KLCH [120354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 120354
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1054 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1051 PM TORNADO JENNINGS 30.22N 92.66W
03/11/2012 JEFFERSON DAVIS LA PUBLIC

RESTAURANT WORKER REPORTED TORNADO CROSSING I-10 NEAR THE
OVERPASS.

&&

$$

MOGGED

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KLCH [120348]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 120348
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1048 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0836 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NW FOREST HILL 31.08N 92.57W
03/11/2012 RAPIDES LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERIFFS DEPT REPORTS TREE DOWN ON HWY 112.

&&

$$

MOGGED

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KLCH [120342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 120342
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1042 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1035 PM TSTM WND GST JENNINGS 30.22N 92.66W
03/11/2012 E60.00 MPH JEFFERSON DAVIS LA PUBLIC

SPOTTER VISITING FROM TENNESSEE REPORTED WINDS GUSTS 50
TO 60 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL.

1035 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 W JENNINGS 30.22N 92.68W
03/11/2012 JEFFERSON DAVIS LA PUBLIC

SPOTTER VISITING FROM TENNESSEE REPORTS FUNNEL CLOUD 1
WEST OF JENNINGS.

&&

$$

MOGGED

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KSHV [120342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 120342
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1042 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0855 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E JENA 31.69N 92.09W
03/11/2012 LA SALLE LA 911 CALL CENTER

LARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS HWY 772. TOOK POWER LINES AND
POLES DOWN.

&&

$$

ASTEVENS

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KLCH [120336]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 120336
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1036 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1031 PM TORNADO 4 SW JENNINGS 30.19N 92.71W
03/11/2012 JEFFERSON DAVIS LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED A POSSIBLE TORNADO.

1027 PM TORNADO 4 SW JENNINGS 30.18N 92.71W
03/11/2012 JEFFERSON DAVIS LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED A POSSIBLE TORNADO

&&

$$

BRAZZELL

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KSHV [120334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 120334
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1034 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM TSTM WND GST 13 SE MANSFIELD 31.90N 93.55W
03/11/2012 E0 MPH DE SOTO LA 911 CALL CENTER

POWER POLES AND LINES DOWN.

&&

$$

ASTEVENS

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KJAN [120322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KJAN 120322
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1021 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW COLLINSTON 32.67N 91.90W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ACROSS HWY 138...BLOCKING RD

0737 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 S MER ROUGE 32.70N 91.79W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0738 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE MER ROUGE 32.74N 91.75W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA UTILITY COMPANY

POWERLINES DOWN

0755 PM FLASH FLOOD BASTROP 32.77N 91.91W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER ACROSS BASTROP

0757 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 WNW OAK GROVE 32.90N 91.49W
03/11/2012 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN THE FISKE
COMMUNITY. ONE STRUCTURE WITH AT LEAST MINOR DAMAGE.

0757 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE BONITA 32.89N 91.64W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0803 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NW OAK GROVE 32.91N 91.45W
03/11/2012 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. ONE TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE ALONG
HIGHWAY 586 CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE TO THE HOUSE.

0803 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W OAK GROVE 32.86N 91.41W
03/11/2012 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN

0805 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 E JONES 32.97N 91.58W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 W TRANSYLVANIA 32.68N 91.25W
03/11/2012 EAST CARROLL LA UTILITY COMPANY

POWERLINES DOWN

0900 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NNW OAK GROVE 32.93N 91.42W
03/11/2012 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HILL CHURCH AND ARMFIELD ROADS WERE FLOODED

&&

$$

GERARD

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KJAN [120320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 120320
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1020 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 S MER ROUGE 32.70N 91.79W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0757 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE BONITA 32.89N 91.64W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

0805 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 E JONES 32.97N 91.58W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

&&

$$

CME

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KJAN [120316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 120316
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1016 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NNW OAK GROVE 32.93N 91.42W
03/11/2012 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HILL CHURCH AND ARMFIELD ROADS WERE FLOODED

&&

$$

GERARD

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KABQ [120240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KABQ 120240
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
834 PM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM SNOW 3 NE RUIDOSO 33.36N 105.65W
03/10/2012 M4.0 INCH LINCOLN NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0100 AM SNOW 3 WSW RIO RANCHO 35.26N 106.71W
03/11/2012 M1.2 INCH SANDOVAL NM PUBLIC

WESTERN HILLS DR AND UNSER BLVD

0115 AM SNOW 8 ESE ALBUQUERQUE 35.08N 106.50W
03/11/2012 M2.5 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

INDIAN SCHOOL AND TRAMWAY.

0530 AM SNOW 8 SSW RED RIVER 36.59N 105.45W
03/11/2012 E8.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

TAOS SKI AREA.

0622 AM SNOW 5 S ALBUQUERQUE 35.04N 106.62W
03/11/2012 M1.9 INCH BERNALILLO NM ASOS

KABQ ASOS. CONTRACT OBS SNOW MEASUREMENT.

0630 AM SNOW 1 NW CORRALES 35.25N 106.63W
03/11/2012 M1.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0645 AM SNOW 8 ENE ALBUQUERQUE 35.16N 106.50W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

SPAIN AND TRAMWAY.

0700 AM SNOW EAGLE NEST 36.56N 105.26W
03/11/2012 M6.0 INCH COLFAX NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 1 WNW RED RIVER 36.71N 105.42W
03/11/2012 M5.0 INCH TAOS NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0705 AM SNOW 1 N MORIARTY 35.01N 106.05W
03/11/2012 M1.3 INCH TORRANCE NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0730 AM SNOW 6 NE JEMEZ SPRINGS 35.84N 106.61W
03/11/2012 M8.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM PUBLIC

SIERRA DE LOS PINOS AROUND 7927 FEET

0730 AM SNOW 8 SE SANTA FE 35.60N 105.85W
03/11/2012 M1.6 INCH SANTA FE NM AMATEUR RADIO

0745 AM SNOW 9 NE ALBUQUERQUE 35.19N 106.48W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM CO-OP OBSERVER

PASEO DEL NOTRE AND TRAMWAY.

0800 AM SNOW 12 ENE JEMEZ SPRINGS 35.84N 106.49W
03/11/2012 E2.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM PUBLIC

VALLES CALDERA NORDIC.

0800 AM SNOW RED RIVER 36.71N 105.42W
03/11/2012 E6.5 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

RED RIVER SKI AREA.

0800 AM SNOW 6 W LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.39W
03/11/2012 E3.5 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM PUBLIC

PAJARITO SKI AREA.

0800 AM SNOW 6 WSW BONITO LAKE 33.40N 105.80W
03/11/2012 E3.0 INCH LINCOLN NM PUBLIC

SKI APACHE.

0800 AM SNOW 3 NW TRES RITOS 36.16N 105.55W
03/11/2012 E5.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

SIPAPU SKI AREA.

0800 AM SNOW 7 ESE CHUPADERO 35.79N 105.80W
03/11/2012 E3.0 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

SKI SANTA FE.

0800 AM SNOW 4 NW SANDIA PARK 35.21N 106.41W
03/11/2012 E3.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

SANDIA SKI AREA.

0800 AM SNOW 3 E RED RIVER 36.70N 105.35W
03/11/2012 E6.0 INCH COLFAX NM PUBLIC

ENCHANTED FORECAST SKI AREA.

0800 AM SNOW 3 ESE ANGEL FIRE 36.38N 105.24W
03/11/2012 E6.0 INCH COLFAX NM PUBLIC

ANGEL FIRE SKI AREA.

0800 AM SNOW 6 WNW SANDIA PARK 35.21N 106.45W
03/11/2012 M6.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM TRAINED SPOTTER

TOP OF SANDIA TRAMWAY

0800 AM SNOW 9 WSW CUBA 35.95N 107.09W
03/11/2012 M2.5 INCH SANDOVAL NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW CUBA 36.02N 106.95W
03/11/2012 E2.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW 9 SW CORONA 34.15N 105.70W
03/11/2012 E1.0 INCH LINCOLN NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW 2 SSE ALBUQUERQUE 35.09N 106.61W
03/11/2012 E1.4 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

CONSTITUTION AND GIRARD.

