KOKX [250346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KOKX 250346
LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1145 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM TSTM WND GST 10 S GUILFORD 41.14N 72.66W
10/24/2009 M47.00 MPH ANZ330 CT BUOY

CENTRAL SOUND BUOY REPORTED WIND GUST OF 41 KT

0908 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S CONEY ISLAND 40.47N 74.01W
10/24/2009 E43.00 MPH ANZ338 NJ MESONET

MEASURED WIND GUST OF 37.4 KT AT SANDY HOOK COASTAL
STATION

0957 PM TSTM WND GST SHINNECOCK HILLS 40.90N 72.46W
10/24/2009 M48.00 MPH SUFFOLK NY MESONET

MEASURED WIND GUST OF 41.7 KT AT SHINNECOCK INLET LIGHT
TOWER

&&

$$

JM

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KPHI [250329]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 250329
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1129 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 WNW CONSHOHOCKEN 40.09N 75.33W
10/24/2009 MONTGOMERY PA EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING ON THE SCHULYKILL EXPRESSWAY IN LOWER MERION
TOWNSHIP.

0625 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE BRYN ATHYN 40.17N 75.04W
10/24/2009 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN UPPER SOUTHAMPTON TOWNSHIP.

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE VALLEY FORGE 40.07N 75.46W
10/24/2009 CHESTER PA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADWAYS FLOODED IN TREDYFFRIN AND EAST WHITELAND
TOWNSHIP INCLUDING PENNSYLVANIA STATE ROUTES 29 AND 30.

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD PHILADELPHIA 40.01N 75.13W
10/24/2009 PHILADELPHIA PA MESONET

FRANKFORD CREEK FLOODED.

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NE NEW BRUNSWICK 40.52N 74.39W
10/24/2009 MIDDLESEX NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

INTERSTATE 287 CLOSED AT EXIT ONE IN EDISON.

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SE MILLINGTON 40.62N 74.45W
10/24/2009 SOMERSET NJ NWS EMPLOYEE

U.S. ROUTE 22 CLOSED IN NORTH PLAINFIELD

0858 PM TSTM WND GST 5 SE GEORGETOWN 40.02N 74.60W
10/24/2009 M47.00 MPH BURLINGTON NJ MESONET

47 MPH WIND GUST AT MC GUIRE AIR FORCE BASE.

0900 PM FLOOD SCHWENKSVILLE 40.26N 75.46W
10/24/2009 MONTGOMERY PA MESONET

FLOODING ALONG THE EAST BRANCH OF THE PERKIOMEN CREEK.

0900 PM FLOOD NEWTOWN SQUARE 39.99N 75.40W
10/24/2009 DELAWARE PA MESONET

FLOODING ALONG CRUM CREEK AT NEWTOWN SQUARE.

0900 PM FLOOD 2 ESE AMBLER 40.14N 75.19W
10/24/2009 MONTGOMERY PA MESONET

FLOODING ALONG THE WISSAHICKON CREEK IN FORT WASHINGTON,
UPPER DUBLIN TOWNSHIP.

0900 PM FLOOD PERKASIE 40.37N 75.29W
10/24/2009 BUCKS PA PUBLIC

FLOODING REPORTED ALONG THE EAST BRANCH OF THE PERKIOMEN
CREEK. SOME ROADS CLOSED.

0945 PM FLOOD 2 WNW BEAR 39.64N 75.72W
10/24/2009 NEW CASTLE DE MESONET

CHRISTINA RIVER FLOODED AT COOCHS BRIDGE.

&&

$$

TGIGI

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KBOX [250326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 250326
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1126 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
10/24/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ON WIRES ON WATER STREET.

1025 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PLYMPTON 41.95N 70.82W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRE DOWN FROM HOUSE TO THE POLE.

1054 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIMBS DOWN PAST HOUR VARIOUS LOCATIONS PER POLICE

1056 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST GREENWICH 41.63N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

RTE 3 LIMBS DOWN.

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN PERKINS STEEET

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FREETOWN 41.82N 71.05W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN BRAYLEY ROAD NEAR CHASE ROAD.

1111 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MIDDLEBOROUGH 41.90N 70.93W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LIMB AND WIRES DOWN OAKLEY ST.

1115 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LAKEVILLE 41.85N 70.95W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE TREE BLOCKING ROAD.

1119 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DIGHTON 41.82N 71.12W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCH ON WIRES CAUSING POWER OUTAGE.

1122 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NEW BEDFORD 41.66N 70.94W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCH AND WIRES

1124 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG TAUNTON 41.90N 71.09W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREE DOWN BLOCKING SOUTH PRECINCT ST.

1124 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SOMERSET 41.74N 71.16W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN.

1124 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DUXBURY 42.04N 70.67W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN.

&&

$$

WDRAG

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KBOX [250324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 250324
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1124 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
10/24/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ON WIRES ON WATER STREET.

1025 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PLYMPTON 41.95N 70.82W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRE DOWN FROM HOUSE TO THE POLE.

1054 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIMBS DOWN PAST HOUR VARIOUS LOCATIONS PER POLICE

1056 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST GREENWICH 41.63N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

RTE 3 LIMBS DOWN.

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN PERKINS STEEET

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FREETOWN 41.82N 71.05W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN BRAYLEY ROAD NEAR CHASE ROAD.

1111 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MIDDLEBOROUGH 41.90N 70.93W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LIMB AND WIRES DOWN OAKLEY ST.

1115 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LAKEVILLE 41.85N 70.95W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE TREE BLOCKING ROAD.

1119 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DIGHTON 41.82N 71.12W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCH ON WIRES CAUSING POWER OUTAGE.

