KOKX [030347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KOKX 030347
LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1047 PM EST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 27 S ROBERT MOSES STATE 40.25N 73.17W
03/02/2009 M59.00 MPH ANZ370 NY BUOY

PEAK WIND AT 1100Z.

&&

$$

SMITH

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KREV [030149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 030149
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
549 PM PST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0549 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SW FALLON 39.47N 118.79W
03/02/2009 CHURCHILL NV TRAINED SPOTTER

FENCE REPORTED DOWN, SMALL TO MEDIUM BRANCHES DOWN, AND
SOME POWER OUTAGES REPORTED IN THE AREA.

&&

$$

SMCGUIRE

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KMFR [030111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 030111
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
511 PM PST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 S MCCLOUD 41.22N 122.14W
03/02/2009 M2.20 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.20 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE LAST 24 HOURS AT 3500 FEET.

&&

$$

STOCKTON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 030100
SWODY1
SPC AC 030057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CST MON MAR 02 2009

VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NORTH CENTRAL CA/SACRAMENTO VALLEY...
ON THE PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LOW CENTERED IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC
NEAR 45N/145W...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE
CURRENTLY NEARING THE WEST COAST WILL PIVOT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN CA/ORE THIS EVENING...WITH A SUBSEQUENT SHORTWAVE
TROUGH/ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BAND REACHING THE COAST EARLY TUESDAY.
STRONG TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON IN THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY
GENERALLY EAST OF THE STOCKTON AREA...WITH THIS ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE QUICKLY DEVELOPING INTO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. MODIFIED 00Z OBSERVED RAOB FROM OAKLAND IMPLIES AS MUCH
AS 600 J/KG OF MUCAPE ACROSS THE INTERIOR VALLEY. HOWEVER...WITH AN
OBSERVED TENDENCY FOR LOW LEVEL DRYING/VEERING AND LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING...ALREADY MEAGER SEVERE/TORNADO POTENTIAL SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DWINDLE THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THE STRONGER TSTMS COULD YET PRODUCE
HAIL/GUSTY WINDS...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

..GUYER.. 03/03/2009

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KMFR [021307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 021307
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
507 AM PST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0506 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE GOLD BEACH 42.45N 124.37W
03/02/2009 M2.45 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

5AM TO 5AM.

&&

$$

GLASER

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KLOT [021302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 021302
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
702 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW 2 WSW ELK GROVE VILLAGE 41.99N 88.03W
03/02/2009 M0.8 INCH DUPAGE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BOXELL

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KMKX [021300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 021300
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
700 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.96N 87.90W
03/02/2009 M10.1 INCH MILWAUKEE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021242
SWODY1
SPC AC 021238

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

VALID 021300Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A STRONG UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES TODAY...WITH BROAD RIDGING OCCURRING OVER THE
CENTRAL PART OF THE NATION. ANOTHER DEEP TROUGH LIES OFF THE
PACIFIC COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE THE PRIMARY MECHANISM FOR
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS PERIOD.

...CA/NV/ORE/ID...
MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS A SERIES OF WEAK MID LEVEL FEATURES
EMBEDDED IN FAST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW EXTENDING FROM 29N/130W INTO
PARTS OF CA/NV/ORE/ID. THESE WAVES ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THERE ARE TWO AREAS
WHERE ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MIGHT OCCUR. THE FIRST AREA
IS OVER THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY WHERE STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...MUCAPE VALUES OF UP TO 300 J/KG...AND STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
PROFILES MIGHT ENHANCE THE THREAT OF LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE STORMS WOULD POSE A RISK OF GUSTY
WINDS...HAIL...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO. FARTHER
NORTHEAST...MODELS INDICATE THE RISK OF HAIL IN STRONGER CELLS
ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN ORE/NORTHERN NV/WESTERN ID LATER TODAY.
OVERALL...THE RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS DOES NOT APPEAR TO
WARRANT A SLIGHT RISK AT THIS TIME.

