KFGF [102205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 102205
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
504 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0458 PM HAIL 1 S FERGUS FALLS 46.27N 96.07W
07/10/2010 E1.75 INCH OTTER TAIL MN CO-OP OBSERVER

HAIL SIZES STARTED OUT AS PEAS UP TO GOLFBALLS

&&

$$

JKAISER

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KLBF [102203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 102203
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
503 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0502 PM HAIL 10 E HAYES CENTER 40.51N 100.83W
07/10/2010 M1.00 INCH HAYES NE PUBLIC

HAIL WAS REPORTED UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS.

&&

$$

SJACOBS

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KLMK [102157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 102157
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
557 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0538 PM TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO 37.52N 85.70W
07/10/2010 LARUE KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1000406

$$

13

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KARX [102151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 102151
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
451 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0353 PM HAIL 6 NE NEW MINER 44.23N 89.95W
07/10/2010 E1.00 INCH JUNEAU WI PUBLIC

REPORTED IN TOWNSHIP OF ARMENIA JUST WEST OF WISCONSIN
RIVER.

&&

$$

SHEA

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KBYZ [102151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBYZ 102151
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
350 PM MDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0343 PM HAIL 3 ENE DELPHIA 46.51N 108.17W
07/10/2010 E0.75 INCH MUSSELSHELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER

MARBLE TO PENNY SIZED HAIL FOR 5 MINUTES.

&&

$$

STC

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KLBF [102149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 102149
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
449 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM HAIL HAMLET 40.38N 101.24W
07/10/2010 M1.25 INCH HAYES NE PUBLIC

THE PUBLIC REPORTED HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL WITH WIND IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

&&

$$

SJACOBS

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 448

WWUS20 KWNS 102148
SEL8
SPC WW 102148
MNZ000-110400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 448
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 450 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ALEXANDRIA MINNESOTA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF ORTONVILLE
MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 446...WW 447...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS JUST UNDERWAY NEAR THE
MN/SD/ND BORDER REGION ALONG A NE-SW SURFACE TROUGH. DESPITE
LARGELY NEUTRAL LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT...STRONG SURFACE
HEATING AND CONTINUED BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING HAVE WEAKENED
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IN THE ZONE OF LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ALONG THE
BOUNDARY. MLCAPE OF 3000-3500 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR NEAR 35
KT WILL SUPPORT A FEW SUPERCELLS EARLY IN THE STORM EVOLUTION...WHEN
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE AND MOISTURE WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT
FOR A TORNADO OR TWO. CONVECTIVE MODE IS EXPECTED TO TREND MORE TO
CLUSTERS LATER THIS EVENING AS A RESULT OF STORM MERGERS AND
RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT...THOUGH THE THREAT FOR HAIL/DAMAGING
WINDS WILL PERSIST.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31015.

...THOMPSON

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KLBF [102144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 102144
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
444 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM TSTM WND GST E HAMLET 40.38N 101.24W
07/10/2010 E60 MPH HAYES NE PUBLIC

THE PUBLIC ESTIMATED THAT THUNDERSTORM WINDS WERE IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH CAUSING SOME LIGHT DAMAGE TO THE ROOF OF
A BARN.

&&

$$

SJACOBS

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KILM [102143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 102143
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
543 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0348 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE BROWNSVILLE 34.38N 79.58W
07/10/2010 DILLON SC PUBLIC

SEVERAL LARGE OAK LIMBS DOWN IN A YARD ALONG HAWK RUN
ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

$$

WEISS

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KCHS [102142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 102142
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
542 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0532 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E SCOTT 32.35N 80.58W
07/10/2010 BEAUFORT SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF EPHRAIM RD AND
SEASIDE RD ON SAINT HELENA ISLAND.

&&

$$

JPC

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KGLD [102135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 102135
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
335 PM MDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM HAIL 10 WSW PALISADE 40.29N 101.28W
07/10/2010 E1.75 INCH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER ALSO ESTIMATES PEAK WIND GUST OF 50 MPH.

