KABQ [030343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KABQ 030343
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
943 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM TSTM WND GST 2 ESE SAN FELIPE PUEBLO 35.42N 106.40W
10/02/2010 M70 MPH SANDOVAL NM TRAINED SPOTTER

THUNDERSTORM GUST OF 70 MPH.

0618 PM HAIL 1 NE PLACITAS 35.32N 106.41W
10/02/2010 M1.00 INCH SANDOVAL NM FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0650 PM HAIL SANDIA PARK 35.17N 106.36W
10/02/2010 M1.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM AMATEUR RADIO

0702 PM HAIL 4 NE TIJERAS 35.13N 106.32W
10/02/2010 M2.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

HAIL BROKE HIS SKYLIGHT AND DAMAGED SHINGLES.

0705 PM HAIL 5 E TIJERAS 35.09N 106.29W
10/02/2010 M1.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM AMATEUR RADIO

10 MINUTES OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL. BROKE SKYLIGHTS IN
ROOF.

0707 PM HAIL SEDILLO 35.10N 106.29W
10/02/2010 E1.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

QUARTERS SIZED HAIL STARTED AT 0702PM.

0710 PM HAIL SEDILLO 35.10N 106.29W
10/02/2010 M1.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

0715 PM HAIL 3 NNE SEDILLO 35.14N 106.28W
10/02/2010 M0.88 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0720 PM HAIL 1 WSW SEDILLO 35.09N 106.31W
10/02/2010 E0.88 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL STARTED AT 0715 PM.

0720 PM HAIL 5 E TIJERAS 35.09N 106.29W
10/02/2010 M1.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

HAIL LASTED 20 MINS.

0720 PM HAIL 2 WNW SEDILLO 35.11N 106.33W
10/02/2010 M1.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL DEPTH 2 TO 3 INCHES ON GROUND.

0727 PM HAIL 10 S TIJERAS 34.94N 106.38W
10/02/2010 M1.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM AMATEUR RADIO

0740 PM HAIL PONDEROSA 34.98N 106.30W
10/02/2010 E1.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

3 MIN OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL ENDING AT 0740PM....

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002151 ABQ1002152 ABQ1002153 ABQ1002154 ABQ1002159
ABQ1002155 ABQ1002156 ABQ1002157 ABQ1002158 ABQ1002162 ABQ1002163
ABQ1002160 ABQ1002161

$$

SHOEMAKE

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KABQ [030234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030234
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
834 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM HAIL 2 WNW SEDILLO 35.11N 106.33W
10/02/2010 M1.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL DEPTH 2 TO 3 INCHES ON GROUND.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002163

$$

SHY

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KABQ [030229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030229
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
829 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM HAIL 5 E TIJERAS 35.09N 106.29W
10/02/2010 M1.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

HAIL LASTED 20 MINS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002162

$$

SHY

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KABQ [030209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030209
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
809 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM HAIL PONDEROSA 34.98N 106.30W
10/02/2010 E1.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

3 MIN OF GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL ENDING AT 0740PM....

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002161

$$

SHOEMAKE

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KABQ [030134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030134
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
734 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0727 PM HAIL 10 S TIJERAS 34.94N 106.38W
10/02/2010 M1.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002160

$$

SHY

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KABQ [030133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030133
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
733 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 PM HAIL 5 E TIJERAS 35.09N 106.29W
10/02/2010 M1.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM AMATEUR RADIO

10 MINUTES OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL. BROKE SKYLIGHTS IN
ROOF.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002159

$$

SHY

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KABQ [030129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030129
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
729 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM HAIL 1 WSW SEDILLO 35.09N 106.31W
10/02/2010 E0.88 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL STARTED AT 0715 PM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002158

$$

SHOEMAKE

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KABQ [030123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030123
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
722 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM HAIL 3 NNE SEDILLO 35.14N 106.28W
10/02/2010 M0.88 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002157

$$

SHY

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KPSR [030119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 030119
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
619 PM MST SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM DUST STORM 2 NE MARICOPA 33.07N 112.02W
10/02/2010 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE IN BLOWING DUST

&&

$$

KKINCAID

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KABQ [030117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030117
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
717 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 PM HAIL SEDILLO 35.10N 106.29W
10/02/2010 M1.75 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002156

$$

SHY

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KPSR [030116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 030116
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
616 PM MST SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0607 PM DUST STORM 5 SE GILBERT 33.27N 111.70W
10/02/2010 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

DUST STORM AT GILBERT AND WARNER RDS. VISIBILITY LESS
THAN 1/4 MILE.