..HART.. 03/02/2009

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KMKX [021238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 021238
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
638 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 AM SNOW 2 SW FRANKSVILLE 42.74N 87.94W
03/02/2009 E3.0 INCH RACINE WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 20 AND INTERSTATE 94.

&&

$$

MBK

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KMKX [021234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 021234
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
634 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0633 AM SNOW 2 NE STURTEVANT 42.72N 87.87W
03/02/2009 M0.8 INCH RACINE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MBK

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KLOT [021234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 021234
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
633 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM SNOW LA GRANGE PARK 41.83N 87.87W
03/02/2009 M0.3 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW FOR PAST 12 HOURS.

&&

$$

BOXELL

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KLOT [021218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLOT 021218
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
618 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0609 AM SNOW 3 SW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.75N 87.79W
03/02/2009 M0.2 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

THERE WAS 2 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND AS OF 6 AM THIS
MORNING.

&&

$$

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KLOT [021210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 021210
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
610 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0609 AM SNOW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.78N 87.75W
03/02/2009 M0.2 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

THERE WAS 2 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND AS OF 6 AM THIS
MORNING.

&&

$$

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KMKX [021208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 021208
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
608 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0607 AM HEAVY SNOW MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.96N 87.90W
03/02/2009 M8.2 INCH MILWAUKEE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

MBK

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KLOT [021200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 021200
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
600 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 AM SNOW OHARE AIRPORT 41.98N 87.90W
03/02/2009 M0.2 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOW TOTAL SINCE MIDNIGHT.

&&

$$

BOXELL

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KLOT [021156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 021156
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
556 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 AM SNOW ITASCA 41.98N 88.02W
03/02/2009 E1.0 INCH DUPAGE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BOXELL

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0191

ACUS11 KWNS 021139
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021138
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-021545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0191
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0538 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MA...SERN NH AND ERN MAINE

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 021138Z - 021545Z

HOURLY SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH AT
LEAST 15Z. AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR WITHIN A 60 NM WIDE
CORRIDOR CENTERED FROM 10NM E KORH-KPWM-30NM S KHUL. THIS INCLUDES
THE BOSTON...MANCHESTER...PORTLAND METRO AREAS.

MID-LVL FRONTOGENESIS AXIS HAS BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS CSTL NEW
ENGLAND AT DAYBREAK...DOWNSTREAM FROM THE EJECTING PV-ANOMALY MOVING
NWD INTO VA. WARM/MOIST CONVEYOR HAS BEEN FEEDING INTO THIS
FRONTOGENETIC ZONE FOR SVRL HOURS...WITH MANY REPORTS OF MDT-HVY
SNOW. THE CONVEYOR WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT ENEWD WITH TIME THIS
MORNING. BUT...AS THE VA VORT MAX SHIFTS INTO ERN NY... ENHANCEMENT
OF DEEP LAYER VERTICAL MOTION/FRONTOGENESIS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BY
MID-LATE MORNING. A PIVOT POINT WHERE THE LONGEST DURATION OF HEAVY
SNOW IS LIKELY TO EVOLVE OVER SERN NH NEWD INTO PARTS OF ERN MAINE
THROUGH MID-MORNING. THIS AREA WILL ALSO BE CLOSEST TO THE FAVORABLE
DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE THAT HAS CONTINUED TO BE SLIGHTLY OFFSET TO
THE WEST OF THE MOIST PLUME. THE RESULT WILL BE A PROLONGED PERIOD
OF SNOWFALL RATES EASILY EXCEEDING 1 INCH PER HOUR.

..RACY.. 03/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...