1122 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NEW BEDFORD 41.66N 70.94W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCH AND WIRES

&&

$$

WDRAG

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KBOX [250316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 250316
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1116 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
10/24/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ON WIRES ON WATER STREET.

1025 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PLYMPTON 41.95N 70.82W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRE DOWN FROM HOUSE TO THE POLE.

1054 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIMBS DOWN PAST HOUR VARIOUS LOCATIONS PER POLICE

1056 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST GREENWICH 41.63N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

RTE 3 LIMBS DOWN.

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FREETOWN 41.82N 71.05W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN BRAYLEY ROAD NEAR CHASE ROAD.

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN PERKINS STEEET

1111 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MIDDLEBOROUGH 41.90N 70.93W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LIMB AND WIRES DOWN OAKLEY ST.

1115 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LAKEVILLE 41.85N 70.95W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE TREE BLOCKING ROAD.

&&

$$

WDRAG

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KBOX [250312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 250312
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1112 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
10/24/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ON WIRES ON WATER STREET.

1025 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PLYMPTON 41.95N 70.82W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRE DOWN FROM HOUSE TO THE POLE.

1054 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIMBS DOWN PAST HOUR VARIOUS LOCATIONS PER POLICE

1056 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST GREENWICH 41.63N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

RTE 3 LIMBS DOWN.

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FREETOWN 41.82N 71.05W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN BRAYLEY ROAD NEAR CHASE ROAD.

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN PERKINS STEEET

1111 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MIDDLEBOROUGH 41.90N 70.93W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

LIMB AND WIRES DOWN OAKLEY ST.

&&

$$

WDRAG

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KBOX [250310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 250310
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1110 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
10/24/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ON WIRES ON WATER STREET.

1025 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PLYMPTON 41.95N 70.82W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRE DOWN FROM HOUSE TO THE POLE.

1054 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIMBS DOWN PAST HOUR VARIOUS LOCATIONS PER POLICE

1056 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST GREENWICH 41.63N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

RTE 3 LIMBS DOWN.

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FREETOWN 41.82N 71.05W
10/24/2009 BRISTOL MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN BRAYLEY ROAD NEAR CHASE ROAD.

1108 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST WARWICK 41.70N 71.52W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

WIRES DOWN PERKINS STEEET

&&

$$

WDRAG

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KBOX [250300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 250300
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1059 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
10/24/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ON WIRES ON WATER STREET.

1025 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PLYMPTON 41.95N 70.82W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRE DOWN FROM HOUSE TO THE POLE.

1054 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG COVENTRY 41.68N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

LIMBS DOWN PAST HOUR VARIOUS LOCATIONS PER POLICE

1056 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST GREENWICH 41.63N 71.65W
10/24/2009 KENT RI AMATEUR RADIO

RTE 3 LIMBS DOWN.

&&

$$

WDRAG

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KBOX [250230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 250230
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1030 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
10/24/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ON WIRES ON WATER STREET.

1025 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PLYMPTON 41.95N 70.82W
10/24/2009 PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WIRE DOWN FROM HOUSE TO THE POLE.

&&

$$

WDRAG

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KBOX [250216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBOX 250216
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1016 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SANDWICH 41.76N 70.50W
10/24/2009 BARNSTABLE MA AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE BRANCHES DOWN ON WIRES ON WATER STREET.

&&

$$

WDRAG

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KPHI [250152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 250152
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
952 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 WNW CONSHOHOCKEN 40.09N 75.33W
10/24/2009 MONTGOMERY PA EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING ON THE SCHULYKILL EXPRESSWAY IN LOWER MERION
TOWNSHIP.

0625 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE BRYN ATHYN 40.17N 75.04W
10/24/2009 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN UPPER SOUTHAMPTON TOWNSHIP.

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE VALLEY FORGE 40.07N 75.46W
10/24/2009 CHESTER PA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADWAYS FLOODED IN TREDYFFRIN AND EAST WHITELAND
TOWNSHIP INCLUDING PENNSYLVANIA STATE ROUTES 29 AND 30.

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD PHILADELPHIA 40.01N 75.13W
10/24/2009 PHILADELPHIA PA MESONET

FRANKFORD CREEK FLOODED.

0858 PM TSTM WND GST 5 SE GEORGETOWN 40.02N 74.60W
10/24/2009 M47.00 MPH BURLINGTON NJ MESONET

47 MPH WIND GUST AT MC GUIRE AIR FORCE BASE.

0900 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SE MILLINGTON 40.62N 74.45W
10/24/2009 SOMERSET NJ NWS EMPLOYEE

U.S. ROUTE 22 CLOSED IN NORTH PLAINFIELD

0900 PM FLOOD NEWTOWN SQUARE 39.99N 75.40W
10/24/2009 DELAWARE PA MESONET

FLOODING ALONG CRUM CREEK AT NEWTOWN SQUARE.

0900 PM FLOOD 2 ESE AMBLER 40.14N 75.19W
10/24/2009 MONTGOMERY PA MESONET

FLOODING ALONG THE WISSAHICKON CREEK IN FORT WASHINGTON,
UPPER DUBLIN TOWNSHIP.

&&

$$

TGIGI

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KPHI [250021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPHI 250021
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
821 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 WNW CONSHOHOCKEN 40.09N 75.33W
10/24/2009 MONTGOMERY PA EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING ON THE SCHULYKILL EXPRESSWAY IN LOWER MERION
TOWNSHIP.

0625 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE BRYN ATHYN 40.17N 75.04W
10/24/2009 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN UPPER SOUTHAMPTON TOWNSHIP.

