Monday, October 28, 2013

KTFX [281637]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 281637
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1036 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SE MONTANA CITY 46.51N 111.90W
10/28/2013 M7.4 INCH JEFFERSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE 1030 PM MDT ON THE 27TH. 0.68 INCHES OF
LIQUID EQUIVALENT. STILL SNOWING NOW. REPORT FROM
COCORAHS OBSERVER. ESTIMATED ELEVATION 4800 FEET MSL.


&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

$$

COULSTON

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KTFX [281635]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 281635
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1035 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SE MONTANA CITY 46.51N 111.90W
10/28/2013 M7.4 INCH JEFFERSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE 1030 PM MDT ON THE 27TH. 0.68 INCHES OF
LIQUID EQUIVALENT. STILL SNOWING NOW. REPORT FROM
COCORAHS OBSERVER.


&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

$$

COULSTON

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KTFX [281635]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 281635
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1035 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SE MONTANA CITY 46.51N 111.90W
10/28/2013 M7.4 INCH JEFFERSON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE 1030 PM MDT ON THE 27TH. STILL SNOWING
NOW. REPORT FROM COCORAHS OBSERVER.


&&

$$

COULSTON

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KSLC [281630]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 281630
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1030 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 16 NW DUGWAY 40.37N 113.00W
10/28/2013 M64 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

UPPER CEDAR MOUNTAIN- DPG16.


&&

$$

ES

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KOTX [281624]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 281624
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
924 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 W NEWPORT 48.18N 117.16W
10/27/2013 PEND OREILLE WA TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE WAS REPORTED DOWN AS A RESULT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS.


&&

$$

FLIEHMAN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281621
SWODY1
SPC AC 281619

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013

VALID 281630Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE CNTRL/SRN
HIGH PLNS AND CNTRL KS...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFIED SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
TUE...DOWNSTREAM FROM STRONG E PACIFIC/NW CANADA RIDGE. SATELLITE
LOOPS SUGGEST THAT SWD MOVEMENT OF CA-NV UPR LOW SHOULD CEASE LATER
TODAY...WITH THE SYSTEM EDGING E OR ENE INTO NE NV BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT A GRADUAL STRENGTHENING AND PERHAPS
SLIGHT BACKING OF MID/UPR-LVL WSWLY FLOW DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE
CNTRL/SRN PLNS. AT THE SFC...THE WSW MID-LVL FLOW WILL MAINTAIN LEE
TROUGH/LOW OVER THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLNS...WHILE COLD FRONT MARKING
THE LEADING EDGE OF SEASONABLY COLD...SHALLOW...POLAR AIR MASS
ADVANCES FARTHER S/SW ACROSS ERN CO AND NRN KS.

STRENGTHENING WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT ATOP THE AFOREMENTIONED POLAR
FRONT SHOULD LEAD TO EPISODES OF ELEVATED CONVECTION/TSTMS TNGT AND
EARLY TUE ACROSS MUCH OF KS AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NRN OK...WRN
MO...AND SRN NEB. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY TAP SUFFICIENT ELEVATED
CAPE TO YIELD SVR HAIL. IN THE MEAN TIME...A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
ALSO WILL EXIST FOR A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SVR SFC-BASED STORMS
LATE THIS AFTN OR EARLY THIS EVE S OF THE FRONT IN SW KS AND OVER
THE OK/NRN TX PANHANDLES...WHERE LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE WILL FOCUS
ALONG LEE TROUGH/DRY LINE.

...CNTRL PLNS LATER TODAY THROUGH EARLY TUE...
DEVELOPING DIURNAL CIRCULATIONS AND CONTINUED INFLOW OF BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE NNW ACROSS WRN/NW TX SHOULD ALLOW SFC DRY LINE/LEE
TROUGH TO BECOME BETTER DEFINED TODAY...WITH THE FEATURE LIKELY
EXTENDING FROM SFC LOW IN FAR SE CO/SW KS SWD THROUGH NW PORTIONS OF
THE TX PANHANDLE INTO W TX BY EARLY EVE.

BOTH LOW-LVL HEATING AND CONVERGENCE SHOULD FOCUS ALONG THE DRY LINE
LATER TODAY...WITH STRATUS CLOUDS LIMITING BREADTH OF LOW-LVL
DESTABILIZATION CORRIDOR TO ITS EAST. SATELLITE AND MODEL DATA
SUGGEST THAT LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ACROSS REGION WILL REMAIN
WEAK...ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME HINT THAT UPR IMPULSE NOW NEARING THE
AZ-NM BORDER WILL GLANCE SW KS TOWARD EVE.

AT ANY RATE...A CONDITIONAL RISK FOR A SVR STORM OR TWO WILL EXIST
ALONG AND JUST E OF THE DRY LINE...ESPECIALLY FROM NRN PORTIONS OF
THE TX PANHANDLE NNE INTO SW KS LATE THIS AFTN/EARLY TNGT...WHERE
AMPLE /40-50 KT/ WSWLY DEEP SHEAR WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS. WHILE
SOME QUESTION REMAIN REGARDING DEGREE OF MOISTURE AVAILABILITY
/ESPECIALLY GIVEN THAT THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE THAT WOULD BE
NECESSARY FOR LARGE HAIL...I.E...BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS IN THE
UPR 50S TO LOW 60S...ATTM REMAINS CONFINED TO VICINITY OF
DISSIPATING FRONT NOW E-SE OF LBB-CDS/...THE RISK FOR SUSTAINED
STORMS DOES APPEAR SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A MODEST EXTENSION OF THE
EXISTING SLIGHT RISK AREA SSW INTO THE OK/NRN TX PANHANDLES...MAINLY
FOR SVR HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.

OTHERWISE...NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF SSWLY LLJ...INCREASING
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT PROVIDED BY THE CONTINUED ENE ADVANCE OF AZ-NM
UPR IMPULSE...AND PERSISTENT MOISTURE RETURN TOGETHER SUGGEST GOOD
POTENTIAL FOR NOCTURNAL ELEVATED STORMS CAPABLE OF SVR HAIL ALONG
AND N OF STALLING POLAR FRONT IN KS. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD
AFFECT ADJACENT PARTS OF WRN MO...NRN OK...AND POSSIBLY SE NEB BY
THE END OF THE PERIOD.

