KMFL [271807]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 271807
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
207 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NE DOWNTOWN MIAMI 25.82N 80.16W
05/27/2009 AMZ630 FL TRAINED SPOTTER

U.S. AIRFORCE MET REPORTED ESTIMATED 40-45 MPH WIND GUSTS
WITH SMALL BRANCHES BROKEN FROM TREES

&&

$$

RAGARCIA

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KMFL [271751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 271751
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
151 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0118 PM TSTM WND GST COCONUT GROVE 25.73N 80.24W
05/27/2009 E60 MPH MIAMI-DADE FL PUBLIC

&&

$$

GREGORIA

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KHGX [271740]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 271740
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1240 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 65 SE MATAGORDA 27.92N 95.35W
05/27/2009 M60 MPH GMZ370 XX BUOY

37G52KT AT BUOY 42019. STRONGEST PART OF STORM PASSED
ABOUT 10 MILES EAST OF THE BUOY.

&&

$$

47

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 271731
SWODY2
SPC AC 271728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THU AFTN/EVE ACROSS PARTS OF
ALABAMA AND GEORGIA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THU ACROSS PARTS OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT AN AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
PACIFIC WILL GRADUALLY SPLIT. WITHIN THE SOUTHERN PORTION...A
CLOSED LOW IS PROGGED TO FORM...BUT REMAIN WELL WEST OF THE PACIFIC
COAST THROUGH THIS PERIOD...THOUGH A BROAD DOWNSTREAM CIRCULATION
WITHIN THE WEAK SUBTROPICAL STREAM MAY APPROACH NORTHERN
BAJA/SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. AT THE SAME TIME...A CLOSED
LOW/ASSOCIATED SHORT WAVE TROUGH...COMPRISING THE NORTHERN
PORTION...APPEAR LIKELY TO LIFT TOWARD THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST.
THIS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO DOWNSTREAM AMPLIFICATION WITHIN THE MAIN BELT
OF POLAR WESTERLIES NEAR THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER. AS AN EMBEDDED
SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGS TO THE SOUTH OF A VORTEX NEAR HUDSON BAY...A
REMNANT LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONE IS PROGGED TO MIGRATE EAST
NORTHEAST OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE
VALLEY. IN ITS WAKE...WEAK UPPER TROUGHING WILL LINGER OVER MUCH OF
THE EASTERN U.S...DOWNSTREAM OF BROAD UPPER RIDGING ENCOMPASSING
MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND ROCKIES.

ASSOCIATED WITH THIS EVOLVING PATTERN...WEAK INHIBITION IS EXPECTED
TO ALLOW CONSIDERABLE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THURSDAY ACROSS THE GULF
STATES THROUGH MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S...AS A LINGERING MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES WITH DAYTIME HEATING. AND...GIVEN THE
WARM ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE WEST...ENOUGH
MOISTURE LIKELY WILL BE PRESENT TO ALSO SUPPORT AT LEAST SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SEASONABLE INSTABILITY WILL AGAIN CONTRIBUTE
TO SEVERE POTENTIAL IN MOST AREAS WITH A RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
BUT...WITH A COUPLE POSSIBLE EXCEPTIONS...THIS THREAT APPEARS
MARGINAL...OR LIKELY TO REMAIN HIGHLY LOCALIZED WITH LOW
PREDICTABILITY THIS FAR IN ADVANCE.

...AL/GA...PERHAPS PARTS OF WRN FL PANHANDLE...
NCEP SREF INDICATES MODERATE TO STRONG DESTABILIZATION IS POSSIBLE
IN A PRE-FRONTAL CORRIDOR ACROSS ALABAMA BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
STRONG HEATING OF A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE
DEW POINTS NEAR 70F...BENEATH RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTRIBUTE TO CAPE OF 2000-3000 J/KG.
POTENTIAL INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH SIZABLE LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC
DEW POINTS SPREADS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING SURFACE WIND GUSTS.
THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THIS COULD BE ENHANCED BY SHEAR/FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH A 30+ KT MID-LEVEL SPEED MAXIMUM...SUPPORTIVE OF AT
LEAST SHORT-LIVED MID-LEVEL UPDRAFT ROTATION. PRIMARY ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION REGIME EAST OF
THE PRE-FRONTAL THERMAL RIDGE AXIS...ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN ALABAMA
...BEFORE SPREADING INTO GEORGIA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING
HOURS.

...DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO LINGER IN THE
CONTINUING PRESENCE OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE LOWER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY...WHERE MID-LEVEL INHIBITION APPEARS LIKELY TO
REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK AS WELL. THERE ARE INDICATIONS IN MODEL
GUIDANCE THAT FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A WAVE WITHIN THE SUBTROPICAL
STREAM COULD CONTRIBUTE TO STORM DEVELOPMENT OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF MEXICO BY MIDDAY THURSDAY...BEFORE SPREADING ACROSS SOUTHERN
TEXAS COASTAL AREAS BY EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. LOW-LEVEL FLOW
FIELDS ARE PROGGED TO BE WEAK...BUT AN EASTERLY COMPONENT BENEATH
MODEST WESTERLY MID/UPPER FLOW MAY PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS.

..KERR.. 05/27/2009

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KEWX [271732]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 271732
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1232 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM HAIL 9 SE LOCKHART 29.80N 97.55W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH CALDWELL TX PUBLIC

NICKEL HAIL NEAR TILMON...REPORTED BY A FEED STORE IN
LOCKHART

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00613

$$

RH

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KMFL [271721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 271721
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
121 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0116 PM TSTM WND GST ALLAPATTAH 25.81N 80.23W
05/27/2009 M51 MPH MIAMI-DADE FL MESONET

&&

$$

GREGORIA

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KMFL [271717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 271717
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
117 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1232 PM TSTM WND GST CUTLER BAY 25.58N 80.35W
05/27/2009 M53.00 MPH MIAMI-DADE FL MESONET

1247 PM TSTM WND GST PALMETTO BAY 25.62N 80.32W
05/27/2009 M60.00 MPH MIAMI-DADE FL MESONET

WEATHERBUG SITE AT CORAL REEF SENIOR HS RECORDED A 60 MPH
WIND GUST AT 1240 PM AND 1247 PM EDT.

&&

$$

GREGORIA

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KOUN [271710]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KOUN 271710
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1210 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM HAIL 8 WSW TRUSCOTT 33.71N 99.93W
05/26/2009 E1.50 INCH KNOX TX TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH WERE ALSO REPORTED.

0913 PM HAIL 5 W VERA 33.63N 99.66W
05/26/2009 E1.00 INCH KNOX TX TRAINED SPOTTER

THE HAIL WAS REPORTED NORTH OF HIGHWAY 82.

0930 PM HAIL 1 N RHINELAND 33.54N 99.65W
05/26/2009 E1.25 INCH KNOX TX TRAINED SPOTTER

THE HAIL WAS REPORTED ON RANCH ROAD 267.

0935 PM HAIL RHINELAND 33.53N 99.65W
05/26/2009 E0.75 INCH KNOX TX CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

CRILEY/TY

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KMFL [271706]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 271706
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
106 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0102 PM TSTM WND GST SOUTH MIAMI 25.71N 80.30W
05/27/2009 E60.00 MPH MIAMI-DADE FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC ESTIMATED WINDS AT 60 MPH.

0102 PM HAIL SOUTH MIAMI 25.71N 80.30W
05/27/2009 E0.75 INCH MIAMI-DADE FL PUBLIC

PENNY HAIL REPORTED WITH HAIL FALLING FOR 10 MINUTES.

&&

$$

GREGORIA

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KEWX [271634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KEWX 271634
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1134 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0811 PM HAIL PANDALE 30.18N 101.55W
05/26/2009 E0.25 INCH VAL VERDE TX CO-OP OBSERVER

OBSERVER RELAYED A REPORT OF PEA SIZE HAIL IN PANDALE.

0812 PM HAIL 6 S PANDALE 30.10N 101.55W
05/26/2009 E0.50 INCH VAL VERDE TX CO-OP OBSERVER

OBSERVER RELAYED MARBLE SIZE HAIL SOUTH OF PANDALE.

0911 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 S ST. HEDWIG 29.35N 98.21W
05/27/2009 M4.10 INCH WILSON TX COCORAHS

SINCE 7 AM

0930 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 SW LA VERNIA 29.33N 98.14W
05/27/2009 WILSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM3432 IN WESTERN WILSON COUNTY CLOSED FOR FLASH
FLOODING

0936 AM FLASH FLOOD SUTHERLAND SPRINGS 29.27N 98.07W
05/27/2009 WILSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM 539 IN WESTERN WILSON COUNTY CLOSED BY FLASH
FLOODING

1030 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 E CALAVERAS LAKE 29.28N 98.25W
05/27/2009 M3.34 INCH WILSON TX CO-OP OBSERVER

2 HR RAINFALL FROM 8 AM TO 10 AM

1100 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S RUNGE 28.84N 97.71W
05/27/2009 M2.36 INCH KARNES TX CO-OP OBSERVER

40 MIN RAINFALL

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00606 00607 00608 00610 00609 00611 00612

$$

JPB

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KEWX [271634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 271634
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1134 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 S RUNGE 28.84N 97.71W
05/27/2009 M2.36 INCH KARNES TX CO-OP OBSERVER

40 MIN RAINFALL

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00612

$$

JPB

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KGSP [271626]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 271626
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1226 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1040 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 NW PIEDMONT 34.73N 82.49W
05/27/2009 ANDERSON SC PUBLIC

LITTLE BRUSHY CREEK OVERFLOW BANKS INTO PASTURE WITH
LIVESTOCK. ELROD ROAD FLOODED WITH STANDING WATER.

