NWUS55 KTFX 100005
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
505 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0321 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
01/06/2014 M59 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
&&
$$
BLANK
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Thursday, January 9, 2014
KTFX [100000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 100000
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
500 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0234 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
01/09/2014 M58 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
TWO MEDICINE DEPT OF TRANSPORTATION SITE
&&
$$
BLANK
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
500 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0234 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
01/09/2014 M58 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
TWO MEDICINE DEPT OF TRANSPORTATION SITE
&&
$$
BLANK
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KTFX [092357]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 092357
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
457 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.59W
01/09/2014 M64 MPH TETON MT MESONET
&&
$$
BLANK
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
457 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.59W
01/09/2014 M64 MPH TETON MT MESONET
&&
$$
BLANK
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KLOT [092249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 092249
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
449 PM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM SNOW 3 N CARBON HILL 41.34N 88.30W
01/09/2014 M0.4 INCH GRUNDY IL COCORAHS
&&
$$
C
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
449 PM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM SNOW 3 N CARBON HILL 41.34N 88.30W
01/09/2014 M0.4 INCH GRUNDY IL COCORAHS
&&
$$
C
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KPIH [092246]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 092246
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
346 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0343 PM SNOW IDAHO FALLS 43.49N 112.04W
01/09/2014 M2.0 INCH BONNEVILLE ID CO-OP OBSERVER
AT KIFI TV
&&
$$
PANGEL
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
346 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0343 PM SNOW IDAHO FALLS 43.49N 112.04W
01/09/2014 M2.0 INCH BONNEVILLE ID CO-OP OBSERVER
AT KIFI TV
&&
$$
PANGEL
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KLOT [092212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 092212
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
412 PM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0411 PM SNOW KANKAKEE 41.12N 87.86W
01/09/2014 M0.6 INCH KANKAKEE IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
C
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
412 PM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0411 PM SNOW KANKAKEE 41.12N 87.86W
01/09/2014 M0.6 INCH KANKAKEE IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
C
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KMLB [092140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMLB 092140
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
440 PM EST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0426 PM FLOOD 1 SSW FORT PIERCE 27.43N 80.33W
01/09/2014 ST. LUCIE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SKYWARN SPOTTER REPORTED ROADWAY UNDER AT LEAST ONE FOOT
OF WATER ON VIRGINIA AVE NEAR US 1 IN SOUTH FORT PIERCE.
CARS STALLED ALL OVER THE ROAD AND TRAFFIC STOPPED.
&&
$$
JRC
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LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
440 PM EST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0426 PM FLOOD 1 SSW FORT PIERCE 27.43N 80.33W
01/09/2014 ST. LUCIE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SKYWARN SPOTTER REPORTED ROADWAY UNDER AT LEAST ONE FOOT
OF WATER ON VIRGINIA AVE NEAR US 1 IN SOUTH FORT PIERCE.
CARS STALLED ALL OVER THE ROAD AND TRAFFIC STOPPED.
&&
$$
JRC
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KCYS [092103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 092103
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
203 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0136 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/09/2014 M55 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED WIND 40 MPH.
&&
$$
DDEAL
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
203 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0136 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/09/2014 M55 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED WIND 40 MPH.
&&
$$
DDEAL
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 092000
SWODY1
SPC AC 091958
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 PM CST THU JAN 09 2014
VALID 092000Z - 101200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SRN-EAST CENTRAL FL...
GENERAL TSTM AREA HAS BEEN EXPANDED A LITTLE NWD ALONG THE EAST
CENTRAL FL COASTAL REGION FROM KVRB TO INVOF KMLB...GIVEN ONGOING
CONVECTIVE TRENDS IN THAT AREA.
...NRN UT...
AN ADDITIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN UT
WITHIN CORRIDOR OF STEEP LAPSE RATES/COLD MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES
ATTENDANT TO A ESEWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. OVERALL COVERAGE OF
THIS POTENTIAL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT THE
INCLUSION OF A 10 PERCENT TSTM AREA.
...SRN PLAINS TO ARKLATEX...
NO CHANGES NEEDED FOR THE GENERAL TSTM AREA FORECAST FOR LATE IN THE
PERIOD OVER PARTS OF TX INTO SOUTH CENTRAL OK TO THE ARKLATEX.
..PETERS.. 01/09/2014
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014/
...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFICATION TREND OVER THE CONUS...ONE THAT WILL PERSIST INTO
THE WEEKEND...WILL BEGIN LATER TODAY AS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW
ADVANCING SE ACROSS THE NRN RCKYS/NRN GRT BASIN PHASES WITH SRN
STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER BAJA CA/AZ TO YIELD A BROAD TROUGH OVER
THE HIGH PLNS BY 12Z FRI.
IN THE MEAN TIME...WEAKLY CYCLONIC ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER
MUCH OF THE NATION. TWO DISTURBANCES IN THIS PATTERN...ONE NOW OVER
THE ARKLATEX AND THE OTHER NOW ENTERING THE TX PANHANDLE...WILL
DOMINATE THE THUNDER FCST THIS PERIOD.
...TX HILL COUNTRY INTO ARKLATEX/SE OK TODAY/TNGT...
WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE WITH TIME OVER THE
SRN PLNS/ARKLATEX...DOWNSTREAM FROM DEVELOPING UPR TROUGH AND ON
BACK SIDE OF RETREATING ARCTIC SFC RIDGE COVERING THE CNTRL AND ERN
U.S. OVERALL...HOWEVER...CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY WILL REMAIN COMPARATIVELY MODEST OVER THE REGION...WITH
PW LIKELY REMAINING AOB 1 INCH UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD.
THUNDER POTENTIAL WITH BAND OF ELEVATED CONVECTION ATTM EXTENDING
FROM SE TX INTO ERN AR SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TODAY AS THE
ASSOCIATED UPR IMPULSE NOW CROSSING THE ARKLATEX FURTHER WEAKENS AND
SYSTEM CONTINUES ENE INTO DRIER AIR. TSTM CHANCES
SHOULD...HOWEVER...INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS SSWLY LLJ OVER THE
SRN PLNS STRENGTHENS WITH THE APPROACH OF AMPLIFYING UPR TROUGH.
THIS SHOULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY
MORE ROBUST WARM CONVEYOR BELT CONVECTION...THIS ONE ORIENTED FROM
THE TX HILL COUNTRY NNE INTO S CNTRL/SE OK. SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY
THE STRONGER/MORE SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS...ESPECIALLY TOWARD 12Z FRI
OVER N TX AND THE RED RVR VLY...WHERE MUCAPE MAY REACH 750 J/KG AND
MODERATE TO STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL CLOUD-LAYER FLOW WILL EXIST.
...SERN FL THIS AFTN...
OBSERVATIONS SHOW RESIDUAL SHALLOW COOL AIR LAYER CONTINUING TO
MODIFY OVER THE REGION...WITH ASSOCIATED SFC BOUNDARY BECOMING MORE
DIFFUSE OVER THE FL STRAITS. THESE TRENDS...ALONG WITH FURTHER
MOISTENING...SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MID-LVL LAPSE RATES
WILL REMAIN WEAK AND LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT NEGLIGIBLE. BUT
GIVEN VERY WEAK CINH DEPICTED IN LOCAL SOUNDINGS...COMBINATION OF
INCREASING MOISTURE...WEAK FRONTAL UPLIFT...AND MODEST SFC HEATING
MAY ALLOW EXISTING CONVECTION TO SUFFICIENTLY DEEPEN TO YIELD ISOLD
TO PERHAPS WDLY SCTD THUNDER LATER TODAY.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 091958
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 PM CST THU JAN 09 2014
VALID 092000Z - 101200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SRN-EAST CENTRAL FL...
GENERAL TSTM AREA HAS BEEN EXPANDED A LITTLE NWD ALONG THE EAST
CENTRAL FL COASTAL REGION FROM KVRB TO INVOF KMLB...GIVEN ONGOING
CONVECTIVE TRENDS IN THAT AREA.
...NRN UT...
AN ADDITIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NRN UT
WITHIN CORRIDOR OF STEEP LAPSE RATES/COLD MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES
ATTENDANT TO A ESEWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. OVERALL COVERAGE OF
THIS POTENTIAL IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT THE
INCLUSION OF A 10 PERCENT TSTM AREA.
...SRN PLAINS TO ARKLATEX...
NO CHANGES NEEDED FOR THE GENERAL TSTM AREA FORECAST FOR LATE IN THE
PERIOD OVER PARTS OF TX INTO SOUTH CENTRAL OK TO THE ARKLATEX.
..PETERS.. 01/09/2014
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014/
...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFICATION TREND OVER THE CONUS...ONE THAT WILL PERSIST INTO
THE WEEKEND...WILL BEGIN LATER TODAY AS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW
ADVANCING SE ACROSS THE NRN RCKYS/NRN GRT BASIN PHASES WITH SRN
STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER BAJA CA/AZ TO YIELD A BROAD TROUGH OVER
THE HIGH PLNS BY 12Z FRI.
IN THE MEAN TIME...WEAKLY CYCLONIC ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER
MUCH OF THE NATION. TWO DISTURBANCES IN THIS PATTERN...ONE NOW OVER
THE ARKLATEX AND THE OTHER NOW ENTERING THE TX PANHANDLE...WILL
DOMINATE THE THUNDER FCST THIS PERIOD.
...TX HILL COUNTRY INTO ARKLATEX/SE OK TODAY/TNGT...
WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE WITH TIME OVER THE
SRN PLNS/ARKLATEX...DOWNSTREAM FROM DEVELOPING UPR TROUGH AND ON
BACK SIDE OF RETREATING ARCTIC SFC RIDGE COVERING THE CNTRL AND ERN
U.S. OVERALL...HOWEVER...CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY WILL REMAIN COMPARATIVELY MODEST OVER THE REGION...WITH
PW LIKELY REMAINING AOB 1 INCH UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD.
THUNDER POTENTIAL WITH BAND OF ELEVATED CONVECTION ATTM EXTENDING
FROM SE TX INTO ERN AR SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TODAY AS THE
ASSOCIATED UPR IMPULSE NOW CROSSING THE ARKLATEX FURTHER WEAKENS AND
SYSTEM CONTINUES ENE INTO DRIER AIR. TSTM CHANCES
SHOULD...HOWEVER...INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS SSWLY LLJ OVER THE
SRN PLNS STRENGTHENS WITH THE APPROACH OF AMPLIFYING UPR TROUGH.
THIS SHOULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY
MORE ROBUST WARM CONVEYOR BELT CONVECTION...THIS ONE ORIENTED FROM
THE TX HILL COUNTRY NNE INTO S CNTRL/SE OK. SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY
THE STRONGER/MORE SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS...ESPECIALLY TOWARD 12Z FRI
OVER N TX AND THE RED RVR VLY...WHERE MUCAPE MAY REACH 750 J/KG AND
MODERATE TO STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL CLOUD-LAYER FLOW WILL EXIST.
...SERN FL THIS AFTN...
OBSERVATIONS SHOW RESIDUAL SHALLOW COOL AIR LAYER CONTINUING TO
MODIFY OVER THE REGION...WITH ASSOCIATED SFC BOUNDARY BECOMING MORE
DIFFUSE OVER THE FL STRAITS. THESE TRENDS...ALONG WITH FURTHER
MOISTENING...SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MID-LVL LAPSE RATES
WILL REMAIN WEAK AND LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT NEGLIGIBLE. BUT
GIVEN VERY WEAK CINH DEPICTED IN LOCAL SOUNDINGS...COMBINATION OF
INCREASING MOISTURE...WEAK FRONTAL UPLIFT...AND MODEST SFC HEATING
MAY ALLOW EXISTING CONVECTION TO SUFFICIENTLY DEEPEN TO YIELD ISOLD
TO PERHAPS WDLY SCTD THUNDER LATER TODAY.
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KPIH [091955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091955
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
100 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 20 NE PRESTON 42.37N 111.57W
01/09/2014 E7.1 INCH FRANKLIN ID MESONET
EMIGRANT SUMMIT SNOTEL 7390 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM SNOW 22 NW KETCHUM 43.87N 114.72W
01/09/2014 E4.1 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET
GALENA SUMMIT SNOTEL 8782 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 32 NNE DRIGGS 44.13N 110.83W
01/09/2014 E8.7 INCH TETON WY MESONET
GRASSY LAKE SNOTEL 7265 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM SNOW 10 ENE DRIGGS 43.78N 110.93W
01/09/2014 E4.9 INCH TETON WY MESONET
GRAND TARGHEE SNOTEL 9260 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 NW KETCHUM 43.82N 114.27W
01/09/2014 E7.6 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET
LOST WOOD DIVIDE SNOTEL 7903 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM SNOW 38 E IDAHO FALLS 43.57N 111.22W
01/09/2014 E4.8 INCH BONNEVILLE ID MESONET
PINE CREEK PASS SNOTEL 6720 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 17 SE DRIGGS 43.52N 110.92W
01/09/2014 E6.0 INCH TETON WY MESONET
PHILIPS BENCH SNOTEL 8200 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 S POCATELLO 42.75N 112.48W
01/09/2014 E6.3 INCH BANNOCK ID MESONET
WILDHORSE DIVIDE SNOTEL 6490 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 8 NW ISLAND PARK 44.53N 111.42W
01/09/2014 E7.9 INCH FREMONT ID MESONET
WHITE ELEPHANT SNOTEL 7713 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
&&
$$
VALLE
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
100 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 20 NE PRESTON 42.37N 111.57W
01/09/2014 E7.1 INCH FRANKLIN ID MESONET
EMIGRANT SUMMIT SNOTEL 7390 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM SNOW 22 NW KETCHUM 43.87N 114.72W
01/09/2014 E4.1 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET
GALENA SUMMIT SNOTEL 8782 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 32 NNE DRIGGS 44.13N 110.83W
01/09/2014 E8.7 INCH TETON WY MESONET
GRASSY LAKE SNOTEL 7265 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM SNOW 10 ENE DRIGGS 43.78N 110.93W
01/09/2014 E4.9 INCH TETON WY MESONET
GRAND TARGHEE SNOTEL 9260 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 NW KETCHUM 43.82N 114.27W
01/09/2014 E7.6 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET
LOST WOOD DIVIDE SNOTEL 7903 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM SNOW 38 E IDAHO FALLS 43.57N 111.22W
01/09/2014 E4.8 INCH BONNEVILLE ID MESONET
PINE CREEK PASS SNOTEL 6720 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 17 SE DRIGGS 43.52N 110.92W
01/09/2014 E6.0 INCH TETON WY MESONET
PHILIPS BENCH SNOTEL 8200 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 S POCATELLO 42.75N 112.48W
01/09/2014 E6.3 INCH BANNOCK ID MESONET
WILDHORSE DIVIDE SNOTEL 6490 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 8 NW ISLAND PARK 44.53N 111.42W
01/09/2014 E7.9 INCH FREMONT ID MESONET
WHITE ELEPHANT SNOTEL 7713 MSL. 12-HOUR TOTAL.
&&
$$
VALLE
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KPIH [091955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091955
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1255 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1251 PM HIGH SUST WINDS NNE RIGBY 43.68N 111.91W
01/09/2014 U0 MPH JEFFERSON ID TRAINED SPOTTER
ON HIGHWAY 20 BETWEEN IDAHO FALLS AND RIGBY VISIBILITY
OCCASIONALLY 1/4 MILE IN BLOWING SNOW. SNOW IS WET AND
SLUSHY ON THE ROAD.
&&
$$
PANGEL
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1255 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1251 PM HIGH SUST WINDS NNE RIGBY 43.68N 111.91W
01/09/2014 U0 MPH JEFFERSON ID TRAINED SPOTTER
ON HIGHWAY 20 BETWEEN IDAHO FALLS AND RIGBY VISIBILITY
OCCASIONALLY 1/4 MILE IN BLOWING SNOW. SNOW IS WET AND
SLUSHY ON THE ROAD.
&&
$$
PANGEL
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KPIH [091939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091939
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1239 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1145 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 SSE GRACE 42.50N 111.68W
01/09/2014 U0.0 INCH CARIBOU ID TRAINED SPOTTER
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. LOTS OF SLUSH ON THE ROAD.
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN BUT TOO MUCH WIND TO
GIVE A GOOD MEASUREMENT.
1145 AM HEAVY SNOW DRIGGS 43.73N 111.11W
01/09/2014 M3.5 INCH TETON ID PUBLIC
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
1145 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 SE POCATELLO 42.85N 112.43W
01/09/2014 M3.0 INCH BANNOCK ID PUBLIC
MINK CREEK AREA
&&
$$
PANGEL
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1239 PM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1145 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 SSE GRACE 42.50N 111.68W
01/09/2014 U0.0 INCH CARIBOU ID TRAINED SPOTTER
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. LOTS OF SLUSH ON THE ROAD.
SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN BUT TOO MUCH WIND TO
GIVE A GOOD MEASUREMENT.
1145 AM HEAVY SNOW DRIGGS 43.73N 111.11W
01/09/2014 M3.5 INCH TETON ID PUBLIC
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
1145 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 SE POCATELLO 42.85N 112.43W
01/09/2014 M3.0 INCH BANNOCK ID PUBLIC
MINK CREEK AREA
&&
$$
PANGEL
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KMLB [091938]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMLB 091938
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
238 PM EST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM FLOOD FORT PIERCE 27.44N 80.32W
01/09/2014 ST. LUCIE FL EMERGENCY MNGR
ST. LUCIE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT RELAYED A REPORT OF
MULTIPLE STREET CLOSURES IN FORT PIERCE.
&&
$$
ULRICH
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LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
238 PM EST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM FLOOD FORT PIERCE 27.44N 80.32W
01/09/2014 ST. LUCIE FL EMERGENCY MNGR
ST. LUCIE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT RELAYED A REPORT OF
MULTIPLE STREET CLOSURES IN FORT PIERCE.