LAT...LON 43087182 44417076 45356924 45846809 45396759 44806846
43786972 42997064 42167118 42257188 43087182

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KMKX [021136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 021136
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
536 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM HEAVY SNOW MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.96N 87.90W
03/02/2009 M7.1 INCH MILWAUKEE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

MBK

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KPHI [021109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 021109
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
609 AM EST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG EASTON 38.77N 76.07W
03/02/2009 TALBOT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DENTON 38.88N 75.82W
03/02/2009 CAROLINE MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CENTREVILLE 39.04N 76.07W
03/02/2009 QUEEN ANNE'S MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CHESTERTOWN 39.22N 76.07W
03/02/2009 KENT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG GEORGETOWN 38.69N 75.39W
03/02/2009 SUSSEX DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1255 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DOVER 39.16N 75.52W
03/02/2009 KENT DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

0110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FRANKFORD 38.52N 75.23W
03/02/2009 M54.00 MPH SUSSEX DE TRAINED SPOTTER

54 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0118 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LEWES 38.78N 75.15W
03/02/2009 M63.00 MPH SUSSEX DE BUOY

GUST MEASURED AT THE NOS STATION IN LEWES.

0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE 38.94N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M45.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0153 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MILLVILLE 41.12N 76.53W
03/02/2009 M53.00 MPH COLUMBIA PA ASOS

53 MPH WIND GUSTS.

0155 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ELDORA 39.22N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M45.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0217 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ELDORA 39.22N 74.91W
03/02/2009 E59.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

59 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0240 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY 39.36N 74.44W
03/02/2009 M48.00 MPH ATLANTIC NJ ASOS

48 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY 39.36N 74.44W
03/02/2009 M60.00 MPH ATLANTIC NJ PUBLIC

STEVENS INSTITUTE OBSERVATION

&&

$$

MEOLA

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0190

ACUS11 KWNS 021039
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021038
NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-DCZ000-VAZ000-021345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0190
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0438 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...ERN MD...NRN DE...SERN
PA...WRN NJ

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 021038Z - 021345Z

MDT-HVY SNOW WITH HOURLY RATES UP TO 1 INCH WILL TRANSLATE NWD FROM
VA/DC/MD TOWARD THE PHL METRO AREA THROUGH MID-MORNING. SNOW RATES
SHOULD DIMINISH WITH TIME AS FOCUS FOR HEAVIER SNOWS FOCUSES ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND.

PV-ANOMALY ALONG BASE OF THE MID-LVL LOW WAS QUICKLY TRANSLATING NWD
INTO VA AT 1030Z AND WILL MOVE INTO ERN PA BY LATE MORNING. THIS
FEATURE HAS BEEN ASSOCD WITH MDT-HVY SNOWFALL RATES ACROSS CNTRL VA
EARLY THIS MORNING. EARLIER BREAK IN SNOW ACROSS ERN PA/NJ...PSBLY
TIED TO A NEWD TRANSLATION OF A GRAVITY WAVE...WILL QUICKLY FILL
BACK IN BEFORE SUNRISE.

MOST FAVORABLE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE WILL BE SLIGHTLY OFFSET TO THE
WEST WITH RESPECT TO THE MOIST CONVEYOR/LIFT. NONETHELESS... MODEST
VERTICAL MOTION/MID-LVL FRONTOGENESIS ALONG THE TRACK OF THE VORT
MAX WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR NARROW BANDED STRUCTURES WITH SNOWFALL
RATES UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR.

SNOWS SHOULD QUICKLY TAPER FROM S-N ACROSS THE REGION IN THE 15-18Z
TIME FRAME.

..RACY.. 03/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON 38867707 40637582 40637484 40157451 38897560 38307655
38867707

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 021006
SWOD48
SPC AC 021005

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0405 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