..CORFIDI/SMITH.. 10/28/2013

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KMTR [281620]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMTR 281620
LSRMTR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
919 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0812 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 E LIVERMORE 37.69N 121.61W
10/27/2013 M75 MPH ALAMEDA CA MESONET

MESONET STATION ALTAMONT /AATC1/


1157 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 57 SE HOLLISTER 36.35N 120.60W
10/27/2013 M69 MPH SAN BENITO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION SANTA RITA GOES /SRTC1/


0745 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 ESE BLACKHAWK 37.79N 121.74W
10/27/2013 M62 MPH CONTRA COSTA CA MESONET

MESONET STATION LOS VAQUEROS RAWS /VAQC1/


1018 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 ENE FREMONT 37.55N 121.84W
10/27/2013 M61 MPH ALAMEDA CA MESONET

MESONET STATION CALAVERAS RD RAWS /PEAC1/


0700 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 E LIVERMORE 37.69N 121.63W
10/27/2013 M61 MPH ALAMEDA CA MESONET

MESONET STATION 7 E LIVERMORE /CQ234/ PATTERSON PASS RD

&&

$$

NWS SAN FRANCISCO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSLC [281607]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 281607
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1007 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0703 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S ENTERPRISE 37.56N 113.72W
10/28/2013 M63.00 MPH WASHINGTON UT MESONET

ENTERPRISE RAWS- ENTU1. GUSTS 58 MPH AND HIGHER BEGAN
12Z.

0810 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N MILFORD 38.42N 113.01W
10/28/2013 M58.00 MPH BEAVER UT ASOS

MILFORD ASOS- KMLF.

0910 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW CEDAR CITY 37.71N 113.10W
10/28/2013 M70.00 MPH IRON UT ASOS

CEDAR CITY ASOS- KCDC. GUSTS CONSISTENTLY 40 TO 60 KNOTS
BEGINNING AT 13Z.


&&

$$

ES

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KMSO [281603]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 281603
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1002 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST COLUMBIA FALLS 48.37N 114.18W
10/28/2013 M62 MPH FLATHEAD MT COCORAHS


&&

$$

KINO

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KTFX [281559]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 281559
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
959 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0758 AM SNOW 12 WSW BYNUM 47.90N 112.55W
10/28/2013 E3.0 INCH TETON MT PUBLIC


&&

$$

PN

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KSTO [281526]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281526
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
826 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 5 ENE PINECREST 38.21N 119.89W
10/28/2013 M5.8 INCH TUOLUMNE CA MESONET

MESONET STATION 5 E PINECREST /GNLC1/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS SACRAMENTO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281526]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281526
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
825 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 5 W TWIN BRIDGES 38.80N 120.21W
10/28/2013 M8.9 INCH EL DORADO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION FORNI RIDGE /FOIC1/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS SACRAMENTO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281525]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281525
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
825 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM SNOW 5 ENE KYBURZ 38.80N 120.22W
10/28/2013 M11.6 INCH EL DORADO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION 5 ENE KYBURZ /ALPHA/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS SACRAMENTO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281521]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281521
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
821 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0819 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 WSW DONNER PEAK 39.30N 120.33W
10/28/2013 M15.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

SUGARBOWL SKI RESORT REPORTS 15 INCHES OF
NEW SNOW AT THE SUMMIT, AND 12 INCHES AT THE
BASE.



&&

$$

NWS SACRAMENTO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KMSO [281515]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 281515
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
914 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM BLIZZARD 5 E ELLISTON 46.56N 112.32W
10/28/2013 POWELL MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WINDS BLOWING 20-30 MPH ON MACDONALD PASS WITH A WIND
CHILL OF -3F.


&&

$$

KINO

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KREV [281501]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 281501
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
800 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0231 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NE RENO 39.58N 119.77W
10/27/2013 M61.00 MPH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

AT THE NWS OFFICE IN NORTH RENO.

0239 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 ESE LAKE CITY 41.62N 120.16W
10/27/2013 M55.00 MPH MODOC CA MESONET

SURPRISE VALLEY RAWS

0300 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NE INCLINE VILLAGE 39.31N 119.89W
10/27/2013 M103 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

MEASURED ON SLIDE MOUNTAIN.

0338 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 E INCLINE VILLAGE 39.24N 119.88W
10/27/2013 M65.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

LITTLE VALLEY RAWS

0511 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 NW RENO 39.64N 119.96W
10/27/2013 M61.00 MPH WASHOE NV DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

A WIND GUST OF 61 MPH WAS RECORDED AT THE COLD SPRINGS
NDOT SITE ON US HWY 395 AT THE CA/NV BORDER.

0516 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW GARDNERVILLE 38.91N 119.83W
10/27/2013 M57.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0526 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNW RENO 39.60N 119.84W
10/27/2013 M55.00 MPH WASHOE NV DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

BLACK SPRINGS

0552 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNE RENO 39.61N 119.79W
10/27/2013 M62.00 MPH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

MEASURED AT THE NWS OFFICE.

0710 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N WASHOE CITY 39.33N 119.81W
10/27/2013 M66.00 MPH WASHOE NV DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

A WIND GUST OF 66 MPH ON THE BROWNS CREEK BRIDGE JUST
NORTH OF WALKER LAKE.

0740 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NE DAVIS CREEK 39.33N 119.79W
10/27/2013 M71.00 MPH WASHOE NV DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

GALENA BRIDGE

0750 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NE MOUNT ROSE SKI ARE 39.38N 119.83W
10/27/2013 M64.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

GALENA RAWS

0813 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 NW HAWTHORNE 38.65N 118.78W
10/27/2013 M67.00 MPH MINERAL NV DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WIND GUST AT WALKER LAKE NDOT SITE.

