KMKX [240352]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 240352
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1052 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM TSTM WND GST KENOSHA 42.58N 87.82W
10/23/2011 M45.00 MPH KENOSHA WI C-MAN STATION

MEASURED 45 MPH GUST...OR 39 KNOT GUST...AT THE KENOSHA
HARBOR C-MAN STATION.

&&

$$

WOOD

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KMKX [240344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 240344
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1044 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0946 PM TSTM WND GST RACINE BATTEN AIRPORT 42.76N 87.81W
10/23/2011 M44.00 MPH RACINE WI ASOS

MEASURED 44 MPH GUST AT THE RACINE AIRPORT ASOS.

0948 PM TSTM WND GST KENOSHA AIRPORT 42.60N 87.93W
10/23/2011 M43.00 MPH KENOSHA WI ASOS

MEASURED 43 MPH GUST AT THE KENOSHA AIRPORT ASOS.

0950 PM TSTM WND GST RACINE 42.73N 87.78W
10/23/2011 M55.00 MPH RACINE WI MESONET

MEASURED 55 MPH GUST AT THE 21ST CENTURY PREPARATORY
SCHOOL IN RACINE.

&&

$$

WOOD

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KMKX [240248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 240248
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
948 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0933 PM TSTM WND GST MILWAUKEE 43.03N 87.92W
10/23/2011 M44 MPH MILWAUKEE WI ASOS

&&

$$

MEB

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KMKX [240245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 240245
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
945 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM TSTM WND GST GREENFIELD 42.96N 88.01W
10/23/2011 E40 MPH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL BRANCHES...1 INCH AROUND...SNAPPED OFF TREES AROUND
27TH AND LAYTON.

&&

$$

MEB

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KDVN [240230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDVN 240230
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
930 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM HAIL WSW QUASQUETON 42.39N 91.76W
10/23/2011 E0.25 INCH BUCHANAN IA COCORAHS

UP TO 3/8 INCH SIZED HAIL.

0753 PM HAIL COGGON 42.28N 91.53W
10/23/2011 M0.25 INCH LINN IA CO-OP OBSERVER

HEAVY RAIN AND PEA SIZED HAIL OCCURRING NOW.

0810 PM HAIL 2 NW CENTRALIA 42.50N 90.87W
10/23/2011 E0.50 INCH DUBUQUE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL LASTING 4 TO 5 MINUTES.

0819 PM HAIL 4 WNW DUBUQUE 42.52N 90.76W
10/23/2011 E0.25 INCH DUBUQUE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZED HAIL...HEAVY RAIN...AND A LOT OF LIGHTNING.

&&

$$

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KMKX [240204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 240204
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
904 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0857 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SW DOUSMAN 42.97N 88.55W
10/23/2011 M45 MPH JEFFERSON WI NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

$$

MEB

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KDVN [240120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 240120
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
820 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0819 PM HAIL 4 WNW DUBUQUE 42.52N 90.76W
10/23/2011 E0.25 INCH DUBUQUE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZED HAIL...HEAVY RAIN...AND A LOT OF LIGHTNING.

&&

$$

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KDVN [240118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 240118
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
818 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM HAIL 2 NW CENTRALIA 42.50N 90.87W
10/23/2011 E0.50 INCH DUBUQUE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL LASTING 4 TO 5 MINUTES.

&&

$$

SARAS

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KDVN [240058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 240058
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
758 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM HAIL WSW QUASQUETON 42.39N 91.76W
10/23/2011 E0.25 INCH BUCHANAN IA COCORAHS

UP TO 3/8 INCH SIZED HAIL.

0753 PM HAIL COGGON 42.28N 91.53W
10/23/2011 M0.25 INCH LINN IA CO-OP OBSERVER

HEAVY RAIN AND PEA SIZED HAIL OCCURRING NOW.

&&

$$

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KARX [240057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 240057
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
757 PM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0756 PM HAIL UNION 42.83N 90.52W
10/23/2011 E0.25 INCH GRANT WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

TMS

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KTFX [231024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 231024
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
424 AM MDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
10/22/2011 M85 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

WIND GUSTS TO 85 MPH WAS REPORTED AT LOGAN PASS.

