WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 305

WWUS20 KWNS 292307
SEL5
SPC WW 292307
COZ000-300500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 305
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
505 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST COLORADO

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 505 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
PUEBLO COLORADO TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF LAMAR COLORADO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 304...

DISCUSSION...LARGE MCS IS INTENSIFYING OVER EAST CENTRAL CO AND IS
EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING. OTHER
MORE ISOLATED CELLS ARE FORMING ALONG THE FOOTHILLS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
CO AND WILL ALSO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD THIS EVENING. SUPERCELLS
AHEAD OF PRIMARY MCS WILL HAVE A RISK OF VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCS WILL
HAVE PRIMARILY AND DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL THREAT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.

..HART

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KFGF [292245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KFGF 292245
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
545 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND GST 5 N HALLOCK 48.84N 96.94W
05/28/2007 E70.00 MPH KITTSON MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

POSSIBLE MICROBURST. SMALL TREES BLOWN DOWN...A FEW
SHINGLES OFF A HOUSE AND FLAG POLE DOWN. A CAMPER ON
JACKS WAS BLOWN AKEW.

0715 PM HAIL 2 S NORTHCOTE 48.82N 97.00W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH KITTSON MN PUBLIC

0715 PM HAIL 5 N HALLOCK 48.84N 96.94W
05/28/2007 M1.00 INCH KITTSON MN PUBLIC

0735 PM HAIL 9 NE LANCASTER 48.95N 96.66W
05/28/2007 E0.88 INCH KITTSON MN PUBLIC

DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN FELL FOR
ABOUT 10 MINUTES.

0310 AM HAIL 16 S HAMAR 47.61N 98.57W
05/29/2007 E0.88 INCH EDDY ND TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL FELL UNTIL FOR ABOUT 4 MINUTES...UNTIL 314 AM.

0325 AM HAIL 5 ENE BINFORD 47.59N 98.25W
05/29/2007 E1.00 INCH GRIGGS ND PUBLIC

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.

0335 AM HAIL 5 NE TOLNA 47.88N 98.36W
05/29/2007 E0.75 INCH NELSON ND PUBLIC

&&

$$

GGUST

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0920

ACUS11 KWNS 292234
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292234
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-300130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0920
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0534 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS E-CENTRAL/NERN CO...NWRN
KS...SWRN/S-CENTRAL NEB.

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 292234Z - 300130Z

ORGANIZED/MESOSCALE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WILL TAKE PLACE THROUGH AT
LEAST 2Z ACROSS SWATH FROM GRI AREA WSWWD ACROSS NWRN KS AND
E-CENTRAL CO...S THROUGH E OF LIC. RATES 2 INCHES/HOUR WILL BE
COMMON...WITH RATES 3-5 INCHES/HOUR LOCALLY OCCURRING IN HP
SUPERCELLS AND MERGING STORMS. 2.5 INCHES IN HALF AN HOUR ALREADY
HAS BEEN MEASURED AT SFC WITH DISCRETE/SLOW MOVING TSTM OVER NRN
YUMA COUNTY CO...AND SIMILAR/VERY LOCALIZED EVENTS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE WITHIN LARGER HEAVY PRECIP AREA AS IT CONSOLIDATES
EWD/ESEWD ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA.

AS OF 2215Z...LINE OF TSTMS IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED FROM KEITH
COUNTY NEB SWWD ACROSS LIC/COS AREAS...AND WILL MOVE EWD INTO
FAVORABLE MOISTURE AND 30-40 KT STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW ACROSS SWRN
NEB/NERN CO AND INTO NWRN KS. MEANWHILE...OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
ONGOING CONVECTION OVER SRN NEB IS ANALYZED NEAR
GRI...HDE...MCK...30 SW IML LINE...AND MAY DRIFT SWD IN SOME AREAS.
20-25 KT SELY FLOW AT 850 MB WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT FAVORABLY
MOIST LOW LEVEL AIR MASS ATOP THIS BOUNDARY FOR CONTINUED RISK OF
HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG BOUNDARY AND TO ITS N.
EXPECT WESTERN CONVECTIVE BAND TO OVERTAKE AND MERGE WITH CONVECTION
N OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...MAXIMIZING ADDITIONAL LIFT AND EXACERBATING
HEAVY RAIN THREAT. GPS DATA...MODIFIED RAOBS AND RUC GUIDANCE
SUGGEST AROUND 1.25 INCH PW IN PROSPECTIVE INFLOW AIR MASS OVER MOST
OF REGION...EXPECIALLY FROM EXTREME ERN CO EWD ACROSS KS/NEB BORDER
AREA. 1500-2500 J/KG MUCAPE...STRONG STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW AND
FAVORABLE PROPAGATIONAL VECTORS WILL HELP TO MAINTAIN EFFICIENT
PRECIP PRODUCTION.

FOR SVR THREAT REF WW 304 AND RELATED MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS.

.EDWARDS.. 05/29/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...

