIL 1 W DARLINGTON 34.30N 79.88W
05/03/2007 E1.00 INCH DARLINGTON SC EMERGENCY MNGR

NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND

&&

$$

ROSS

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KBYZ [032007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBYZ 032007
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
207 PM MDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL 11 E MUSSELSHELL 46.52N 107.85W
05/03/2007 M0.88 INCH MUSSELSHELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

SOLUM

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KBYZ [032003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBYZ 032003
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
203 PM MDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL 4 S MELSTONE 46.54N 107.87W
05/03/2007 M0.88 INCH MUSSELSHELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

SOLUM

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KCLE [031853]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 031853
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
253 PM EDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 PM TORNADO MEADVILLE 41.65N 80.15W
05/01/2007 CRAWFORD PA NWS STORM SURVEY

EF1 WIDTH 25-30 YARDS AND AN INTERMITTENT PATH OF 1.5 TO
2 MILES LONG. THE TORNADO PATH WAS FROM EAST OF MEADVILLE
TO TAMARACK LAKE.

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NW BUCYRUS 40.88N 83.08W
05/01/2007 CRAWFORD OH PUBLIC

A COUPLE OF LARGE LIMBS DOWN NEAR OCEOLA.

&&

$$

KIELTYKA

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KFWD [031834]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 031834
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
133 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0731 PM TSTM WND DMG GARLAND 32.91N 96.63W
05/02/2007 DALLAS TX PUBLIC

FOLLOW UP FROM MAY 2ND STORMS...LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN 1
MILE NORTH OF DOWNTOWN

$$

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KFWD [031832]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 031832
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
131 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD FRISCO 33.14N 96.81W
05/02/2007 COLLIN TX PUBLIC

FOLLOW UP FROM MAY 2ND STORMS...NEIGHBORHOOD STREETS
FLOODED

$$

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KSGF [031829]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 031829
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
129 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 PM FLASH FLOOD ALTON 36.69N 91.40W
05/03/2007 OREGON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOW WATER CROSSINGS FLOODED EAST OF ALTON.

&&

$$

AFOSTER

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KMLB [031827]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 031827
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
227 PM EDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0211 PM FUNNEL CLOUD PORT SAINT LUCIE 27.28N 80.35W
05/03/2007 ST. LUCIE FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO FUNNEL CLOUDS REPORTED NEAR TRADTIONS SUBDIVISION.

0214 PM HAIL PORT SAINT LUCIE 27.28N 80.35W
05/03/2007 E0.88 INCH ST. LUCIE FL EMERGENCY MNGR

NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT INTERSECTION OF GATLIN
BLVD. AND ROSSER RD.

0212 PM HAIL PORT SAINT LUCIE 27.28N 80.35W
05/03/2007 M1.00 INCH ST. LUCIE FL TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER AT
TRADITIONS SUBDIVISION.

0215 PM HAIL SAINT LUCIE WEST 27.31N 80.40W
05/03/2007 M0.50 INCH ST. LUCIE FL TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER JUST SOUTH OF
SAINT LUCIE WEST.

&&

$$

JRC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0664

ACUS11 KWNS 031708
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031708
TXZ000-031845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0664
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1208 PM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL/NE TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 031708Z - 031845Z

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF A WW.

AS A SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE PIVOTS AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
LINGERING MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR WICHITA FALLS...A
SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY SOUTH
THROUGH EAST OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH METROPLEX. ONGOING ACTIVITY
IS BASED IN ZONE OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT ABOVE A WEAKENING SURFACE COLD
POOL...WHERE PARCELS ARE REACHING LEVELS OF FREE CONVECTION TO THE
NORTH OF WARMER MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT EXTENDING ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHERN/SOUTHEAST TEXAS. WEAK SHEAR WELL TO THE NORTH OF A 40-50
KT 500 MB JET STREAK AND LIMITED INSTABILITY ON THE ORDER OF
500-1000 J/KG SEEMS LIKELY TO MINIMIZE SEVERE POTENTIAL. BUT MOIST
ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTIVE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN EXPANDING
CLUSTER ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS AND THE ARKLATEX THIS AFTERNOON.

PERHAPS OF GREATER CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM...IS POTENTIAL FOR NEW
SURFACE BASED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF DALLAS/FORT
WORTH...IN NARROW WEDGE EAST OF WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER
IMPULSE...AND WEST OF RAIN COOLED AIR ASSOCIATED WITH ONGOING
STORMS. THIS IS WHERE SURFACE HEATING IS CONTRIBUTING TO MIXED
LAYER CAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG...AND CAP IS WEAKENING WITH ONSET OF
MID-LEVEL COOLING. IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO UPPER JET STREAK ACROSS
THE HILL COUNTRY...DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELLS...MAINLY WITH RISK FOR LARGE HAIL/ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.

