KHGX [160446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 160446
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1046 PM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 PM HAIL THE WOODLANDS 30.16N 95.49W
02/15/2008 E0.75 INCH MONTGOMERY TX PUBLIC

HAIL REPORTED AT THE WOODLANDS MALL.

&&

$$

BLOOD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0234

ACUS11 KWNS 160438
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160438
LAZ000-TXZ000-160615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0234
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1038 PM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 160438Z - 160615Z

A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT ONGOING IN SE TX MAY CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF
THE NIGHT AS STORMS REDEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA. LARGE HAIL WOULD
LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THE ACTIVITY.

THE LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING
SWWD FROM EAST TX TO NEAR SAN ANTONIO AND A MOIST AXIS EXISTS AHEAD
OF THE BOUNDARY WITH MID TO UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS. SEVERAL ROTATING
STORMS ARE ONGOING ALONG THE MOIST AXIS AND THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS
SHOULD REMAIN SUSTAINED EWD INTO THE SABINE RIVER VALLEY OVERNIGHT.
SHORT-TERM MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP
ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND MOVE NEWD INTO SE TX AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR DUE TO A DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL JET WILL
CONTINUE A THREAT FOR ROTATING STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL. THE STORMS
MAY BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED DUE TO A WEAK CAPPING INVERSION SHOWN BY
THE LATEST RUC ANALYSIS. THIS SHOULD KEEP THE TORNADO THREAT
MARGINAL IN SPITE OF THE INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.

.BROYLES.. 02/16/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...

29919457 29689559 29779630 30289654 30609621 30849486
30729364 30169355

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KSJT [160434]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 160434
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1034 PM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 PM HAIL 5 N ABILENE 32.52N 99.73W
02/15/2008 E1.00 INCH JONES TX BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER HAIL COVERING THE GROUND JUST NORTH OF THE KTXS
NEWS STATION ON HIGHWAY 277.

&&

$$

LACY

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KSJT [160427]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 160427
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1027 PM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1025 PM HAIL 3 SE HAWLEY 32.58N 99.78W
02/15/2008 E1.00 INCH JONES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LACY

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KSJT [160415]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 160415
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1015 PM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1010 PM HAIL TYE 32.45N 99.87W
02/15/2008 E1.75 INCH TAYLOR TX TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTS RANGING FROM QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL IN
TYE.

&&

$$

LACY

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KAMA [151617]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KAMA 151617
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1017 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM WILDFIRE 3 WNW AMARILLO 35.22N 101.87W
02/13/2008 E500 ACRE POTTER TX NEWSPAPER

STARTED WEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF NW 11TH AVENUE AND
N FAIRMONT STREET...AND JUST NORTHWEST OF THE
INTERSECTION OF PROSPECT STREET AND NW 10TH AVENUE...AND
WAS CONTAINED NEAR BROADWAY DRIVE AND ST. FRANCIS
AVENUE. IMMEDIATE EVACUATIONS FOR THE AREA NORTH OF
HASTINGS AVENUE...EAST OF BROADWAY DRIVE...AND SOUTH OF
ST. FRANCIS AVENUE. ABOUT 80 FIREFIGHTERS AND TEXAS
FOREST SERVICE HEAVY AIRTANKERS WERE USED TO HELP
CONTAIN THE WILDFIRE. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED...BUT
SEVERAL OUTBUILDINGS AND FENCING WAS DESTROYED. ARSON
WAS DETERMINED TO BE THE CAUSE.

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER 00078

$$

KJS

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KAMA [151555]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KAMA 151555
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
955 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM WILDFIRE 3 WNW AMARILLO 35.22N 101.87W
02/13/2008 E500 ACRE POTTER TX NEWSPAPER

STARTED WEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF NW 11TH AVENUE AND
N FAIRMONT STREET...AND JUST NORTHWEST OF THE
INTERSECTION OF PROSPECT STREET AND NW 10TH AVENUE...AND
WAS CONTAINED NEAR BROADWAY DRIVE AND ST. FRANCIS
AVENUE. IMMEDIATE EVACUATIONS FOR THE AREA NORTH OF
HASTINGS AVENUE...EAST OF BROADWAY DRIVE...AND SOUTH OF
ST. FRANCIS AVENUE. ABOUT 80 FIREFIGHTERS AND TEXAS
FOREST SERVICE HEAVY AIRTANKERS WERE USED TO HELP
CONTAIN THE WILDFIRE. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED...BUT
SEVERAL STRUCTURES WERE REPORTEDLY DESTROYED. ARSON WAS
DETERMINED TO BE THE CAUSE.

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER 00078

$$

KJS

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KAMA [151527]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KAMA 151527
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
927 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM WILDFIRE 3 WNW AMARILLO 35.22N 101.87W
02/13/2008 E500 ACRE POTTER TX NEWSPAPER

STARTED JUST WEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF NW 11TH AVENUE
AND N FAIRMONT STREET...AND JUST NORTH OF THE
INTERSECTION OF PROSPECT STREET AND NW 10TH AVENUE...AND
WAS CONTAINED NEAR BROADWAY DRIVE AND ST. FRANCIS
AVENUE. IMMEDIATE EVACUATIONS FOR THE AREA NORTH OF
HASTINGS AVENUE...EAST OF BROADWAY DRIVE...AND SOUTH OF
ST. FRANCIS AVENUE. ABOUT 80 FIREFIGHTERS AND TEXAS
FOREST SERVICE HEAVY AIRTANKERS WERE USED TO HELP
CONTAIN THE WILDFIRE. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED...BUT
SEVERAL STRUCTURES WERE REPORTEDLY DESTROYED.