0800 AM SNOW 4 NNW TAOS 36.44N 105.60W
03/11/2012 M3.7 INCH TAOS NM NWS EMPLOYEE

0800 AM SNOW 3 SSE TAOS 36.35N 105.56W
03/11/2012 M3.5 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

0830 AM SNOW 6 NNW ALBUQUERQUE 35.20N 106.68W
03/11/2012 M1.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

IRVING AND GOLF COURSE.

0855 AM SNOW SEDILLO 35.10N 106.29W
03/11/2012 M1.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM NWS EMPLOYEE

0915 AM SNOW 3 NE SANTA FE 35.71N 105.92W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH SANTA FE NM AMATEUR RADIO

1056 AM SNOW 2 SSE TAOS 36.36N 105.57W
03/11/2012 M3.0 INCH TAOS NM COCORAHS

1057 AM SNOW 5 NW CANONES 36.25N 106.50W
03/11/2012 M2.5 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM COCORAHS

1057 AM SNOW 8 ENE ALBUQUERQUE 35.16N 106.50W
03/11/2012 M2.7 INCH BERNALILLO NM COCORAHS

SPAIN AND TRAMWAY.

1058 AM SNOW 2 SSW LOS CORDOVAS 36.36N 105.65W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH TAOS NM COCORAHS

1059 AM SNOW 8 ESE ALBUQUERQUE 35.07N 106.49W
03/11/2012 M3.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM COCORAHS

LOMAS AND TRAMWAY.

1100 AM SNOW 8 ENE ALBUQUERQUE 35.16N 106.49W
03/11/2012 M2.5 INCH BERNALILLO NM COCORAHS

PASEO DEL NORTE AND TRAMWAY.

1101 AM SNOW 4 E ALBUQUERQUE 35.12N 106.55W
03/11/2012 M1.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM COCORAHS

CANDELARIA AND WYOMING.

1101 AM SNOW 2 NW EL RITO 36.37N 106.22W
03/11/2012 M2.8 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM COCORAHS

1103 AM SNOW 3 W RIO RANCHO 35.28N 106.72W
03/11/2012 M1.8 INCH SANDOVAL NM COCORAHS

PINE ROAD AND 10TH STREET.

1103 AM SNOW 9 NE ALBUQUERQUE 35.20N 106.52W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM COCORAHS

PASEO DEL NORTE AND TRAMWAY.

1104 AM SNOW 8 WNW ABIQUIU 36.25N 106.44W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM COCORAHS

1105 AM SNOW 1 SW LOS ALAMOS 35.89N 106.31W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM COCORAHS

1106 AM SNOW 3 SSW SANTA FE 35.64N 105.96W
03/11/2012 M3.0 INCH SANTA FE NM COCORAHS

1110 AM SNOW 1 N ALTO 33.41N 105.68W
03/11/2012 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN NM COCORAHS

1113 AM SNOW 1 ESE LINCOLN 33.48N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN NM COCORAHS

1113 AM SNOW 4 N TIJERAS 35.14N 106.38W
03/11/2012 M1.4 INCH BERNALILLO NM COCORAHS

1114 AM SNOW 4 NW LAMY 35.53N 105.92W
03/11/2012 M2.2 INCH SANTA FE NM COCORAHS

1115 AM SNOW WHITE ROCK 35.82N 106.21W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM TRAINED SPOTTER

1115 AM SNOW 5 E TIJERAS 35.10N 106.28W
03/11/2012 M2.2 INCH BERNALILLO NM COCORAHS

1116 AM SNOW 2 SE RIO RANCHO 35.25N 106.64W
03/11/2012 M1.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM COCORAHS

HIGH RESORT AND HIGHWAY 528.

1118 AM SNOW 19 N ALCALDE 36.36N 106.06W
03/11/2012 M1.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM COCORAHS

1118 AM SNOW 3 SE LAS VEGAS 35.57N 105.19W
03/11/2012 M1.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM COCORAHS

1119 AM SNOW 1 S MOUNTAINAIR 34.51N 106.24W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH TORRANCE NM COCORAHS

1140 AM SNOW 7 E CANJILON 36.50N 106.31W
03/11/2012 E2.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

BATEMAN SNOTEL.

1141 AM SNOW 8 NNW GLORIETA 35.70N 105.80W
03/11/2012 E4.0 INCH SANTA FE NM OTHER FEDERAL

ELK CABIN SNOTEL.

1142 AM SNOW 4 NNW TRES RITOS 36.18N 105.55W
03/11/2012 E3.0 INCH TAOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

GALLEGOS PEAK SNOTEL.

1143 AM SNOW 11 NNW CANON PLAZA 36.70N 106.25W
03/11/2012 E2.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

HOPEWELL SNOTEL.

1144 AM SNOW 5 WNW LOS ALAMOS 35.91N 106.38W
03/11/2012 E2.0 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

QUEMAZON SNOTEL.

1147 AM SNOW 5 ESE RED RIVER 36.68N 105.33W
03/11/2012 E1.0 INCH COLFAX NM OTHER FEDERAL

RED RIVER PASS SNOTEL.

1148 AM SNOW 7 ESE CUBA 36.00N 106.83W
03/11/2012 E8.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

SENORITA DIVIDE SNOTEL.

1150 AM SNOW 5 SW BONITO LAKE 33.40N 105.78W
03/11/2012 E3.0 INCH LINCOLN NM OTHER FEDERAL

SIERRA BLANCA SNOTEL.

1151 AM SNOW 8 NE ARROYO SECO 36.58N 105.45W
03/11/2012 E2.0 INCH TAOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

TAOS POWDERHORN SNOTEL.

1151 AM SNOW 6 ESE MOGOLLON 33.36N 108.70W
03/11/2012 E5.0 INCH CATRON NM OTHER FEDERAL

SILVER CREEK DIVIDE SNOTEL.

1153 AM SNOW 9 E CUBA 36.02N 106.80W
03/11/2012 E6.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

VACAS LOCAS SNOTEL.

1154 AM SNOW 3 NE STANLEY 35.18N 105.94W
03/11/2012 M4.2 INCH SANTA FE NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0300 PM SNOW 1 S CAPITAN 33.53N 105.59W
03/11/2012 M1.5 INCH LINCOLN NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0400 PM SNOW 2 SSE ALTO 33.37N 105.66W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH LINCOLN NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0500 PM SNOW 12 NNW JEMEZ SPRINGS 35.95N 106.75W
03/11/2012 M6.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1200796 ABQ1200795 ABQ1200794 ABQ1200793 ABQ1200792
ABQ1200791 ABQ1200790 ABQ1200788 ABQ1200789 ABQ1200787 ABQ1200784
ABQ1200785 ABQ1200782 ABQ1200766 ABQ1200767 ABQ1200768 ABQ1200769
ABQ1200770 ABQ1200771 ABQ1200772 ABQ1200773 ABQ1200774 ABQ1200775
ABQ1200776 ABQ1200777 ABQ1200778 ABQ1200779 ABQ1200780 ABQ1200781
ABQ1200765 ABQ1200764 ABQ1200763 ABQ1200762 ABQ1200760 ABQ1200761
ABQ1200759 ABQ1200758 ABQ1200757 ABQ1200755 ABQ1200756 ABQ1200753
ABQ1200754 ABQ1200752 ABQ1200751 ABQ1200750 ABQ1200748 ABQ1200746
ABQ1200747 ABQ1200745 ABQ1200743 ABQ1200744 ABQ1200742 ABQ1200740
ABQ1200741 ABQ1200739 ABQ1200738 ABQ1200737 ABQ1200736 ABQ1200735
ABQ1200734 ABQ1200733 ABQ1200732 ABQ1200731 ABQ1200729 ABQ1200730
ABQ1200728 ABQ1200727 ABQ1200726 ABQ1200725 ABQ1200724

$$

CHJ

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KJAN [120240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 120240
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
940 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0738 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE MER ROUGE 32.74N 91.75W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA UTILITY COMPANY

POWERLINES DOWN

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 W TRANSYLVANIA 32.68N 91.25W
03/11/2012 EAST CARROLL LA UTILITY COMPANY

POWERLINES DOWN

&&

$$

GERARD

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KSHV [120236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KSHV 120236
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
936 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SW HEMPHILL 31.29N 93.91W
03/11/2012 SABINE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED A TREE DOWN.

