NWUS55 KCYS 090405
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
905 PM MST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0826 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
01/08/2013 M60 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
PEAK GUST THIS EVENING. PERIODICALLY HITTING 40 MPH
SUSTAINED SINCE 630 PM.
0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/08/2013 M53 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
PEAK GUST THIS EVENING. REACHED 40 MPH SUSTAINED 2 TIMES
BETWEEN 745P AND 8P.
&&
$$
HAHN
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Tuesday, January 8, 2013
KOTX [090211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KOTX 090211
LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
611 PM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM SNOW ALMIRA 47.71N 118.94W
01/08/2013 E4.5 INCH LINCOLN WA BROADCAST MEDIA
THE REPORT WAS COURTESY OF KHQ-TV
&&
$$
NWS SPOKANE
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LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
611 PM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM SNOW ALMIRA 47.71N 118.94W
01/08/2013 E4.5 INCH LINCOLN WA BROADCAST MEDIA
THE REPORT WAS COURTESY OF KHQ-TV
&&
$$
NWS SPOKANE
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 090049
SWODY1
SPC AC 090047
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0647 PM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
VALID 090100Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL TX AND
THE TX COASTAL PLAIN...
...PARTS OF CENTRAL TX AND THE TX COASTAL PLAIN...
AN UPPER LOW CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY ESEWD ACROSS NRN MEXICO JUST S
AND W OF THE TX BIG BEND...WITH THIS MOTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY
AREA...WHERE INCREASING QG FORCING FOR ASCENT IS ONGOING.
EVENING RAOBS -- EVEN FROM COASTAL AREAS WHERE GREATEST LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE IS EVIDENT -- REVEAL THAT INSTABILITY IS VERY LIMITED AND
THAT STORMS REMAIN ELEVATED...AND THUS LITTLE SEVERE THREAT EXISTS
ATTM. HOWEVER...WITH CONTINUED LOW-LEVEL MOIST ADVECTION...AMPLE
LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH TIME SUCH THAT
SURFACE-BASED SEVERE THREAT -- INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A TORNADO OR TWO -- MAY EVOLVE. WITH SHEAR
SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING STORMS...MAINTAINING SLIGHT RISK APPEARS
WARRANTED ATTM...PARTICULARLY FOR AREAS E OF A SSW-NNE BAROCLINIC
ZONE EXTENDING FROM ROUGHLY LRD /LAREDO TX/ TO LFK /LUFKIN TX/.
..GOSS.. 01/09/2013
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SWODY1
SPC AC 090047
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0647 PM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
VALID 090100Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL TX AND
THE TX COASTAL PLAIN...
...PARTS OF CENTRAL TX AND THE TX COASTAL PLAIN...
AN UPPER LOW CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY ESEWD ACROSS NRN MEXICO JUST S
AND W OF THE TX BIG BEND...WITH THIS MOTION TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS/LOWER MS VALLEY
AREA...WHERE INCREASING QG FORCING FOR ASCENT IS ONGOING.
EVENING RAOBS -- EVEN FROM COASTAL AREAS WHERE GREATEST LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE IS EVIDENT -- REVEAL THAT INSTABILITY IS VERY LIMITED AND
THAT STORMS REMAIN ELEVATED...AND THUS LITTLE SEVERE THREAT EXISTS
ATTM. HOWEVER...WITH CONTINUED LOW-LEVEL MOIST ADVECTION...AMPLE
LOW-LEVEL DESTABILIZATION WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH TIME SUCH THAT
SURFACE-BASED SEVERE THREAT -- INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A TORNADO OR TWO -- MAY EVOLVE. WITH SHEAR
SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING STORMS...MAINTAINING SLIGHT RISK APPEARS
WARRANTED ATTM...PARTICULARLY FOR AREAS E OF A SSW-NNE BAROCLINIC
ZONE EXTENDING FROM ROUGHLY LRD /LAREDO TX/ TO LFK /LUFKIN TX/.
..GOSS.. 01/09/2013
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KOTX [082222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KOTX 082222
LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
222 PM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM SNOW 3 NW BREWSTER 48.13N 119.83W
01/08/2013 M5.0 INCH OKANOGAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
THE SNOW BEGAN AROUND 830 AM AND WAS STILL SNOWING AS OF
2 PM.
&&
$$
NWS SPOKANE
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LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
222 PM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM SNOW 3 NW BREWSTER 48.13N 119.83W
01/08/2013 M5.0 INCH OKANOGAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
THE SNOW BEGAN AROUND 830 AM AND WAS STILL SNOWING AS OF
2 PM.
&&
$$
NWS SPOKANE
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KCYS [082203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082203
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ESE ARLINGTON 41.55N 106.09W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY24
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ESE ARLINGTON 41.55N 106.09W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY24
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082203
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0244 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 SSE GARRETT 41.97N 105.52W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT GOES STATION DODW4
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0244 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 SSE GARRETT 41.97N 105.52W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT GOES STATION DODW4
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082203
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 WSW WARREN AF BASE 41.08N 105.04W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UP226
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 WSW WARREN AF BASE 41.08N 105.04W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UP226
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KPDT [082202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS56 KPDT 082202
LSRPDT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
202 PM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0726 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 S CLE ELUM 47.18N 120.94W
01/07/2013 M8.0 INCH KITTITAS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED 8 INCHES NEW SNOW IN PAST 12 HOURS.
1007 AM HEAVY SNOW SSE EASTON 47.23N 121.18W
01/07/2013 M11.0 INCH KITTITAS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED 11 INCHES SNOW IN PAST 24 HOURS...OF WHICH 6
INCHES FELL SINCE 5 AM. CURRENTLY RAINING.
1015 AM SNOW 1 N LA GRANDE 45.34N 118.09W
01/07/2013 E5.0 INCH UNION OR TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED 5 INCHES SNOW THIS MORNING.
