KJKL [161704]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 161704
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
104 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM HAIL SECO 37.17N 82.73W
05/15/2010 E1.00 INCH LETCHER KY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JCARICO

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KJAN [161655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KJAN 161655
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1155 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N GEORGETOWN 31.90N 90.16W
05/15/2010 COPIAH MS EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWELINES DOWN.

0240 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW HARRISVILLE 31.95N 90.10W
05/15/2010 SIMPSON MS FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

4 TO 5 TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN 1 TO 2 MILES SW OF
HARRISVILLE.

0245 PM TSTM WND DMG MAGEE 31.87N 89.73W
05/15/2010 SIMPSON MS BROADCAST MEDIA

LIMBS DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES IN MAGEE. REPORTED BY
WLBT-TV

0255 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE STAR 32.07N 90.02W
05/15/2010 RANKIN MS UTILITY COMPANY

A FEW TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN WITH A COUPLE ON SOME POWER
LINES.

0325 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 E POLKVILLE 32.19N 89.52W
05/15/2010 SMITH MS EMERGENCY MNGR

LARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 563 NEAR POLKVILLE. A
FEW OTHER TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY AS
WELL.

0334 PM TSTM WND DMG FOREST 32.36N 89.47W
05/15/2010 SCOTT MS NWS EMPLOYEE

TREE SNAPPED AND FELL ONTO AN OUTBUILDING OFF HWY 35.
ANOTHER TREE DOWN ALONG THE HWY 35 AND I-20 INTERCHANGE.

0417 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 NW PHILADELPHIA 32.85N 89.19W
05/15/2010 NESHOBA MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN. TREE BLOCKING ROAD 397 JUST N OF
ARLINGTON...TREE BLOCKING ONE LANE OF HWY 427...TREE
BLOCKING ROAD 123... TREE SNAPPED POWER POLE HWY 19.
REPORTED BY NESHOBA EM

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG PHILADELPHIA 32.77N 89.11W
05/15/2010 NESHOBA MS EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL POWER OUTAGES OVER PHILADELPHIA AND OTHER PARTS
OF NESHOBA COUNTY. REPORTED BY NESHOBA EM

0500 AM FLASH FLOOD CALEDONIA 33.68N 88.33W
05/16/2010 LOWNDES MS PUBLIC

FLOODING REPORTED ON MULTIPLE ROADWAYS...INCLUDING WOLF
ROAD...BETWEEN 500 AM AND 530 AM. APPROXIMATELY ONE INCH
OF FLOWING WATER WAS REPORTED ON THESE ROADWAYS.

0945 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 SW BOGUE CHITTO 31.38N 90.51W
05/16/2010 LINCOLN MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO RDS HAVE BEEN FLOODED AND CLOSED...WALLACE DR AND HOG
CHAIN RD.

&&

$$

CME

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KJAN [161655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KJAN 161655
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1154 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW HARRISVILLE 31.95N 90.10W
05/15/2010 SIMPSON MS FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

4 TO 5 TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN 1 TO 2 MILES SW OF
HARRISVILLE.

&&

$$

CME

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KJAN [161651]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 161651
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1151 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE STAR 32.07N 90.02W
05/15/2010 RANKIN MS UTILITY COMPANY

A FEW TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN WITH A COUPLE ON SOME POWER
LINES.

&&

$$

CME

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KEWX [161647]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161647
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1147 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 NW DEL RIO 29.44N 100.95W
05/16/2010 M1.00 INCH VAL VERDE TX COCORAHS

1 INCH OF RAIN IN 45 MINUTES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000282

$$

MCDONALD

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KEWX [161646]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161646
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1146 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM FLASH FLOOD N DEL RIO 29.38N 100.90W
05/16/2010 VAL VERDE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS ARE CLOSED IN AND AROUND DEL RIO DUE TO
HIGH WATER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000281

$$

MCDONALD

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KEWX [161644]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161644
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1144 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 AM TSTM WND DMG 8 N DEL RIO 29.49N 100.90W
05/16/2010 VAL VERDE TX PARK SERVICE

A FISHING BOAT WAS FLIPPED DUE TO HIGH WIND GUSTS NEAR
TANK CANYON.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000280

$$

MCDONALD

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KJKL [161643]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 161643
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1242 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ENE JACKSON 37.58N 83.31W
05/15/2010 BREATHITT KY NWS EMPLOYEE

ONE TREE DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 30. ALSO LARGE TREE LIMB ON
SIGN AT INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 30 AND AIRPORT ROAD.

&&

$$

JCARICO

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KJKL [161628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 161628
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1228 PM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S CLOVER BOTTOM 37.48N 84.15W
05/15/2010 JACKSON KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 1955

&&

$$

JCARICO

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161624
SWODY1
SPC AC 161622

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

VALID 161630Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE S CNTRL
U.S....

