NWUS51 KOKX 282025
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
425 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 PM FLASH FLOOD WEST HAVEN 41.27N 72.97W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
FIRE DEPARTMENT DISPATCHED TO RESCUE STRANDED MOTORISTS
IN FLOOD WATERS ON PAINTER AVENUE AND ALSO CAMBELL
AVENUE AT CLARK STREET.
&&
$$
DS
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Friday, September 28, 2012
KAKQ [281952]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KAKQ 281952
LSRAKQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
352 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0334 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE GRAYS SIDING 37.52N 78.21W
09/28/2012 CUMBERLAND VA 911 CALL CENTER
TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD
&&
EVENT NUMBER AKQ1200750
$$
LALEXAND
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LSRAKQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
352 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0334 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE GRAYS SIDING 37.52N 78.21W
09/28/2012 CUMBERLAND VA 911 CALL CENTER
TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD
&&
EVENT NUMBER AKQ1200750
$$
LALEXAND
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 281950
SWODY1
SPC AC 281948
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 282000Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK AT 20Z IS TO EXTEND THE 5 PERCENT
WIND DAMAGE PROBABILITY FURTHER TO THE NORTH ACROSS SOUTH FL.
MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY EXISTS ALONG A
CORRIDOR FROM LAKE OKEECHOBEE SWD TO THE ERN FL KEYS ALONG WHICH
SEVERAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
CONUS...THE OUTLOOK APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK.
..BROYLES.. 09/28/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1122 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012/
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TODAY OVER THE NORTHEAST UNITED
STATES...WHILE RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE NATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SERIES OF WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG AN AXIS FROM THE
UPPER OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA WILL SEE A LOW RISK OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
LATER TODAY.
...EASTERN PA/SOUTHEAST NY/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
A SURFACE LOW IS ANALYZED AT 16Z OVER EASTERN PA. THE ASSOCIATED
WARM FRONT EXTENDS EASTWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND OUT
TO SEA. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND
LATER TODAY VERY NEAR THE COAST OF NY/CT/RI/MA. DESPITE THE LIMITED
NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM SECTOR TODAY...SOME RISK OF
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL IN VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY. MODIFIED
FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THE WARM/MOIST AIR MASS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES OF
500-800 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OF 25-35 KNOTS. THESE
VALUES...COUPLED WITH ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE SURFACE
LOW/FRONT WOULD SUPPORT A RISK OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF TORNADO.
GIVEN THE VERY SMALL AREA OF CONCERN AND THE MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES IN THIS
REGION.
...SOUTHERN PA/WV/VA/NORTHERN NC...
FARTHER SOUTHWEST...THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTHWARD INTO
PARTS OF PA/WV/VA LATER TODAY. BROKEN CLOUDINESS OVER THIS REGION
WILL ALLOW SOME DAYTIME HEATING WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES LIKELY
TO REACH THE 80S. MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW INCREASING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THIS
REGION. MODERATE CAPE VALUES WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVELY STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO PROMOTE A RISK OF GUSTY WINDS IN THE
STRONGEST STORMS. AT THIS TIME...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED TODAY.
...SOUTH FL...
THE 12Z MFL RAOB SHOWED CONSIDERABLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AMPLE
CAPE. FORCING IS WEAK AND SUBTLE OVER THIS AREA...SUGGESTING THAT
COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE QUITE SPARSE.
HOWEVER...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS IN THE STRONGER
STORMS. HIGHEST THREAT APPEARS TO BE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
WHERE SEA-BREEZE INTERACTIONS WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF INITIATION.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 281948
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 282000Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK AT 20Z IS TO EXTEND THE 5 PERCENT
WIND DAMAGE PROBABILITY FURTHER TO THE NORTH ACROSS SOUTH FL.
MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY EXISTS ALONG A
CORRIDOR FROM LAKE OKEECHOBEE SWD TO THE ERN FL KEYS ALONG WHICH
SEVERAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
CONUS...THE OUTLOOK APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK.
..BROYLES.. 09/28/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1122 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012/
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TODAY OVER THE NORTHEAST UNITED
STATES...WHILE RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE NATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SERIES OF WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG AN AXIS FROM THE
UPPER OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA WILL SEE A LOW RISK OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
LATER TODAY.
...EASTERN PA/SOUTHEAST NY/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
A SURFACE LOW IS ANALYZED AT 16Z OVER EASTERN PA. THE ASSOCIATED
WARM FRONT EXTENDS EASTWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND OUT
TO SEA. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND
LATER TODAY VERY NEAR THE COAST OF NY/CT/RI/MA. DESPITE THE LIMITED
NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM SECTOR TODAY...SOME RISK OF
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL IN VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY. MODIFIED
FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THE WARM/MOIST AIR MASS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES OF
500-800 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OF 25-35 KNOTS. THESE
VALUES...COUPLED WITH ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE SURFACE
LOW/FRONT WOULD SUPPORT A RISK OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF TORNADO.
GIVEN THE VERY SMALL AREA OF CONCERN AND THE MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES IN THIS
REGION.
...SOUTHERN PA/WV/VA/NORTHERN NC...
FARTHER SOUTHWEST...THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTHWARD INTO
PARTS OF PA/WV/VA LATER TODAY. BROKEN CLOUDINESS OVER THIS REGION
WILL ALLOW SOME DAYTIME HEATING WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES LIKELY
TO REACH THE 80S. MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW INCREASING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THIS
REGION. MODERATE CAPE VALUES WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVELY STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO PROMOTE A RISK OF GUSTY WINDS IN THE
STRONGEST STORMS. AT THIS TIME...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED TODAY.
...SOUTH FL...
THE 12Z MFL RAOB SHOWED CONSIDERABLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AMPLE
CAPE. FORCING IS WEAK AND SUBTLE OVER THIS AREA...SUGGESTING THAT
COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE QUITE SPARSE.
HOWEVER...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS IN THE STRONGER
STORMS. HIGHEST THREAT APPEARS TO BE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
WHERE SEA-BREEZE INTERACTIONS WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF INITIATION.