0835 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 E MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.85W
10/27/2013 M67.00 MPH MONO CA AWOS

A WIND GUST OF 67 MPH AT THE MAMMOTH AIRPORT.

0955 PM HAIL 6 SW VIRGINIA CITY 39.69N 119.54W
10/27/2013 M0.50 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

1015 PM HAIL SPANISH SPRINGS 39.62N 119.72W
10/27/2013 M0.50 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

0614 AM SNOW 2 S CARSON CITY 39.14N 119.76W
10/28/2013 M1.5 INCH CARSON CITY NV TRAINED SPOTTER

A TOTAL OF 1.5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.

0722 AM SNOW 1 WNW MAMMOTH LAKES 37.65N 118.98W
10/28/2013 M2.0 INCH MONO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A TOTAL OF 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.

0730 AM SNOW 10 S MONO LAKE 37.86N 119.01W
10/28/2013 M3.5 INCH MONO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A TOTAL OF 3.5 IHCHES OF SNOWFALL IN THE PAST 24 HOURS AT
AN ELEVATION OF 7000 FT.

0736 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 S PROSSER CREEK RESER 39.32N 120.18W
10/28/2013 M13.0 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A TOTAL OF 13 INCHES OF SNOW OVERNIGHT AT AN ELEVATION OF
6300 FT.

0740 AM SNOW 2 SW HOMEWOOD 39.06N 120.19W
10/28/2013 M3.9 INCH PLACER CA CO-OP OBSERVER

A TOTAL OF 3.9 INCHES OF SNOWFALL OVERNIGHT NEAR TAHOMA.


&&

$$

O'HARA

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KCYS [281459]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 281459
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
859 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0844 AM FREEZING RAIN 6 S HAWK SPRINGS 41.70N 104.27W
10/28/2013 E0.00 INCH GOSHEN WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT WEBCAM ON U.S.85 6S OF HAWK SPRINGS ICING OVER FROM
FREEZING RAIN. LOVERCHECK HILL

0844 AM FREEZING RAIN DOUGLAS 42.76N 105.39W
10/28/2013 E0.00 INCH CONVERSE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT WEBCAM ON I25 NEAR DOUGLAS AND MILE MARKER 151 NEAR
NATURAL BRIDGE ICED OVER FROM FREEZING RAIN.

0847 AM FREEZING RAIN 15 E LUSK 42.76N 104.16W
10/28/2013 E0.00 INCH NIOBRARA WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT WEBCAMS 14E OF LUSK ON U.S. 20 AND U.S.18 3W OF
LUSK ICING OVER FROM FREEZING RAIN.


&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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KHNX [281451]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 281451
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HANFORD CA
750 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 27 ESE JOHNSONDALE 35.88N 118.08W
10/28/2013 M62 MPH TULARE CA MESONET

MESONET STATION BEAR PEAK /BPKC1/


0513 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 WNW MCKITTRICK 35.36N 119.82W
10/28/2013 M56 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MESONET STATION TWISSLEMAN /TWMC1/


0500 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 W INYOKERN 35.66N 118.06W
10/28/2013 M49 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MESONET STATION WALKER PASS /ONYC1/


0525 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 W INYOKERN 35.66N 118.03W
10/28/2013 M47 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MESONET STATION WALKER PASS EAST /TR174/


0615 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE MOJAVE 35.07N 118.15W
10/28/2013 M47 MPH KERN CA AWOS

AWOS STATION MOJAVE AWOS /MHV/


0627 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 19 WSW FIREBAUGH 36.73N 120.77W
10/28/2013 M43 MPH FRESNO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION PANOCHE ROAD RAWS /PCEC1/



&&

$$

JDB

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KSTO [281448]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281448
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
748 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0747 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 WSW KINGVALE 39.32N 120.45W
10/28/2013 M9.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

9 INCHES OF SNOW FELL OVERNIGHT. WATER
EQUIVALENT OF 0.85 INCHES.



&&

$$

NWS SACRAMENTO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [281446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 281446
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
745 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0743 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 ESE CAMINO 38.72N 120.63W
10/28/2013 M0.60 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAIN FELL OVERNIGHT.



&&

$$

NWS SACRAMENTO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSEW [281416]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 281416
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
716 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0804 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NE BELLINGHAM 48.80N 122.37W
10/27/2013 M65 MPH WHATCOM WA TRAINED SPOTTER

GUST RECORDED BY ANEMOMETER WITH EAST WIND. KNOCKED POWER
OUT.


&&

$$

ALBRECHT

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KVEF [281411]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 281411
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
710 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0647 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW SUMMERLIN 36.17N 115.33W
10/28/2013 M59 MPH CLARK NV MESONET

A SENSOR AT PALO VERDE HIGH SCHOOL REPORTED A 59 MPH GUST
AT AN ELEVATION OF 3094 FT.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KVEF [281353]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 281353
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
652 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0413 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSW MERCURY 36.62N 116.03W
10/28/2013 M58.00 MPH NYE NV ASOS

THE DESERT ROCK ASOS REPORTED A 58 MPH GUST AT AN
ELEVATION OF 2328 FT.

0600 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 SW LAS VEGAS 36.13N 115.19W
10/28/2013 CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

WIND KNOCKED OUT POWER TO ABOUT 700 CUSTOMERS IN THE AREA
NEAR VALLEY VIEW BLVD AND SPRING MOUNTAIN ROAD.

0600 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG INDIAN SPRINGS 36.57N 115.67W
10/28/2013 CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

WIND KNOCKED OUT POWER TO 600 CUSTOMERS.

0600 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG GOODSPRINGS 35.83N 115.43W
10/28/2013 CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

WIND KNOCKED OUT POWER TO ABOUT 72 CUSTOMERS IN
GOODSPRINGS.

