KJKL [040444]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 040444
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1144 PM EST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 AM FLOOD BUSKIRK 37.62N 82.17W
02/28/2011 PIKE KY EMERGENCY MNGR

SHALLOW FLOOD WATER WAS FLOWING ACROSS HWY 1056 IN
MCCARR...ABOUT A QUARTER OF A MILE SOUTH OF BUSKIRK.
SMALL HAIL WAS BEING WASHED ACROSS THE ROAD BY THE FLOOD
WATER AT THE SAME LOCATION.

&&

$$

GREIF

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KGJT [040337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 040337
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
837 PM MST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM SNOW 7 WSW OAK CREEK 40.24N 107.08W
03/03/2011 M3.0 INCH ROUTT CO CO-OP OBSERVER

24HR SNOWFALL... WATER EQUIV 0.26 INCHES

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100208

$$

DC

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KGRB [040225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 040225
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
825 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0824 PM SNOW WAUSAU 44.96N 89.63W
03/03/2011 M1.7 INCH MARATHON WI BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

$$

SAC

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KAMA [040215]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KAMA 040215
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
815 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM WILDFIRE 5 W CANYON 34.99N 102.01W
02/27/2011 M419 ACRE RANDALL TX FOREST SERVICE

CALLED THE ARNOT FIRE. 20 HOMES AND THE CANYON COUNTRY
CLUB WERE SAVED. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED. THE WILDFIRE
WAS REPORTED UNDER CONTROL ON FEBRUARY 28 AT 0725 CST.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER AMA1100170

$$

KJS

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KAMA [040214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 040214
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
813 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM WILDFIRE 5 W CANYON 34.99N 102.01W
02/27/2011 M425 ACRE RANDALL TX FOREST SERVICE

CALLED THE ARNOT FIRE. 20 HOMES AND THE CANYON COUNTRY
CLUB WERE SAVED. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED. THE WILDFIRE
WAS REPORTED UNDER CONTROL ON FEBRUARY 28 AT 0725 CST.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1100170

$$

KJS

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KAMA [040205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 040205
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
805 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0432 PM WILDFIRE 1 NNW LAKE TANGLEWOOD 35.07N 101.79W
02/27/2011 M1659 ACRE RANDALL TX FOREST SERVICE

THIS COMPLEX CONSISTED OF 3 FIRES...THE LAKE TANGLEWOOD
FIRE...THE PALISADES FIRE AND THE TIMBERCREEK FIRE. 26
HOMES WERE DESTROYED. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED.
REPORTED TO BE CONTAINED ON MARCH 2 AT 1111 CST.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1100169

$$

KJS

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KAMA [040152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 040152
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
751 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0148 PM WILDFIRE 4 N AMARILLO 35.27N 101.81W
02/27/2011 M24310 ACRE POTTER TX FOREST SERVICE

CALLED THE WILLOW CREEK SOUTH COMPLEX. 29 HOMES WERE
DESTROYED. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED. REPORTED CONTAINED
AT 1914 CST ON 3 1 2011. EXPECTED TO BE BROUGHT UNDER
CONTROL ON MARCH 3.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1100168

$$

KJS

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KMQT [040120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 040120
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
820 PM EST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM SNOW NEWBERRY 46.35N 85.51W
03/03/2011 M4.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER

12 HOUR REPORT. 14 INCHES SNOW DEPTH.

0810 PM SNOW 4 N PIKE LAKE 46.69N 85.42W
03/03/2011 M2.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER

12 HOUR REPORT. 8 INCHES SNOW DEPTH.

&&

$$

JMWIX

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KOTX [040109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 040109
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
508 PM PST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HEAVY SNOW MOSCOW 46.73N 117.00W
03/01/2011 M8.5 INCH LATAH ID CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL

&&

$$

VAN HORN

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KAMA [040105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KAMA 040105
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
705 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0148 PM WILDFIRE 5 SSW LELIA LAKE 34.83N 100.81W
02/24/2011 E850 ACRE DONLEY TX FOREST SERVICE