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER 00078

$$

KJS

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KAPX [151521]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KAPX 151521
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1021 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 AM SNOW MANISTEE 44.24N 86.33W
02/15/2008 M12.0 INCH MANISTEE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24HR TOTAL ENDING 6 AM.

0644 AM SNOW 1 W INTERLOCHEN 44.65N 85.77W
02/15/2008 M2.0 INCH GRAND TRAVERSE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12HR TOTAL ENDING 6 AM. SNOW DEPTH 19 INCHES.

0716 AM SNOW OSCODA 44.42N 83.33W
02/15/2008 M4.0 INCH IOSCO MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM.

0716 AM SNOW 11 N LAKE CITY 44.49N 85.21W
02/15/2008 M4.5 INCH MISSAUKEE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 17 INCHES.

0716 AM SNOW MANCELONA 44.90N 85.06W
02/15/2008 M4.0 INCH ANTRIM MI BROADCAST MEDIA

18HR TOTAL ENDING AT MIDNIGHT.

0716 AM SNOW 5 SE MANCELONA 44.85N 84.99W
02/15/2008 M2.0 INCH KALKASKA MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 21 INCHES.

0721 AM SNOW MANCELONA 44.90N 85.06W
02/15/2008 M4.5 INCH ANTRIM MI NWS EMPLOYEE

14HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM.

0721 AM SNOW MOORESTOWN 44.47N 84.95W
02/15/2008 M5.0 INCH MISSAUKEE MI BROADCAST MEDIA

24HR TOTAL ENDING 6 AM.

0725 AM SNOW LUPTON 44.43N 84.02W
02/15/2008 M3.0 INCH OGEMAW MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM.

0800 AM SNOW EAST JORDAN 45.16N 85.13W
02/15/2008 M3.0 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

0800 AM SNOW ELMIRA 45.07N 84.85W
02/15/2008 M3.5 INCH OTSEGO MI NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 19 IN.

0800 AM SNOW EAST TAWAS 45.16N 85.13W
02/15/2008 M3.5 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 12 IN.

&&

$$

SWR

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KAPX [151520]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 151520
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1019 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW EAST JORDAN 45.16N 85.13W
02/15/2008 M3.0 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM.

0800 AM SNOW ELMIRA 45.07N 84.85W
02/15/2008 M3.5 INCH OTSEGO MI NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 19 IN.

0800 AM SNOW EAST TAWAS 45.16N 85.13W
02/15/2008 M3.5 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 12 IN.

&&

$$

SWR

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KAMA [151500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 151500
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
900 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM WILDFIRE 3 WNW AMARILLO 35.22N 101.87W
02/13/2008 E500 ACRE POTTER TX NEWSPAPER

STARTED JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSECTION OF NW 11TH
AVENUE AND N MARYLAND STREET AND WAS CONTAINED NEAR
BROADWAY DRIVE AND ST. FRANCIS AVENUE. IMMEDIATE
EVACUATIONS FOR THE AREA NORTH OF HASTINGS AVENUE...EAST
OF BROADWAY DRIVE...AND SOUTH OF ST. FRANCIS AVENUE.
ABOUT 80 FIREFIGHTERS AND TEXAS FOREST SERVICE HEAVY
AIRTANKERS WERE USED TO HELP CONTAIN THE WILDFIRE. NO
INJURIES WERE REPORTED...BUT SEVERAL STRUCTURES WERE
REPORTEDLY DESTROYED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00078

$$

KJS

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KMQT [151510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 151510
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1009 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1008 AM SNOW 3 NE PIKE LAKE 46.68N 85.37W
02/15/2008 M6.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 16 HOURS. 2.0 INCHES IN LAST 8 HOURS.

&&

$$

SRF

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KPUB [151411]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 151411
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
710 AM MST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW CUCHARA 37.38N 105.10W
02/15/2008 M5.0 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0700 AM SNOW ROSITA 38.10N 105.33W
02/15/2008 E5.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

&&

$$

RMG

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KPUB [151359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 151359
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
658 AM MST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0656 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
02/15/2008 M19.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0656 AM SNOW 1 NNW MONARCH PASS 38.51N 106.33W
02/15/2008 M1.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0145 AM SNOW 2 NE LEADVILLE 39.27N 106.27W
02/15/2008 M6.2 INCH LAKE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0.47 WATER EQUIV.

0837 PM SNOW 3 NE FLORISSANT 38.99N 105.26W
02/14/2008 E3.5 INCH TELLER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0836 PM SNOW 3 NE FLORISSANT 38.99N 105.26W
02/14/2008 E3.5 INCH TELLER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0834 PM SNOW 3 NE FLORISSANT 38.99N 105.26W
02/14/2008 M3.5 INCH TELLER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0629 PM SNOW 4 WNW BUENA VISTA 38.86N 106.20W
02/14/2008 M4.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

BEGAN 6 AM ENDED 5 PM.

0407 PM SNOW 6 W WESTCLIFFE 38.13N 105.58W
02/14/2008 M2.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PAST 7 HOURS.

0356 PM SNOW LEADVILLE 39.25N 106.29W
02/14/2008 M4.8 INCH LAKE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAD 3.4 INCHES IN PAST 2 HOURS.

0135 PM SNOW 1 SSW BUENA VISTA 38.83N 106.14W
02/14/2008 M3.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1115 AM SNOW 1 SSW BUENA VISTA 38.83N 106.14W
02/14/2008 M1.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 0600...0.05 WATER CONTENT

&&

THE TOTALS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET
CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE
FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION.

SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT

INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
19.00 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS CO MINERAL 0656 AM
6.20 2 NE LEADVILLE CO LAKE 0145 AM
0.47 WATER EQUIV.
4.80 LEADVILLE CO LAKE 0356 PM
HAD 3.4 INCHES IN PAST 2 HOURS.
4.00 4 WNW BUENA VISTA CO CHAFFEE 0629 PM
BEGAN 6 AM ENDED 5 PM.
3.50 3 NE FLORISSANT CO TELLER 0834 PM
3.50 3 NE FLORISSANT CO TELLER 0836 PM
3.50 3 NE FLORISSANT CO TELLER 0837 PM
3.00 1 SSW BUENA VISTA CO CHAFFEE 0135 PM
2.00 6 W WESTCLIFFE CO CUSTER 0407 PM
PAST 7 HOURS.
1.00 1 SSW BUENA VISTA CO CHAFFEE 1115 AM
STARTED 0600...0.05 WATER CONTENT
1.00 1 NNW MONARCH PASS CO CHAFFEE 0656 AM

$$

METZE

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KPUB [151358]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 151358
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
658 AM MST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0656 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
02/15/2008 M19.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0656 AM SNOW 1 NNW MONARCH PASS 38.51N 106.33W
02/15/2008 M1.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0145 AM SNOW 2 NE LEADVILLE 39.27N 106.27W
02/15/2008 M6.2 INCH LAKE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0.47 WATER EQUIV.

0837 PM SNOW 3 NE FLORISSANT 38.99N 105.26W
02/14/2008 E3.5 INCH TELLER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0836 PM SNOW 3 NE FLORISSANT 38.99N 105.26W
02/14/2008 E3.5 INCH TELLER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0834 PM SNOW 3 NE FLORISSANT 38.99N 105.26W
02/14/2008 M3.5 INCH TELLER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0629 PM SNOW 4 WNW BUENA VISTA 38.86N 106.20W
02/14/2008 M4.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

BEGAN 6 AM ENDED 5 PM.

0407 PM SNOW 6 W WESTCLIFFE 38.13N 105.58W
02/14/2008 M2.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PAST 7 HOURS.

0356 PM SNOW LEADVILLE 39.25N 106.29W
02/14/2008 M4.8 INCH LAKE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAD 3.4 INCHES IN PAST 2 HOURS.

0135 PM SNOW 1 SSW BUENA VISTA 38.83N 106.14W
02/14/2008 M3.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1115 AM SNOW 1 SSW BUENA VISTA 38.83N 106.14W
02/14/2008 M1.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 0600...0.05 WATER CONTENT

&&

$$

METZE

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KGRR [151341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 151341
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
841 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 AM SNOW PARIS 43.77N 85.50W
02/15/2008 M3.5 INCH MECOSTA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

0749 AM SNOW SCOTTVILLE 43.95N 86.28W
02/15/2008 M8.0 INCH MASON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

$$

MKALEMBK

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KMQT [151324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KMQT 151324
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
824 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0608 AM SNOW 2 SE NAWAKWA LAKE 46.52N 85.95W
02/15/2008 M6.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

SRF

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KMQT [151316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 151316
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
816 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 4 SSE EAGLE RIVER 47.37N 88.26W
02/15/2008 M4.0 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

SRF

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151302
SWODY1
SPC AC 151259

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0659 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

VALID 151300Z - 161200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS A LARGE PORTION OF TX...

..SYNOPSIS...
PATTERN WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE ACROSS THE LWR 48 THIS PERIOD...WITH
MAIN BELT OF THE WLYS CONTINUING ACROSS SRN CANADA AND GRT LKS/NERN
STATES. UPR LOW NOW CENTERED NEAR YUM SHOULD CONTINUE E INTO SE AZ
THIS EVENING AND REACH THE ELP AREA BY 12Z SATURDAY.

AT THE SFC...SHALLOW COLD FRONT WILL MOVE STEADILY S ACROSS W TX
TODAY...CROSSING THE BIG BEND REGION INTO NRN MEXICO. FARTHER
E...EXPECT THAT THE FRONT WILL MOVE MORE SLOWLY ACROSS CNTRL AND NE
TX. THE BOUNDARY SHOULD BECOME STATIONARY FROM E OF DAL TO NEAR TPL
TO SE OF DRT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD AS CYCLONE SLOWLY DEEPENS SE
OF DRT. FARTHER E...DIFFUSE WARM FRONT MARKING LEADING EDGE OF
GULF/MARITIME AIR EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY NE...REACHING A
TPL/CLL/BPT AXIS BY 12Z SATURDAY.

..S CNTRL INTO E TX...
WELL-DEFINED EML DEPICTED ON MORNING SOUNDINGS ACROSS WRN/SRN TX
SUGGEST THAT MUCH OF THE STATE LIKELY WILL REMAIN CAPPED TO DEEP
MOIST CONVECTION THROUGH THE DAY...DESPITE SFC HEATING...ADVANCE OF
AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT...AND PASSAGE OF WEAK IMPULSES IN SWLY UPR
FLOW DOWNSTREAM FROM AZ UPR LOW. A FEW SFC-BASED STORMS
MAY...HOWEVER...FORM IN THE MOUNTAINS OF COAHUILA STATE IN N CNTRL
MEXICO...WHERE SUSTAINED UPSLOPE FLOW AND ELEVATED HEAT SOURCE MAY
OVERCOME INCREASING POST-FRONTAL CIN. IF SUCH STORMS DO INDEED
FORM...A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/HIGH WINDS AND POSSIBLY A
TORNADO COULD EXTEND E/NE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE TO NEAR DRT AS
STORMS MOVE/PROPAGATE ALONG STALLING SEGMENT OF FRONT LATE IN THE
DAY THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT.