&&

$$

FOLTZ

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KAPX [102132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 102132
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
532 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0531 PM HAIL WEST BRANCH 44.28N 84.24W
07/10/2010 E1.10 INCH OGEMAW MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER APX1000236

$$

JH

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KABR [102131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 102131
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
431 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM HAIL 3 ENE RELIANCE 43.90N 99.55W
07/10/2010 E1.00 INCH LYMAN SD PUBLIC

SOME WHEAT CROP DAMAGE

&&

$$

ATG

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KAPX [102129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 102129
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
528 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0528 PM HAIL WEST BRANCH 44.28N 84.24W
07/10/2010 E1.00 INCH OGEMAW MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

EVENT NUMBER APX1000235

$$

JH

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KAPX [102125]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 102125
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
525 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0524 PM HAIL WEST BRANCH 44.28N 84.24W
07/10/2010 M0.75 INCH OGEMAW MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER APX1000234

$$

JH

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KBOX [102123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KBOX 102123
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
523 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0244 PM FLOOD SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

3.5 FEET OF WATER REPORTED AT WASHINGTON AT MCGRATH
OBRIEN HIGHWAY. ALSO...CAR REPORTED STUCK IN LOCAL FLOOD
WATERS ON WASHINGTON STREET.

0255 PM FLASH FLOOD WATERTOWN 42.37N 71.18W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WATER UP TO DOORS OF HOMES ON ARLINGTON STREET.

0256 PM FLASH FLOOD BELMONT 42.40N 71.17W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

MAPLE STREET FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0257 PM FLASH FLOOD BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
07/10/2010 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEAPORT BLVD. HAD MANHOLE COVERS MISSING AND GUSHING
WATER.

0259 PM FLASH FLOOD BELMONT 42.40N 71.17W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

FAIRVIEW AND BELMONT STREETS...4 INCHES OF WATER ON
ROADWAY. 12 INCHES OF STANDING WATER REPORTED AT UNITY
AND BELMONT STREETS WITH A CAR STRANDED.

0310 PM FLASH FLOOD CAMBRIDGE 42.38N 71.12W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR FLOODED AND STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS ON LAND BLVD NEAR
THE POWER PLANT.

0310 PM FLASH FLOOD SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WATER RESCUE SHUTTING DOWN UNION SQUARE. WATER DAMAGE AT
POLICE STATION. 5 CARS STRANDED IN WATER AND THE TRAIN
TRACKS FLOODED OUT AT UNION SQUARE.

0311 PM FLASH FLOOD SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

DAY STREET FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0314 PM FLASH FLOOD BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
07/10/2010 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

2 CARS STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS ON COREY ROAD.

0316 PM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
07/10/2010 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WATER OVER CAR HUBCAPS AT SHAWS LANE AT FOUNTAIN STREET.
OAK STREET FLOODED. MARGIN STREET FLOODED. CAR STUCK AT
FOSTER BY SPRING STREET.

0318 PM FLASH FLOOD MEDFORD 42.42N 71.11W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

MAIN AND MYSTIC INTERSECTION FLOODED.

0318 PM FLASH FLOOD CAMBRIDGE 42.38N 71.12W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

FRESH POND ROTARY FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0319 PM FLOOD EAST PROVIDENCE 41.80N 71.36W
07/10/2010 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

NEWPORT AVE NEAR BEVERAGE HILL FLOODED.

0325 PM FLOOD ATTLEBOROUGH 41.93N 71.30W
07/10/2010 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

BROWN STREET FLOODED. CARS STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS AT
INTERSECTION OF ROUTES 1 AND 123.

0339 PM FLASH FLOOD SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL CARS SUBMERGED UNDER WATER ON MCGRATH HIGHWAY.
DIVE TEAMS HAVE BEEN REQUESTED BY FIRE DEPT.

0345 PM FLASH FLOOD BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
07/10/2010 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

STORROW DRIVE EAST AND WEST BOUND CLOSED AT MASS AVENUE
BRIDGE AS WELL AS LONG MEADOW BRIDGE.

0402 PM FLASH FLOOD BELMONT 42.40N 71.17W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

ROUTE 16 CLOSED AS A RESULT OF FLOODING TOWARDS MEDFORD.