CALLED THE BITTER CREEK FIRE.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER AMA1100166

$$

KJS

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KAMA [040104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 040104
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
704 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0427 PM WILDFIRE 7 NW CHANNING 35.76N 102.41W
02/24/2011 E2600 ACRE HARTLEY TX FOREST SERVICE

3 FIRES CALLED THE 2357 COMPLEX. THE NORTHERN FIRE
CONSUMED 600 ACRES...THE MIDDLE FIRE CONSUMED 1...000
ACRES AND THE SOUTHERN FIRE CONSUMED 1...000 ACRES FOR A
TOTAL OF 2...600 ACRES. NO STRUCTURE4S WERE THREATENED
AND NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1100167

$$

KJS

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KMQT [040101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 040101
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
801 PM EST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0751 PM SNOW 5 E ROUND LAKE 46.15N 86.65W
03/03/2011 M2.4 INCH DELTA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

12 HOUR REPORT. 6 INCHES SNOW DEPTH.

&&

$$

JMWIX

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KLMK [040101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 040101
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
800 PM EST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0346 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 N VALEENE 38.46N 86.40W
02/28/2011 ORANGE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE AT 3 SEPARATE POINTS JUST
NORTH OF VALEENE. ABOUT 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF
VALEENE...AN OUTBUILDING WAS DESTROYED AND A LARGE CEDAR
TREE WAS UPROOTED. THE CEDAR TREE BROKE AN ELECTRIC POLE
AND PULLED WIRES DOWN TO THE GROUND. ABOUT 2.7 MILES
NORTHWEST OF VALEENE...A BARN WAS DAMAGED AND A TREE TOP
AND TV ANTENNA POLE WERE BROKEN. ABOUT 1.25 MILES
NORTHEAST OF VALEENE...ANOTHER BARN WAS DAMAGED. WINDS
WERE ESTIMATED AT 70-75 MPH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100200

$$

AML

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KAMA [040100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 040100
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
659 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0148 PM WILDFIRE 5 SSW LELIA LAKE 34.83N 100.81W
02/24/2011 E700 ACRE DONLEY TX FOREST SERVICE

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1100166

$$

KJS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 040037
SWODY1
SPC AC 040036

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

VALID 040100Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF CONVECTION PERSISTS ACROSS THE ERN GREAT
BASIN INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES...THOUGH MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT
DEEP ENOUGH TO PRODUCE LIGHTNING. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM GJT/LKN/RIW
ALL SUPPORT THE ONGOING CONVECTIVE THREAT AS LAPSE RATES ARE VERY
STEEP WITH SBCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 200-300 J/KG. ALTHOUGH DIURNAL
COOLING SHOULD SERVE TO WEAKEN MOST UPDRAFTS...SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY REMAINS TO WARRANT A RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS AT LEAST FOR
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

DOWNSTREAM...GRADUAL MOISTENING WITHIN WARM ADVECTION ZONE ACROSS
THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY WILL RESULT IN WEAK BUOYANCY BY 12Z.
ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MINIMAL ACROSS
THIS REGION IT/S NOT ENTIRELY OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT ISOLATED
STORMS MAY DEVELOP TOWARD SUNRISE ALONG WRN PERIPHERY OF RETREATING
SFC ANTICYCLONE.

..DARROW.. 03/04/2011

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KJKL [040032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 040032
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
731 PM EST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 AM FLOOD S BUSKIRK 37.62N 82.17W
02/28/2011 MINGO WV EMERGENCY MNGR

SHALLOW FLOOD WATER WAS FLOWING ACROSS HWY 1056 IN
MCCARR, ABOUT A QUARTER OF A MILE SOUTH OF BUSKIRK. SMALL
HAIL WAS BEING WASHED ACROSS THE ROAD BY THE FLOOD WATER
AT THE SAME LOCATION.