...SRN PLAINS...
WEAK UPPER LOW SWRN NEB WITH TROUGH SWD TO TX PANHANDLE CONTINUES
ESEWD TO LWR MO/MS VALLEY BY 12Z MON. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SURFACE
REFLECTION OF TROUGH AS LOWER TROP FLOW GENERALLY WEAK OVER MUCH OF
TX/OK. HOWEVER WITH THE RELATIVELY COLD/STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
ACCOMPANYING UPPER SYSTEM AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER...WHERE HEATING
CAN OCCUR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ABLE TO DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON AS
TEMPS RISE TO 80F OR ABOVE.

THERE IS A SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM DECAYING MCS OVER SRN KS
SWWD THRU FAR NWRN OK AND ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE. LOOK LIKE CLOUDS
WILL HOLD IN ALONG KS/OK BORDER WHILE CURRENTLY MUCH OF WRN OK
HEATING UP WELL. THUS FOCUS FOR ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP E/SE ACROSS MUCH OF NRN/CENTRAL OK THIS AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED
BOTH WITH THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITH THE SEWD MOVING BOUNDARY
AND THE ZONE OF DIFFERENTIAL HEATING TAKING PLACE S OF KS/OK BORDER.
WITH ABOUT 30KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MLCAPES AOA 2000 J/KG STORM
MODE INITIALLY MULTICELL VICINITY BOUNDARIES...BECOMING MORE LINEAR
LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. LARGE HAIL WILL BE PRIMARY THREAT
GIVEN THE COOL/STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH SOME WIND DAMAGE
CONCERN AS STORMS BECOME MORE OUTFLOW DOMINATED. HAVE SHIFTED THE
EARLIER HIGHER HAIL PROBS NEWD BASED ON THE ABOVE SCENARIO.

FURTHER S AND E ACROSS AR AND TX...STORMS SHOULD BECOME COMMON BY
MID/LATE AFTERNOON AS CINH DISSIPATES MUCH OF AREA. HOWEVER LACK OF
FOCUS AND WEAK SHEAR MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT AN AREA OF AN
ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER LARGE HAIL AND BRIEF DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER STORMS GIVEN ADEQUATE SHEAR AND MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7C/KM.

...SERN STATES...
STRONG STORMS WILL FORM WITH DAYTIME HEATING ALONG/S OF THE RESIDUAL
FRONTAL ZONE/SFC LOW OVER REGION. MODEST DEEP SHEAR AND MOIST
ENVIRONMENT MAY SUPPORT UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO BANDS/SMALL
CLUSTERS WITH LOCALLY DMGG WIND/MARGINALLY SVR HAIL.
WILL MAINTAIN MARGINAL SEVERE PROBABILITIES GIVEN LIMITED SHEAR AND
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES LESS THAN 7C/KM.

...ORE/SRN WA...
SUBSTANTIAL HEIGHT FALLS WILL OVERSPREAD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATER
TODAY/TONIGHT AS MULTIPLE MID LVL IMPULSES CROSS REGION AHEAD OF
AMPLIFYING OFFSHORE TROUGH. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/ INSTABILITY AND
MODERATELY STRONG/LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL SSW WIND FIELD MAY YIELD
SOME STRONG/SVR TSTMS WITH HAIL/GUSTY WINDS VICINITY ORE CASCADES BY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...SPREADING NWD TO WA CASCADES THIS EVENING.

..HALES/HURLBUT.. 05/16/2010

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KEWX [161607]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161607
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1107 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM TSTM WND GST N LAUGHLIN AFB 29.36N 100.78W
05/16/2010 M61 MPH VAL VERDE TX ASOS

KDLF ASOS WIND GUSTS 290 AT 53 KNOTS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000279

$$

MCDONALD

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KJKL [161559]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 161559
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1159 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 E SOMERSET 37.08N 84.48W
05/15/2010 PULASKI KY EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE TREE DOWN IN THE WHITE LILY AREA.

&&

$$

JCARICO

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KMEG [161557]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMEG 161557
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1057 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 PM HAIL DRESDEN 36.28N 88.69W
05/15/2010 E1.00 INCH WEAKLEY TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT THE WEAKLEY COUNTY SHERIFF/S OFFICE.