&&
$$
ULRICH
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KPIH [091821]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091821
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1121 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1121 AM SNOW POCATELLO 42.88N 112.47W
01/09/2014 E1.0 INCH BANNOCK ID PUBLIC
&&
$$
VALLE
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1121 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1121 AM SNOW POCATELLO 42.88N 112.47W
01/09/2014 E1.0 INCH BANNOCK ID PUBLIC
&&
$$
VALLE
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KOTX [091819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS56 KOTX 091819
LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1019 AM PST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HEAVY SNOW Sacheen Lake 48.17N 117.31W
01/09/2014 M4.9 INCH PEND OREILLE WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0412 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 E CHEWELAH 48.29N 117.58W
01/09/2014 E9.0 INCH STEVENS WA PUBLIC
49 DEGREES NORTH SKI RESORT
0506 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 NW SANDPOINT 48.33N 116.64W
01/09/2014 E10.0 INCH BONNER ID PUBLIC
SCHWEITZER SKI RESORT
0511 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 N NEWMAN LAKE 47.92N 117.09W
01/09/2014 E11.0 INCH SPOKANE WA PUBLIC
MOUNT SPOKANE SKI RESORT
0523 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 S MULLAN 47.41N 115.79W
01/09/2014 E9.0 INCH SHOSHONE ID PUBLIC
LOOKOUT PASS SKI RESORT
0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 W NEWPORT 48.18N 117.17W
01/09/2014 M4.2 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-PO-9
0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 NNE HOPE 48.38N 116.26W
01/09/2014 M6.3 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-BR-22
0700 AM HEAVY SNOW SW DOVER 48.25N 116.61W
01/09/2014 M4.3 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-BR-19
0730 AM HEAVY SNOW SSW METALINE FALLS 48.86N 117.37W
01/09/2014 M5.0 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-PO-10
0740 AM HEAVY SNOW BONAPARTE LAKE CAMPGROU 48.98N 117.36W
01/09/2014 E4.0 INCH PEND OREILLE WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0751 AM HEAVY SNOW SSW METALINE FALLS 48.86N 117.37W
01/09/2014 U5.0 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL
0800 AM HEAVY SNOW STEHEKIN 48.35N 120.73W
01/09/2014 M5.0 INCH CHELAN WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY SNOW HOLDEN VILLAGE 48.20N 120.77W
01/09/2014 M5.2 INCH CHELAN WA CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
JFOX
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LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1019 AM PST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HEAVY SNOW Sacheen Lake 48.17N 117.31W
01/09/2014 M4.9 INCH PEND OREILLE WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0412 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 E CHEWELAH 48.29N 117.58W
01/09/2014 E9.0 INCH STEVENS WA PUBLIC
49 DEGREES NORTH SKI RESORT
0506 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 NW SANDPOINT 48.33N 116.64W
01/09/2014 E10.0 INCH BONNER ID PUBLIC
SCHWEITZER SKI RESORT
0511 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 N NEWMAN LAKE 47.92N 117.09W
01/09/2014 E11.0 INCH SPOKANE WA PUBLIC
MOUNT SPOKANE SKI RESORT
0523 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 S MULLAN 47.41N 115.79W
01/09/2014 E9.0 INCH SHOSHONE ID PUBLIC
LOOKOUT PASS SKI RESORT
0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 W NEWPORT 48.18N 117.17W
01/09/2014 M4.2 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-PO-9
0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 NNE HOPE 48.38N 116.26W
01/09/2014 M6.3 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-BR-22
0700 AM HEAVY SNOW SW DOVER 48.25N 116.61W
01/09/2014 M4.3 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-BR-19
0730 AM HEAVY SNOW SSW METALINE FALLS 48.86N 117.37W
01/09/2014 M5.0 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-PO-10
0740 AM HEAVY SNOW BONAPARTE LAKE CAMPGROU 48.98N 117.36W
01/09/2014 E4.0 INCH PEND OREILLE WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0751 AM HEAVY SNOW SSW METALINE FALLS 48.86N 117.37W
01/09/2014 U5.0 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL
0800 AM HEAVY SNOW STEHEKIN 48.35N 120.73W
01/09/2014 M5.0 INCH CHELAN WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM HEAVY SNOW HOLDEN VILLAGE 48.20N 120.77W
01/09/2014 M5.2 INCH CHELAN WA CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
JFOX
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KPIH [091807]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091807
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1107 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1107 AM SNOW CAREY 43.30N 113.95W
01/09/2014 E2.0 INCH BLAINE ID PUBLIC
&&
$$
VALLE
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1107 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1107 AM SNOW CAREY 43.30N 113.95W
01/09/2014 E2.0 INCH BLAINE ID PUBLIC
&&
$$
VALLE
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KMSO [091749]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 091749
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1048 AM MST THU JAN 9 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1047 AM SNOW 1 WNW SALMON 45.18N 113.92W
01/09/2014 M4.0 INCH LEMHI ID TRAINED SPOTTER
4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVERNIGHT, WITH A TOTAL
OF 6 INCHES ON THE GROUND. SNOW DURATION 12
HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION 1 MI WNW OF SALMON
&&
$$
NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1048 AM MST THU JAN 9 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1047 AM SNOW 1 WNW SALMON 45.18N 113.92W
01/09/2014 M4.0 INCH LEMHI ID TRAINED SPOTTER
4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVERNIGHT, WITH A TOTAL
OF 6 INCHES ON THE GROUND. SNOW DURATION 12
HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION 1 MI WNW OF SALMON
&&
$$
NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM
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KTSA [091743]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KTSA 091743
LSRTSA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1142 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1142 AM FREEZING RAIN GREENWOOD 35.22N 94.26W
01/09/2014 E0.13 INCH SEBASTIAN AR EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
$$
RJS
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LSRTSA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1142 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1142 AM FREEZING RAIN GREENWOOD 35.22N 94.26W
01/09/2014 E0.13 INCH SEBASTIAN AR EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
$$
RJS
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KPIH [091735]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091735
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1035 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0932 AM SNOW DRIGGS 43.73N 111.11W
01/09/2014 E2.0 INCH TETON ID PUBLIC
&&
$$
VALLE
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1035 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0932 AM SNOW DRIGGS 43.73N 111.11W
01/09/2014 E2.0 INCH TETON ID PUBLIC
&&
$$
VALLE
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KPIH [091733]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091733
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1033 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1032 AM SNOW CHALLIS 44.51N 114.22W
01/09/2014 E3.0 INCH CUSTER ID PUBLIC
&&
$$
VALLE
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1033 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1032 AM SNOW CHALLIS 44.51N 114.22W
01/09/2014 E3.0 INCH CUSTER ID PUBLIC
&&
$$
VALLE
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 091733
SWODY2
SPC AC 091731
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1131 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFICATION OF THE MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WILL BE UNDERWAY
ACROSS THE CONUS AT THE START OF DAY 2...AS A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH
TRACKS NEWD FROM THE BASE OF A ROCKIES/PLAINS LONGWAVE TROUGH. THIS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND AN ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WILL CONCURRENTLY
TRACK NEWD THROUGH THE LOWER MO VALLEY...REACHING THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES BY 12Z SATURDAY. MEANWHILE...FURTHER AMPLIFICATION OF THE
ROCKIES/PLAINS LONGWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED THROUGH DAY 2 WITH AN EWD
SHIFT. THIS WILL OCCUR AS A PORTION OF A MIDLEVEL WAVE...NOW OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA...AND ACCOMPANYING STRONG MID-UPPER LEVEL JETS
DIG SEWD REACHING PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS TO ARKLATEX/OZARKS
REGION BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...AMPLIFICATION OF THE
MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER WINDS
FROM OK/TX THROUGH THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. A COLD
FRONT TRAILING FROM THE NEWD MOVING SURFACE LOW WILL ACCELERATE
E-SEWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS/ARKLATEX TO LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...
WHILE THE NRN EXTENT REACHES THE LOWER OH VALLEY REGION BY 12Z
SATURDAY.
...NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST TX FRI AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...
AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT...AMPLE FORCING FOR ASCENT/MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL LEAD TO
SHOWERS/EMBEDDED TSTMS CONTINUING FROM LATE DAY 1 ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS AND SPREADING INTO THE OZARKS FRIDAY MORNING. ON THE SRN
FRINGE OF THIS EARLY DAY ACTIVITY...THE AIR MASS WILL UNDERGO
FURTHER GRADUAL MOISTENING WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS MUCH OF
EAST TX.
ALTHOUGH THE EXACT EXTENSIVENESS/IMPACTS OF EARLY DAY CONVECTION/
CLOUDINESS REMAIN UNCERTAIN...INDICATIONS PERSIST THAT THE BOUNDARY
LAYER COULD MODESTLY DESTABILIZE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT...WITH MLCAPE OF 500-750 J/KG
POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL TO EAST TX. THIS COULD PROVE
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF NEAR-SURFACE BASED TSTMS. DESPITE
UNCERTAINTIES IN THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION...MORE THAN
SUFFICIENT FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG THE SRN EXTENT OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING VERTICAL SHEAR COULD CONTRIBUTE
TO AT LEAST A FEW STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS. THIS RISK
COULD INCLUDE DAMAGING WINDS...A BRIEF TORNADO...AND SEVERE HAIL
PENDING A SUFFICIENTLY FAVORABLE /NON-LINEAR/ CONVECTIVE MODE. THE
OVERALL SEVERE RISK REMAINS MARGINAL/ISOLATED IN NATURE ACROSS
NORTH-CENTRAL INTO EAST TX....THOUGH THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT
THE SEVERE RISK COULD REACH FARTHER E TOWARD THE NWRN LA
BORDER...THUS THE 5 PERCENT SEVERE RISK HAS BEEN EXPANDED A LITTLE
E.
...LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES FRI NIGHT...
