Wednesday, October 10, 2007

KLUB [110145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 110145
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
845 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0843 PM HAIL 8 NW COTTON CENTER 34.07N 102.09W
10/10/2007 E1.75 INCH LAMB TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HAIL DAMAGED AND BLEW OUT CAR WINDOWS

&&

$$

FB

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KAMA [110143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KAMA 110143
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
843 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0648 PM HAIL 4 N AMARILLO 35.26N 101.82W
10/10/2007 E1.75 INCH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL ON NORTH COLORADO ST
NEAR LOOP 335


&&

CORRECTED COUNTY/STATE...LOCATION

EVENT NUMBER 00009

$$

JOHNSON

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KPUB [110128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 110128
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
728 PM MDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HAIL 8 E CAMPO 37.10N 102.43W
10/10/2007 M0.88 INCH BACA CO PUBLIC

HAIL COVERING THE GROUND. ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS UP TO 60
MPH.

0607 PM HAIL 8 E CAMPO 37.10N 102.43W
10/10/2007 M1.00 INCH BACA CO PUBLIC


&&

$$

KT

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KLUB [110114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 110114
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
814 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM HAIL 4 SW HALFWAY 34.15N 102.00W
10/10/2007 E2.75 INCH HALE TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

RMCQUEEN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 110054
SWODY1
SPC AC 110051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SRN HIGH PLAINS...
STRONG SRN STREAM MID LEVEL IMPULSE IS CLEARLY UNDERCUTTING HIGH
AMPLITUDE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS THIS EVENING PER
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SHORT-TERM OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE.
RESULTING DEEP-LAYER ASCENT AND SURFACE HEATING HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO
STEEP LOW THROUGH MID LEVEL /850-500MB/ LAPSE RATES AROUND 8 C/KM.
LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW...AND MOISTURE FOCUSED ALONG FRONTAL ZONE ON
SWRN PERIPHERY OF EXTENSIVE CNTRL NOAM ANTICYCLONE...COUPLED WITH
LARGE SCALE FORCING...HAVE AIDED DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED INTENSE
STORMS FROM THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SWRN NM NEWD TO THE TX AND OK
PNHDLS.

MODEST DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WITHIN THE STORM INFLOW LAYER AND RESULTING
DEEP-LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-35KT EXIST ACROSS THE REGION BASED
ON EVENING PROFILER AND SOUNDING DATA. THIS ENVIRONMENT HAS
SUPPORTED GENERALLY SLOW SEWD-MOVING SUPERCELLS WITH A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

ACTIVITY IS LIKELY CLOSE TO A PEAK IN TERMS OF AREAL COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY GIVEN TIME OF DAY AND ONGOING DOWNWARD TREND IN AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...GIVEN CONTINUATION OF LARGE SCALE LIFT ACROSS
THE REGION...AND PRESENCE OF SEVERAL WELL-FORMED SUPERCELLS...A
LOCAL SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL ACCOMPANY THE MORE
INTENSE STORMS FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS.

.CARBIN.. 10/11/2007

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KAMA [110051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 110051
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
751 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0747 PM HAIL 6 E AMARILLO 35.20N 101.71W
10/10/2007 M0.75 INCH POTTER TX OTHER FEDERAL

RECORDED AT THE TOWER AT RICK HUSBAND INTL AIRPORT


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00020

$$

JOHNSON

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KLUB [110044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 110044
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
744 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM TSTM WND GST 3 N HART 34.43N 102.11W
10/10/2007 M70 MPH CASTRO TX MESONET


&&

$$

RMCQUEEN

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KAMA [110036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 110036
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
736 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM HAIL 5 E AMARILLO 35.20N 101.73W
10/10/2007 E1.25 INCH POTTER TX NWS EMPLOYEE

ONE AND ONE QUARTER INCH HAIL AT LAKESIDE AND
INTERSTATE 40


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00019

$$

CK

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KPUB [110036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 110036
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
635 PM MDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HAIL 8 E CAMPO 37.10N 102.43W
10/10/2007 M0.88 INCH BACA CO PUBLIC

HAIL COVERING THE GROUND. ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS UP TO 60
MPH.