&&

$$

KKINCAID

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KABQ [030113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030113
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
713 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0707 PM HAIL SEDILLO 35.10N 106.29W
10/02/2010 E1.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

QUARTERS SIZED HAIL STARTED AT 0702PM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002155

$$

SHOEMAKE

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KABQ [030108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030108
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
708 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0702 PM HAIL 4 NE TIJERAS 35.13N 106.32W
10/02/2010 M2.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002154

$$

MT

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KABQ [030107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030107
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
707 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM HAIL SANDIA PARK 35.17N 106.36W
10/02/2010 M1.00 INCH BERNALILLO NM AMATEUR RADIO

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002153

$$

SHY

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KPSR [030106]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 030106
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
606 PM MST SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0551 PM DUST STORM E MESA 33.42N 111.74W
10/02/2010 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

WALL OF DUST FROM SURFACE TO ABOUT 2500 MOVING INTO EAST
MESA AROUND US HIGHWAY 60 AND GREENFIELD RD.

&&

$$

KKINCAID

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KPSR [030102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 030102
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
601 PM MST SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0548 PM DUST STORM S CHANDLER 33.29N 111.87W
10/02/2010 MARICOPA AZ NWS EMPLOYEE

VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE IN BLOWING DUST

&&

$$

KKINCAID

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 030101
SWODY1
SPC AC 030059

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT SAT OCT 02 2010

VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN CA THROUGH SRN AZ...

DIABATIC WARMING HAS BOOSTED MLCAPE TO 1000-1500 J/KG ACROSS SRN AZ
INTO A PORTION OF SRN CA. EARLY EVENING SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN
NEAR 100F OVER SRN AZ WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND DEEPLY MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYERS. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL
PERSIST NEXT COUPLE HOURS...ESPECIALLY WITH CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER
SRN AZ. THIS ACTIVITY HAS CONSOLIDATED AN EXTENSIVE COLD POOL THAT
WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE WWD NEXT COUPLE HOURS. THREAT IS MORE
LIMITED ACROSS MUCH OF SRN CA WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS COOLER AND
STORMS ARE MORE ISOLATED IN WAKE OF VORT MAX ROTATING AROUND UPPER
LOW. ANY REMAINING THREAT WILL BEGIN TO WANE BY 03Z WITH THE ONSET
OF NOCTURNAL COOLING.

...SRN ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS...

WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER PORTIONS OF NRN AND
CNTRL NM WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY 500 J/KG MLCAPE AND
7.5 C/KM 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES. VERTICAL SHEAR OF 30-40 KT ALONG
NERN PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGE REMAINS SUFFICIENT FOR UPDRAFT
ROTATION...AND A SUPERCELL CONTINUES SWD THROUGH CNTRL NM. A BRIEF
FLARE UP IN STORM INTENSITIES COULD OCCUR AS A RESULT OF OUTFLOW
MERGERS NEAR AND SOUTH OF ALBUQUERQUE. HOWEVER...TENDENCY SHOULD BE
FOR STORMS TO BEGIN A GENERAL DECREASE BY 02Z AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
STABILIZES.

OTHER NON-SEVERE MOSTLY ELEVATED STORMS COULD DEVELOP OVERNIGHT FROM
CNTR/ERN CO THROUGH ERN NM AND THE TX PANHANDLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
SEWD ADVANCING VORT MAX.

..DIAL.. 10/03/2010

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KABQ [030043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030043
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
642 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0618 PM HAIL 1 NE PLACITAS 35.32N 106.41W
10/02/2010 M1.00 INCH SANDOVAL NM FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002152

$$

MT

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KPSR [030030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 030030
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
530 PM MST SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM DUST STORM 2 SSE COOLIDGE 32.96N 111.52W
10/02/2010 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4 MILES IN BLOWING DUST

&&

$$

KKINCAID

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KABQ [030028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 030028
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
627 PM MDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM TSTM WND GST 2 ESE SAN FELIPE PUEBLO 35.42N 106.40W
10/02/2010 M70 MPH SANDOVAL NM TRAINED SPOTTER

THUNDERSTORM GUST OF 70 MPH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002151

$$

MT

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KREV [030003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 030003
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
502 PM PDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL 5 NNW MARKLEEVILLE 38.77N 119.82W
10/02/2010 E0.25 INCH ALPINE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED PEA-SIZE HAIL AND VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL. GUTTERS ALONG STREETS WERE FULL OF WATER
BUT NO FLOODING.

0431 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WSW SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 38.93N 120.01W
10/02/2010 M0.68 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED 0.68 INCH OF RAINFALL
IN 45 MINUTES BETWEEN 345 AND 430 PM PDT. PEA-SIZE HAIL
ALSO OCCURRED FOR ABOUT 5 MINUTES AT THE START OF THE
HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

$$

O'HARA

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KLOX [022325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 022325
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
425 PM PDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0156 PM FLASH FLOOD 16 SW LOCKWOOD VALLEY 34.59N 119.28W
10/02/2010 VENTURA CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CALIFORNIA HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED HIGHWAY 33 WAS WASHED
OUT AT LOCKWOOD VALLEY ROAD. ONE VEHICLE WAS STUCK IN
MUD.