FARTHER E...INCREASING WARM ADVECTION/MOISTURE INFLOW MAY SUPPORT
WIDELY SCTD CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LATE IN THE PERIOD INVOF
SLOWLY-ADVANCING WARM FRONT OVER E CNTRL/NE TX. ATTM IT APPEARS
THAT DEGREE OF LIFT MAY NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO OVERCOME SUBSTANTIAL
EML CIN THAT WILL EXIST ACROSS REGION. NEVERTHELESS...GIVEN
SEASONABLY RICH MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE OVER THE NWRN GULF AND
ALONG THE TX GULF CST /AOA 1.25 IN PER BLENDED PW DATA/ AND LIKELY
STRENGTHENING/BROADENING OF LLJ ACROSS REGION AFTER 09Z... WILL
MAINTAIN A LOW PROBABILITY RISK FOR SLIGHTLY ELEVATED STORMS WITH
HAIL.

..W TX...NW OF STALLING FRONT...
TSTM POTENTIAL MORE DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING UPR LOW
WILL SHIFT E FROM AZ/NM INTO W TX AFTER 06Z SATURDAY AS LEADING EDGE
OF DPVA REACHES INCREASINGLY RICH ELEVATED MOISTURE AXIS ABOVE
SHALLOW FRONT. STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY MAY INCREASE MOST
MARKEDLY AFTER ABOUT 09Z FROM THE BIG BEND REGION NWD ACROSS THE LOW
ROLLING PLAINS INTO PARTS OF NW TX AS MUCAPE INCREASES TO BETWEEN
500 AND 1000 J/KG ON WRN FRINGE OF STRENGTHENING LLJ. COUPLED WITH
INCREASING MID/UPR LEVEL WINDS /60 + KT SSW FLOW AT 500 MB/
FLOW...SETUP LIKELY WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR ELEVATED SUPERCELLS
WITH LARGE HAIL.

.CORFIDI.. 02/15/2008

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KGRR [151302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 151302
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
802 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0801 AM SNOW BLOOMINGDALE 42.38N 85.96W
02/15/2008 M0.0 INCH VAN BUREN MI CO-OP OBSERVER

ONLY TRACE SNOWFALL PAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

MKALEMBK

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KGRR [151257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 151257
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
757 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0756 AM SNOW BIG RAPIDS 43.70N 85.49W
02/15/2008 M2.0 INCH MECOSTA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

MKALEMBK

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KGRR [151256]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 151256
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
756 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0754 AM SNOW PARIS 43.77N 85.50W
02/15/2008 M3.5 INCH MECOSTA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

0754 AM SNOW PARIS 43.77N 85.50W
02/15/2008 M3.5 INCH MECOSTA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

$$

OSTUNO

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KGRR [151255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 151255
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
755 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0754 AM SNOW SCOTTVILLE 43.95N 86.28W
02/15/2008 M8.0 INCH MASON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

OSTUNO

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KMQT [151251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 151251
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
750 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0608 AM SNOW 2 SE NAWAKWA LAKE 46.52N 85.95W
02/15/2008 M6.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN 12 HOURS.

0630 AM SNOW 1 W MUNISING 46.42N 86.67W
02/15/2008 M4.2 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN 24 HOURS.

0700 AM SNOW NEWBERRY 46.35N 85.51W
02/15/2008 M4.5 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

SRF

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KGRR [151243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 151243
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
743 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0739 AM SNOW HART 43.70N 86.36W
02/15/2008 M6.0 INCH OCEANA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

0739 AM SNOW 5 N MUSKEGON 43.30N 86.26W
02/15/2008 M1.8 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

0739 AM SNOW MUSKEGON 43.23N 86.26W
02/15/2008 M2.2 INCH MUSKEGON MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0739 AM SNOW GRAND RAPIDS 42.96N 85.66W
02/15/2008 M0.3 INCH KENT MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0739 AM SNOW HASTINGS 42.65N 85.29W
02/15/2008 M0.1 INCH BARRY MI CO-OP OBSERVER

0739 AM SNOW EAST GRAND RAPIDS 42.95N 85.61W
02/15/2008 M0.4 INCH KENT MI CO-OP OBSERVER

0739 AM SNOW SPARTA 43.16N 85.71W
02/15/2008 M1.5 INCH KENT MI CO-OP OBSERVER

0739 AM SNOW GRANDVILLE 42.90N 85.76W
02/15/2008 M0.6 INCH KENT MI CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

MKALEMBK

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KAPX [151226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 151226
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
726 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 AM SNOW LUPTON 44.43N 84.02W
02/15/2008 M3.0 INCH OGEMAW MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM.

&&

$$

JPB

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KAPX [151223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 151223
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
723 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0716 AM SNOW 11 N LAKE CITY 44.49N 85.21W
02/15/2008 M4.5 INCH MISSAUKEE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 17 INCHES.

0716 AM SNOW MANCELONA 44.90N 85.06W
02/15/2008 M4.0 INCH ANTRIM MI BROADCAST MEDIA

18HR TOTAL ENDING AT MIDNIGHT.

0716 AM SNOW 5 SE MANCELONA 44.85N 84.99W
02/15/2008 M2.0 INCH KALKASKA MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM. SNOW DEPTH 21 INCHES.

0721 AM SNOW MANCELONA 44.90N 85.06W
02/15/2008 M4.5 INCH ANTRIM MI NWS EMPLOYEE

14HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM.

0721 AM SNOW MOORESTOWN 44.47N 84.95W
02/15/2008 M5.0 INCH MISSAUKEE MI BROADCAST MEDIA

24HR TOTAL ENDING 6 AM.