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KRNK [281948]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KRNK 281948
LSRRNK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
347 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0254 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW DANVILLE CITY 36.55N 79.44W
09/28/2012 CITY OF DANVILLE VA LAW ENFORCEMENT
ONE TREE DOWN ON CORNING DRIVE
&&
$$
PW
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LSRRNK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
347 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0254 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW DANVILLE CITY 36.55N 79.44W
09/28/2012 CITY OF DANVILLE VA LAW ENFORCEMENT
ONE TREE DOWN ON CORNING DRIVE
&&
$$
PW
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KLWX [281947]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 281947
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
347 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0626 PM HAIL 1 N RILEYVILLE 38.78N 78.39W
09/27/2012 E0.88 INCH PAGE VA PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201347
$$
SMZ
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
347 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0626 PM HAIL 1 N RILEYVILLE 38.78N 78.39W
09/27/2012 E0.88 INCH PAGE VA PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201347
$$
SMZ
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KRNK [281937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KRNK 281937
LSRRNK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
337 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0254 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW BLAIRS 36.71N 79.39W
09/28/2012 PITTSYLVANIA VA 911 CALL CENTER
ONE TREE DOWN ALONG THE 800 BLOCK OF ROUTE 745 - MT VIEW
RD
&&
$$
PW
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LSRRNK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
337 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0254 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNW BLAIRS 36.71N 79.39W
09/28/2012 PITTSYLVANIA VA 911 CALL CENTER
ONE TREE DOWN ALONG THE 800 BLOCK OF ROUTE 745 - MT VIEW
RD
&&
$$
PW
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KOKX [281936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281936
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
336 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM FLASH FLOOD MILFORD 41.23N 73.06W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT EMERGENCY MNGR
25 HOMES AND BUSINESSES FLOODED INCLUDING THE CITY HALL
IN MILFORD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
$$
DS
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
336 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0115 PM FLASH FLOOD MILFORD 41.23N 73.06W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT EMERGENCY MNGR
25 HOMES AND BUSINESSES FLOODED INCLUDING THE CITY HALL
IN MILFORD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
$$
DS
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KOKX [281933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281933
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
333 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0242 PM FLASH FLOOD NEW HAVEN 41.31N 72.92W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
ROUTE 34 CLOSED IN THE CITY OF NEW HAVEN DUE TO
FLOODING.
&&
$$
DS
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
333 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0242 PM FLASH FLOOD NEW HAVEN 41.31N 72.92W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
ROUTE 34 CLOSED IN THE CITY OF NEW HAVEN DUE TO
FLOODING.
&&
$$
DS
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KGSP [281933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KGSP 281933
LSRGSP
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
333 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0229 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE LENOIR 35.94N 81.50W
09/28/2012 CALDWELL NC 911 CALL CENTER
COUNTY COMMS REPORTS A POWER LINE DOWN IN THE WILDWOOD RD
AREA.
&&
$$
LANE
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LSRGSP
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
333 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0229 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE LENOIR 35.94N 81.50W
09/28/2012 CALDWELL NC 911 CALL CENTER
COUNTY COMMS REPORTS A POWER LINE DOWN IN THE WILDWOOD RD
AREA.
&&
$$
LANE
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KLWX [281859]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 281859
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
259 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0445 PM HAIL EDINBURG 38.82N 78.56W
09/27/2012 E2.00 INCH SHENANDOAH VA PUBLIC
NEAR EDINBURG GAP RD AND US RT 11 INTERSECTION
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201346
$$
SMZ
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
259 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0445 PM HAIL EDINBURG 38.82N 78.56W
09/27/2012 E2.00 INCH SHENANDOAH VA PUBLIC
NEAR EDINBURG GAP RD AND US RT 11 INTERSECTION
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201346
$$
SMZ
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2003
ACUS11 KWNS 281836
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281836
VAZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-SCZ000-282030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0136 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...WRN THROUGH CNTRL NC AND CNTRL THROUGH ERN
VA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 281836Z - 282030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING FROM THE TN
VALLEY THROUGH WRN AND CNTRL NC AND CNTRL/ERN VA MAY POSE A THREAT
FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. OVERALL THREAT DOES
NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR A WW ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION...THE WARM SECTOR IS DESTABILIZING FROM PORTIONS OF THE
TN VALLEY THROUGH NC AND SRN/ERN VA...BUT WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AND ONLY LOW 60S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS SHOULD LIMIT MLCAPE TO AOB
1000 J/KG. STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONES
WITHIN THE WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK VERTICAL
SHEAR /AOB 30 KT/ AND MODEST WLY FLOW THROUGH 6 KM WILL SUPPORT
MULTICELL STORMS. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AS LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN.
..DIAL/HART.. 09/28/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP...MRX...
LAT...LON 36378311 36228102 37177934 38317801 38337659 37267659
35417936 35078367 36378311
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281836
VAZ000-MDZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-SCZ000-282030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2003
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0136 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...WRN THROUGH CNTRL NC AND CNTRL THROUGH ERN
VA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 281836Z - 282030Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING FROM THE TN
VALLEY THROUGH WRN AND CNTRL NC AND CNTRL/ERN VA MAY POSE A THREAT
FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. OVERALL THREAT DOES
NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR A WW ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION...THE WARM SECTOR IS DESTABILIZING FROM PORTIONS OF THE
TN VALLEY THROUGH NC AND SRN/ERN VA...BUT WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AND ONLY LOW 60S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS SHOULD LIMIT MLCAPE TO AOB
1000 J/KG. STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONES
WITHIN THE WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK VERTICAL
SHEAR /AOB 30 KT/ AND MODEST WLY FLOW THROUGH 6 KM WILL SUPPORT
MULTICELL STORMS. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AS LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN.
..DIAL/HART.. 09/28/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...GSP...MRX...
LAT...LON 36378311 36228102 37177934 38317801 38337659 37267659
35417936 35078367 36378311
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KOKX [281831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281831
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
231 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0212 PM FLASH FLOOD NEW HAVEN 41.31N 72.92W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
STATE STREET IN DOWNTOWN NEW HAVEN CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING.
&&
$$
DS
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
231 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0212 PM FLASH FLOOD NEW HAVEN 41.31N 72.92W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
STATE STREET IN DOWNTOWN NEW HAVEN CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING.
&&
$$
DS
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KLWX [281830]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 281830
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
230 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0609 PM HAIL 1 SSW KINGS CROSSING 38.75N 78.51W
09/27/2012 E0.88 INCH SHENANDOAH VA PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201345
$$
SMZ
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
230 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0609 PM HAIL 1 SSW KINGS CROSSING 38.75N 78.51W
09/27/2012 E0.88 INCH SHENANDOAH VA PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201345
$$
SMZ
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KLWX [281819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 281819
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
219 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0608 PM HAIL 1 SSW KINGS CROSSING 38.75N 78.51W
09/27/2012 E0.75 INCH SHENANDOAH VA PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201344
$$
SMZ
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
219 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0608 PM HAIL 1 SSW KINGS CROSSING 38.75N 78.51W
09/27/2012 E0.75 INCH SHENANDOAH VA PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201344
$$
SMZ
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KRLX [281806]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KRLX 281806
LSRRLX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
206 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1156 AM FLOOD 2 W HUNTINGTON 38.41N 82.47W
09/28/2012 CABELL WV 911 CALL CENTER
10TH ST. VIADUCT CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRRLX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
206 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1156 AM FLOOD 2 W HUNTINGTON 38.41N 82.47W
09/28/2012 CABELL WV 911 CALL CENTER
10TH ST. VIADUCT CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KOKX [281806]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS51 KOKX 281806
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
206 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW WYKAGYL 40.93N 73.81W
09/28/2012 WESTCHESTER NY BROADCAST MEDIA
RAMP CLOSED ON CROSS COUNTY PARKWAY EAST AT HUTCHINSON
PARKWAY
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 E EASTCHESTER 40.89N 73.82W
09/28/2012 BRONX NY BROADCAST MEDIA
NORTHBOUND HUTCHINSON RIVER PARKWAY CLOSED AT I-95 DUE
TO FLOODING. FIRE DEPARTMENT RESCUING PEOPLE STUCK IN
FIVE VEHICLES.