&&

$$

JOH

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KTFX [231022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 231022
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
422 AM MDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1121 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
10/22/2011 M65 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

WIND GUSTS TO 65MPH WAS REPORTED.

&&

$$

JOH

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KFWD [230946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230946
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
446 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 AM HAIL BRISTOL 32.47N 96.60W
10/23/2011 E1.00 INCH ELLIS TX PUBLIC

$$

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 230851
SWOD48
SPC AC 230851

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

VALID 261200Z - 311200Z

...DISCUSSION...
THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REAMPLIFY MID-LATE WEEK PER
00Z ECMWF/GEFS GUIDANCE CONSENSUS...AS HIGHLIGHTED BY THE GENERAL
DEVELOPMENT OF AN EASTERN STATES LONGWAVE TROUGH. THAT SAID...A
CONSIDERABLE SPREAD IN THE DETAILS DOES EXIST AMONGST AVAILABLE
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE...SUCH THAT THE TIMING/STRENGTH SPECIFICS ARE
IN QUESTION ESPECIALLY REGARDING THE SOUTHERN STREAM/BASAL PORTION
OF THE EASTERN STATES TROUGH.

FOR DAY 4/WEDNESDAY...WHILE SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG A
COLD FRONT FROM THE ARKLATEX TO THE TN VALLEY/APPALACHIANS...LITTLE
OR NO SEVERE RISK IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED.

INTO DAYS 5-6 THURSDAY/FRIDAY...AMID AMPLE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE
VARIABILITY...SOME SEVERE THREAT CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT
ACROSS FL/COASTAL SOUTHEAST STATES ESPECIALLY SHOULD A MORE
AMPLIFIED SOUTHERN STREAM MATERIALIZE. BUT OVERALL...NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE VARIABILITY AND SEEMINGLY LIMITED POTENTIAL AT THIS
JUNCTURE PRECLUDE CONSIDERATION OF ANY 30 PERCENT EQUIVALENT SEVERE
RISK AREAS.

..GUYER.. 10/23/2011

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KFWD [230831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230831
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
331 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 AM HAIL 1 S RICE 32.22N 96.50W
10/23/2011 E1.00 INCH NAVARRO TX EMERGENCY MNGR

QUARTER SIZE HAIL JUST SOUTH OF RICE.

$$

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KFWD [230813]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230813
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
313 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 AM HAIL GARLAND 32.92N 96.63W
10/23/2011 E1.00 INCH DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER HAIL FELL FOR FIVE MINUTES...ENDING AT 0150 CDT
AND DAMAGING A SKYLIGHT.

$$

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KFWD [230758]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230758
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
258 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0254 AM HAIL GARRETT 32.37N 96.65W
10/23/2011 E1.00 INCH ELLIS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

$$

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 230731
SWODY3
SPC AC 230730

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL STEADILY AMPLIFY OVER THE CONUS ON
TUESDAY...HIGHLIGHTED BY A SPLITTING/POSITIVE TILT UPPER TROUGH
AMPLIFYING SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST. AS THIS OCCURS...A SURFACE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST TOWARD THE
GREAT LAKES REGION...WHILE A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE MIDWEST/MIDDLE MS VALLEY AND OZARKS. THIS AFOREMENTIONED
REGION IS WHERE THE PRIMARY CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FOR THE PERIOD WILL
BE FOCUSED...ALTHOUGH A FEW TSTMS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES/FOUR CORNERS VICINITY.