&&

$$

AR

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KIWX [040030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 040030
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
729 PM EST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM FLOOD 1 N LINN GROVE 40.66N 85.03W
03/02/2011 ADAMS IN NEWSPAPER

TWO WOMEN RESCUED BY LOCAL FIRE AND POLICE DEPARTMENTS
USING A MOTOR BOAT AFTER THEIR CAR STALLED WHILE DRIVING
ALONG A FLOODED ROAD NEAR THE FLOODED WABASH RIVER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1100549

$$

JT

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KGRB [040028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 040028
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
628 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0626 PM SNOW TIGERTON 44.73N 89.05W
03/03/2011 M0.5 INCH SHAWANO WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0627 PM SNOW 2 S STEVENS POINT 44.48N 89.56W
03/03/2011 M0.5 INCH PORTAGE WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0627 PM SNOW 4 W MERRILL 45.18N 89.76W
03/03/2011 M1.7 INCH LINCOLN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

SAC

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KGJT [032330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 032330
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
429 PM MST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNW HOTCHKISS 38.87N 107.75W
03/03/2011 M60 MPH DELTA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100207

$$

DC

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KJKL [032207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KJKL 032207
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
506 PM EST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HAIL CAMPTON 37.74N 83.55W
02/28/2011 M1.00 INCH WOLFE KY EMERGENCY MNGR

0733 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 N LANDSAW 37.74N 83.45W
02/28/2011 WOLFE KY NWS STORM SURVEY

SEVERAL HOUSES ALONG LANDSAW ROAD WITH TIN ROOFING
DAMAGED. ALSO SEVERAL TREES KNOCKED OVER FROM
THUNDERSTORM WINDS ALONG THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY

0735 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 N LEXIE 37.74N 83.40W
02/28/2011 WOLFE KY NWS STORM SURVEY

LARGE TREES DOWN ON KY 1010 AND ALONG THE MOUNTAIN
PARKWAY FROM THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

0737 AM TSTM WND DMG GILMORE 37.74N 83.37W
02/28/2011 WOLFE KY NWS STORM SURVEY

OVERHANG PORCH AND PIECES OF SIDING TORN OFF A MOBILE
HOME.

0737 AM TORNADO 1 N GILMORE 37.75N 83.37W
02/28/2011 WOLFE KY NWS STORM SURVEY

EF-1 TORNADO. TORNADO PATH ONE QUARTER OF A MILE LONG AND
100 YARDS WIDE. NUMEROUS TREES WERE SNAPPED AND
SCATTERED. ONE MOBILE HOME HAD ITS ROOF BLOW OFF AND WAS
PUSHED ABOUT 5 FEET OFF ITS FOUNDATION. ONE BARN WAS
COMPLETELY DESTROYED. TWO MOBILE HOMES HAD ROOF AND
SIDING TORN OFF. ONE OUTBUILDING USED AS A SAWMILL WAS
DESTROYED.

0749 AM TSTM WND DMG KERNIE 37.76N 83.17W
02/28/2011 MAGOFFIN KY NWS STORM SURVEY

SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN OR SNAPPED ALONG THE MOUNTAIN
PARKWAY NEAR MILE MARKER 68.

&&

$$

AR

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KGRB [032054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 032054
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
254 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0249 PM SNOW WAUSAU 44.96N 89.63W
03/03/2011 M1.1 INCH MARATHON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

SAC

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KARX [031948]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 031948
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
0145 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0144 PM SNOW ROCK DAM LAKE 44.73N 90.84W
03/03/2011 E1.3 INCH CLARK WI PUBLIC

&&
OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURE. NOT ALL DATA LISTED IS CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.
$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031938
SWODY1
SPC AC 031936

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0136 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK.

..GARNER/GOSS.. 03/03/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST THU MAR 03 2011/

...SYNOPSIS...
NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS OUTLOOK. A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
NV/UT WILL PROGRESS EWD TO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT...WHILE
AN ASSOCIATED LEE CYCLONE FORMS ACROSS SE CO BY THIS EVENING...AND
THEN THE REMNANT CYCLONE WILL MOVE SEWD TOWARD WRN OK OVERNIGHT.
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT LOW-MIDLEVEL MOISTURE /PER THE 12Z
SLC AND GJT SOUNDINGS/ WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUATION THROUGH THE DAY
OF THE ONGOING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM UT INTO CO. FARTHER
E...AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE NEAR AND JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE IS
EXPECTED IN CONJUNCTION WITH A STRENGTHENING LLJ FROM THE LOWER MS
VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY BY TONIGHT. THE MOISTENING COULD RESULT
IN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ROOTED AROUND
850 MB LATE IN THE PERIOD...SUPPORTED BY WEAK LOW-LEVEL WAA.