1030 AM HEAVY SNOW EASTON 47.24N 121.18W
01/07/2013 M10.0 INCH KITTITAS WA CO-OP OBSERVER
RECEIVED 10 INCHES SNOW IN PAST 24 HOURS.
1230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW UNION 45.25N 117.96W
01/07/2013 M60.00 MPH UNION OR MESONET
0110 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 S LA GRANDE 45.31N 118.09W
01/07/2013 M6.0 INCH UNION OR TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED 6 INCHES SNOW PAST 12 HOURS.
0300 PM SNOW 1 WSW SKI BLUEWOOD 46.08N 117.85W
01/07/2013 U7.0 INCH COLUMBIA WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED ABOUT 7 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE BASE.
&&
$$
AA
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LSRPDT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
202 PM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0726 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 S CLE ELUM 47.18N 120.94W
01/07/2013 M8.0 INCH KITTITAS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED 8 INCHES NEW SNOW IN PAST 12 HOURS.
1007 AM HEAVY SNOW SSE EASTON 47.23N 121.18W
01/07/2013 M11.0 INCH KITTITAS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED 11 INCHES SNOW IN PAST 24 HOURS...OF WHICH 6
INCHES FELL SINCE 5 AM. CURRENTLY RAINING.
1015 AM SNOW 1 N LA GRANDE 45.34N 118.09W
01/07/2013 E5.0 INCH UNION OR TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED 5 INCHES SNOW THIS MORNING.
1030 AM HEAVY SNOW EASTON 47.24N 121.18W
01/07/2013 M10.0 INCH KITTITAS WA CO-OP OBSERVER
RECEIVED 10 INCHES SNOW IN PAST 24 HOURS.
1230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW UNION 45.25N 117.96W
01/07/2013 M60.00 MPH UNION OR MESONET
0110 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 S LA GRANDE 45.31N 118.09W
01/07/2013 M6.0 INCH UNION OR TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED 6 INCHES SNOW PAST 12 HOURS.
0300 PM SNOW 1 WSW SKI BLUEWOOD 46.08N 117.85W
01/07/2013 U7.0 INCH COLUMBIA WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED ABOUT 7 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE BASE.
&&
$$
AA
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KCYS [082202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082202
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ROCK RIVER 41.73N 105.98W
01/08/2013 M57 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UR345
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ROCK RIVER 41.73N 105.98W
01/08/2013 M57 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UR345
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082202
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
301 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.18W
01/08/2013 M58 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY23
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
301 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.18W
01/08/2013 M58 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY23
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082202
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
301 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0206 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 NNE CENTENNIAL 41.50N 106.05W
01/08/2013 M60 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY25
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
301 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0206 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 NNE CENTENNIAL 41.50N 106.05W
01/08/2013 M60 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY25
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KPDT [082159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KPDT 082159
LSRPDT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
159 PM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM SNOW 1 WSW SKI BLUEWOOD 46.08N 117.85W
01/07/2013 U7.0 INCH COLUMBIA WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED ABOUT 7 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE BASE.
&&
$$
AA
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LSRPDT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
159 PM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM SNOW 1 WSW SKI BLUEWOOD 46.08N 117.85W
01/07/2013 U7.0 INCH COLUMBIA WA TRAINED SPOTTER
RECEIVED ABOUT 7 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE BASE.
&&
$$
AA
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0003
ACUS11 KWNS 082154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082153
TXZ000-090030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 PM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS S AND SW TX INVOF RIO GRANDE VALLEY...EWD
ROUGHLY TO JCT-SAT-MFE LINE.
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 082153Z - 090030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THROUGH REMAINDER AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING -- I.E.
THROUGH 03Z -- CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
SVR OVER OUTLINED AREA ALONG AND E OF RIO GRANDE VALLEY. ONSET
TIMING OF SFC-BASED SVR RISK OVER MAINLY DEEP S TX REMAINS
UNCERTAIN...BUT WW MAY BE REQUIRED IN NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
DISCUSSION...SFC MESOANALYSIS INDICATES LOW INVOF NRN ZAPATA
COUNTY...WITH WAVY WARM FRONT EWD OVER BROOKS COUNTY...NEWD TO NEAR
BYY...THEN EWD OVER WATERS OFFSHORE GLS. QUASISTATIONARY FRONTAL
ZONE EXTENDS SWWD INTO DEEPER LOW OVER HIGH TERRAIN OF NRN MEX.
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE SHOULD BLEND GRADUALLY AS MID-UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONE PIVOTS EWD FROM ITS LATEST POSITION ABOUT 250 NM S ELP.
CONSIDERABLE PRECIP OVER GULF HAS DIFFUSED TX COASTAL FRONTAL ZONE
SOMEWHAT...WITH PUREST MARITIME/TROPICAL AIR LOCATED WELL OUT OVER
OPEN GULF S OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. STILL...BROAD/STRENGTHENING LLJ
IS EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO SHALLOWER AND LESS STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER N OF FRONT WITH TIME...WHILE THETAE ADVECTION INCREASES
BUOYANCY ON BOTH SIDES OF FRONT. DEEP SHEAR WILL STRENGTHEN WITH
APCH OF CYCLONE ALOFT...INCREASING ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE/SVR THREAT
WITH ACTIVITY MOVING NEWD OUT OF CURRENT TSTM GENESIS REGION OVER
MEX PLATEAU. STG CAPPING HAS BEEN EVIDENT IN 12Z MONTERREY SOUNDING
AS WELL AS SEVERAL MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS ACROSS S TX AHEAD OF MEX
CONVECTION...INDICATING LOW PROBABILITY OF DEVELOPMENT NEAR SFC LOW
OR FRONT PRIOR TO ARRIVAL OF STRONGER LARGE-SCALE LIFT RELATED TO
CYCLONE ALOFT.