0656 PM HAIL 1 NW TREZEVANT 36.02N 88.63W
05/15/2010 E1.75 INCH CARROLL TN PUBLIC

0703 PM HAIL 1 NW TREZEVANT 36.02N 88.63W
05/15/2010 E1.00 INCH CARROLL TN TRAINED SPOTTER

0726 PM HAIL 5 NE TREZEVANT 36.06N 88.56W
05/15/2010 E1.00 INCH CARROLL TN PUBLIC

QUARTER HAIL NEAR ST JOHN BAPTIST CHURCH

0150 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 N GERMANTOWN 35.15N 89.79W
05/16/2010 SHELBY TN EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING REPORTING AT HOUSTON LEVEE AND PLUM CREEK DRIVE.
SHERIFF OFFICER WAS TURNING CARS AWAY FROM AREA.

0210 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 N GERMANTOWN 35.15N 89.79W
05/16/2010 SHELBY TN EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING REPORTED AT DEXTER AND LENOW.

0225 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 S BARTLETT 35.20N 89.84W
05/16/2010 SHELBY TN EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING REPORTED AT CENTURY CENTER AND KIRBY-WHITTEN RD
AND ALSO AT SYCAMORE VIEW NEAR I-40.

&&

$$

MBS

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KTSA [161554]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 161554
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1054 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM TSTM WND DMG AFTON 36.69N 94.96W
05/16/2010 OTTAWA OK EMERGENCY MNGR

SMALL TREES DOWNED. POWER LINES AND 3-4 INCH DIAMETER
BRANCHES DOWNED.

&&

$$

MEP

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KLIX [161549]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 161549
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1049 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0913 AM TSTM WND DMG GRETNA 29.91N 90.05W
05/16/2010 JEFFERSON LA TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN IN THE CITY OF GRETNA...SPOTTER DID OBSERVE
ROTATION...POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

$$

CBANNAN

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KLIX [161549]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 161549
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1048 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1047 AM FLASH FLOOD NEW ORLEANS 29.97N 90.08W
05/16/2010 ORLEANS LA EMERGENCY MNGR

2.5 INCHES RAIN BETWEEN 8 AM AND 10 AM AT CITY HALL.
PUMPS AT MAXIMUM CAPACITY. NUMEROUS ROADS IMPASSIBLE.
CARS FLOATING IN SEVERAL INTERSECTIONS.

&&

$$

BWAGNER

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KJKL [161545]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KJKL 161545
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1145 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM HAIL 1 E PARMLEYSVILLE 36.68N 84.74W
05/15/2010 E1.00 INCH WAYNE KY PUBLIC

0508 PM HAIL 12 NE MONTICELLO 36.96N 84.69W
05/15/2010 M1.00 INCH WAYNE KY CO-OP OBSERVER

ONE INCH HAIL AND ONE TREE DOWN AT BETSEY.

0526 PM HAIL 7 W MONTICELLO 36.84N 84.97W
05/15/2010 E1.00 INCH WAYNE KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT MURL.

0530 PM HAIL 9 W MONTICELLO 36.84N 85.01W
05/15/2010 E0.50 INCH WAYNE KY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

DIME SIZE HAIL AT CABELL

0532 PM HAIL 9 W MONTICELLO 36.84N 85.01W
05/15/2010 M1.00 INCH WAYNE KY TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE INCH HAIL IN THE CABELL AREA.

0611 PM HAIL 7 N SANDGAP 37.59N 84.09W
05/15/2010 M1.75 INCH ESTILL KY TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN HISEL.

0622 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE MOUNT VERNON 37.33N 84.31W
05/15/2010 ROCKCASTLE KY TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL 6-8 INCH DIAMETER TREE TOPS DOWNED AT TRAINED
SPOTTERS HOUSE ALONG WITH HIS NEIGHBOR.

0630 PM HAIL FRAKES 36.64N 83.93W
05/15/2010 E1.25 INCH BELL KY TRAINED SPOTTER

FRIEND OF A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL
IN FRAKES.

0641 PM HAIL 6 N SANDGAP 37.57N 84.09W
05/15/2010 M1.50 INCH ESTILL KY TRAINED SPOTTER

1.5 INCH HAIL ON HWY 2004 AROUND KERBY KNOB.

0700 PM HAIL MIDDLESBORO 36.61N 83.72W
05/15/2010 E1.00 INCH BELL KY TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS ONE INCH HAIL.

0704 PM HAIL MIDDLESBORO 36.61N 83.72W
05/15/2010 E0.50 INCH BELL KY TRAINED SPOTTER

TORRENTIAL RAIN AND STRONG WINDS AT MIDDLESBORO MALL

0704 PM HAIL BELLE POINT 37.56N 83.75W
05/15/2010 M1.25 INCH LEE KY TRAINED SPOTTER

RETIRED NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS HALF DOLLARS SIZE HAIL.