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSE VALLEY FORGE 40.07N 75.46W
10/24/2009 CHESTER PA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADWAYS FLOODED IN TREDYFFRIN AND EAST WHITELAND
TOWNSHIP INCLUDING PENNSYLVANIA STATE ROUTES 29 AND 30.

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD PHILADELPHIA 40.01N 75.13W
10/24/2009 PHILADELPHIA PA MESONET

FRANKFORD CREEK FLOODED.

&&

$$

TGIGI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 250018
SWODY1
SPC AC 250017

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0717 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

VALID 250100Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST...
SCATTERED MOSTLY WEAK THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN CONCENTRATED IN
A PRE-FRONTAL ZONE OF STRONGER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL
MOTION/WEAK MID-LEVEL COOLING. THIS MAY SHIFT EAST OF NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS BY 02-03Z...BUT COULD LINGER ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHERN INTO COASTAL NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH 04-06Z.
HOWEVER...AT LEAST A LOW RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS MAY NOT COMPLETELY
DIMINISH UNTIL SURFACE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS MID ATLANTIC
COASTAL AREAS DURING THE 03-05Z TIME FRAME...AND THE CAPE COD AREA
INTO DOWNEAST MAINE TOWARD 07-09Z.

GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE AMBIENT WIND FIELDS ABOVE THE GROUND NEAR
ONGOING CONVECTION...SOME OF THIS MOMENTUM COULD WORK ITS WAY TO THE
SURFACE. BUT...A LINGERING SHALLOW NEAR SURFACE STABLE LAYER ACROSS
MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND...AND A STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS MID
ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS...APPEAR LIKELY TO MITIGATE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

...GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...PARTS OF ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS...
MID-LEVEL COOLING ASSOCIATED WITH DIGGING SHORT WAVE TROUGHS WITHIN
BROADER SCALE CYCLONIC FLOW CONTRIBUTED TO SUFFICIENTLY STEEP LAPSE
RATES FOR SCATTERED WEAK THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. COVERAGE OF
THIS ACTIVITY ALREADY APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. HOWEVER...FORCING IN THE EXIT REGION OF ONE JET
STREAK COULD MAINTAIN ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ACROSS
PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN UTAH INTO WESTERN COLORADO THROUGH AT LEAST
THE 02-04Z TIME FRAME. AND... AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO IS NOT OUT
OF THE QUESTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANOTHER IMPULSE ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHEAST COLORADO OR NORTHWEST KANSAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA.

..KERR.. 10/25/2009

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2135

ACUS11 KWNS 242302
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242302
NYZ000-CTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-250000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2135
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0602 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NJ/FAR SERN NY INCLUDING WRN LONG ISLAND/FAR SWRN
CT

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 242302Z - 250000Z

ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH LINE SEGMENTS/LEWPS
TRACKING NEWD ACROSS NJ EARLY THIS EVENING /THROUGH 00-01Z/. STRONG
LOW LEVEL SHEAR /SFC-1 KM 40-50 KT PER REGIONAL WSR-88DS/ ALSO
SUGGESTS A NON-ZERO TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE WEAK
INSTABILITY...ANY TORNADO WOULD LIKELY BE BRIEF.

FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY MOVING
NEWD ACROSS UPPER OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION PER WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY...IS LIKELY AIDING IN RECENT INCREASE IN TSTM ACTIVITY
EXTENDING FROM NRN DE TO NRN NJ. DESPITE VERY WEAK INSTABILITY
GIVEN WEAK LAPSE RATES...THE DEEP LAYER ASCENT COMBINED WITH STRONG
DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR VALUES ARE PROVING SUFFICIENT FOR
CURRENT DEVELOPMENT. AREA WSR-88D VWP DATA INDICATED 50 KT SSWLY
FLOW AT 0.5 KM AGL. THE DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER OF THESE WIND
SPEEDS COMBINED WITH A 35 KT STORM MOTION SUGGESTS STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THIS ACTIVITY AS IT SPREADS NEWD ACROSS NJ.
THIS THREAT SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED TO NJ AND POSSIBLY WRN LONG
ISLAND...BUT LOCATIONS FARTHER E THROUGH N HAVE GREATER SURFACE
BASED INHIBITION...LIMITING STRONGER WINDS FROM REACHING THE
SURFACE.

..PETERS.. 10/24/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...

LAT...LON 39347534 39727527 40117502 40487479 40807460 41137434
41217395 41117363 41087354 40777341 40477367 40277396
39667413 39327465 39347534

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KCYS [242253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 242253
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
452 PM MDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SE BUFORD 41.06N 105.23W
10/24/2009 M58 MPH LARAMIE WY CO-OP OBSERVER

DELAYED REPORT.

&&

$$

LUNDQUIST

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KTFX [242051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 242051
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
251 PM MDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL 5 WSW GREAT FALLS 47.47N 111.38W
10/24/2009 M0.75 INCH CASCADE MT NWS EMPLOYEE

A THUNDERSTORM BROUGHT A BRIEF PERIOD OF HAIL TO 3/4 INCH
HAIL. THE GROUND WAS COVERED WITH HAIL AFTER THE 10
MINUTE HAIL FALL.

&&

$$

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KBYZ [242014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBYZ 242014
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
214 PM MDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 S WYOLA 45.03N 107.38W
10/24/2009 M60 MPH BIG HORN MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

&&

$$

STC/JA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241950
SWODY1
SPC AC 241949

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0249 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES...