0408 PM FLASH FLOOD LYNN 42.47N 70.96W
07/10/2010 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

ALLEY STREET AND COMMERCIAL STREET FLOODED.

0409 PM FLASH FLOOD CAMBRIDGE 42.38N 71.12W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

MULTIPLE CARS STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS ON NORFOLK STREET.

0410 PM FLASH FLOOD LYNN 42.47N 70.96W
07/10/2010 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR STUCK IN WATER ON CHATHAM STREET.

0413 PM FLASH FLOOD BELMONT 42.40N 71.17W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

PART OF BEACON STREET BLOCKED OFF BECAUSE OF FLOODING.

&&

$$

HFRANK

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KLIX [102122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 102122
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
422 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0347 PM TSTM WND GST KENNER 29.98N 90.25W
07/10/2010 M62 MPH JEFFERSON LA ASOS

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG KENNER 29.98N 90.25W
07/10/2010 JEFFERSON LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

THUNDERSTORM WINDS KNOCKED DOWN A FEW TREES.

&&

$$

11

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KGRR [102120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 102120
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
520 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0518 PM HAIL BELLEVUE 42.44N 85.02W
07/10/2010 M0.75 INCH EATON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

HALF INCH HAIL INCREASED TO THREE QUARTER INCH WITH HEAVY
RAIN.

&&

$$

GEO

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KGRR [102116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 102116
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
516 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM HAIL BELLEVUE 42.44N 85.02W
07/10/2010 M0.50 INCH EATON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTED REPORTS ONE HALF INCH HAIL FALLING FOR AT
LEAST 5 TO 7 MINUTES.

&&

$$

GEO

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KARX [102108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 102108
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
408 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM HAIL 3 N BIG FLATS 44.16N 89.80W
07/10/2010 E0.75 INCH ADAMS WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT COUNTY ROAD O AND HIGHWAY 13.

&&

$$

DTJ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1239

ACUS11 KWNS 102104
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102103
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-102230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1239
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0403 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN SD/SOUTHEAST ND AND WEST CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST
MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 102103Z - 102230Z

MONITORING FOR AN INCREASING SURFACE BASED SEVERE THREAT...INCLUDING
LARGE HAIL/TORNADO POTENTIAL...ACROSS EASTERN SD/SOUTHEAST ND INTO
WEST-CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST MN.

SHORTWAVE RIDGING APPEARS TO BE CURRENTLY OCCURRING ACROSS THIS
VICINITY...IN THE WAKE OF THE EARLY DAY SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW
ENTERING WESTERN WI...AND AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD ADVANCING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH NOW OVER FAR EASTERN WY. WITH THAT SAID...A RELATIVELY
VOLATILE AIRMASS/SCENARIO POTENTIALLY EXISTS FROM EASTERN SD INTO
SOUTHEAST ND AND WESTERN/SOUTHWEST MN. SURFACE DEWPOINTS TO NEAR
70F...BENEATH A STRENGTHENING ELEVATED MIXED PLUME...ARE YIELDING
WEAK INHIBITION WITH MLCAPE VALUES TO 3000-4000 J/KG. WHILE THE
LARGE SCALE SUPPORT IS NOT PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE AS PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED...A TREND TOWARD INCREASING NEAR-SURFACE CONVERGENCE HAS
NOT NOTED OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS NEAR THE ND/SD/MN BORDER
VICINITY...WHERE AN INCREASE IN BOUNDARY LAYER CU IS EVIDENT IN
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS CONVERGENCE IS AIDED BY A RELATIVE
MAXIMA OF SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS...WITH A PSEUDO/WEAK TRIPLE POINT
NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF A SURFACE PRE-COLD FRONTAL TROUGH AND AN
EARLY DAY RAIN-COOLED/WEAK EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT THAT IS ROUGHLY
ORIENTED WNW-ESE ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST MN. THE WOOD LAKE MN
WIND PROFILER SAMPLES THE STRONGLY VEERING WIND PROFILES THAT
CURRENTLY EXIST ACROSS THIS CORRIDOR...WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF
30-35 KT AND SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE WHICH IS
CONDITIONALLY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES. IN
ALL...CLOSELY MONITORING FOR INCREASING SURFACE BASED SEVERE TSTM
POTENTIAL INCLUDING A TORNADO RISK...AND INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN
SURFACE BASED DEEP CONVECTIVE INITIATION MAY PROMPT A TORNADO WATCH
ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 07/10/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