&&

$$

THOMPSON

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KREV [022323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 022323
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
423 PM PDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0422 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 E VERDI 39.52N 119.93W
10/02/2010 M0.50 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0.50 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 20 MINUTES AT THE SPOTTERS
LOCATION IN MOGUL.

&&

$$

KLABELLE

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KREV [022315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 022315
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
415 PM PDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0413 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 SSE SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 38.90N 119.96W
10/02/2010 M0.75 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0.75 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 12 MINUTES AT SPOTTER
LOCATION IN SOUTH LAKE TAHOE.

&&

$$

KLABELLE

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KLKN [022251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KLKN 022251
LSRLKN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
351 PM PDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0316 PM TSTM WND GST 10 ESE TONOPAH 38.05N 117.08W
10/02/2010 M60.00 MPH NYE NV ASOS

PEAK WIND GUST OF 60 MPH MEASURED BY THE TONOPAH AIRPORT
ASOS WITH A PASSING THUNDERSTORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED OF 43 MPH ALSO RECORDED.

&&

$$

RCM

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1920

ACUS11 KWNS 022236
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022236
NMZ000-COZ000-030000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1920
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0536 PM CDT SAT OCT 02 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN NM...FAR SRN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 022236Z - 030000Z

A THREAT FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL WILL EXIST ACROSS
PARTS OF NM AND FAR SRN CO OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE THREAT
SHOULD REMAIN VERY ISOLATED AND WW ISSUANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY ONGOING FROM SANTE FE EWD
ACROSS THE PLAINS OF NE NM WHERE A POCKET OF MODERATE INSTABILITY IS
LOCATED AND SBCAPE VALUES ARE ESTIMATED IN THE 1000 TO 1500 J/KG
RANGE. IN ADDITION...THE TUCUMCARI PROFILER SHOWS ABOUT 35 KT OF
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WHICH SHOULD BE ADEQUATE FOR AT LEAST A MARGINAL
SEVERE THREAT WITH THE MORE INTENSE CORES. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOULD SUPPORT A THREAT FOR
SMALL HAIL. ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
ESPECIALLY WITH THE RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER IN PLACE WHICH MAY
ENHANCE DOWNDRAFT STRENGTH.

..BROYLES.. 10/02/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...PUB...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON 33280385 32880463 32900512 33130571 33480602 34010625
34660649 35280662 36290649 36810603 37630541 37420450
36680395 35450418 34440353 33280385

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KHNX [022205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 022205
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
305 PM PDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0249 PM HEAVY RAIN DEMOCRAT 35.53N 118.63W
10/02/2010 U0.00 INCH KERN CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CHP REPORTED LARGE AMOUNT OF ROCKS IN ROAD DUE TO HEAVY
RAIN IN ROADWAY ON HWY 178 JUST WEST OF OLD KERN CANYON
ROAD NEAR DEMOCRAT HOT SPRINGS.

&&

$$

BSO

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KHNX [022134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS56 KHNX 022134
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
233 PM PDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM HAIL 14 W FRAZIER PARK 34.82N 119.19W
10/02/2010 E0.50 INCH KERN CA NWS EMPLOYEE

PINE MOUNTAIN CLUB REPORTED MARBLE SIZE HAIL TO LOX
WEATHER WHICH THEN RELAYED THE DATA TO US.

0216 PM HEAVY RAIN 7 SSW LAKE ISABELLA 35.52N 118.51W
10/02/2010 E0.00 INCH KERN CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

MUD AND DEBRIS ON ROADWAY DUE TO HVY RAIN

&&

$$

PJON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021945
SWODY1
SPC AC 021943

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT SAT OCT 02 2010

VALID 022000Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...INTERIOR SOUTHERN CA/LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO PIVOT NEAR THE SOUTHERN CA COAST PER
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...FEW CHANGES TO PRIOR OUTLOOK WITH CONTINUANCE
OF LOW HAIL/WIND PROBABILITIES ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHERN CA/LOWER CO
RIVER VALLEY VICINITY.

...NM...
TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP/INCREASE MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN/CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF NM THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE
OF SMALL HAIL/GUSTY WINDS...BUT THE INTRODUCTION OF LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES DO NOT APPEAR WARRANTED GIVEN WEAK BUOYANCY/VERTICAL
SHEAR.