&&

$$

KT

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KAMA [110030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 110030
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
730 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM HAIL 5 E AMARILLO 35.20N 101.73W
10/10/2007 E1.00 INCH POTTER TX NWS EMPLOYEE

NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT LAKESIDE AND LOOP 335


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00018

$$

CK

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KAMA [110029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 110029
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
729 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0728 PM HAIL 5 E AMARILLO 35.20N 101.73W
10/10/2007 E0.75 INCH POTTER TX NWS EMPLOYEE

LAKESIDE AND LOOP 335


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00017

$$

CK

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KAMA [110026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 110026
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
726 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0726 PM HAIL 7 NE AMARILLO 35.27N 101.73W
10/10/2007 E0.75 INCH POTTER TX NWS EMPLOYEE

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT LOOP 335 AND FRITCH
HWY


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00016

$$

JOHNSON

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KLUB [110019]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 110019
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
719 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0707 PM HAIL 7 NE DIMMITT 34.62N 102.23W
10/10/2007 E0.88 INCH CASTRO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0713 PM HAIL NAZARETH 34.54N 102.10W
10/10/2007 E1.00 INCH CASTRO TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

RMCQUEEN

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KPUB [110014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 110014
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
614 PM MDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0607 PM HAIL 8 E CAMPO 37.10N 102.43W
10/10/2007 M1.00 INCH BACA CO PUBLIC


&&

$$

KT

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KAMA [110008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 110008
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
708 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 PM HAIL 7 N AMARILLO 35.30N 101.82W
10/10/2007 E1.00 INCH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT BROADWAY AND CHERRY


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00015

$$

JOHNSON

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KAMA [110004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 110004
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
704 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0702 PM HAIL 6 NNW AMARILLO 35.28N 101.86W
10/10/2007 E0.75 INCH POTTER TX TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO ALMOST QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN CHAPARRAL HILLS


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00014

$$

JOHNSON

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KAMA [110002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 110002
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
702 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM HAIL 5 NW AMARILLO 35.25N 101.88W
10/10/2007 E1.75 INCH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00013

$$

JOHNSON

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KAMA [102356]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102356
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
656 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0646 PM HAIL 4 NNE AMARILLO 35.26N 101.79W
10/10/2007 E1.00 INCH POTTER TX PUBLIC

NORTH 24TH AND GRAND


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00012

$$

CK

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KAMA [102354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102354
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
654 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0648 PM HAIL 2 NE AMARILLO 35.22N 101.79W
10/10/2007 E1.75 INCH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL NEAR MESA VERDE ELEMENTARY


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00011

$$

JOHNSON

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KAMA [102352]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102352
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
652 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HAIL 4 N AMARILLO 35.26N 101.82W
10/10/2007 M1.75 INCH POTTER TX PUBLIC

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN PLEASANT VALLEY


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00010

$$

JOHNSON

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KAMA [102351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102351
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
651 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0648 PM HAIL 4 N ADAMS 36.81N 101.08W
10/10/2007 E1.75 INCH TEXAS OK BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL ON NORTH COLORADO ST
NEAR LOOP 335


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00009

$$

JOHNSON

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KMFR [102348]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 102348
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
448 PM PDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0447 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE GOLD BEACH 42.45N 124.37W
10/10/2007 M2.22 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION FROM OCTOBER 9 THROUGH OCTOBER
10.


&&

$$

SMITH

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KAMA [102347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102347
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
647 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HAIL 2 W AMARILLO 35.20N 101.85W
10/10/2007 E0.75 INCH POTTER TX NWS EMPLOYEE

NEAR AMARILLO BLVD AND MCMASTERS


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00008

$$

JOHNSON

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KAMA [102346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102346
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
646 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HAIL AMARILLO 35.20N 101.82W
10/10/2007 E1.00 INCH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN SAN JACINTO AREA RELAYED
BY LOCAL MEDIA


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00007

$$

JOHNSON

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KAMA [102336]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102336
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
636 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0636 PM HAIL 3 NW AMARILLO 35.23N 101.86W
10/10/2007 E0.88 INCH POTTER TX EMERGENCY MNGR

NICKLE SIZE HAIL AT AMARILLO BOULEVARD AND WESTERN


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00006

$$

CK

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KAMA [102334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102334
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
634 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0628 PM HAIL 6 WNW AMARILLO 35.24N 101.92W
10/10/2007 M1.00 INCH POTTER TX NWS EMPLOYEE