38890473 39220365 39760299 40400239 41170167 41340024
41429882 40849861 39989921 39310074 38670221 38530380

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KGLD [292233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 292233
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
433 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0432 PM HAIL PALISADE 40.34N 101.11W
05/29/2007 E1.00 INCH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

CFOLTZ

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KBOU [292231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 292231
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
430 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0428 PM HAIL LIMON 39.27N 103.69W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH LINCOLN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL. SOME ROTATION IN CLOUDS

0314 PM HAIL FRANKTOWN 39.38N 104.75W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0255 PM HAIL 5 NW ELBERT 39.27N 104.60W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

LOTS OF PEA, MARBLE, PENNY AND SOME QUARTER SIZE HAIL
COVERING THE GROUND

0255 PM HAIL ELBERT 39.22N 104.53W
05/29/2007 M2.50 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

NUMEROUS 11/4 INCH HAIL. LARGEST 21/2 INCH IN THE TOWN OF
ELBERT

0240 PM HAIL 6 SSW ELIZABETH 39.28N 104.64W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0219 PM HAIL 4 W ELBERT 39.22N 104.60W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0211 PM HAIL 6 SE LARKSPUR 39.12N 104.82W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1/2 TO 1 INCH HAIL

0210 PM HAIL 3 NW DENVER 39.76N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0205 PM HAIL 3 W ELBERT 39.22N 104.59W
05/29/2007 M1.50 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL PAD DESTROYED. HAIL 2 INCHES DEEP

0201 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

0150 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0135 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0133 PM HAIL 3 SSW DENVER 39.68N 104.98W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL 2 WNW DENVER 39.74N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0111 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ONE INCH DEEP

0107 PM HAIL SE CASTLE ROCK 39.38N 104.85W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT RELAYED TO ANOTHER SPOTTER. UNABLE TO CONTACT NWS.

0106 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0106 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BENTON

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KGLD [292226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 292226
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
426 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM HAIL YUMA 40.12N 102.72W
05/29/2007 E1.75 INCH YUMA CO LAW ENFORCEMENT

ALSO REPORTED BY SPOTTER

&&

$$

KJAMES

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KGLD [292225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 292225
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
424 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0421 PM TORNADO 4 SE YUMA 40.08N 102.67W
05/29/2007 YUMA CO PUBLIC

RELAYED BY YUMA COUNTY DISPATCH

&&

$$

KJAMES

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KGID [292209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 292209
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
509 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0407 PM FLASH FLOOD 7 NE ORD 41.67N 98.83W
05/29/2007 VALLEY NE PUBLIC

3.5 INCHES OF RAIN WITH WATER OVER MANY COUNTY ROADS IN
THE AREA.

&&

$$

WESELY

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KGLD [292207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 292207
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
407 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HEAVY RAIN 17 N ECKLEY 40.36N 102.49W
05/29/2007 M2.50 INCH YUMA CO PUBLIC

HEAVY RAIN OCCURED WITHIN A 30 MINUTE TIME PERIOD. ALSO
RECIEVED PEA SIZED HAIL

&&

$$

KJAMES

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KUNR [292156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KUNR 292156
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
355 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0314 PM HAIL 2 NE DEADWOOD 44.40N 103.70W
05/28/2007 M0.88 INCH LAWRENCE SD NWS EMPLOYEE

0330 PM HAIL 3 NE PINE TREE JUNCTION 43.65N 105.74W
05/28/2007 E0.88 INCH CAMPBELL WY PUBLIC

0347 PM TORNADO 12 NNW WRIGHT 43.91N 105.59W
05/28/2007 CAMPBELL WY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

SMALL TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN FOR 2 MINUTES IN AREA OF
SAGEBRUSH. NO DAMAGE REPORTED.

0350 PM HAIL 5 SW GILLETTE 44.24N 105.57W
05/28/2007 E0.88 INCH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0352 PM HAIL 3 W GILLETTE 44.29N 105.56W
05/28/2007 E1.00 INCH CAMPBELL WY PUBLIC

RELAYED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

0355 PM HAIL 6 SE GILLETTE 44.23N 105.42W
05/28/2007 E0.88 INCH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

AT THE WASTE WATER TREATMENT PLANT

0416 PM HAIL 9 SE GILLETTE 44.20N 105.37W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL LASTED FOR 7 MINUTES

0440 PM HAIL 7 SE ROZET 44.21N 105.10W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0500 PM HAIL 3 SW PINE HAVEN 44.32N 104.85W
05/28/2007 E0.88 INCH CROOK WY PUBLIC

0510 PM HAIL KEYHOLE RESERVOIR 44.37N 104.85W
05/28/2007 E0.88 INCH CROOK WY PUBLIC

HAIL WAS 3 INCHES DEEP

0538 PM HAIL 9 W SUNDANCE 44.40N 104.56W
05/28/2007 E1.75 INCH CROOK WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0539 PM HAIL 9 SW SUNDANCE 44.31N 104.50W
05/28/2007 E1.00 INCH CROOK WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0540 PM HAIL SPEARFISH 44.50N 103.86W
05/28/2007 M1.00 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0605 PM HAIL WHITEWOOD 44.46N 103.64W
05/28/2007 E1.25 INCH LAWRENCE SD NWS EMPLOYEE

ESTIMATED 39-54 MPH WINDS

0629 PM HAIL 13 NNE STURGIS 44.59N 103.41W
05/28/2007 E0.88 INCH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0635 PM TSTM WND GST 11 NE STURGIS 44.52N 103.36W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD PUBLIC