0705 PM TSTM WND DMG MIDDLESBORO 36.61N 83.72W
05/15/2010 BELL KY TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO GOOD SIZED TREES DOWN IN CITY LIMITS ALONG WITH ANKLE
DEEP WATER ON MOST STREETS AND PARKING LOTS.

0710 PM HAIL MIDDLESBORO 36.61N 83.72W
05/15/2010 E0.75 INCH BELL KY TRAINED SPOTTER

0741 PM FLASH FLOOD MIDDLESBORO 36.61N 83.72W
05/15/2010 BELL KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

KENTUCKY STATE POLICE REPORTS HIGHWAY 25E HAS 1 FOOT OF
WATER ACROSS ALL 4 LANES ABOUT 1.5 MILE NORTH OF
TENNESSEE LINE.

0753 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NW JACKSON 37.59N 83.42W
05/15/2010 BREATHITT KY NWS EMPLOYEE

LARGE TREE DOWN ON OAKWOOD DRIVE IN WOLVERINE.

1027 PM FLASH FLOOD PINEVILLE 36.76N 83.70W
05/15/2010 BELL KY PUBLIC

ROUTE 1344 IS COVERED WITH WATER IN MOST AREAS WITH SOME
TREES DOWN. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED IN THIS AREA TONIGHT.

&&

$$

JCARICO

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KJKL [161544]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KJKL 161544
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1144 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0508 PM HAIL 12 NE MONTICELLO 36.96N 84.69W
05/15/2010 M1.00 INCH WAYNE KY CO-OP OBSERVER

ONE INCH HAIL AND ONE TREE DOWN AT BETSEY.

&&

$$

JCARICO

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KSGF [161541]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 161541
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1041 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1035 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 ESE GALLOWAY 37.13N 93.19W
05/16/2010 GREENE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

E FARM ROAD 174 IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING BETWEEN MO HWY
J AND S FARM ROAD 193.

&&

$$

CCROWE

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KGSP [161534]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 161534
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1134 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM HAIL 2 SE TALLULAH FALLS 34.70N 83.36W
05/15/2010 E0.75 INCH HABERSHAM GA PARK/FOREST SRVC

&&

$$

KRENTZ

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KEWX [161531]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161531
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1031 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 NNW DEL RIO 29.48N 100.95W
05/16/2010 M1.41 INCH VAL VERDE TX COCORAHS

1.41 INCHES IN AN HOUR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000278

$$

MCDONALD

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KSGF [161524]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 161524
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1024 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1023 AM FLASH FLOOD ANDERSON 36.65N 94.44W
05/16/2010 MCDONALD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE MAJORITY OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS ACROSS MCDONALD
COUNTY ARE IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

$$

CCROWE

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KTFX [161524]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 161524
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
924 AM MDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0912 AM FLOOD 3 SE BELT 47.36N 110.88W
05/16/2010 CASCADE MT PUBLIC

BELT CREEK RUNNING ABOUT 10 INCHES ABOVE BANKFULL.

&&

$$

MPJ

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KGSP [161518]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 161518
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1118 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HAIL 1 SE INMAN 35.04N 82.08W
05/15/2010 E1.00 INCH SPARTANBURG SC TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KRENTZ

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KRAH [161508]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 161508
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1107 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1028 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WSW ARCADIA 35.95N 80.31W
05/15/2010 DAVIDSON NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

DAVIDSON COUNTY 911 RECEIVED REPORT OF 3 UTILITY POLES
DOWN AT 7740 N NC HWY 150 DUE TO TSTM WND DAMAGE.

&&

$$

TDH

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KJAN [161506]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 161506
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1006 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 SW BOGUE CHITTO 31.38N 90.51W
05/16/2010 LINCOLN MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO RDS HAVE BEEN FLOODED AND CLOSED...WALLACE DR AND HOG
CHAIN RD.

&&

$$

CME

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KJAN [161501]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 161501
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1001 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW HARRISVILLE 31.95N 90.10W
05/15/2010 SIMPSON MS FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

4 TO 5 TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN 1 TO 2 MILES SW OF
HARRISVILLE.

&&

$$

CME

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KMOB [161425]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMOB 161425
LSRMOB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
924 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM FLASH FLOOD 15 NE FORT MORGAN 30.38N 87.84W
05/16/2010 BALDWIN AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTS OF WATER COVERING FORT MORGAN ROAD IN SEVERAL
SPOTS

&&

$$

JFB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0580

ACUS11 KWNS 161422
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161422
TXZ000-161545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0580
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0922 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 161422Z - 161545Z

THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND WILL EXIST IN THE DEL RIO VICINITY NEXT 1-2
HOURS AS STORMS TRACK SEWD ALONG THE TX/MEXICO BORDER. A WW WILL
PROBABLY NOT BE NECESSARY UNLESS IT BECOMES EVIDENT THAT THE THREAT
WILL INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE.