&&

$$

PTANNER

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KGSP [271623]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 271623
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1223 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1036 AM FLASH FLOOD BEREA 34.88N 82.47W
05/27/2009 GREENVILLE SC TRAINED SPOTTER

FLOODING ON WHITE HORSE ROAD REPORTED BY SPOTTER.

&&

$$

PTANNER

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KCRP [271612]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KCRP 271612
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1111 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0904 AM HEAVY RAIN PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
05/27/2009 E2.00 INCH CALHOUN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN 30
MINUTES

0918 AM FLASH FLOOD PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
05/27/2009 CALHOUN TX COUNTY OFFICIAL

STALLED VEHICLE ON GEORGE/SEA DRIFT. WATER UP TO DOOR.

0918 AM HAIL 8 E POINT COMFORT 28.66N 96.43W
05/27/2009 E0.25 INCH CALHOUN TX COUNTY OFFICIAL

REPORTED IN PORT ALTO

1000 AM HEAVY RAIN PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
05/27/2009 M4.50 INCH CALHOUN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING.

1100 AM HAIL GOLIAD 28.67N 97.39W
05/27/2009 M1.75 INCH GOLIAD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

ATARDY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271556
SWODY1
SPC AC 271552

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1052 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

VALID 271630Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTH TX INTO THE LOWER
AND MIDDLE MS VALLEYS...

MORNING U/A ANALYSIS SHOWS BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER/MID MS VALLEY...WITH 500MB WIND SPEEDS
GENERALLY AOB 30 KNOTS. A SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTHWARD
THROUGH OK AND INTO CENTRAL TX...LEAVING AN ARC OF MOIST/UNSTABLE
AIR FROM SOUTH TX INTO LA...THEN NORTHWARD INTO IL/IND. THESE
REGIONS WILL BE THE THREAT AREA FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORMS TODAY.

...SOUTH TX...
INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING ALONG A SAGGING
SURFACE BOUNDARY NORTH OF CRP. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...LEAVING AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS
DEEP SOUTH TX. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY
INDICATE A RATHER WEAK CAP AND THE RISK OF REDEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED CONVECTION DURING PEAK HEATING. STORMS MAY INITIALLY FORM
OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO AND SPREAD EASTWARD TOWARD THE
LRD/CRP/BRO AREAS. DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WOULD FAVOR
SUPERCELL STORM STRUCTURES WITH A RISK OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS IF THIS SCENARIO UNFOLDS.

OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST TX AND PROPAGATE SOUTHEASTWARD DOWN THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
OVERNIGHT. THESE STORMS COULD ORGANIZE INTO AN MCS WITH A RISK OF
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS.

...LOWER MS VALLEY...
AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER MUCH OF
THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
RELATIVELY STRONG DAYTIME HEATING WILL LEAD TO A STRONGLY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS BY AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE VALUES OVER 3000 J/KG. VERTICAL
SHEAR IS WEAK...AND LARGE SCALE FORCING MECHANISMS ARE HARD TO
IDENTIFY. NEVERTHELESS...IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT AT LEAST SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THIS CORRIDOR WITH A RISK OF HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN THE STRONGER CORES.

...MID MS VALLEY...
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES OVER SOUTHEAST
MO/SOUTHERN IL. THIS AREA WILL ALSO BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE BY
AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE OVER 3000 J/KG AND LITTLE CAP. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON OVER MO AND
SPREAD EASTWARD INTO PARTS OF IL/IND/KY BY EVENING. THIS REGION MAY
EXPERIENCE SLIGHTLY STRONGER LARGE SCALE FORCING AS REMNANT
CIRCULATIONS FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION OVERSPREAD THE AREA. THIS
MAY IN TURN HELP FOCUS STORMS AND LEAD TO WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE
STORMS.

...FL...
SCATTERED STRONG STORMS WITH A RISK OF WET MICROBURSTS AND HAIL WILL
BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA
THIS AFTERNOON. NORTH FL IS IN THE WAKE OF A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...AND MAY SEE LOWER COVERAGE OF STORMS THAN THE LAST FEW
DAYS.