WIND AND HAIL BROKE STORM WINDOW

0635 PM HAIL 11 NE STURGIS 44.52N 103.36W
05/28/2007 E1.00 INCH MEADE SD PUBLIC

0636 PM HAIL 11 N BUFFALO GAP 43.65N 103.31W
05/28/2007 E1.50 INCH CUSTER SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

0640 PM HAIL 6 NW LEAD 44.41N 103.85W
05/28/2007 E0.25 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

2 INCHES OF PEA SIZED HAIL

0640 PM HAIL 14 NE STURGIS 44.55N 103.31W
05/28/2007 E1.75 INCH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 50 MPH WINDS AND THE GROUND WAS COVERED WITH
HAIL

0659 PM TSTM WND GST NEWCASTLE 43.86N 104.20W
05/28/2007 E70.00 MPH WESTON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

RAILROAD CROSSING ARM BLOWN OFF AT MAIN STREET CROSSING

0715 PM HAIL 11 WSW UNION CENTER 44.50N 102.88W
05/28/2007 M2.00 INCH MEADE SD NWS EMPLOYEE

0720 PM TSTM WND GST WSW FOUR CORNERS 44.08N 104.14W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH WESTON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND BLEW A PIECE OF TIN OFF OF AN OUT BUILDING AND HAD
PEA SIZE HAIL

0730 PM TSTM WND GST 20 ENE STURGIS 44.52N 103.14W
05/28/2007 E80.00 MPH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 80 MPH ALONG HWY 34 BETWEEN STURGIS
AND UNION CENTER FROM 720-740 PM

0730 PM HAIL 20 ENE STURGIS 44.52N 103.14W
05/28/2007 E1.50 INCH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

HAD HAIL ALONG HWY 34 BETWEEN STURGIS AND UNION CENTER
FROM 720-740 PM, BROKE CAR WINDOWS

0730 PM HAIL NW RAPID CITY 44.08N 103.23W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH PENNINGTON SD PUBLIC

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG UNION CENTER 44.56N 102.67W
05/28/2007 MEADE SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

HOUSE WINDOWS BROKEN AND SCREENS TORN

0800 PM HAIL 9 N BOX ELDER 44.25N 103.07W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH MEADE SD NWS EMPLOYEE

0800 PM TSTM WND GST 9 N BOX ELDER 44.25N 103.07W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH MEADE SD NWS EMPLOYEE

0800 PM TSTM WND GST 7 ENE NEW UNDERWOOD 44.14N 102.70W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZE HAIL

0815 PM HAIL 1 SE UNION CENTER 44.55N 102.65W
05/28/2007 E1.00 INCH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH HAIL LEFT ON THE GROUND, HAIL BROKE PICTURE WINDOW

0900 PM TSTM WND GST 4 NE CREIGHTON 44.29N 102.15W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD PUBLIC

0900 PM TSTM WND GST 17 NNE CREIGHTON 44.48N 102.08W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0930 PM TSTM WND GST 1 W RED SCAFFOLD 44.77N 101.87W
05/28/2007 E75.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0930 PM HAIL 3 ENE RED ELM 45.07N 101.73W
05/28/2007 E1.00 INCH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

MOSTLY PENNY SIZE HAIL WITH A FEW AS BIG AS QUARTERS,
ESTIMATED 40 MPH WINDS

1015 PM TSTM WND GST 15 NE CHERRY CREEK 44.75N 101.28W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1015 PM TSTM WND GST 15 SSE DUPREE 44.85N 101.47W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED PEA SIZE HAIL

&&

$$

MHOLM

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KUNR [292154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 292154
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
354 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM HAIL 14 NE STURGIS 44.55N 103.31W
05/28/2007 E1.75 INCH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 50 MPH WINDS AND THE GROUND WAS COVERED WITH
HAIL

0720 PM TSTM WND GST WSW FOUR CORNERS 44.08N 104.14W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH WESTON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND BLEW A PIECE OF TIN OFF OF AN OUT BUILDING AND HAD
PEA SIZE HAIL

0730 PM HAIL NW RAPID CITY 44.08N 103.23W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH PENNINGTON SD PUBLIC

0730 PM HAIL 20 ENE STURGIS 44.52N 103.14W
05/28/2007 E1.50 INCH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

HAD HAIL ALONG HWY 34 BETWEEN STURGIS AND UNION CENTER
FROM 720-740 PM, BROKE CAR WINDOWS

0730 PM TSTM WND GST 20 ENE STURGIS 44.52N 103.14W
05/28/2007 E80.00 MPH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 80 MPH ALONG HWY 34 BETWEEN STURGIS
AND UNION CENTER FROM 720-740 PM

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG UNION CENTER 44.56N 102.67W
05/28/2007 MEADE SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

HOUSE WINDOWS BROKEN AND SCREENS TORN

0815 PM HAIL 1 SE UNION CENTER 44.55N 102.65W
05/28/2007 E1.00 INCH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH HAIL LEFT ON THE GROUND, HAIL BROKE PICTURE WINDOW

0930 PM HAIL 3 ENE RED ELM 45.07N 101.73W
05/28/2007 E1.00 INCH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

MOSTLY PENNY SIZE HAIL WITH A FEW AS BIG AS QUARTERS,
ESTIMATED 40 MPH WINDS

0930 PM TSTM WND GST 1 W RED SCAFFOLD 44.77N 101.87W
05/28/2007 E75.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1015 PM TSTM WND GST 15 SSE DUPREE 44.85N 101.47W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED PEA SIZE HAIL

1015 PM TSTM WND GST 15 NE CHERRY CREEK 44.75N 101.28W
05/28/2007 E60.00 MPH ZIEBACH SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MHOLM

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KAKQ [292152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...event Summary

NWUS51 KAKQ 292152
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...EVENT SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
550 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 W LOUISA 38.02N 78.13W
05/28/2007 LOUISA VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON COLUMBIA RD.