...OZARKS/MIDDLE MS VALLEY/MIDWEST...
THE REGION WILL INCREASINGLY COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF CYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT ON TUESDAY...WITH SEVERAL LOW AMPLITUDE DISTURBANCES
LIKELY TO AT LEAST GRAZE THE REGION. WITH AID OF A STRONG/PERSISTENT
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET...A WARM BUT ONLY MODESTLY MOIST AIRMASS
WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED INTO TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN EAST-SOUTHEAST
ADVANCING COLD FRONT...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS LIKELY TO GENERALLY BE
RELEGATED TO THE 50S F IN MOST AREAS. GIVEN THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN
AND ONLY MODEST /BUT INCREASING/ MOISTURE...THE WARM SECTOR MAY
GENERALLY REMAIN CAPPED THROUGH PEAK HEATING...ALTHOUGH SCATTERED
SHOWERS/TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE NEAR THE FRONT TOWARD/ESPECIALLY AFTER
DARK AS DPVA/WARM ADVECTION INCREASE. A DEGREE OF NUMERICAL GUIDANCE
VARIABILITY REGARDING SHORTWAVE TIMING AND THE EXTENT OF
MOISTENING/DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF
SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME. THAT SAID...AT LEAST LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES COULD BE WARRANTED FOR HAIL/WIND TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS.

..GUYER.. 10/23/2011

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KFWD [230717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230717
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
217 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0153 AM HAIL GARLAND 32.92N 96.63W
10/23/2011 E1.00 INCH DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

GROUND COMPLETELY COVERED WITH HAIL A COUPLE INCHES
DEEP. LARGEST HAILSTONES WERE QUARTER SIZE.

$$

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KFWD [230716]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230716
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
214 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 AM TSTM WND GST GARLAND 32.92N 96.63W
10/23/2011 E70 MPH DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

LIMBS UP TO 5 INCHES IN DIAMETER KNOCKED DOWN AND LARGE
HAIL COVERING THE GROUD.

$$

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KFWD [230712]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230712
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
212 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0158 AM TSTM WND DMG MESQUITE 32.77N 96.60W
10/23/2011 DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

50-FOOT TREE THREE FEET IN DIAMETER DOWNED ON A HOUSE.

$$

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KFWD [230708]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230708
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
208 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0139 AM HAIL GARLAND 32.92N 96.63W
10/23/2011 E1.00 INCH DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED AT INTERSECTION OF SHILOH AND BUCKINGHAM.

$$

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KSHV [230700]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 230700
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
159 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 AM TSTM WND DMG CLARKSVILLE 33.61N 95.06W
10/23/2011 RED RIVER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE LIMBS WERE DOWN AND BLOCKING FAIRGROUNDS ROAD
IN CLARKSVILLE.

1210 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW CLARKSVILLE 33.60N 95.07W
10/23/2011 RED RIVER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN ON HIGHWAY 37 SOUTH JUST OUT OF THE
CLARKSVILLE CITY LIMITS.

&&

$$

15

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KFWD [230657]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230657
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
157 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0148 AM TSTM WND GST ROWLETT 32.90N 96.57W
10/23/2011 E70 MPH DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED IN ROWLETT

$$

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KFWD [230633]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230633
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
132 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 AM HAIL 3 SW MCKINNEY 33.17N 96.66W
10/23/2011 E0.75 INCH COLLIN TX PUBLIC

REPORTED 3 MILES SW OF MCKINNEY. HAIL WAS COVERING THE
GROUND.

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2271

ACUS11 KWNS 230629
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230629
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-230730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0129 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL/NERN TX...ARKLATEX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 230629Z - 230730Z

WW 869 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 08Z FOR PARTS OF N-CNTRL TX.

LOW-LEVEL REFLECTIVITY GRADIENT HAS RECENTLY TIGHTENED WITH QLCS E
OF THE CURRENT WW IN NERN TX. BUT HIGHER-LEVEL REFLECTIVITY
CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DO SO GIVEN
RELATIVELY WEAKER SHEAR/INSTABILITY COMPARED TO AREAS WITHIN/NEAR WW
869. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS MAY PERSIST FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS...A MORE SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN THE SEVERE THREAT
TO THE E OF TX APPEARS UNLIKELY ATTM.