DAYLONG PERSISTENCE OF LOW-CLOUD COVER AND RELATED STABILIZING
EFFECTS SUGGEST SOME DELAY IN SFC-BASED SVR POTENTIAL WITH
CONVECTION MOVING NEWD OUT OF MEX. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO STAY
ELEVATED OVER NRN PORTIONS OF THIS AREA...WITH MAIN CONCERN BEING
MRGL SVR HAIL AND OCNL STG GUSTS. HOWEVER...EROSION OF STABLE LAYER
OVER DEEP S TX...COMBINED WITH INCREASINGLY INTENSE QLCS-MODE
ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING...SHOULD LEAD TO GRADUAL INCREASE IN WIND
THREAT WITH TIME.
..EDWARDS/MEAD.. 01/08/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...SJT...
LAT...LON 29780050 30020013 30459966 30379896 29979870 29329849
26219853 26239868 26369880 26379909 26499911 26549919
26839926 26909938 27009938 27029946 27259947 27299954
27379944 27519949 27629957 27659970 27829988 28140008
28260028 28510038 29140067 29150079 29240077 29780050
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082153
TXZ000-090030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 PM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS S AND SW TX INVOF RIO GRANDE VALLEY...EWD
ROUGHLY TO JCT-SAT-MFE LINE.
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 082153Z - 090030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THROUGH REMAINDER AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING -- I.E.
THROUGH 03Z -- CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
SVR OVER OUTLINED AREA ALONG AND E OF RIO GRANDE VALLEY. ONSET
TIMING OF SFC-BASED SVR RISK OVER MAINLY DEEP S TX REMAINS
UNCERTAIN...BUT WW MAY BE REQUIRED IN NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
DISCUSSION...SFC MESOANALYSIS INDICATES LOW INVOF NRN ZAPATA
COUNTY...WITH WAVY WARM FRONT EWD OVER BROOKS COUNTY...NEWD TO NEAR
BYY...THEN EWD OVER WATERS OFFSHORE GLS. QUASISTATIONARY FRONTAL
ZONE EXTENDS SWWD INTO DEEPER LOW OVER HIGH TERRAIN OF NRN MEX.
AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE SHOULD BLEND GRADUALLY AS MID-UPPER LEVEL
CYCLONE PIVOTS EWD FROM ITS LATEST POSITION ABOUT 250 NM S ELP.
CONSIDERABLE PRECIP OVER GULF HAS DIFFUSED TX COASTAL FRONTAL ZONE
SOMEWHAT...WITH PUREST MARITIME/TROPICAL AIR LOCATED WELL OUT OVER
OPEN GULF S OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. STILL...BROAD/STRENGTHENING LLJ
IS EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO SHALLOWER AND LESS STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER N OF FRONT WITH TIME...WHILE THETAE ADVECTION INCREASES
BUOYANCY ON BOTH SIDES OF FRONT. DEEP SHEAR WILL STRENGTHEN WITH
APCH OF CYCLONE ALOFT...INCREASING ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE/SVR THREAT
WITH ACTIVITY MOVING NEWD OUT OF CURRENT TSTM GENESIS REGION OVER
MEX PLATEAU. STG CAPPING HAS BEEN EVIDENT IN 12Z MONTERREY SOUNDING
AS WELL AS SEVERAL MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS ACROSS S TX AHEAD OF MEX
CONVECTION...INDICATING LOW PROBABILITY OF DEVELOPMENT NEAR SFC LOW
OR FRONT PRIOR TO ARRIVAL OF STRONGER LARGE-SCALE LIFT RELATED TO
CYCLONE ALOFT.
DAYLONG PERSISTENCE OF LOW-CLOUD COVER AND RELATED STABILIZING
EFFECTS SUGGEST SOME DELAY IN SFC-BASED SVR POTENTIAL WITH
CONVECTION MOVING NEWD OUT OF MEX. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO STAY
ELEVATED OVER NRN PORTIONS OF THIS AREA...WITH MAIN CONCERN BEING
MRGL SVR HAIL AND OCNL STG GUSTS. HOWEVER...EROSION OF STABLE LAYER
OVER DEEP S TX...COMBINED WITH INCREASINGLY INTENSE QLCS-MODE
ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING...SHOULD LEAD TO GRADUAL INCREASE IN WIND
THREAT WITH TIME.
..EDWARDS/MEAD.. 01/08/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO...SJT...