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD NORTH PELHAM 40.92N 73.81W
09/28/2012 WESTCHESTER NY BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND HUTCHINSON RIVER PARKWAY CLOSED BETWEEN
WEBSTER AVENUE AND BOSTON ROAD DUE TO FLOODING.
1150 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 WSW EAST BRIDGEPORT 41.17N 73.19W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
BRIDGEPORT AVENUE AT RAILROAD AVENUE IS FLOODED WITH A
CAR STRANDED IN THE WATER.
1200 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSW EATONS NECK 40.93N 73.40W
09/28/2012 SUFFOLK NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON NORFOLK DRIVE IN EATONS NECK.
1202 PM FLASH FLOOD SAUGATUCK 41.12N 73.37W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND I-95 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BEFORE RAMP TO
SAUGATUCK AVENUE.
1205 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW EAST BRIDGEPORT 41.16N 73.20W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
STREETS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN THE VICINITY OF
SEASIDE PARK.
1205 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSW BRIDGEPORT 41.17N 73.20W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING ON IRANISTAN AVENUE. WATER UP TO CAR DOORS.
1210 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE MILL HILL 41.17N 73.15W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
WATER INSIDE BUILDING IN STRATFORD.
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E STRATFORD 41.20N 73.12W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT CO-OP OBSERVER
VEHICLES TRAPPED WITH WATER UP TO CAR WINDOWS UNDER
RAILROAD TRACKS ON EAST MAIN STREET.
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S STRATFORD 41.19N 73.13W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT CO-OP OBSERVER
FLOODING ON MAIN STREET. WATER UP TO CAR ROOVES UNDER
RAILROAD TRACKS.
1240 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E MILL HILL 41.18N 73.15W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND I-95 CLOSED AT EXIT 30 DUE TO FLOODING. TIME
ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
1245 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE FOREST HEIGHTS 41.23N 73.04W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
CAR STRANDED IN FLOOD WATERS ON I-95 IN MILFORD.
0113 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 ESE FOREST HEIGHTS 41.24N 73.03W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING AT MILFORD MALL. WATER INTO FIRST FLOOR.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
206 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW WYKAGYL 40.93N 73.81W
09/28/2012 WESTCHESTER NY BROADCAST MEDIA
RAMP CLOSED ON CROSS COUNTY PARKWAY EAST AT HUTCHINSON
PARKWAY
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 E EASTCHESTER 40.89N 73.82W
09/28/2012 BRONX NY BROADCAST MEDIA
NORTHBOUND HUTCHINSON RIVER PARKWAY CLOSED AT I-95 DUE
TO FLOODING. FIRE DEPARTMENT RESCUING PEOPLE STUCK IN
FIVE VEHICLES.
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD NORTH PELHAM 40.92N 73.81W
09/28/2012 WESTCHESTER NY BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND HUTCHINSON RIVER PARKWAY CLOSED BETWEEN
WEBSTER AVENUE AND BOSTON ROAD DUE TO FLOODING.
1150 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 WSW EAST BRIDGEPORT 41.17N 73.19W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
BRIDGEPORT AVENUE AT RAILROAD AVENUE IS FLOODED WITH A
CAR STRANDED IN THE WATER.
1200 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSW EATONS NECK 40.93N 73.40W
09/28/2012 SUFFOLK NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON NORFOLK DRIVE IN EATONS NECK.
1202 PM FLASH FLOOD SAUGATUCK 41.12N 73.37W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND I-95 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BEFORE RAMP TO
SAUGATUCK AVENUE.
1205 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW EAST BRIDGEPORT 41.16N 73.20W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
STREETS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN THE VICINITY OF
SEASIDE PARK.
1205 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSW BRIDGEPORT 41.17N 73.20W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING ON IRANISTAN AVENUE. WATER UP TO CAR DOORS.
1210 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE MILL HILL 41.17N 73.15W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
WATER INSIDE BUILDING IN STRATFORD.
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E STRATFORD 41.20N 73.12W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT CO-OP OBSERVER
VEHICLES TRAPPED WITH WATER UP TO CAR WINDOWS UNDER
RAILROAD TRACKS ON EAST MAIN STREET.
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S STRATFORD 41.19N 73.13W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT CO-OP OBSERVER
FLOODING ON MAIN STREET. WATER UP TO CAR ROOVES UNDER
RAILROAD TRACKS.
1240 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E MILL HILL 41.18N 73.15W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND I-95 CLOSED AT EXIT 30 DUE TO FLOODING. TIME
ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
1245 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE FOREST HEIGHTS 41.23N 73.04W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
CAR STRANDED IN FLOOD WATERS ON I-95 IN MILFORD.
0113 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 ESE FOREST HEIGHTS 41.24N 73.03W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING AT MILFORD MALL. WATER INTO FIRST FLOOR.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281753]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281753
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
153 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE MILL HILL 41.17N 73.15W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
WATER INSIDE BUILDING IN STRATFORD.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
153 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE MILL HILL 41.17N 73.15W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
WATER INSIDE BUILDING IN STRATFORD.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281751
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
151 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSW BRIDGEPORT 41.17N 73.20W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING ON IRANISTAN AVENUE. WATER UP TO CAR DOORS.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
151 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSW BRIDGEPORT 41.17N 73.20W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING ON IRANISTAN AVENUE. WATER UP TO CAR DOORS.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281749]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281749
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
149 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW EAST BRIDGEPORT 41.16N 73.20W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
STREETS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN THE VICINITY OF
SEASIDE PARK.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
149 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW EAST BRIDGEPORT 41.16N 73.20W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
STREETS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN THE VICINITY OF
SEASIDE PARK.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281739
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
139 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S STRATFORD 41.19N 73.13W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT CO-OP OBSERVER
FLOODING ON MAIN STREET. WATER UP TO CAR ROOVES UNDER
RAILROAD TRACKS.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
139 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S STRATFORD 41.19N 73.13W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT CO-OP OBSERVER
FLOODING ON MAIN STREET. WATER UP TO CAR ROOVES UNDER
RAILROAD TRACKS.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281737]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281737
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
137 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E STRATFORD 41.20N 73.12W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT CO-OP OBSERVER
VEHICLES TRAPPED WITH WATER UP TO CAR WINDOWS UNDER
RAILROAD TRACKS ON EAST MAIN STREET.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
137 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E STRATFORD 41.20N 73.12W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT CO-OP OBSERVER
VEHICLES TRAPPED WITH WATER UP TO CAR WINDOWS UNDER
RAILROAD TRACKS ON EAST MAIN STREET.