QUARTER SIZE HAIL ACCUMULATED ON GROUND NEAR THE
WALMART AT TASCOSA ROAD


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00005

$$

CK

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KAMA [102327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102327
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
627 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM HAIL 8 W AMARILLO 35.20N 101.96W
10/10/2007 E1.00 INCH POTTER TX TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL NEAR HOPE ROAD AND INTERSTATE 40. HAIL LASTED FOR
ABOUT 5 MINUTES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00004

$$

CK

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KAMA [102315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 102315
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
615 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM TSTM WND GST 1 E BUSHLAND 35.19N 102.05W
10/10/2007 E65 MPH POTTER TX TRAINED SPOTTER

WINDS ESTIMATED AT 60 TO 70 MPH.


&&

EVENT NUMBER 00003

$$

JOHNSON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Amend 1

ACUS01 KWNS 102255
SWODY1
SPC AC 102253

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AMEND 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0553 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AMENDED TO ADD LOW PROBABILITY SEVERE TSTM THREAT ACROSS PARTS OF NM
AND THE TX PNHDL REGIONS

..ERN NM/TX PNHDL...
SCATTERED TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED FROM THE SRN ROCKIES ACROSS THE ERN
PLAINS OF NM OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS AS A SRN STREAM LOW
AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRANSLATES ACROSS MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIR MASS. TIMING OF LIFT WITH THE SHORT WAVE HAS COINCIDED WITH MAX
IN DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE REGION WHERE DEEP-LAYER WIND
PROFILES WILL MARGINALLY SUPPORT ISOLATED SUPERCELL STORMS. WIDELY
SCATTERED WIND/HAIL POTENTIAL WILL ACCOMPANY THIS CONVECTION FOR A
FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE STORM INTENSITY SUBSIDES WITH DIURNAL COOLING
AN HOUR OR SO AFTER SUNSET.

..PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS WITH A WELL-DEFINED VORTICITY MAX EMBEDDED IN THE RIDGE
OVER SE CO. SFC HEATING...COLD AIR ALOFT AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS FEATURE ARE SUPPORTING SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM. THIS CONVECTION
SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE EWD ACROSS ERN NM THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

ALONG THE WEST COAST...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED 70 KT
MID-LEVEL JET WILL MOVE NEWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES THIS EVENING.
STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS WRN AND
CNTRL MT THIS EVENING.

.CARBIN.. 10/10/2007

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KKEY [102245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 102245
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
645 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 ENE KEY WEST 24.58N 81.68W
10/10/2007 LOWER KEYS IN MONR FL NWS EMPLOYEE

A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS OBSERVED BY NWS PERSONNEL ABOUT 5
MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WFO KEY WEST. DURATION ABOUT 2
MINUTES.


&&

$$

JR

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KEPZ [102009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 102009
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
209 PM MDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL 8 WSW WINSTON 33.31N 107.64W
10/10/2007 E0.88 INCH SIERRA NM TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

TSB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101943
SWODY1
SPC AC 101941

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS WITH A WELL-DEFINED VORTICITY MAX EMBEDDED IN THE RIDGE
OVER SE CO. SFC HEATING...COLD AIR ALOFT AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS FEATURE ARE SUPPORTING SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM. THIS CONVECTION
SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE EWD ACROSS ERN NM THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

ALONG THE WEST COAST...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED 70 KT
MID-LEVEL JET WILL MOVE NEWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES THIS EVENING.
STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS WRN AND
CNTRL MT THIS EVENING.

.BROYLES.. 10/10/2007

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KREV [101829]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 101829
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1128 AM PDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM SNOW 3 ENE DONNER PEAK 39.33N 120.26W
10/10/2007 M4.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

DURING THE NIGHT...REPORTED 4 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE
GROUND ELEVATION AT 6500 FT.

1045 AM SNOW 5 SW PROSSER CREEK RESE 39.33N 120.23W
10/10/2007 M5.5 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

OBSERVED REPORTED 5.5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW OVERNIGHT AT
ELEVATION 6600-6700 FT.

1109 AM SNOW TAHOE CITY 39.17N 120.14W
10/10/2007 M1.5 INCH PLACER CA CO-OP OBSERVER

TAHOE CITY OBSERVED REPORTED 1.5 INCHES OF SNOW DURING
THE NIGHT ELEVATION 6200 FT.