...MID ATLANTIC STATES...
FEW CHANGES TO ONGOING SCENARIO/OUTLOOK...WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS/PERHAPS A TORNADO STILL REMAINING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
MID ATLANTIC SEABOARD/DELMARVA VICINITY THROUGH EARLY/PERHAPS MID
EVENING. A MOIST AIRMASS CHARACTERIZED BY UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S F
SURFACE DEWPOINTS CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTHWARD AHEAD OF A LEE SIDE
LOW ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF VA/MD AND AN IMMEDIATE PREFRONTAL
CONVECTIVE BAND. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES/TOTAL BUOYANCY WILL REMAIN
WEAK AS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED...AND HAS LIKELY BEEN LIMITING UPDRAFT
VIGOR/TSTM COVERAGE THUS FAR THIS AFTERNOON. BUT WITH A MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER AND AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH/SPEED MAX OVER
THE UPPER OH RIVER VALLEY PER AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...AMPLE
VERTICAL SHEAR/LOW LEVEL SRH IS IN PLACE TO SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR
SUPERCELLULAR STRUCTURES AND/OR EMBEDDED SMALL BOWS WITH ATTENDANT
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR A TORNADO MAINLY ALONG/EAST OF THE
I-95 CORRIDOR.

..GUYER.. 10/24/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1118 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009/

...SYNOPSIS...
A MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND MS VALLEY WILL PROGRESS
NEWD OVER THE OH VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT AS
GRADUAL AMPLIFICATION OF AN UPSTREAM TROUGH OCCURS OVER THE ROCKIES
AND HIGH PLAINS. WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH...AN EMBEDDED SPEED
MAX NOW OVER AL/ERN TN/KY WILL EJECT NEWD TO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS THIS EVENING...AND SRN NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. THE ERN
US TROUGH IS ACCOMPANIED BY AN OCCLUDED CYCLONE JUST E OF LAKE
SUPERIOR...A TRAILING COLD FRONT IN THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE
CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS...AND A WARM FRONT MOVING NWD FROM THE NRN
MID ATLANTIC INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. A WEAK SURFACE WAVE WILL FORM
JUST E OF THE BLUE RIDGE THIS AFTERNOON /AT THE OCCLUSION POINT/ AND
PROGRESS NEWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW A
MODIFIED WARM SECTOR TO SPREAD NWD INTO ERN PA/NJ/SE NY BY THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY COLD FRONT PASSAGE EARLY TONIGHT.

...MID ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...
THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IS CROSSING THE BLUE RIDGE IN VA AND MOVING
EWD INTO THE PIEDMONT OF NC/SC AS OF LATE MORNING. THE WARM SECTOR
AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE
MID-UPPER 70S ACROSS MUCH OF VA AND NEAR 80 IN ERN NC...AND
DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY INCREASING TO THE MID-UPPER 60S.
MEANWHILE...REGIONAL 12Z SOUNDINGS REVEALED RATHER POOR MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES /AOB 6 C PER KM IN THE 850-500 MB LAYER/. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE FACTORS...ALONG WITH SOME ADDITIONAL SURFACE
HEATING...WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG AND
MINIMAL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY DURING
THE AFTERNOON IN ONE OR MORE BROKEN BANDS ALONG AND JUST E OF THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM CENTRAL NC NWD INTO CENTRAL VA...AND
CONVECTION WILL SPREAD NNEWD INTO ERN PA/NJ AS THE WARM SECTOR
DEVELOPS NWD. DEEP LAYER AND LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN
WELL WITHIN THE RANGE FAVORING SUPERCELLS...THOUGH THE MAGNITUDE OF
THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY BE A LITTLE STRONG COMPARED TO THE
RELATIVELY WEAK BUOYANCY. THUS...EXPECT A GRADUAL EVOLUTION OF
CONVECTION INTO EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND SHORT LINE
SEGMENTS THAT WILL BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING GUSTS AND
POTENTIALLY A COUPLE OF TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

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KMQT [241726]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMQT 241726
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
126 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 2 E SIDNAW 46.51N 88.67W
10/24/2009 M3.2 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 3 INCHES.

0700 AM SNOW 1 SW THOUSAND ISLAND LA 46.22N 89.41W
10/24/2009 M3.5 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 3 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW AMASA 46.23N 88.45W
10/24/2009 M2.0 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW 2 SSE IRON RIVER 46.06N 88.63W
10/24/2009 M3.0 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW 1 ESE THREE LAKES 46.55N 88.18W
10/24/2009 M4.0 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 4 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW 2 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
10/24/2009 M5.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW 5 ENE ALBERTA 46.67N 88.37W
10/24/2009 M6.7 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 7 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW 1 WNW IRONWOOD 46.46N 90.17W
10/24/2009 M3.8 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 4 INCHES.

0900 AM SNOW MARENISCO 46.38N 89.70W
10/24/2009 E5.0 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

0900 AM SNOW 3 W STAMBAUGH 46.08N 88.69W
10/24/2009 M4.0 INCH IRON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

SRF

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 241724
SWODY2
SPC AC 241723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1223 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PREVALENT LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS WILL BE REINFORCED
BY MULTIPLE SHORTWAVE PERTURBATIONS CROSSING THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES/WESTERN CANADA...AS A DISTINCT SOUTHERN STREAM SPLIT BEGINS
TO EVOLVE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY OVER THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. ASSOCIATED SHARPENING SURFACE FRONT
WILL ADVANCE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS FRONT WILL SERVE AS
THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR DEEP CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL...MAINLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD SUNDAY
EVENING/NIGHT. COOL/STABLE CONDITIONS WILL OTHERWISE LARGELY LIMIT
TSTM POTENTIAL...PERHAPS ASIDE FROM SOUTH FL AND/OR NORTHEAST NM
WHERE SOME TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