&&

$$

15

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KICT [120226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 120226
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
926 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0922 PM HAIL WICHITA MID CONTINENT A 37.66N 97.44W
03/11/2012 M0.25 INCH SEDGWICK KS OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

KED

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KLCH [120213]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 120213
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
913 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0829 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NE GRAND LAKE 30.04N 93.26W
03/11/2012 CAMERON LA PUBLIC

SHED BLOWN DOWN... FLATBED TRAILOR THROWN AND FLIPPED
OVER...TOOL SHED DOORS BLOWN OUT.

&&

$$

K. KUYPER

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KSHV [120212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 120212
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
912 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM FLOOD MONROE 32.51N 92.08W
03/11/2012 OUACHITA LA BROADCAST MEDIA

VARIOUS REPORTS OF STREET FLOODING THROUGHOUT MONROE AND
WEST MONROE.

&&

$$

15

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KBOI [120203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 120203
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
803 PM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1143 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S WAGONTIRE MOUNTAIN 43.34N 119.89W
03/11/2012 M55.00 MPH HARNEY OR MESONET

WAGONTIRE RAWS.

1152 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE ROME AIRPORT 42.59N 117.86W
03/11/2012 M49.00 MPH MALHEUR OR ASOS

ROME ASOS.

1255 PM TSTM WND GST 1 ESE FLAGSTAFF HILL 44.81N 117.72W
03/11/2012 M64.00 MPH BAKER OR MESONET

FLAGSTAFF HILL RAWS.

1257 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 NW WALLS LAKE RESERV 42.97N 119.25W
03/11/2012 M51.00 MPH HARNEY OR MESONET

FOSTER FLAT RAWS.

0131 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE OLA 44.21N 116.26W
03/11/2012 M57.00 MPH GEM ID MESONET

OLA CWOP STATION.

0142 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SW ONTARIO 44.00N 117.00W
03/11/2012 M52.00 MPH MALHEUR OR ASOS

ONTARIO ASOS.

0145 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SW NYSSA 43.80N 117.11W
03/11/2012 M41.00 MPH MALHEUR OR TRAINED SPOTTER

PEAK GUST SO FAR OF 41 MPH

0145 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 WSW BOISE 43.56N 116.39W
03/11/2012 E50.00 MPH ADA ID NWS EMPLOYEE

SQUALL PASSAGE WITH WIND GUST ESTIMATED AT 50 MPH.

0154 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 WNW COYOTE GAP 42.47N 119.18W
03/11/2012 M49.00 MPH HARNEY OR MESONET

FISH FIN RIM RAWS.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSW ONTARIO 43.98N 117.01W
03/11/2012 M58.00 MPH MALHEUR OR MESONET

ONTARIO AGRIMET.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE CALDWELL 43.63N 116.63W
03/11/2012 M49.00 MPH CANYON ID AWOS

CALDWELL AIRPORT.

&&

$$

BW/WH

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KJAN [120200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 120200
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
900 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0757 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 WNW OAK GROVE 32.90N 91.49W
03/11/2012 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN THE FISKE
COMMUNITY. ONE STRUCTURE WITH AT LEAST MINOR DAMAGE.

0803 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W OAK GROVE 32.86N 91.41W
03/11/2012 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN

0803 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NW OAK GROVE 32.91N 91.45W
03/11/2012 WEST CARROLL LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. ONE TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE ALONG
HIGHWAY 586 CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE TO THE HOUSE.

&&

$$

GERARD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0244

ACUS11 KWNS 120144
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120144
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-120315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0244
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0844 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN THRU NE LA INTO WRN/NRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 72...

VALID 120144Z - 120315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 72 CONTINUES.

AN ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT A FEW WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES MAY BE ADDED LOCALLY.

AS THE SIGNIFICANT CLOSED LOW/UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO LIFT THROUGH
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...AND AWAY FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
REGION...THIS EVENING...LATEST RUC GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST
THAT FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION SUPPORTING ONGOING
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL WEAKEN DURING THE 03-06Z TIME FRAME. AT
THE SAME TIME...THE STRONGER SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET LIKELY WILL
SHIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION...WITH
A CORRESPONDING GRADUAL WEAKENING OFF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
THROUGH LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI. THIS PROBABLY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
DIMINISHING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS.

THROUGH 03-04Z...HOWEVER...CONDITIONS MAY STILL REMAIN AT LEAST
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE TO THE PRODUCTION OF POTENTIAL DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO...WITH THE LINE OF STORMS
SPREADING OUT OF CENTRAL/NORTHEAST LOUISIANA TOWARD THE INTERSTATE
55 CORRIDOR OF MISSISSIPPI...NEAR/NORTH OF JACKSON INTO THE
GREENWOOD VICINITY. THIS POTENTIAL SEEMS LIKELY TO DIMINISH IN A
MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT TO THE NORTH AND EAST.

..KERR.. 03/12/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 32309165 33089163 33729111 33588990 32458972 31699036
31139108 30589166 29619286 30859259 32309165

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KJAN [120105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 120105
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
805 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW COLLINSTON 32.67N 91.90W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ACROSS HWY 138...BLOCKING RD

0755 PM FLASH FLOOD BASTROP 32.77N 91.91W
03/11/2012 MOREHOUSE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER ACROSS BASTROP

&&

$$

CME

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KSEW [120104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 120104
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
604 PM PDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0601 PM HAIL BREMERTON 47.55N 122.70W
03/11/2012 M0.25 INCH KITSAP WA PUBLIC

REPORT FROM SPOTTER SAYS HAIL OCCURED FOR ABOUT 5
MINUTES. NOW LIGHT RAIN.

&&

$$

GRUB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 120059
SWODY1
SPC AC 120057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

VALID 120100Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY
REGION...

...MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY REGION...
ARCING BAND OF PRECIPITATION EXTENDS IN A COMMA SHAPE FROM NEB EWD
INTO IA...SEWD INTO ERN MO...AND THEN SSWWD TO THE SWRN LA
COAST...AHEAD OF THE NEWD-MOVING UPPER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE
COLD FRONT.

STRONGEST STORMS ATTM REMAIN ACROSS NERN AND INTO CENTRAL LA...WHERE
COMPLEX/BOWING LINE SEGMENTS ARE INDICATED. ALONG WITH THREAT FOR
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS...STRONG/VEERING FLOW WITH HEIGHT IS YIELDING
SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF LOW-LEVEL ROTATION/ISOLATED TORNADOES. AS THIS
STRONGER AREA OF CONVECTION CROSSES THE MS RIVER OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...A DRIER MS BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGESTS SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING OF
THE STORMS...AND THUS A CORRESPONDING SLOW DECREASE IN SEVERE
POTENTIAL LATER THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE...THOUGH FAVORABLY MOIST
LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS EXTENDS INTO SERN LA...WEAKER FLOW ALOFT AND THE
STRONGER FORCING FOR UVV CONTINUING TO SHIFT NEWD SHOULD LIMIT
POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS PART OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT.

..GOSS.. 03/12/2012

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 71

WWUS20 KWNS 120003
SEL1
SPC WW 120003
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-120000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 71
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
703 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 71 ISSUED AT 1155 AM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

LOUISIANA
TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 72

WWUS20 KWNS 112343
SEL2
SPC WW 112343
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-120700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 72
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 645 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES NORTHEAST OF MONROE
LOUISIANA TO 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT POLK LOUISIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 71...

DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH EMBEDDED LEWP STRUCTURES IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EWD TOWARD THE MS RIVER THIS EVENING WITHIN
AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MARGINAL INSTABILITY BUT RATHER
STRONG LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. AS SUCH...EXPECT THE RISK FOR
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF TORNADOES TO EXIST
WITH ANY MORE PERSISTENT/ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.

...MEAD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0243

ACUS11 KWNS 112236
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112236
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-120000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0243
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0536 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NE LOUISIANA...SE AR...WRN MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 71...

VALID 112236Z - 120000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 71 CONTINUES.

A NEW WW LIKELY WILL BE NEEDED BY THE CURRENT 00Z EXPIRATION OF WW
71.