THIS MORNING AN E-W STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM JUST S OF DEL
RIO EWD INTO THE SWRN PARTS OF S-CNTRL TX. A RESERVOIR OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY EXISTS SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY WITH 1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE.
A WELL ORGANIZED SUPERCELL/BOW ECHO WITH COMMA HEAD WAS LOCATED
ABOUT 15 MILES NW OF DEL RIO MOVING SE AT 20 KT. SELY STORM RELATIVE
INFLOW AROUND 20-25 KT AND MODERATE WLY FLOW ALOFT SHOULD MAINTAIN
SEWD PROPAGATION NEXT COUPLE HOURS...AND ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY AFFECT
THE DEL RIO VICINITY WITHIN THE HOUR. DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL
ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

..DIAL.. 05/16/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...

LAT...LON 29450097 29480017 29029970 28610029 29040067 29450097

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KEWX [161351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161351
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
851 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 W LOMA ALTA 29.92N 100.90W
05/16/2010 M1.70 INCH VAL VERDE TX PARK SERVICE

1.70 INCHES IN LESS THAN 2 HOURS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000277

$$

MCDONALD

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KFFC [161333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 161333
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
933 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM TSTM WND DMG SSW MOUNTAIN PARK 34.08N 84.41W
05/14/2010 FULTON GA BROADCAST MEDIA

SEVERAL TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

&&

$$

20

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KEWX [161302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161302
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
802 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0738 AM FLASH FLOOD 9 SW JUNO 30.06N 101.22W
05/16/2010 VAL VERDE TX CO-OP OBSERVER

HEAVY RAIN HAS CAUSED FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS
SOUTH OF JUNO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000276

$$

MCDONALD

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KEWX [161259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161259
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
759 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HAIL 11 W LANGTRY 29.82N 101.75W
05/16/2010 M0.70 INCH VAL VERDE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME SIZE HAIL WEST OF LANGTRY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000275

$$

MCDONALD

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KEWX [161258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161258
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
758 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0713 AM HAIL 17 N DEL RIO 29.62N 100.90W
05/16/2010 E0.50 INCH VAL VERDE TX PUBLIC

PEA TO MARBLE HAIL AND SOME FLOODING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000274

$$

MCDONALD

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KEWX [161257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161257
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
756 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 AM HEAVY RAIN 20 NW COMSTOCK 29.89N 101.40W
05/16/2010 M2.62 INCH VAL VERDE TX PUBLIC

2.62 INCHES IN 2 HOURS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000273

$$

MCDONALD

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KEWX [161255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 161255
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
755 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 AM HAIL 20 NW COMSTOCK 29.89N 101.40W
05/16/2010 E0.50 INCH VAL VERDE TX PUBLIC

PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1000272

$$

MCDONALD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161254
SWODY1
SPC AC 161252

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

VALID 161300Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE S CNTRL
U.S....

...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD...LOOSELY-ORGANIZED TROUGH WILL CONTINUE E ACROSS THE CNTRL
STATES THIS PERIOD AS UPSTREAM FULL-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE E
PACIFIC FURTHER AMPLIFIES AND ASSUMES A NEGATIVE TILT OFF THE W CST
EARLY MON. FEATURES WILL REMAIN WEAK AT THE SFC. A WEAK SFC LOW
WILL MOVE ENE FROM WRN TN TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WHILE A DIFFUSE FRONT PERSISTS IN ITS WAKE FROM NRN AR W/NW
TO THE SRN/CNTRL HI PLNS.

...SRN PLNS INTO SRN OZARKS/ARKLATEX...
WHILE FLOW IN MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK...A 30-40 KT WLY
MID LVL JET WILL PERSIST TODAY OVER OK AND N TX ON SRN SIDE OF
SLOWLY-PROGRESSIVE CNTRL PLNS UPR LOW. THIS FEATURE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY SEASONABLY COOL MID LVL TEMPS /AROUND MINUS 15 C AT
500 MB/. COUPLED WITH PWS OF 1.00-1.25 INCHES AND MODERATE TO
STRONG SFC HEATING...SETUP SHOULD FOSTER THE DEVELOPMENT NUMEROUS
DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORMS ALONG AND S OF AFOREMENTIONED FRONT.
SATELLITE LOOP SUGGESTS THAT DEEP FLOW OVER REGION REMAIN CYCLONIC
NATURE THROUGH THE DAY AS ADDITIONAL SMALLER SCALE DISTURBANCES
AMPLIFY ESEWD FROM THE CNTRL/CNTRL RCKYS. WEAK LOW LVL FLOW
SURMOUNTED BY LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW ALOFT SHOULD SUPPORT
SUSTAINED MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND PERHAPS A FEW MARGINAL
SUPERCELLS...WITH A VERY GOOD CHANCE FOR HAIL. FARTHER S...OTHER
STORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...MAY REDEVELOP/EVOLVE FROM ONGOING
CLUSTER NOW NEAR THE TX BIG BEND. AVAILABILITY OF RICH MOISTURE IN
THIS REGION MAY COMPENSATE FOR MORE LIMITED DEEP SHEAR TO YIELD A
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO. THE SVR THREAT
THROUGHOUT THE S CNTRL STATES SHOULD DIMINISH ...THOUGH NOT ENTIRELY
VANISH...WITH SUNSET.