..HART/GRAMS.. 05/27/2009

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KFWD [271552]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271552
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1052 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1127 PM TSTM WND GST GLEN ROSE 32.24N 97.75W
05/26/2009 E60 MPH SOMERVELL TX EMERGENCY MNGR

$$

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KFWD [271552]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271552
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1052 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1127 PM TSTM WND DMG GLEN ROSE 32.24N 97.75W
05/26/2009 SOMERVELL TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN GLEN ROSE

$$

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KFWD [271540]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271540
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1040 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM TSTM WND GST MINERAL WELLS 32.82N 98.08W
05/26/2009 E60 MPH PALO PINTO TX PUBLIC

$$

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KCRP [271537]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KCRP 271537
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1037 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0904 AM HEAVY RAIN PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
05/27/2009 E2.00 INCH CALHOUN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN 30
MINUTES

0918 AM FLASH FLOOD PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
05/27/2009 CALHOUN TX COUNTY OFFICIAL

STALLED VEHICLE ON GEORGE/SEA DRIFT. WATER UP TO DOOR.

0918 AM HAIL 8 E POINT COMFORT 28.66N 96.43W
05/27/2009 E0.25 INCH CALHOUN TX COUNTY OFFICIAL

REPORTED IN PORT ALTO

1000 AM HEAVY RAIN PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
05/27/2009 M4.50 INCH CALHOUN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING.

&&

$$

ATARDY

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KFWD [271532]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271532
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1032 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM TSTM WND GST POTTSBORO 33.77N 96.67W
05/26/2009 E60 MPH GRAYSON TX PUBLIC

ESTIMATED WINDS AT 60 WITH GUSTS UP TO 70MPH. TREE LIMBS
DOWN.

$$

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KEWX [271532]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 271532
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1032 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 E CALAVERAS LAKE 29.28N 98.25W
05/27/2009 M3.34 INCH WILSON TX CO-OP OBSERVER

2 HR RAINFALL FROM 8 AM TO 10 AM

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00611

$$

JPB

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KFWD [271452]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271452
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
952 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM HAIL 10 NE VALLEY VIEW 33.59N 97.04W
05/26/2009 E0.75 INCH COOKE TX PUBLIC

PENNY SIZE HAIL NEAR LAKE KIOWA

$$

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KFWD [271451]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271451
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
951 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM TSTM WND GST 10 NE VALLEY VIEW 33.59N 97.04W
05/26/2009 E60 MPH COOKE TX PUBLIC

NEAR LAKE KIOWA.

$$

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KTOP [271442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 271442
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
942 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 WNW OLPE 38.28N 96.24W
05/26/2009 M1.50 INCH LYON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

LATE REPORT.

&&

$$

JTL

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KFWD [271442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected Date

NWUS54 KFWD 271442 CCA
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED DATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
942 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1110 PM TSTM WND GST GRANDVIEW 32.27N 97.18W
05/26/2009 E60 MPH JOHNSON TX PUBLIC

$$

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KEWX [271442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 271442
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
942 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 SW LA VERNIA 29.33N 98.14W
05/27/2009 WILSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM3432 IN WESTERN WILSON COUNTY CLOSED FOR FLASH
FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00610

$$

JPB

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KCRP [271441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 271441
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
940 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0918 AM FLASH FLOOD PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
05/27/2009 CALHOUN TX COUNTY OFFICIAL

STALLED VEHICLE ON GEORGE/SEA DRIFT. WATER UP TO DOOR.

0918 AM HAIL 8 E POINT COMFORT 28.66N 96.43W
05/27/2009 E0.25 INCH CALHOUN TX COUNTY OFFICIAL

REPORTED IN PORT ALTO

0904 AM HEAVY RAIN PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
05/27/2009 E2.00 INCH CALHOUN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED 2 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN 30
MINUTES

&&

$$

CB

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KEWX [271440]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 271440
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
940 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0936 AM FLASH FLOOD SUTHERLAND SPRINGS 29.27N 98.07W
05/27/2009 WILSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FM 539 IN WESTERN WILSON COUNTY CLOSED BY FLASH
FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00609

$$

JPB

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KFWD [271439]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271439
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
939 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1110 PM TSTM WND GST GRANDVIEW 32.27N 97.18W
05/27/2009 E60 MPH JOHNSON TX PUBLIC

$$

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KFWD [271433]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271433
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
932 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0906 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NW CLEBURNE 32.40N 97.47W
05/26/2009 JOHNSON TX PUBLIC

INTERNET SERVICE PROVIDER TOWER BENT BY HIGH WINDS ALONG
CR1010 AND CR 905

$$

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KFWD [271425]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271425
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
925 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 PM TSTM WND DMG NEWCASTLE 33.19N 98.74W
05/26/2009 YOUNG TX NEWSPAPER

MINOR ROOF DAMAGE WITH SHINGLES OFF IN NEWCASTLE.