WITHIN A BROADER SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF
COAST/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION...LATEST RUC GUIDANCE
INDICATES THAT A 50+ KT 850 MB JET CORE IS IN THE PROCESS OF NOSING
OUT OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH PARTS OF CENTRAL/NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.
ENHANCED FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE APPEAR TO BE CONTRIBUTING TO THE MOST
VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. THIS APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN THE
CASE INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS IT CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

ORGANIZED IN A BROKEN LINE...STRONGEST STORMS ARE CURRENTLY EMBEDDED
WITHIN A BROADER BAND OF PRECIPITATION...WHERE WEAK LAPSE RATES ARE
SUPPORTING ONLY VERY WEAK BOUNDARY LAYER BASED CAPE.
BUT...HODOGRAPHS ARE LARGE AND CLOCKWISE CURVED...IN THE PRESENCE OF
A NEAR SATURATED LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY SEASONABLY
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT. THE RISK FOR TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...BUT WITH THE ADDITIONAL LIMITING FACTOR OF RELATIVELY WEAK
HIGH-LEVEL FLOW/SHEAR...DAMAGING CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED SURFACE GUSTS
MAY BE THE PRIMARY THREAT AS STORMS SPREAD TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI
DELTA REGION AND ADJACENT SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS BETWEEN NOW AND 01-02Z.

..KERR.. 03/11/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 32289282 34279182 34559102 34148992 32549050 30999179
30929264 32289282

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KSHV [112204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 112204
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
504 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SW HEMPHILL 31.29N 93.91W
03/11/2012 SABINE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED A TREE DOWN.

&&

$$

PARKER

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KMFR [112201]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 112201
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
301 PM PDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 SW MERLIN 42.46N 123.49W
03/11/2012 M0.80 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

8 HOUR TOTAL

&&

$$

BPN

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KPUB [112155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 112155
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
355 PM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM SNOW 3 SW ROSITA 38.07N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL BETWEEN 6 AM AND 11 AM.

0931 AM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M3.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 7 AM THIS MORNING.

0848 AM SNOW 1 WSW BONCARBO 37.21N 104.72W
03/11/2012 M2.5 INCH LAS ANIMAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0845 AM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M1.5 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

THE TOTALS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET
CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE
FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION.

SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT

INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
3.00 2 WSW ROSITA CO CUSTER 0931 AM
3 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 7 AM THIS MORNING.
2.50 1 WSW BONCARBO CO LAS ANIMAS 0848 AM
2.00 3 SW ROSITA CO CUSTER 1100 AM
FELL BETWEEN 6 AM AND 11 AM.
1.50 2 WSW ROSITA CO CUSTER 0845 AM

$$

KT

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KPUB [112155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 112155
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
355 PM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM SNOW 3 SW ROSITA 38.07N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL BETWEEN 6 AM AND 11 AM.

0931 AM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M3.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 7 AM THIS MORNING.

0848 AM SNOW 1 WSW BONCARBO 37.21N 104.72W
03/11/2012 M2.5 INCH LAS ANIMAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0845 AM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M1.5 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KT

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KSHV [112151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 112151
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
451 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 NE COUSHATTA 32.05N 93.32W
03/11/2012 RED RIVER LA BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

$$

MMAYEAUX

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KSTO [112130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 112130
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
230 PM PDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM HAIL 3 S ANDERSON 40.40N 122.29W
03/11/2012 M0.25 INCH SHASTA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KSTO [112129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 112129
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
229 PM PDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM FUNNEL CLOUD COTTONWOOD 40.39N 122.28W
03/11/2012 SHASTA CA PUBLIC

2 PUBLIC REPORTS VIA 911.

&&

$$

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KPDT [112112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 112112
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
212 PM PDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW TOPPENISH 46.37N 120.33W
03/11/2012 M38.00 MPH YAKIMA WA TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 32 MPH GUSTING TO 38
MPH...AND BLOWING DUST TO THE EAST. ELEV 760 FT. YA-600.

&&

$$

AA

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KMSO [112046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 112046
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
246 PM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0210 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SSW SLATE CREEK 45.63N 116.28W
03/11/2012 M40.00 MPH IDAHO ID MESONET

SLATE CREEK RAWS AT 1568 FT.

0226 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 N ELLIS 44.85N 114.03W
03/11/2012 M52.00 MPH LEMHI ID MESONET

EZRA CREEK RAWS AT 6405 FT.

&&

$$

NOBLE

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0242

ACUS11 KWNS 111947
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111947
LAZ000-TXZ000-112145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0242
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0247 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TX THROUGH WRN LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 71...

VALID 111947Z - 112145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 71 CONTINUES.

THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND WILL PERSIST THIS
AFTERNOON FROM SERN TX INTO WRN LA. THE GREATEST RISK FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES THROUGH 22Z IS EXPECTED FROM SERN TX NEWD THROUGH SWRN AND
CNTRL LA.

STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AXIS FROM EXTREME NW
LA INTO SERN TX CONTINUE TO SHOW OCCASIONAL UPDRAFT ROTATION AND
LEWP STRUCTURES...BUT SO FAR HAVE MOSTLY REMAINED BELOW SEVERE
LEVELS. PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR HAS BEEN WEAK LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WHICH HAVE RESULTED IN MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND MODEST UPDRAFT
ACCELERATIONS. NEVERTHELESS...0-1 KM HODOGRAPHS WITH 200-250 M2/S2
STORM RELATIVE HELICITY AND LOW LCLS WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR A
THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES AS THE LLJ SHIFTS SLOWLY NEWD THROUGH
THETA-E AXIS ACROSS WRN CNTRL LA NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DIAL.. 03/11/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 29989438 31519396 32829347 32819225 31549215 29929323
29989438

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KMSO [111944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 111944
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
144 PM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N GRANGEVILLE 45.94N 116.12W
03/11/2012 M45.00 MPH IDAHO ID AWOS

GRANGEVILLE IDAHO COUNTY AIRPORT AT 3314 FT.

0106 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 E DARBY 46.03N 114.06W
03/11/2012 M47.00 MPH RAVALLI MT MESONET

DEER MOUNTAIN RAWS STATION AT 7282 FT.

&&

$$

NOBLE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111932
SWODY1
SPC AC 111930

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

VALID 112000Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SABINE RIVER INTO ERN
AR...

...LOWER MS VALLEY...
AN ELONGATED AREA OF RAIN AND STORMS WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR
CONTINUES TO DRIFT EWD ACROSS SRN MO...AR AND ACROSS THE SABINE
RIVER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE MORE VIGOROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED
OVER LA AND ERN TX...WHERE A FEW STORMS WERE EXHIBITING ROTATION AND
POSSIBLE DAMAGING WINDS.

FARTHER N INTO AR AND MO...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS DEWPOINTS SLOWLY
RISING...WITH LOWERS 60S F NOW INTO SRN AR. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD
RAIN WAS RAPIDLY SHIFTING EWD ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...WHICH MAY
TEND TO LIMIT ANY FURTHER DESTABILIZATION. SHEAR REMAINS QUITE
STRONG AREA-WIDE...AND THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF ROTATION TO DEVELOP
WITHIN STRONGER STORMS.

THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING A TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE
OVER SRN AR AND LA...AND FAR ERN TX BEFORE THE LINE CROSSES THE
RIVER. HERE...INSTABILITY IS SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS. FARTHER N
INTO AR AND MO...WHILE FORCING IS STRONG...INSTABILITY HAS BEEN SLOW
TO RETURN. THERE STILL MAY BE AN INCREASE IN ACTIVITY EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE MAIN LINE OF RAIN...WITH A FEW BOWS CAPABLE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE WIND GUSTS...OR PERHAPS MESOCYCLONES AT TIMES AND BRIEF
TORNADOES. BUT...THE THREAT WILL GENERALLY WANE WITH PASSAGE OF THE
EXISTING CONVECTION.