...SERN STATES...
OTHER STRONG STORMS SHOULD FROM WITH DAYTIME HEATING ALONG/S OF THE
RESIDUAL FRONTAL ZONE/SFC LOW OVER REGION. MODEST DEEP SHEAR AND
MOIST ENVIRONMENT MAY SUPPORT UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO BANDS/SMALL
CLUSTERS WITH LOCALLY DMGG WIND/MARGINALLY SVR HAIL.

...ORE/SRN WA...
SUBSTANTIAL HEIGHT FALLS WILL OVERSPREAD THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST LATER
TODAY/TONIGHT AS MULTIPLE MID LVL IMPULSES CROSS REGION AHEAD OF
AMPLIFYING OFFSHORE TROUGH. SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/ INSTABILITY AND
MODERATELY STRONG/LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL SSW WIND FIELD MAY YIELD
SOME STRONG/SVR TSTMS WITH HAIL/GUSTY WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVE OVER W
CNTRL ORE AND POSSIBLY SRN WA.

..CORFIDI/JEWELL.. 05/16/2010

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KJAN [161140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 161140
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
640 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM FLASH FLOOD CALEDONIA 33.68N 88.33W
05/16/2010 LOWNDES MS PUBLIC

FLOODING REPORTED ON MULTIPLE ROADWAYS...INCLUDING WOLF
ROAD...BETWEEN 500 AM AND 530 AM. APPROXIMATELY ONE INCH
OF FLOWING WATER WAS REPORTED ON THESE ROADWAYS.

&&

$$

ACOHEN

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KSGF [161011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 161011
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
511 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 AM FLASH FLOOD NEOSHO 36.87N 94.37W
05/16/2010 NEWTON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING OCCURRING ON SPRING STREET AND HARMONY STREET IN
NEOSHO.

&&

$$

LINDENBERG

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KMHX [160957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMHX 160957
LSRMHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
556 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0524 AM MARINE TSTM WIND E DUCK 36.16N 75.75W
05/16/2010 M59 MPH DARE NC OTHER FEDERAL

WIND GUST MEASURED BY NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE EQUIPMENT AT
END OF DUCK PIER

&&

$$

RF

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KAKQ [160947]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KAKQ 160947
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
547 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 AM TSTM WND DMG CLARKSVILLE 36.62N 78.57W
05/16/2010 MECKLENBURG VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES.

0351 AM HAIL GATESVILLE 36.41N 76.76W
05/16/2010 E0.75 INCH GATES NC TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO PENNY SIZED HAIL AND 40 MPH WIND GUSTS.

&&

$$

LBROWN

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0579

ACUS11 KWNS 160937
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160937
TXZ000-161130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0579
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0437 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 160937Z - 161130Z

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST FOR
ANOTHER 2-4 HOURS.

STORMS HAVE ERUPTED OVER SWRN TX...LIKELY AIDED BY THE PRESENCE OF A
MID LEVEL THERMAL TROUGH WITH 500 MB TEMPERATURES TO -13 C NEAR THE
RIO GRANDE. AT THE SURFACE...A DIFFUSE SURFACE FRONT STRETCHES FROM
NEAR SAT WWD INTO NRN MEXICO. AREA PROFILERS AND GPS WATER VAPOR
SENSORS INDICATE SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW IS RESULTING IN MODEST MOISTURE
ADVECTION UP THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT...ALONG
WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED THERMAL TROUGH...IS HELPING STORMS TO FORM
DESPITE A RELATIVELY COOL SURFACE AIR MASS N OF THE BOUNDARY.

GIVEN FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 50 KT...STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND AMPLE MOISTURE...STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
SEVERE HAIL...WITH A FEW 1.50 TO 2.O0 INCH STONES POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGEST CORES. STORMS HAVE SHOWN A TENDENCY TO DISINTEGRATE
AROUND EDWARDS COUNTY...DUE TO A COMBINATION OF INCREASINGLY
DIFFLUENT 850 FLOW WITH EWD EXTENT AND PERHAPS A BIT MORE CIN.

