KLWX [150335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 150335
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1135 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0503 PM TORNADO 2 SE MIDLAND 38.59N 77.70W
10/13/2011 FAUQUIER VA NWS STORM SURVEY

LARGE BARN FLATTENED. ANOTHER BARN WITH ROOF DAMAGE.
PORCH BLOWN OFF A HOUSE. SEVERAL TREES SNAPPED OR
UPROOTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101977

$$

STRONG

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KLWX [150311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 150311
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1111 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0522 PM TORNADO 1 NNE AQUIA 38.49N 77.38W
10/13/2011 STAFFORD VA NWS STORM SURVEY

A SURVEY REVEALED DAMAGE TO ROOFING...HOME SIDING...A
FENCE...MANY TREES AND ROAD SIGNS ALONG A PATH IN
NORTHERN STAFFORD AND FAR SOUTHERN PRINCE WILLIAM
COUNTIES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101976

$$

KRAMAR

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KLWX [150304]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KLWX 150304
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1104 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0529 PM TORNADO 2 WSW TRIANGLE 38.53N 77.36W
10/13/2011 PRINCE WILLIAM VA NWS STORM SURVEY

TORNADO CONFIRMED BY VIDEO CROSSING INTERSTATE 95S.
SURVEY CONDUCTED TODAY REVEALED DAMAGE EXCLUSIVELY TO
TREES ALONG A PATH FROM INTERSTATE 95 JUST NORTH OF THE
ENTRANCE TO QUANTICO TO JUST NORTH OF JOPLIN RD

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME...LOCATION...REMARKS...SOURCE

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101969

$$

KRAMAR

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KLWX [150211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 150211
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1010 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1102 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSW ABINGDON 39.45N 76.28W
10/14/2011 HARFORD MD PUBLIC

15 FT PINE TREE DOWN...SOME SIDING DAMAGE TO MOBILE
HOMES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101975

$$

KRAMAR

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KALY [150135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KALY 150135
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
935 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0334 PM FLASH FLOOD MANHEIM CENTER 43.05N 74.79W
10/14/2011 HERKIMER NY 911 CALL CENTER

WASHOUT OF HILLSIDE ONTO ROAD. WASHOUT OF ROAD AS WELL
DUE TO MOVING WATER.

0340 PM FLASH FLOOD MANHEIM CENTER 43.05N 74.79W
10/14/2011 HERKIMER NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

WASHOUT OF ROAD AND DRIVEWAY ON MINER ROAD.

0525 PM FLASH FLOOD SALISBURY CENTER 43.14N 74.79W
10/14/2011 HERKIMER NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

PORTION OF THOMPSON ROAD WASHED OUT EAST OF ROUTE 170A.

0540 PM TSTM WND DMG GREENVILLE CENTER 42.39N 74.00W
10/14/2011 GREENE NY EMERGENCY MNGR

HVAC UNIT BLOWN OFF ROOF...WITH ROOF MATERIAL BLOWN OFF
AT SUNNY HILL RESORT.

&&

$$

KLIPTON

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KMQT [150127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 150127
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
927 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LAC LA BELLE 47.38N 88.02W
10/14/2011 KEWEENAW MI FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

18-INCH TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD AT FIRE STATION. ALSO
REPORTED SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES NEAR EAGLE
HARBOR.

&&

$$

JMWIX

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KLWX [150031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 150031
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
830 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM TORNADO 1 NNE NASONS 38.28N 78.02W
10/13/2011 ORANGE VA NWS STORM SURVEY

A NARROW PATH OF TREE DAMAGE WAS DISCOVERED FROM NEAR
STATE ROUTE 628 TO NEAR STATE ROUTE 627.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101974

$$

KRAMAR

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KLWX [150028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 150028
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
827 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM TORNADO 2 NNE CLIFTON 38.81N 77.38W
10/13/2011 FAIRFAX VA NWS STORM SURVEY

A PATH OF SPORADIC DAMAGE WAS DISCOVERED FROM THE
COLCHESTER AREA TO NEAR FOREST HILLS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101973

$$

KRAMAR

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KBOX [142335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 142335
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
735 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0103 PM FLOOD WEST SPRINGFIELD 42.12N 72.65W
10/14/2011 HAMPDEN MA BROADCAST MEDIA

MINOR STREET FLOODING ON RIVERDALE STREET AND SAWMILL
ROAD.