..JEWELL.. 03/11/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1109 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012/

...ERN TX/WRN-NRN LA INTO AR AND SRN MO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LOW OVER THE NRN TX PANHANDLE
MOVING NEWD...AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
THE LOW REACHING NRN IA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL OCCUR
AS A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK LIFTS NEWD FROM THE SRN
PLAINS ACROSS THE LOWER MO VALLEY. IN THE LOWER LEVELS...A MORE
DIFFUSE PATTERN WILL PERSIST AS A WEAK CONFLUENCE ZONE CURRENTLY
EVIDENT OVER ERN TX GRADUALLY SHIFTS EWD TO NEAR THE SABINE RIVER
INTO WRN AR BY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. WSR-88D VWP AND WIND
PROFILER DATA EXHIBIT STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ABOVE THE
SURFACE...RESULTING IN RAPID NWD MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND STRONG LOW
LEVEL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 1-2 KM AGL. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE LOW
LEVEL JET WILL SPREAD NNEWD ACROSS AR TOWARD THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER
LOW...WITH A CONTINUED NNEWD INCREASE IN MOISTURE.

LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER LOW AND A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH LIFTING NEWD ACROSS CENTRAL TX HAS RESULTED IN EXTENSIVE
CLOUDS AND CONVECTION OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL/ERN TX THIS MORNING WITH
CLOUDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM INTO THE OZARKS REGION. THIS IS LIKELY
TO LIMIT DIURNAL HEATING TO AREAS WHERE BREAKS IN CLOUDS MAY
DEVELOP. HOWEVER...CONTINUED NWD TRANSPORT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION WITH CAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CG LIGHTNING HAS INCREASED DURING THE LAST TWO HOURS OVER ERN TX
INDICATING STORM UPDRAFTS ARE BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY IN RESPONSE TO
AFOREMENTIONED DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT. LOW- AND DEEP- LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR HAS BEEN SUFFICIENTLY STRONG FOR ISOLATED ELEVATED
STORMS TO EXHIBIT WEAK ROTATION THIS MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF
SURFACE-BASED STORMS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE BOUNDARY LATER
GRADUALLY WARMS/MOISTENS INTO THIS AFTERNOON...AND AS THIS
OCCURS...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS TO
DEVELOP.

THE PRIMARY RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL OCCUR
WITHIN THE LOW LEVEL CONFLUENT ZONE FROM ERN TX/WRN LA INTO AR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS ONE OR MORE CONVECTIVE BANDS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED. CLOCKWISE TURNING LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS COUPLED WITH LOW
LCL HEIGHTS SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES TO DEVELOP WITH
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...ESPECIALLY WITH STORMS ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION AS THE MID LEVEL DRY INTRUSION TRANSLATES NEWD. STORMS
SHOULD CONTINUE SPREADING NEWD TONIGHT BUT THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT
IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER 03-06Z AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS RAPIDLY
NEWD AWAY FROM THE MORE FAVORABLE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY.

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KPUB [111926]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 111926
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
126 PM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM SNOW 3 SW ROSITA 38.07N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M2.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL BETWEEN 6 AM AND 11 AM.

&&

$$

KT

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KMFR [111850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 111850
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1150 AM PDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN NESIKA BEACH 42.51N 124.41W
03/11/2012 M1.25 INCH CURRY OR PUBLIC

12 HOUR TOTAL

&&

$$

BPN

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KSHV [111811]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 111811
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
111 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM FLOOD LUFKIN 31.33N 94.73W
03/11/2012 ANGELINA TX AMATEUR RADIO

SOME MINOR STREET FLOODING IN THE CITY OF LUFKIN BEING
REPORTED

&&

$$

04

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KSHV [111810]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 111810
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
110 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM FLOOD 2 NNE MOUNT ENTERPRISE 31.94N 94.67W
03/11/2012 RUSK TX EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS SOME FLOODING OF CR 3153 IN
RUSK COUNTY

&&

$$

04

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 111724
SWODY2
SPC AC 111723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1223 PM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NERN IL INTO MUCH OF LOWER
MI...

...SYNOPSIS...
A POTENT UPPER LOW WILL MOVE FROM IA/MN NEWD TOWARD LAKE SUPERIOR BY
00Z WITH A 70+ KT MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX AND SUBSTANTIAL HEIGHT FALLS
SPREADING INTO LOWER MI. AT THE SURFACE...A BROAD LOW PRESSURE
TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM WRN WI INTO NRN IL BY AFTERNOON...PUSHING
INTO LOWER MI THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THIS TROUGH WILL SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT.

TO THE S...A TRAILING FRONT WILL STALL FROM ERN MO INTO AR AND NRN
TX. E OF THIS FRONT OVER THE WARM SECTOR...SLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
HELP BRING MID TO UPPER 50S F DEWPOINTS AS FAR N AS CHICAGO...WITH
LOWER 60S F INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY.

...NERN IL/SERN WI INTO LOWER MI...
WIDESPREAD MORNING RAIN WILL LIKELY EXIST FROM LOWER MI INTO
IND...OH...AND ERN KY/TN ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD LIFT RAPIDLY NEWD AS THE DRY SLOT SPREADS OVER
MUCH OF IL AND IND BY MIDDAY. WITH COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND
DAYTIME HEATING...LAPSE RATE PROFILES WILL BE RELATIVELY STEEP...AND
LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION SHOULD EXIST BY AFTERNOON.

THERE ARE MODEL DIFFERENCES THAT LEND A DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY TO
THIS SEVERE SCENARIO. FOR EXAMPLE...THE GFS MODEL SUGGESTS MUCH LESS
INSTABILITY...AND FASTER VEERING OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW...RESULTING
IN VERY LITTLE SEVERE THREAT OVER IL...AND PERHAPS ONLY ISOLATED
INTO LOWER MI. HOWEVER...THE NAM/NAMKF SOLUTIONS INDICATE A
SUBSTANTIAL THREAT OF SUPERCELLS...INCLUDING LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES.

GIVEN STRONG FORCING WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM...AT LEAST ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY...ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE
DEVELOPING SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT. TIMING OF SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BEGIN
NEAR 21Z SRN WI/NRN IL...AND WOULD CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT 03Z INTO
LOWER MI.

...KY AND TN INTO NRN MS AND AL...
MORNING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING
EARLY MON ACROSS TN/MS/AL. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT BE SEVERE. LATER
IN THE DAY...COVERAGE OF ANY NEW DEVELOPMENT IS UNCERTAIN AHEAD OF
THE STALLING FRONT. WHILE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE AND
HEATING WILL OCCUR...RATHER DRY MIDLEVEL AIR WILL EXIST...WITH SOME
CAP NEAR THE 700 MB LAYER...ALTHOUGH WEAK. THE VERY WEAK CONVERGENCE
COUPLED WITH DRY AIR ALOFT MAY HAMPER DEVELOPMENT...BUT AT LEAST A
FEW STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND MAINTAIN THEMSELVES FOR A
WHILE DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS. THERE WILL BE A HIGH
CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY OF HAIL FROM WRN KY/TN INTO MS AND AL.

..JEWELL.. 03/11/2012

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KPUB [111713]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 111713
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1113 AM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0931 AM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M3.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 7 AM THIS MORNING.

0848 AM SNOW 1 WSW BONCARBO 37.21N 104.72W
03/11/2012 M2.5 INCH LAS ANIMAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0845 AM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M1.5 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 71

WWUS20 KWNS 111700
SEL1
SPC WW 111700
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-120000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 71
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA
EAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1155 AM UNTIL 700
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 25 MILES SOUTH OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING IN INTENSITY OVER SERN
TX AS THE SRN END OF A SHORT WAVE TROUGH ROTATES NEWD ACROSS CENTRAL
TX. STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE TRANSPORTING MOISTURE NWD
TOWARD THE ARKLATEX REGION...WITH SUBSEQUENT DESTABILIZATION
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LATEST KHGX VWP INDICATES STRONG
LOW- AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A CLOCKWISE TURNING
HODOGRAPH FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND A THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES
TO DEVELOP. ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP NEWD WITH ADDITIONAL RISK FOR
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITHIN SMALL-SCALE BOWING LINE SEGMENTS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.