LAT...LON 43719848 46799607 46599495 45719447 44599490 43929627
43719848

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KMKX [102100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 102100
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
359 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM HAIL 2 NNE BURNETT 43.53N 88.69W
07/10/2010 E0.25 INCH DODGE WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

IN ADDITION...20 MPH WINDS. AT THE CORNER OF TOWER RD AND
HWY 26.

&&

$$

SEARS

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KGRB [102059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 102059
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
359 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM HAIL GREENVILLE 44.29N 88.53W
07/10/2010 M1.00 INCH OUTAGAMIE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

GUSTY WINDS WITH SMALL BRANCHES DOWN.

&&

$$

TERIE

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KMKX [102049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 102049
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
349 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM TSTM WND GST 1 S BERLIN 43.96N 88.95W
07/10/2010 E50 MPH GREEN LAKE WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

ALSO DIME SIZE HAIL

&&

$$

ZABEL

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KCYS [102046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102046
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
246 PM MDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0238 PM TSTM WND GST TORRINGTON 42.07N 104.18W
07/10/2010 M67 MPH GOSHEN WY ASOS

&&

$$

DDEAL

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KLMK [102046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KLMK 102046
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
446 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0324 PM TSTM WND DMG CUB RUN 37.30N 86.07W
07/10/2010 HART KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN

0333 PM TSTM WND DMG MUNFORDVILLE 37.28N 85.90W
07/10/2010 HART KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN.

0356 PM TSTM WND DMG HORSE CAVE 37.17N 85.91W
07/10/2010 HART KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN

0405 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE UNO 37.16N 85.81W
07/10/2010 HART KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN...BARN DOWN...ROOF OFF HOME

0410 PM TSTM WND DMG THREE SPRINGS 37.17N 85.75W
07/10/2010 HART KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1000401 LMK1000402 LMK1000403 LMK1000404 LMK1000405

$$

13

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KLMK [102040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 102040
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
440 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0324 PM TSTM WND DMG CUB RUN 37.30N 86.07W
07/10/2010 HART KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK1000401

$$

13

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KMKX [102036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 102036
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
336 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM TSTM WND GST BERLIN 43.97N 88.95W
07/10/2010 E50 MPH GREEN LAKE WI EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL IN ADDITION

&&

$$

SEARS

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KMPX [102036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 102036
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
336 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0332 PM HAIL MENDOTA HEIGHTS 44.88N 93.14W
07/10/2010 E0.50 INCH DAKOTA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JLT

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KMPX [102033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 102033
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
333 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0323 PM HAIL MENDOTA HEIGHTS 44.88N 93.14W
07/10/2010 E0.75 INCH DAKOTA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MKM

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KMPX [102029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 102029
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
329 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0316 PM HAIL 5 SW ST PAUL 44.90N 93.17W
07/10/2010 M0.75 INCH RAMSEY MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JLT

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KFWD [102022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 102022
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
322 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM FLOOD LAKE DALLAS 33.12N 97.03W
07/10/2010 DENTON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

MINOR FLOODING AT I-35E AND SWISHER RD

$$

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KIWX [102022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 102022
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
422 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0408 PM HAIL CENTREVILLE 41.92N 85.53W
07/10/2010 M0.50 INCH ST. JOSEPH MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1000910

$$

SAW

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KARX [102020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 102020
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
319 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0313 PM HAIL 5 N BIG FLATS 44.19N 89.80W
07/10/2010 E0.75 INCH ADAMS WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERIFF DEPUTY REPORTS DIME SIZE HAIL AT HIGHWAY 13 AND
COUNTY ROAD O

&&

$$

DTJ

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KGSP [102017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KGSP 102017
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
416 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 11 NNE PICKENS 35.03N 82.63W
07/09/2010 PICKENS SC CO-OP OBSERVER

COCORAHS OBSERVER REPORTED LARGE TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG RICHBURG 34.72N 81.02W
07/09/2010 CHESTER SC TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN IN RICHBURG

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW GREAT FALLS 34.60N 80.93W
07/09/2010 CHESTER SC TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED TREES BLOWN DOWN ON HIGHWAY 97 NEAR
GREAT FALLS.