0726 PM HAIL 4 ENE HIGHLAND SPRINGS 37.57N 77.26W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH HANOVER VA PUBLIC

0732 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ENE HIGHLAND SPRINGS 37.57N 77.26W
05/28/2007 HANOVER VA PUBLIC

POWER LINES DOWNED AT INTERSECTION OF ROCKHILL AND MARKET
ROADS.

0745 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 ESE ORAPAX FARMS 37.52N 77.16W
05/28/2007 NEW KENT VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWN NEAR I-64 EXIT 205...ALONG HENPECK
ROAD. PORTIONS OF HENPECK ROAD REMAIN CLOSED.

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W ROXBURY 37.46N 77.16W
05/28/2007 CHARLES CITY VA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREES DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF ROUTES 600 AND 622...
ABOUT A MILE WEST OF ROUTE 106.

&&

$$

HURLEY

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KLBF [292152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 292152
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
452 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0412 PM FLASH FLOOD 20 E ARNOLD 41.42N 99.81W
05/29/2007 CUSTER NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 92 FROM ARNOLD TO MERNA HAD WATER OVER ROAD IN
MANY LOCATIONS.

&&

$$

HENDERSON

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KLBF [292152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 292152
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
452 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0444 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 E DICKENS 40.83N 100.95W
05/29/2007 LINCOLN NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

ON HIGHWAY 23 2-3 MILES EAST OF DICKENS WAS 1 FOOT DEEP
OVER ROAD.

0444 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSE NORTH PLATTE 41.12N 100.76W
05/29/2007 LINCOLN NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER OVER STATE FARM ROAD EAST OF HIGHWAY 83.

&&

$$

HENDERSON

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KAKQ [292151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KAKQ 292151
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
550 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 W LOUISA 38.02N 78.13W
05/28/2007 LOUISA VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON COLUMBIA RD.

0726 PM HAIL 4 ENE HIGHLAND SPRINGS 37.57N 77.26W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH HANOVER VA PUBLIC

0732 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ENE HIGHLAND SPRINGS 37.57N 77.26W
05/28/2007 HANOVER VA PUBLIC

POWER LINES DOWNED AT INTERSECTION OF ROCKHILL AND MARKET
ROADS.

0745 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 ESE ORAPAX FARMS 37.52N 77.16W
05/28/2007 NEW KENT VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWN NEAR I-64 EXIT 205...ALONG HENPECK
ROAD. PORTIONS OF HENPECK ROAD REMAIN CLOSED.

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W ROXBURY 37.46N 77.16W
05/28/2007 CHARLES CITY VA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREES DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF ROUTES 600 AND 622...
ABOUT A MILE WEST OF ROUTE 106.

&&

$$

HURLEY

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KAKQ [292145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KAKQ 292145
LSRAKQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
544 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W ROXBURY 37.46N 77.16W
05/28/2007 CHARLES CITY VA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREES DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF ROUTES 600 AND 622...
ABOUT A MILE WEST OF ROUTE 106.

&&

$$

HURLEY

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KBOU [292111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 292111
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
311 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HAIL 5 NW ELBERT 39.27N 104.60W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

LOTS OF PEA, MARBLE, PENNY AND SOME QUARTER SIZE HAIL
COVERING THE GROUND

0255 PM HAIL ELBERT 39.22N 104.53W
05/29/2007 M2.50 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

NUMEROUS 11/4 INCH HAIL. LARGEST 21/2 INCH IN THE TOWN OF
ELBERT

0240 PM HAIL 6 SSW ELIZABETH 39.28N 104.64W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0219 PM HAIL 4 W ELBERT 39.22N 104.60W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0211 PM HAIL 6 SE LARKSPUR 39.12N 104.82W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1/2 TO 1 INCH HAIL

0210 PM HAIL 3 NW DENVER 39.76N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0201 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

0150 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0135 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0133 PM HAIL 3 SSW DENVER 39.68N 104.98W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL 2 WNW DENVER 39.74N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0111 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ONE INCH DEEP

0107 PM HAIL SE CASTLE ROCK 39.38N 104.85W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT RELAYED TO ANOTHER SPOTTER. UNABLE TO CONTACT NWS.

0106 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0106 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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KBOU [292058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 292058
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
258 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HAIL 5 NW ELBERT 39.27N 104.60W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

LOTS OF PEA, MARBLE, PENNY AND SOME QUARTER SIZE HAIL
COVERING THE GROUND

0219 PM HAIL 4 W ELBERT 39.22N 104.60W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0211 PM HAIL 6 SE LARKSPUR 39.12N 104.82W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1/2 TO 1 INCH HAIL

0210 PM HAIL 3 NW DENVER 39.76N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0201 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

0150 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0135 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0133 PM HAIL 3 SSW DENVER 39.68N 104.98W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL 2 WNW DENVER 39.74N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0111 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ONE INCH DEEP

0107 PM HAIL SE CASTLE ROCK 39.38N 104.85W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT RELAYED TO ANOTHER SPOTTER. UNABLE TO CONTACT NWS.