LAT...LON 29780050 30020013 30459966 30379896 29979870 29329849
26219853 26239868 26369880 26379909 26499911 26549919
26839926 26909938 27009938 27029946 27259947 27299954
27379944 27519949 27629957 27659970 27829988 28140008
28260028 28510038 29140067 29150079 29240077 29780050
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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KCYS [082058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082058
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
157 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1207 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW CHEYENNE 41.16N 104.80W
01/08/2013 M52 MPH LARAMIE WY AWOS
REPORTED AT AWOS STATION FEW
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
157 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1207 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW CHEYENNE 41.16N 104.80W
01/08/2013 M52 MPH LARAMIE WY AWOS
REPORTED AT AWOS STATION FEW
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082058
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
157 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ROCK RIVER 41.73N 105.98W
01/08/2013 M50 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UR345
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
157 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ROCK RIVER 41.73N 105.98W
01/08/2013 M50 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UR345
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082057
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
157 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0144 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 N DIX 41.36N 103.49W
01/08/2013 M52 MPH KIMBALL NE MESONET
REPORTED AT GOES STATION FORN1
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
157 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0144 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 N DIX 41.36N 103.49W
01/08/2013 M52 MPH KIMBALL NE MESONET
REPORTED AT GOES STATION FORN1
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082057
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
157 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0120 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.18W
01/08/2013 M52 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY23
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
157 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0120 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.18W
01/08/2013 M52 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY23
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082057
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0142 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW HARRISBURG 41.51N 104.00W
01/08/2013 M53 MPH BANNER NE MESONET
REPORTED AT GOES STATION BRRN1
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0142 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW HARRISBURG 41.51N 104.00W
01/08/2013 M53 MPH BANNER NE MESONET
REPORTED AT GOES STATION BRRN1
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082057
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0105 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ESE ARLINGTON 41.55N 106.09W
01/08/2013 M53 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY24
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0105 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ESE ARLINGTON 41.55N 106.09W
01/08/2013 M53 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY24
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082057
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0105 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 SW SOUTH GREELEY HIGH 41.05N 104.89W
01/08/2013 M53 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION KWYH
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0105 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 SW SOUTH GREELEY HIGH 41.05N 104.89W
01/08/2013 M53 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION KWYH
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082057
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0121 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 NNE CENTENNIAL 41.50N 106.05W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY25
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0121 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 NNE CENTENNIAL 41.50N 106.05W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY25
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082057
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 WSW WARREN AF BASE 41.08N 105.04W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UP226
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 WSW WARREN AF BASE 41.08N 105.04W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UP226
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KCYS [082056]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 082056
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW ARLINGTON 41.60N 106.21W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION KARL
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
156 PM MST TUE JAN 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW ARLINGTON 41.60N 106.21W
01/08/2013 M55 MPH CARBON WY MESONET
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION KARL
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 081948
SWODY1
SPC AC 081946
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0146 PM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
VALID 082000Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SCNTRL TX AND
THE TX COASTAL PLAINS...
NO CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.
..BROYLES.. 01/08/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1021 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013/
...SYNOPSIS...
THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST IS A MID AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW WHICH
WILL TRACK ACROSS NRN MEXICO THROUGH 09/12Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
ATTENDED BY A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100M/12 HR
WHICH WILL GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY DURING
THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN THE LOW LEVELS...15Z
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT FROM BETWEEN MFE AND LRD
EXTENDING NEWD TO OFF THE TX COAST S OF CRP BEFORE STRETCHING ENEWD
ALONG THE SHELF WATERS OF THE NWRN AND N-CNTRL GOM. THIS WARM FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS INLAND AHEAD OF A FRONTAL WAVE WHICH IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP FROM THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/DEEP S TX INTO
THE TX HILL COUNTRY BY THE END OF THE D1 PERIOD.
...CNTRL/SRN/SERN TX...
SCATTERED...ELEVATED TSTMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY TO THE N OF SURFACE WARM FRONT WHERE LOW-LEVEL WARM THERMAL
AND MOISTURE ADVECTIONS ARE ENHANCED ALONG AND NEAR THE LLJ AXIS.
12Z SOUNDING DATA FROM DRT...BRO...AND CRP SHOWED ONLY MODEST MUCAPE
VALUES OF GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG...SUGGESTING ONLY A MINIMAL
HAIL THREAT WITH THE ELEVATED STORMS. SURFACE-BASED STORM FORMATION
WITHIN THE INLAND-DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR REMAINS MORE UNCERTAIN AT
LEAST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A
STRENGTHENING CAP AS OBSERVED BY THE 12Z SOUNDING AT MONTEREY
MEXICO. STILL...A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE TORNADOES EXISTS GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
MLCAPE OF AROUND 1000 J/KG AND MODESTLY STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.
A NOTABLE INCREASE IN BOTH ELEVATED AND SURFACE-BASED STORM
DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ALONG
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER S/SE OF DRT AS HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR
ASCENT IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM THE UPPER LOW BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD
THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS DEVELOPING NWD/NWWD. LATEST
CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR
UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS INTO A N-S ORIENTED QLCS WHICH WILL ADVANCE
ACROSS ERN PARTS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY AND
DEEP S TX OVERNIGHT TO ALONG THE MID/UPPER TX COAST BY 09/12Z. THE
STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE SRN PORTION OF QLCS...IN
CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.
HERE...A MIX OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR
TWO.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 081946
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0146 PM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
VALID 082000Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SCNTRL TX AND
THE TX COASTAL PLAINS...
NO CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.
..BROYLES.. 01/08/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1021 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013/
...SYNOPSIS...
THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST IS A MID AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW WHICH
WILL TRACK ACROSS NRN MEXICO THROUGH 09/12Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
ATTENDED BY A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100M/12 HR
WHICH WILL GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY DURING
THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN THE LOW LEVELS...15Z
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT FROM BETWEEN MFE AND LRD
EXTENDING NEWD TO OFF THE TX COAST S OF CRP BEFORE STRETCHING ENEWD
ALONG THE SHELF WATERS OF THE NWRN AND N-CNTRL GOM. THIS WARM FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS INLAND AHEAD OF A FRONTAL WAVE WHICH IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP FROM THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/DEEP S TX INTO
THE TX HILL COUNTRY BY THE END OF THE D1 PERIOD.
...CNTRL/SRN/SERN TX...
SCATTERED...ELEVATED TSTMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY TO THE N OF SURFACE WARM FRONT WHERE LOW-LEVEL WARM THERMAL
AND MOISTURE ADVECTIONS ARE ENHANCED ALONG AND NEAR THE LLJ AXIS.
12Z SOUNDING DATA FROM DRT...BRO...AND CRP SHOWED ONLY MODEST MUCAPE
VALUES OF GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG...SUGGESTING ONLY A MINIMAL
HAIL THREAT WITH THE ELEVATED STORMS. SURFACE-BASED STORM FORMATION
WITHIN THE INLAND-DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR REMAINS MORE UNCERTAIN AT
LEAST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A
STRENGTHENING CAP AS OBSERVED BY THE 12Z SOUNDING AT MONTEREY
MEXICO. STILL...A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE TORNADOES EXISTS GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
MLCAPE OF AROUND 1000 J/KG AND MODESTLY STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.