..JEWELL.. 05/16/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

LAT...LON 29420274 29130293 29380346 29670368 30050370 30300345
30380309 30400242 30450113 30510013 30419982 30019981
29260026 28880068 29080079 29490109 29570136 29660154
29710187 29750226 29640261 29420274

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 160857
SWOD48
SPC AC 160857

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0357 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

VALID 191200Z - 241200Z

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT EARLY IN THE DAY 4
TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM MOVING EWD ACROSS THE
ROCKIES. IN RESPONSE...LOW-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD INCREASE ACROSS THE SRN
PLAINS WITH A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/DAY 4 ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS. IN
ADDITION...MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST THAT DEEP LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THE
WARM SECTOR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS. IF THIS
UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN MATERIALIZES...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
WOULD BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT FROM WRN KS SSEWD
ACROSS WRN AND CNTRL OK AS A DRYLINE ORGANIZES AND MOVES EWD ACROSS
THE REGION. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM APPEARS A BIT TOO WEAK TO WARRANT
AN OUTLOOK AREA. THE ECMWF AND GFS CONTINUE IN GOOD AGREEMENT MOVING
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS THURSDAY/DAY 5 AND
INTO THE MID-MS VALLEY ON FRIDAY/DAY 6. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WOULD
BE POSSIBLE IN THE ARKLATEX REGION THURSDAY AND IN THE OH AND TN
VALLEYS FRIDAY JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. BY SATURDAY/DAY
7 AND SUNDAY/DAY 8...THE MODELS DEVELOP A HIGHLY MERIDIONAL
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE WRN STATES BUT ARE SIGNIFICANTLY VARIANT
ON THE TIMING WITH THE GFS MUCH FASTER THAN THE ECMWF. AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM...A BROAD LOW-LEVEL JET WOULD RESULT IN A LARGE WARM SECTOR
ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS WITH A POSSIBLE SEVERE EVENT IN THE CNTRL
PLAINS/MID-MO VALLEY ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER...MUCH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS
CONCERNING THE TIMING OF THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM AND A SEVERE THREAT
AREA CAN NOT BE DRAWN ATTM.

..BROYLES.. 05/16/2010

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KMEG [160726]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMEG 160726
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
226 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 N GERMANTOWN 35.15N 89.79W
05/16/2010 SHELBY TN EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING REPORTING AT HOUSTON LEVEE AND PLUM CREEK DRIVE.
SHERIFF OFFICER WAS TURNING CARS AWAY FROM AREA.

0210 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 N GERMANTOWN 35.15N 89.79W
05/16/2010 SHELBY TN EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING REPORTED AT DEXTER AND LENOW.

0225 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 S BARTLETT 35.20N 89.84W
05/16/2010 SHELBY TN EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING REPORTED AT CENTURY CENTER AND KIRBY-WHITTEN RD
AND ALSO AT SYCAMORE VIEW NEAR I-40.

&&

$$

ARS

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KLCH [160722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 160722
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
221 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0135 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 S KAPLAN 29.97N 92.28W
05/16/2010 VERMILION LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

VERMILION PARISH SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED TREES AND POWER
LINES BLOWN DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 35 ABOUT 2 MILES SOUTH OF
KAPLAN.

&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 160713
SWODY3
SPC AC 160712

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TX AND THE
TX PANHANDLE...

...SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
TUESDAY AS A MID-LEVEL JET ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. AT THE
SFC...A MOIST AXIS SHOULD EXIST ACROSS WEST TX EXTENDING NNWWD INTO
SE CO WHERE MODEL FORECASTS DEVELOP MODERATE INSTABILITY BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES DUE TO THE APPROACH OF
THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND A CAPPING INVERSION WEAKENS...CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT SHOULD OCCUR NEAR THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET
FROM SE CO SSEWD ONTO THE CAPROCK OF WEST TX. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
ALONG THIS CORRIDOR AT 00Z SHOW STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL JET AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
SUGGESTING A THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL MAY DEVELOP. THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WOULD BE ON THE NRN EDGE OF STRONGEST
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE WHERE A SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN
INTRODUCED.

..BROYLES.. 05/16/2010

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KFFC [160706]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS52 KFFC 160706
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
306 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE MINERAL BLUFF 34.90N 84.26W
05/15/2010 FANNIN GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

ONE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON GEORGIA HIGHWAY 60.