...WEISS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0241

ACUS11 KWNS 111632
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111631
LAZ000-TXZ000-111800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0241
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1131 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TX INTO NWRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 111631Z - 111800Z

RECENT TRENDS HAVE BEEN FOR STORMS MOVING INTO SERN TX TO INCREASE
IN INTENSITY. THIS ACTIVITY COULD BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF TORNADOES. CONVECTIVE
TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

TREND HAS BEEN FOR STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE
BAND FROM WEST OF THE HOUSTON METRO AREA NWD TO NEAR HUNTSVILLE TO
INTENSIFY AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AS LINES. THE RECENT
INTENSIFICATION APPEARS TO BE OCCURRING AS THE CONVERGENCE BAND
BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH THE THETA-E AXIS WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER
60S AND TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 70S SUPPORTING 500-800 J/KG MLCAPE
OVER SERN TX. THE ATMOSPHERE SHOULD DESTABILIZE SLOWLY NWD WITH
TIME. VWP DATA INDICATE 0-1 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY ON THE ORDER
OF 150-200 M2/S2 AND 0-6 KM SHEAR FROM 35-45 KT. TENDENCY WILL BE
FOR LOW LEVEL FLOW TO GRADUALLY DECREASE ACROSS SERN TX AS THE LLJ
SHIFTS NWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. HOWEVER...VERTICAL WIND
PROFILES WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR EMBEDDED ORGANIZED STORM
STRUCTURES INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS NEXT FEW HOURS.

..DIAL.. 03/11/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON 29389509 29999533 32509432 32809338 31799333 29899396
29389509

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111611
SWODY1
SPC AC 111609

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

VALID 111630Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN TX/WRN-NRN LA INTO AR
AND SRN MO...

...ERN TX/WRN-NRN LA INTO AR AND SRN MO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LOW OVER THE NRN TX PANHANDLE
MOVING NEWD...AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
THE LOW REACHING NRN IA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL OCCUR
AS A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK LIFTS NEWD FROM THE SRN
PLAINS ACROSS THE LOWER MO VALLEY. IN THE LOWER LEVELS...A MORE
DIFFUSE PATTERN WILL PERSIST AS A WEAK CONFLUENCE ZONE CURRENTLY
EVIDENT OVER ERN TX GRADUALLY SHIFTS EWD TO NEAR THE SABINE RIVER
INTO WRN AR BY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING. WSR-88D VWP AND WIND
PROFILER DATA EXHIBIT STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ABOVE THE
SURFACE...RESULTING IN RAPID NWD MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND STRONG LOW
LEVEL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 1-2 KM AGL. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THE LOW
LEVEL JET WILL SPREAD NNEWD ACROSS AR TOWARD THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER
LOW...WITH A CONTINUED NNEWD INCREASE IN MOISTURE.

LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER LOW AND A SHORT WAVE
TROUGH LIFTING NEWD ACROSS CENTRAL TX HAS RESULTED IN EXTENSIVE
CLOUDS AND CONVECTION OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL/ERN TX THIS MORNING WITH
CLOUDS EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM INTO THE OZARKS REGION. THIS IS LIKELY
TO LIMIT DIURNAL HEATING TO AREAS WHERE BREAKS IN CLOUDS MAY
DEVELOP. HOWEVER...CONTINUED NWD TRANSPORT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION WITH CAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CG LIGHTNING HAS INCREASED DURING THE LAST TWO HOURS OVER ERN TX
INDICATING STORM UPDRAFTS ARE BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY IN RESPONSE TO
AFOREMENTIONED DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT. LOW- AND DEEP- LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR HAS BEEN SUFFICIENTLY STRONG FOR ISOLATED ELEVATED
STORMS TO EXHIBIT WEAK ROTATION THIS MORNING. THE PROBABILITY OF
SURFACE-BASED STORMS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE BOUNDARY LATER
GRADUALLY WARMS/MOISTENS INTO THIS AFTERNOON...AND AS THIS
OCCURS...THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS TO
DEVELOP.

THE PRIMARY RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL OCCUR
WITHIN THE LOW LEVEL CONFLUENT ZONE FROM ERN TX/WRN LA INTO AR THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS ONE OR MORE CONVECTIVE BANDS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED. CLOCKWISE TURNING LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS COUPLED WITH LOW
LCL HEIGHTS SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW TORNADOES TO DEVELOP WITH
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...ESPECIALLY WITH STORMS ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF THE DEEP
CONVECTION AS THE MID LEVEL DRY INTRUSION TRANSLATES NEWD. STORMS
SHOULD CONTINUE SPREADING NEWD TONIGHT BUT THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT
IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER 03-06Z AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS RAPIDLY
NEWD AWAY FROM THE MORE FAVORABLE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY.

..WEISS/ROGERS.. 03/11/2012

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KPUB [111531]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 111531
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
931 AM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0931 AM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M3.0 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE 7 AM THIS MORNING.

&&

$$

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KPUB [111448]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 111448
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
848 AM MDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 AM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
03/11/2012 M1.5 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0848 AM SNOW 1 WSW BONCARBO 37.21N 104.72W
03/11/2012 M2.5 INCH LAS ANIMAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MN

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0240

ACUS11 KWNS 111256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111256
LAZ000-TXZ000-111530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0240
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL TX TO FAR WESTERN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 111256Z - 111530Z

AN ISOLATED TORNADO/DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL MAY DEVELOP/GRADUALLY
INCREASE THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST INTO EAST-CENTRAL
TX/EVENTUALLY FAR WESTERN LA. INITIAL THINKING IS THAT A WATCH COULD
BE NEEDED AS EARLY AS MID/LATE MORNING ACROSS THE REGION.

PER LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS...A MODIFIED GULF AIRMASS WITH
MIDDLE/UPPER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SPREAD
NORTHWARD ALONG THE UPPER TX COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH ELEVATED
TSTMS ONGOING EARLY DAY ACROSS THE TX HILL COUNTRY...THE GRAZING
SOUTHERN INFLUENCE OF A CLOSED CYCLONE CENTERED/MOVING NORTHEASTWARD
OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY INTERACT WITH THIS
INCREASINGLY MOIST/POTENTIALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
INTO EAST-CENTRAL TX/FAR WESTERN LA TODAY. AS SUCH...SURFACE BASED
TSTMS ARE LIKELY TO BECOME MORE PREVALENT WITHIN THE WARM/MOIST
SECTOR AHEAD OF A SLOW MOVING SURFACE TROUGH/WEAK FRONT...WITH
INCIPIENT SIGNS OF WEAK SUPERCELL STRUCTURES/INCREASING CG LIGHTNING
ALREADY NOTED NORTH OF HOUSTON VICINITY. ACCORDINGLY...THE LATEST
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE...INCLUDING CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS SUCH AS
THE 00Z WRF-NMM AND SPC EXPERIMENTAL SSEO...IMPLY THAT STORMS SHOULD
GRADUALLY DEVELOP/MATURE INTO LATE MORNING/MIDDAY WITHIN A
PERSISTENT SSW-NNE CORRIDOR OF INCREASING MOIST/CONFLUENT LOW-LEVEL
FLOW. GIVEN THIS ANTICIPATED EVOLUTION/THERMODYNAMIC TRENDS...SHEAR
PROFILES COINCIDENT WITH THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A MODERATELY STRONG
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED/EMBEDDED
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES ALONG WITH DAMAGING
WINDS/SOME HAIL.

..GUYER.. 03/11/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON 28849549 29729606 30889583 31629494 31499363 30699348
29689415 28849549

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111250
SWODY1
SPC AC 111248

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

VALID 111300Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN AND SE TX NNE INTO THE
OZARKS AND LWR MS VLY...

...SYNOPSIS...
TX PANHANDLE UPR LOW SHOULD ACCELERATE NEWD THIS PERIOD AS CYCLONIC
NRN STREAM JET PERSISTS FROM THE NE PACIFIC ACROSS WA/ORE AND THE
NRN RCKYS INTO SK/MB. THE TX LOW SHOULD REACH CNTRL KS THIS EVE AND
NW IA EARLY MON...AS ASSOCIATED VORT LOBE NOW OVER W TX ASSUMES A
NEGATIVE TILT AND PIVOTS NE INTO WRN MO/NW AR THIS EVE...AND INTO
ERN IA/NRN IL BY 12Z MON.