&&

$$

JPB

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KAPX [151216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 151216
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
716 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0716 AM SNOW OSCODA 44.42N 83.33W
02/15/2008 M4.0 INCH IOSCO MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12HR TOTAL ENDING 7 AM.

&&

$$

JPB

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KAPX [151145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 151145
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
645 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0644 AM SNOW 1 W INTERLOCHEN 44.65N 85.77W
02/15/2008 M2.0 INCH GRAND TRAVERSE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12HR TOTAL ENDING 6 AM. SNOW DEPTH 19 INCHES.

&&

$$

JPB

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KAPX [151140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 151140
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
640 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 AM SNOW MANISTEE 44.24N 86.33W
02/15/2008 M12.0 INCH MANISTEE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24HR TOTAL ENDING 6 AM.

&&

$$

JPB

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 151003
SWOD48
SPC AC 151002

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

VALID 181200Z - 231200Z

..DISCUSSION...

LINGERING SEVERE THREAT MAY EXIST ALONG EWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT
FROM EXTREME ERN NC THROUGH CNTRL FL EARLY DAY 4. BEYOND THIS TIME
OFFSHORE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH CP HIGH PRESSURE AND AN UPPER TROUGH
WILL DOMINATE THE ERN HALF OF THE U.S. THROUGH DAY 5. ECMWF...GFS
AND MREF ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO ZONAL
PROGRESSIVE BY DAY 6 WITH A COMMENCEMENT OF MOISTURE RETURN THROUGH
TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AS THE GULF MODIFIES AND SURFACE RIDGE
AXIS SHIFTS EWD. BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF DEPICT A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ADVANCING THROUGH THIS PROGRESSIVE REGIME INTO THE
PLAINS AND MS VALLEY WITH AN IMPLIED SEVERE THREAT BY DAY 7 AND 8
OVER PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGIONS.
THOUGH DIFFERENCES IN LARGE SCALE PATTERN BETWEEN THE MODELS DO NOT
APPEAR VERY LARGE OVER MUCH OF THE COUNTRY...PREFER TO WAIT FOR
ANOTHER SET OF MODEL RUNS BEFORE INTRODUCING A RISK AREA GIVEN
INHERENT UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS HIGHLY TRANSITIONAL PATTERN.

.DIAL.. 02/15/2008

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KGRR [150956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGRR 150956
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
455 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0131 PM SNOW 6 N LUDINGTON 44.04N 86.44W
02/14/2008 M9.0 INCH MASON MI NEWSPAPER

0439 PM SNOW 3 N WALHALLA 44.00N 86.11W
02/14/2008 E7.0 INCH MASON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

0500 PM SNOW LUDINGTON 43.96N 86.44W
02/14/2008 E5.0 INCH MASON MI BROADCAST MEDIA

4-5 INCHES SINCE NOON

0638 PM SNOW HARRISON 44.02N 84.80W
02/14/2008 E4.0 INCH CLARE MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

SNOWFALL THROUGH TODAY

0638 PM HEAVY SNOW LUTHER 44.04N 85.68W
02/14/2008 E9.0 INCH LAKE MI BROADCAST MEDIA

SNOWFALL THROUGH TODAY...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS REPORTED
THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY. SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF AN
INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES

0638 PM HEAVY SNOW TUSTIN 44.10N 85.46W
02/14/2008 M8.0 INCH OSCEOLA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN TUSTIN RANGED FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES WITH
SOME DRIFTING

0930 PM SNOW CLARE 43.82N 84.76W
02/14/2008 E6.0 INCH CLARE MI COUNTY OFFICIAL

ESTIMATED AT 5 TO 6 INCHES

0930 PM SNOW MUSKEGON 43.23N 86.26W
02/14/2008 E2.0 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

N MUSKEGON

1000 PM SNOW HART 43.70N 86.36W
02/14/2008 E3.8 INCH OCEANA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

1003 PM SNOW HART 43.70N 86.36W
02/14/2008 M3.0 INCH OCEANA MI BROADCAST MEDIA

1125 PM SNOW 4 N GRAND RAPIDS 43.02N 85.66W
02/14/2008 M0.5 INCH KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA

WZZM

1210 AM SNOW ST. JOHNS 43.00N 84.56W
02/15/2008 M0.3 INCH CLINTON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

1216 AM SNOW 8 E GRANT 43.33N 85.65W
02/15/2008 E1.0 INCH NEWAYGO MI PUBLIC

&&

$$

OSTUNO

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KPUB [150856]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 150856
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
156 AM MST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 AM SNOW 2 NE LEADVILLE 39.27N 106.27W
02/15/2008 M6.2 INCH LAKE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0.47 WATER EQUIV.

&&

$$

METZE

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KLCH [150822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLCH 150822
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
221 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 AM HAIL HORNBECK 31.33N 93.40W
02/12/2008 E0.88 INCH VERNON LA UTILITY COMPANY

REPORTED BY VALLEY ELECTRIC.