0635 PM HAIL DAWSONVILLE 34.42N 84.12W
05/15/2010 E0.75 INCH DAWSON GA PUBLIC

&&

$$

RAB

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KRAH [160603]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 160603
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
203 AM EDT SUN MAY 16 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1048 PM HAIL 3 NNE HIGH POINT 36.02N 79.98W
05/15/2010 E1.00 INCH GUILFORD NC PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED AGAIN ALONG EAGLE VIEW
COURT NEAR EAST CHESTER DRIVE WITH A SECOND STORM.

&&

$$

BSD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160602
SWODY1
SPC AC 160600

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF OK/NORTH TX
TO THE ARKLATEX VICINITY...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE SPLIT/RELATIVELY PROGRESSIVE UPPER FLOW WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE CONUS THROUGH TONIGHT. WHILE LARGE SCALE MID/UPPER FLOW
WILL BE RELATIVELY MODEST...A SOMEWHAT ENHANCED BELT OF WESTERLIES
WILL EXIST ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN EASTWARD ADVANCING MID
LEVEL UPPER LOW CROSSING THE CENTRAL PLAINS...TO THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY EARLY MONDAY. AT THE SURFACE...A CONVECTIVELY
MODULATED FRONTAL ZONE ANGLING FROM PORTIONS OF TX TO THE TN
VALLEY/NC VICINITY WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS/TSTMS
ALONG/SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS TO ARKLATEX...
AS THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW MIGRATES EASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS TODAY...THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS...MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG/SOUTH OF A FAIRLY DIFFUSE SURFACE FRONT. BENEATH A
BELT OF 25-35 KT CYCLONIC MID LEVEL FLOW...MODERATE DESTABILIZATION
SEEMS PROBABLE THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN OK INTO
NORTH/WEST CENTRAL TX TO THE ARKLATEX. SEVERE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS...WITH MULTICELLULAR CLUSTERS/SOME
SUPERCELLS POSSIBLE.

...MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY TO THE CAROLINAS...
ALONG/SOUTH OF THE RESIDUAL FRONTAL ZONE...OTHER STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS
CAPABLE OF HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING FROM PORTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY TO
THE CAROLINAS. IN SPITE OF CORRIDORS OF STRONGER
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION SOUTH OF THE FRONT...RELATIVELY MODEST MID
LEVEL /25 KT/ FLOW IS SUGGESTIVE OF RELATIVELY LIMITED STORM
ORGANIZATION/MULTICELL CLUSTERS.

...ORE/SOUTHERN WA...
LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS WILL OCCUR OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WITH
MULTIPLE SUBTLE MID LEVEL DISTURBANCES CROSSING THE REGION AHEAD OF
MORE SUBSTANTIAL UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFICATION OVER THE EASTERN
PACIFIC. SUFFICIENT PW VALUES/INSTABILITY AND MODERATELY
STRONG/LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY YIELD
SOME STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CAPABLE OF HAIL/GUSTY WINDS ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL ORE/PERHAPS SOUTHERN WA.

..GUYER/ROGERS.. 05/16/2010

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 160551
SWODY2
SPC AC 160550

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2010

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF WEST TX...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CAROLINAS...

...WEST TX/ERN NM...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES MONDAY
WITH NORTHWEST FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. STRONG
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST BY MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS WEST TX WITH AN
AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY EXTENDING NNWWD INTO ERN NM. ALTHOUGH
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS FORECAST TO BE WEAK ACROSS WEST TX MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THE NAM AND GFS DEVELOP A CLUSTER OF STORMS
ON THE CAPROCK AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS MONDAY EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS NEAR LUBBOCK AT 00Z TUESDAY SHOW SUBSTANTIAL
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND ABOUT 40 KT OF MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WHICH
COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD CREATE AN
ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND LARGE HAIL. SOME
UNCERTAINTY EXISTS CONCERNING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE. FOR THIS
REASON...WILL DECREASE THE AREAL COVERAGE OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
ACROSS WEST TX.

...CAROLINAS/SRN APPALACHIANS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID-MS VALLEY MONDAY WITH A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT LOCATED FROM A SFC LOW IN THE OH VALLEY SEWD
INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND CAROLINAS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD INITIATE MONDAY AFTERNOON ON THE BOUNDARY AND ACROSS THE WARM
SECTOR. SOME MODEL SOLUTIONS DEVELOP A LARGE CLUSTER OF STORMS IN NC
ON THE WEST SIDE OF A 30 TO 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET. IF THIS
OCCURS...FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY SUGGEST A
THREAT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELLS WILL EXIST DUE TO MODERATE DEEP
LAYER SHEAR AND 25 TO 30 KT OF LOW-LEVEL FLOW. AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL
THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN AREAS WITH MAXIMIZED INSTABILITY.

..BROYLES.. 05/16/2010

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