0623 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW FOSSIL RIDGE 36.44N 115.33W
10/28/2013 M65.00 MPH CLARK NV MESONET

THE YUCCA GAP RAWS MEASURED A 65 MPH GUST AT AN ELEVATION
OF 3180 FT.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KCYS [281340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 281340
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
740 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FREEZING RAIN 7 N WHEATLAND 42.15N 104.96W
10/28/2013 E0.20 INCH PLATTE WY PUBLIC

ESTIMATED .2 INCHES OF ICE ON VEHICLE


&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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KOTX [281335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 281335
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
635 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 16 NE SPOKANE 47.84N 117.17W
10/27/2013 SPOKANE WA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

MULTIPLE TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN, BLOCKING SR206 AT
MILEPOST 12. THE TIME INDICATED IS APPROXIMATE.


&&

$$

NWS SPOKANE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281254
SWODY1
SPC AC 281251

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013

VALID 281300Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS KS...

...SYNOPSIS...
PRINCIPAL UPPER-AIR INFLUENCE ON CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THIS PERIOD
WILL BE LARGE/WELL-DEFINED CYCLONE...NOW CENTERED OVER NRN CA/NV
BORDER. THIS FEATURE IS DECELERATING MARKEDLY ATTM...BASED ON
MOISTURE-CHANNEL SATELLITE ANIMATIONS. RELATED 500-MB LOW IS FCST
TO PIVOT ENEWD ACROSS NRN NV TO NV-ID BORDER REGION THROUGH
REMAINDER PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...SFC LOW IS FCST TO DEVELOP
WITHIN LEE-SIDE TROUGHING ALREADY ANALYZED OVER SRN/CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. THIS LOW LIKELY WILL RESULT FROM MERGER OF WEAK EXISTING
LOW NEAR LHX WITH FRONTAL ZONE NOW MOVING SWD ACROSS ERN CO AND NWRN
KS. BY 00Z...SFC LOW SHOULD BE LOCATED OVER SERN CO...WITH FRONT
QUASISTATIONARY AND EXTENDING ENEWD OVER PORTIONS WRN/NRN KS. SFC
CYCLONE IS FCST TO EJECT NEWD ACROSS SWRN/W-CENTRAL KS
TONIGHT...WITH BOUNDARY TO ITS NE LIFTING NWD AS WARM FRONT ACROSS
NRN KS.

SFC DRYLINE CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM TX BIG BEND REGION NWD BETWEEN
INK-HOB...THEN BECOMING DIFFUSE NEWD ACROSS TX SOUTH-PLAINS REGION.
DRYLINE SHOULD BECOME BETTER-DEFINED WITH NWD EXTENT TODAY FROM TX
PANHANDLE TO EXTREME SWRN KS/EXTREME SERN CO AREA AS MOIST ADVECTION
CONTINUES TO BOOST BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE TO ITS E.

CONDITIONAL BUT MULTI-MODAL SVR RISK IS EVIDENT FOR ANY SFC-BASED
CONVECTION THAT CAN FORM NEAR DRYLINE AND FRONT THIS AFTN AND EARLY
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY MORE CERTAIN SVR-HAIL POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED
WITH INCREASING TSTM COVERAGE OVER KS TONIGHT.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...DAYTIME...
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED TO BE MAXIMIZED THIS AFTN JUST NE
AND SE OF SFC LOW ALONG THOSE BOUNDARIES...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
DRYLINE BULGE INTO PARTS OF OK PANHANDLE AND SWRN KS. PRIMARY
LIMITING FACTOR FOR TSTM COVERAGE...AND POSSIBLY FOR SFC-BASED
INITIATION OF ANY KIND BEFORE DARK...WILL BE STG CAPPING ATOP
BOUNDARY LAYER STILL CHARACTERIZED BY IMMATURE RETURN-FLOW REGIME.
LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL MID-UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT ALSO IS EVIDENT...AND
WEAK HEIGHT RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF DAYLIGHT HOURS OVER
THIS REGION. FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SUFFICIENT HEATING TO BOOST
MLCAPE INTO 1000-1500 J/KG RANGE IN NARROW PLUME OF SUSTAINED
SUNSHINE ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF PANHANDLES AND WRN KS...WHILE
SFC DEW POINTS RISE INTO 50S IMMEDIATELY E OF DRYLINE/FRONT.

ANY SUSTAINED AND RELATIVELY DISCRETE TSTM THAT DEVELOPS IN THIS
ENVIRONMENT COULD BECOME SUPERCELLULAR...GIVEN FCST SOUNDINGS THAT
DEPICT FAVORABLE DEEP SHEAR AND SUFFICIENTLY ENLARGED/CURVED
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. HOWEVER...APPARENTLY SFC-BASED DEVELOPMENT IN
MOST OPERATIONAL AND HI-RES/CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS IS SCANT
BEFORE 00Z. MAIN REASON FOR THIS APPEARS TO BE LACK OF MORE ROBUST
BOUNDARY-LAYER THETAE...GIVEN EARLY-STAGE CHARACTER OF RETURN-FLOW
REGIME AND PRESENCE OF SELY TRAJECTORIES FROM CONTINENTAL
ANTICYCLONE MORE THAN ABOUT 100 NM E OF AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES.

...CENTRAL PLAINS AFTER DARK...
DEEPENING LOW-LEVEL CYCLONE WILL FURTHER STRENGTHEN ANTECEDENT
LOW-LEVEL WAA/MOISTURE-TRANSPORT REGIME THROUGHOUT EVENING...AMIDST
BROAD/45-55 KT LLJ. RESULTING STG ISENTROPIC FORCING TO LFC WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING AMOUNT OF ELEVATED TSTMS LATE THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT...SHIFTING ENEWD ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN KS. TSTM COVERAGE
SHOULD BECOME SCATTERED-NUMEROUS IN CLUSTERS BETWEEN 06Z-12Z. MOST
INTENSE OF THIS CONVECTION WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...SUPPORTED BY
COMBINATION OF 45-55 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES AND MUCAPE
LOCALLY EXCEEDING 1500 J/KG.

