KTFX [040001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 040001
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
600 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM SNOW 20 W AUGUSTA 47.45N 112.81W
04/03/2011 E6.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT MESONET

AN ESTIMATED 6 INCHES OF SNOW FELL AT THE WOOD CREEK
SNOTEL SITE OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS. ELEVATION 5960 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KBIS [040000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 040000
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
700 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM SNOW ST. JOHN 48.94N 99.71W
04/03/2011 M6.0 INCH ROLETTE ND PUBLIC

&&

$$

LHUBER

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KDMX [032359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 032359
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
659 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0656 PM HAIL 3 ESE OSKALOOSA AIRPORT 41.21N 92.44W
04/03/2011 E0.88 INCH MAHASKA IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BF

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KTFX [032359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032359
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
559 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM SNOW 24 W BYNUM 47.92N 112.82W
04/03/2011 E4.0 INCH TETON MT MESONET

AN ESTIMATED 4 INCHES OF SNOW FELL AT MOUNT LOCKHART
SNOTEL SITE OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS. ELEVATION 6400 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KGJT [032358]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 032358
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
558 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0446 PM SNOW CERRO SUMMIT 38.45N 107.63W
04/03/2011 U0.0 INCH MONTROSE CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

HIGHWAY 50 CLOSED OVER CERRO SUMMIT DUE TO ADVERSE
CONDITIONS. CALL 511 FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS IN
COLORADO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100332

$$

JDC

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KDVN [032351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032351
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
651 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0651 PM HAIL 1 SW SWISHER 41.83N 91.71W
04/03/2011 M2.00 INCH JOHNSON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DLF

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KTOP [032351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032351
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
651 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM HAIL ENE DELIA 39.24N 95.96W
04/03/2011 E1.75 INCH JACKSON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BYRNE

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KTFX [032350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032350
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
550 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 23 W BYNUM 47.92N 112.79W
04/03/2011 E5.0 INCH TETON MT MESONET

AN ESTIMATED 5 INCHES OF SNOW FELL AT THE WALDRON
SNOTEL SITE OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. ELEVATION 5600 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KTOP [032350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032350
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
650 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0649 PM HAIL ENE DELIA 39.24N 95.96W
04/03/2011 E1.00 INCH JACKSON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BYRNE

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KDVN [032349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032349
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
649 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0647 PM HAIL 1 E SWISHER 41.84N 91.68W
04/03/2011 M1.75 INCH JOHNSON IA CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

GROSS

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KTOP [032349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032349
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
649 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM HAIL 3 W ROSSVILLE 39.14N 96.01W
04/03/2011 E1.00 INCH SHAWNEE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KDVN [032348]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032348
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
648 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0644 PM HAIL CEDAR RAPIDS 41.97N 91.67W
04/03/2011 M1.75 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

JUST SOUTH OF CEDAR RAPIDS AIRPORT.

&&

$$

HAASE

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KDVN [032347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032347
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
647 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM HAIL HIAWATHA 42.05N 91.68W
04/03/2011 E1.00 INCH LINN IA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

$$

GROSS

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KTFX [032346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032346
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
546 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM SNOW 12 ENE GARNEILL 46.79N 109.51W
04/03/2011 E6.0 INCH FERGUS MT MESONET

AN ESTIMATED 6 INCHES OF SNOW FELL IN THE LAST 12 HOURS
AT THE CRYSTAL LAKE SNOTEL SITE. ELEVATION 6050 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KTOP [032346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032346
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
646 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0643 PM HAIL W ST. MARYS 39.19N 96.08W
04/03/2011 E1.75 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BYRNE

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KDVN [032344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032344
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
644 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0625 PM HAIL 2 S AMANA 41.77N 91.87W
04/03/2011 E1.75 INCH IOWA IA TRAINED SPOTTER

TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

$$

GROSS

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KTOP [032344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032344
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
644 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0642 PM HAIL 1 NNE ST. MARYS 39.21N 96.06W
04/03/2011 E1.25 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KDDC [032343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 032343
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
643 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DODGE CITY 37.76N 100.01W
04/03/2011 FORD KS NWS EMPLOYEE

TRAFFIC LIGHT AND POLE WAS BLOWN DOWN ON 14TH AND ROSS
BOULEVARD.