.KERR.. 05/03/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...

31249943 32059824 32529779 32499745 32139709 31329760
30749802 30529923

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KHNX [031709]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS56 KHNX 031709
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1009 AM PDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM NON-TSTM WND GST INYOKERN 35.65N 117.81W
05/02/2007 M58.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT THE NWS/FAA SITE.

0514 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 N MOJAVE 35.20N 118.18W
05/02/2007 M55.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT THE JAWBONE MESNONET SITE.

1032 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 WNW INYOKERN 35.70N 117.98W
05/02/2007 M70.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT THE CLASS III-16C RAWS SITE.

1235 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LAUREL MOUNTAIN RAWS 35.48N 117.70W
05/03/2007 M55.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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KEAX [031634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 031634
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1134 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM TORNADO 1 S HUME 38.08N 94.58W
04/27/2007 BATES MO TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED A TORNADO WHICH HAD A CONDENSATION
FUNNEL EXTENDING MOST OF THE WAY TO THE GROUND WITH AN
ASSOCIATED DUST WHIRL. ALSO 4-5 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES
BROKEN OFF THE TOP OF SEVERAL TREES AT THIS LOCATION.

0620 PM HAIL HUME 38.09N 94.58W
04/27/2007 E1.75 INCH BATES MO AIRPLANE PILOT

NICKEL TO GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL UP TO THREE INCHES DEEP
REPORTED IN AND AROUND HUME. MANY LEAVES STRIPPED FROM
TREES.

&&

$$

ABAILEY

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KBRO [031601]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 031601
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1101 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM HAIL MCCOOK 26.48N 98.38W
05/03/2007 E0.88 INCH HIDALGO TX CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER IN MCCOOK REPORTED HAIL RANGING FROM PEA
TO NICKEL SIZE.

&&

$$

TOMASELLI

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KBRO [031537]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 031537
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1033 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM TSTM WND DMG GARCIASVILLE 26.33N 98.72W
05/03/2007 STARR TX POST OFFICE

GARCIASVILLE POST OFFICE REPORTED LARGE TREE LIMBS
BLOCKING ROAD.

0100 AM HAIL 5 WNW SULLIVAN CITY 26.31N 98.64W
05/03/2007 E1.75 INCH STARR TX PUBLIC

ESTIMATED GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND LARGER IN LA GRULLA,
STARR COUNTY.

0100 AM HAIL GARCIASVILLE 26.33N 98.72W
05/03/2007 E1.00 INCH STARR TX POST OFFICE

GARCIASVILLE POST OFFICE REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

0100 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 ESE RIO GRANDE CITY 26.37N 98.81W
05/03/2007 STARR TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

STARR COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED ROOF DAMAGE AND
UTILITY POLES SPARKING IN OLD EL SAUZ.

0100 AM TSTM WND DMG RIO GRANDE CITY 26.38N 98.83W
05/03/2007 STARR TX PUBLIC

STORE SIGN BLOWN OVER AND UTILITY POLES ON AUTOMOBILES AT
RAMIREZ FORD DEALERSHIP.

0100 AM HAIL 5 N RIO GRANDE CITY 26.45N 98.83W
05/03/2007 E0.50 INCH STARR TX PUBLIC

MARBLE SIZE HAIL REPORTED NORTH OF RIO GRANDE CITY.

0100 AM HAIL SAN MANUEL 26.57N 98.12W
05/03/2007 E0.88 INCH HIDALGO TX PUBLIC

DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN SAN MANUEL.

&&

$$

TOMASELLI

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KFWD [031506]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 031506
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1006 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0948 AM HAIL MILFORD 32.12N 96.95W
05/03/2007 E0.75 INCH ELLIS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

UP TO PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR MILFORD.

$$

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KICT [031300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 031300
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
800 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0759 AM DENSE FOG GALVA 38.38N 97.54W
05/03/2007 MCPHERSON KS CO-OP OBSERVER

OBSERVER REPORTS 1/8 MILE OR LESS VISIBILITY.

&&

$$

BRW

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KICT [031258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 031258
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
758 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0754 AM DENSE FOG MCPHERSON 38.37N 97.66W
05/03/2007 MCPHERSON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS 1/4 TO 1/8 MILE VISIBILITIES
ACROSS THE ENTIRE COUNTY.

&&

$$

BRW

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KICT [031253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 031253
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
753 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 AM DENSE FOG COTTONWOOD FALLS 38.37N 96.54W
05/03/2007 CHASE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS BETWEEN 1/8 TO 1/4 MILE
VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE COUNTY.