..EDWARDS/COHEN.. 10/28/2013

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KTFX [281219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 281219
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
619 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW 5 SW GREAT FALLS 47.46N 111.38W
10/28/2013 M2.3 INCH CASCADE MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

2.3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 12 HOURS AT THE NWS
OFFICE IN GREAT FALLS.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KSGX [281134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 281134
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
433 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE JULIAN 33.10N 116.58W
10/28/2013 M68 MPH SAN DIEGO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION VOLCAN MOUNTAIN /VCMSD/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSGX [281131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 281131
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
430 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ENE PINE VALLEY 32.89N 116.42W
10/28/2013 M75 MPH SAN DIEGO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION MOUNT LAGUNA /HP001/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSGX [281104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 281104
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
404 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE JULIAN 33.10N 116.58W
10/28/2013 M60 MPH SAN DIEGO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION VOLCAN MOUNTAIN /VCMSD/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KTFX [281101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 281101
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
501 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW CONRAD 48.17N 111.95W
10/28/2013 E3.0 INCH PONDERA MT PUBLIC

ESTIMATED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVERNIGHT IN THE
CONRAD AREA.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KSGX [281047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 281047
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
346 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 ESE APPLE VALLEY 34.44N 117.03W
10/28/2013 M57 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION LUCERNE VALLEY /DW4819/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KVEF [281043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 281043
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
343 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0234 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE RED ROCK CANYON 36.13N 115.43W
10/28/2013 M67.00 MPH CLARK NV MESONET

THE RED ROCK RAWS MEASURED A 67 MPH GUST AT AN ELEVATION
OF 3756 FT.

0315 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 WNW MOUNTAINS EDGE 36.02N 115.29W
10/28/2013 CLARK NV NWS EMPLOYEE

A TREE 10-15 FEET TALL WAS BLOWN DOWN NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF EL CAPITAN WAY AND BLUE DIAMOND ROAD.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KSGX [281025]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 281025
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
324 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0256 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE THOUSAND PALMS 33.88N 116.34W
10/28/2013 M63 MPH RIVERSIDE CA MESONET

MESONET STATION SKY VALLEY /EW3081/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KTFX [281016]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 281016
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
416 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM HEAVY SNOW 15 SW DUPUYER 48.06N 112.76W
10/28/2013 E9.0 INCH TETON MT MESONET

ESTIMATED 9 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 7 HOURS AT
THE DUPUYER CREEK SNOTEL. ELEVATION IS 5750 FEET.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [281014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 281014
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
414 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM HEAVY SNOW 11 SSW EAST GLACIER PAR 48.30N 113.33W
10/28/2013 E8.0 INCH GLACIER MT MESONET

ESTIMATED 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 10 HOURS AT
THE PIKE CREEK SNOTEL. ELEVATION IS 5930 FEET.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [281012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 281012
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
412 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM HEAVY SNOW 11 WSW BABB 48.80N 113.67W
10/28/2013 E6.0 INCH GLACIER MT MESONET

ESTIMATED 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 7 HOURS AT
THE MANY GLACIER SNOTEL. ELEVATION IS 4900 FEET.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KVEF [281010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 281010
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
310 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0204 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N INDIAN SPRINGS 36.58N 115.67W
10/28/2013 M64.00 MPH CLARK NV ASOS

THE CREECH AFB ASOS MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH AT AN
ELEVATION OF 3133 FT.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KSGX [281000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 281000
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
259 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1236 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SE RAINBOW 33.36N 117.11W
10/28/2013 M54 MPH SAN DIEGO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION PALA /HP006/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSGX [280959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 280959
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
258 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E CABAZON 33.90N 116.64W
10/28/2013 M56 MPH RIVERSIDE CA MESONET

MESONET STATION WHITE WATER (2 S) /UP442/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSGX [280958]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 280958
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
257 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE JULIAN 33.10N 116.58W
10/28/2013 M57 MPH SAN DIEGO CA MESONET

MESONET STATION VOLCAN MOUNTAIN /VCMSD/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KTFX [280958]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 280958
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
357 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM SNOW 16 SSW JACKSON 45.17N 113.58W
10/28/2013 E3.0 INCH BEAVERHEAD MT MESONET

ESTIMATED 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 6 HOURS AT
DARKHORSE LAKE SNOTEL. ELEVATION IS 8100 FEET.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KSGX [280957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 280957
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
256 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ENE CABAZON 33.95N 116.66W
10/27/2013 M62 MPH RIVERSIDE CA MESONET

MESONET STATION WHITEWATER RAWS /WWAC1/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KVEF [280932]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 280932
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
230 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW MERCURY 36.62N 116.02W
10/27/2013 M63.00 MPH NYE NV MESONET

THE A30 MESONET STATION MEASURED A 63 MPH GUST AT AN
ELEVATION OF 3309 FT.

1100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SE YUCCA FLAT (NTS SR 36.94N 116.04W
10/27/2013 M59.00 MPH NYE NV MESONET

DECON UNDERGROUND DISPOSAL MESONET STATION MEASURED A 59
MPH GUST AT AN ELEVATION 3916 FT.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KVEF [280901]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 280901
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
159 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1259 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SW SPRING MOUNTAIN RA 36.03N 115.52W
10/28/2013 M62 MPH CLARK NV MESONET

MOUNTAIN SPRINGS RAWS MEASURED A 62 MPH GUST AT AN
ELEVATION OF 5600 FT.


&&

$$

METZGER

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 280900
SWOD48
SPC AC 280859

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0359 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013

VALID 311200Z - 051200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A SEVERE RISK REMAINS APPARENT ESPECIALLY ON DAY 4/THURSDAY. THIS
WILL BE AS A CONSIDERABLE UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED
EASTWARD-ACCELERATING COLD FRONT SPREAD EASTWARD AND INTERCEPT A
SEASONALLY MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS FROM THE ARKLATEX/LOWER MS RIVER
VALLEY INTO THE TN/OH RIVER VALLEYS. WHILE EARLY-DAY CONVECTION IS
AN UNCERTAINTY FACTOR...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE MOST FAVORABLE
/OR CERTAIN/ COMBINATION OF MODEST INSTABILITY/STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
WILL BE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ARKLAMISS/TN VALLEY...ALTHOUGH
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE WEAKER WITH SOUTHERN EXTENT. GIVEN A
VERY MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS AND AMPLE LOW-LEVEL/DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR...DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME TORNADOES /POTENTIALLY A FEW STRONG/
WILL BE POSSIBLE.