A NOTABLE INCREASE IN BOTH ELEVATED AND SURFACE-BASED STORM
DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ALONG
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER S/SE OF DRT AS HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR
ASCENT IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM THE UPPER LOW BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD
THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS DEVELOPING NWD/NWWD. LATEST
CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR
UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS INTO A N-S ORIENTED QLCS WHICH WILL ADVANCE
ACROSS ERN PARTS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY AND
DEEP S TX OVERNIGHT TO ALONG THE MID/UPPER TX COAST BY 09/12Z. THE
STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE SRN PORTION OF QLCS...IN
CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.
HERE...A MIX OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR
TWO.
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KTFX [081840]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 081840
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1140 AM MST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0803 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WNW TOWNSEND 46.33N 111.59W
01/08/2013 M60 MPH BROADWATER MT MESONET
60 MPH WIND GUST OCCURRED AT GINGER RAWS SITE AT 803 AM
MST.
&&
$$
COULSTON
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1140 AM MST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0803 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WNW TOWNSEND 46.33N 111.59W
01/08/2013 M60 MPH BROADWATER MT MESONET
60 MPH WIND GUST OCCURRED AT GINGER RAWS SITE AT 803 AM
MST.
&&
$$
COULSTON
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KCYS [081758]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS55 KCYS 081758
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1058 AM MST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0736 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
01/07/2013 M56.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
STAEDY WINDS HAVE BEEN 40 MPH OR BETTER FOR OVER AN HOUR.
0745 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW ARLINGTON 41.64N 106.28W
01/07/2013 M53.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED AT 42 MPH. STEADY WINDS HAVE BEEN 40 MPH SINCE
1905L.
0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
01/07/2013 M51.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
44 MPH SUSTAINED.
0801 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
01/07/2013 M57.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE BEEN OVER 40 MPH FOR 1/2 HOUR.
0805 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW ARLINGTON 41.62N 106.25W
01/07/2013 M57.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
45 MPH SUSTAINED.
0820 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
01/07/2013 M58.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
41 MPH SUSTAINED.
0825 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW ARLINGTON 41.64N 106.28W
01/07/2013 M53.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
45 MPH SUSTAINED.
1140 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE BORDEAUX 41.94N 104.94W
01/07/2013 M62.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION KBRX. SUSTAINED WIND 46 MPH.
0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 NW CHEYENNE 41.25N 104.93W
01/08/2013 M56.00 MPH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
0307 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VEDAUWOO 41.15N 105.40W
01/08/2013 E58.00 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
WYDOT SENSOR AT VEDAUWOO. SUSTAINED WIND AT 48 MPH.
0330 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 WSW CHEYENNE 41.07N 105.04W
01/08/2013 M63.00 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
EMKAY NPR SITE. SUSTAINED AT 38 MPH
0426 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SW CHEYENNE 41.04N 104.93W
01/08/2013 M57.00 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
WYO HILL WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED AT 42 MPH.
0830 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 21 WSW CHEYENNE 41.03N 105.16W
01/08/2013 M54.00 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
LYNCH UPR SITE. SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH.
0841 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
01/08/2013 M55.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
HALLECK RIDGE WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED AT 40 MPH.
1000 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 10 SW CHEYENNE 41.04N 104.93W
01/08/2013 M40.00 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED WINDS AT OR NEAR 40 MPH FOR PAST HOUR. WIND
GUSTS TO 55 MPH FROM 946 AM TO 956 AM.
&&
$$
HAMMER
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1058 AM MST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0736 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
01/07/2013 M56.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
STAEDY WINDS HAVE BEEN 40 MPH OR BETTER FOR OVER AN HOUR.
0745 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW ARLINGTON 41.64N 106.28W
01/07/2013 M53.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED AT 42 MPH. STEADY WINDS HAVE BEEN 40 MPH SINCE
1905L.
0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
01/07/2013 M51.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
44 MPH SUSTAINED.
0801 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
01/07/2013 M57.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE BEEN OVER 40 MPH FOR 1/2 HOUR.
0805 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW ARLINGTON 41.62N 106.25W
01/07/2013 M57.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
45 MPH SUSTAINED.
0820 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
01/07/2013 M58.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
41 MPH SUSTAINED.
0825 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW ARLINGTON 41.64N 106.28W
01/07/2013 M53.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
45 MPH SUSTAINED.
1140 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE BORDEAUX 41.94N 104.94W
01/07/2013 M62.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION KBRX. SUSTAINED WIND 46 MPH.
0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 NW CHEYENNE 41.25N 104.93W
01/08/2013 M56.00 MPH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
0307 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VEDAUWOO 41.15N 105.40W
01/08/2013 E58.00 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
WYDOT SENSOR AT VEDAUWOO. SUSTAINED WIND AT 48 MPH.
0330 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 WSW CHEYENNE 41.07N 105.04W
01/08/2013 M63.00 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
EMKAY NPR SITE. SUSTAINED AT 38 MPH
0426 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SW CHEYENNE 41.04N 104.93W
01/08/2013 M57.00 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
WYO HILL WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED AT 42 MPH.
0830 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 21 WSW CHEYENNE 41.03N 105.16W
01/08/2013 M54.00 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET
LYNCH UPR SITE. SUSTAINED WINDS 40 MPH.
0841 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
01/08/2013 M55.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
HALLECK RIDGE WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED AT 40 MPH.