INLAND CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ABATE
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AN INCREASINGLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A WARM SECTOR DEVELOPING INLAND. HOWEVER...NWD/
INLAND PENETRATION OF WARM SECTOR SUFFICIENT FOR SURFACE BASED
CONVECTION/TSTMS REMAINS UNCERTAIN. THIS FACTOR IS CLOSELY TIED TO
THE EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS/CLOUDINESS OVER INLAND AREAS AS
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SPREADS NWD ATOP A COOLER MORE STABLE AIR MASS
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION SHOULD BE
RELEGATED TO NEAR-COASTAL AREAS /WITHIN 75-100 MILES OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO/...WITH MUCAPE TO AROUND 500 J/KG POSSIBLE. THE UNCERTAINTY
IN THE MAGNITUDE OF DESTABILIZATION AND WITH STRONGER FORCING FOR
ASCENT REMAINING NORTH OF THIS REGION...THE POTENTIAL FOR GREATER
COVERAGE AND ROBUST TSTM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD REMAIN LOW. DESPITE
THIS LOW POTENTIAL FOR COVERAGE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...A
CONDITIONAL/ISOLATED THREAT PERSISTS FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A
TORNADO RISK FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS EXPECTED
STRENGTHENING AND MAGNITUDE OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR/LOW-LEVEL SRH WOULD
SUPPORT THESE THREATS.
..PETERS.. 01/09/2014
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SWODY2
SPC AC 091731
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1131 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFICATION OF THE MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WILL BE UNDERWAY
ACROSS THE CONUS AT THE START OF DAY 2...AS A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH
TRACKS NEWD FROM THE BASE OF A ROCKIES/PLAINS LONGWAVE TROUGH. THIS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND AN ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WILL CONCURRENTLY
TRACK NEWD THROUGH THE LOWER MO VALLEY...REACHING THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES BY 12Z SATURDAY. MEANWHILE...FURTHER AMPLIFICATION OF THE
ROCKIES/PLAINS LONGWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED THROUGH DAY 2 WITH AN EWD
SHIFT. THIS WILL OCCUR AS A PORTION OF A MIDLEVEL WAVE...NOW OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA...AND ACCOMPANYING STRONG MID-UPPER LEVEL JETS
DIG SEWD REACHING PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS TO ARKLATEX/OZARKS
REGION BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...AMPLIFICATION OF THE
MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER WINDS
FROM OK/TX THROUGH THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. A COLD
FRONT TRAILING FROM THE NEWD MOVING SURFACE LOW WILL ACCELERATE
E-SEWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS/ARKLATEX TO LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...
WHILE THE NRN EXTENT REACHES THE LOWER OH VALLEY REGION BY 12Z
SATURDAY.
...NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST TX FRI AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...
AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT...AMPLE FORCING FOR ASCENT/MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL LEAD TO
SHOWERS/EMBEDDED TSTMS CONTINUING FROM LATE DAY 1 ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS AND SPREADING INTO THE OZARKS FRIDAY MORNING. ON THE SRN
FRINGE OF THIS EARLY DAY ACTIVITY...THE AIR MASS WILL UNDERGO
FURTHER GRADUAL MOISTENING WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS MUCH OF
EAST TX.
ALTHOUGH THE EXACT EXTENSIVENESS/IMPACTS OF EARLY DAY CONVECTION/
CLOUDINESS REMAIN UNCERTAIN...INDICATIONS PERSIST THAT THE BOUNDARY
LAYER COULD MODESTLY DESTABILIZE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT...WITH MLCAPE OF 500-750 J/KG
POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL TO EAST TX. THIS COULD PROVE
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF NEAR-SURFACE BASED TSTMS. DESPITE
UNCERTAINTIES IN THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION...MORE THAN
SUFFICIENT FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG THE SRN EXTENT OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING VERTICAL SHEAR COULD CONTRIBUTE
TO AT LEAST A FEW STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS. THIS RISK
COULD INCLUDE DAMAGING WINDS...A BRIEF TORNADO...AND SEVERE HAIL
PENDING A SUFFICIENTLY FAVORABLE /NON-LINEAR/ CONVECTIVE MODE. THE
OVERALL SEVERE RISK REMAINS MARGINAL/ISOLATED IN NATURE ACROSS
NORTH-CENTRAL INTO EAST TX....THOUGH THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT
THE SEVERE RISK COULD REACH FARTHER E TOWARD THE NWRN LA
BORDER...THUS THE 5 PERCENT SEVERE RISK HAS BEEN EXPANDED A LITTLE
E.
...LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES FRI NIGHT...
INLAND CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ABATE
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AN INCREASINGLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A WARM SECTOR DEVELOPING INLAND. HOWEVER...NWD/
INLAND PENETRATION OF WARM SECTOR SUFFICIENT FOR SURFACE BASED
CONVECTION/TSTMS REMAINS UNCERTAIN. THIS FACTOR IS CLOSELY TIED TO
THE EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS/CLOUDINESS OVER INLAND AREAS AS
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SPREADS NWD ATOP A COOLER MORE STABLE AIR MASS
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION SHOULD BE
RELEGATED TO NEAR-COASTAL AREAS /WITHIN 75-100 MILES OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO/...WITH MUCAPE TO AROUND 500 J/KG POSSIBLE. THE UNCERTAINTY
IN THE MAGNITUDE OF DESTABILIZATION AND WITH STRONGER FORCING FOR
ASCENT REMAINING NORTH OF THIS REGION...THE POTENTIAL FOR GREATER
COVERAGE AND ROBUST TSTM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD REMAIN LOW. DESPITE
THIS LOW POTENTIAL FOR COVERAGE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS...A
CONDITIONAL/ISOLATED THREAT PERSISTS FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A
TORNADO RISK FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AS EXPECTED
STRENGTHENING AND MAGNITUDE OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR/LOW-LEVEL SRH WOULD
SUPPORT THESE THREATS.
..PETERS.. 01/09/2014
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KTSA [091719]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KTSA 091719
LSRTSA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1119 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1118 AM FREEZING RAIN FAYETTEVILLE 36.06N 94.16W
01/09/2014 E0.10 INCH WASHINGTON AR EMERGENCY MNGR
DUSTING OF SNOW REPORTED AS WELL.
&&
$$
RJS
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LSRTSA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1119 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1118 AM FREEZING RAIN FAYETTEVILLE 36.06N 94.16W
01/09/2014 E0.10 INCH WASHINGTON AR EMERGENCY MNGR
DUSTING OF SNOW REPORTED AS WELL.
&&
$$
RJS
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KPIH [091715]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091715
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1015 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1014 AM SNOW 6 S ST. ANTHONY 43.89N 111.68W
01/09/2014 M4.0 INCH MADISON ID TRAINED SPOTTER
OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL. NOW JUST FLURRIES.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1015 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1014 AM SNOW 6 S ST. ANTHONY 43.89N 111.68W
01/09/2014 M4.0 INCH MADISON ID TRAINED SPOTTER
OVERNIGHT SNOWFALL. NOW JUST FLURRIES.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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KTSA [091656]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KTSA 091656
LSRTSA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1056 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0951 AM FREEZING RAIN FORT SMITH 35.39N 94.40W
01/09/2014 E0.10 INCH SEBASTIAN AR PUBLIC
0951 AM FREEZING RAIN 5 NE ALMA 35.53N 94.16W
01/09/2014 E0.25 INCH CRAWFORD AR PUBLIC
ADDITIONAL SLEET ACCUMULATION UP TO AN INCH.
1045 AM FREEZING RAIN OZARK 35.49N 93.83W
01/09/2014 E0.25 INCH FRANKLIN AR TRAINED SPOTTER
1045 AM FREEZING RAIN VAN BUREN 35.44N 94.35W
01/09/2014 E0.25 INCH CRAWFORD AR EMERGENCY MNGR
0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF ICE ESTIMATED ON TREES ON POWER
LINES.
1045 AM FREEZING RAIN STILWELL 35.81N 94.63W
01/09/2014 E0.10 INCH ADAIR OK EMERGENCY MNGR
1045 AM SNOW PEA RIDGE 36.45N 94.11W
01/09/2014 E0.1 INCH BENTON AR EMERGENCY MNGR
1055 AM FREEZING RAIN HUNTSVILLE 36.09N 93.74W
01/09/2014 E0.25 INCH MADISON AR EMERGENCY MNGR
.10 TO .25 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION ON TREES AND POWER
LINES.
&&
$$
RJS
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LSRTSA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1056 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0951 AM FREEZING RAIN FORT SMITH 35.39N 94.40W
01/09/2014 E0.10 INCH SEBASTIAN AR PUBLIC
0951 AM FREEZING RAIN 5 NE ALMA 35.53N 94.16W
01/09/2014 E0.25 INCH CRAWFORD AR PUBLIC
ADDITIONAL SLEET ACCUMULATION UP TO AN INCH.
1045 AM FREEZING RAIN OZARK 35.49N 93.83W
01/09/2014 E0.25 INCH FRANKLIN AR TRAINED SPOTTER
1045 AM FREEZING RAIN VAN BUREN 35.44N 94.35W
01/09/2014 E0.25 INCH CRAWFORD AR EMERGENCY MNGR
0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF ICE ESTIMATED ON TREES ON POWER
LINES.
1045 AM FREEZING RAIN STILWELL 35.81N 94.63W
01/09/2014 E0.10 INCH ADAIR OK EMERGENCY MNGR
1045 AM SNOW PEA RIDGE 36.45N 94.11W
01/09/2014 E0.1 INCH BENTON AR EMERGENCY MNGR
1055 AM FREEZING RAIN HUNTSVILLE 36.09N 93.74W
01/09/2014 E0.25 INCH MADISON AR EMERGENCY MNGR
.10 TO .25 INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION ON TREES AND POWER
LINES.