&&

$$

FKRUSE

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KTOP [032343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032343
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
643 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0642 PM HAIL 3 SSE BELVUE 39.17N 96.15W
04/03/2011 E1.25 INCH WABAUNSEE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BYRNE

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KTFX [032343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032343
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
542 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM SNOW 8 W NEIHART 46.93N 110.90W
04/03/2011 E7.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET

AN ESTIMATED 7 INCHES OF SNOW FELL AT THE STRINGER
CREEK SNOTEL SITE. ELEVATION 6550 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KDVN [032342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032342
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
642 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0632 PM HAIL 2 W AMANA 41.80N 91.90W
04/03/2011 M1.75 INCH IOWA IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0632 PM HAIL ATKINS 42.00N 91.86W
04/03/2011 E0.75 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0634 PM HAIL 1 SSE ATKINS 41.99N 91.86W
04/03/2011 M1.00 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

GROSS

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KDVN [032341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032341
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
641 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0629 PM HAIL 5 S LADORA 41.68N 92.19W
04/03/2011 M1.75 INCH IOWA IA PUBLIC

NEAR MILE MARKER 210/211 ON INTERSTATE 80.

&&

$$

HAASE

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KTFX [032341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032341
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
540 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM SNOW 6 WSW NEIHART 46.91N 110.85W
04/03/2011 E7.0 INCH MEAGHER MT MESONET

AN ESTIMATED 7 INCHES OF SNOW FELL IN THE LAST 24 HOURS
AT THE ONION PARK SNOTEL SITE. ELEVATION 7410 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KTOP [032335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032335
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
635 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM HAIL 2 NE ST. GEORGE 39.21N 96.39W
04/03/2011 E1.00 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BYRNE

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KDVN [032335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032335
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
635 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0634 PM HAIL LADORA 41.76N 92.19W
04/03/2011 M1.00 INCH IOWA IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DLF

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KTOP [032334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032334
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
633 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0623 PM HAIL 1 W WAMEGO 39.20N 96.32W
04/03/2011 M1.00 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KTFX [032328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032328
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
528 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY SNOW 14 SW HEART BUTTE 48.13N 113.02W
04/03/2011 E17.0 INCH PONDERA MT MESONET

UPDATED ESTIMATE OF 17 INCHES OF SNOWFALL OVER THE LAST
24 HOURS AT BADGER PASS SNOTEL SITE. ELEVATION 6900
FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KTOP [032327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032327
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
627 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0623 PM HAIL 8 SW WAMEGO 39.11N 96.39W
04/03/2011 E1.00 INCH RILEY KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JW

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KDVN [032326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032326
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
626 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0617 PM TSTM WND GST 1 S MARENGO 41.78N 92.07W
04/03/2011 E50.00 MPH IOWA IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0617 PM HAIL 1 S MARENGO 41.78N 92.07W
04/03/2011 M1.00 INCH IOWA IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

GROSS

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KDVN [032323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032323
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
623 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0623 PM HAIL NORWAY 41.90N 91.92W
04/03/2011 M0.50 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

WEST SIDE OF NORWAY.

&&

$$

HAASE

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 83

WWUS20 KWNS 032320
SEL3
SPC WW 032320
KSZ000-MOZ000-040500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 83
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
620 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN KANSAS
NORTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT FROM 620 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 10 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF KIRKSVILLE
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 82...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY ALONG AND
NORTH OF A COLD FRONT OVER NORTHEAST KS. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELL STORMS...WITH VERY
LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREAT. DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO BECOME
MORE OF A THREAT THIS EVENING AS THE ACTIVITY BEGINS TO SURGE
SOUTHEASTWARD.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25040.

...HART

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KTOP [032321]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 032321
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
621 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM HAIL WSW ST. GEORGE 39.19N 96.42W
04/03/2011 E1.00 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE.