VALID 051200Z - 101200Z

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IN PLACE OVER THE ERN STATES WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW
OVER MUCH OF THE WRN STATES. THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS ARE SOMEWHAT
AGREEMENT BRINGING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NWD INTO THE MS VALLEY ON
THURSDAY/DAY4 AND FRIDAY/DAY 5. HOWEVER...THE SOLUTIONS DIVERGE
QUICKLY BY THIS WEEKEND WITH THE ECMWF DEVELOPING A ZONAL FLOW
PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN U.S. AND THE GFS SHOWING A
TROUGH/RIDGE PATTERN WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE WRN
STATES. THE ECMWF SOLUTION RESULTS IN A LARGE SFC HIGH ACROSS MUCH
OF THE ERN HALF OF THE U.S. BY THIS WEEKEND WITH THE GFS SOLUTION
SHOWING A SFC TROUGH/FRONT IN THE PLAINS AND A WARM SECTOR OVER THE
MS VALLEY. THE GFS SOLUTION WOULD BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER ACTIVITY IN THE MS VALLEY THIS WEEKEND. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE
WIDE VARIANCE SHOWN BY THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS...CONFIDENCE IN ANY
SCENARIO REMAINS VERY LOW ATTM.

..BROYLES.. 03/02/2009

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KMKX [020949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 020949
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
349 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 AM SNOW MILWAUKEE 43.03N 87.92W
03/02/2009 M2.5 INCH MILWAUKEE 07 BROADCAST MEDIA

MEASURED AT WTMJ-TV.

&&

$$

MBK

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KPHI [020912]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 020912
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
411 AM EST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG EASTON 38.77N 76.07W
03/02/2009 TALBOT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CENTREVILLE 39.04N 76.07W
03/02/2009 QUEEN ANNE'S MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DENTON 38.88N 75.82W
03/02/2009 CAROLINE MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG GEORGETOWN 38.69N 75.39W
03/02/2009 SUSSEX DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CHESTERTOWN 39.22N 76.07W
03/02/2009 KENT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1255 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DOVER 39.16N 75.52W
03/02/2009 KENT DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

0110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FRANKFORD 38.52N 75.23W
03/02/2009 M54.00 MPH SUSSEX DE TRAINED SPOTTER

54 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE 38.94N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M45.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0153 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MILLVILLE 41.12N 76.53W
03/02/2009 M53.00 MPH COLUMBIA PA ASOS

53 MPH WIND GUSTS.

0155 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ELDORA 39.22N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M45.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0217 AM TSTM WND GST ELDORA 39.22N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M59.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

59 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0240 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY 39.36N 74.44W
03/02/2009 M48.00 MPH ATLANTIC NJ ASOS

48 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY 39.36N 74.44W
03/02/2009 M60.00 MPH ATLANTIC NJ PUBLIC

STEVENS INSTITUTE OBSERVATION

&&

$$

MPD

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KPHI [020815]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KPHI 020815
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
315 AM EST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG EASTON 38.77N 76.07W
03/02/2009 TALBOT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DENTON 38.88N 75.82W
03/02/2009 CAROLINE MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CENTREVILLE 39.04N 76.07W
03/02/2009 QUEEN ANNE'S MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG GEORGETOWN 38.69N 75.39W
03/02/2009 SUSSEX DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CHESTERTOWN 39.22N 76.07W
03/02/2009 KENT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1255 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DOVER 39.16N 75.52W
03/02/2009 KENT DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

0110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FRANKFORD 38.52N 75.23W
03/02/2009 M54.00 MPH SUSSEX DE TRAINED SPOTTER

54 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE 38.94N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M45.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0153 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MILLVILLE 41.12N 76.53W
03/02/2009 M53.00 MPH COLUMBIA PA ASOS

53 MPH WIND GUSTS.

0217 AM TSTM WND GST ELDORA 39.22N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M59.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

59 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0240 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY 39.36N 74.44W
03/02/2009 M48.00 MPH ATLANTIC NJ ASOS

48 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

&&

$$

MPD

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KMKX [020800]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 020800
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
200 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0159 AM HEAVY SNOW MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.96N 87.90W
03/02/2009 M4.2 INCH MILWAUKEE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

HEAVY SNOW SINCE MIDNIGHT. SNOW INTENSITY HAS DIMINISHED.