&&
$$
DH
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KLWX [281736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS51 KLWX 281736
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
136 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0816 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E NEW BALTIMORE 38.77N 77.72W
09/27/2012 FAUQUIER VA NWS EMPLOYEE
SEVERAL 6-8 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN NEAR RT 29 AND RT
600.
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201343
$$
SMZ
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
136 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0816 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E NEW BALTIMORE 38.77N 77.72W
09/27/2012 FAUQUIER VA NWS EMPLOYEE
SEVERAL 6-8 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN NEAR RT 29 AND RT
600.
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201343
$$
SMZ
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KLWX [281733]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 281733
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
133 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0916 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E NEW BALTIMORE 38.77N 77.72W
09/27/2012 FAUQUIER VA NWS EMPLOYEE
SEVERAL 6-8 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN NEAR RT 29 AND RT
600.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201343
$$
SMZ
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
133 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0916 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E NEW BALTIMORE 38.77N 77.72W
09/27/2012 FAUQUIER VA NWS EMPLOYEE
SEVERAL 6-8 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN NEAR RT 29 AND RT
600.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201343
$$
SMZ
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KOKX [281728]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281728
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
128 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1245 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE FOREST HEIGHTS 41.23N 73.04W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
CAR STRANDED IN FLOOD WATERS ON I-95 IN MILFORD.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
128 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1245 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE FOREST HEIGHTS 41.23N 73.04W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
CAR STRANDED IN FLOOD WATERS ON I-95 IN MILFORD.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281726]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281726
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
126 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0113 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 ESE FOREST HEIGHTS 41.24N 73.03W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING AT MILFORD MALL. WATER INTO FIRST FLOOR.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
126 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0113 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 ESE FOREST HEIGHTS 41.24N 73.03W
09/28/2012 NEW HAVEN CT BROADCAST MEDIA
FLOODING AT MILFORD MALL. WATER INTO FIRST FLOOR.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281722
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
122 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1240 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E MILL HILL 41.18N 73.15W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND I-95 CLOSED AT EXIT 30 DUE TO FLOODING. TIME
ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
122 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1240 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E MILL HILL 41.18N 73.15W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND I-95 CLOSED AT EXIT 30 DUE TO FLOODING. TIME
ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
&&
$$
DH
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 281659
SWODY2
SPC AC 281657
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1157 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...TX GULF COAST...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY SEWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON
SATURDAY. AT THE SFC...A LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK EWD ACROSS SCNTRL
TX SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SWD ACROSS CNTRL AND EAST TX.
THE WARM SECTOR SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE TX GULF COAST WHERE SOME
OF THE MODELS DEVELOP MODERATE INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...A LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEWD ALONG THE TX
GULF COAST WHICH SHOULD HELP TO STRENGTHEN DEEP LAYER SHEAR DURING
THE DAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT VICTORIA SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN
THE 30 TO 40 KT RANGE. THIS ALONG WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD
BE ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. THE ENVIRONMENT COULD
SUPPORT ROTATING CELLS BUT LAPSE RATES ARE FORECAST TO BE WEAK
SUGGESTING ANY SEVERE THREAT COULD REMAIN MARGINAL.
...CAROLINAS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SWD INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS
ON SATURDAY. AT THE SFC... A COLD FRONT SHOULD ADVANCE SWD ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE
IN THE 60S F WHERE SOME OF THE MODELS DEVELOP POCKETS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR
IN SRN NC AND ERN SC SHOW ABOUT 35 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTING
THE ENVIRONMENT COULD SUPPORT AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WITH A
MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL THREAT POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...IF
DESTABILIZATION IS HAMPERED BY CLOUD COVER...THEN THE SEVERE THREAT
COULD BE MINIMAL.
..BROYLES.. 09/28/2012
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SWODY2
SPC AC 281657
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1157 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...TX GULF COAST...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SLOWLY SEWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON
SATURDAY. AT THE SFC...A LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK EWD ACROSS SCNTRL
TX SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SWD ACROSS CNTRL AND EAST TX.
THE WARM SECTOR SHOULD BE CONFINED TO THE TX GULF COAST WHERE SOME
OF THE MODELS DEVELOP MODERATE INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...A LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEWD ALONG THE TX
GULF COAST WHICH SHOULD HELP TO STRENGTHEN DEEP LAYER SHEAR DURING
THE DAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT VICTORIA SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN
THE 30 TO 40 KT RANGE. THIS ALONG WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD
BE ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. THE ENVIRONMENT COULD
SUPPORT ROTATING CELLS BUT LAPSE RATES ARE FORECAST TO BE WEAK
SUGGESTING ANY SEVERE THREAT COULD REMAIN MARGINAL.
...CAROLINAS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE SWD INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIAN MTNS
ON SATURDAY. AT THE SFC... A COLD FRONT SHOULD ADVANCE SWD ACROSS
THE CAROLINAS SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD BE
IN THE 60S F WHERE SOME OF THE MODELS DEVELOP POCKETS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR
IN SRN NC AND ERN SC SHOW ABOUT 35 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTING
THE ENVIRONMENT COULD SUPPORT AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WITH A
MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL THREAT POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...IF
DESTABILIZATION IS HAMPERED BY CLOUD COVER...THEN THE SEVERE THREAT
COULD BE MINIMAL.
..BROYLES.. 09/28/2012
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KMAF [281650]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMAF 281650
LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1150 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1120 AM FLASH FLOOD MIDLAND 32.00N 102.08W
09/28/2012 MIDLAND TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
MIDLAND FD REPORTS DUMP TRUCKS BEING USED TO BLOCK
FLOODED INTERSECTIONS AT CUTHBERT AT A STREET...BIG
SPRING AT MISSOURI...AND TX 307 AT I-20.
&&
$$
70
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LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1150 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1120 AM FLASH FLOOD MIDLAND 32.00N 102.08W
09/28/2012 MIDLAND TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
MIDLAND FD REPORTS DUMP TRUCKS BEING USED TO BLOCK
FLOODED INTERSECTIONS AT CUTHBERT AT A STREET...BIG
SPRING AT MISSOURI...AND TX 307 AT I-20.
&&
$$
70
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KMAF [281645]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMAF 281645
LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1145 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0805 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 W MIDLAND 32.00N 102.15W
09/28/2012 MIDLAND TX NWS EMPLOYEE
BOTH ACCESS ROADS AT LOOP 250 WEST AND BI-20 FLOODED.