&&

$$

LANE

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KGRB [102017]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 102017
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
316 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL POY SIPPI 44.13N 89.00W
07/10/2010 E0.50 INCH WAUSHARA WI TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH.

&&

$$

TERIE

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KGRB [102015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 102015
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
315 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0249 PM HAIL WILD ROSE 44.18N 89.25W
07/10/2010 E1.00 INCH WAUSHARA WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0254 PM HAIL OSHKOSH 44.01N 88.55W
07/10/2010 E0.50 INCH WINNEBAGO WI TRAINED SPOTTER

1/2 TO 3/4 IN HAIL. WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

0300 PM HAIL OSHKOSH 44.01N 88.55W
07/10/2010 E1.00 INCH WINNEBAGO WI TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME URBAN FLOODING

0310 PM HAIL OSHKOSH 44.01N 88.55W
07/10/2010 E1.25 INCH WINNEBAGO WI TRAINED SPOTTER

1 TO 1.25 INCH HAIL

&&

$$

TERIE

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KGSP [102013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 102013
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
412 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 PM TSTM WND DMG RICHBURG 34.72N 81.02W
07/09/2010 CHESTER SC TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN IN RICHBURG

0720 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW GREAT FALLS 34.60N 80.93W
07/09/2010 CHESTER SC TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED TREES BLOWN DOWN ON HIGHWAY 97 NEAR
GREAT FALLS.

0530 PM TSTM WND DMG 11 NNE PICKENS 35.03N 82.63W
07/09/2010 PICKENS SC CO-OP OBSERVER

COCORAHS OBSERVER REPORTED LARGE TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN

&&

$$

LANE

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KTWC [101954]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 101954
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1254 PM MST SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 AM LIGHTNING 12 E TUCSON 32.24N 110.74W
07/10/2010 PIMA AZ FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

*** 2 INJ *** TWO PEOPLE INJURED DUE TO A LIGHTNING
STRIKE ON THE FRED ENKE GOLF COURSE AT S. PANTANO RD. AND
E. IRVINGTON RD.

&&

$$

GMOLLERE

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KOKX [101954]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KOKX 101954 CCB
LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
354 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0222 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE HEMPSTEAD 40.72N 73.57W
07/10/2010 NASSAU NY TRAINED SPOTTER

CAR STRANDED IN APPROXIMATELY 2 FEET OF WATER ON
WESTBOUND HEMPSTEAD TURNPIKE AND CARMAN AVENUE.
ROAD CLOSED.

&&

$$

DS

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KBOX [101953]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 101953
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
353 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0244 PM FLOOD SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

3.5 FEET OF WATER REPORTED AT WASHINGTON AT MCGRATH
OBRIEN HIGHWAY. ALSO...CAR REPORTED STUCK IN LOCAL FLOOD
WATERS ON WASHINGTON STREET.

0255 PM FLASH FLOOD WATERTOWN 42.37N 71.18W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WATER UP TO DOORS OF HOMES ON ARLINGTON STREET.

0256 PM FLASH FLOOD BELMONT 42.40N 71.17W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

MAPLE STREET FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0257 PM FLASH FLOOD BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
07/10/2010 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEAPORT BLVD. HAD MANHOLE COVERS MISSING AND GUSHING
WATER.

0259 PM FLASH FLOOD BELMONT 42.40N 71.17W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

FAIRVIEW AND BELMONT STREETS...4 INCHES OF WATER ON
ROADWAY. 12 INCHES OF STANDING WATER REPORTED AT UNITY
AND BELMONT STREETS WITH A CAR STRANDED.

0310 PM FLASH FLOOD CAMBRIDGE 42.38N 71.12W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

CAR FLOODED AND STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS ON LAND BLVD NEAR
THE POWER PLANT.