0506 PM FLOOD FOXBORO 42.06N 71.25W
10/14/2011 NORFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

3-4 INCHES OF WATER ON ELM ROAD AND LEDGEVILLE ROAD.

0624 PM FLOOD CAMBRIDGE 42.38N 71.12W
10/14/2011 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

STREET FLOODING ON ROUTE 2 NEAR THE ALEWIFE MBTA
STATION.

0625 PM FLOOD BILLERICA 42.55N 71.27W
10/14/2011 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

ROUTE 129 FLOODED...RESULTING IN MINOR TRAFFIC
PROBLEMS.

0637 PM FLOOD LAWRENCE 42.70N 71.16W
10/14/2011 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

FLOOD WATERS HALFWAY UP THE CAR TIRES ON HOLLY AND
DAISY STREETS.

&&

$$

RLG

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KMQT [142129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 142129
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
529 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FREDA 47.13N 88.82W
10/14/2011 M47 MPH HOUGHTON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JMWIX

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KALY [142010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 142010
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
409 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0334 PM FLASH FLOOD MANHEIM CENTER 43.05N 74.79W
10/14/2011 HERKIMER NY 911 CALL CENTER

WASHOUT OF HILLSIDE ONTO ROAD. WASHOUT OF ROAD AS WELL
DUE TO MOVING WATER.

&&

$$

JPV

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141905
SWODY1
SPC AC 141904

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0204 PM CDT FRI OCT 14 2011

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NJ INTO SERN NY AND INTO
SRN NEW ENGLAND...

NO CHANGES REQUIRED TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.

WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT RISK DRIVEN BY WIND AS STORMS TRAVEL ACROSS NJ
NY AND INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. INSTABILITY REMAINS MARGINAL BUT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SOME SMALL SCALE ORGANIZATION WITH A
POTENTIAL OF STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER...THE
THREAT WILL LIKELY END BY EARLY EVENING.

..JEWELL.. 10/14/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1118 AM CDT FRI OCT 14 2011/

...NORTHEAST STATES...
A STRONG AND NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST UNITED STATES TODAY. DEEP SOUTHERLY TROPOSPHERIC FLOW
AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL AFFECT MUCH OF NY/NEW ENGLAND
TODAY...HELPING TO TRANSPORT A RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS NORTHWARD.
SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 60S WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD UP THE
HUDSON VALLEY AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER OVER THIS REGION...BUT
OCCASIONAL BREAKS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON PROVIDING MARGINAL
DIURNAL HEATING. NEVERTHELESS...INSTABILITY TODAY WILL BE QUITE
WEAK.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM ALONG THE
PRIMARY BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER EASTERN PA. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW 40-50 KNOT SOUTHERLY FLOW FROM
850MB UPWARD...ALONG WITH SOME WEAK CURVATURE IN THE LOWEST 2KM.
THIS SUGGESTS SOME CONCERN FOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES IN THE MORE
PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS. AN ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...BUT IT APPEARS THE MOST LIKELY THREAT TODAY WOULD BE FROM
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS ALONG BOWING LINE SEGMENTS. GIVEN INCREASING
RADAR TRENDS AND FAVORABLE TIMING OF UPPER SYSTEM...HAVE OPTED TO
UPGRADE A SMALL AREA TO SLIGHT RISK. THE THREAT SHOULD END LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AS DAYTIME HEATING SUBSIDES AND STORMS MOVE INTO A
SLIGHTLY DRIER BOUNDARY LAYER OVER EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

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KILN [141745]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 141745
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
145 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 PM HAIL GOSHEN 39.23N 84.16W
10/14/2011 E0.25 INCH CLERMONT OH PUBLIC

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

&&

$$

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KILN [141738]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 141738
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
138 PM EDT FRI OCT 14 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0106 PM HAIL FOREST PARK 39.29N 84.53W
10/14/2011 E0.50 INCH HAMILTON OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

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