FARTHER NORTH ON DAY 4/THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH THE EXACT DEGREE OF
DESTABILIZATION IS UNCERTAIN...A SEVERE /DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS
TORNADO/ RISK CANNOT BE DISCOUNTED FOR ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF THE OH
VALLEY/NEARBY GREAT LAKES. THIS INCLUDES THE POSSIBILITY OF A
STRONGLY FORCED/LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE LINE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
ROBUST VERTICAL SHEAR/FORCING FOR ASCENT.

INTO DAY 5/FRIDAY...THE STRONGEST UPPER TROUGH-ASSOCIATED ASCENT
SHOULD SPREAD AWAY FROM THE RICHEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. EVEN SO...A
MOIST AIRMASS/VERY STRONG SHEAR COULD ACCOUNT FOR SOME STRONGER
STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND PERHAPS ADDITIONAL
PARTS OF THE EASTERN CONUS.

..GUYER.. 10/28/2013

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KVEF [280845]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KVEF 280845
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
144 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NE MT. CHARLESTON 36.32N 115.58W
10/27/2013 M70.00 MPH CLARK NV MESONET

SPRING MOUNTAIN YOUTH CAMP MESONET STATION MEASURED A 70
MPH GUST AT AN ELEVATION OF 8380 FT.

0115 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N OWENS VALLEY RAWS 37.41N 118.55W
10/28/2013 M61.00 MPH INYO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED A 61 MPH GUST AT AN ELEVATION
OF 4534 FT.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KVEF [280824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 280824
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
123 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N OWENS VALLEY RAWS 37.41N 118.55W
10/27/2013 M61 MPH INYO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED A 61 MPH GUST AT AN ELEVATION
OF 4534 FT.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KVEF [280810]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 280810
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
103 AM PDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE MT. CHARLESTON 36.27N 115.60W
10/27/2013 M77.00 MPH CLARK NV MESONET

KYLE CANYON RAWS REPORTED A 77 MPH GUST AT AN ELEVATION
OF 7200 FT.


&&

$$

METZGER

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 280732
SWODY3
SPC AC 280730

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS TO LOWER MO RIVER VALLEY...

...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO LOWER/MIDDLE MO VALLEY ...
A CONSIDERABLE UPPER TROUGH/ASSOCIATED STRONG POLAR JET ARE EXPECTED
TO MAKE AN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TRANSITION FROM THE ROCKIES TO MUCH OF
THE PLAINS/MO VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. AS THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW
DEEPENS ACROSS THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY...A COLD FRONT WILL GENERALLY
SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MO VALLEY...WHILE
ADVANCING SOUTHEASTWARD AND GRADUALLY OVERTAKING A DRYLINE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. FACTORS SUCH AS CONTINUED NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE VARIABILITY AND THE POTENTIAL EXTENSIVENESS OF EARLY-DAY
CONVECTION COMPLICATES THE DETAILS AT THE DAY 3 JUNCTURE.
REGARDLESS...THE ADVANCEMENT OF THE UPPER TROUGH...A STRENGTHENING
DEEP LAYER WIND FIELD...AND A SEASONALLY MOIST AIRMASS IMPLY AT SOME
SEVERE RISK WILL EXIST ACROSS A BROAD REGIONAL EXTENT WEDNESDAY.

ALTHOUGH GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS VARY...IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT SCATTERED
TSTMS WILL BE ONGOING WEDNESDAY MORNING TO THE EAST OF A COLD
FRONT/DRY LINE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN INTO CENTRAL PLAINS...INCLUDING A
CORRIDOR FROM NORTH TX AND PORTIONS OF OK INTO KS/MO. THE UNCERTAIN
TIMING/COVERAGE OF SUCH CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER
COMPLICATES THE DETAILS. BUT A VERY MOIST AIRMASS...WEAK TO MODERATE
DESTABILIZATION AND RELATIVELY STRONG SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT
MULTI-FACETED STORM MODES INCLUDING RISKS FOR HAIL/WIND AND POSSIBLY
A TORNADO.

FARTHER NORTH INTO THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY/UPPER MIDWEST...LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL STEADILY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION...BUT THE DEGREE
OF DESTABILIZATION IS UNCERTAIN NEAR/EAST OF THE DEEPENING SURFACE
LOW AND EASTWARD-ACCELERATING COLD FRONT. THIS IS ESPECIALLY GIVEN
THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTENSIVE CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH.
REGARDLESS...SHOULD CONFIDENCE INCREASE IN TERMS OF EVEN MODEST
DESTABILIZATION...A NORTHWARD EXPANSION OF THE CATEGORICAL SLIGHT
RISK WOULD LIKELY BE WARRANTED GIVEN AMPLE FORCING FOR
ASCENT/VERTICAL SHEAR.

..GUYER.. 10/28/2013

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KHGX [280716]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KHGX 280716
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
216 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0443 AM HAIL 5 NW BRENHAM 30.21N 96.46W
10/27/2013 E0.75 INCH WASHINGTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HAIL REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 36.

0510 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW SHENANDOAH 30.18N 95.46W
10/27/2013 MONTGOMERY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NORTHWEST OF THE WOODLANDS MALL.
THERE WAS A TREE DOWN ON A PARKED CAR NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF RESEARCH FOREST DRIVE AND GROGANS MILL
ROAD.

0515 AM TSTM WND DMG SPRING 30.06N 95.38W
10/27/2013 HARRIS TX BROADCAST MEDIA

A DOWNED TREE DAMAGED A RESIDENTIAL FENCE.