1000 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 10 SW CHEYENNE 41.04N 104.93W
01/08/2013 M40.00 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
SUSTAINED WINDS AT OR NEAR 40 MPH FOR PAST HOUR. WIND
GUSTS TO 55 MPH FROM 946 AM TO 956 AM.
&&
$$
HAMMER
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KBRO [081750]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBRO 081750
LSRBRO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1150 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DONNA 26.17N 98.05W
01/08/2013 HIDALGO TX EMERGENCY MNGR
WESLACO EM REPORTED TREE BLOWN OVER ON THE 400 BLOCK OF
7TH STREET IN THE CITY OF DONNA... TREE FELL ON PARKED
CAR... NO INJURIES
&&
EVENT NUMBER BRO1300001
$$
AV
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LSRBRO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1150 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DONNA 26.17N 98.05W
01/08/2013 HIDALGO TX EMERGENCY MNGR
WESLACO EM REPORTED TREE BLOWN OVER ON THE 400 BLOCK OF
7TH STREET IN THE CITY OF DONNA... TREE FELL ON PARKED
CAR... NO INJURIES
&&
EVENT NUMBER BRO1300001
$$
AV
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 081710
SWODY2
SPC AC 081709
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TX COASTAL
PLAINS...FAR EAST TX...LA AND FAR SW MS...
...TX COASTAL PLAINS/FAR EAST TX/LA...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NRN MEXICO IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NEWD
ON WEDNESDAY AS A MID-LEVEL JET OVERSPREADS THE TX COASTAL PLAINS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROBABLY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE
TX COASTAL PLAINS IN THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET. AS THE
UPPER-LEVEL LOW APPROACHES THE RIO GRANDE RIVER WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL SPREAD EWD INTO THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA SUPPORTING THE REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
CNTRL AND EAST TX EXTENDING EWD INTO LA. A WELL-DEVELOPED LOW-LEVEL
JET IS ALSO FORECAST TO MOVE NWD ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
SUGGESTING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE COULD GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE
DAY. THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY SHOULD ENABLE A
SEVERE THREAT TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 21Z WEDNESDAY FROM NEAR HOUSTON EWD TO AROUND
LAKE CHARLES GENERALLY SHOW MUCAPE OF 500 TO 750 J/KG WITH ABOUT 50
KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THIS COMBINED WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE
HELICITIES OF 350 TO 450 M2/S2 SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING
STORMS. A TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IF A CORRIDOR
OF MAXIMIZED INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP JUST TO THE WEST OF THE
LOW-LEVEL JET CORE. IN ADDITION...MODEL FORECASTS DEVELOP A ZONE OF
ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
HOUSTON AREA. IF A BOWING LINE-SEGMENT CAN ORGANIZE ALONG THIS
FEATURE...THEN A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH THE THREAT SPREADING EWD ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
FROM LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
..BROYLES.. 01/08/2013
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SWODY2
SPC AC 081709
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TX COASTAL
PLAINS...FAR EAST TX...LA AND FAR SW MS...
...TX COASTAL PLAINS/FAR EAST TX/LA...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NRN MEXICO IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NEWD
ON WEDNESDAY AS A MID-LEVEL JET OVERSPREADS THE TX COASTAL PLAINS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROBABLY BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE
TX COASTAL PLAINS IN THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET. AS THE
UPPER-LEVEL LOW APPROACHES THE RIO GRANDE RIVER WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL SPREAD EWD INTO THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA SUPPORTING THE REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF
CNTRL AND EAST TX EXTENDING EWD INTO LA. A WELL-DEVELOPED LOW-LEVEL
JET IS ALSO FORECAST TO MOVE NWD ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
SUGGESTING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE COULD GRADUALLY INCREASE DURING THE
DAY. THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY SHOULD ENABLE A
SEVERE THREAT TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 21Z WEDNESDAY FROM NEAR HOUSTON EWD TO AROUND
LAKE CHARLES GENERALLY SHOW MUCAPE OF 500 TO 750 J/KG WITH ABOUT 50
KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THIS COMBINED WITH 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE
HELICITIES OF 350 TO 450 M2/S2 SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING
STORMS. A TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IF A CORRIDOR
OF MAXIMIZED INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP JUST TO THE WEST OF THE
LOW-LEVEL JET CORE. IN ADDITION...MODEL FORECASTS DEVELOP A ZONE OF
ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
HOUSTON AREA. IF A BOWING LINE-SEGMENT CAN ORGANIZE ALONG THIS
FEATURE...THEN A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH THE THREAT SPREADING EWD ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
FROM LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
..BROYLES.. 01/08/2013
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KBIS [081657]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KBIS 081657
LSRBIS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1056 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1042 AM SNOW BOTTINEAU 48.83N 100.44W
01/08/2013 M1.0 INCH BOTTINEAU ND CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
AC
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LSRBIS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1056 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1042 AM SNOW BOTTINEAU 48.83N 100.44W
01/08/2013 M1.0 INCH BOTTINEAU ND CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
AC
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KOTX [081639]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KOTX 081639
LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
839 AM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW 4 NNW SPOKANE 47.72N 117.45W
01/08/2013 M3.0 INCH SPOKANE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-SP-34
0600 AM SNOW RITZVILLE 47.11N 118.38W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH ADAMS WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0600 AM SNOW 3 SW CLAYTON 47.98N 117.61W
01/08/2013 M3.3 INCH STEVENS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-ST-1
0600 AM SNOW 1 E MOSCOW 46.73N 116.97W
01/08/2013 M1.4 INCH LATAH ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-LT-7
0600 AM SNOW 13 NE SANDPOINT 48.38N 116.31W
01/08/2013 M1.7 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-BR-8
0600 AM SNOW 1 NNW OROVILLE 48.96N 119.44W
01/08/2013 M1.5 INCH OKANOGAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-OK-5
0630 AM SNOW 3 WNW ALENE 47.71N 116.84W