&&
$$
70
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LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1145 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0805 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 W MIDLAND 32.00N 102.15W
09/28/2012 MIDLAND TX NWS EMPLOYEE
BOTH ACCESS ROADS AT LOOP 250 WEST AND BI-20 FLOODED.
&&
$$
70
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KOKX [281631]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281631
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1231 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSW EATONS NECK 40.93N 73.40W
09/28/2012 SUFFOLK NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON NORFOLK DRIVE IN EATONS NECK.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1231 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSW EATONS NECK 40.93N 73.40W
09/28/2012 SUFFOLK NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON NORFOLK DRIVE IN EATONS NECK.
&&
$$
DH
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KLWX [281625]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 281625
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1224 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM HAIL 1 E BASYE 38.80N 78.77W
09/27/2012 E1.00 INCH SHENANDOAH VA PUBLIC
HAIL RANGED FROM NICKLES TO QUARTERS
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201342
$$
HAS
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1224 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM HAIL 1 E BASYE 38.80N 78.77W
09/27/2012 E1.00 INCH SHENANDOAH VA PUBLIC
HAIL RANGED FROM NICKLES TO QUARTERS
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1201342
$$
HAS
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 281624
SWODY1
SPC AC 281622
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 281630Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TODAY OVER THE NORTHEAST UNITED
STATES...WHILE RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE NATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SERIES OF WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG AN AXIS FROM THE
UPPER OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA WILL SEE A LOW RISK OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
LATER TODAY.
...EASTERN PA/SOUTHEAST NY/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
A SURFACE LOW IS ANALYZED AT 16Z OVER EASTERN PA. THE ASSOCIATED
WARM FRONT EXTENDS EASTWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND OUT
TO SEA. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND
LATER TODAY VERY NEAR THE COAST OF NY/CT/RI/MA. DESPITE THE LIMITED
NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM SECTOR TODAY...SOME RISK OF
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL IN VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY. MODIFIED
FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THE WARM/MOIST AIR MASS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES OF
500-800 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OF 25-35 KNOTS. THESE
VALUES...COUPLED WITH ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE SURFACE
LOW/FRONT WOULD SUPPORT A RISK OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF TORNADO.
GIVEN THE VERY SMALL AREA OF CONCERN AND THE MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES IN THIS
REGION.
...SOUTHERN PA/WV/VA/NORTHERN NC...
FARTHER SOUTHWEST...THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTHWARD INTO
PARTS OF PA/WV/VA LATER TODAY. BROKEN CLOUDINESS OVER THIS REGION
WILL ALLOW SOME DAYTIME HEATING WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES LIKELY
TO REACH THE 80S. MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW INCREASING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THIS
REGION. MODERATE CAPE VALUES WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVELY STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO PROMOTE A RISK OF GUSTY WINDS IN THE
STRONGEST STORMS. AT THIS TIME...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED TODAY.
...SOUTH FL...
THE 12Z MFL RAOB SHOWED CONSIDERABLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AMPLE
CAPE. FORCING IS WEAK AND SUBTLE OVER THIS AREA...SUGGESTING THAT
COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE QUITE SPARSE.
HOWEVER...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS IN THE STRONGER
STORMS. HIGHEST THREAT APPEARS TO BE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
WHERE SEA-BREEZE INTERACTIONS WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF INITIATION.
..HART/LEITMAN.. 09/28/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 281622
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 281630Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS PRESENT TODAY OVER THE NORTHEAST UNITED
STATES...WHILE RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE NATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SERIES OF WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG AN AXIS FROM THE
UPPER OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA WILL SEE A LOW RISK OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
LATER TODAY.
...EASTERN PA/SOUTHEAST NY/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
A SURFACE LOW IS ANALYZED AT 16Z OVER EASTERN PA. THE ASSOCIATED
WARM FRONT EXTENDS EASTWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND OUT
TO SEA. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND
LATER TODAY VERY NEAR THE COAST OF NY/CT/RI/MA. DESPITE THE LIMITED
NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM SECTOR TODAY...SOME RISK OF
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL IN VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY. MODIFIED
FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THE WARM/MOIST AIR MASS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES OF
500-800 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OF 25-35 KNOTS. THESE
VALUES...COUPLED WITH ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE SURFACE
LOW/FRONT WOULD SUPPORT A RISK OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS OR A BRIEF TORNADO.
GIVEN THE VERY SMALL AREA OF CONCERN AND THE MARGINAL
ENVIRONMENT...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES IN THIS
REGION.
...SOUTHERN PA/WV/VA/NORTHERN NC...
FARTHER SOUTHWEST...THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SAG SOUTHWARD INTO
PARTS OF PA/WV/VA LATER TODAY. BROKEN CLOUDINESS OVER THIS REGION
WILL ALLOW SOME DAYTIME HEATING WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES LIKELY
TO REACH THE 80S. MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS SHOW INCREASING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THIS
REGION. MODERATE CAPE VALUES WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVELY STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO PROMOTE A RISK OF GUSTY WINDS IN THE
STRONGEST STORMS. AT THIS TIME...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED TODAY.
...SOUTH FL...
THE 12Z MFL RAOB SHOWED CONSIDERABLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AMPLE
CAPE. FORCING IS WEAK AND SUBTLE OVER THIS AREA...SUGGESTING THAT
COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE QUITE SPARSE.
HOWEVER...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS IN THE STRONGER
STORMS. HIGHEST THREAT APPEARS TO BE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
WHERE SEA-BREEZE INTERACTIONS WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF INITIATION.
..HART/LEITMAN.. 09/28/2012
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KOKX [281614]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281614
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1214 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1202 PM FLASH FLOOD SAUGATUCK 41.12N 73.37W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND I-95 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BEFORE RAMP TO
SAUGATUCK AVENUE.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1214 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1202 PM FLASH FLOOD SAUGATUCK 41.12N 73.37W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND I-95 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING BEFORE RAMP TO
SAUGATUCK AVENUE.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281608]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281608
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1208 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1150 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 WSW EAST BRIDGEPORT 41.17N 73.19W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
BRIDGEPORT AVENUE AT RAILROAD AVENUE IS FLOODED WITH A
CAR STRANDED IN THE WATER.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1208 PM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1150 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 WSW EAST BRIDGEPORT 41.17N 73.19W
09/28/2012 FAIRFIELD CT BROADCAST MEDIA
BRIDGEPORT AVENUE AT RAILROAD AVENUE IS FLOODED WITH A
CAR STRANDED IN THE WATER.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281553
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1153 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD NORTH PELHAM 40.92N 73.81W
09/28/2012 WESTCHESTER NY BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND HUTCHINSON RIVER PARKWAY CLOSED BETWEEN
WEBSTER AVENUE AND BOSTON ROAD DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1153 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD NORTH PELHAM 40.92N 73.81W
09/28/2012 WESTCHESTER NY BROADCAST MEDIA
SOUTHBOUND HUTCHINSON RIVER PARKWAY CLOSED BETWEEN
WEBSTER AVENUE AND BOSTON ROAD DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281551]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281551
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1151 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 E EASTCHESTER 40.89N 73.82W
09/28/2012 BRONX NY BROADCAST MEDIA
NORTHBOUND HUTCHINSON RIVER PARKWAY CLOSED AT I-95 DUE
TO FLOODING. FIRE DEPARTMENT RESCUING PEOPLE STUCK IN
FIVE VEHICLES.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1151 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 E EASTCHESTER 40.89N 73.82W
09/28/2012 BRONX NY BROADCAST MEDIA
NORTHBOUND HUTCHINSON RIVER PARKWAY CLOSED AT I-95 DUE
TO FLOODING. FIRE DEPARTMENT RESCUING PEOPLE STUCK IN
FIVE VEHICLES.