0814 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 E BAYOU VISTA 29.36N 94.73W
10/27/2013 M51 MPH GMZ355 TX PORTS

GALVESTON BAY NORTH JETTY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 44
KNOTS.

0822 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 E BAYOU VISTA 29.36N 94.73W
10/27/2013 M53 MPH GMZ355 TX PORTS

GALVESTON BAY NORTH JETTY REPORTED WIND GUST OF 46
KNOTS.

0829 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 E BAYOU VISTA 29.36N 94.73W
10/27/2013 M44 MPH GMZ355 TX PORTS

GALVESTON BAY NORTH JETTY REPORTED WIND GUST OF 38
KNOTS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1300197 HGX1300199 HGX1300200 HGX1300201 HGX1300198
HGX1300202

$$

BLOOD

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KHGX [280711]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KHGX 280711
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
210 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0443 AM HAIL 5 NW BRENHAM 30.21N 96.46W
10/27/2013 E0.75 INCH WASHINGTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HAIL REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 36.

0510 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW SHENANDOAH 30.18N 95.46W
10/27/2013 MONTGOMERY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NORTHWEST OF THE WOODLANDS MALL.
THERE WAS A TREE DOWN ON A PARKED CAR NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF RESEARCH FOREST DRIVE AND GROGANS MILL
ROAD.

0515 AM TSTM WND DMG SPRING 30.06N 95.38W
10/27/2013 HARRIS TX BROADCAST MEDIA

A DOWNED TREE DAMAGED A RESIDENTIAL FENCE.

0814 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 E BAYOU VISTA 29.36N 94.73W
10/27/2013 M51 MPH GMZ355 TX PORTS

GALVESTON BAY NORTH JETTY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 44
KNOTS.

0822 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 E BAYOU VISTA 29.36N 94.73W
10/27/2013 M53 MPH GMZ355 TX PORTS

GALVESTON BAY NORTH JETTY REPORTED WIND GUST OF 46
KNOTS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1300197 HGX1300199 HGX1300200 HGX1300201 HGX1300198

$$

BLOOD

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KHGX [280659]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KHGX 280659
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
159 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0443 AM HAIL 5 NW BRENHAM 30.21N 96.46W
10/27/2013 E0.75 INCH WASHINGTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HAIL REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 36.

0510 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW SHENANDOAH 30.18N 95.46W
10/27/2013 MONTGOMERY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NORTHWEST OF THE WOODLANDS MALL.
THERE WAS A TREE DOWN ON A PARKED CAR NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF RESEARCH FOREST DRIVE AND GROGANS MILL
ROAD.

0515 AM TSTM WND DMG SPRING 30.06N 95.38W
10/27/2013 HARRIS TX BROADCAST MEDIA

A DOWNED TREE DAMAGED A RESIDENTIAL FENCE.

0822 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 E BAYOU VISTA 29.36N 94.73W
10/27/2013 M53 MPH GMZ355 TX PORTS

GALVESTON BAY NORTH JETTY REPORTED WIND GUST OF 46KTS


&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1300197 HGX1300199 HGX1300200 HGX1300198

$$

BLOOD

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KTFX [280646]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 280646
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1245 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1143 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SW WOLF CREEK 46.92N 112.19W
10/27/2013 M62 MPH LEWIS AND CLARK MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

62 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR ON INTERSTATE 15
NEAR SIEBEN FLATS.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [280630]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 280630
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1229 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1153 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 E BOZEMAN 45.68N 110.82W
10/27/2013 M50 MPH GALLATIN MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

50 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR ON BOZEMAN PASS ON
INTERSTATE 90.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KSLC [280626]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 280626
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1226 AM MDT MON OCT 28 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM TSTM WND GST 15 W WEST WARREN 41.26N 112.44W
10/28/2013 M66 MPH BOX ELDER UT MESONET

PROMONTORY POINT SENSOR PRP


&&

$$

CRK

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 280601
SWODY2
SPC AC 280600

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL REMAIN OVER THE CONUS INTO
TUESDAY...HIGHLIGHTED BY AN INCREASINGLY EASTWARD-PROGRESSIVE UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES AND SOUTHWEST STATES. THE INFLUENCES OF THIS
UPPER TROUGH...COINCIDENT WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS FOR THE SEASON
ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS...WILL LEAD TO TSTM POTENTIAL
/INCLUDING SOME SEVERE/ ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE
LOWER/MIDDLE MO RIVER VALLEY AND MIDDLE MS VALLEY.

...SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TO LOWER/MIDDLE MO VALLEY...
INFLUENCED BY LEE SIDE TROUGHING AND A SOUTHEAST STATES
ANTICYCLONE...PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES AND A VERY
MOIST SOURCE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO HELP ESTABLISH A RELATIVELY
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TUESDAY. THIS MOISTURE WILL LIKELY
CONTRIBUTE TO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO THE EAST OF A
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS SURFACE LOW AND LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE...AND TO THE
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST OF WHAT WILL LIKELY BE A CONVECTIVELY REINFORCED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS PARTS OF KS AND THE ADJACENT LOWER MO
VALLEY/MIDDLE MS VALLEY.

HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN AFTERNOON SURFACE-BASED DEVELOPMENT
NEAR/EAST OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS SURFACE LOW AND DRYLINE HAS
DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 24 HR...MAINLY ATTRIBUTABLE TO CAPPING AND
MODEST MASS CONVERGENCE UNDER NEUTRAL BROAD-SCALE INFLUENCES.
THUS...SOME QUESTIONS EXIST REGARDING THE NECESSITY OF A SLIGHT RISK
ESPECIALLY GIVEN WHAT NOW APPEARS TO BE A NOCTURNAL PEAK CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL. THAT SAID...SOME LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
SURFACE-BASED TSTMS CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT ACROSS PARTS OF
WEST TX/TX PANHANDLE...AND PERHAPS EVEN SOUTHERN/EASTERN
KS...ALTHOUGH THE IMPACTS OF EARLY DAY ELEVATED CONVECTION ACROSS KS
ARE UNCERTAIN.

A VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL RESIDE TO THE EAST OF THE HIGH
PLAINS SURFACE LOW AND LEE TROUGH/DRY LINE...WITH STRONG VERTICAL
SHEAR /40-55 KT/ OVERSPREADING THE WARM SECTOR...WHICH WOULD SUPPORT
A CONDITIONAL/ISOLATED SEVERE RISK. OF MORE CERTAINTY IS THAT AT
LEAST WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITHIN A GENERAL
CORRIDOR FROM WEST TX NORTHEASTWARD INTO FAR WESTERN OK AND PORTIONS
OF KS AS STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT BEGINS TO INFLUENCE THE REGION.
ISOLATED BOUTS OF SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN AMPLE ELEVATED
INSTABILITY/CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR...BUT A FEW NEAR-SURFACE BASED TSTMS
CANNOT BE ENTIRELY DISCOUNTED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
TUESDAY NIGHT.

..GUYER.. 10/28/2013

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 280559
SWODY1
SPC AC 280556

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE WRN AND CENTRAL KS
VICINITY...

...SYNOPSIS...
AS A SRN STREAM MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH CROSSING THE SERN U.S.
MOVES TOWARD/OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE
PERIOD...A MUCH LARGER LOW/TROUGH WILL RESIDE OVER THE WRN CONUS.
THIS SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO MAKE ONLY LIMITED EWD PROGRESS...BUT THE
OVERALL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FORECAST TO EXPAND WITH
TIME...COVERING THE ENTIRE WRN THIRD OF THE U.S. BY THE SECOND HALF
OF THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...A LOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN REGION IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN WITH TIME THROUGH THE DAY...WHILE A SECONDARY LOW INVOF THE
SERN CO VICINITY BECOMES THE PRIMARY CYCLONE...MOVING SLOWLY EWD
INTO KS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS LOW -- AND A WARM FRONT
EXTENDING EWD ACROSS KS INTO MO -- WILL LIKELY FOCUS A BROAD ZONE OF
MAINLY ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY AFTER DARK.

...KS AND VICINITY...
WEAKLY RISING MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TX/OK/KS
REGION THROUGH THE DAY AS THE WRN UPPER LOW EXPANDS. ASSOCIATED
LARGE-SCALE SUBSIDENCE ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO HINDER WARM-SECTOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT -- AT LEAST UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING IF NOT ALTOGETHER. WHILE AN ISOLATED SURFACE-BASED CELL OR
TWO MAY EVENTUALLY INITIATE NEAR THE LOW...MORE WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR/N OF THE WARM FRONT DURING
THE EVENING...WHERE INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT/WARM ADVECTION WILL
OCCUR IN CONJUNCTION WITH A STRENGTHENING SLY LOW-LEVEL JET.

THE GREATEST SEVERE RISK -- MAINLY IN THE FORM OF HAIL -- WOULD
EXIST WITH WARM SECTOR CONVECTION...WHERE 500 TO 1000 J/KG
MIXED-LAYER CAPE WILL COEXIST WITH A WIND FIELD EXHIBITING
SUBSTANTIAL VEERING/STRENGTHENING WITH HEIGHT...THUS FAVORING
SUPERCELL STORMS. WHILE A LOCAL THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS OR
PERHAPS EVEN A TORNADO WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM BASED AT OR
NEAR THE SURFACE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...HAIL IS EXPECTED TO
BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE RISK ACROSS THE REGION -- PARTICULARLY AFTER
DARK WHEN EVEN A WARM SECTOR STORM WOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY
ELEVATED ABOVE THE STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER. SOME RISK FOR
MARGINAL HAIL MAY SPREAD AS FAR E AS SERN NEB/NWRN MO OVERNIGHT...AS
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE EXPANDS IN CONJUNCTION WITH INCREASING LOW-LEVEL
WARM ADVECTION.

..GOSS/CARBIN.. 10/28/2013

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KTFX [280553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 280553
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1153 PM MDT SUN OCT 27 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1117 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SW WOLF CREEK 46.92N 112.19W
10/27/2013 M62 MPH LEWIS AND CLARK MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

62 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR ON INTERSTATE 15
NEAR SIEBEN FLATS.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [280552]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 280552
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1152 PM MDT SUN OCT 27 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0712 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SW WOLF CREEK 46.92N 112.19W
10/27/2013 M60 MPH LEWIS AND CLARK MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

60 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR BY SIEBEN FLATS ON
INTERSTATE 15.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KOTX [280537]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 280537
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1037 PM PDT SUN OCT 27 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1034 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 15 N BOVILL 47.08N 116.39W
10/27/2013 BENEWAH ID DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

IDAHO HIGHWAY 3 BLOCKED BY FALLEN TREES AT MILE POST 55
NEAR THE CLARKIA RANGER STATION


&&

$$

BTOBIN

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KVEF [280512]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 280512
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1012 PM PDT SUN OCT 27 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0942 PM NON-TSTM WND GST OAK CREEK RAWS 36.84N 118.26W
10/27/2013 M98 MPH INYO CA MESONET

THE OAK CREEK RAWS LOCATED AT AN ELEVATION OF 4900 FEET
MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 98 MPH.


&&

$$

ASG

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KOTX [280454]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 280454
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
954 PM PDT SUN OCT 27 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0943 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 N PRIEST RIVER 48.26N 116.91W
10/27/2013 BONNER ID DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

IDAHO HIGHWAY 57 CLOSED 5 MILES NORTH OF PRIEST RIVER ID
DUE TO TREES BLOCKING THE ROAD


&&

$$

BTOBIN

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KVEF [280400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 280400
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
900 PM PDT SUN OCT 27 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0842 PM NON-TSTM WND GST OAK CREEK RAWS 36.84N 118.26W
10/27/2013 M88 MPH INYO CA MESONET

THE OAK CREEK RAWS LOCATED AT AN ELEVATION 4900 FEET
MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 88 MPH.


&&

$$

ASG

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