&&
$$
RJS
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KJAN [091651]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KJAN 091651
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1051 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 AM FREEZING RAIN DERMOTT 33.53N 91.44W
01/09/2014 E0.08 INCH CHICOT AR EMERGENCY MNGR
LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION ON ELEVATED OBJECTS WITH CURRENT
TEMPERATURE OF 32 F REPORTED BY CHICOT COUNTY EM...OTHER
32 F TEMPERATURE OBSERVATIONS INCLUDE UNION PACIFIC
RAILROAD MESONET STATIONS SOUTH OF DERMOTT
&&
$$
EC
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LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1051 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 AM FREEZING RAIN DERMOTT 33.53N 91.44W
01/09/2014 E0.08 INCH CHICOT AR EMERGENCY MNGR
LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION ON ELEVATED OBJECTS WITH CURRENT
TEMPERATURE OF 32 F REPORTED BY CHICOT COUNTY EM...OTHER
32 F TEMPERATURE OBSERVATIONS INCLUDE UNION PACIFIC
RAILROAD MESONET STATIONS SOUTH OF DERMOTT
&&
$$
EC
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KLSX [091635]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 091635
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1035 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1035 AM SNOW 2 NE HEMATITE 38.22N 90.46W
01/09/2014 M0.7 INCH JEFFERSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1035 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1035 AM SNOW 2 NE HEMATITE 38.22N 90.46W
01/09/2014 M0.7 INCH JEFFERSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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KLSX [091634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 091634
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1034 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM SNOW LAKE ST. LOUIS 38.79N 90.78W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH ST. CHARLES MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1034 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM SNOW LAKE ST. LOUIS 38.79N 90.78W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH ST. CHARLES MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 091631
SWODY1
SPC AC 091629
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
VALID 091630Z - 101200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFICATION TREND OVER THE CONUS...ONE THAT WILL PERSIST INTO
THE WEEKEND...WILL BEGIN LATER TODAY AS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW
ADVANCING SE ACROSS THE NRN RCKYS/NRN GRT BASIN PHASES WITH SRN
STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER BAJA CA/AZ TO YIELD A BROAD TROUGH OVER
THE HIGH PLNS BY 12Z FRI.
IN THE MEAN TIME...WEAKLY CYCLONIC ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER
MUCH OF THE NATION. TWO DISTURBANCES IN THIS PATTERN...ONE NOW OVER
THE ARKLATEX AND THE OTHER NOW ENTERING THE TX PANHANDLE...WILL
DOMINATE THE THUNDER FCST THIS PERIOD.
...TX HILL COUNTRY INTO ARKLATEX/SE OK TODAY/TNGT...
WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE WITH TIME OVER THE
SRN PLNS/ARKLATEX...DOWNSTREAM FROM DEVELOPING UPR TROUGH AND ON
BACK SIDE OF RETREATING ARCTIC SFC RIDGE COVERING THE CNTRL AND ERN
U.S. OVERALL...HOWEVER...CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY WILL REMAIN COMPARATIVELY MODEST OVER THE REGION...WITH
PW LIKELY REMAINING AOB 1 INCH UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD.
THUNDER POTENTIAL WITH BAND OF ELEVATED CONVECTION ATTM EXTENDING
FROM SE TX INTO ERN AR SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TODAY AS THE
ASSOCIATED UPR IMPULSE NOW CROSSING THE ARKLATEX FURTHER WEAKENS AND
SYSTEM CONTINUES ENE INTO DRIER AIR. TSTM CHANCES
SHOULD...HOWEVER...INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS SSWLY LLJ OVER THE
SRN PLNS STRENGTHENS WITH THE APPROACH OF AMPLIFYING UPR TROUGH.
THIS SHOULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY
MORE ROBUST WARM CONVEYOR BELT CONVECTION...THIS ONE ORIENTED FROM
THE TX HILL COUNTRY NNE INTO S CNTRL/SE OK. SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY
THE STRONGER/MORE SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS...ESPECIALLY TOWARD 12Z FRI
OVER N TX AND THE RED RVR VLY...WHERE MUCAPE MAY REACH 750 J/KG AND
MODERATE TO STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL CLOUD-LAYER FLOW WILL EXIST.
...SERN FL THIS AFTN...
OBSERVATIONS SHOW RESIDUAL SHALLOW COOL AIR LAYER CONTINUING TO
MODIFY OVER THE REGION...WITH ASSOCIATED SFC BOUNDARY BECOMING MORE
DIFFUSE OVER THE FL STRAITS. THESE TRENDS...ALONG WITH FURTHER
MOISTENING...SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MID-LVL LAPSE RATES
WILL REMAIN WEAK AND LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT NEGLIGIBLE. BUT
GIVEN VERY WEAK CINH DEPICTED IN LOCAL SOUNDINGS...COMBINATION OF
INCREASING MOISTURE...WEAK FRONTAL UPLIFT...AND MODEST SFC HEATING
MAY ALLOW EXISTING CONVECTION TO SUFFICIENTLY DEEPEN TO YIELD ISOLD
TO PERHAPS WDLY SCTD THUNDER LATER TODAY.
..CORFIDI/BROYLES.. 01/09/2014
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SWODY1
SPC AC 091629
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
VALID 091630Z - 101200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFICATION TREND OVER THE CONUS...ONE THAT WILL PERSIST INTO
THE WEEKEND...WILL BEGIN LATER TODAY AS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW
ADVANCING SE ACROSS THE NRN RCKYS/NRN GRT BASIN PHASES WITH SRN
STREAM DISTURBANCE NOW OVER BAJA CA/AZ TO YIELD A BROAD TROUGH OVER
THE HIGH PLNS BY 12Z FRI.
IN THE MEAN TIME...WEAKLY CYCLONIC ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER
MUCH OF THE NATION. TWO DISTURBANCES IN THIS PATTERN...ONE NOW OVER
THE ARKLATEX AND THE OTHER NOW ENTERING THE TX PANHANDLE...WILL
DOMINATE THE THUNDER FCST THIS PERIOD.
...TX HILL COUNTRY INTO ARKLATEX/SE OK TODAY/TNGT...
WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE WITH TIME OVER THE
SRN PLNS/ARKLATEX...DOWNSTREAM FROM DEVELOPING UPR TROUGH AND ON
BACK SIDE OF RETREATING ARCTIC SFC RIDGE COVERING THE CNTRL AND ERN
U.S. OVERALL...HOWEVER...CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY WILL REMAIN COMPARATIVELY MODEST OVER THE REGION...WITH
PW LIKELY REMAINING AOB 1 INCH UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD.
THUNDER POTENTIAL WITH BAND OF ELEVATED CONVECTION ATTM EXTENDING
FROM SE TX INTO ERN AR SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TODAY AS THE
ASSOCIATED UPR IMPULSE NOW CROSSING THE ARKLATEX FURTHER WEAKENS AND
SYSTEM CONTINUES ENE INTO DRIER AIR. TSTM CHANCES
SHOULD...HOWEVER...INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS SSWLY LLJ OVER THE
SRN PLNS STRENGTHENS WITH THE APPROACH OF AMPLIFYING UPR TROUGH.
THIS SHOULD LEAD TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY
MORE ROBUST WARM CONVEYOR BELT CONVECTION...THIS ONE ORIENTED FROM
THE TX HILL COUNTRY NNE INTO S CNTRL/SE OK. SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY
THE STRONGER/MORE SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS...ESPECIALLY TOWARD 12Z FRI
OVER N TX AND THE RED RVR VLY...WHERE MUCAPE MAY REACH 750 J/KG AND
MODERATE TO STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL CLOUD-LAYER FLOW WILL EXIST.
...SERN FL THIS AFTN...
OBSERVATIONS SHOW RESIDUAL SHALLOW COOL AIR LAYER CONTINUING TO
MODIFY OVER THE REGION...WITH ASSOCIATED SFC BOUNDARY BECOMING MORE
DIFFUSE OVER THE FL STRAITS. THESE TRENDS...ALONG WITH FURTHER
MOISTENING...SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. MID-LVL LAPSE RATES
WILL REMAIN WEAK AND LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT NEGLIGIBLE. BUT
GIVEN VERY WEAK CINH DEPICTED IN LOCAL SOUNDINGS...COMBINATION OF
INCREASING MOISTURE...WEAK FRONTAL UPLIFT...AND MODEST SFC HEATING
MAY ALLOW EXISTING CONVECTION TO SUFFICIENTLY DEEPEN TO YIELD ISOLD
TO PERHAPS WDLY SCTD THUNDER LATER TODAY.