0106 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0106 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0919

ACUS11 KWNS 292052
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292052
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-292145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0919
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...PARTS OF EXTREME SW NEB/NW KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 304...

VALID 292052Z - 292145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 304 CONTINUES.

AN ADDITIONAL WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED SOUTH OF WW 304...ACROSS MUCH
OF THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN COLORADO...POSSIBLY WESTERN KANSAS.

STRENGTHENING DIVERGENT UPPER FLOW FIELD READILY APPARENT IN
OBSERVATIONAL DATA ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHEAST COLORADO IS PROGGED TO
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY EXPAND AND SHIFT EASTWARD AHEAD OF AMPLIFIED
UPPER TROUGH THROUGH EARLY EVENING. STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE
INCREASING IN NUMBER NEAR/SOUTH OF DENVER INTO THE FORT MORGAN/AKRON
AREAS...AND WEAKENING INHIBITION IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY ALLOW
ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT SOUTHWARD INTO THE PUEBLO/LA JUNTA
AREAS BY 29/23-30/00Z. DURING THIS TIME...INITIAL SCATTERED
SUPERCELLS STORMS MAY BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE INTO AN INCREASINGLY
ORGANIZED MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM. FLOW FIELDS ARE NOT
PARTICULARLY STRONG...BUT NOW VEER FROM A GENERAL EASTERLY DIRECTION
AT LOW-LEVELS TO MODERATE WESTERLY AT MID LEVELS... CREATING STRONG
DEEP LAYER SHEAR. AS UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT OCCURS... AND ACTIVITY
APPROACHES MORE STRONGLY HEATED BOUNDARY LAYER NEAR THE
COLORADO/KANSAS BORDER...DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL PROBABLY WILL
INCREASE BY EARLY EVENING.

.KERR.. 05/29/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

37330429 38060505 39220523 39920542 40340503 40360415
40690315 41070249 41030123 40480110 39660205 38820240
38200259 37690274 37260354 37220391

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KBOU [292024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 292024
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
224 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0219 PM HAIL 4 W ELBERT 39.22N 104.60W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0211 PM HAIL 6 SE LARKSPUR 39.12N 104.82W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1/2 TO 1 INCH HAIL

0210 PM HAIL 3 NW DENVER 39.76N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0201 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

0150 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0135 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0133 PM HAIL 3 SSW DENVER 39.68N 104.98W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL 2 WNW DENVER 39.74N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0111 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ONE INCH DEEP

0106 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0106 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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KCLE [291959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 291959
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
359 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM HAIL GRAFTON 41.28N 82.03W
05/25/2007 E0.75 INCH LORAIN OH DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

&&

$$

KIELTYKA

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KLBF [291958]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 291958
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
258 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 S ARNOLD 41.31N 100.19W
05/29/2007 CUSTER NE CO-OP OBSERVER

WATER RUNNING OVER ROAD

&&

$$

HENDERSON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291951
SWODY1
SPC AC 291948

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...

..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
LARGE-SCALE UVV CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS CO AHEAD OF SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH S OF MAIN UPPER CIRCULATION CENTER NOW OVER NRN WY. IN
RESPONSE...STORM DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES INVOF THE CO FRONT
RANGE...AND NEWD ACROSS WRN NEB ALONG SURFACE BOUNDARY.

WITH 1500 TO 2500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE NOW INDICATED ACROSS ERN CO
AND INTO WRN KS/WRN NEB...EXPECT STORMS TO CONTINUE/INCREASE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN SHIFT ESEWD ACROSS SRN NEB/KS/POSSIBLY OK
AS LOW-LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES AFTER DARK.

AS STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW SPREADS EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...SHEAR WILL BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE WITH TIME FOR
SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS. ALONG WITH THE THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE. GREATEST OVERALL THREAT IS ANTICIPATED FROM LATER THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE EVENING ACROSS ERN CO AND INTO WRN KS/SWRN
NEB. WHILE STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE/SPREAD ESEWD OVERNIGHT...SEVERE
THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN CONJUNCTION WITH DIURNAL
STABILIZATION.

..UPPER MS VALLEY REGION SWWD INTO THE MID MO VALLEY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THIS REGION...ALONG AND
AHEAD OF SURFACE FRONT WHERE MOIST AIRMASS COMBINED WITH LIMITED
HEATING HAS RESULTED IN 500 TO 1500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE. MODERATE
SLY/SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ISOLATED
STRONGER/MULTICELL STORMS...WITH A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL/LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH MID
EVENING.