&&
$$
DH
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KOKX [281549]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KOKX 281549
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1149 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW WYKAGYL 40.93N 73.81W
09/28/2012 WESTCHESTER NY BROADCAST MEDIA
RAMP CLOSED ON CROSS COUNTY PARKWAY EAST AT HUTCHINSON
PARKWAY
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1149 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1132 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW WYKAGYL 40.93N 73.81W
09/28/2012 WESTCHESTER NY BROADCAST MEDIA
RAMP CLOSED ON CROSS COUNTY PARKWAY EAST AT HUTCHINSON
PARKWAY
&&
$$
DH
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KEWX [281527]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS54 KEWX 281527
LSREWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1027 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1137 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NW DEL RIO 29.46N 100.98W
09/27/2012 VAL VERDE TX OTHER FEDERAL
STRONG WINDS RIPPED PORCH ROOF FROM DIABLO EAST MARINA
STORE WITH WALL AND CEILING DAMAGE IN STORE. NOT FAR
AWAY A 28 FOOT PONTOON BOAT WAS FLIPPED FROM A PARKING
LOT OVER A FENCE INTO A FIELD. ALSO LOTS OF SMALL HAIL
PILED UP NEARBY.
&&
CORRECTED REMARKS
EVENT NUMBER EWX1200482
$$
JPB
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LSREWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1027 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1137 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NW DEL RIO 29.46N 100.98W
09/27/2012 VAL VERDE TX OTHER FEDERAL
STRONG WINDS RIPPED PORCH ROOF FROM DIABLO EAST MARINA
STORE WITH WALL AND CEILING DAMAGE IN STORE. NOT FAR
AWAY A 28 FOOT PONTOON BOAT WAS FLIPPED FROM A PARKING
LOT OVER A FENCE INTO A FIELD. ALSO LOTS OF SMALL HAIL
PILED UP NEARBY.
&&
CORRECTED REMARKS
EVENT NUMBER EWX1200482
$$
JPB
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KEWX [281525]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KEWX 281525
LSREWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1025 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1137 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NW DEL RIO 29.46N 100.98W
09/27/2012 VAL VERDE TX OTHER FEDERAL
STRONG WINDS RIPPED PORCH ROOF FROM DIABLO EAST MARINA
STORE WITH WALL AND CEILING DAMAGE IN STORE. NOT FAR
AWAY A 28 FOOR PONTOON BOAT WAS FLIPPED FROM A PARKING
LOT OVER A FENCE INTO A FIELD. ALSO LOTS OF SMALL HAIL
PILED UP NEARBY.
&&
EVENT NUMBER EWX1200482
$$
JPB
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LSREWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1025 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1137 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NW DEL RIO 29.46N 100.98W
09/27/2012 VAL VERDE TX OTHER FEDERAL
STRONG WINDS RIPPED PORCH ROOF FROM DIABLO EAST MARINA
STORE WITH WALL AND CEILING DAMAGE IN STORE. NOT FAR
AWAY A 28 FOOR PONTOON BOAT WAS FLIPPED FROM A PARKING
LOT OVER A FENCE INTO A FIELD. ALSO LOTS OF SMALL HAIL
PILED UP NEARBY.
&&
EVENT NUMBER EWX1200482
$$
JPB
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KDDC [281452]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS53 KDDC 281452
LSRDDC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
952 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0735 PM HAIL 10 NW ELKHART 37.10N 102.02W
09/26/2012 E0.75 INCH MORTON KS TRAINED SPOTTER
0749 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NNE ELKHART 37.07N 101.86W
09/26/2012 E65.00 MPH MORTON KS PUBLIC
0751 PM HAIL 2 NNW ELKHART 37.03N 101.91W
09/26/2012 M1.00 INCH MORTON KS TRAINED SPOTTER
0830 PM TSTM WND GST 6 SSE ROLLA 37.04N 101.58W
09/26/2012 E60.00 MPH MORTON KS PUBLIC
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 S LIBERAL 37.01N 100.93W
09/27/2012 M3.50 INCH SEWARD KS PUBLIC
&&
$$
KSUGDEN
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LSRDDC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
952 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0735 PM HAIL 10 NW ELKHART 37.10N 102.02W
09/26/2012 E0.75 INCH MORTON KS TRAINED SPOTTER
0749 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NNE ELKHART 37.07N 101.86W
09/26/2012 E65.00 MPH MORTON KS PUBLIC
0751 PM HAIL 2 NNW ELKHART 37.03N 101.91W
09/26/2012 M1.00 INCH MORTON KS TRAINED SPOTTER
0830 PM TSTM WND GST 6 SSE ROLLA 37.04N 101.58W
09/26/2012 E60.00 MPH MORTON KS PUBLIC
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 S LIBERAL 37.01N 100.93W
09/27/2012 M3.50 INCH SEWARD KS PUBLIC
&&
$$
KSUGDEN
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KMAF [281441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMAF 281441
LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
941 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 S WESTBROOK 32.27N 101.01W
09/28/2012 MITCHELL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT
STRANDED VEHICLES WERE REPORTED SOUTH OF WESTBROOK.
&&
$$
MSCHULDT
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LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
941 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 S WESTBROOK 32.27N 101.01W
09/28/2012 MITCHELL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT
STRANDED VEHICLES WERE REPORTED SOUTH OF WESTBROOK.
&&
$$
MSCHULDT
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KMAF [281250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMAF 281250
LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
750 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0730 AM FLASH FLOOD BIG SPRING 32.25N 101.48W
09/28/2012 HOWARD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT
STRANDED VEHICLES ALL ACROSS BIG SPRING.
&&
$$
MSCHULDT
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LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
750 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0730 AM FLASH FLOOD BIG SPRING 32.25N 101.48W
09/28/2012 HOWARD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT
STRANDED VEHICLES ALL ACROSS BIG SPRING.