..GUYER.. 10/02/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1059 AM CDT SAT OCT 02 2010/

...INTERIOR SRN CA...
ONE MORE DAY OF ACTIVE CONVECTION OVER MUCH OF SRN CA BEFORE THE
UPPER LOW BEGINS TO LIFT NEWD FROM OFF THE COAST.

FEED OF MOISTURE FROM THE S COUPLED WITH THE LARGE SCALE ASCENT E OF
UPPER LOW IS FOCUSING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AM OVER THE
IMPERIAL VALLEY WHERE MLCAPES TO 1000 J/KG HAVE ALREADY RESULTED IN
A FEW STRONG CELLS. WHILE CLOUD COVER WILL SOMEWHAT LIMIT FULL
HEATING TODAY...THE PRESENCE OF 7-8C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
DCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS E OF COASTAL MTNS THRU THE DAY.

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KLOT [021943]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 021943
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
243 PM CDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM WATER SPOUT 32 ENE ROGERS PARK 42.20N 87.10W
10/02/2010 LMZ777 XX SHIP

EDGAR B SPEER REPORTED WATERSPOUT IN SHIP OB AT 1900 UTC.

&&

$$

IZZI

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KHNX [021926]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 021926
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1226 PM PDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM HAIL 14 W FRAZIER PARK 34.82N 119.19W
10/02/2010 E0.50 INCH KERN CA NWS EMPLOYEE

PINE MOUNTAIN CLUB REPORTED MARBLE SIZE HAIL TO LOX
WEATHER WHICH THEN RELAYED THE DATA TO US.

&&

$$

JDB

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KPSR [021839]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 021839
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1139 AM MST SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1134 AM HAIL S QUARTZSITE 33.67N 114.21W
10/02/2010 E0.75 INCH LA PAZ AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

LA PAZ SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED DIME SIZED HAIL 1/2 MILE
SOUTH OF QUARTZITE.

&&

$$

RRICKEY

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KBRO [021836]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 021836
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
136 PM CDT SAT OCT 02 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 PM WATER SPOUT 15 NE SOUTH PADRE ISLAN 26.23N 97.01W
10/02/2010 GMZ150 TX SHIP

MARINER REPORTED A WATERSPOUT 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF SOUTH
PADRE ISLAND.

&&

$$

JSTRAUB

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 021724
SWODY2
SPC AC 021723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1223 PM CDT SAT OCT 02 2010

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
WITHIN A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LONGWAVE REGIME...A BROAD/INCREASINGLY
CLOSED UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED EAST OF THE PLAINS ON
SUNDAY...WHILE THE CURRENT ROCKIES UPPER RIDGE IS SHUNTED EASTWARD
TOWARD THE PLAINS AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST
COAST.

IN THE EAST...WEAK DESTABILIZATION IN PROXIMITY TO AN OFFSHORE
BAROCLINIC ZONE/DEVELOPING FRONTAL WAVE MAY SUPPORT SOME TSTMS NEAR
THE OUTER BANKS OF NC/OFFSHORE MID ATLANTIC WATERS. OTHERWISE...THE
LARGE SCALE PATTERN AND THE PREVALENCE OF COOL/STABLE CONTINENTAL
TRAJECTORIES ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY PRECLUDE TSTM POTENTIAL EAST
OF THE ROCKIES.

AS THE CURRENT NEAR-COASTAL SOUTHERN CA UPPER LOW BEGINS TO BECOME
MORE PROGRESSIVE/ADVANCE NORTHEASTWARD...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE PROBABLE ON SUNDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/GREAT BASIN TO THE FOUR CORNERS/SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS. WEAK WIND FIELDS AND/OR WEAK BUOYANCY WILL GENERALLY
PRECLUDE A RISK FOR SEVERE WINDS/HAIL.

..GUYER.. 10/02/2010

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021601
SWODY1
SPC AC 021559

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1059 AM CDT SAT OCT 02 2010

VALID 021630Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...INTERIOR SRN CA...
ONE MORE DAY OF ACTIVE CONVECTION OVER MUCH OF SRN CA BEFORE THE
UPPER LOW BEGINS TO LIFT NEWD FROM OFF THE COAST.

FEED OF MOISTURE FROM THE S COUPLED WITH THE LARGE SCALE ASCENT E OF
UPPER LOW IS FOCUSING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AM OVER THE
IMPERIAL VALLEY WHERE MLCAPES TO 1000 J/KG HAVE ALREADY RESULTED IN
A FEW STRONG CELLS. WHILE CLOUD COVER WILL SOMEWHAT LIMIT FULL
HEATING TODAY...THE PRESENCE OF 7-8C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
DCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS E OF COASTAL MTNS THRU THE DAY.

..HALES/SMITH.. 10/02/2010

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