0310 PM FLASH FLOOD SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WATER RESCUE SHUTTING DOWN UNION SQUARE. WATER DAMAGE AT
POLICE STATION. WATER REPORTED ABOVE CARS.

0311 PM FLASH FLOOD SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

DAY STREET FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0314 PM FLASH FLOOD BOSTON 42.32N 71.07W
07/10/2010 SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

2 CARS STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS ON COREY ROAD.

0316 PM FLASH FLOOD PEABODY 42.53N 70.97W
07/10/2010 ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WATER OVER CAR HUBCAPS AT SHAWS LANE AT FOUNTAIN STREET.
OAK STREET FLOODED. MARGIN STREET FLOODED. CAR STUCK AT
FOSTER BY SPRING STREET.

0318 PM FLASH FLOOD MEDFORD 42.42N 71.11W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

MAIN AND MYSTIC INTERSECTION FLOODED.

0318 PM FLASH FLOOD CAMBRIDGE 42.38N 71.12W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

FRESH POND ROTARY FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0319 PM FLOOD EAST PROVIDENCE 41.80N 71.36W
07/10/2010 PROVIDENCE RI AMATEUR RADIO

NEWPORT AVE NEAR BEVERAGE HILL FLOODED.

0325 PM FLOOD ATTLEBOROUGH 41.93N 71.30W
07/10/2010 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

BROWN STREET FLOODED. CARS STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS AT
INTERSECTION OF ROUTES 1 AND 123.

0339 PM FLASH FLOOD SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL CARS SUBMERGED UNDER WATER ON MCGRATH HIGHWAY.
DIVE TEAMS HAVE BEEN REQUESTED BY FIRE DEPT.

&&

$$

FIELD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101953
SWODY1
SPC AC 101952

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL
PLAINS...NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY...

THREE CHANGES HAVE BEEN TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THE 20Z ISSUANCE. THE
FIRST IS EXPAND THE SLIGHT RISK AREA EWD TO THE SHORE OF LAKE
MICHIGAN ACROSS CNTRL AND ERN WI WHERE STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. ALTHOUGH
DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS NOT THAT STRONG ACCORDING TO REGIONAL WSR-88D
VWPS...OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT SFC TO 850 MB LAPSE RATES
EXCEED 8.0 C/KM. THIS ALONG WITH UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES SHOULD
BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS. THE SECOND CHANGE IS TO EXTEND
THE 5 PERCENT HAIL AND WIND PROBABILITIES WWD ACROSS ECNTRL CO AND
FAR SE WY. SEVERAL CELLS HAVE INITIATED IN THIS AREA WHERE STEEP
LAPSE RATES MAY CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
HAIL. THE THIRD CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO MOVE THE 5 PERCENT WIND
PROBABILITY IN ERN NC TO JUST BEHIND A CONVECTIVE LINE ORIENTED
NE-SW ALONG A COLD FRONT.

..BROYLES.. 07/10/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1114 AM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010/

...UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 12Z UPPER-AIR ANALYSIS INDICATE A
COUPLE OF IMPULSES EMBEDDED WITHIN WNWLY FLOW REGIME...ONE OVER THE
ERN DAKOTAS INTO MN AND THE OTHER OVER CNTRL WY. THE FORMER IS
CONTRIBUTING TO ONGOING ELEVATED TSTMS THIS MORNING ACROSS NERN SD
AND CNTRL/SRN MN WITHIN A STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT. CONTINUED
DAYTIME HEATING COUPLED WITH A MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD
ALLOW THIS ACTIVITY TO BECOME PROGRESSIVELY SURFACE-BASED BY
AFTERNOON...ROOTED WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPE
OF 2000-2500 J/KG. DESPITE A GENERAL WEAKNESS IN THE HIGH-LEVEL
WIND FIELD...FORECAST HODOGRAPHS INDICATE VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT
THROUGH THE LOWEST 5-6 KM AGL AND 25-35 KT OF DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR...SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS CAPABLE
OF MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