...SOUTHERN/EASTERN OK AND MUCH OF TX LATE AFTERNOON/NIGHT...
WITH THE PRIOR FRONT/ASSOCIATED MOISTURE-RICH TROPICAL AIRMASS
CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO/BAY OF CAMPECHE AT THIS
TIME...DETAILS OF SUNDAYS FORECAST SCENARIO CONTINUE TO LARGELY
HINGE ON THE POTENTIAL QUICK NORTHWARD RETURN OF A MODIFIED/MODESTLY
MOIST AIRMASS ACROSS TX/SOUTHERN OK AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING PLAINS
COLD FRONT. AS THE UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON/NIGHT...SREF DPROG/DT
TRENDS/MAJORITY OF MEMBERS DO SUPPORT A GRADUALLY INCREASING
CONFIDENCE THAT AROUND 60 F SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL DEVELOP NORTHWARD
TO AROUND THE RED RIVER VICINITY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT/EAST OF A
DRYLINE BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WITH A MOISTENING BOUNDARY LAYER
AND AMPLE DEEP LAYER/LOW LEVEL SHEAR ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR/FRONTAL
VICINITY...A MULTI-HOUR WINDOW OF QUASI-DISCRETE/SURFACE BASED
STORMS COULD OCCUR ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING MAINLY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TX...INCLUDING
THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WIND/HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.
HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT MARGINAL MOISTURE/WARM SECTOR CAPPING
SHOULD CONFINE MUCH OF THE DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO THE
IMMEDIATE SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE TOWARD/AFTER DARK...AND THAT A
TENDENCY FOR FRONTAL UNDERCUTTING SHOULD TEMPORALLY LIMIT SUCH A
SURFACE BASED SEVERE THREAT /ALONG WITH A NOCTURNALLY COOLING
BOUNDARY LAYER/. WHILE A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK MAY ULTIMATELY BE
WARRANTED...WILL DEFER TO SUBSEQUENT OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS/NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING MOISTURE RETURN
TIMING/QUALITY AND EXPECTATIONS FOR A PRIMARY POST-SUNSET SEVERE
RISK.

..GUYER.. 10/24/2009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241620
SWODY1
SPC AC 241618

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FOR THE
MID ATLANTIC REGION...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND MS VALLEY WILL PROGRESS
NEWD OVER THE OH VALLEY/MID ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TONIGHT AS
GRADUAL AMPLIFICATION OF AN UPSTREAM TROUGH OCCURS OVER THE ROCKIES
AND HIGH PLAINS. WITHIN THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH...AN EMBEDDED SPEED
MAX NOW OVER AL/ERN TN/KY WILL EJECT NEWD TO THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS THIS EVENING...AND SRN NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. THE ERN
US TROUGH IS ACCOMPANIED BY AN OCCLUDED CYCLONE JUST E OF LAKE
SUPERIOR...A TRAILING COLD FRONT IN THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE
CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS...AND A WARM FRONT MOVING NWD FROM THE NRN
MID ATLANTIC INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. A WEAK SURFACE WAVE WILL FORM
JUST E OF THE BLUE RIDGE THIS AFTERNOON /AT THE OCCLUSION POINT/ AND
PROGRESS NEWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW A
MODIFIED WARM SECTOR TO SPREAD NWD INTO ERN PA/NJ/SE NY BY THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY COLD FRONT PASSAGE EARLY TONIGHT.

...MID ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING...
THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IS CROSSING THE BLUE RIDGE IN VA AND MOVING
EWD INTO THE PIEDMONT OF NC/SC AS OF LATE MORNING. THE WARM SECTOR
AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE
MID-UPPER 70S ACROSS MUCH OF VA AND NEAR 80 IN ERN NC...AND
DEWPOINTS HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY INCREASING TO THE MID-UPPER 60S.
MEANWHILE...REGIONAL 12Z SOUNDINGS REVEALED RATHER POOR MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES /AOB 6 C PER KM IN THE 850-500 MB LAYER/. THE
COMBINATION OF THESE FACTORS...ALONG WITH SOME ADDITIONAL SURFACE
HEATING...WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG AND
MINIMAL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY DURING
THE AFTERNOON IN ONE OR MORE BROKEN BANDS ALONG AND JUST E OF THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM CENTRAL NC NWD INTO CENTRAL VA...AND
CONVECTION WILL SPREAD NNEWD INTO ERN PA/NJ AS THE WARM SECTOR
DEVELOPS NWD. DEEP LAYER AND LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN
WELL WITHIN THE RANGE FAVORING SUPERCELLS...THOUGH THE MAGNITUDE OF
THE DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY BE A LITTLE STRONG COMPARED TO THE
RELATIVELY WEAK BUOYANCY. THUS...EXPECT A GRADUAL EVOLUTION OF
CONVECTION INTO EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND SHORT LINE
SEGMENTS THAT WILL BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING GUSTS AND
POTENTIALLY A COUPLE OF TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

..THOMPSON/GARNER.. 10/24/2009

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2134

ACUS11 KWNS 241620
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241619
NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-DCZ000-241815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2134
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN NC...CNTRL AND ERN VA...MD...DEL...SE
PA AND NJ