..CORFIDI/BROYLES.. 01/09/2014
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KPIH [091629]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091629
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
929 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0926 AM SNOW S ASHTON 44.07N 111.45W
01/09/2014 M7.0 INCH FREMONT ID TRAINED SPOTTER
OVERNIGHT SNOW AMOUNT AND STILL SNOWING.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
929 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0926 AM SNOW S ASHTON 44.07N 111.45W
01/09/2014 M7.0 INCH FREMONT ID TRAINED SPOTTER
OVERNIGHT SNOW AMOUNT AND STILL SNOWING.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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KLSX [091600]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 091600
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1000 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM SNOW FENTON 38.54N 90.45W
01/09/2014 M1.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1000 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM SNOW FENTON 38.54N 90.45W
01/09/2014 M1.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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KOTX [091552]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KOTX 091552
LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
752 AM PST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0751 AM HEAVY SNOW SSW METALINE FALLS 48.86N 117.37W
01/09/2014 U5.0 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL
&&
$$
SVANHORN
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LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
752 AM PST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0751 AM HEAVY SNOW SSW METALINE FALLS 48.86N 117.37W
01/09/2014 U5.0 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL
&&
$$
SVANHORN
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KPUB [091551]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPUB 091551
LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
851 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0755 AM SNOW MONARCH PASS 38.50N 106.33W
01/09/2014 M3.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO PUBLIC
SNOW SINCE WED AFTN
&&
$$
LW
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LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
851 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0755 AM SNOW MONARCH PASS 38.50N 106.33W
01/09/2014 M3.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO PUBLIC
SNOW SINCE WED AFTN
&&
$$
LW
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KPIH [091547]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091547
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
847 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0846 AM SNOW 4 NW BELLEVUE 43.52N 114.31W
01/09/2014 M2.5 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER
24-HOUR SNOWFAL. SNOW HAS JUST ENDED.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
847 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0846 AM SNOW 4 NW BELLEVUE 43.52N 114.31W
01/09/2014 M2.5 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER
24-HOUR SNOWFAL. SNOW HAS JUST ENDED.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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KPHI [091533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS51 KPHI 091533
LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1031 AM EST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM FLOOD TRENTON 40.22N 74.76W
01/08/2014 MERCER NJ COUNTY OFFICIAL
FLOODING AT ROUTE 29 AND MARKET STREET. FLOODING ALSO
REPORTED AT THE LOWER STATE HOUSE PARKING LOT ADJACENT
TO THE RIVER. THIS IS DUE TO AN ICE JAM ON THE DELAWARE
RIVER NEAR TRENTON.
0200 PM FLOOD MORRISVILLE 40.21N 74.78W
01/08/2014 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR
RIVER ROAD IS CLOSED BETWEEN BLACK ROAD IN LOWER
MAKEFIELD TOWNSHIP AND EAST TRENTON AVENUE IN
MORRISVILLE BOROUGH DUE TO ICE JAM FLOODING.
0345 PM FLOOD WEST EASTON 40.68N 75.24W
01/08/2014 NORTHAMPTON PA EMERGENCY MNGR
LEHIGH DRIVE IS CLOSED BETWEEN ADAMSON STREET AND THE
300 BLOCK OF LEHIGH DRIVE IN WEST EASTON BOROUGH. AN ICE
JAM FORMED ON THE LEHIGH RIVER NEAR THE CONFLUENCE WITH
THE DELAWARE RIVER CAUSING WATER TO RISE.
0600 PM FLOOD TRENTON 40.22N 74.76W
01/08/2014 MERCER NJ BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOOD WATERS FROM AN ICE JAM ON THE DELAWARE RIVER
QUICKLY ICED OVER WHICH SHUT DOWN ROUTE 29 BETWEEN
CALHOUN AND WARREN STREETS.
0635 PM FLOOD WEST EASTON 40.68N 75.24W
01/08/2014 NORTHAMPTON PA COUNTY OFFICIAL
COUNTY EMERGENCY DISPATCHERS REPORTED A VEHICLE BECAME
STUCK IN 4 FEET OF ICY WATER ON LEHIGH DRIVE. A FIRE
RESCUE TEAM WAS CALLED TO THE SCENE WITH ONE PERSON
FREED FROM THE VEHICLE.
0530 AM FLOOD YARDLEY 40.24N 74.85W
01/09/2014 BUCKS PA NEWSPAPER
ROUTE 32 NORTH IN YARDLEY IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
FROM AN ICE JAM ON THE DELAWARE RIVER.
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1400001 PHI1400002 PHI1400006 PHI1400005 PHI1400004
PHI1400003
$$
GORSE
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LSRPHI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1031 AM EST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM FLOOD TRENTON 40.22N 74.76W
01/08/2014 MERCER NJ COUNTY OFFICIAL
FLOODING AT ROUTE 29 AND MARKET STREET. FLOODING ALSO
REPORTED AT THE LOWER STATE HOUSE PARKING LOT ADJACENT
TO THE RIVER. THIS IS DUE TO AN ICE JAM ON THE DELAWARE
RIVER NEAR TRENTON.
0200 PM FLOOD MORRISVILLE 40.21N 74.78W
01/08/2014 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR
RIVER ROAD IS CLOSED BETWEEN BLACK ROAD IN LOWER
MAKEFIELD TOWNSHIP AND EAST TRENTON AVENUE IN
MORRISVILLE BOROUGH DUE TO ICE JAM FLOODING.
0345 PM FLOOD WEST EASTON 40.68N 75.24W
01/08/2014 NORTHAMPTON PA EMERGENCY MNGR
LEHIGH DRIVE IS CLOSED BETWEEN ADAMSON STREET AND THE
300 BLOCK OF LEHIGH DRIVE IN WEST EASTON BOROUGH. AN ICE
JAM FORMED ON THE LEHIGH RIVER NEAR THE CONFLUENCE WITH
THE DELAWARE RIVER CAUSING WATER TO RISE.
0600 PM FLOOD TRENTON 40.22N 74.76W
01/08/2014 MERCER NJ BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOOD WATERS FROM AN ICE JAM ON THE DELAWARE RIVER
QUICKLY ICED OVER WHICH SHUT DOWN ROUTE 29 BETWEEN
CALHOUN AND WARREN STREETS.
0635 PM FLOOD WEST EASTON 40.68N 75.24W
01/08/2014 NORTHAMPTON PA COUNTY OFFICIAL
COUNTY EMERGENCY DISPATCHERS REPORTED A VEHICLE BECAME
STUCK IN 4 FEET OF ICY WATER ON LEHIGH DRIVE. A FIRE
RESCUE TEAM WAS CALLED TO THE SCENE WITH ONE PERSON
FREED FROM THE VEHICLE.
0530 AM FLOOD YARDLEY 40.24N 74.85W
01/09/2014 BUCKS PA NEWSPAPER
ROUTE 32 NORTH IN YARDLEY IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
FROM AN ICE JAM ON THE DELAWARE RIVER.
&&
EVENT NUMBER PHI1400001 PHI1400002 PHI1400006 PHI1400005 PHI1400004
PHI1400003
$$
GORSE
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KPIH [091526]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091526
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
825 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0825 AM SNOW 5 WSW GANNETT 43.33N 114.27W
01/09/2014 M2.0 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER
24-HOUR SNOWFALL. SNOW APPEARS TO BE ENDING AT THIS TIME.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
825 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0825 AM SNOW 5 WSW GANNETT 43.33N 114.27W
01/09/2014 M2.0 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER
24-HOUR SNOWFALL. SNOW APPEARS TO BE ENDING AT THIS TIME.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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KPIH [091515]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091515
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
815 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0809 AM SNOW 2 NNW DIETRICH 42.95N 114.28W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN ID TRAINED SPOTTER
24-HOUR TOTAL SNOWFALL. 3/4 INCHES HAS FALLEN THIS
MORNING. VISIBILITY REDUCED TO 200 YARDS IN FOG AT THIS
TIME.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
815 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0809 AM SNOW 2 NNW DIETRICH 42.95N 114.28W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN ID TRAINED SPOTTER
24-HOUR TOTAL SNOWFALL. 3/4 INCHES HAS FALLEN THIS
MORNING. VISIBILITY REDUCED TO 200 YARDS IN FOG AT THIS
TIME.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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KPIH [091510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPIH 091510
LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
810 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0809 AM SNOW IDAHO FALLS 43.49N 112.04W
01/09/2014 M1.5 INCH BONNEVILLE ID COCORAHS
24-HR SNOWFALL. LIQUID WATER CONTENT MEASURED 0.20
INCHES.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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LSRPIH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
810 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0809 AM SNOW IDAHO FALLS 43.49N 112.04W
01/09/2014 M1.5 INCH BONNEVILLE ID COCORAHS
24-HR SNOWFALL. LIQUID WATER CONTENT MEASURED 0.20
INCHES.