FARTHER W...MORE INTENSE LOW/MID-LEVEL REFLECTIVITY CORES HAVE
PERSISTED IN THE NRN PORTION OF THE DFW METRO AREA WHERE A STRONGLY
VEERING WIND PROFILE EXISTS /AS SAMPLED BY THE DFW VWP/. THIS
SUGGESTS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN STRONG TO SEVERE WITH ATTENDANT
RISKS OF WIND/HAIL FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WITH TIME...MID-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO WARM AS SHORT WAVE TROUGH SHIFTS SEWD
OVERNIGHT...RESULTING IN A NET DECREASE IN INSTABILITY WITH A
PROBABLE DIMINISHING OF THE SEVERE THREAT BEYOND 08-09Z.

..GRAMS.. 10/23/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON 33339782 33339681 33259520 33549428 33709380 33639336
32949329 32159363 31829412 31709469 31609602 32079773
32529812 33339782

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KFWD [230629]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230629
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
129 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0121 AM TSTM WND GST PLANO 33.02N 96.72W
10/23/2011 E70 MPH COLLIN TX TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED AT SPRING CREEK AND COIT ROAD.

$$

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KSHV [230550]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 230550
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1250 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1135 PM TSTM WND DMG VALLIANT 34.00N 95.09W
10/22/2011 MCCURTAIN OK EMERGENCY MNGR

POWER POLE AND LINES DOWN. SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG
WITH A TREE ON A VEHICLE.

&&

$$

ASTEVENS

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 230548
SWODY2
SPC AC 230547

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1247 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE/RELATIVELY LOW-AMPLITUDE LONGWAVE UPPER FLOW PATTERN
OVER THE CONUS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY. A FAST-MOVING UPPER
TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD
ACROSS ONTARIO/QUEBEC AND THE NORTHEAST CONUS...WITH ISOLATED TSTMS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES VICINITY/NORTHEAST STATES NEAR
THE FRONT. HERE...A FEW STRONGER LOW-TOPPED STORMS CAPABLE OF SMALL
HAIL AND/OR GUSTY WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON WITHIN A
STEEP LAPSE RATE/WEAK BUOYANCY ENVIRONMENT...BUT SEVERE TSTMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED.

LATE IN THE PERIOD...A FEW TSTMS COULD ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY
NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST/UPPER MS
RIVER VALLEY VICINITY AS A WARM ADVECTION REGIME INTENSIFIES.
HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE DEGREE OF ELEVATED
MOISTENING/CAPPING PRECLUDES THE INTRODUCTION OF 10 PERCENT TSTM
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME FOR AREAS SUCH AS IA AND SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF MN/WI. OTHERWISE...A FEW STRAY LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY
ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT DIVIDE VICINITY IN
ADVANCE OF A MODESTLY AMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE TROUGH.

..GUYER.. 10/23/2011

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KFWD [230546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230546
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1246 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1220 AM TSTM WND DMG WOLFE CITY 33.37N 96.08W
10/23/2011 HUNT TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

ROOFS BLOWN OFF AT FIRE DEPT AND ANOTHER BUILDING
DOWNTOWN. TREES DOWN AS WELL.

$$

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KSHV [230521]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 230521
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1220 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 PM TSTM WND GST 5 SW IDABEL 33.85N 94.88W
10/22/2011 M64 MPH MCCURTAIN OK MESONET

MEASURED AT THE IDABEL MESONET STATION.

&&

$$

15

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 230507
SWODY1
SPC AC 230505

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1205 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ARKLATEX...

ONGOING MCS OVER SERN OK/WRN AR/NERN TX WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX EARLY IN THE PERIOD. THIS ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
IN INTENSITY TOWARD SUNRISE AND IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR HOW MUCH
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR IN THE WAKE OF EARLY MORNING
STORMS...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE EXPECTED HEIGHT RISES AND LARGE SCALE
SUBSIDENCE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. AIRMASS OVER ERN AR/LA IS NOT
PARTICULARLY MOIST/UNSTABLE THUS CONVECTION WILL INCREASINGLY
STRUGGLE TO MAINTAIN ROBUST UPDRAFTS. FOR THIS REASON HAVE OPTED
NOT TO INTRODUCE LOW SEVERE PROBS.

...MIDWEST...