&&

$$

MBK

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KPHI [020752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 020752
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
251 AM EST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG EASTON 38.77N 76.07W
03/02/2009 TALBOT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CENTREVILLE 39.04N 76.07W
03/02/2009 QUEEN ANNE'S MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DENTON 38.88N 75.82W
03/02/2009 CAROLINE MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CHESTERTOWN 39.22N 76.07W
03/02/2009 KENT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG GEORGETOWN 38.69N 75.39W
03/02/2009 SUSSEX DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1255 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DOVER 39.16N 75.52W
03/02/2009 KENT DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

0110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FRANKFORD 38.52N 75.23W
03/02/2009 M54.00 MPH SUSSEX DE TRAINED SPOTTER

54 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE 38.94N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M45.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0153 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MILLVILLE 41.12N 76.53W
03/02/2009 M53.00 MPH COLUMBIA PA ASOS

53 MPH WIND GUSTS.

0155 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ELDORA 39.22N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M45.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0217 AM TSTM WND GST ELDORA 39.22N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M59.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ CO-OP OBSERVER

59 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0240 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ATLANTIC CITY 39.36N 74.44W
03/02/2009 M48.00 MPH ATLANTIC NJ ASOS

48 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

&&

$$

MPD

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KREV [020742]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 020742
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1142 PM PST SUN MAR 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 PM SNOW 1 WNW MAMMOTH LAKES 37.65N 118.98W
03/01/2009 M4.0 INCH MONO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL BETWEEN 600 PM AND
1130 PM AT ELEVATION 8200 FT.

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 020726
SWODY3
SPC AC 020724

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0124 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS INTO
THE MS VALLEY WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVES SWD SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE FROM ORE AND NRN CA. A SUBTROPICAL PLUME OF
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ENEWD AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
INTO CA AND THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THIS PLUME ALONG THE COAST FROM WRN ORE SWD ACROSS
MUCH OF CA WHERE STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS FORECAST WITH COLD
TEMPS ALOFT. ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED
ACROSS THE CONUS DURING THE DAY 3 PERIOD.

..BROYLES.. 03/02/2009

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KREV [020724]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 020724
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1123 PM PST SUN MAR 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM SNOW 3 ENE ALPINE MEADOWS 39.18N 120.16W
03/01/2009 M4.0 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL FROM 5 PM TO 8 PM AT 7000 FEET

0940 PM SNOW 4 W PROSSER CREEK RESER 39.37N 120.25W
03/01/2009 M4.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SINCE APPROXIMATELY 5 PM. STILL SNOWING LIGHTLY AT
940 PM AT 6500 FEET.

&&

$$

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KPHI [020720]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KPHI 020720
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
219 AM EST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG EASTON 38.77N 76.07W
03/02/2009 TALBOT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DENTON 38.88N 75.82W
03/02/2009 CAROLINE MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CENTREVILLE 39.04N 76.07W
03/02/2009 QUEEN ANNE'S MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG GEORGETOWN 38.69N 75.39W
03/02/2009 SUSSEX DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CHESTERTOWN 39.22N 76.07W
03/02/2009 KENT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1255 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DOVER 39.16N 75.52W
03/02/2009 KENT DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

0110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FRANKFORD 38.52N 75.23W
03/02/2009 M54.00 MPH SUSSEX DE TRAINED SPOTTER

54 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE 38.94N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M45.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0153 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MILLVILLE 41.12N 76.53W
03/02/2009 M53.00 MPH COLUMBIA PA ASOS

53 MPH WIND GUSTS.

0155 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ELDORA 39.22N 74.91W
03/02/2009 M45.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

&&

$$

MPD

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KMKX [020702]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 020702
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
102 AM CST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM HEAVY SNOW MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.96N 87.90W
03/02/2009 M3.0 INCH MILWAUKEE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

HEAVY SNOW FELL IN ONE HOUR. STILL SNOWING HEAVILY.