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 241619Z - 241815Z

CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO UNDERGO A GRADUAL INCREASE FROM CNTRL NC
AND VA...MD AND DEL...POSSIBLY AS FAR NE AS SERN VA AND NJ THIS
AFTERNOON. STRONGER STORMS MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS ISOLATED TORNADOES. AREA IS BEING
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM CNTRL PA SWWD THROUGH WRN VA INTO THE WRN
CAROLINAS. THE FRONT WILL ADVANCE EAST THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM THE OH THROUGH TN VALLEYS
EJECTS NEWD REACHING THE NERN STATES BY EARLY EVENING. RICHER LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM THE MID 60S OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC TO NEAR 70 IN SERN NC ARE ADVECTING NWD ALONG A STRONG 50+
KT SLY LOW LEVEL JET. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER MOST OF
THE WARM SECTOR...AND WEAK LAPSE RATES AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT
WILL FURTHER LIMIT MLCAPE GENERALLY AOB 500-1000 J/KG. THE MARGINAL
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT COULD POTENTIALLY SERVE AS A LIMITING
FACTOR FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT. SLIGHTLY GREATER INSTABILITY
IS POSSIBLE OVER ERN NC AND SERN VA WHERE STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING
IS CO-LOCATED WITH RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.

CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING WITHIN ZONE OF MODEST ASCENT
ALONG THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT WHERE ONLY A WEAK CAP EXISTS. OTHER
CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING ALONG OFFSHORE BOUNDARIES AND WILL LIFT NWD
THROUGH ERN NC. STORMS SHOULD UNDERGO A GRADUAL INCREASE AS THE
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES. GIVEN 50+ KT SSWLY DEEP LAYER
SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LEWP/BOWING SEGMENTS AND
SUPERCELLS.

..DIAL.. 10/24/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...CTP...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...

LAT...LON 35017702 34577835 36167937 39297703 40417537 39327469
35017702

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KMPX [241606]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMPX 241606
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1105 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1259 PM SNOW EAU CLAIRE 44.82N 91.49W
10/23/2009 M2.5 INCH EAU CLAIRE WI BROADCAST MEDIA

WQOW TV

0420 PM SNOW PRESCOTT 44.75N 92.79W
10/23/2009 M1.0 INCH PIERCE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED ON THE GRASS.

0452 PM SNOW RED WING 44.58N 92.60W
10/23/2009 M4.0 INCH GOODHUE MN BROADCAST MEDIA

KWMG FM RADIO.

0735 PM SNOW ELLSWORTH 44.74N 92.48W
10/23/2009 M2.0 INCH PIERCE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0943 PM SNOW 3 E RICE LAKE 45.50N 91.68W
10/23/2009 M2.5 INCH BARRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

1013 PM SNOW 2 N EAU CLAIRE 44.85N 91.49W
10/23/2009 M1.5 INCH EAU CLAIRE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM SNOW STANLEY 44.96N 90.94W
10/24/2009 M2.0 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW MENOMONIE 44.89N 91.91W
10/24/2009 M2.0 INCH DUNN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM SNOW ZUMBROTA 44.29N 92.67W
10/24/2009 M1.0 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW BLOOMER 45.10N 91.49W
10/24/2009 M1.5 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW BALDWIN 44.96N 92.37W
10/24/2009 M1.0 INCH ST. CROIX WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW ELK MOUND 44.88N 91.69W
10/24/2009 M0.5 INCH DUNN WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW JIM FALLS 45.05N 91.27W
10/24/2009 M2.6 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

AJZ

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KMQT [241601]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 241601
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1201 PM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 5 ENE ALBERTA 46.67N 88.37W
10/24/2009 M6.7 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 7 INCHES.

&&

$$

SRF

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KGRR [241555]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 241555
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1155 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 E ALLEGAN 42.53N 85.80W
10/24/2009 M2.40 INCH ALLEGAN MI PUBLIC

BETWEEN 8 AM THURSDAY AND 8 AM THIS SATURDAY MORNING 2.40
INCHES OF RAIN FELL. THERE WAS SOME STANDING WATER IN THE
FIELDS BUT NO SIGINFICANT FLOODING WAS NOTED. OF THE 2.40
INCHES... 1.00 INCHES FELL FROM 8 AM THURSDAY THROUGH 8
AM FRIDAY. THE OTHER 1.40 INCHES FELL BETWEEN 8 AM FRIDAY
AND 8 AM TODAY, SATURDAY.

1100 AM HEAVY RAIN BIG RAPIDS 43.70N 85.48W
10/24/2009 M1.81 INCH MECOSTA MI PUBLIC

THE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THIS
MORNING AT 9 AM WAS 1.89 INCHES. OF THAT 1.33 INCHES FELL
FROM 9 AM THURSDAY THROUGH NOON ON FRIDAY.

&&

$$

BMARINO

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KDLH [241543]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 241543
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1043 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW MERCER 46.17N 90.06W
10/24/2009 M4.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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KMQT [241425]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 241425
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1025 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW MARENISCO 46.38N 89.70W
10/24/2009 E5.0 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

SRF

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KMPX [241412]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 241412
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
912 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW ZUMBROTA 44.29N 92.67W
10/24/2009 M1.0 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW BLOOMER 45.10N 91.49W
10/24/2009 M1.5 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW BALDWIN 44.96N 92.37W
10/24/2009 M1.0 INCH ST. CROIX WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW ELK MOUND 44.88N 91.69W
10/24/2009 M0.5 INCH DUNN WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW JIM FALLS 45.05N 91.27W
10/24/2009 M2.6 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW STANLEY 44.96N 90.94W
10/24/2009 M2.0 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0900 AM SNOW MENOMONIE 44.89N 91.91W
10/24/2009 M2.0 INCH DUNN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KME