.GOSS.. 05/29/2007

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KBOU [291951]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 291951
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
151 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0135 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0133 PM HAIL 3 SSW DENVER 39.68N 104.98W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL 2 WNW DENVER 39.74N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0111 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ONE INCH DEEP

0106 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0106 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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KBOU [291935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 291935
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
135 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0133 PM HAIL 3 SSW DENVER 39.68N 104.98W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL 2 WNW DENVER 39.74N 105.00W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0127 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0111 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ONE INCH DEEP

0106 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0106 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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KLBF [291932]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 291932
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
232 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL 4 N ELSIE 40.90N 101.39W
05/29/2007 E0.88 INCH PERKINS NE PUBLIC

&&

$$

HENDERSON

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KBOU [291929]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 291929
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
128 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0127 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 E0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0111 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ONE INCH DEEP

0106 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0106 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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KBOU [291918]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 291918
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
118 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0111 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ONE INCH DEEP

0106 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0106 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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KBOU [291913]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 291913
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
113 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0111 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL ONE INCH DEEP

0106 PM HAIL DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
05/29/2007 M0.88 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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KBOU [291851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 291851
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1251 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 PM HAIL 2 ESE GOLDEN 39.73N 105.18W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1235 PM HAIL WHEAT RIDGE 39.77N 105.10W
05/29/2007 M0.75 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 304

WWUS20 KWNS 291831
SEL4
SPC WW 291831
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-300200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 304
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEAST COLORADO
NORTHWEST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
800 PM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF DENVER
COLORADO TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MCCOOK NEBRASKA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...STRONG/ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP/INTENSITY OVER PARTS OF SWRN NEB AND ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
IN CO. ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL
MOVE SWD/SEWD THIS AFTERNOON INTO MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.
MLCAPE IS 2000-2500 J/KG OVER SWRN NEB ATTM...AND BETWEEN 500-1500
J/KG OVER ERN CO. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS 40-45 KT WHICH IS FAVORABLE
FOR STRONG ROTATING UPDRAFTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.

..MCCARTHY

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KLBF [291831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 291831
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
131 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0114 PM FLASH FLOOD 10 E DICKENS 40.83N 100.80W
05/29/2007 LINCOLN NE PUBLIC

WATER OVER HIGHWAY 23

&&

$$

HENDERSON

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KBOU [291824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOU 291824
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1224 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1213 PM HAIL GOLDEN 39.74N 105.21W
05/29/2007 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JK

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0918

ACUS11 KWNS 291812
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291812
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-291945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0918
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0112 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 291812Z - 291945Z

IN RESPONSE TO AMPLIFIED DIGGING UPSTREAM TROUGH...AND DEVELOPING
SURFACE PRESSURE FALL CENTER OVER SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO... NORTHERLY
FLOW IN THE WAKE OF INITIAL WEAK SURFACE FRONT IS BEGINNING TO TAKE
ON AN INCREASINGLY EASTERLY UPSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE LEE OF THE
COLORADO ROCKIES. AS THIS PROCESS CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON...
DESTABILIZATION AND STRENGTHENING DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 30-40 KT
WESTERLY 500 MB FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING ISOLATED SUPERCELLS.

THROUGH 21-22Z...MID-LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE WILL PROBABLY CONFINE
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN
WEST THROUGH SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PUEBLO. BUT...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
SOUTH OF DENVER...INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...STORMS LIKELY
WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD...TO THE NORTH OF STRONGER CAP...BENEATH
INCREASINGLY DIFLUENT AND DIVERGENT UPPER FLOW FIELD.

IN ADDITION TO THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON.

.KERR.. 05/29/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

37330429 38060505 39220523 39920542 40340503 40360415
40690315 41070249 41030123 40480110 39660205 38820240
38200259 37690274 37260354 37220391

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 291741
SWODY2
SPC AC 291739

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NWRN TX/SWRN
OK...

..SYNOPSIS...
WHILE AN INITIAL UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVES SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS...MAIN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN/MOVE SLOWLY EWD
INTO THE NRN AND CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD. ASSOCIATED
SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND
SHOULD REMAIN A FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..SRN PLAINS...
MODELS FORECAST THAT A SURFACE WAVE ALONG THE SEWD-MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL LINGER OVER/SHIFT SWWD ACROSS THE WRN HALF OF TX THIS
PERIOD...WHILE MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT/LOW. HOWEVER...WEAK SHORT-WAVE RIDGING IN THE WAKE OF INITIAL
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO ERN PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS SHOULD
MAINTAIN A CAP ACROSS MOST OF THE WARM SECTOR.

ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT A LOW-PROBABILITY/CONDITIONAL POTENTIAL FOR
STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR/NE OF THE LOW NEWD ALONG THE
COLD FRONT -- OR FROM PORTIONS OF THE TX SOUTH PLAINS/WRN N TX NEWD
INTO SWRN OK. PRESUMING STORM DEVELOPMENT CAN OCCUR...DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY WOULD LIKELY SUPPORT VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS.

WHILE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT IS PROGGED TO REMAIN NW OF THE SURFACE
FRONT -- I.E. ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE AND INTO KS...SHEAR SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT GIVEN DEGREE OF INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT MULTICELL
ORGANIZATION...AND ASSOCIATED/CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL/LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS.

AN EVEN LESS LIKELY -- BUT STILL POSSIBLE -- SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST N OF THE SURFACE LOW...ACROSS PARTS OF THE TX SOUTH PLAINS AND
INTO ERN NM...WHERE LOW-LEVEL ELYS WILL RESULT IN UPSLOPE FLOW AS
WELL AS MORE FAVORABLE VEERING WITH HEIGHT. SHOULD ANY STORMS
DEVELOP WITHIN THIS LESS UNSTABLE/UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME...HAIL AND
LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

..UPPER MS VALLEY/WRN UPPER GREAT LAKES SSWWD INTO ERN KS...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS -- LIKELY TO BE ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF THE
AREA AT THE START OF THE PERIOD -- SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON/OVERNIGHT...WITHIN MARGINALLY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS E OF
SLOWLY-ADVANCING FRONT.