$$

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KFWD [271425]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271425
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
924 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0104 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW NORTHLAKE 33.11N 97.28W
05/27/2009 DENTON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL TREES UPROOTED, BROKEN WINDOWS. ESTIMATED 75 MPH
GUST. - THIS IS A DELAYED REPORT -

$$

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KFWD [271418]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected Time

NWUS54 KFWD 271418 CCA
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
915 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1158 PM TSTM WND DMG WHITNEY 31.95N 97.32W
05/26/2009 HILL TX CITY OFFICIAL

DELAYED REPORT...A FEW LIMBS DOWN

$$

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KFWD [271417]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271417
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
915 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1158 AM TSTM WND DMG WHITNEY 31.95N 97.32W
05/26/2009 HILL TX CITY OFFICIAL

DELAYED REPORT...A FEW LIMBS DOWN

$$

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KFWD [271416]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 271416
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
916 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 AM TSTM WND GST 13 S BRIDGEPORT 33.02N 97.76W
05/27/2009 M70 MPH WISE TX TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER MEASURED 70 MPH WINDS. - THIS IS A DELAYED
REPORT - TIME RADAR ESTIMATED.

$$

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KEWX [271412]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 271412
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
912 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0911 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 S ST. HEDWIG 29.35N 98.21W
05/27/2009 M4.10 INCH WILSON TX COCORAHS

SINCE 7 AM

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00608

$$

JPB

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KILX [271359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 271359
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
859 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN YATES CITY 40.78N 90.01W
05/27/2009 M1.54 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN ST. DAVID 40.49N 90.05W
05/27/2009 M2.17 INCH FULTON IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL

&&

$$

25

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KJAX [271358]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 271358
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
958 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 E ROCHELLE 29.60N 82.16W
05/26/2009 ALACHUA FL UTILITY COMPANY

TREES REPORTED DOWN ON SOME POWER LINES IN THE PHIFER
VICINITY ALONG STATE ROAD 20.

&&

$$

JHESS

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KDVN [271354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 271354
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
854 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0854 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SE MUSCATINE 41.37N 91.02W
05/27/2009 M2.00 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LEGRO

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0878

ACUS11 KWNS 271339
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271338
TXZ000-271515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0878
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0838 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 271338Z - 271515Z

...SEVERE THREAT IS INCREASING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TX...

EXPANDING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS WILL SOON MERGE INTO A LARGER MCS
OVER SCNTRL TX AS BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS WITHIN WEAK WARM ADVECTION
REGIME. AIRMASS IS QUITE BUOYANT SOUTH OF THIS ACTIVITY WITH MLCAPE
VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 3000 J/KG. 12Z SOUNDINGS FROM CRP...BRO AND
EVEN DRT ALL SUPPORT A WEAKER THAN NORMAL CAP WITH 900MB BASED
PARCELS APPARENTLY UNINHIBITED. GIVEN THE HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER
AND ADEQUATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR IT APPEARS THE MCS WILL SLOWLY
PROPAGATE SEWD WITH A THREAT FOR HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. WILL
CONTINUE MONITORING FOR POSSIBLE WW.

..DARROW.. 05/27/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON 29319726 28499479 27329584 28009813 28299990 29069998
29319726

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Corr 1

ACUS01 KWNS 271328
SWODY1
SPC AC 271325

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0825 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

VALID 271300Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT FROM
THE MID MS VALLEY SWD AND SWWD INTO S TX...

CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC CODING PROBLEMS

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD/WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH...WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED SPEED
MAXIMA...WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD FROM THE PLAINS TO THE MS VALLEY. THE
MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A SURFACE CYCLONE WHICH WILL
PROGRESS ENEWD FROM NW IL TO LOWER MI...WHILE A TRAILING COLD FRONT
MOVES EWD TO THE MS RIVER AND SWD INTO S TX. A MARITIME TROPICAL
BOUNDARY LAYER AND HIGH PW ENVIRONMENT IS PRESENT IN ADVANCE OF THE
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW GULF COAST...MS VALLEY...AND SE ATLANTIC
STATES. THIS MOIST ENVIRONMENT...ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING...WILL
PROMOTE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR.
THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG THE COLD FRONT THROUGH
THIS EVENING FROM TX INTO THE MID MS VALLEY.