MEANWHILE...EXTRAPOLATION OF UPSTREAM WY IMPULSE PLACES IT INTO WRN
SD/NEB PNHDL BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. AIR MASS E OF SURFACE
TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BECOME RATHER HOT...AND WHEN COUPLED WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW/MID 60S...ENVIRONMENT ACROSS
CNTRL/ERN SD AND MUCH OF NEB WILL ALSO BECOME MODERATE TO STRONGLY
UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE RANGING FROM 1500-2000 J/KG OVER SWRN NEB TO
3000-3500 J/KG ACROSS PARTS OF ERN SD. INCREASING INFLUENCE OF
ABOVE-MENTIONED SHORT WAVE TROUGH IN CONCERT WITH THE STRONG
BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING ARE EXPECTED TO FOSTER ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH WITHIN A KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT FEATURING VEERING WIND PROFILES AND 30-40 KT OF
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...HIGH-LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK
ACROSS SD...GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING WITH SWD EXTENT OWING TO ZONAL
UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAK IN PLACE FROM THE CNTRL ROCKIES INTO CNTRL
PLAINS. GIVEN SETUP WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF MAINLY LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR A TORNADO OR
TWO WILL EXIST ACROSS ERN SD WHERE SLIGHTLY STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
WILL COINCIDE WITH THE STRONG INSTABILITY. STORMS MAY GROW UPSCALE
INTO ONE OR MULTIPLE MCS/S TONIGHT WITH AT LEAST AN ISOLATED THREAT
FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.

FINALLY...AN ADDITIONAL BAND OF TSTMS MAY FORM THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING ALONG COLD FRONT SAGGING SWD INTO ND. WHILE ENVIRONMENT IS
NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME QUITE AS UNSTABLE AS POINTS TO THE
SOUTH...THE PRESENCE OF MODEST CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL
SHEAR MAY PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH THE
THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.

...ERN CAROLINAS SWWD ACROSS GULF COAST STATES THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED PW DATA INDICATE THE
CONTINUED PRESENCE OF A MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN ADVANCE OF
SURFACE FRONT SLOWLY SETTLING SEWD. THESE SOUNDING DATA ALONG WITH
MORE CURRENT VWP OBSERVATIONS SHOW WLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW VEERING TO
WNWLY ALOFT WITH GENERALLY 20-25 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. WHILE THE
MAJORITY OF TSTMS FORMING ACROSS WARM SECTOR TODAY WILL BE
PULSE-TYPE...THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR A CLUSTER OR TWO TO
ORGANIZE INTO A MULTICELL COMPLEX /WITH LOCALLY HIGHER WIND THREAT/
SIMILAR TO THAT WHICH OCCURRED OVER THE MIDLANDS AND PEE DEE REGION
OF SC LAST EVENING. DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN WHERE THIS MIGHT
ACTUALLY OCCUR...WILL MAINTAIN LOW WIND PROBABILITIES.

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1238

ACUS11 KWNS 101947
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101946
NDZ000-102145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1238
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0246 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 101946Z - 102145Z

TSTMS ARE STARTING TO DEVELOP IN NERN MT AND SRN SASKATCHEWAN.
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGHOUT
THE AFTERNOON ACROSS NRN ND. A WW IS POSSIBLE.

STRONG HEATING IN COMBINATION WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S
F HAS RESULTED IN MLCAPE VALUES OVER 1000 J/KG ACROSS NWRN ND. A
COLD FRONT SAGGING SWD OUT OF CANADA WILL BE THE FOCUS OF STORM
INITIATION. MESOANALYSIS INDICATES THAT CINH HAS BEEN ELIMINATED IN
THE REGION OF MAXIMUM SURFACE CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT IN
NWRN ND. WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-35 KNOTS IN PLACE...THE
STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

..JIRAK.. 07/10/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

LAT...LON 48070395 48320336 48570267 48800191 48870131 48920082
48950016 48989934 48969869 48969785 48929745 48799723
48669716 48559722 48479776 48459834 48389887 48289989
47950154 47710230 47610267 47520297 47460322 47480362
48070395

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KGRB [101936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 101936
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
235 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0217 PM HAIL PLOVER 44.45N 89.53W
07/10/2010 M1.00 INCH PORTAGE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH

&&

$$

TERIE

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 447

WWUS20 KWNS 101934
SEL7
SPC WW 101934
SDZ000-110300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 447
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND PART OF EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF ABERDEEN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 75 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CHAMBERLAIN SOUTH DAKOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 446...