01/08/2013 M2.5 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-KT-8
0700 AM SNOW PRICHARD 3 ESE 47.64N 115.92W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH SHOSHONE ID CO-OP OBSERVER
0700 AM SNOW NORTHPORT 48.87N 117.87W
01/08/2013 M3.6 INCH STEVENS WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0700 AM SNOW 2 SSE EAST WENATCHEE 47.40N 120.28W
01/08/2013 M1.0 INCH DOUGLAS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-DG-20
0700 AM SNOW S WENATCHEE 47.42N 120.33W
01/08/2013 M1.9 INCH CHELAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-CH-7
0700 AM SNOW 1 SSW RATHDRUM 47.79N 116.90W
01/08/2013 M2.5 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-KT-5
0700 AM SNOW 4 E SPIRIT LAKE 47.96N 116.79W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-KT-1
0700 AM SNOW 12 SSE PRIEST RIVER 48.03N 116.81W
01/08/2013 M1.4 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-BR-15
0700 AM SNOW FIELDS SPRING S.P. 46.08N 117.17W
01/08/2013 M3.9 INCH ASOTIN WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0700 AM SNOW 4 NE DEER PARK 48.00N 117.38W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH SPOKANE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-SP-32
0700 AM SNOW 6 W NEWPORT 48.18N 117.17W
01/08/2013 M2.9 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-PO-9
0700 AM SNOW 13 NW WINTHROP 48.58N 120.40W
01/08/2013 M1.3 INCH OKANOGAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-OK-18
0700 AM SNOW 3 ESE GRAND COULEE 47.92N 118.94W
01/08/2013 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-LN-2
0700 AM SNOW 10 NW KETTLE FALLS 48.72N 118.20W
01/08/2013 M2.5 INCH FERRY WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-FY-8
0725 AM SNOW BOUNDARY DAM 48.98N 117.36W
01/08/2013 M2.5 INCH PEND OREILLE WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW PULLMAN 46.76N 117.19W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH WHITMAN WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW 5 N SPOKANE 47.75N 117.41W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH SPOKANE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-SP-30
0800 AM SNOW FERNWOOD 47.11N 116.40W
01/08/2013 M3.0 INCH BENEWAH ID CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW W NEWPORT 48.18N 117.06W
01/08/2013 M2.4 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-PO-4
0800 AM SNOW FERNWOOD 47.11N 116.40W
01/08/2013 M3.0 INCH BENEWAH ID CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
MAT
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LSROTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
839 AM PST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW 4 NNW SPOKANE 47.72N 117.45W
01/08/2013 M3.0 INCH SPOKANE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-SP-34
0600 AM SNOW RITZVILLE 47.11N 118.38W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH ADAMS WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0600 AM SNOW 3 SW CLAYTON 47.98N 117.61W
01/08/2013 M3.3 INCH STEVENS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-ST-1
0600 AM SNOW 1 E MOSCOW 46.73N 116.97W
01/08/2013 M1.4 INCH LATAH ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-LT-7
0600 AM SNOW 13 NE SANDPOINT 48.38N 116.31W
01/08/2013 M1.7 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-BR-8
0600 AM SNOW 1 NNW OROVILLE 48.96N 119.44W
01/08/2013 M1.5 INCH OKANOGAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-OK-5
0630 AM SNOW 3 WNW ALENE 47.71N 116.84W
01/08/2013 M2.5 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-KT-8
0700 AM SNOW PRICHARD 3 ESE 47.64N 115.92W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH SHOSHONE ID CO-OP OBSERVER
0700 AM SNOW NORTHPORT 48.87N 117.87W
01/08/2013 M3.6 INCH STEVENS WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0700 AM SNOW 2 SSE EAST WENATCHEE 47.40N 120.28W
01/08/2013 M1.0 INCH DOUGLAS WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-DG-20
0700 AM SNOW S WENATCHEE 47.42N 120.33W
01/08/2013 M1.9 INCH CHELAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-CH-7
0700 AM SNOW 1 SSW RATHDRUM 47.79N 116.90W
01/08/2013 M2.5 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-KT-5
0700 AM SNOW 4 E SPIRIT LAKE 47.96N 116.79W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH KOOTENAI ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-KT-1
0700 AM SNOW 12 SSE PRIEST RIVER 48.03N 116.81W
01/08/2013 M1.4 INCH BONNER ID TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS ID-BR-15
0700 AM SNOW FIELDS SPRING S.P. 46.08N 117.17W
01/08/2013 M3.9 INCH ASOTIN WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0700 AM SNOW 4 NE DEER PARK 48.00N 117.38W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH SPOKANE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-SP-32
0700 AM SNOW 6 W NEWPORT 48.18N 117.17W
01/08/2013 M2.9 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-PO-9
0700 AM SNOW 13 NW WINTHROP 48.58N 120.40W
01/08/2013 M1.3 INCH OKANOGAN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-OK-18
0700 AM SNOW 3 ESE GRAND COULEE 47.92N 118.94W
01/08/2013 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-LN-2
0700 AM SNOW 10 NW KETTLE FALLS 48.72N 118.20W
01/08/2013 M2.5 INCH FERRY WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-FY-8
0725 AM SNOW BOUNDARY DAM 48.98N 117.36W
01/08/2013 M2.5 INCH PEND OREILLE WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW PULLMAN 46.76N 117.19W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH WHITMAN WA CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW 5 N SPOKANE 47.75N 117.41W
01/08/2013 M2.0 INCH SPOKANE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-SP-30
0800 AM SNOW FERNWOOD 47.11N 116.40W
01/08/2013 M3.0 INCH BENEWAH ID CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW W NEWPORT 48.18N 117.06W
01/08/2013 M2.4 INCH PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER
COCORAHS WA-PO-4
0800 AM SNOW FERNWOOD 47.11N 116.40W
01/08/2013 M3.0 INCH BENEWAH ID CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
MAT
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 081622
SWODY1
SPC AC 081621
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1021 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
VALID 081630Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN/SERN
TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST IS A MID AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW WHICH
WILL TRACK ACROSS NRN MEXICO THROUGH 09/12Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
ATTENDED BY A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100M/12 HR
WHICH WILL GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY DURING
THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN THE LOW LEVELS...15Z
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT FROM BETWEEN MFE AND LRD
EXTENDING NEWD TO OFF THE TX COAST S OF CRP BEFORE STRETCHING ENEWD
ALONG THE SHELF WATERS OF THE NWRN AND N-CNTRL GOM. THIS WARM FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS INLAND AHEAD OF A FRONTAL WAVE WHICH IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP FROM THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/DEEP S TX INTO
THE TX HILL COUNTRY BY THE END OF THE D1 PERIOD.