&&
$$
MSCHULDT
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KMFL [281232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 281232
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
832 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 E BOCA RATON 26.36N 80.08W
09/28/2012 PALM BEACH FL PUBLIC
DELAYED REPORT. PUBLIC REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD WITHIN A
MILE OF THE COAST OFF OF BOCA RATON. HE DID NOT SEE IT
TOUCHING THE WATER. TIME ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
GREGORIA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
832 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 E BOCA RATON 26.36N 80.08W
09/28/2012 PALM BEACH FL PUBLIC
DELAYED REPORT. PUBLIC REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD WITHIN A
MILE OF THE COAST OFF OF BOCA RATON. HE DID NOT SEE IT
TOUCHING THE WATER. TIME ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
GREGORIA
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 281228
SWODY1
SPC AC 281226
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 281300Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL PROGRESS GENERALLY
EWD FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND SRN NEW
ENGLAND...AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER THE
GREAT LAKES AND SRN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK LOW
WILL DEVELOP SLOWLY ENEWD FROM NRN MD/ERN PA TO THE SE NEW ENGLAND
COAST IN ADVANCE OF THE WEAKENING LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER ERN PA
AND A SEPARATE UPSTREAM WAVE OVER THE LOWER OH VALLEY. A DIFFUSE
SURFACE FRONT EXTENDS WSWWD FROM THE MID ATLANTIC TO KY/TN...WITH
THE WRN EXTENT OF THE FRONT INTO OK/TX MASKED BY PRIOR CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOWS.
...MID ATLANTIC TO THE SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST TODAY...
THE SURFACE WARM SECTOR WILL BRUSH THE SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST AS THE
WEAK SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPS ENEWD...WITH WEAK INSTABILITY POSSIBLE
INLAND. LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING
STORMS ALONG THE NRN EDGE OF THE WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS SRN NEW
ENGLAND LATER TODAY...THOUGH THE POOR INSTABILITY AND SOMEWHAT
MODEST SRH WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR BOTH SUGGEST THAT ANY TORNADO RISK
WILL BE MARGINAL AT BEST.
OTHERWISE...THE UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE LOWER OH VALLEY
WILL IMPACT VA/NC THIS AFTERNOON. THOUGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE RATHER MODEST...SURFACE HEATING IN
CLOUD BREAKS COULD ALLOW MLCAPE TO INCREASE TO 500-1000 J/KG BY
EARLY AFTERNOON TO THE E OF THE THICKER CLOUDS. SOME INCREASE IN
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR COULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
LINE SEGMENTS WITH A MARGINAL RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON.
...CENTRAL/S TX THROUGH TONIGHT...
A MOISTURE PLUME EMANATING FROM THE REMNANTS OF TC MIRIAM OFF THE
SRN BAJA COAST WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NEWD ACROSS MEXICO TOWARD
SW/CENTRAL TX. MEANWHILE...RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /LOW-MID 70S
DEWPOINTS/ AND PW VALUES AOA 2.25 INCHES WILL ALSO SPREAD NWD FROM
THE WRN GULF INTO S TX. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU /AS WELL
AS THE MIDDLE TX COAST/...AND STORM CLUSTERS WILL SPREAD ROUGHLY EWD
OVERNIGHT ACROSS S CENTRAL TX. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERN WITH SLOW-MOVING/ PRECIPITATION-EFFICIENT
STORMS...THOUGH VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT AND SOME HODOGRAPH
CURVATURE COULD SUPPORT A FEW WEAK ROTATING STORMS WITHIN THE LARGER
CLUSTERS. STILL...POOR LAPSE RATES AND GENERALLY MARGINAL VERTICAL
SHEAR SUGGEST THAT THE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE QUITE SMALL.
..THOMPSON/GARNER.. 09/28/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 281226
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 281300Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SERIES OF LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL PROGRESS GENERALLY
EWD FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND SRN NEW
ENGLAND...AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH OVER THE
GREAT LAKES AND SRN ONTARIO/QUEBEC. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK LOW
WILL DEVELOP SLOWLY ENEWD FROM NRN MD/ERN PA TO THE SE NEW ENGLAND
COAST IN ADVANCE OF THE WEAKENING LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER ERN PA
AND A SEPARATE UPSTREAM WAVE OVER THE LOWER OH VALLEY. A DIFFUSE
SURFACE FRONT EXTENDS WSWWD FROM THE MID ATLANTIC TO KY/TN...WITH
THE WRN EXTENT OF THE FRONT INTO OK/TX MASKED BY PRIOR CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOWS.
...MID ATLANTIC TO THE SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST TODAY...
THE SURFACE WARM SECTOR WILL BRUSH THE SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST AS THE
WEAK SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPS ENEWD...WITH WEAK INSTABILITY POSSIBLE
INLAND. LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING
STORMS ALONG THE NRN EDGE OF THE WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS SRN NEW
ENGLAND LATER TODAY...THOUGH THE POOR INSTABILITY AND SOMEWHAT
MODEST SRH WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR BOTH SUGGEST THAT ANY TORNADO RISK
WILL BE MARGINAL AT BEST.
OTHERWISE...THE UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE LOWER OH VALLEY
WILL IMPACT VA/NC THIS AFTERNOON. THOUGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE RATHER MODEST...SURFACE HEATING IN
CLOUD BREAKS COULD ALLOW MLCAPE TO INCREASE TO 500-1000 J/KG BY
EARLY AFTERNOON TO THE E OF THE THICKER CLOUDS. SOME INCREASE IN
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR COULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF
LINE SEGMENTS WITH A MARGINAL RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON.
...CENTRAL/S TX THROUGH TONIGHT...
A MOISTURE PLUME EMANATING FROM THE REMNANTS OF TC MIRIAM OFF THE
SRN BAJA COAST WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NEWD ACROSS MEXICO TOWARD
SW/CENTRAL TX. MEANWHILE...RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /LOW-MID 70S
DEWPOINTS/ AND PW VALUES AOA 2.25 INCHES WILL ALSO SPREAD NWD FROM
THE WRN GULF INTO S TX. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU /AS WELL
AS THE MIDDLE TX COAST/...AND STORM CLUSTERS WILL SPREAD ROUGHLY EWD
OVERNIGHT ACROSS S CENTRAL TX. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERN WITH SLOW-MOVING/ PRECIPITATION-EFFICIENT
STORMS...THOUGH VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT AND SOME HODOGRAPH
CURVATURE COULD SUPPORT A FEW WEAK ROTATING STORMS WITHIN THE LARGER
CLUSTERS. STILL...POOR LAPSE RATES AND GENERALLY MARGINAL VERTICAL
SHEAR SUGGEST THAT THE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE QUITE SMALL.