...S TX TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT...
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MOVING SWD INTO S CENTRAL AND SE TX IN
ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. MEANWHILE...WEAK SPEED MAXIMA
ARE PROGRESSING EWD OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND CENTRAL TX WITHIN
THE SUBTROPICAL JET...WHICH ARE CONTRIBUTING TO RENEWED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS CENTRAL/S CENTRAL TX THIS MORNING. THE 12Z
SOUNDINGS FROM CRP/BRO TO THE S OF THE OUTFLOW AND COLD FRONT SHOW
THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF
4000 J/KG/ WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES AOA 90 F AND LOW-MID 70S DEW
POINTS. IT APPEARS THAT THE DEVELOPING STORMS THIS MORNING MAY
PERSIST INTO THE DAY AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
WARMS AND CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS REDUCED...AND ADDITIONAL STORMS
COULD FORM UPSTREAM IN THE UPSLOPE REGION BACK TOWARD DRT...AND
ALONG THE SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON.

THE COMBINATION OF SUBSTANTIAL DEEP LAYER BULK SHEAR BENEATH THE
SUBTROPICAL JET AND EXTREME INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING PERSISTENT CLUSTERS AS WELL AS SUPERCELLS.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE PROBABLE WITH ANY SUSTAINED
STORMS. THE PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY IN THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE THE
COVERAGE OF STORMS...THOUGH ENOUGH CONVECTION APPEARS PROBABLE TO
WARRANT AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK.

...MID MS VALLEY SWD/SWWD INTO S TX THROUGH LATE EVENING...
OVERNIGHT CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX...THOUGH A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS MOVED EWD INTO SW
AR/NW LA AND SEWD INTO E TX IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. WEAK ASCENT
ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND DIFFERENTIAL HEATING IN CONJUNCTION
WITH THE LINGERING CLOUDS FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION WILL SUPPORT
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. STORM
DEVELOPMENT MAY ALSO OCCUR ALONG THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IF THE
CLOUDS AND THE REMNANT OUTFLOW DISSIPATE. EITHER WAY...REGIONAL 12Z
SOUNDINGS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON
/MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-3000 J/KG/...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE
UPDRAFTS. THOUGH SOME MODEST INCREASE IN MID-UPPER FLOW WILL OCCUR
TOWARD THE MS RIVER AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EWD...THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WITH
MULTICELL CLUSTERS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

FARTHER NE INTO THE OH VALLEY...INSTABILITY WILL BE SOMEWHAT WEAKER
COMPARED TO THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MS VALLEY...AND VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK. STILL..DAYTIME HEATING WILL SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...THE STRONGEST OF WHICH
COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND ISOLATED DOWNBURST WINDS.

...SRN AND ERN FL THIS AFTERNOON...
ANOTHER DAY OF DIURNAL...SEA BREEZE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND ERN FL PENINSULA. A MEAN WLY FLOW IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A SUBTROPICAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL FAVOR THE E COAST SEA
BREEZE...AND THE STRONGER INSTABILITY SHOULD BE LOCATED OVER
CENTRAL/S FL TODAY. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS.

..THOMPSON.. 05/27/2009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271256
SWODY1
SPC AC 271253

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

VALID 271300Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT FROM
THE MID MS VALLEY SWD AND SWWD INTO S TX...

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD/WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH...WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED SPEED
MAXIMA...WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD FROM THE PLAINS TO THE MS VALLEY. THE
MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A SURFACE CYCLONE WHICH WILL
PROGRESS ENEWD FROM NW IL TO LOWER MI...WHILE A TRAILING COLD FRONT
MOVES EWD TO THE MS RIVER AND SWD INTO S TX. A MARITIME TROPICAL
BOUNDARY LAYER AND HIGH PW ENVIRONMENT IS PRESENT IN ADVANCE OF THE
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE NW GULF COAST...MS VALLEY...AND SE ATLANTIC
STATES. THIS MOIST ENVIRONMENT...ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING...WILL
PROMOTE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR.
THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG THE COLD FRONT THROUGH
THIS EVENING FROM TX INTO THE MID MS VALLEY.

...S TX TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT...
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS MOVING SWD INTO S CENTRAL AND SE TX IN
ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. MEANWHILE...WEAK SPEED MAXIMA
ARE PROGRESSING EWD OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND CENTRAL TX WITHIN
THE SUBTROPICAL JET...WHICH ARE CONTRIBUTING TO RENEWED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS CENTRAL/S CENTRAL TX THIS MORNING. THE 12Z
SOUNDINGS FROM CRP/BRO TO THE S OF THE OUTFLOW AND COLD FRONT SHOW
THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF
4000 J/KG/ WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES AOA 90 F AND LOW-MID 70S DEW
POINTS. IT APPEARS THAT THE DEVELOPING STORMS THIS MORNING MAY
PERSIST INTO THE DAY AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
WARMS AND CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS REDUCED...AND ADDITIONAL STORMS
COULD FORM UPSTREAM IN THE UPSLOPE REGION BACK TOWARD DRT...AND
ALONG THE SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON.