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KARX [031911]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 031911
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
0108 PM CST THU MAR 03 2011

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0101 PM SNOW COLBY 4SW 44.87N 90.42W
03/03/2011 E1.5 INCH CLARK WI PUBLIC

0104 PM SNOW ABBOTSFORD 44.94N 90.33W
03/03/2011 E1.5 INCH CLARK WI PUBLIC

0108 PM SNOW NEILLSVILLE 44.56N 90.59W
03/03/2011 E0.3 INCH CLARK WI SHERIFF OFFICE

&&
OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURE. NOT ALL DATA LISTED IS CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.
$$

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 031721
SWODY2
SPC AC 031720

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 AM CST THU MAR 03 2011

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR ERN OK...WRN/CNTRL AR...SRN
MO...

...ERN OK...WRN/CNTRL AR...SRN MO...
AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG FROM THE CNTRL
ROCKIES SEWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. AS THIS
TAKES PLACE...A PLUME OF STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES /UP TO 8 C PER
KM IN THE 700-500 MB LAYER/ WILL SPREAD DOWNSTREAM TOWARD THE MS
DELTA REGION. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE INTO ERN OK
AND THE OZARKS OF MO/AR DURING EARLY EVENING...AND THEN PROGRESS
TOWARD THE MID MS VALLEY SWWD INTO ERN TX BY 05/12Z. MID TO UPPER
50S SURFACE DEWPOINTS INITIALLY LOCATED ALONG THE LA GULF COAST WILL
ADVECT NWD BENEATH THE STEEP LAPSE RATE PLUME...AND CONTRIBUTE
TOWARD THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE
VALUES UP TO 1000 J PER KG/ ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. INCREASING
FRONTAL CONVERGENCE WILL LIKELY LEAD TO A MIXED MODE OF
SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS AND LINE SEGMENTS BY LATE AFTERNOON. DEEP LAYER
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR NEAR 40 KT AND STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
FAVOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE MS DELTA REGION...30-40 KT S-SWLY LOW-LEVEL
JET WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT.
MOIST WARM SECTOR IS FORECAST TO RESIDE OVER ERN/SRN LA AND WRN/SWRN
MS...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S AIDING IN MUCAPE VALUES FROM
500-1500 J/KG. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR CELLULAR CONVECTION TO
FORM ALONG AND W OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...AND THIS ACTIVITY COULD ROTATE GIVEN EFFECTIVE SRH NEAR 200
M2 S-2. AS A RESULT...LOW END PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED FOR
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.

..GARNER/GOSS.. 03/03/2011

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KLMK [031648]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 031648
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1148 AM EST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0457 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 S EMINENCE 38.32N 85.17W
02/28/2011 SHELBY KY EMERGENCY MNGR

LARGE TREE FELL ON CAR ON ELLIS ROAD JUST SOUTH OF THE
HENRY COUNTY LINE. SEVERAL OTHER TREES WERE DOWNED IN
SAME LOCATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100199

$$

JSD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031628
SWODY1
SPC AC 031626

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 AM CST THU MAR 03 2011

VALID 031630Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS OUTLOOK. A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
NV/UT WILL PROGRESS EWD TO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT...WHILE
AN ASSOCIATED LEE CYCLONE FORMS ACROSS SE CO BY THIS EVENING...AND
THEN THE REMNANT CYCLONE WILL MOVE SEWD TOWARD WRN OK OVERNIGHT.
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT LOW-MIDLEVEL MOISTURE /PER THE 12Z
SLC AND GJT SOUNDINGS/ WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUATION THROUGH THE DAY
OF THE ONGOING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM UT INTO CO. FARTHER
E...AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE NEAR AND JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE IS
EXPECTED IN CONJUNCTION WITH A STRENGTHENING LLJ FROM THE LOWER MS
VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY BY TONIGHT. THE MOISTENING COULD RESULT
IN SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ROOTED AROUND
850 MB LATE IN THE PERIOD...SUPPORTED BY WEAK LOW-LEVEL WAA.