1109 AM SNOW DAGGET PASS 38.98N 119.89W
10/10/2007 E4.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV CO-OP OBSERVER

OBSERVED REPORTED 4 INCHES OF NEW OVERNIGHT AT ELEVATION
OF 7300 FT.


&&

$$

RCRUZ

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KPHI [101750]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KPHI 101750
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
150 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM TSTM WND GST MILLVILLE 39.39N 75.05W
10/09/2007 M40.00 MPH CUMBERLAND NJ ASOS

A 40 MPH WIND GUST WAS RECORDED AT THE MILLVILLE AIRPORT
DURING A THUNDERSTORM.

0100 PM TSTM WND GST ESTELL MANOR 39.35N 74.77W
10/09/2007 E54.00 MPH ATLANTIC NJ MESONET

AN ESTIMATED 54 MPH WIND GUST WAS REPORTED IN ESTELL
MANOR VIA MESONET DURING A THUNDERSTORM. IN ADDITION, AN
ESTIMATED WIND GUST OF 60 MPH WAS REPORTED BY A COOP
OBSERVER IN ESTELL MANOR.

0200 PM TSTM WND GST LEWES 38.78N 75.15W
10/09/2007 M40.00 MPH SUSSEX DE C-MAN STATION

A 40 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED IN LEWES DURING A
THUNDERSTORM.

0711 PM HEAVY RAIN HAMBURG 40.56N 75.98W
10/09/2007 M1.11 INCH BERKS PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1.11 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN 45 MINUTES IN
HAMBURG.

0920 PM FLOOD 4 N BROOKSIDE 39.73N 75.71W
10/09/2007 NEW CASTLE DE TRAINED SPOTTER

ROADWAY FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON ROUTES 2 AND 7 ABOUT 3
MILES SOUTH OF PIKE CREEK. 1.37 INCHES OF RAIN WAS
REPORTED IN AN HOUR.

1000 PM HEAVY RAIN MOUNT POCONO 41.12N 75.36W
10/09/2007 M2.86 INCH MONROE PA ASOS

2.86 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT THE MOUNT POCONO
AIRPORT.

1030 PM HEAVY RAIN DOYLESTOWN 40.31N 75.13W
10/09/2007 M1.14 INCH BUCKS PA CO-OP OBSERVER

1.14 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN DOYLESTOWN.

1055 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW PORT NORRIS 39.21N 75.09W
10/09/2007 M2.00 INCH CUMBERLAND NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

2.00 INCHES OF RAIN AND ALSO A WIND GUST TO 39 MPH WAS
MEASURED IN NEWPORT.

1115 PM HEAVY RAIN WILMINGTON 39.74N 75.53W
10/09/2007 M1.53 INCH NEW CASTLE DE ASOS

1.53 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT THE NEW CASTLE COUNTY
AIRPORT IN WILMINGTON.

1120 PM TSTM WND GST WOODBINE 39.23N 74.81W
10/09/2007 M40.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

1125 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW WOODBINE 39.25N 74.83W
10/09/2007 CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

A TREE AND SEVERAL SMALL BRANCHES WERE KNOCKED DOWN IN
BELLEPLAIN.

1125 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE WOODBINE 39.22N 74.80W
10/09/2007 CAPE MAY NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL HANGERS AND AIRCRAFT DAMAGED AT THE WOODBINE
AIRPORT. A WIND GUST OF 55 MPH WAS INDICATED AT THE
WOODBINE AIRPORT. INFORMATION WAS RECIEVED VIA EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL/PILOT.

0100 AM HEAVY RAIN ESTELL MANOR 39.35N 74.77W
10/10/2007 M2.00 INCH ATLANTIC NJ CO-OP OBSERVER

2.00 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN ESTELL MANOR.

0130 AM HEAVY RAIN MARGATE CITY 39.33N 74.51W
10/10/2007 M1.17 INCH ATLANTIC NJ CO-OP OBSERVER

1.17 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN MARGATE.

0135 AM HEAVY RAIN ATLANTIC CITY 39.36N 74.44W
10/10/2007 M1.23 INCH ATLANTIC NJ ASOS

1.23 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT THE ATLANTIC CITY
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN POMONA.