&&
$$
GWICKLUN
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KLSX [091457]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 091457
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
857 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW WARRENTON 38.82N 91.14W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH WARREN MO CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
857 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW WARRENTON 38.82N 91.14W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH WARREN MO CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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KDLH [091455]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDLH 091455
LSRDLH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
855 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM SNOW 2 NE LUTSEN 47.66N 90.68W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH COOK MN TRAINED SPOTTER
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AT OBSERVATION
&&
$$
SGOHDE
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LSRDLH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
855 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM SNOW 2 NE LUTSEN 47.66N 90.68W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH COOK MN TRAINED SPOTTER
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AT OBSERVATION
&&
$$
SGOHDE
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KLSX [091446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 091446
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
846 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW LEBANON 38.60N 89.81W
01/09/2014 M1.3 INCH ST. CLAIR IL CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
846 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW LEBANON 38.60N 89.81W
01/09/2014 M1.3 INCH ST. CLAIR IL CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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KOTX [091426]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KOTX 091426
LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
626 AM PST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0412 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 E CHEWELAH 48.29N 117.58W
01/09/2014 E9.0 INCH STEVENS WA PUBLIC
49 DEGREES NORTH SKI RESORT
0506 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 NW SANDPOINT 48.33N 116.64W
01/09/2014 E10.0 INCH BONNER ID PUBLIC
SCHWEITZER SKI RESORT
0511 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 N NEWMAN LAKE 47.92N 117.09W
01/09/2014 E11.0 INCH SPOKANE WA PUBLIC
MOUNT SPOKANE SKI RESORT
0523 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 S MULLAN 47.41N 115.79W
01/09/2014 E9.0 INCH SHOSHONE ID PUBLIC
LOOKOUT PASS SKI RESORT
&&
$$
GKOCH
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LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
626 AM PST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0412 AM HEAVY SNOW 7 E CHEWELAH 48.29N 117.58W
01/09/2014 E9.0 INCH STEVENS WA PUBLIC
49 DEGREES NORTH SKI RESORT
0506 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 NW SANDPOINT 48.33N 116.64W
01/09/2014 E10.0 INCH BONNER ID PUBLIC
SCHWEITZER SKI RESORT
0511 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 N NEWMAN LAKE 47.92N 117.09W
01/09/2014 E11.0 INCH SPOKANE WA PUBLIC
MOUNT SPOKANE SKI RESORT
0523 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 S MULLAN 47.41N 115.79W
01/09/2014 E9.0 INCH SHOSHONE ID PUBLIC
LOOKOUT PASS SKI RESORT
&&
$$
GKOCH
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KLSX [091425]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 091425
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
825 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW EDWARDSVILLE 38.80N 89.97W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH MADISON IL CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
825 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW EDWARDSVILLE 38.80N 89.97W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH MADISON IL CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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KMSO [091425]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 091425
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
724 AM MST THU JAN 9 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0724 AM SNOW 5 NW EAST PORTAL 47.45N 115.70W
01/09/2014 M8.0 INCH MINERAL MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION 5
MI ESE OF MULLAN
0721 AM FREEZING RAIN HAMILTON 46.25N 114.16W
01/09/2014 E0.00 INCH RAVALLI MT PUBLIC
FATALITY FROM SLICK ROADS FREEZING RAIN
DURATION 12 HOURS
&&
$$
NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
724 AM MST THU JAN 9 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0724 AM SNOW 5 NW EAST PORTAL 47.45N 115.70W
01/09/2014 M8.0 INCH MINERAL MT PUBLIC
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION 5
MI ESE OF MULLAN
0721 AM FREEZING RAIN HAMILTON 46.25N 114.16W
01/09/2014 E0.00 INCH RAVALLI MT PUBLIC
FATALITY FROM SLICK ROADS FREEZING RAIN
DURATION 12 HOURS
&&
$$
NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM
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KPDT [091414]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KPDT 091414
LSRPDT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
613 AM PST THU JAN 9 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0603 AM SNOW 17 SSE DAYTON 46.08N 117.85W
01/09/2014 M9.0 INCH COLUMBIA WA TRAINED SPOTTER
SKI BLUEWOOD SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER
LOCATION 20 S OF DAYTON 4 N OF OREGON
BORDER. PHONE IS AT DOWNTOWN OFFICE.
0611 AM SNOW 35 NW WALLOWA 45.98N 117.95W
01/09/2014 E7.0 INCH WALLOWA OR MESONET
MILKSHAKES SNOTEL SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
&&
$$
NWS PENDLETON OR
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRPDT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
613 AM PST THU JAN 9 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0603 AM SNOW 17 SSE DAYTON 46.08N 117.85W
01/09/2014 M9.0 INCH COLUMBIA WA TRAINED SPOTTER
SKI BLUEWOOD SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER
LOCATION 20 S OF DAYTON 4 N OF OREGON
BORDER. PHONE IS AT DOWNTOWN OFFICE.
0611 AM SNOW 35 NW WALLOWA 45.98N 117.95W
01/09/2014 E7.0 INCH WALLOWA OR MESONET
MILKSHAKES SNOTEL SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS
&&
$$
NWS PENDLETON OR
IRIS SYSTEM
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KLSX [091413]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 091413
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
813 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW RED BUD 38.21N 90.00W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH RANDOLPH IL CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
813 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW RED BUD 38.21N 90.00W
01/09/2014 M1.0 INCH RANDOLPH IL CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
GOSSELIN
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KGJT [091404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KGJT 091404
LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
703 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0656 AM SNOW RED MOUNTAIN PASS 37.90N 107.70W
01/09/2014 E3.5 INCH OURAY CO CAIC
48 HOUR STORM TOTAL... 1.5 INCHES ON OTHER SAN JUAN
PASSES
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1400054
$$
DC
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LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
703 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0656 AM SNOW RED MOUNTAIN PASS 37.90N 107.70W
01/09/2014 E3.5 INCH OURAY CO CAIC
48 HOUR STORM TOTAL... 1.5 INCHES ON OTHER SAN JUAN
PASSES
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1400054
$$
DC
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KMQT [091403]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMQT 091403
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
903 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 AM SNOW 1 ESE GRAND MARAIS 46.66N 85.96W
01/09/2014 M4.2 INCH ALGER MI COOP OBSERVER
SNOW DEPTH IS 35 INCHES. SNOW DURATION 24
HOURS
&&
$$
NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
903 AM EST THU JAN 9 2014
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 AM SNOW 1 ESE GRAND MARAIS 46.66N 85.96W
01/09/2014 M4.2 INCH ALGER MI COOP OBSERVER
SNOW DEPTH IS 35 INCHES. SNOW DURATION 24
HOURS
&&
$$
NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM
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KLSX [091403]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 091403
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
803 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 AM SNOW 2 S SMITHTON 38.38N 89.99W
01/09/2014 M0.7 INCH ST. CLAIR IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MILLER
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
803 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 AM SNOW 2 S SMITHTON 38.38N 89.99W
01/09/2014 M0.7 INCH ST. CLAIR IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
MILLER
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KGJT [091401]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KGJT 091401
LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
701 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0656 AM SNOW SILVERTON 37.81N 107.66W
01/09/2014 E1.0 INCH SAN JUAN CO CAIC
24 HOUR SNOWFALL
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1400053
$$
DC
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LSRGJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
701 AM MST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0656 AM SNOW SILVERTON 37.81N 107.66W
01/09/2014 E1.0 INCH SAN JUAN CO CAIC
24 HOUR SNOWFALL
&&
EVENT NUMBER GJT1400053
$$
DC
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KIWX [091358]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KIWX 091358
LSRIWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
858 AM EST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM SNOW SAINT JOSEPH 42.11N 86.48W
01/09/2014 M0.8 INCH BERRIEN MI TRAINED SPOTTER
20 INCH SNOW DEPTH...3 INCH WATER EQUIVALENT
&&
$$
PBM
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LSRIWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
858 AM EST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM SNOW SAINT JOSEPH 42.11N 86.48W
01/09/2014 M0.8 INCH BERRIEN MI TRAINED SPOTTER
20 INCH SNOW DEPTH...3 INCH WATER EQUIVALENT
&&
$$
PBM
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KLSX [091016]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 091016
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
416 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 AM SNOW WENTZVILLE 38.81N 90.86W
01/09/2014 E0.5 INCH ST. CHARLES MO PUBLIC
RELAYED VIA KSDK
&&
$$
MILLER
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
416 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 AM SNOW WENTZVILLE 38.81N 90.86W
01/09/2014 E0.5 INCH ST. CHARLES MO PUBLIC
RELAYED VIA KSDK
&&
$$
MILLER
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KLSX [090941]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLSX 090941
LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
341 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 AM SNOW ST. LOUIS 38.64N 90.24W
01/09/2014 M0.5 INCH ST. LOUIS CITY MO TRAINED SPOTTER
SOULARD
&&
$$
MILLER
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LSRLSX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
341 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 AM SNOW ST. LOUIS 38.64N 90.24W
01/09/2014 M0.5 INCH ST. LOUIS CITY MO TRAINED SPOTTER
SOULARD
&&
$$
MILLER
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KMEG [090804]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMEG 090804
LSRMEG
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
204 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 AM SLEET 4 SE JACKSON 35.59N 88.78W
01/09/2014 M0.10 INCH MADISON TN CO-OP OBSERVER
ROADS STARTING TO GET SLICK.
&&
$$
JAB
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LSRMEG
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
204 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 AM SLEET 4 SE JACKSON 35.59N 88.78W
01/09/2014 M0.10 INCH MADISON TN CO-OP OBSERVER
ROADS STARTING TO GET SLICK.
&&
$$
JAB
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 090702
SWODY2
SPC AC 090700
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A VERY PROGRESSIVE/INCREASINGLY AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE CONUS ON FRIDAY. IN PARTICULAR...AN UPPER
TROUGH/STRENGTHENING POLAR JET ARE EXPECTED TO MAKE A GENERAL
EASTWARD TRANSITION FROM THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES TO MO RIVER
VALLEY/ARKLATEX BY EARLY SATURDAY. PRIMARY ASSOCIATED SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS IS LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE MO VALLEY/UPPER
MIDWEST...WITH A COLD FRONT ACCELERATING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/ARKLATEX TO LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY.
...NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL TX FRI AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...
AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT...AMPLE
FORCING FOR ASCENT/MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL LEAD TO PREVALENT
SHOWERS/EMBEDDED TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/OZARKS FRIDAY
MORNING. ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THIS EARLY DAY ACTIVITY...THE AIR
MASS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY MOISTEN WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR
ACROSS MUCH OF EAST-CENTRAL TX.