WITH FLOW ALOFT FORECAST TO REMAIN MODEST...MERIDIONAL...AND ROUGHLY
PARALLEL TO THE SURFACE FRONT ACROSS THIS REGION ON ERN FRINGES OF
STALLING UPPER LOW...IT APPEARS ATTM THAT NEITHER KINEMATIC NOR
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL BE PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
STORMS. THEREFORE...WILL MAINTAIN AN AREA OF LOW-PROBABILITY THREAT
ALONG/AHEAD OF SURFACE FRONT.

.GOSS.. 05/29/2007

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KFWD [291628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 291628
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1127 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1125 AM FLASH FLOOD BRECKENRIDGE 32.76N 98.91W
05/29/2007 STEPHENS TX OTHER FEDERAL

FM 578 NORTH OF BRECKENRIDGE CLOSED DUE TO FLASH
FLOODING.

$$

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KFWD [291622]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 291622
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1121 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM FLASH FLOOD BRECKENRIDGE 32.76N 98.91W
05/29/2007 STEPHENS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL INTERSECTIONS FLOODED IN BRECKENRIDGE; WATER 3-4
FT DEEP ON WALKER ST, ELLIOT ST AT SOUTH DUNEGAN AND LIVE
OAK RD AT LINDSEY ST FLOODED.

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291612
SWODY1
SPC AC 291610

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

VALID 291630Z - 301200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT....

..SYNOPSIS...
MERIDIONAL MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE NRN ROCKIES IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY DURING THE PERIOD. MODELS INDICATE THAT
SEVERAL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS/VORTICITY MAXES WILL MOVE EWD ON THE SRN
PERIPHERY OF THE TROUGH FROM NRN UT THROUGH CO INTO SWRN NEB/NWRN
KS. MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW OVER E CENTRAL ND WITH A
QUASISTATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS SSWWD INTO SWRN
NEB/NWRN KS...THEN CONTINUES AS A COLD FRONT WWD ACROSS NRN NM AND
NRN AZ. AN ADDITIONAL SURFACE LOW IS OVER SERN CO WITH A TROUGH
THAT EXTENDS SWD ACROSS ERN AND S CENTRAL NM. THERE IS ALSO A WEAK
MID LEVEL TROUGH/MCV OVER N CENTRAL TX AND STRONG RIDGING FROM THE
CAROLINAS INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS OF CO/KS INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLES...

MODELS ARE TRYING TO FOCUS ON THE AREA OF ERN CO INTO WRN KS FOR
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AIR MASS IS QUITE MOIST THROUGHOUT THE
PLAINS THIS MORNING WITH MORNING RAOB DATA SHOWING 850 MB DEW POINTS
GENERALLY 10-14 DEG C FROM TX INTO KS/NEB INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY.
LOW LEVEL JET IS 35-40 KT FROM CENTRAL OK NWD INTO E CENTRAL MN WITH
MAIN THERMAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL ND SWWD THROUGH THE DEN
REGION AND SRN UT. RAOB DATA ALSO INDICATES THAT THE MID LEVEL FLOW
IS MODERATE WITH A 50-55 KT JET STREAK AT 500 MB ACROSS NERN NV THEN
EXTENDING NEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS. THE MODELS PROJECT THAT THIS
JET STREAK WILL STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES EWD
OVER W CENTRAL CO ENHANCING UVVS ASSOCIATED WITH DIFFLUENT FLOW OVER
ERN CO INTO WRN KS.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES BEST POTENTIAL FOR
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION WILL BE THROUGHOUT THE TX PANHANDLE INTO
SWRN KS WHERE MODELS FORECAST MUCAPE BETWEEN 2000-2500 J/KG BY THIS
EVENING. WITH EXIT REGION OF MID LEVEL JET STREAK MOVING TOWARDS E
CENTRAL CO...DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE AROUND 40-50 KT WHICH IS
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT STRONG UPDRAFTS AND ISOLATED SUPERCELLS BY
THIS EVENING IN THE PROXIMITY OF THE SFC LOW OVER SERN CO.

LOOKS AT THIS TIME THAT CONVECTIVE INITIATION COULD BE BIMODAL LATE
THIS AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
OVER ERN CO/WRN KS...AND A LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT FROM SWRN NEB SWWD TOWARDS OR SOUTH OF
THE DEN AREA WHERE UPSLOPE MAY ALSO ENHANCE FORCING. LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS LOOK TO BE THE MAIN THREATS GIVEN THAT THE
ACTIVITY MAY WAIT UNTIL THIS EVENING GIVEN THE TIMING OF THE SRN
PARTS OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE REGION.
BUT...SUPERCELLS COULD DEVELOP OVER THE SERN QUARTER OF CO AND MOVE
INTO SWRN KS AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHERE
THERE WILL BE DEEP LAYER SHEAR/INSTABILITY.

..UPPER MS VALLEY...