&&

$$

GORSE/EBERWINE

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 101736
SWODY2
SPC AC 101735

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

CORRECTED FOR WORDING

..SRN HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. AT THE SFC...A LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
ACROSS IN THE WRN TX PANHANDLE DURING THE DAY WITH A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT LOCATED FROM THE LOW EXTENDING SEWD INTO
NORTH TX. SOUTH OF THE LOW...SFC HEATING AND DEWPOINTS NEAR 60 F
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SBCAPE VALUES IN THE 2000 TO 2500 J/KG RANGE.
ALTHOUGH LARGE-SCALE FORCING SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK...THE
INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE MOIST AXIS MAY
RESULT IN THE INITIATION OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. STEEP LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES SHOWN ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL
WIND DAMAGE THREAT IF THUNDERSTORMS CAN DEVELOP. IN ADDITION...THE
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER
MAY SUPPORT A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THE
HAIL THREAT MAY PERSIST OVERNIGHT AS ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET.

.BROYLES.. 10/10/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 101732
SWODY2
SPC AC 101730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SRN HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AT THE SFC...A LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
ACROSS IN THE WRN TX PANHANDLE DURING THE DAY WITH A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT LOCATED FROM THE LOW EXTENDING SEWD INTO
NORTH TX. SOUTH OF THE LOW...SFC HEATING AND DEWPOINTS NEAR 60 F
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SBCAPE VALUES IN THE 2000 TO 2500 J/KG RANGE.
ALTHOUGH LARGE-SCALE FORCING SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK...THE
INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE MOIST AXIS MAY
RESULT IN THE INITIATION OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. STEEP LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES SHOWN ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL
WIND DAMAGE THREAT IF THUNDERSTORMS CAN DEVELOP. IN ADDITION...THE
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER
MAY SUPPORT A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THE
HAIL THREAT MAY PERSIST OVERNIGHT AS ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP
ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET.

.BROYLES.. 10/10/2007

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KMFR [101642]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 101642
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
942 AM PDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0937 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NW MOUNT SHASTA 41.35N 122.35W
10/10/2007 E0.85 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

FROM 630 PM TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING.


&&

$$

PETRUCEL

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KMFR [101637]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 101637
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
937 AM PDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN BROOKINGS 42.06N 124.29W
10/10/2007 M2.42 INCH CURRY OR CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AS OF 830 AM PDT. SHOWERS STILL
OCCURING IN THE AREA.


&&

$$

LUTZ

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101624
SWODY1
SPC AC 101621

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 AM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 101630Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

.ATLANTIC COAST TODAY...
MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES BY TONIGHT...WHILE ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT SHIFTS ESEWD ACROSS
THE MIDDLE AND SE ATLANTIC COAST. A WEAK SURFACE LOW/WAVE IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER THE DELMARVA IN
ADVANCE OF THE MID LEVEL LOW...WHICH WILL THEN MOVE OFFSHORE
OVERNIGHT. APPEARS WEAK INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE EAST
COAST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
INTO THE EVENING FROM NRN FL INTO THE MID ATLANTIC. MOIST
CONVECTION AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ALSO PERSIST OVER THE
SRN TIP OF FL AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS WITHIN VERY MOIST AND
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.

..ROCKIES AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT...
AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER NRN CA WILL EJECT NEWD TOWARD MT
AND LOSE AMPLITUDE AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE MEAN RIDGE AXIS. VERY STEEP
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND ASCENT FOCUSED IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM
THIS WAVE MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
CENTRAL MT THIS EVENING. A SEPARATE SRN STREAM TROUGH WILL ALSO
MOVE NEWD OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AND BECOME DIFFUSE BY TONIGHT.
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES
AND ADJACENT SRN HIGH PLAINS WITHIN A LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE FOUR CORNERS WAVE.

.EVANS/GUYER.. 10/10/2007

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KMFR [101536]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 101536
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
836 AM PDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0834 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNW BROOKINGS 42.12N 124.32W
10/10/2007 M2.65 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

FROM NOON MONDAY OCTOBER 9TH UNTIL 7AM THIS MORNING.