DISCUSSION...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS AHEAD OF WEAK SURFACE LOW /W
OF ABR/ AND ATTENDANT PRESSURE TROUGH HAVE LED TO A STRONGLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS THIS AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE OF 3000-4000 J/KG.
SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF INITIAL SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW OVER MN HAS
INHIBITED SURFACE-BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR THUS
FAR. HOWEVER...THE INCREASING INFLUENCE OF AN UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE
TROUGH MOVING INTO WRN SD SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. AREA PROFILER AND VWP DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MID AND HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELD REMAINS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 30-35 KT. HOWEVER...VERTICAL WIND PROFILES DO EXHIBIT
VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT WITH 30-35 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. AS
SUCH...ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR STRONG/ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING
SUPERCELLS. WHILE A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...IT APPEARS THAT LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28020.

...MEAD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1237

ACUS11 KWNS 101911
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101911
NCZ000-SCZ000-102045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1237
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PIEDMONT/COASTAL PORTIONS OF SC/NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 101911Z - 102045Z

STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS MAY POSE A DAMAGING WIND THREAT ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT/COASTAL PORTIONS OF SC/NC THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. A WATCH
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SCATTERED-BROKEN CLUSTERS OF TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO CONGEAL/SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS THE PIEDMONT/COASTAL PORTIONS OF SC/NC ALONG/JUST
AHEAD OF A SOUTHEAST ADVANCING COLD FRONT. WHILE LOW TO MID
TROPOSPHERIC FLOW IS RELATIVELY WEAK...SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING
APPEARS TO BE OCCURRING ALOFT...AND THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE
SUSTENANCE/EASTWARD PROPAGATION OF TSTM CLUSTERS TOWARD/ACROSS THE
COASTAL PORTIONS OF NC/SC THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. WITH
A WINDOW FOR SOME ADDITIONAL HEATING...A HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT
AIRMASS /GPS DERIVED PERCEPTIBLE WATER VALUES OF 2.2 INCHES/...WITH
NEAR 90F SURFACE TEMPERATURES/STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPE
ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 1500-2000 J/KG...PERIODIC DOWNBURSTS
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

..GUYER.. 07/10/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

LAT...LON 36117646 35977529 34877591 32478042 33978171 34567967
35047809 36117646

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KGRB [101911]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 101911
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
211 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0210 PM HAIL PLOVER 44.45N 89.53W
07/10/2010 E0.50 INCH PORTAGE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BERSCH

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KDVN [101906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 101906
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
206 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0157 PM TSTM WND GST 5 SE PEARL CITY 42.22N 89.76W
07/10/2010 E50 MPH STEPHENSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0157 PM HAIL 5 SE PEARL CITY 42.22N 89.76W
07/10/2010 E0.50 INCH STEPHENSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KBOX [101904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBOX 101904
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
258 PM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0244 PM FLOOD SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
07/10/2010 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

3.5 FEET OF WATER REPORTED AT WASHINGTON AT MCGRATH
OBRIEN HIGHWAY. ALSO...CAR REPORTED STUCK IN LOCAL FLOOD
WATERS ON WASHINGTON STREET.

&&

$$

FIELD

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 446

WWUS20 KWNS 101857
SEL6
SPC WW 101857
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-110300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 446
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

FAR NORTHEAST COLORADO
NORTHWEST KANSAS
MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF
VALENTINE NEBRASKA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GOODLAND
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...STRONG DAYTIME HEATING AND THE INCREASING INFLUENCE OF
MIDLEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE W ARE EXPECTED TO FOSTER
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG LEE TROUGH WITHIN THE
NEXT ONE TO TWO HOURS. AMBIENT AIR MASS E OF LEE TROUGH IS ALREADY
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG...WITH FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION ANTICIPATED THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. WHEN COUPLED
WITH STEADILY STRENGTHENING MID AND HIGH-LEVEL FLOW ATTENDANT TO
SHORT WAVE TROUGH...ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WITH THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28020.

...MEAD

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