Thursday, November 1, 2007

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 020055
SWODY1
SPC AC 020052

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 PM CDT THU NOV 01 2007

VALID 020100Z - 021200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
BELT OF BROADLY CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS ACROSS MOST OF
CONUS...INTERSPERSED WITH MOSTLY LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVES S OF ABOUT
40N. NRN STREAM IS DOMINATED BY TWO STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGHS --
FIRST MOVING EWD ACROSS QUE AND SECOND AMPLIFYING AS IT MOVES ESEWD
ACROSS SASK...MT AND WY. AT SFC...CONTINENTAL HIGH WILL SHIFT NEWD
ACROSS LOWER GREAT LAKES...WITH STRONG RIDGING SWWD ACROSS TX COAST
AND ERN MEX. THIS PATTERN WILL PRECLUDE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND/OR
INSTABILITY FOR GEN THUNDER POTENTIAL OVER GREAT MAJORITY OF CONUS
DURING REMAINDER PERIOD...WITH POSSIBLE/LOW-PROBABILITY EXCEPTION OF
COASTAL FL.

..FL E COAST...
THROUGH OVERNIGHT HOURS...EXPECT MRGL THUNDER POTENTIAL AT BEST OVER
PORTIONS FL E COAST. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE IS FCST...WITH ONLY SPORADIC/BRIEF PENETRATION OF
CONVECTION UPWARD INTO COLD LAYERS OF MID/UPPER TROPOSPHERE SUITABLE
FOR LIGHTNING GENERATION. MODIFIED RAOBS AND RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE
SOMEWHAT GREATER THUNDER POTENTIAL JUST OFFSHORE OVER GULF STREAM
WHERE MARINE THERMAL FLUXES MORE ROBUSTLY OFFSET POOR MID-UPPER
LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN SUPPORT OF DEEP BUOYANCY. PRIMARY CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL WITH HURRICANE NOEL WILL REMAIN FAR OFFSHORE IN KEEPING
WITH LATEST NHC FCSTS...SEE WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.

.EDWARDS.. 11/02/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011948
SWODY1
SPC AC 011945

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0245 PM CDT THU NOV 01 2007

VALID 012000Z - 021200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
FAIRLY LOW-AMPLITUDE UPPER FLOW PATTERN TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE U.S.
THIS PERIOD...WITH RELATIVELY-WEAK SHORT-WAVE DISTURBANCES MOVING
W-E IN BOTH THE NRN AND SRN STREAMS. AT THE SURFACE...T.S. NOEL --
NOW OVER THE BAHAMAS -- WILL CONTINUE MOVING NNEWD ACROSS THE WRN
ATLANTIC.

..ERN FL...
SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES SHOULD CONTINUE
OVER PARTS OF ERN FL...ON THE WRN FRINGE OF THE CIRCULATION OF T.S.
NOEL. WHILE MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
E OF THE SERN U.S. COAST OVER THE WRN ATLANTIC...INLAND LIGHTNING
SHOULD REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

.GOSS.. 11/01/2007

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KTFX [011839]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011839
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1239 PM MDT THU NOV 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0551 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.18W
11/01/2007 M60 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

TWO MEDICINE MDOT SITE


&&

$$

DREILLY

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KJAX [011827]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 011827
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
227 PM EDT THU NOV 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM HIGH SURF FLAGLER BEACH 29.47N 81.13W
11/01/2007 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

FLAGLER BEACH SURF IS 4 TO 5 FEET WITH OCCASIONAL 6 TO 8
FOOT SWELLS. THE WINDS ARE EAST NORTHEAST AT 30 MILES AN
HOUR.


&&

$$

PKEEGAN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 011711
SWODY2
SPC AC 011709

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1209 PM CDT THU NOV 01 2007

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH -- COMPRISED OF SEVERAL SMALLER-SCALE
DISTURBANCES -- IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE WRN AND
N-CENTRAL CONUS THIS PERIOD. AS ASSOCIATED/SECONDARY SURFACE FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE N CENTRAL CONUS...A LARGE SURFACE RIDGE IS FORECAST
TO EXPAND ACROSS MUCH OF THE WRN AND CENTRAL U.S. THROUGH THE END OF
THE PERIOD.

FURTHER E...T.S. NOEL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NEWD ACROSS THE
WRN ATLANTIC...AS A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH ALOFT APPROACHES THE
ATLANTIC COAST.

WEAK LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION IS FORECAST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND
VICINITY WITHIN THE NWRN QUADRANT OF NOEL. THIS COMBINED WITH THE
APPROACHING UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH FROM THE W MAY PROVIDE
SUFFICIENT QG FORCING TO SUPPORT SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES --
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BAND OF ELEVATED CONVECTION -- ACROSS THE COASTAL
CAROLINAS AND VICINITY. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

.GOSS.. 11/01/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011511
SWODY1
SPC AC 011508

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1008 AM CDT THU NOV 01 2007

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
DESPITE AN ACTIVE NRN STREAM...RELATIVELY TRANQUIL SENSIBLE WEATHER
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CONUS THROUGH TODAY...SUPPORTED BY A LARGE
AREA OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS/ERN STATES. THE ONLY
POTENTIAL FOR TSTMS WILL EXIST OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF FL
ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTIVE BANDS ON THE OUTER FRINGES OF THE
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH T.S. NOEL.