&&

$$

PETRUCEL

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KMFR [101510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 101510
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
810 AM PDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 E PORT ORFORD 42.75N 124.40W
10/10/2007 M2.50 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 8 AM


&&

$$

PETRUCELLI

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KREV [101448]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KREV 101448
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
748 AM PDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0613 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 N RENO 39.61N 119.82W
10/10/2007 M66.00 MPH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0536 AM NON-TSTM WND GST RENO 39.54N 119.82W
10/10/2007 M61.00 MPH WASHOE NV ASOS

0456 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E GARDNERVILLE 38.94N 119.65W
10/10/2007 M53.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0410 AM NON-TSTM WND GST N GARDNERVILLE 38.94N 119.74W
10/10/2007 M56.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JKIELHOR

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101223
SWODY1
SPC AC 101220

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0720 AM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 101300Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..ATLANTIC COAST TODAY...
A CLOSED MID LEVEL LOW OVER MI THIS MORNING WILL DRIFT SEWD TO OH BY
TONIGHT. AN ACCOMPANYING COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE
MIDDLE AND SE ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAIN TODAY...AND OFFSHORE TONIGHT.
WEAK CYCLOGENESIS IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER THE
DELMARVA IN ADVANCE OF THE MID LEVEL LOW...AND THE WEAK SURFACE LOW
SHOULD DEVELOP EWD TO JUST OFF THE DE/NJ COAST OVERNIGHT. IN THE
WAKE OF CLOUD DEBRIS WITH OVERNIGHT CONVECTION...ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT
ALONG THE FRONT.

..ROCKIES AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT...
AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER NRN CA WILL EJECT NEWD TOWARD MT
AND LOSE AMPLITUDE AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE MEAN RIDGE AXIS. VERY STEEP
MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND ASCENT FOCUSED IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM
THIS WAVE MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
CENTRAL MT THIS EVENING. A SEPARATE SRN STREAM TROUGH WILL ALSO
MOVE NEWD OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AND BECOME DIFFUSE BY TONIGHT.
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES
AND ADJACENT SRN HIGH PLAINS WITHIN A LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE PLUME
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE FOUR CORNERS WAVE.

.THOMPSON/GRAMS.. 10/10/2007

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KMFR [101218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 101218
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
518 AM PDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0517 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE GOLD BEACH 42.45N 124.37W
10/10/2007 M2.06 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 5 AM


&&

$$

SPILDE

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KREV [101153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 101153
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
453 AM PDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0404 AM NON-TSTM WND GST RENO 39.54N 119.82W
10/10/2007 M60.00 MPH WASHOE NV ASOS

0410 AM NON-TSTM WND GST N GARDNERVILLE 38.94N 119.74W
10/10/2007 M56.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

WHOHMANN

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 100827
SWOD48
SPC AC 100827

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 AM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 131200Z - 181200Z

..DISCUSSION...

MODELS REMAIN IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT AND HAVE DEMONSTRATED RUN TO
RUN CONSISTENCY IN ADVANCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH EWD INTO THE SRN AND
CNTRL HIGH PLAINS LATE DAY 4 (SATURDAY) AND INTO THE SRN AND CNTRL
PLAINS DAY 5 (SUNDAY). MOISTURE RETURN WILL LIKELY STILL NOT BE
OPTIMAL DAY 4 GIVEN OFFSHORE TRAJECTORIES OVER THE CNTRL/ERN GULF.
HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE MAY BE AVAILABLE TO SUPPORT ISOLATED
HIGH BASED SUPERCELLS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND ELEVATED STORMS FARTHER NORTH INTO KS AS THE LOW LEVEL JET
STRENGTHENS OVERNIGHT. SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE ON DAY 5 AS LOW
LEVEL TRAJECTORIES BECOME MORE SELY OVER THE WRN GULF AND AS THE
UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS.

.DIAL.. 10/10/2007

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KPHI [100739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 100739
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
339 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0711 PM HEAVY RAIN HAMBURG 40.56N 75.98W
10/09/2007 M1.11 INCH BERKS PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1.11 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN 45 MINUTES IN
HAMBURG.

0845 PM HEAVY RAIN MOUNT POCONO 41.12N 75.36W
10/09/2007 M2.31 INCH MONROE PA ASOS

2.31 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT THE MOUNT POCONO
AIRPORT THROUGH 930 PM.

0920 PM FLOOD 4 N BROOKSIDE 39.73N 75.71W
10/09/2007 NEW CASTLE DE TRAINED SPOTTER

ROADWAY FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON ROUTES 2 AND 7 ABOUT 3
MILES SOUTH OF PIKE CREEK. 1.37 INCHES OF RAIN WAS
REPORTED IN AN HOUR.