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KDLH [241407]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDLH 241407
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
907 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM SNOW 2 E BUTTERNUT 46.01N 90.46W
10/24/2009 M5.0 INCH ASHLAND WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 AM SNOW MONTREAL 46.43N 90.24W
10/24/2009 M6.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM SNOW BUTTERNUT 46.01N 90.50W
10/24/2009 M4.5 INCH ASHLAND WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0645 AM SNOW GILE 46.43N 90.23W
10/24/2009 M7.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

4 INCHES SINCE 7 PM ON 10/23

0700 AM SNOW GLIDDEN 46.13N 90.58W
10/24/2009 M4.0 INCH ASHLAND WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 4 W CLAM LAKE 46.16N 91.00W
10/24/2009 M3.0 INCH BAYFIELD WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW UPSON 46.37N 90.41W
10/24/2009 M6.0 INCH IRON WI CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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KGRB [241359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 241359
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
859 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0855 AM SNOW WINCHESTER 46.21N 89.90W
10/24/2009 M4.0 INCH VILAS WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KGRB [241354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 241354
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
853 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0852 AM SNOW THREE LAKES 45.79N 89.16W
10/24/2009 M1.8 INCH ONEIDA WI TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS

&&

$$

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KCYS [241349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 241349
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
749 AM MDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0656 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
10/24/2009 M52 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

ALSO 52 MPH AT 0701L.

0630 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BUFORD 41.11N 105.30W
10/24/2009 M51 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET

50 MPH AT 0710L AND 0720L.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KMQT [241327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 241327
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
926 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW 3 W STAMBAUGH 46.08N 88.69W
10/24/2009 M4.0 INCH IRON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

SRF

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KMQT [241323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 241323
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
923 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 2 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
10/24/2009 M5.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES.

&&

$$

SRF

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KDLH [241305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KDLH 241305
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
805 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 4 W CLAM LAKE 46.16N 91.00W
10/24/2009 M3.0 INCH BAYFIELD WI CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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KDLH [241301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 241301
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
801 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW UPSON 46.37N 90.41W
10/24/2009 M6.0 INCH IRON WI CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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KMQT [241256]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 241256
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
856 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 2 SSE IRON RIVER 46.06N 88.63W
10/24/2009 M3.0 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW 1 ESE THREE LAKES 46.55N 88.18W
10/24/2009 M4.0 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 4 INCHES.

&&

$$

SRF

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KDLH [241242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 241242
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
742 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 4 W CLAM LAKE 45.79N 92.41W
10/24/2009 M3.0 INCH BURNETT WI CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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KMQT [241232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 241232
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
832 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW AMASA 46.23N 88.45W
10/24/2009 M2.0 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES.

&&

$$

SRF

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241230
SWODY1
SPC AC 241229

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

VALID 241300Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS OF NC INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC...

...PIEDMONT OF NC/VA INTO THE MID ATLANTIC...
ONLY MINOR MODIFICATIONS NEEDED ATTM AS ENHANCED FLOW ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE OVERSPREADING THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. AHEAD OF EJECTING
POSITIVELY-TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH. AREA OF ASCENT EVIDENT ON
SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING...SUPPORTING TSTM CLUSTER OVER THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/PA...WILL LIKELY CONTINUE NEWD THROUGH THE
EARLY AFTERNOON. MORE PRONOUNCED/INTENSE IMPULSE APPEARED TO BE
OVER THE MID-SOUTH EARLY THIS MORNING WHICH SHOULD EJECT INTO THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS BY LATER TODAY. EXPECT MAIN EWD PUSH TO THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL AWAIT THIS LATTER FEATURE WITH COLD FRONT
MOVING OFFSHORE DURING THE MID TO LATE EVENING.

OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING SURFACE ANALYSES INDICATE PERSISTENT
WARMING/MOISTENING WITHIN WARM SECTOR NOSING INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION AT DAYBREAK. EXPECT AXIS OF 60+F SURFACE DEW POINTS WILL
EVENTUALLY LIFT NWD INTO FAR SRN NY AND POSSIBLY SWRN NEW ENGLAND AS
WEDGE OF COLD/STABLE AIR BEGINS TO ERODE NWD AS STRONG SWLY FLOW
JUST OFF THE SURFACE BEGINS TO MIX DOWN...WHILE UPPER 60F DEW POINTS
HOLD OVER THE CAROLINAS. DESPITE THE ENHANCED SHEAR ATOP SEASONABLY
WARM/MOIST SURFACE AIRMASS FORECAST TO BE MAINTAINED IN ADVANCE OF
SURFACE COLD FRONT NOW OVER THE APPALACHIANS...LIMITED
INSTABILITY/LAPSE RATES WILL BE PRIMARY INHIBITING FACTOR FOR
WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. REGARDLESS...FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST AXIS OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY FROM PORTIONS OF
NC/VA INTO THE MID ATLANTIC GIVEN MODEST PEAK HEATING. SHEAR
PROFILES WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS
AS STORMS INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH NWD EXTENT OF ENSUING
SVR THREAT MITIGATED BY MORE LIMITED INSTABILITY. DAMAGING WINDS
SHOULD BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT AS ACTIVITY EVOLVES INTO SMALL
FAST-MOVING LINES...ALTHOUGH SFC-1 SRH IN EXCESS OF 250 M2/S2 AND
LOW LCLS INDICATE THREAT OF A FEW TORNADOES WITH ANY PERSISTENT
ROTATION.