&&

$$

JW

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KTFX [032318]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032318
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
518 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM SNOW 13 ESE CRAIG 47.00N 111.71W
04/03/2011 M3.6 INCH CASCADE MT CO-OP OBSERVER

UPDATED SNOWFALL TOTAL OF 3.6 INCHES OVER THE LAST 24
HOURS AT CASCADE 20 SSE CO-OP OBSERVER SITE. NOT SNOWING
NOW. ELEVATION 4490 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KDMX [032317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 032317
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
617 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0611 PM HAIL 1 S NEW SHARON 41.46N 92.65W
04/03/2011 E1.00 INCH MAHASKA IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MS APR 11

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KDVN [032314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032314
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
614 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0614 PM HAIL 1 S MARENGO 41.78N 92.07W
04/03/2011 M0.75 INCH IOWA IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

HAASE

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KTFX [032312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032312
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
512 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 16 NW WOLF CREEK 47.19N 112.29W
04/03/2011 M3.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT CO-OP OBSERVER

3 INCHES OF SNOW FELL AT ROGERS PASS 9 NNE CO-OP
OBSERVER SITE IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. ELEVATION 4200 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KDVN [032312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 032312
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
612 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM HAIL LADORA 41.76N 92.19W
04/03/2011 M0.75 INCH IOWA IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DLF

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KTFX [032307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032307
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
507 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW 11 S LEWISTOWN 46.91N 109.41W
04/03/2011 M3.0 INCH FERGUS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES OF SNOW FELL IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. STILL
SNOWING. ELEVATION 4965 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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KTFX [032303]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032303
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
503 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM SNOW 29 N GILDFORD 48.99N 110.30W
04/03/2011 E3.0 INCH HILL MT CO-OP OBSERVER

3 INCHES OF SNOW FELL AT THE SIMPSON 6 NW CO-OP
OBSERVER SITE IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. REMARKS INCLUDE
HEAVY BLOWING SNOW ON THE EVENING OF 4 2...THEN LIGHT
BLOWING SNOW AND RAIN ON THE MORNING OF 4 3. NOT SNOWING
NOW. ELEVATION 2815 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0328

ACUS11 KWNS 032259
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032259
MOZ000-KSZ000-040000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0328
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0559 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 032259Z - 040000Z

TSTM WILL INCREASE...GENERALLY AFTER 00Z ACROSS CNTRL/NERN KS AND
EVENTUALLY NWRN MO. SHOULD STORMS BECOME ESTABLISHED... THREATS FOR
VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE LIKELY WITH A LOW
PROBABILITY FOR TORNADOES. WW ISSUANCE IS LIKELY; 50-70 PERCENT.

TOWERING CUMULUS OVER DICKENSON COUNTY KS APPEARS TO BE A SIGN OF
STORM INITIATION...LOCATED JUST N OF THE SEWD MOVING COLD FRONT.
20Z SPECIAL TOP SOUNDING WAS CAPPED...BUT AS BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND LEADING EDGE OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ARRIVES
THIS EVENING...PROBABILITY FOR TSTM INITIATION ALONG/N OF THE FRONT
WILL INCREASE.

VERY LARGE HAIL APPEARS TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT OWING TO THE
NEARLY 9 DEG C PER KM H7-H5 LAPSE RATES AND 45 KTS OF VERTICAL
SHEAR. PARCELS MAY NEED THE BOOST FROM THE FRONT TO REACH
LFC...RESULTING IN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED STORMS. HOWEVER...IF A STORM
CAN INITIATE RIGHT ALONG THE BOUNDARY...THERE WILL BE AN OPPORTUNITY
FOR DAMAGING WINDS/ISOLD TORNADOES EARLY THIS EVENING.
THEREAFTER...ORIENTATION OF THE COLD FRONT WITH RESPECT TO THE WSWLY
VERTICAL SHEAR VECTORS SUGGEST UPSCALE DEVELOPMENT INTO LINE
SEGMENTS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL THEN MOVE ESE INTO NWRN MO/ECNTRL KS
LATER THIS EVENING WITH POSSIBLE BOWS GIVING DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL.