1055 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW PORT NORRIS 39.21N 75.09W
10/09/2007 M2.00 INCH CUMBERLAND NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED AND ALSO A WIND GUST TO 39
MPH IN NEWPORT.

1120 PM TSTM WND GST WOODBINE 39.23N 74.81W
10/09/2007 M40.00 MPH CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

1125 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 S WOODBINE 39.16N 74.80W
10/09/2007 CAPE MAY NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE TREE DOWN IN BELLEPLAIN, ALSO SEVERAL SMALL BRANCHES
KNOCKED DOWN. NEAREST ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH.


&&

$$

TFG

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 100721
SWODY3
SPC AC 100719

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0219 AM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...

UPPER PATTERN WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN
U.S. WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINING OFFSHORE FLOW OVER MOST
OF THE GULF WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TX PORTION. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL MOVE INTO THE SWRN U.S. WITH AN UPPER RIDGE PREVAILING OVER THE
PLAINS.


..SRN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH KS...

MOISTURE RETURN THROUGH THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS WILL REMAIN LIMITED
OWING TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ERN STATES MAINTAINING OFFSHORE FLOW
OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN GULF. HOWEVER...PARTIALLY MODIFIED CP AIR
WILL RETURN NWD THROUGH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BENEATH STEEPENING MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES RESULTING IN MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY FROM
PARTS OF WRN TX INTO WRN OK AND KS. ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON WITHIN ZONE OF STRONGER MIXING ALONG WRN EDGE
OF DEEPER MOISTURE FROM ERN PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE INTO WRN
OK...WITH A THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. PRESENCE OF UPPER
RIDGE SUGGESTS ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY REMAIN ISOLATED.
A BETTER CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL DEVELOP NWD OVERNIGHT FROM NRN OK
INTO PARTS OF KS AS THE LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS AND CONTRIBUTES TO
NWD DESTABILIZATION AND LIFT. ELEVATED STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. WEAK EFFECTIVE SHEAR
AND THE MODEST THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR A
MORE ROBUST SEVERE EVENT.

.DIAL.. 10/10/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 100534
SWODY1
SPC AC 100533

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 AM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION
INTO THE LOWER LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD...WHILE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT LINGERS INVOF THE ATLANTIC
COAST. MEANWHILE...SECOND TROUGH INITIALLY ALONG THE WEST COAST
WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND ACROSS THE ROCKIES.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE FORECAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES...THOUGH LACK OF SHEAR SUGGESTS LITTLE IF
ANY SEVERE THREAT. ELSEWHERE...A FEW STORMS MAY OCCUR FROM S TX
NWWD ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND INTO NM/SRN CO/ERN AZ...AND A
STORM OR TWO MAY AFFECT PARTS OF MT.

.GOSS/GRAMS.. 10/10/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 100521
SWODY2
SPC AC 100519

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1219 AM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...

UPPER TROUGH NOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD INTO
THE CAROLINAS AND MID ATLANTIC THURSDAY BEFORE EJECTING NEGATIVELY
TILTED OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST OVERNIGHT. IN RESPONSE TO FORCING
FOR ASCENT ATTENDING THIS FEATURE...A SURFACE CYCLONE WILL DEEPEN AS
IT LIFTS NWD ALONG OFFSHORE FRONT AND INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE ERN TWO THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY.

..SRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AREA...

NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET IS FORECAST OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS
THURSDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...QUALITY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL
BE LIMITED BY OFFSHORE TRAJECTORIES OVER THE GULF EMANATING FROM CP
HIGH PRESSURE. NEVERTHELESS...AN AXIS OF PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S WILL RETURN NWD THROUGH THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS BENEATH MODERATELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. ISOLATED
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN TX
INTO NM DURING THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...BEST CHANCE OF STORMS WILL
BE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OVER PARTS OF NWRN OK THROUGH WRN KS WITHIN
ZONE OF LIFT AND DESTABILIZATION ON NOSE OF LOW LEVEL JET. MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES MAY SUPPORT A THREAT OF SMALL TO MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
HOWEVER...INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL BE TOO LIMITED FOR A
MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT.

.DIAL.. 10/10/2007

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