..THOMPSON/SMITH.. 03/03/2011

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KLMK [031452]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 031452
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
952 AM EST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 AM TSTM WND DMG 6 N FRANKFORT 38.28N 84.87W
02/28/2011 FRANKLIN KY NWS STORM SURVEY

A STORM SURVEY CONFIRMED THAT STRAIGHT LINE WINDS UP TO
65 MPH DESTROYED A BARN NEAR POLSGROVE. A LARGE TRACTOR
SHED WAS DESTROYED ON BATES ROAD NEAR SWALLOWFIELD.
SEVERAL TREES DOWNED NEAR INDIAN GAP ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1100198

$$

JSD

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KDLH [031354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 031354
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
754 AM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW INTERNATIONAL FALLS 48.59N 93.41W
03/03/2011 M1.5 INCH KOOCHICHING MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0600 AM SNOW COOK 47.85N 92.69W
03/03/2011 M0.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 AM SNOW EMBARRASS 47.66N 92.20W
03/03/2011 E0.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW KABETOGAMA 48.44N 93.03W
03/03/2011 M1.0 INCH ST. LOUIS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0730 AM SNOW GRAND PORTAGE 47.96N 89.68W
03/03/2011 M0.7 INCH COOK MN CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

GRANING

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KPIH [031347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 031347
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
647 AM MST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0646 AM SNOW 1 W VICTOR 43.60N 111.13W
03/03/2011 E4.0 INCH TETON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT

&&

$$

MH

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KDLH [031346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 031346
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
746 AM CST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM SNOW LUTSEN 47.64N 90.71W
03/03/2011 M1.5 INCH COOK MN TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL OVERNIGHT

&&

$$

GRANING

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031237
SWODY1
SPC AC 031235

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 AM CST THU MAR 03 2011

VALID 031300Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GREAT BASIN INTO CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

LOW-AMPLITUDE MIDLEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE ERN PACIFIC INTO
GREAT BASIN WILL TRANSLATE THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WITH
NOTABLE MIDLEVEL COOLING AND RESULTANT STEEPENING OF LAPSE RATES
FORECAST ALONG CYCLONIC SIDE OF ASSOCIATED UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAK.
12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT IS RATHER
DRY WITH PW VALUES OF LESS THAN A HALF INCH. HOWEVER...THE PRESENCE
OF STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES /7.5-8.5 C PER KM/ COUPLED WITH
FORCING FOR ASCENT AHEAD OF MIDLEVEL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASE
IN TSTM ACTIVITY THROUGH THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE. GREATEST TSTM
COVERAGE WILL OCCUR ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF UT/CO WITH MORE
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT AS FAR E AS VICINITY OF LEE TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.

...LOWER MS VALLEY INTO UPPER GREAT LAKES...

LOW-LEVEL MASS RESPONSE TO APPROACHING MIDLEVEL TROUGH WILL ENHANCE
THE NWD FLUX OF AN INCREASING WARM/MOIST AIR MASS THROUGH THE LOWER
MS INTO OH VALLEY. THIS MOISTURE RETURN WILL OCCUR BENEATH AN
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER ADVECTING EWD FROM THE PLAINS...RESULTING IN A
CAPPED BUT WEAKLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. BROAD ZONE OF ISENTROPIC
ASCENT/WAA DEVELOPING ALONG NOCTURNAL LLJ MAY SUFFICIENTLY ERODE CAP
SUCH THAT A FEW ELEVATED TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY AFTER
04/09Z.