..ECENTRAL/SERN FL...
OUTER BANDS OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROADER CIRCULATION OF
T.S. NOEL WILL MOVE NE-SW ACROSS ECENTRAL/SERN FL THIS AFTERNOON.
THE 12Z CAPE CANAVERAL SOUNDING INDICATED SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
/MUCAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG/ TO SUPPORT ISOLATED TSTMS. FURTHER
NORTH...MID LEVEL SUBSIDENCE NOTED ON THE 12Z TLH/TPA SOUNDINGS AND
DRYING ON WV IMAGERY WILL SUPPRESS TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NERN
PORTION OF THE STATE.

..OUTER BANKS OF NC...
DESPITE SLIGHT MID LEVEL COOLING EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER THE AREA
TODAY /PER THE 12Z GSO SOUNDING/ ASSOCIATED WITH THE SRN EXTENT OF
AN UPPER TROUGH...LACK OF INSTABILITY AND NWLY WINDS /SUSTAINING
CONVERGENCE OVER THE GULF STREAM/ SHOULD PRECLUDE MOISTURE
ADVECTION/TSTM DEVELOPMENT.

..NRN HIGH PLAINS...
COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-30 TO -35 DEG C AT 500 MB/ ASSOCIATED
WITH AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH ALBERTA THIS MORNING WILL
SUPPORT STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN MT/WRN ND
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. ALTHOUGH
FCST SOUNDINGS INDICATE A MINOR AMT OF INSTABILITY...DRY LOW LEVELS
SUPPORTED BY DOWNSLOPE FLOW SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY TSTMS.

.CROSBIE/KIS/HALES.. 11/01/2007

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KJAX [011501]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 011501
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1100 AM EDT THU NOV 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1057 AM HIGH SURF JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
11/01/2007 DUVAL FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

THE JACKSONVILLE BEACH LIFE GUARD STATION REPORTED
BREAKER HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 6 FEET WITH SOME OCCASIONAL 8 TO
10 FOOT BREAKERS.


&&

$$

ECZ

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KJAX [011451]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 011451
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1050 AM EDT THU NOV 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 AM HIGH SURF ST. AUGUSTINE 29.89N 81.31W
11/01/2007 ST. JOHNS FL PUBLIC

SURF HEIGHT OF 4 TO 7 FEET REPORTED AT THE BEACHES.


&&

$$

ECZ

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KJAX [011448]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 011448
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1047 AM EDT THU NOV 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 AM HIGH SURF JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
11/01/2007 DUVAL FL PUBLIC

SURF HEIGHT OF 4 TO 7 FEET REPORTED AT JACKSONVILLE BEACH
PIER.


&&

$$

ECZ

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011232
SWODY1
SPC AC 011229

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 AM CDT THU NOV 01 2007

VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES MUCH OF THE NATION THIS MORNING WITH
ONE EXCEPTION BEING FL WHERE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT PERSISTS TO THE
WEST AND NORTHWEST OF T.S. NOEL OVER THE BAHAMAS. ANOTHER EXCEPTION
IS ALONG A FAST-MOVING COLD FRONT FROM THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY SWWD
TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. THIS FRONT MARKS THE LEADING EDGE OF A
COOLER/DRIER AIR MASS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD THE EAST AND MUCH OF
THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. A REINFORCING SHOT OF
COOLER AIR WILL SPREAD SEWD FROM MT LATER TODAY AS THE NEXT
PROGRESSIVE SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES/NRN
PLAINS.

..FL/SOUTHEAST COAST...
T.S. NOEL IS FORECAST TO MOVE NNEWD THEN NEWD ACROSS THE BAHAMAS
TODAY WITH ONLY A LOW PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
REACHING THE FL PENINSULA. RELATIVELY STRONG AND PERSISTENT E TO
NELY WINDS AROUND THIS SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN TROPICAL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA BUT OVERALL THUNDER CHANCES SHOULD REMAIN LOW GIVEN POOR
LAPSE RATES. CONVERGENCE AND POCKETS OF HEATING MAY ALLOW FOR AN
ISOLATED TSTM OVER LAND...AND A FEW TSTMS COULD ALSO COME ASHORE
ALONG FL E COAST.

OTHER STORMS INCREASING WITHIN LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AXIS ALIGNED
WITH THE GULF STREAM MAY APPROACH NC OUTER BANKS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
HOWEVER...OVERALL PROBABILITY OF TSTMS SHOULD REMAIN LOW OVER MOST
LAND AREAS.

.CARBIN/JEWELL.. 11/01/2007

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 010824
SWOD48
SPC AC 010823

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0323 AM CDT THU NOV 01 2007

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

..SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS LOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...

MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT ANOTHER VIGOROUS SHORT
WAVE IMPULSE WILL DIG SOUTHEAST OF THE CANADIAN/NORTHERN U.S.
ROCKIES EARLY NEXT WEEK. AND...THIS IS PROGGED TO CONTRIBUTE TO A
SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION OF THE LARGE CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S. UPPER
TROUGH...WHICH MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. MODELS ARE STILL SUGGESTIVE THAT A SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW
WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A STRONG SURFACE FRONT ACCOMPANYING UPPER
SYSTEM...WITH PERHAPS THE COLDEST AIR YET THIS SEASON FOR MANY
AREAS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY A RISK FOR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/OZARK
PLATEAU MONDAY...AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN/MID ATLANTIC STATES
TUESDAY. HOWEVER...IT STILL APPEARS THAT MOISTURE RETURN EMANATING
FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO/LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AND FROM
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...WILL BE LIMITED IN MAGNITUDE. AND...WEAK
DESTABILIZATION WILL PROBABLY PRECLUDE ANYTHING BEYOND A RELATIVELY
MINOR SEVERE THREAT AT BEST. THEREAFTER...STABILIZATION ASSOCIATED
WITH COLD INTRUSION SHOULD RESULT IN LOW CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL
THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT THURSDAY.

.KERR.. 11/01/2007

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KKEY [010822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 010822
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
421 AM EDT THU NOV 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SE ROCK HARBOR 25.01N 80.38W
11/01/2007 M53.00 MPH GMZ052 FL C-MAN STATION

A 5-SECOND WIND GUST OF 46 KNOTS...OR 53 MPH...FROM THE
NORTHEAST WAS RECORDED IN A FAST-MOVING SHOWER AT THE
MOLASSES REEF C-MAN STATION. ANEMOMETER HEIGHT 52 FEET
MSL.


&&

$$

KASPER

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 010601
SWODY3
SPC AC 010600

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT THU NOV 01 2007

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE PHASING OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN BRANCH
IMPULSES TO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES WILL LEAD TO THE EVOLUTION OF A
AN AMPLIFIED...NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S.
DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...THE CENTER OF A LARGE
SURFACE RIDGE...ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN STATES...IS
PROGGED TO DEVELOP SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE
WESTERN GULF STATES. MEANWHILE...SURFACE RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...TO THE EAST OF A
MID/UPPER HIGH CENTER...WHICH IS LIKELY TO SHIFT INLAND ...EAST
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.

THE EVOLVING PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A DRY/STABLE
THERMODYNAMIC STRATIFICATION ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION...RESULTING
IN LOW CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL...AND A NEGLIGIBLE SEVERE THREAT.

.KERR.. 11/01/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 010501
SWODY2
SPC AC 010500

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 AM CDT THU NOV 01 2007

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT A STRONG NORTHERN PACIFIC UPPER JET
STREAK WILL NOSE INLAND AROUND THE NORTHERN/EASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN
UPPER RIDGE...WHICH IS PROGGED TO BUILD AS IT SHIFTS TOWARD THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST/BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST DURING THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...PHASING OF DOWNSTREAM SPLIT POLAR JETS IS
EXPECTED TO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...WITHIN A DEVELOPING BROADER
SCALE TROUGH EXTENDING INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. AND...NOEL IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD...ALONG A FRONTAL
ZONE WELL EAST OF SOUTHERN/MID ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS.

THE EVOLVING UPPER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN SURFACE RIDGING
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION. ONE HIGH CENTER WILL LIKELY RETREAT
NORTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND...IN THE WAKE OF A SIGNIFICANT MID-LEVEL
IMPULSE LIFTING THROUGH THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...AS ANOTHER HIGH
BUILDS SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS...AND YET ANOTHER
BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.

ASSOCIATED WITH THIS REGIME...A DRY...STABLE THERMODYNAMIC
STRATIFICATION OVER MOST OF THE NATION WILL RESULT IN NEGLIGIBLE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT.

.KERR.. 11/01/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 010445
SWODY1
SPC AC 010442

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1142 PM CDT WED OCT 31 2007

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION...
MOST OF THE CONUS WILL REMAIN THUNDER-FREE DUE TO AN EXPANSIVE AND
STABLE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE. THIS HIGH WILL SHIFT EWD OUT OF THE
PLAINS INTO THE MS/OH VALLEYS BEHIND A LEAD UPPER TROUGH MOVING
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST. A SECONDARY UPPER TROUGH
WILL DIVE SEWD OUT OF CANADA INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS WITH SURFACE
TROUGH INTO THE ERN DAKOTAS BY AFTERNOON ALBEIT WITH NO INSTABILITY.

TROPICAL STORM NOEL IS FORECAST TO MOVE NNEWD ACROSS THE BAHAMAS
TODAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS REMAINING E OF THE FL
PENINSULA. PERSISTENT E TO NELY FLOW AROUND THIS SYSTEM WILL
MAINTAIN TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO SRN AND ERN FL...BUT OVERALL THUNDER
CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW GIVEN WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES/POOR LAPSE
RATES. HOWEVER...SHORELINE CONVERGENCE AND POCKETS OF HEATING MAY
ALLOW FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES MAINLY ALONG THE FL E COAST. GIVEN
DISTANCE FROM NOEL...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN UNFAVORABLE
FOR TORNADOES.

.JEWELL.. 11/01/2007

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