&&

$$

MBK

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KPHI [020657]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPHI 020657
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
157 AM EST MON MAR 02 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG EASTON 38.77N 76.07W
03/02/2009 TALBOT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CENTREVILLE 39.04N 76.07W
03/02/2009 QUEEN ANNE'S MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DENTON 38.88N 75.82W
03/02/2009 CAROLINE MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CHESTERTOWN 39.22N 76.07W
03/02/2009 KENT MD COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG GEORGETOWN 38.69N 75.39W
03/02/2009 SUSSEX DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

1255 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DOVER 39.16N 75.52W
03/02/2009 KENT DE COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN AROUND COUNTY DUE TO ESTIMATED 50 TO
55 MPH WINDS /RADAR/ AND SNOWFALL.

0110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST FRANKFORD 38.52N 75.23W
03/02/2009 M0.00 MPH SUSSEX DE TRAINED SPOTTER

54 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE MAY 38.94N 74.91W
03/02/2009 E0.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

45 MPH MEASURED WIND GUST.

&&

$$

MPD

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KMFR [020649]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 020649
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1049 PM PST SUN MAR 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SSW WEED 41.36N 122.42W
03/01/2009 M0.40 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

4 HOUR TOTAL FROM 6 PM PST. STORM TOTAL NOW 2.59 INCHES.

&&

$$

DW

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 020556
SWODY1
SPC AC 020554

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1154 PM CST SUN MAR 01 2009

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED/OMEGA-TYPE PATTERN IS FORECAST OVER NOAM THIS
PERIOD...WITH LARGE TROUGHS OVER BOTH THE ERN PACIFIC/W COAST REGION
AND OVER THE ERN CONUS. MEANWHILE...AN EXPANSIVE RIDGE BETWEEN THE
TWO TROUGHS IS PROGGED TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES
TOWARD THE CENTRAL U.S. THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...A LOW OVER THE GULF STREAM -- INITIALLY OFF THE
DELMARVA COAST -- WILL SHIFT NNEWD WITH TIME...JUST E OF CAPE COD
AND THEN INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES LATE. FARTHER W...OVER THE ERN
HALF OF THE CONUS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL...WHILE LEE TROUGHING
REMAINS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS DUE TO WLY/SWLY FLOW ACROSS THE
ROCKIES. OVER THE W COAST STATES/GREAT BASIN...THE SURFACE PATTERN
SHOULD REMAIN MORE NONDESCRIPT...WITH THE MAIN LOW TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...NRN CENTRAL VALLEY OF CA...
MID-LEVEL COLD ADVECTION IS FORECAST ACROSS THE W COAST STATES AND
INTO THE GREAT BASIN...AS THE LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN
PACIFIC CONTINUES A SLOW TRANSITION TOWARD/INTO THIS REGION IN A
PIECEMEAL FASHION. THE RESULTING STEEPENING OF MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WITH TIME IN CONJUNCTION WITH LIMITED/LOCAL DIURNAL HEATING
SHOULD RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODEST SURFACE-BASED CAPE /AOB
250 J/KG/ OVER THE NRN CENTRAL VALLEY.

THIS GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY
SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY...AIDED BY A
FAVORABLY-STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD. WITH SSELY SURFACE WINDS
FORECAST IN THE CENTRAL VALLEY VEERING/INCREASING TO SWLY AT TO 60
TO 70 KT AT MID LEVELS...SOME POTENTIAL FOR ONE OR TWO
ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS APPEARS TO EXIST. THOUGH
MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL APPEARS THE MOST LIKELY THREAT...AN ISOLATED
STRONG WIND GUST OR EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN
THE STRENGTH OF THE FLOW FIELD AND LOCALLY-ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL
VEERING WITH HEIGHT OVER THE CENTRAL VALLEY. HOWEVER...WITH AN
OVERALL LACK OF INSTABILITY FORECAST -- AS HEATING REMAINS GENERALLY
HINDERED BY CLOUDS/ONGOING PRECIPITATION -- SEVERE THREAT STILL
APPEARS LOW. THUS...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBABILITY/SEE
TEXT FORECAST.