PROGRESSIVE UPPER SPEED MAX WILL TRANSLATE SEWD FROM MT INTO IA LATE
IN THE PERIOD WITH DOWNSTREAM HIGH LEVEL DIFFLUENCE EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE MIDWEST IN CONJUNCTION WITH WEAK SFC FRONT.
GIVEN THE DEEP WLY FLOW REGIME IT APPEARS LAPSE RATES WILL STEEPEN
EASILY ACROSS IA/NRN IL AS BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS. WITH SFC-3KM
VALUES EXCEEDING 9 C/KM IT APPEARS SFC-BASED PARCELS SHOULD BECOME
UNINHIBITED ENABLING PARCELS TO FREELY CONVECT ALONG ADVANCING WIND
SHIFT. FOR THIS REASON IT WOULD SEEM THAT WEAK CONVERGENCE MAY
PROVE ADEQUATE FOR ISOLATED-SCT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT PRIMARILY
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING HOURS.

..DARROW/HURLBUT.. 10/23/2011

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KFWD [230505]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230505
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1205 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 PM TSTM WND GST PARIS 33.65N 95.53W
10/22/2011 E59 MPH LAMAR TX OFFICIAL NWS OBS

COX FIELD AWOS REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 59 MPH.

$$

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KFWD [230502]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230502
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1201 AM CDT SUN OCT 23 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 PM TSTM WND DMG BONHAM 33.58N 96.18W
10/22/2011 FANNIN TX AMATEUR RADIO

18 WHEELER BLOWN OVER IN BONHAM...BONHAM AIRPORT
REPORTED 55 MPH WIND GUST.

$$

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KFWD [230457]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230457
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1157 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1154 PM HAIL NOCONA 33.78N 97.73W
10/22/2011 E1.75 INCH MONTAGUE TX AMATEUR RADIO

GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT NOCONA GENERAL HOSPITAL.

$$

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KFWD [230442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230442
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1142 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1137 PM HAIL 5 NW NOCONA 33.83N 97.79W
10/22/2011 E1.50 INCH MONTAGUE TX AMATEUR RADIO

GRAY ROAD AND FM 2849...5 NW OF NOCONA

$$

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KFWD [230441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230441
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1141 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1134 PM HAIL 5 NW NOCONA 33.83N 97.79W
10/22/2011 E0.88 INCH MONTAGUE TX TRAINED SPOTTER

GRAY ROAD AND FM 2849...5 MILES NW OF NOCONA

$$

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KFWD [230430]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 230430
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1129 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1124 PM HAIL 5 NW NOCONA 33.83N 97.79W
10/22/2011 E0.75 INCH MONTAGUE TX EMERGENCY MNGR

GRAY ROAD AND FM 2849...5 NW OF NOCONA

$$

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KTSA [230426]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 230426
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
1126 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1110 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NW HUGO 34.03N 95.53W
10/22/2011 M67.00 MPH CHOCTAW OK MESONET

&&

$$

EJC

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KOUN [230415]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 230415
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1115 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1110 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E ARDMORE 34.17N 97.04W
10/22/2011 CARTER OK TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO 8-10 INCH DIAMETER TREES BLOWN DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM
WIND GUSTS

&&

$$

FM

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2270

ACUS11 KWNS 230414
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230413
TXZ000-OKZ000-230545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2270
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN OK AND NRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 869...

VALID 230413Z - 230545Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 869
CONTINUES.

A LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES TO SAG SWD ACROSS THE RED RIVER. STORM
CORES HAVE BEEN WEAKENING A BIT OVER ERN AREAS...BUT STORMS OVER S
CNTRL OK REMAIN SEVERE.

THE 00Z FWD SOUNDING SHOWED A LESS FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE
THAN FARTHER N...WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED WARM LAYER BELOW 700 MB.
HOWEVER...WIND PROFILES HAVE BEEN INCREASING WITH A 30+ KT LOW LEVEL
JET NOTED ON AREAS VADS. THIS MAY HELP TO FUEL A FEW SEVERE STORMS
OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED TO
REMAIN WIDESPREAD ENOUGH FOR ANOTHER WATCH.

TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE PARTIAL LOCAL WATCH
EXTENSION OVER N TX...IF NEEDED.

..JEWELL.. 10/23/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON 32379494 31949592 32149765 32599826 33629843 34329851
34459831 34329744 34289637 34269602 34089519 33859491
32379494

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KOUN [230402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KOUN 230402
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1102 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0451 PM HAIL 1 SW PONCA CITY 36.70N 97.10W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH KAY OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0619 PM HAIL 2 S WANETTE 34.93N 97.03W
10/22/2011 E1.50 INCH POTTAWATOMIE OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0627 PM HAIL 5 S ASHER 34.92N 96.92W
10/22/2011 E1.75 INCH PONTOTOC OK STORM CHASER

0629 PM HAIL 3 NE CONCHO 35.65N 97.96W
10/22/2011 E1.25 INCH CANADIAN OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0658 PM HAIL 4 W YUKON 35.51N 97.82W
10/22/2011 E1.50 INCH CANADIAN OK AMATEUR RADIO

0705 PM HAIL 7 NW ADA 34.85N 96.75W
10/22/2011 E2.75 INCH PONTOTOC OK EMERGENCY MNGR

0708 PM HAIL 5 E UNION CITY 35.39N 97.85W
10/22/2011 M3.75 INCH CANADIAN OK STORM CHASER

0708 PM HAIL 5 E UNION CITY 35.39N 97.85W
10/22/2011 E2.75 INCH CANADIAN OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0710 PM HAIL 5 N MUSTANG 35.47N 97.72W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH CANADIAN OK PUBLIC

0715 PM HAIL 3 W ADA 34.78N 96.71W
10/22/2011 E1.75 INCH PONTOTOC OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0720 PM HAIL 2 NW WARR ACRES 35.55N 97.64W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH OKLAHOMA OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0728 PM HAIL TUTTLE 35.29N 97.82W
10/22/2011 E2.00 INCH GRADY OK LAW ENFORCEMENT

0740 PM HAIL 6 E TUTTLE 35.29N 97.71W
10/22/2011 E1.25 INCH GRADY OK PUBLIC

0750 PM HAIL 5 WSW POCASSET 35.17N 98.03W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH GRADY OK PUBLIC

0753 PM HAIL 3 NNW ADA 34.82N 96.68W
10/22/2011 E2.75 INCH PONTOTOC OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0805 PM HAIL 2 WSW BLANCHARD 35.13N 97.69W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH GRADY OK NWS EMPLOYEE

0815 PM HAIL 3 S BLANCHARD 35.10N 97.66W
10/22/2011 E1.25 INCH MCCLAIN OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0827 PM HAIL ALLEN 34.88N 96.41W
10/22/2011 E1.75 INCH PONTOTOC OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0850 PM HAIL GERTY 34.84N 96.29W
10/22/2011 E1.75 INCH HUGHES OK EMERGENCY MNGR

0858 PM HAIL 11 E MARLOW 34.64N 97.77W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH STEPHENS OK AMATEUR RADIO

0925 PM TSTM WND GST PAULS VALLEY 34.74N 97.22W
10/22/2011 E60.00 MPH GARVIN OK PUBLIC

0945 PM HAIL 10 NNE COALGATE 34.67N 96.15W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH COAL OK PUBLIC

1015 PM HAIL 3 SW DUNCAN 34.49N 98.01W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH STEPHENS OK AMATEUR RADIO

1017 PM HAIL 5 ESE LOCO 34.30N 97.60W
10/22/2011 E1.75 INCH STEPHENS OK AMATEUR RADIO

1020 PM HAIL 7 NNW HEALDTON 34.33N 97.53W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH CARTER OK AMATEUR RADIO

1035 PM HAIL 1 N ADDINGTON 34.26N 97.97W
10/22/2011 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON OK AMATEUR RADIO

1035 PM HAIL ADDINGTON 34.24N 97.97W
10/22/2011 E2.50 INCH JEFFERSON OK AMATEUR RADIO

&&

$$

FM

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