THE COMBINATION OF SUBSTANTIAL DEEP LAYER BULK SHEAR BENEATH THE
SUBTROPICAL JET AND EXTREME INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING PERSISTENT CLUSTERS AS WELL AS SUPERCELLS.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE PROBABLE WITH ANY SUSTAINED
STORMS. THE PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY IN THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE THE
COVERAGE OF STORMS...THOUGH ENOUGH CONVECTION APPEARS PROBABLE TO
WARRANT AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK.

...MID MS VALLEY SWD/SWWD INTO S TX THROUGH LATE EVENING...
OVERNIGHT CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX...THOUGH A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS MOVED EWD INTO SW
AR/NW LA AND SEWD INTO E TX IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. WEAK ASCENT
ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND DIFFERENTIAL HEATING IN CONJUNCTION
WITH THE LINGERING CLOUDS FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION WILL SUPPORT
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. STORM
DEVELOPMENT MAY ALSO OCCUR ALONG THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IF THE
CLOUDS AND THE REMNANT OUTFLOW DISSIPATE. EITHER WAY...REGIONAL 12Z
SOUNDINGS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON
/MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-3000 J/KG/...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSE
UPDRAFTS. THOUGH SOME MODEST INCREASE IN MID-UPPER FLOW WILL OCCUR
TOWARD THE MS RIVER AS THE MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EWD...THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WITH
MULTICELL CLUSTERS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

FARTHER NE INTO THE OH VALLEY...INSTABILITY WILL BE SOMEWHAT WEAKER
COMPARED TO THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MS VALLEY...AND VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK. STILL..DAYTIME HEATING WILL SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...THE STRONGEST OF WHICH
COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND ISOLATED DOWNBURST WINDS.

...SRN AND ERN FL THIS AFTERNOON...
ANOTHER DAY OF DIURNAL...SEA BREEZE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND ERN FL PENINSULA. A MEAN WLY FLOW IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A SUBTROPICAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL FAVOR THE E COAST SEA
BREEZE...AND THE STRONGER INSTABILITY SHOULD BE LOCATED OVER
CENTRAL/S FL TODAY. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS.

..THOMPSON/SMITH.. 05/27/2009

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KGSP [271249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 271249
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
848 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM FLASH FLOOD 14 N STATESVILLE 35.99N 80.89W
05/26/2009 IREDELL NC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

WILLIAMSBURG ROAD FLOODED NEAR BRIDGE.

&&

$$

07

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KCAR [271210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCAR 271210
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
809 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0152 PM TSTM WND GST ALLAGASH 47.08N 69.04W
05/24/2009 E60.00 MPH AROOSTOOK ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0200 PM HAIL SAINT FRANCIS 47.17N 68.89W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH AROOSTOOK ME PUBLIC

0215 PM TORNADO 3 NE EAGLE LAKE 47.07N 68.54W
05/24/2009 F1 AROOSTOOK ME NWS STORM SURVEY

EF1 TORNADO INTERMITTENTLY ON THE GROUND FROM THE PINETTE
BROOK CROSSING ON THE CONVENT ROAD TO AREAS OF MAKAYLA
DRIVE...DUPREY ROAD...AND STATE ROUTE 11. HUNDREDS OF
TREES WERE SHEARED OFF OR UPROOTED IN ININTERMITTENT
SWATHES AND PATCHES. ONE OUT BUILDING WAS DESTROYED...ONE
HOME SUSTAINED MODERATE DAMAGE...A TRANSPORT TRAILER WAS
OVERTURNED AND SEVERAL HOMES AND VEHICLES SUSTAINED MINOR
DAMAGE.

0215 PM HAIL 5 N EAGLE LAKE 47.11N 68.59W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH AROOSTOOK ME TRAINED SPOTTER

0227 PM HAIL 14 NE CARIBOU 47.00N 67.80W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH AROOSTOOK ME OTHER FEDERAL

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND

0237 PM HAIL EAGLE LAKE 47.04N 68.59W
05/24/2009 E1.75 INCH AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

0300 PM TSTM WND DMG CARIBOU 46.86N 68.01W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME NWS EMPLOYEE

1.5 FOOT DIAMETER TREE SNAPPED NEAR CARY MEDICAL CENTER

0300 PM TSTM WND DMG WOODLAND 46.89N 68.14W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME PUBLIC

50 FT BY 100 FT SHED BLOWN DOWN

0300 PM HAIL CARIBOU 46.86N 68.01W
05/24/2009 E0.88 INCH AROOSTOOK ME OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0305 PM TSTM WND DMG FORT FAIRFIELD 46.77N 67.83W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

4 TREES DOWN ON THE GRIMES ROAD.

0305 PM TSTM WND DMG CARIBOU 46.86N 68.01W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

4 TREES DOWN ON THE GRIMES MILL ROAD.

0305 PM TSTM WND DMG CARIBOU 46.86N 68.01W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

A LARGE TREE DOWN ON YORK STREET.