0752 AM DENSE FOG ELLSWORTH 38.74N 98.23W
05/03/2007 ELLSWORTH KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

POLICE REPORT BETWEEN 1/4 TO 1/2 VISIBILITY ACROSS
NORTHERN HALF OF COUNTY.

&&

$$

BRW

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KICT [031248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 031248
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
748 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 AM DENSE FOG GREAT BEND 38.36N 98.81W
05/03/2007 BARTON KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTING 1/4 MILE VSBY IN THE CITY OF
GREAT BEND. ALSO 1/8 MILE VSBY IN THE NORTHERN HALF OF
COUNTY TO 1/2 MILE VSBY IN SOUTHERN HALF OF COUNTY.

&&

$$

BRW

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031244
SWODY1
SPC AC 031242

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

VALID 031300Z - 041200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SRN/ERN TX AND
LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE NRN/CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS...

..SRN/ERN TX ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...
SUPPRESSION OF RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SWD INTO THE NWRN GULF OF
MEXICO FROM EXTENSIVE CONVECTION OVERNIGHT LIMITS CONFIDENCE ON HOW
SEVERE THREAT WILL PLAY-OUT ACROSS THIS REGION TODAY. SLOW MOVING
MID/UPPER LOW NOW OVER NRN TX IS EXPECTED TO OPEN UP AND SHIFT EWD
AS A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY. AS
THIS OCCURS...POCKET OF RELATIVELY COOL MID LEVEL AIR /H5 TEMPS AOB
-12C/ WILL OVERSPREAD NRN/ERN TX WITH INCREASING SSWLY MID LEVEL
WINDS SHIFTING ACROSS LA.

LARGE BOW-ECHO MCS WHICH MATURED OVER DEEP SOUTH TX LAST NIGHT
APPEARS TO BE PERSISTING AS IT RACES ENEWD ACROSS THE WRN GULF OF
MEXICO EARLY THIS MORNING. NRN PORTION OF COMPOSITE SURFACE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WORKING ITS WAY EWD ACROSS CENTRAL LA
THIS MORNING. AS THIS OCCURS...COASTAL FRONT MAY PUSH SLOWLY INLAND
INTO SERN LA AND POSSIBLY FAR SRN MS BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS THIS MORNING OVER SRN LA. HOWEVER...STORMS SHOULD
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS THEY POSSIBLY BUILD UPWARDS
INTO A CLUSTER/LINE OF SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND MOVE
ENEWD ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY.

AS MORNING MCS OVER THE WRN GULF SHIFTS ENEWD AND PERSISTENT HEIGHT
FALLS ALOFT SUSTAIN SLY LLJ OVER ERN TX...GRADUAL RETURN OF GULF
MOISTURE/COASTAL FRONT SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS SERN TX TODAY. AS THIS
BOUNDARY LIFTS NWD...AIR MASS WILL LIKELY BECOME VERY UNSTABLE DUE
TO COOL AIR ALOFT AND INFLUX OF EML OUT OF NERN MEXICO. DRT AND BRO
BOTH INDICATE 7+ C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AT 12Z. INCREASED ASCENT
NEAR THE UPPER TROUGH SHOULD AID IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT NEAR
NUMEROUS SURFACE BOUNDARIES LEFT FROM EARLIER CONVECTION OVER
SERN/E-CENTRAL TX. HOW FAR WSW DEVELOPMENT CAN OCCUR ALONG SURFACE
FRONT IS DISPUTED BY THE MODELS. HOWEVER GIVEN STRONG HEATING AND
ABUNDANT MOISTURE... STRONGLY UNSTABLE AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS
SHOULD DEVELOP. THIS WARRANTS EXTENSION OF SLGT RISK INTO S-CENTRAL
TX LATER TODAY DESPITE MORE ISOLATED STORM COVERAGE EXPECTED OVER
THIS AREA. MODEST WLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NWLY THROUGH
THE EVENING OVER TX AND SUSTAIN SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS AND
LINES/CLUSTERS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ACTIVITY SHOULD SHIFT
GENERALLY EWD AND WEAKEN DURING THE MID TO LATE EVENING.