1052 AM TSTM WND GST 8 NE PINEVILLE 31.40N 92.30W
02/12/2008 M63.00 MPH RAPIDES LA ASOS

MEASURED AT THE ESLER FIELD ASOS

1105 AM HAIL DEVILLE 31.35N 92.16W
02/12/2008 M0.75 INCH RAPIDES LA AMATEUR RADIO

1118 AM HAIL DERIDDER 30.85N 93.29W
02/12/2008 E0.50 INCH BEAUREGARD LA PUBLIC

1140 AM HAIL OAKDALE 30.82N 92.66W
02/12/2008 E0.25 INCH ALLEN LA PUBLIC

1150 AM HAIL HATHAWAY 30.35N 92.67W
02/12/2008 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON DAVIS LA PUBLIC

1151 AM HAIL 3 WSW DUPONT 30.92N 91.99W
02/12/2008 E0.88 INCH AVOYELLES LA PUBLIC

HIGH WINDS ALSO REPORTED

1206 PM HAIL SIMMESPORT 30.98N 91.81W
02/12/2008 E0.25 INCH AVOYELLES LA PUBLIC

1207 PM HAIL WILDWOOD 30.52N 94.44W
02/12/2008 E0.25 INCH HARDIN TX PUBLIC

1209 PM HAIL SIMMESPORT 30.98N 91.81W
02/12/2008 E0.88 INCH AVOYELLES LA PUBLIC

1210 PM HAIL MAMOU 30.63N 92.42W
02/12/2008 E0.88 INCH EVANGELINE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME TO NICKEL

1213 PM HAIL REDDELL 30.67N 92.43W
02/12/2008 E0.88 INCH EVANGELINE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NICKEL SIZE HAIL COVERING THE ROAD

1230 PM HAIL ELTON 30.48N 92.70W
02/12/2008 E0.88 INCH JEFFERSON DAVIS LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

1240 PM HAIL SOUR LAKE 30.14N 94.40W
02/12/2008 E1.00 INCH HARDIN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0102 PM TORNADO 3 S ST. MARTINVILLE 30.08N 91.83W
02/12/2008 F0 ST. MARTIN LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AFTER RADAR ANALYSIS AND A STORM SURVEY...THIS WAS
DETERMINED TO BE A LAND SPOUT TORNADO. TWO 75 FOOT TALL
HAM RADIO TOWERS BLOWN DOWN WITH ONE FALLING ON ROOF OF
RESIDENCE. FENCE WITH CONCRETE POSTS IN GROUND BLOWN
OVER.

0106 PM HAIL 1 N CENTRAL GARDENS 30.01N 94.02W
02/12/2008 E0.75 INCH JEFFERSON TX PUBLIC

0110 PM HAIL 1 W PORT NECHES 29.97N 93.96W
02/12/2008 E0.50 INCH JEFFERSON TX PUBLIC

REPORTED BY COCORAHS OBSERVER.

0115 PM HAIL 4 WSW LAKE CHARLES 30.18N 93.26W
02/12/2008 E0.88 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

0116 PM TORNADO 4 WNW NEW IBERIA 30.03N 91.88W
02/12/2008 F0 IBERIA LA NWS STORM SURVEY

AFTER A STORM SURVEY AND RADAR ANALYSIS...THIS WAS
DETERMINED TO BE A LAND SPOUT TORNADO. THE TORNADO CAUSED
MINOR DAMAGE AT TECH OIL ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF
ACADIANA REGIONAL AIRPORT. OVERHEAD DOOR BLOWN OUT AND A
CARPORT WAS DAMAGED. FOUR CARS WERE DAMAGED WHEN THE
CARPORT FELL. THE INJURY PREVIOUSLY REPORTED WAS NOT
DIRECTLY RELATED TO THE TORNADO ITSELF.

0116 PM HAIL 6 S RAYNE 30.15N 92.27W
02/12/2008 E1.75 INCH VERMILION LA BROADCAST MEDIA

KATC TV REPORTED QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL

0120 PM HAIL 5 W LAKE CHARLES 30.20N 93.28W
02/12/2008 E0.75 INCH CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

0145 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S NEW IBERIA 29.96N 91.82W
02/12/2008 IBERIA LA BROADCAST MEDIA

PICTURE OF LARGE GUSTNADO AT THE INTERSECTION OF 83 AND
HWY 90.

0155 PM HAIL 4 N KAPLAN 30.06N 92.29W
02/12/2008 E0.75 INCH VERMILION LA PUBLIC

0230 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 26 SSE SEA RIM STATE PA 29.32N 93.96W
02/12/2008 E40.00 MPH GMZ470 TX PUBLIC

40 MPH WINDS REPORTED AT HIGH ISLAND 116. ALSO REPORTED
PEA SIZE HAIL

0230 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 SSE PECAN ISLAND 29.47N 92.37W
02/12/2008 M50.00 MPH GMZ452 LA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN VERMILION BLOCK 26.

0236 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 SW CYPREMORT POINT 29.67N 91.91W
02/12/2008 M42.00 MPH GMZ455 LA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN VERMILION BAY.

0300 PM LIGHTNING 8 SE BRIDGE CITY 29.96N 93.74W
02/12/2008 CAMERON LA PARK/FOREST SRVC

LIGHTNING STARTED A FIRE

0320 PM LIGHTNING OAKDALE 30.82N 92.66W
02/12/2008 ALLEN LA TRAINED SPOTTER

LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSED A HOUSE FIRE IN OAKDALE.

0400 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 37 SSE HOLLY BEACH 29.26N 93.33W
02/12/2008 M55.00 MPH GMZ470 XX PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PLATFORM IN WEST CAMERON BLOCK 205.

0500 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 38 SSW BURNS POINT 29.11N 91.87W
02/12/2008 M76.00 MPH GMZ455 LA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY SAWRS SITE IN SOUTH MARSH ISLAND 268.

&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 150817
SWODY3
SPC AC 150815

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SERN
STATES...

..SYNOPSIS...

MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER THE SWRN
U.S. WILL EJECT NEWD THROUGH THE TN AND OH VALLEYS...THEN INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN AMPLIFYING NRN STREAM WAVE.
ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT LIFTS NEWD INTO THE GREAT
LAKES. TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY AND
SERN STATES...REACHING THE COASTAL CAROLINAS AND NRN FL TOWARD THE
END OF THE PERIOD.

..SERN STATES...

RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE PINCHED OFF OVER THE SERN
U.S. AHEAD OF COLD FRONT DUE TO LEFTOVER WEDGE OF CP AIR THAT WILL
PERSIST FROM NRN GA THROUGH THE WRN CAROLINAS. NEVERTHELESS...A
STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL LIKELY RESULT IN NWD RETURN OF LOW TO
MID 60S DEWPOINTS THROUGH SRN AL AND SRN GA. SOME BOUNDARY LAYER
RECOVERY IS ALSO LIKELY OVER THE ERN CAROLINAS SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE
LOW LEVEL JET SHIFTS EWD AND ADVECTS RICHER GULF STREAM MOISTURE
NWD. THE PRIMARY VORT MAX AND LOW LEVEL JET WILL LIFT NEWD THROUGH
THE TN AND OH VALLEYS EARLY IN THE PERIOD. HOWEVER...MODELS INDICATE
A SECONDARY IMPULSE WILL MOVE INTO THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH
DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH A BRANCH OF THE LOW LEVEL JET EXTENDING
SWD INTO THE GULF COASTAL REGION. A LINE OF STORMS WILL LIKELY BE
ONGOING ALONG OR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY
REGION. THE NWD ADVECTION OF LOW 60S DEWPOINTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF THE LINE NEAR THE GULF COASTAL REGION.
HOWEVER...INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN MARGINAL OWING TO POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD CLOUDS. STORMS MAY INTENSIFY DURING THE DAY AS THEY
ADVANCE EWD WITH LARGE HODOGRAPHS AND STRONG DEEP SHEAR SUPPORTIVE
OF BOWS AND SUPERCELLS.

SEVERE THREAT FARTHER EAST OVER THE CAROLINAS IS MORE CONDITIONAL.
STORMS MAY UNDERGO TEMPORARY WEAKENING AS THEY ENCOUNTER THE WEDGE
OF MORE STABLE AIR THAT MAY PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF NRN GA INTO THE
WRN CAROLINAS. HOWEVER...DEPENDING ON DEGREE OF ATLANTIC MOISTURE
RETURN...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO REINTENSIFY AS THEY
INTERCEPT THE MOIST AXIS OVER THE ERN CAROLINAS SUNDAY NIGHT.

.DIAL.. 02/15/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 150605
SWODY2
SPC AC 150604

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1204 AM CST FRI FEB 15 2008

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

..THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST THROUGH
EAST CNTRL TX...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM TX INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...

..SYNOPSIS...

SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. MODEL CONSENSUS IS
THAT UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE SWRN U.S. WILL ADVANCE EWD THROUGH
TX SATURDAY AND INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT. SRN PORTION
OF COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT LAKES SWWD THROUGH
WRN TX WILL LIKELY STALL ACROSS S TX. THIS BOUNDARY WILL THEN BEGIN
TO LIFT NWD AS A WARM FRONT AS A STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS
ACROSS TX.

..TX THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY AREA...

OBSERVATIONS SHOW THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO MODIFY ACROSS THE
WRN GULF WITH UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS INDICATED OFF THE SERN TX COAST.
THE 00Z CORPUS CHRISTI AND BROWNSVILLE SOUNDINGS SHOW A DEEP AND
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER OVERSPREAD BY A SUBSTANTIAL ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER. GIVEN THE FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO ADVANCE INTO THE
GULF...PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR WITH MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS
WILL LIKELY ADVANCE THROUGH THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS SOUTH AND CNTRL
TX AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD. ELEVATED STORMS WILL BE ONGOING
WITHIN ZONE OF STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND LIFT NORTH OF THE WARM
FRONT FROM PARTS OF CNTRL AND NWRN TX THROUGH E CNTRL AND NE TX.
THIS PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY REINFORCE THE COOL AIR AND MAY SLOW
THE NWD PROGRESSION OF THE WARM FRONT. PRESENCE OF STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE EML ABOVE THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE INSTABILITY IN WARM SECTOR OVER
SOUTH THROUGH E CNTRL TX.

PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME IS WHETHER OR NOT STORMS WILL BE
ABLE TO INITIATE WARM SECTOR AWAY FROM EWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT
GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR A CAP ASSOCIATED WITH THE EML. THE CAP SHOULD
GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE DAY AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS AND AS
LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND HEIGHT FALLS INCREASE DOWNSTREAM FROM EWD
ADVANCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. VERY LARGE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND DEEP
SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND ITS ATTENDANT LOW LEVEL
JET WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. TORNADO
POTENTIAL WILL BE HIGHEST IF THE CAP WEAKENS ENOUGH FOR A FEW
DISCRETE STORMS TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. OTHERWISE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE MODE WILL LIKELY EVOLVE TO
LINEAR...BUT WITH EMBEDDED LEWP AND SUPERCELLS STRUCTURES. DAMAGING
WIND...A FEW TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THIS
ACTIVITY ADVANCES EWD WITH LARGEST CONCENTRATION OF SEVERE WEATHER
EXPECTED IN MODERATE RISK AREA. SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE BUT
GRADUALLY DECREASE AS THE LINE ADVANCES INTO THE MS VALLEY WHERE
INSTABILITY WILL BE MORE LIMITED.

.DIAL.. 02/15/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 150559
SWODY1
SPC AC 150556

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1156 PM CST THU FEB 14 2008

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS
W-CENTRAL...SW...CENTRAL AND S-CENTRAL TX...