...NRN NV AND VICINITY...
DESPITE MEAGER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...COOLING ALOFT ACROSS THE GREAT
BASIN -- PARTICULARLY FROM LATE AFTERNOON ONWARD -- MAY SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF MINIMAL CAPE ACROSS NRN NV AND VICINITY /AOB 150
J/KG/. WHILE DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD WOULD OTHERWISE SUPPORT
ORGANIZED STORMS...THE GENERAL LACK OF INSTABILITY SHOULD PROVE A
SIGNIFICANT LIMITING FACTOR. NONETHELESS...WILL MAINTAIN A
LOW-PROBABILITY THREAT FOR MARGINAL HAIL WITH A STRONGER CELL OR
TWO.

..GOSS.. 03/02/2009

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 020550
SWODY2
SPC AC 020548

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CST SUN MAR 01 2009

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS TUESDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW APPROACHES THE WEST COAST. A
PLUME OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ENEWD INTO NRN
CA AS A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH. IN THIS DIFFLUENT PATTERN WHERE TEMPS WILL BE QUITE COLD
ALOFT...ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS
FROM WRN ORE SWD TO NEAR SAN FRANCISCO. FURTHER EAST ACROSS ERN
ORE...SW ID AND NRN NV...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP AS
SFC TEMPS WARM AND LAPSE RATES STEEPEN TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE CONUS...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TUESDAY OR
TUESDAY NIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 03/02/2009

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0189

ACUS11 KWNS 020541
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020541
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-020945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0189
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 PM CST SUN MAR 01 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NEW ENGLAND

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 020541Z - 020945Z

HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF SRN NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS WITH SNOW RATES EXCEEDING ONE INCH PER HOUR...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS NRN NJ/LONG ISLAND INTO MA.

SFC LOW IS SHIFTING OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST AS UPPER LOW IS
BEGINNING TO OPEN UP AS IT EJECTS NNEWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS INTO
VA. WELL PRONOUNCED WARM CONVEYOR WITH HEAVY SNOW IS SPREADING NWD
ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC WITH LEADING EDGE OF HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION NOW SPREADING ACROSS NRN NJ/LONG ISLAND INTO CT/RI.
AS LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION INCREASES IT APPEARS SNOW MAY CHANGE TO
RAIN NEAR THE CAPE...HOWEVER HEAVY SNOW WILL SPREAD NWD ACROSS
INTERIOR MA INTO EXTREME SRN ME BY 09Z. BACK EDGE OF WARM CONVEYOR
CONTINUES TO LIFT NEWD AT ROUGHLY 25KT AND DRY SLOT MAY TEMPORARILY
REDUCE SNOW RATES ACROSS SRN/ERN NJ BETWEEN 07-12Z...POSSIBLY
SURGING INTO LONG ISLAND BY 12Z BEFORE UPSTREAM ASCENT ENHANCES
SECONDARY BOUT OF HEAVY SNOW SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE.

..DARROW.. 03/02/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...

LAT...LON 41007486 43637076 43176971 40737198 39957435 41007486

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KLOT [020514]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 020514
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1114 PM CST SUN MAR 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1113 PM SNOW 3 SW MIDWAY AIRPORT 41.75N 87.79W
03/01/2009 M2.3 INCH COOK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. 0.07 LIQUID EQUIVALENT.

&&

$$

HALBACH

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KMFR [020504]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 020504
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
904 PM PST SUN MAR 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0903 PM HEAVY RAIN ESE MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.31W
03/01/2009 M3.00 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

DW

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KMFR [020500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 020500
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
900 PM PST SUN MAR 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0859 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 ESE COOS BAY 43.33N 124.12W
03/01/2009 M1.11 INCH COOS OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING 9PM.

&&

$$

HOLTZ

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