AT LWR LVLS...A BROAD ZONE OF LOW LVL S TO SWLY FLOW WILL PERSIST
OVER THE PLNS AND MS VLY. WHILE FRONTAL FEATURES WILL REMAIN WEAK
OR NON-EXISTENT...A CONFLUENCE ZONE SEPARATING MODIFIED GULF AIR
FROM AIR ORIGINATING OVER NRN MEXICO AND SW TX WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED FROM SABINE RVR VLY NNE INTO THE WRN OZARKS TODAY. THIS
FEATURE LIKELY WILL SERVE AS THE MAIN FOCUS OF STRONG TO POTENTIALLY
SVR TSTMS THIS PERIOD.

...SE TX/LA NEWD INTO OZARKS TODAY/TNGT...
SHOWERS AND TSTMS SHOULD SLOWLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND STRENGTH
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING FROM E CNTRL TX AND THE MIDDLE
TX GULF CSTL PLN NEWD INTO THE ARKLATEX AS UPR DIVERGENCE/ASCENT
INCREASE AHEAD OF SRN PART OF AFOREMENTIONED VORT LOBE. OTHER
STORMS...LIKELY MORE ELEVATED...SHOULD SIMULTANEOUSLY INCREASE FROM
N TX AND ERN OK INTO SE KS...NW AR...AND SW MO.

CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION AND MODEST MID LVL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT
DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION ACROSS SLGT RISK AREA TODAY.
NEVERTHELESS...COMBINATION OF INCREASING LOW LVL MOISTURE AND
FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF SFC OR NEAR
SFC-BASED STORMS ALONG SSW-NNE CONFLUENCE ZONE FROM SE TX INTO THE
ARKLATEX LATER THIS MORNING. COUPLED WITH STRONG WIND FIELD AND
HODOGRAPHS THAT WILL EXHIBIT SUBSTANTIAL LOW TO MID LEVEL VEERING
/I.E...40-50 KT SSWLY 850 MB FLOW BENEATH 50-60 KT SW WINDS AT 500
MB/...EXPECT SCTD SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF BOTH
TORNADOES AND DMGG WIND.

WIND PROFILES AND THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT SUGGEST THAT THE STORMS
MAY ORGANIZE INTO ONE OR TWO BROKEN BANDS ORIENTED ROUGHLY PARALLEL
TO THE CONFLUENCE AXIS. THESE BANDS SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP NNE INTO
CNTRL AR AND NW LA BY EVE. WHILE THE GREATEST SVR RISK SHOULD EXIST
BETWEEN MID AFTN AND EARLY TNGT FROM E TX INTO PARTS OF AR AND
LA...A LIMITED SVR RISK MAY CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MON NEWD INTO
PARTS OF MO...SRN IL...WRN KY...AND WRN TN AS LOW LVL SPEED MAX
STRENGTHENS AND MOVES NEWD WITH STRONGEST FORCING FOR ASCENT.

..CORFIDI/SMITH.. 03/11/2012

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KEWX [111203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 111203
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
703 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM HAIL 1 NW PLEASANTON 28.97N 98.50W
03/11/2012 E0.50 INCH ATASCOSA TX TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL .25 TO .5 INCHES...LARGE AMOUNTS OF HAIL COVERING
GROUND

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200106

$$

CP

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KGRR [111133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KGRR 111133
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
733 AM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0436 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE COMSTOCK PARK 43.06N 85.65W
03/10/2012 M41.00 MPH KENT MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WH

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KGRR [111130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGRR 111130
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
729 AM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WNW SCOTTVILLE 43.96N 86.30W
03/10/2012 M39.00 MPH MASON MI MESONET

1020 AM NON-TSTM WND GST NE BIG SABLE POINT 44.06N 86.51W
03/10/2012 M42.00 MPH MASON MI MESONET

1121 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE HART 43.65N 86.33W
03/10/2012 M37.00 MPH OCEANA MI MESONET

1132 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW WEARE 43.77N 86.38W
03/10/2012 M42.00 MPH OCEANA MI MESONET

1136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LUDINGTON 43.96N 86.45W
03/10/2012 M38.00 MPH MASON MI MESONET

1142 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MUSKEGON ARPT 43.17N 86.24W
03/10/2012 M37.00 MPH MUSKEGON MI ASOS

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WNW SCOTTVILLE 43.96N 86.30W
03/10/2012 M43.00 MPH MASON MI MESONET

1210 PM NON-TSTM WND GST NE BIG SABLE POINT 44.06N 86.51W
03/10/2012 M43.00 MPH MASON MI MESONET

1218 PM NON-TSTM WND GST LUDINGTON 43.96N 86.45W
03/10/2012 M40.00 MPH MASON MI MESONET

1234 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW FREMONT 43.44N 85.99W
03/10/2012 M35.00 MPH NEWAYGO MI AWOS

1241 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE HART 43.65N 86.33W
03/10/2012 M39.00 MPH OCEANA MI MESONET

0131 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE HART 43.65N 86.33W
03/10/2012 M44.00 MPH OCEANA MI AMATEUR RADIO

0140 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BIG SABLE POINT 44.06N 86.51W
03/10/2012 M45.00 MPH MASON MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0148 PM NON-TSTM WND GST LUDINGTON 43.96N 86.45W
03/10/2012 M44.00 MPH MASON MI MESONET

0205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW WEARE 43.77N 86.38W
03/10/2012 M47.00 MPH OCEANA MI AMATEUR RADIO

0209 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE MUSKEGON 43.17N 86.22W
03/10/2012 M43.00 MPH MUSKEGON MI ASOS

0214 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW FREMONT 43.44N 85.99W
03/10/2012 M39.00 MPH NEWAYGO MI AWOS

0225 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE MOUNT PLEASANT 43.59N 84.76W
03/10/2012 M36.00 MPH ISABELLA MI MESONET

0300 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W SOUTH HAVEN 42.40N 86.29W
03/10/2012 M36.00 MPH LMZ844 MI C-MAN STATION

0347 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NW LANSING 42.78N 84.59W
03/10/2012 M36.00 MPH CLINTON MI ASOS

0351 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE CEDAR SPRINGS 43.19N 85.51W
03/10/2012 M38.00 MPH KENT MI MESONET

0351 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S HOLLAND 42.74N 86.10W
03/10/2012 M45.00 MPH ALLEGAN MI ASOS

0353 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SE HERSEY 43.83N 85.42W
03/10/2012 M38.00 MPH OSCEOLA MI MESONET

0354 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNW BIG RAPIDS 43.72N 85.50W
03/10/2012 M37.00 MPH MECOSTA MI AWOS

0358 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S MUSKEGON 43.17N 86.24W
03/10/2012 M45.00 MPH MUSKEGON MI ASOS

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW JENISON 42.90N 85.86W
03/10/2012 M39.00 MPH OTTAWA MI MESONET

0421 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE HART 43.65N 86.33W
03/10/2012 M46.00 MPH OCEANA MI MESONET

0436 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE COMSTOCK PARK 43.06N 85.65W
03/10/2012 M41.00 MPH KENT MI TRAINED SPOTTER

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE LANSING 42.76N 84.53W
03/10/2012 M35.00 MPH INGHAM MI MESONET

0547 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SE LEOTA 44.07N 84.79W
03/10/2012 M38.00 MPH CLARE MI MESONET

&&

$$

WH

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KGRR [111129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 111129
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
728 AM EDT SUN MAR 11 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0214 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW FREMONT 43.44N 85.99W
03/10/2012 M39.00 MPH NEWAYGO MI AWOS

0225 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE MOUNT PLEASANT 43.59N 84.76W
03/10/2012 M36.00 MPH ISABELLA MI MESONET

0300 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W SOUTH HAVEN 42.40N 86.29W
03/10/2012 M36.00 MPH LMZ844 MI C-MAN STATION

0347 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NW LANSING 42.78N 84.59W
03/10/2012 M36.00 MPH CLINTON MI ASOS

0351 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE CEDAR SPRINGS 43.19N 85.51W
03/10/2012 M38.00 MPH KENT MI MESONET

0351 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S HOLLAND 42.74N 86.10W
03/10/2012 M45.00 MPH ALLEGAN MI ASOS

0353 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SE HERSEY 43.83N 85.42W
03/10/2012 M38.00 MPH OSCEOLA MI MESONET

0354 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNW BIG RAPIDS 43.72N 85.50W
03/10/2012 M37.00 MPH MECOSTA MI AWOS

0358 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S MUSKEGON 43.17N 86.24W
03/10/2012 M45.00 MPH MUSKEGON MI ASOS

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW JENISON 42.90N 85.86W
03/10/2012 M39.00 MPH OTTAWA MI MESONET

0421 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE HART 43.65N 86.33W
03/10/2012 M46.00 MPH OCEANA MI MESONET

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE LANSING 42.76N 84.53W
03/10/2012 M35.00 MPH INGHAM MI MESONET

0547 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SE LEOTA 44.07N 84.79W
03/10/2012 M38.00 MPH CLARE MI MESONET

&&

$$

WH

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 110824
SWOD48
SPC AC 110823

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0323 AM CDT SUN MAR 11 2012

VALID 141200Z - 191200Z

...DISCUSSION...

CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF THE WRN
U.S. TROUGH BY LATE WEEK. THE ECMWF IS CONSIDERABLY DEEPER AND
FARTHER SOUTH WITH ITS JET CORE INTO NRN BAJA WHILE THE GFS ALLOWS
MORE SHORT-WAVE ENERGY TO EJECT INTO THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS A FEW DAYS
PRECEDING. PRIOR TO THIS DEEPENING ALONG THE WEST COAST THERE WILL
LIKELY BE EPISODIC EMBEDDED IMPULSES/SHORT-WAVE TROUGHS EJECTING
NEWD ACROSS THE SWRN U.S./NRN MEXICO INTO THE PLAINS/MS VALLEY
REGION. IN THE ABSENCE OF MODEL CONTINUITY...CONFIDENCE IN ANY
SCENARIO WILL REMAIN LOW. THUS IT WILL PROVE DIFFICULT TO PREDICT
ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION CAPABLE OF GENERATING SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
DESPITE THE EXPECTED GRADUAL MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION THAT SHOULD
OCCUR EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE MEDIUM RANGE.

..DARROW.. 03/11/2012

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 110730
SWODY3
SPC AC 110729

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0129 AM CST SUN MAR 11 2012

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

...SYNOPSIS...

BROAD SWLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS FROM THE MS
VALLEY WWD BY DAY3. ASIDE FROM THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS...MID-HIGH LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY
WEAK-MODEST WITH NONDESCRIPT EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES EXPECTED TO
TRANSLATE ACROSS NRN MEXICO INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY. THIS
FLOW REGIME WILL UNDOUBTEDLY RESULT IN A GRADUAL WARMING/MOISTENING
BOUNDARY LAYER FROM TX...NEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY REGION.
ADDITIONALLY...LEE TROUGHING WILL ENSURE A MODULATING LLJ ANCHORED
ACROSS THE PLAINS. GIVEN THE EXPECTED WEAK FORCING IT/S NOT
ENTIRELY CLEAR IF/WHEN THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIATE ACROSS THE SLOWLY
DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR. FOR THIS REASON WILL NOT INTRODUCE
SEVERE PROBS...HOWEVER IF THE MODELS UNDERESTIMATE ANY SHORT-WAVE
TROUGHS THEN LOCALIZED STRONG/POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP
WITHIN THE RECOVERY ZONE.

..DARROW.. 03/11/2012

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 110620
SWODY2
SPC AC 110619

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1219 AM CST SUN MAR 11 2012

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CORRECTED FOR THUNDER GRAPHIC

...GREAT LAKES...

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS QUITE CONSISTENT REGARDING THE INTENSE
MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS THAT WILL OVERSPREAD THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY
REGION INTO THE GREAT LAKES WHERE 12HR VALUES WILL APPROACH 150-180M
EARLY IN THE PERIOD. THE RESPONSIBLE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL EXTEND
FROM THE U.P. OF MI...SWD INTO EXTREME NRN IND BY 13/00Z WITH A
FOCUSED SPEED MAX ORIENTED SW-NE ACROSS LOWER MI. NAM IS THE MOST
AGGRESSIVE MODEL REGARDING DESTABILIZATION NORTH OF THE
JET...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE EXPECTED SFC HEATING AHEAD OF WIND SHIFT
THAT WILL BE JUXTAPOSED BENEATH THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS. IF BOUNDARY
LAYER CAN HEAT AS SUGGESTED BY THE NAM WITH READINGS INTO THE
LOW-MID 60S THEN STEEP LAPSE RATES COULD SUPPORT A FEW ROBUST
UPDRAFTS WITHIN AN OTHERWISE STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THE LOW
PROBABILITY FOR SEVERE TSTMS IS PREDICATED ON STRONG SFC HEATING
PROVIDING ENOUGH BUOYANCY FOR SFC-BASED ACTIVITY PRIMARILY BETWEEN
THE HOURS OF 20-00Z.

...KY SWWD INTO NRN MS/AL...

IN THE WAKE OF EARLY MORNING WARM CONVEYOR PRECIPITATION LARGE SCALE
FORCING WILL BECOME WEAK TO POSSIBLY SUBSIDENT ACROSS THE LOWER OH
VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL GULF STATES. WITH LLJ EXPECTED TO LIFT WELL
NORTH OF THIS REGION AND MID LEVEL HEIGHT RISES ANTICIPATED TO
OVERSPREAD MIDDLE TN BY LATE AFTERNOON DEEP CONVECTION MAY STRUGGLE
TO DEVELOP. SHORT RANGE MODELS ARE IN DISAGREEMENT REGARDING THE
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. FORECAST LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
BE THAT STEEP BUT A CORRIDOR OF HIGHER BUOYANCY WILL EXIST ACROSS
THIS REGION WHERE SHEAR PROFILES WOULD OTHERWISE PROVE CAPABLE OF
SUPPORTING AT LEAST STRONG MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS. GIVEN THE LACK OF
SUPPORT AND NO CONVINCING REASON FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS WILL
MAINTAIN ONLY A 5% PROBABILITY FOR DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL IF STORMS
MANAGE TO DEVELOP DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY.

..DARROW.. 03/11/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 110600
SWODY1
SPC AC 110559

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 PM CST SAT MAR 10 2012

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE OZARKS REGION SWD INTO
THE SABINE RIVER VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW INITIALLY SHIFTING ACROSS THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AREA IS
PROGGED TO CONTINUE NEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS...REACHING THE IA/SRN MN
VICINITY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. MEANWHILE...A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
IS PROGGED TO CROSS THE PAC NW AND MOVE INTO THE CANADIAN ROCKIES
THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS
THE NWRN CONUS...WHILE A LEE TROUGH LINGERS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS AND
WEAK WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD ACROSS THE S CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY.
ELSEWHERE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE ERN THIRD OF THE
CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...MO/AR/E TX/LA...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE PROGGED TO BE
ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...FROM PARTS OF ERN KS/OK/ERN TX
EWD INTO THE OZARKS REGION WITHIN BROAD ZONE OF LOW-LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION.

WITH CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WIDESPREAD...WEAK LAPSE RATES AND VERY
LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR APPRECIABLE HEATING SHOULD HINDER OVERALL
DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. INCREASING
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING VORT LOBE SE OF THE
MAIN LOW DURING THE AFTERNOON SHOULD MAINTAIN AN ENVIRONMENT
SUPPORTIVE OF MAINTAINING THE CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION THROUGH PEAK
HEATING HOURS.

HAVING SAID THAT...INCREASING/VEERING FLOW WITH HEIGHT THROUGH THE
LOWER HALF OF THE TROPOSPHERE WILL RESULT IN DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS...AS WELL AS LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADO POTENTIAL. OVERALL...THIS POTENTIAL SHOULD
REMAIN MODULATED BY THE WEAK LAPSE RATES/VERY LIMITED
INSTABILITY...BUT A FEW STRONGER CELLS MAY EVOLVE DURING THE
AFTERNOON -- IN WHICH CASE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WOULD BE REALIZED. WHILE A CONDITIONAL
SCENARIO...THREAT WARRANTS CONTINUATION OF SLIGHT RISK AREA. THREAT
SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...THOUGH SOME DECREASE IN THE
ALREADY-LIMITED INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THREAT SHOULD WANE SOME
OVERNIGHT.

..GOSS.. 03/11/2012

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