ONCE AGAIN STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG QUASISTATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS MN. MODELS INDICATE MODERATE INSTABILITY
FOR TODAY WITH MUCAPE 1000-1200 J/KG. VERY MOIST PROFILES ARE SHOWN
ON THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS THROUGHOUT THIS AREA...THUS IT LOOKS LIKE
THE MAIN THREAT HERE MAY BE STRONG WET MICROBURSTS.

.MCCARTHY.. 05/29/2007

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KRNK [291610]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 291610
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1209 PM EDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W BOONSBORO 37.45N 79.30W
05/28/2007 BEDFORD VA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON WALNUT HOLLOW ROAD.

0257 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE CHAMBLISSBURG 37.27N 79.69W
05/28/2007 BEDFORD VA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREES DOWN ON DICKERSON MILL ROAD.

&&

$$

WHP

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KLUB [291557]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KLUB 291557 CCA
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1053 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM HAIL 8 WNW MEADOW 33.38N 102.33W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH TERRY TX PUBLIC

HAIL DAMAGED YOUNG COTTON CROPS ALONG AN EAST TO
WEST SWATH NORTHWEST OF THE NEEDMORE GIN...SOUTH
OF LOCKETVILLE. EVENT DURATION 840-845 PM.

&&

$$

TLINDLEY

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KLUB [291553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 291553
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1053 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM HAIL 8 WNW MEADOW 33.38N 102.33W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH TERRY TX PUBLIC

HAIL DAMAGED YOUNG COTTON CROPS ALONG AN EAST TO WEST
SWATH NORTHWEST OF THE NEEDMORE GIN...SOUTH OF
LOCKETVILLE.

&&

$$

TLINDLEY

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KCLE [291533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 291533
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1133 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM HAIL 3 SW ATTICA 41.03N 82.93W
05/26/2007 E0.75 INCH SENECA OH PUBLIC

WINDS ESTIMATED AT 60 MPH.

&&

$$

KIELTYKA

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KLBF [291505]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 291505
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1004 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0958 AM FLOOD 10 ESE HAYES CENTER 40.46N 100.84W
05/29/2007 HAYES NE PUBLIC

LAST NIGHTS HEAVY RAINS CREATED A 4 FT WALL OF WATER THAT
MOVED ALONG RED WILLOW CREEK A FEW MILES NNW OF HUGH
BUTLER LAKE...THE WAVE SWEPT OVER BRIGES AND OVERFLOWED
THE BANKS...DAMAGE THAT MAY HAVE OCCURED DUE TO THIS
TORRENT IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KLUB [291500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 291500
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
959 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 PM TSTM WND GST 1 S POST 33.18N 101.38W
05/28/2007 M59.00 MPH GARZA TX MESONET

MEASURED BY TTU WEST TEXAS MESONET.

&&

$$

TLINDLEY

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KABR [291453]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KABR 291453
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
953 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL 6 E MCINTOSH 45.92N 101.23W
05/25/2007 E1.25 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC

0325 PM HAIL 6 E MCINTOSH 45.92N 101.23W
05/25/2007 E1.00 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC

0416 PM HAIL 15 SE ISABEL 45.24N 101.21W
05/25/2007 E0.88 INCH DEWEY SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0520 PM HAIL 4 N ISABEL 45.45N 101.43W
05/25/2007 E0.75 INCH DEWEY SD PUBLIC

0520 PM HAIL 1 E GREEN GRASS 45.17N 101.23W
05/25/2007 E0.75 INCH DEWEY SD PUBLIC

0540 PM HAIL 10 S ISABEL 45.25N 101.43W
05/25/2007 E0.75 INCH DEWEY SD PUBLIC

0622 PM HAIL 6 W PARADE 45.02N 101.23W
05/25/2007 E0.75 INCH DEWEY SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0655 PM HAIL 15 N HAYES 44.59N 101.02W
05/25/2007 E0.88 INCH STANLEY SD PUBLIC

0655 PM HAIL 20 N HAYES 44.66N 101.02W
05/25/2007 E0.88 INCH STANLEY SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

ALBRECHT

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KFWD [291442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 291442
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
942 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM FLASH FLOOD MCGREGOR 31.45N 97.38W
05/28/2007 MCLENNAN TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING: OLD MEXIA RD AND HOG
CREEK RD.

$$

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KRNK [291438]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 291438
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1037 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM HAIL 3 S STEWARTSVILLE 37.22N 79.80W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH BEDFORD VA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

$$

WHP

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KFWD [291435]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 291435
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
935 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM FLASH FLOOD CAMERON 30.86N 96.98W
05/28/2007 MILAM TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE FOLLOWING ROADS WERE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING: FM 487
AT SAN GABRIEL CR, FM 486 AND FM 1915 AT LITTLE RIVER, FM
908 AT BRUSHY CR.

$$

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KFWD [291432]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 291432
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
931 AM CDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM FLASH FLOOD THORNDALE 30.61N 97.20W
05/28/2007 MILAM TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

THE FOLLOWING ROADS WERE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING: FM 1915
AT BIG ELM CR, FM 443 AT TURKEY CR NORTH OF THORNDALE, FM
407 AT CLAYS CR.

$$

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KRNK [291428]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 291428
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1028 AM EDT TUE MAY 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0408 PM HAIL 3 NE DUGSPUR 36.85N 80.58W
05/28/2007 E0.75 INCH CARROLL VA PUBLIC

&&

$$

WHP

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