ALTHOUGH THE EXACT EXTENSIVENESS/IMPACTS OF EARLY DAY CONVECTION ARE
UNCERTAIN...THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER COULD
MODESTLY DESTABILIZE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AHEAD OF THE
ADVANCING COLD FRONT. IT APPEARS THAT UP TO AROUND 500 J/KG OF
MLCAPE MAY BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS
NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL TX...WITH SUBSEQUENT DEVELOPMENT OF
NEAR-SURFACE BASED TSTMS POSSIBLE. CONTINGENT UPON THIS...MORE THAN
SUFFICIENT FORCING/VERTICAL SHEAR COULD CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST A FEW
STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS. SUCH A RISK COULD INCLUDE DAMAGING
WINDS...A BRIEF TORNADO...AND SEVERE HAIL PENDING A SUFFICIENTLY
FAVORABLE /NON-LINEAR/ CONVECTIVE MODE. REGARDLESS...GIVEN
INSTABILITY UNCERTAINTIES AND THE MODEST MAGNITUDE THEREOF...THE
OVERALL SEVERE RISK IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MARGINAL/ISOLATED IN NATURE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL TX.
...LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES FRI NIGHT...
INLAND CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES ARE EXPECTED TO STEADILY ABATE
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AN INCREASINGLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN INLAND-DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR. BUT GIVEN CURRENT
OBSERVATIONAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...UNCERTAINTY
PERSISTS RELATED TO THE EXACT DEGREE/QUALITY OF MOISTURE RETURN AND
TIMING THEREOF. ESPECIALLY WITH INCREASING INLAND PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY NIGHT...THIS HAS ASSOCIATED RAMIFICATIONS ON AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY...WHICH SHOULD REMAIN MODEST REGARDLESS /500 J PER KG
MLCAPE OR LESS/ AND RELEGATED TO NEAR-COASTAL AREAS /WITHIN 75-100
MILES OF THE GULF OF MEXICO/. WHERE SUFFICIENT MOISTENING DOES OCCUR
FRIDAY NIGHT /ROUGHLY AT LEAST 64F DEWPOINTS/ AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH...THIS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME NEAR-SURFACE
BASED TSTMS IN THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF THE REGION.
ACCORDINGLY...A CONDITIONAL/ISOLATED POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A TORNADO RISK FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY
GIVEN THE EXPECTED STRENGTHENING AND MAGNITUDE OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR/LOW-LEVEL SRH.
..GUYER.. 01/09/2014
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SWODY2
SPC AC 090700
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CST THU JAN 09 2014
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A VERY PROGRESSIVE/INCREASINGLY AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE CONUS ON FRIDAY. IN PARTICULAR...AN UPPER
TROUGH/STRENGTHENING POLAR JET ARE EXPECTED TO MAKE A GENERAL
EASTWARD TRANSITION FROM THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES TO MO RIVER
VALLEY/ARKLATEX BY EARLY SATURDAY. PRIMARY ASSOCIATED SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS IS LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE MO VALLEY/UPPER
MIDWEST...WITH A COLD FRONT ACCELERATING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/ARKLATEX TO LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY.
...NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL TX FRI AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...
AHEAD OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT...AMPLE
FORCING FOR ASCENT/MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL LEAD TO PREVALENT
SHOWERS/EMBEDDED TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/OZARKS FRIDAY
MORNING. ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THIS EARLY DAY ACTIVITY...THE AIR
MASS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY MOISTEN WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR
ACROSS MUCH OF EAST-CENTRAL TX.
ALTHOUGH THE EXACT EXTENSIVENESS/IMPACTS OF EARLY DAY CONVECTION ARE
UNCERTAIN...THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER COULD
MODESTLY DESTABILIZE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AHEAD OF THE
ADVANCING COLD FRONT. IT APPEARS THAT UP TO AROUND 500 J/KG OF
MLCAPE MAY BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS
NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL TX...WITH SUBSEQUENT DEVELOPMENT OF
NEAR-SURFACE BASED TSTMS POSSIBLE. CONTINGENT UPON THIS...MORE THAN
SUFFICIENT FORCING/VERTICAL SHEAR COULD CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST A FEW
STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS. SUCH A RISK COULD INCLUDE DAMAGING
WINDS...A BRIEF TORNADO...AND SEVERE HAIL PENDING A SUFFICIENTLY
FAVORABLE /NON-LINEAR/ CONVECTIVE MODE. REGARDLESS...GIVEN
INSTABILITY UNCERTAINTIES AND THE MODEST MAGNITUDE THEREOF...THE
OVERALL SEVERE RISK IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MARGINAL/ISOLATED IN NATURE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL/EAST-CENTRAL TX.
...LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES FRI NIGHT...
INLAND CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES ARE EXPECTED TO STEADILY ABATE
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AN INCREASINGLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN
ASSOCIATION WITH AN INLAND-DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR. BUT GIVEN CURRENT
OBSERVATIONAL CHARACTERISTICS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...UNCERTAINTY
PERSISTS RELATED TO THE EXACT DEGREE/QUALITY OF MOISTURE RETURN AND
TIMING THEREOF. ESPECIALLY WITH INCREASING INLAND PRECIPITATION
FRIDAY NIGHT...THIS HAS ASSOCIATED RAMIFICATIONS ON AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY...WHICH SHOULD REMAIN MODEST REGARDLESS /500 J PER KG
MLCAPE OR LESS/ AND RELEGATED TO NEAR-COASTAL AREAS /WITHIN 75-100
MILES OF THE GULF OF MEXICO/. WHERE SUFFICIENT MOISTENING DOES OCCUR
FRIDAY NIGHT /ROUGHLY AT LEAST 64F DEWPOINTS/ AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH...THIS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME NEAR-SURFACE
BASED TSTMS IN THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS OF THE REGION.
ACCORDINGLY...A CONDITIONAL/ISOLATED POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A TORNADO RISK FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY
GIVEN THE EXPECTED STRENGTHENING AND MAGNITUDE OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR/LOW-LEVEL SRH.
..GUYER.. 01/09/2014
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 090510
SWODY1
SPC AC 090508
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 PM CST WED JAN 08 2014
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE LOW AMPLITUDE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL PERSIST MOST OF
THURSDAY. VORTICITY MAXIMUM NOW OVER WRN TX WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE REACHING THE OH VALLEY
THURSDAY NIGHT. A MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING INTO
THE PACIFIC NW WILL AMPLIFY SEWD...REACHING THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS
THURSDAY NIGHT. A LEE TROUGH WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE PLAINS
DURING THE DAY.
...ARKLATEX REGION...
DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE PROGRESSIVE SRN PLAINS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL OVERTAKE THETA-E ADVECTION ALONG A SSWLY LLJ
EARLY THURSDAY...LIKELY RESULTING IN WEAK BUT SUFFICIENT ELEVATED
INSTABILITY FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ARKLATEX AREA. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD UNDERGO A GRADUAL DECREASE TOWARD MID-DAY AS THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ZONE OF ASCENT SHIFT EAST OF THE MOIST AXIS.
...NWRN TX THROUGH SRN OK...
SLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN THURSDAY NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROGRESSIVE...AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH AND
DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH. A PLUME OF STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
ADVECT EWD ABOVE THE CORRIDOR OF LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION
CONTRIBUTING TO AN AXIS OF MODEST INSTABILITY. IT APPEARS LIKELY THE
ATMOSPHERE MAY REMAIN CAPPED TO DEEPER CONVECTION UNTIL VERY LATE IN
THE PERIOD WHEN INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL
CONFLUENT REGIME MAY WEAKEN THE CAP SUFFICIENTLY FOR A FEW ELEVATED
STORMS TO DEVELOP.
..DIAL/COHEN.. 01/09/2014
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SWODY1
SPC AC 090508
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 PM CST WED JAN 08 2014
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE LOW AMPLITUDE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL PERSIST MOST OF
THURSDAY. VORTICITY MAXIMUM NOW OVER WRN TX WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY THURSDAY BEFORE REACHING THE OH VALLEY
THURSDAY NIGHT. A MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING INTO
THE PACIFIC NW WILL AMPLIFY SEWD...REACHING THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS
THURSDAY NIGHT. A LEE TROUGH WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE PLAINS
DURING THE DAY.
...ARKLATEX REGION...
DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE PROGRESSIVE SRN PLAINS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL OVERTAKE THETA-E ADVECTION ALONG A SSWLY LLJ
EARLY THURSDAY...LIKELY RESULTING IN WEAK BUT SUFFICIENT ELEVATED
INSTABILITY FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ARKLATEX AREA. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD UNDERGO A GRADUAL DECREASE TOWARD MID-DAY AS THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ZONE OF ASCENT SHIFT EAST OF THE MOIST AXIS.
...NWRN TX THROUGH SRN OK...
SLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN THURSDAY NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE PROGRESSIVE...AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH AND
DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH. A PLUME OF STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
ADVECT EWD ABOVE THE CORRIDOR OF LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION
CONTRIBUTING TO AN AXIS OF MODEST INSTABILITY. IT APPEARS LIKELY THE
ATMOSPHERE MAY REMAIN CAPPED TO DEEPER CONVECTION UNTIL VERY LATE IN
THE PERIOD WHEN INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN THE LOW-LEVEL
CONFLUENT REGIME MAY WEAKEN THE CAP SUFFICIENTLY FOR A FEW ELEVATED
STORMS TO DEVELOP.
..DIAL/COHEN.. 01/09/2014
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"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
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