..CENTRAL/NRN HIGH PLAINS...
INTENSE...NEGATIVELY-TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN DOMINANT
FEATURE OVER THE WRN U.S. TODAY. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SURFACE LOW
NOW OVER CENTRAL WY IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN ALONG STRENGTHENING LEE
TROUGH/COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE EWD INTO ERN MT/WY BY LATER TODAY.
NOSE OF 50+ KT MID LEVEL JET WILL ROUND BASE OF TROUGH AND EXTEND
INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY LATER TODAY...WHILE MID LEVEL WINDS
REMAIN MORE SLY AS THEY SHIFT EWD OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.
STRONG...DEEP ASCENT WILL ENHANCE CONVERGENCE AND INCREASING UPSLOPE
FLOW AHEAD OF THE SURFACE TROUGH/COLD FRONT AND SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...MORNING SURFACE
ANALYSES INDICATE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS SCARCE OVER THE AREA
AND IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM WITH RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SSWWD ACROSS WRN
KS. THIS WILL LIMIT AVAILABLE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON.
REGARDLESS...FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND AN
AXIS OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS. THIS SHOULD ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
POSSIBLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID EVENING AS
ACTIVITY CONSOLIDATES INTO ONE OR MORE MCSS. ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY
ALSO OCCUR...ESPECIALLY WITH DEVELOPMENT INTO ERN/NERN CO ALONG NOSE
OF STRONGER WLY MID LEVEL FLOW. SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT AS ACTIVITY SPREADS EAST OF INSTABILITY AXIS OVER THE WRN
DAKOTAS/WRN-CENTRAL NEB.

.EVANS/TAYLOR.. 05/03/2007

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KSGF [031229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 031229
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
729 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0955 PM FLOOD ELDON 38.35N 92.58W
05/02/2007 MILLER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

CAT ROCK ROAD NEAR HIGHWAY 54 SOUTH OF ELDON STILL CLOSED
DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

$$

DSA

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 216

WWUS20 KWNS 030852
SEL6
SPC WW 030852
TXZ000-CWZ000-031100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 216
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
352 AM CDT THU MAY 3 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 216 ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 030851
SWOD48
SPC AC 030851

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

VALID 061200Z - 111200Z

..DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS APPEAR TO BE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH WRN U.S.
LONGWAVE TROUGH WEAKENING DURING DAYS 4 AND 5 /SUN AND MON/...BUT
DIFFER BEYOND DAY 5 IN THE TIMING OF THIS TROUGH AS IT BECOMES MORE
PROGRESSIVE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A COUPLE OF SHORT WAVE
TROUGHS ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK NNEWD ACROSS WRN PARTS OF THE SRN/
CENTRAL PLAINS ON DAYS 4 AND 5. AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AND DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE STORMS DURING DAY 4 /SUN
MAY 6TH/ ACROSS THIS AREA...WITH THIS THREAT POTENTIALLY CONTINUING
INTO DAY 5 /MON MAY 7TH/...BUT MAINLY ACROSS W TX.

BEYOND DAY 5...MODEL UNCERTAINTIES WITH TIMING OF UPPER TROUGH AS IT
BECOMES PROGRESSIVE WILL PRECLUDE INCLUSION OF A REGIONAL SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT AREA ACROSS THE PLAINS.

.PETERS.. 05/03/2007

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KSHV [030731]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KSHV 030731
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
231 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0911 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SW GILMER 32.66N 95.03W
05/02/2007 UPSHUR TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN THE COMMUNITY OF PRITCHETT

0913 PM HAIL TYLER 32.33N 95.30W
05/02/2007 M1.00 INCH SMITH TX TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL AND QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN SOUTH TYLER

0916 PM HAIL TYLER 32.33N 95.30W
05/02/2007 M0.75 INCH SMITH TX TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED IN SOUTHWEST TYLER

0920 PM HAIL TYLER 32.33N 95.30W
05/02/2007 E0.88 INCH SMITH TX PUBLIC

ON EAST LOOP 323

1203 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 W ALTO 31.65N 95.09W
05/03/2007 CHEROKEE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN JUST WEST OF ALTO ON HWY 21

1208 AM TSTM WND DMG 15 W NACOGDOCHES 31.61N 94.91W
05/03/2007 NACOGDOCHES TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN 5 MI SOUTH OF DOUGLASS ON FM 225

1222 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 NW NACOGDOCHES 31.65N 94.69W
05/03/2007 NACOGDOCHES TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWERLINE DOWN

&&

$$

12

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KSHV [030547]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 030547
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1247 AM CDT THU MAY 03 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1208 AM TSTM WND DMG 15 W NACOGDOCHES 31.61N 94.91W
05/03/2007 NACOGDOCHES TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN 12 MI SOUTH OF DOUGLASS ON FM 225

&&

$$

12

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KCRP [030415]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 030415
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1115 PM CDT WED MAY 02 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1019 PM HAIL 8 NE LOS ANGELES 28.53N 98.91W
05/02/2007 E0.88 INCH LA SALLE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

KROUSSY

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