..EVANS/BOTHWELL.. 10/24/2009

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KDLH [241222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 241222
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
722 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW BUTTERNUT 46.01N 90.50W
10/24/2009 M4.5 INCH ASHLAND WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW GLIDDEN 46.13N 90.58W
10/24/2009 M4.0 INCH ASHLAND WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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KDLH [241208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 241208
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
708 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM SNOW 2 E BUTTERNUT 46.01N 90.46W
10/24/2009 M5.0 INCH ASHLAND WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 AM SNOW MONTREAL 46.43N 90.24W
10/24/2009 M6.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0645 AM SNOW GILE 46.43N 90.23W
10/24/2009 M7.0 INCH IRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

4 INCHES SINCE 7 PM ON 10/23

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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KMQT [241207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 241207
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
807 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 2 E SIDNAW 46.51N 88.67W
10/24/2009 M3.2 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 3 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW 1 WNW IRONWOOD 46.46N 90.17W
10/24/2009 M3.8 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 4 INCHES.

&&

$$

SRF

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KCYS [241155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 241155
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
554 AM MDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/24/2009 M59 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/24/2009 M58 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0337 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VEDAUWOO 41.15N 105.40W
10/24/2009 M56 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0412 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VEDAUWOO 41.15N 105.40W
10/24/2009 M60 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0442 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VEDAUWOO 41.15N 105.40W
10/24/2009 M60 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0455 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PUMPKIN VINE 41.05N 105.46W
10/24/2009 M55 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0500 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 W BUFORD 41.11N 105.34W
10/24/2009 M67 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET

UPRR SITE 203. ELEV. 7979 FT.

0507 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VEDAUWOO 41.15N 105.40W
10/24/2009 M58 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0521 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PUMPKIN VINE 41.05N 105.46W
10/24/2009 M55 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0530 AM HIGH SUST WINDS VEDAUWOO 41.15N 105.40W
10/24/2009 M40 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

40-45 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 330-530 AM MDT

&&

$$

JLH

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KMQT [241114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 241114
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
714 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 1 SW THOUSAND ISLAND LA 46.22N 89.41W
10/24/2009 M3.5 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 3 INCHES.

&&

$$

SRF

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KGRB [241053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 241053
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
553 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0552 AM SNOW 10 W NIAGARA 45.76N 88.21W
10/24/2009 M0.5 INCH FLORENCE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

ECKBERG

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KCLE [241049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 241049
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
649 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM DOWNBURST 1 SSE PERRYSBURG 41.54N 83.62W
10/23/2009 WOOD OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

APPROXIMATELY A DOZEN POWER POLES WERE SNAPPED AND
SEVERAL TREES WERE DOWN BY AN APPARENT DOWNBURST ALONG
ROACHTON AND SCHELDER ROADS.

&&

$$

KING

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2133

ACUS11 KWNS 240926
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240925
PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-VAZ000-241100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2133
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0425 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN WV...NWRN VA...WRN MD...PARTS OF
SWRN/S-CNTRL PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 240925Z - 241100Z

THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST WITH ONGOING
STORMS THIS MORNING. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

RECENT TRENDS IN LIGHTNING...IR SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA INDICATE
TSTMS GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING ALONG COLD FRONT E OF CRW...NAMELY
FAYETTE...NICHOLAS AND WEBSTER COUNTIES WV AS OF 0915Z. IN
FACT...VOLUMETRIC RADAR DATA SUGGEST SPORADIC LOW TO MID-LEVEL
UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. 3-HR SURFACE T/TD
INDICATE THAT THE GREATEST WARMING/MOISTENING OF BOUNDARY LAYER IS
OCCURRING E OF BLUE RIDGE ALONG 40-50 KT LLJ AXIS. HOWEVER...AIR
MASS W OF THE SPINE OF THE APPALACHIANS REMAINS WEAKLY UNSTABLE
WHERE MODIFICATION OF RUC PROXIMITY SOUNDINGS FOR CURRENT SURFACE
CONDITIONS YIELDS MLCAPE OF A COUPLE HUNDRED J/KG.

24/00Z HIGH-RESOLUTION WRF-NMM APPEARS TO HAVE A FAIRLY GOOD HANDLE
ON CURRENT CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION. THESE DATA SUGGEST THAT STORMS MAY
TEND TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH MID MORNING WHILE PROGRESSING
NEWD THROUGH THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NRN VA AND S-CNTRL PA. GIVEN THE
STRONG WIND FIELD OBSERVED BY AREA VWPS...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH THE MORE INTENSE STORMS. ANY TORNADO
THREAT SHOULD BE LIMITED BY THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES PRESENT
ACROSS REGION.

..MEAD.. 10/24/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...

LAT...LON 38078091 39218001 40297866 40387790 39987768 39077830
38207939 37808021 38078091

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KMPX [240841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240841
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
341 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1259 PM SNOW EAU CLAIRE 44.82N 91.49W
10/23/2009 M2.5 INCH EAU CLAIRE WI BROADCAST MEDIA

WQOW TV

&&

$$

KME

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 240828
SWOD48
SPC AC 240827

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 AM CDT SAT OCT 24 2009

VALID 271200Z - 011200Z

...DISCUSSION...

A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE EVOLUTION/INTENSITY
OF SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEXT WEEK. ECMWF ALLOWS A CLOSED LOW
TO DEVELOP OVER TX DURING THE DAY3-4 TIME FRAME...THEN INTENSIFIES
THIS CYCLONE AS IT EJECTS NEWD INTO THE TN/OH VALLEY REGION
WEDNESDAY. THE LATEST GFS HARDLY DEPICTS THIS SCENARIO AT ALL WITH
ONLY A WEAK DEAMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE ACROSS THE
GULF STATES. NEEDLESS TO SAY MUCH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS WITHIN THE
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE AND NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OUTLOOKED
THIS PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 10/24/2009

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