..THOMPSON/GARNER.. 09/28/2012
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KMAF [281228]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMAF 281228
LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
728 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0727 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NW MIDLAND 32.04N 102.13W
09/28/2012 M2.95 INCH MIDLAND TX COCORAHS
&&
$$
HLUCHAN
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LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
728 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0727 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NW MIDLAND 32.04N 102.13W
09/28/2012 M2.95 INCH MIDLAND TX COCORAHS
&&
$$
HLUCHAN
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KMAF [281112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMAF 281112
LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
612 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0610 AM FLASH FLOOD MIDLAND 32.00N 102.08W
09/28/2012 MIDLAND TX EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS WATER RESCUES IN PROGRESS ACROSS MIDLAND AND
ODESSA.
&&
$$
HLUCHAN
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LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
612 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0610 AM FLASH FLOOD MIDLAND 32.00N 102.08W
09/28/2012 MIDLAND TX EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS WATER RESCUES IN PROGRESS ACROSS MIDLAND AND
ODESSA.
&&
$$
HLUCHAN
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KMAF [281110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMAF 281110
LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
609 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0607 AM HEAVY RAIN MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL A 31.94N 102.19W
09/28/2012 M2.51 INCH MIDLAND TX ASOS
RAINFALL SINCE 1AM THIS MORNING
&&
$$
HLUCHAN
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LSRMAF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
609 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0607 AM HEAVY RAIN MIDLAND INTERNATIONAL A 31.94N 102.19W
09/28/2012 M2.51 INCH MIDLAND TX ASOS
RAINFALL SINCE 1AM THIS MORNING
&&
$$
HLUCHAN
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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS48 KWNS 280844
SWOD48
SPC AC 280843
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 011200Z - 061200Z
...DISCUSSION...
...CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF STATES...
EVOLUTION OF LOW LATITUDE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL LARGELY DICTATE THE
DEGREE OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY THAT RETURNS INLAND AHEAD OF SFC WAVE
DURING THE DAY4/5 PERIOD. ECMWF IS SIGNIFICANTLY MORE PROGRESSIVE
THAN THE GFS WHICH IS RELUCTANT TO MOVE THE UPPER FEATURE BEYOND THE
SABINE RIVER/WRN GULF BASIN BY 03/00Z. IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR
WHICH...IF EITHER...SOLUTION IS CORRECT AND THUS THE DEGREE OF
DESTABILIZATION INLAND ALONG THE CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST IS VERY
UNCERTAIN. ALTHOUGH ROBUST...POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS...MAY
ULTIMATELY DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL NOT INTRODUCE
ORGANIZED SEVERE PROBS ACROSS THIS REGION GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN
THE TROUGH EVOLUTION.
..DARROW.. 09/28/2012
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SWOD48
SPC AC 280843
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 011200Z - 061200Z
...DISCUSSION...
...CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF STATES...
EVOLUTION OF LOW LATITUDE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL LARGELY DICTATE THE
DEGREE OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY THAT RETURNS INLAND AHEAD OF SFC WAVE
DURING THE DAY4/5 PERIOD. ECMWF IS SIGNIFICANTLY MORE PROGRESSIVE
THAN THE GFS WHICH IS RELUCTANT TO MOVE THE UPPER FEATURE BEYOND THE
SABINE RIVER/WRN GULF BASIN BY 03/00Z. IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR
WHICH...IF EITHER...SOLUTION IS CORRECT AND THUS THE DEGREE OF
DESTABILIZATION INLAND ALONG THE CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST IS VERY
UNCERTAIN. ALTHOUGH ROBUST...POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS...MAY
ULTIMATELY DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL NOT INTRODUCE
ORGANIZED SEVERE PROBS ACROSS THIS REGION GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN
THE TROUGH EVOLUTION.
..DARROW.. 09/28/2012
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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS03 KWNS 280730
SWODY3
SPC AC 280728
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...CENTRAL GULF COAST...
LOW LATITUDE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH THAT DIGS SEWD ACROSS TX INTO THE
NCNTRL GULF IS HANDLED DIFFERENTLY BY THE LATEST NAM/GFS/ECMWF.
ECMWF IS MUCH STRONGER WITH THIS FEATURE AND FARTHER NORTH WITH A
CLOSED CIRCULATION OVER SRN AR AT 01/12Z WHILE THE NAM IS LESS
DEFINED AND POSITIVE TILTED. GIVEN THESE DIFFERENCES THERE IS
SIGNIFICANT DISCREPANCY IN LOW LEVEL RESPONSE OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO. IF THE ECMWF IS ACCURATE THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL SURGE INLAND ALONG THE CNTRL
GULF COAST TOWARD SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING FOR DEEP/MOIST CONVECTION.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITHIN THE STRONGER SOLUTION WOULD CERTAINLY
SUPPORT ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS BUT GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE LATEST
GUIDANCE IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR HOW MUCH INSTABILITY WILL SPREAD
INLAND DURING THE PERIOD. FOR THIS REASON WILL NOT INTRODUCE SEVERE
PROBS ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST.
..DARROW.. 09/28/2012
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SWODY3
SPC AC 280728
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2012
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...CENTRAL GULF COAST...
LOW LATITUDE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH THAT DIGS SEWD ACROSS TX INTO THE
NCNTRL GULF IS HANDLED DIFFERENTLY BY THE LATEST NAM/GFS/ECMWF.
ECMWF IS MUCH STRONGER WITH THIS FEATURE AND FARTHER NORTH WITH A
CLOSED CIRCULATION OVER SRN AR AT 01/12Z WHILE THE NAM IS LESS
DEFINED AND POSITIVE TILTED. GIVEN THESE DIFFERENCES THERE IS
SIGNIFICANT DISCREPANCY IN LOW LEVEL RESPONSE OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO. IF THE ECMWF IS ACCURATE THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT
SUFFICIENT MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL SURGE INLAND ALONG THE CNTRL
GULF COAST TOWARD SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING FOR DEEP/MOIST CONVECTION.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITHIN THE STRONGER SOLUTION WOULD CERTAINLY
SUPPORT ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS BUT GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE LATEST
GUIDANCE IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR HOW MUCH INSTABILITY WILL SPREAD
INLAND DURING THE PERIOD. FOR THIS REASON WILL NOT INTRODUCE SEVERE
PROBS ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST.
..DARROW.. 09/28/2012
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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 655
WWUS20 KWNS 280603
SEL5
SPC WW 280603
COZ000-KSZ000-NMZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-280600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 655
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 AM MDT FRI SEP 28 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 655 ISSUED AT 500 PM MDT FOR PORTIONS OF
COLORADO
KANSAS
NEW MEXICO
OKLAHOMA
TEXAS
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SEL5
SPC WW 280603
COZ000-KSZ000-NMZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-280600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 655
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 AM MDT FRI SEP 28 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 655 ISSUED AT 500 PM MDT FOR PORTIONS OF
COLORADO
KANSAS
NEW MEXICO
OKLAHOMA
TEXAS
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