...CNTRL/SRN/SERN TX...
SCATTERED...ELEVATED TSTMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY TO THE N OF SURFACE WARM FRONT WHERE LOW-LEVEL WARM THERMAL
AND MOISTURE ADVECTIONS ARE ENHANCED ALONG AND NEAR THE LLJ AXIS.
12Z SOUNDING DATA FROM DRT...BRO...AND CRP SHOWED ONLY MODEST MUCAPE
VALUES OF GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG...SUGGESTING ONLY A MINIMAL
HAIL THREAT WITH THE ELEVATED STORMS. SURFACE-BASED STORM FORMATION
WITHIN THE INLAND-DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR REMAINS MORE UNCERTAIN AT
LEAST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A
STRENGTHENING CAP AS OBSERVED BY THE 12Z SOUNDING AT MONTEREY
MEXICO. STILL...A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE TORNADOES EXISTS GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
MLCAPE OF AROUND 1000 J/KG AND MODESTLY STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.
A NOTABLE INCREASE IN BOTH ELEVATED AND SURFACE-BASED STORM
DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ALONG
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER S/SE OF DRT AS HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR
ASCENT IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM THE UPPER LOW BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD
THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS DEVELOPING NWD/NWWD. LATEST
CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR
UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS INTO A N-S ORIENTED QLCS WHICH WILL ADVANCE
ACROSS ERN PARTS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY AND
DEEP S TX OVERNIGHT TO ALONG THE MID/UPPER TX COAST BY 09/12Z. THE
STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE SRN PORTION OF QLCS...IN
CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.
HERE...A MIX OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR
TWO.
..MEAD/LEITMAN.. 01/08/2013
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SWODY1
SPC AC 081621
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1021 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
VALID 081630Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN/SERN
TX...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST IS A MID AND UPPER-LEVEL LOW WHICH
WILL TRACK ACROSS NRN MEXICO THROUGH 09/12Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE
ATTENDED BY A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100M/12 HR
WHICH WILL GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY DURING
THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN THE LOW LEVELS...15Z
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT FROM BETWEEN MFE AND LRD
EXTENDING NEWD TO OFF THE TX COAST S OF CRP BEFORE STRETCHING ENEWD
ALONG THE SHELF WATERS OF THE NWRN AND N-CNTRL GOM. THIS WARM FRONT
WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS INLAND AHEAD OF A FRONTAL WAVE WHICH IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP FROM THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/DEEP S TX INTO
THE TX HILL COUNTRY BY THE END OF THE D1 PERIOD.
...CNTRL/SRN/SERN TX...
SCATTERED...ELEVATED TSTMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY TO THE N OF SURFACE WARM FRONT WHERE LOW-LEVEL WARM THERMAL
AND MOISTURE ADVECTIONS ARE ENHANCED ALONG AND NEAR THE LLJ AXIS.
12Z SOUNDING DATA FROM DRT...BRO...AND CRP SHOWED ONLY MODEST MUCAPE
VALUES OF GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG...SUGGESTING ONLY A MINIMAL
HAIL THREAT WITH THE ELEVATED STORMS. SURFACE-BASED STORM FORMATION
WITHIN THE INLAND-DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR REMAINS MORE UNCERTAIN AT
LEAST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A
STRENGTHENING CAP AS OBSERVED BY THE 12Z SOUNDING AT MONTEREY
MEXICO. STILL...A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE TORNADOES EXISTS GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
MLCAPE OF AROUND 1000 J/KG AND MODESTLY STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.
A NOTABLE INCREASE IN BOTH ELEVATED AND SURFACE-BASED STORM
DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING ALONG
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER S/SE OF DRT AS HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR
ASCENT IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM THE UPPER LOW BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD
THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS DEVELOPING NWD/NWWD. LATEST
CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR
UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS INTO A N-S ORIENTED QLCS WHICH WILL ADVANCE
ACROSS ERN PARTS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU THROUGH THE HILL COUNTRY AND
DEEP S TX OVERNIGHT TO ALONG THE MID/UPPER TX COAST BY 09/12Z. THE
STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE SRN PORTION OF QLCS...IN
CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.
HERE...A MIX OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR
TWO.
..MEAD/LEITMAN.. 01/08/2013
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KFWD [081602]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KFWD 081602
LSRFWD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1002 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0837 AM HAIL BELLMEAD 31.58N 97.08W
01/08/2013 E0.75 INCH MCLENNAN TX BROADCAST MEDIA
DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN BELLMEAD
$$
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LSRFWD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1002 AM CST TUE JAN 08 2013
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0837 AM HAIL BELLMEAD 31.58N 97.08W
01/08/2013 E0.75 INCH MCLENNAN TX BROADCAST MEDIA
DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN BELLMEAD
$$
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