0310 PM TSTM WND DMG CARIBOU 46.86N 68.01W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES

0310 PM HAIL 10 N CARIBOU 47.01N 68.01W
05/24/2009 E0.75 INCH AROOSTOOK ME NWS EMPLOYEE

35 MPH WIND GUST

0323 PM TSTM WND DMG FORT FAIRFIELD 46.77N 67.83W
05/24/2009 AROOSTOOK ME PUBLIC

2 TREES DOWN ACROSS THE CENTER-LIMESTONE ROAD. TIME IS
ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

HLULOFS

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KDVN [271209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 271209
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
709 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0708 AM HEAVY RAIN CHARLOTTE 41.96N 90.47W
05/27/2009 M1.30 INCH CLINTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL.

&&

$$

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KDVN [271204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 271204
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
704 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0704 AM HEAVY RAIN MOUNT CARROLL 42.10N 89.98W
05/27/2009 M2.40 INCH CARROLL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LEGRO

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KDVN [271135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 271135
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
635 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0634 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW MUSCATINE 41.44N 91.08W
05/27/2009 M3.27 INCH MUSCATINE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LEGRO

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KDVN [271134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 271134
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
634 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0634 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNE ATALISSA 41.60N 91.14W
05/27/2009 M2.50 INCH CEDAR IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LEGRO

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KDVN [271107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 271107
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
607 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0604 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NW CEDARVILLE 42.42N 89.71W
05/27/2009 M1.01 INCH STEPHENSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL.

&&

$$

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 270901
SWOD48
SPC AC 270901

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0401 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2009

VALID 301200Z - 041200Z

...DISCUSSION...
GFS AND ECMWF IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT LEAST THROUGH DAY 6...AFTER WHICH
SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS BEGIN TO INCREASE. OVERALL
HOWEVER...MODELS CONTINUE TO POINT AT A FEW DAYS OF HEIGHTENED
SEVERE POTENTIAL OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS AND VICINITY. BOTH MODELS
CONTINUE TO FORECAST NW FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL US AND INTO THE
MIDWEST ON THE BACK SIDE OF A ERN NOAM UPPER LOW/TROUGH FOR DAY 4
/SAT. MAY 30/. AS A PORTION OF THIS TROUGH MOVES QUICKLY EWD AND
TAKES ON A NEGATIVE TILT DAY 5...FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE
NWLY/WLY...WITH SEVERAL SHORT-WAVE FEATURES MOVING THROUGH THE
RELATIVELY FAST FLOW FIELD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NRN
PLAINS/MIDWEST/OH VALLEY. FLOW ALOFT SLACKENS A BIT DAY 6...BUT
BOTH MODELS PROG A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH TO ENTER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
WHICH SHOULD MAINTAIN SEVERE POTENTIAL.

DAY 4 /SAT. MAY 30/...IT APPEARS THAT STORMS SHOULD EVOLVE ACROSS
THE NEB VICINITY...AS AMPLE MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION OCCURS NEAR
AND S OF A NW-SE BAROCLINIC ZONE RETREATING NWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS. STORMS SHOULD EXPAND INTO ONE OR MORE MCS LATE IN THE
DAY...AND THEN ACCELERATE SEWD TOWARD THE UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH THE
SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD -- WITH DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED TO BE A
MAIN THREAT.

DAY 5 /SUN. MAY 31/...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING SEWD
ACROSS THE PLAINS...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT --
PARTICULARLY INVOF THE MID MO VALLEY REGION -- WITHIN DESTABILIZING
AFTERNOON AIRMASS. AGAIN...ONE OR MORE MCS SHOULD EVOLVE BY
EVENING...WITH A MORE EWD STORM TRACK INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST REGION.

DAY 6 /MON. JUN. 1/...CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS IS
HINTED AT ALONG THE TRAILING PORTION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT
MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS -- IN RESPONSE TO THE EJECTING
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH. WHILE FLOW ALOFT SHOULD BE WEAKER...A
PARTICULARLY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE KS/OK REGION SHOULD
OFFSET THE SLIGHTLY-WEAKER FLOW FIELD...WITH THE SEVERE POTENTIAL
POSSIBLY INCLUDING TORNADOES NEAR AND NE OF THE LOW/INVOF THE WARM
FRONT WHICH IS PROGGED TO EXTEND ACROSS THE KS/NRN OK/MO VICINITY.

..GOSS.. 05/27/2009

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