..MEAD.. 03/03/2011

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 030956
SWOD48
SPC AC 030955

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CST THU MAR 03 2011

VALID 061200Z - 111200Z

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE OH AND TN VALLEYS SUNDAY MORNING. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD AHEAD OF THE
TROUGH SUNDAY/DAY 4 BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC. BOTH
THE GFS AND ECMWF BRING ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE WRN
STATES ON MONDAY/DAY 5. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...THE MODELS BRING
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND MS VALLEY AS THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TRIES TO CLOSE OFF ON TUESDAY/DAY 6. ASSUMING THE
TIMING OF THE SYSTEM IS REASONABLY FORECAST...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
MAY OCCUR IN THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING BUT LIMITED MOISTURE MAY BE PROBLEMATIC. THE MODELS GREATLY
EXPAND CONVECTION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE MOIST AXIS
MOVES INTO THE MS VALLEY. A SEVERE WEATHER EVENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ON
WEDNESDAY/DAY 7 IN THE OH AND TN VALLEYS WHERE THE MODELS DEVELOP
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A MOIST AXIS WITH COUPLED LOW-LEVEL AND
MID-LEVEL JETS. CONSIDERED PUTTING A FORECAST AREA OUT FOR THE TN
VALLEY BUT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH CONCERNING THE MODEL SOLUTIONS.
IF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS SLOWER THAN FORECAST...THE SEVERE
WEATHER EVENING COULD TAKE PLACE IN THE ARKLATEX OR OZARKS.
ATTM...WILL NOT FORECAST A THREAT AREA BUT IF THE MODELS SHOW RUN TO
RUN CONSISTENCY...AN OUTLOOK AREA APPEARS LIKELY IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..BROYLES.. 03/03/2011

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KHNX [030946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 030946
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
146 AM PST THU MAR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM SNOW GREEN MTN 37.56N 119.24W
03/02/2011 E5.0 INCH MADERA CA MESONET

SNOTEL

0200 PM SNOW KAISER POINT 37.30N 119.10W
03/02/2011 E5.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL

0200 PM SNOW BLACKCAP BASIN 37.07N 118.77W
03/02/2011 E5.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL

0200 PM SNOW BISHOP PASS 37.10N 118.56W
03/02/2011 E5.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL

0200 PM SNOW TUOLUMNE MEADOWS 37.87N 119.35W
03/02/2011 M5.0 INCH TUOLUMNE CA CO-OP OBSERVER

0200 PM SNOW TENAYA LAKE 37.84N 119.45W
03/02/2011 E4.0 INCH MARIPOSA CA MESONET

SNOTEL

0200 PM SNOW HUNTINGTON LAKE 37.23N 119.22W
03/02/2011 E3.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL

0200 PM SNOW TUNNEL GUARD STATION 36.37N 118.29W
03/02/2011 E3.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

SNOTEL

&&
THESE ARE 24 HOUR TOTALS ENDING AT NOON ON 2 FEB 2011.
$$

BINGHAM

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 030715
SWODY3
SPC AC 030714

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0114 AM CST THU MAR 03 2011

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...LOWER MS VALLEY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED IN THE SRN PLAINS
SATURDAY MORNING WITH A 60 TO 70 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IN PLACE ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY. THE SRN EDGE OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET SHOULD BE IN THE
GULF COAST STATES WHERE A MOIST AXIS IS FORECAST. SFC DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 60S F ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND COLD AIR ALOFT WITH THE
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY IN SE LA
AND POSSIBLY SRN MS. THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING ALONG THE
INSTABILITY AXIS AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. BOTH THE GFS AND NAM
MAINTAIN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE MS DELTA SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD INTO THE REGION. THE CONVECTION
SHOULD EXTEND NEWD ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY INTO SCNTRL MS
AND CNTRL AL MOVING SEWD WITH TIME. ALTHOUGH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
INSTABILITY AND SHEAR PROFILES SUFFICIENT FOR A SEVERE THREAT IN THE
MS DELTA SATURDAY...THE GREATER DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS FORECAST ACROSS
THE TN VALLEY NEAR A MID-LEVEL JET. FOR THIS REASON AND DUE TO MODEL
INCONSISTENCIES...WILL ONLY INTRODUCE A SEE TEXT WITH MARGINAL
SEVERE PROBABILITIES.