..SYNOPSIS...
IN MID/UPPER LEVELS...POSITIVELY TILTED SYNOPTIC TROUGH IS EVIDENT
ATTM FROM NERN CANADA SWWD ACROSS NRN PLAINS AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES...TO LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY REGION...THEN OFFSHORE BAJA.
ANCHORING CYCLONE -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER
SRN PORTIONS CA/NV...IS EXPECTED TO PIVOT EWD DURING THIS
PERIOD...REACHING VICINITY SWRN CORNER OF NM OR ELP AREA BY 16/12Z.

AT SFC...COLD FRONT INITIALLY ANALYZED OVER MO/OK/W TX IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS REMAINDER OK AND MOST OF NRN/WRN/CENTRAL TX. BY
16/00Z...FRONT SHOULD BECOME QUASISTATIONARY OVER RIO GRANDE VALLEY
INVOF DRT...AND INTO NEARBY MEX HIGHLANDS. FRONT SHOULD
DECELERATE/STALL LATER IN PERIOD ACROSS S-CENTRAL/SE TX...IN
RESPONSE TO CONTINUING SFC LEESIDE CYCLOGENESIS OVER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY AND ADJACENT PORTIONS NERN MEX. BY 16/12Z...PRIND SFC MAP
WILL FEATURE LOW INVOF DRT...WITH QUASISTATIONARY/MARINE FRONT EWD
ACROSS S-CENTRAL/SE TX THEN SEWD ACROSS N-CENTRAL GULF.

..CENTRAL/S TX...NEAR FRONT...
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR MASS -- ILLUSTRATED WELL BY OBSERVED 15/00Z
RAOBS FROM BRO/CRP/DRT -- SHOULD PERSIST FOR ONE MORE DAY AMIDST
SWLY MIDLEVEL WINDS OVER THIS REGION AND HEATING OF THAT PORTION OF
MEX PLATEAU AHEAD OF UPPER LOW. AS SUCH...SBCINH WILL REMAIN STRONG
THROUGHOUT DAY INVOF AND S OF FRONT...DESPITE DIABATIC SFC HEATING
AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. LITTLE...IF ANY...SFC-BASED
THUNDER IS LIKELY BEFORE DARK...WITH ONE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION. WITH
FRONTAL SEGMENT PERHAPS STALLING INVOF SERRANIAS DEL BURRO
RANGE...CONVERGENT UPSLOPE WINDS IN BOUNDARY LAYER WILL ADVECT
INCREASING MOISTURE INTO THOSE MOUNTAINS. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS AS TO WHETHER MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR THIS
BEFORE DARK...BUT LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AND MOVE EWD OR ENEWD ALONG FRONT INTO TX. ANY
SUCH TSTMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING GUSTS.

EXPECT INCREASING MOISTURE AND LOWERING LCL DURING EVENING INVOF RIO
GRANDE...WITH SEVERAL HOURS WHERE EFFECTIVE LIFTED PARCELS MAY
REMAIN SFC-BASED. THEREFORE...CANNOT RULE OUT TORNADO/WIND
POTENTIAL AS WELL AS HAIL...AFTER DARK...NEAR FRONTAL ZONE. ALONG
FRONT...EXPECT BACKED SFC WINDS TO CONTRIBUTE TO EFFECTIVE SHEAR
PROFILES 50-60 KT...30-40 KT STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW NEAR SFC...AND
0-3 KM SRH UP TO 400 J/KG...FOR ANY CONVECTION THAT CAN BREAK CAP
AND REMAIN ROOTED AT SFC.

..W TX...NW OF FRONT...
GEN TSTM POTENTIAL IS FCST TO SHIFT EWD FROM AZ/NM INTO THIS
REGION...PRIMARILY AFTER DARK. THIS WILL OCCUR AS LEADING EDGE OF
MIDLEVEL DPVA -- OCCURRING AHEAD OF PROGRESSIVE LOW ALOFT -- BEGINS
TO IMPINGE UPON WRN FRINGES OF ELEVATED/LOW-LEVEL WAA FIELD AND
MOISTURE TRANSPORT. TSTM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY EACH SHOULD
INCREASE WITH TIME OVERNIGHT...ACROSS W TX...AS MUCINH DIMINISHES
AND INCREASINGLY MOIST AIR MASS ABOVE FRONTAL LAYER IS FORCED
ISENTROPICALLY TO LFC. MEANWHILE...INCREASE IN THETAE WITHIN THIS
REGIME...AND ACCOMPANYING 35-50 KT SELY LLJ - WILL BOOST ELEVATED
MUCAPES ABOVE 1000 J/KG WITHIN 100-150 NM NW OF FRONT...AND INTO
500-1000 J/KG RANGE OVERNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF PERMIAN BASIN AND
LOW ROLLING PLAINS REGION. WHEN JUXTAPOSED WITH STRENGTHENING
GRADIENT WINDS ALOFT AND INCREASING DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...CONDITIONS
WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR ELEVATED SUPERCELLS...AND ATTENDANT
RISK OF LARGE HAIL.

.EDWARDS.. 02/15/2008

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KGRB [150559]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 150559
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1158 PM CST THU FEB 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1154 PM SNOW GREEN BAY 44.51N 88.00W
02/14/2008 M5.0 INCH BROWN WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

INCLUDES 2.3 INCHES OF FLUFF SINCE 8 PM

&&

$$

TSK

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KGRR [150516]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 150516
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1216 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1216 AM SNOW 8 E GRANT 43.33N 85.65W
02/15/2008 E1.0 INCH NEWAYGO MI PUBLIC

&&

$$

RSUTTLE

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KGRR [150511]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 150511
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1211 AM EST FRI FEB 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 AM SNOW ST. JOHNS 43.00N 84.56W
02/15/2008 M0.3 INCH CLINTON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

OSTUNO

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