..BROYLES.. 03/03/2011

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 030545
SWODY2
SPC AC 030544

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST WED MAR 02 2011

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ERN OK...AR...SRN MO...

...OZARKS/ERN OK/LOWER TO MID-MS VALLEY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE SRN PLAINS FRIDAY AS A
BROAD LOW-LEVEL JET OVER THE LOWER TO MID-MS VALLEY BRINGS MOISTURE
NWD INTO THE OZARKS. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE
SEWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND OZARKS. AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY...FORECAST SOUNDINGS FRIDAY AFTERNOON SHOW A CAPPED AIRMASS
IN PLACE FROM OK AND WRN AR SWD TO THE GULF COAST. HOWEVER...THE CAP
SHOULD DIMINISH JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT BY EARLY EVENING AS
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH. THIS
ALONG WITH LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ON THE COLD FRONT SHOULD RESULT IN
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM CNTRL MO SWWD INTO ERN OK
WITH THE LINE GRADUALLY EXPANDING INTENSITY AND COVERAGE. MODEL
FORECASTS SUGGEST THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY BECOME
MODERATELY UNSTABLE IN A FEW AREAS. THIS COMBINED WITH 40 TO 50 KT
OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT
WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OR HAIL POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE
CELLS IN THE LINE.

FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE MS DELTA REGION...MODERATE INSTABILITY IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT AS SFC DEWPOINTS RISE INTO THE MID
60S F. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS MS AND SRN LA
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET. FORECAST SOUNDINGS NEAR NEW
ORLEANS AFTER 06Z SHOW 35 TO 40 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTING
THE ENVIRONMENT COULD SUPPORT SEVERE STORMS. HOWEVER...MODEL
FORECASTS DIFFER CONCERNING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH
THE GFS FURTHER TO THE EAST THAN THE NAM. FOR THIS
REASON...UNCERTAINTY EXISTS CONCERNING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND WILL
MAINTAIN A SEE TEXT ATTM.

..BROYLES.. 03/03/2011

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 030528
SWODY1
SPC AC 030526

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1126 PM CST WED MAR 02 2011

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL REMAIN FAIRLY ZONAL THROUGH THE DAY1 PERIOD
WITH SEVERAL MINOR BUT SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH/S EXPECTED TO
TRAVERSE THE INTERIOR GREAT BASIN ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO THE MID MS
VALLEY. OVERALL A STEEPER LAPSE RATE REGIME WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP
ACROSS THE WRN U.S. WITH OCCASIONAL EWD DISPLACEMENT OF ELEVATED
PLUMES INTO THE MS VALLEY DUE TO AFOREMENTIONED FAST-MOVING
SHORTWAVES.

AS WARM ADVECTION INCREASES ACROSS THE MS VALLEY REGION IT APPEARS
SUFFICIENT MOISTENING WILL OCCUR BY LATE IN THE PERIOD TO WARRANT AT
LEAST A LOW PROBABILITY FOR WEAK ELEVATED CONVECTION. THE MOST
LIKELY REGION TO EXPERIENCE CONVECTION DEEP ENOUGH FOR LIGHTNING
WILL BE ALONG AN AXIS FROM ERN AR INTO SRN IL. EVEN SO BUOYANCY
WILL REMAIN MEAGER AND STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED.

FARTHER WEST...STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL DEVELOP/OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE
GREAT BASIN INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES ALONG AND NORTH OF A WELL DEFINED
MID LEVEL JET. BROAD ASCENT WITHIN CYCLONIC FLOW WILL ENHANCE THE
PROSPECT FOR DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS MUCH OF UT INTO CO...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AND FAVORED UPSLOPE REGIONS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST A FEW HUNDRED J/KG SBCAPE IS CERTAINLY REASONABLE AND
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE NOTED ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

..DARROW/ROGERS.. 03/03/2011

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