..RACY.. 04/03/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 38499788 38969769 39649615 39949494 39659427 38909444
38259524 37939701 37899810 38469791 38499788

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KTFX [032258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 032258
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
458 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM SNOW 11 N TURNER 49.00N 108.39W
04/03/2011 M3.6 INCH BLAINE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

3.6 INCHES OF SNOW FELL IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. NOT
SNOWING NOW. ELEVATION 2980 FEET.

&&

$$

COULSTON

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 82

WWUS20 KWNS 032256
SEL2
SPC WW 032256
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-WIZ000-040500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 82
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN IOWA
WESTERN AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME NORTHEAST MISSOURI
FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT FROM 600 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
OTTUMWA IOWA TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF DUBUQUE IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT
OVER IA. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND SPREAD INTO WESTERN IL.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS. HOWEVER...THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SURFACE
WARM FRONT OVER NORTHERN IL OR PERHAPS FAR SOUTHERN WI.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.

...HART

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KGGW [032248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 032248
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
448 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM SNOW SSE OPHEIM 48.86N 106.41W
04/03/2011 M5.0 INCH VALLEY MT CO-OP OBSERVER

TOTAL SNOWFALL WHEN SNOW ENDED AT 1030 AM.

&&

$$

MATTM

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KMQT [032240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 032240
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
640 PM EDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW WNW NEWBERRY 46.36N 85.52W
04/03/2011 M2.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER

12 HOUR REPORT. 0.01 INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT. 6 INCHES
SNOW DEPTH.

0617 PM SNOW 3 NE HOUGHTON 47.14N 88.52W
04/03/2011 E3.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SINCE AROUND 7AM THIS MORNING.

&&

$$

JMWIX

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KDLH [032232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 032232
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
532 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM SNOW CLOQUET 46.73N 92.49W
04/03/2011 M3.0 INCH CARLTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MELDE

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KGLD [032220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 032220
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
420 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ENE GOODLAND 39.35N 101.70W
04/03/2011 M56 MPH SHERMAN KS ASOS

&&

$$

JMARTIN

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KGLD [032218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 032218
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
418 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0353 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 N GOODLAND 39.52N 101.67W
04/03/2011 M57 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET

&&

$$

JMARTIN

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KPUB [032208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 032208
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
408 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1214 AM NON-TSTM WND GST AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.98N 104.86W
04/03/2011 M61.00 MPH EL PASO CO ASOS

1224 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 S COLORADO CITY 37.86N 104.83W
04/03/2011 M66.00 MPH HUERFANO CO MESONET

APACHE CITY CDOT SENSOR

1231 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M67.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE

1240 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S MONUMENT 39.05N 104.88W
04/03/2011 E65.00 MPH EL PASO CO CO-OP OBSERVER

1242 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE AIR FORCE ACADEMY 39.03N 104.80W
04/03/2011 M70.00 MPH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1244 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE AIR FORCE ACADEMY 39.03N 104.80W
04/03/2011 M73.00 MPH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1258 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ESE WETMORE 38.21N 105.00W
04/03/2011 M64.00 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

RED CREEK RAWS SITE

0107 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SW COLORADO SPRINGS 38.82N 104.84W
04/03/2011 E87.00 MPH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED AT KOAA STATION.

0121 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M71.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE C5171

0125 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SE MONUMENT 39.05N 104.83W
04/03/2011 E85.00 MPH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SUSTAINED 60-65

0128 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE AIR FORCE ACADEMY 39.03N 104.80W
04/03/2011 M84.00 MPH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0134 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 S COLORADO CITY 37.86N 104.83W
04/03/2011 M74.00 MPH HUERFANO CO MESONET

APACHE CITY CDOT SENSOR

0144 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 S COLORADO CITY 37.86N 104.83W
04/03/2011 M76.00 MPH HUERFANO CO MESONET

APACHE CITY CDOT SITE

0151 AM NON-TSTM WND GST AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.98N 104.86W
04/03/2011 M69.00 MPH EL PASO CO ASOS

0151 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M77.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE C5171

0151 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.85W
04/03/2011 M61.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D3529

0152 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW FOUNTAIN 38.70N 104.77W
04/03/2011 M61.00 MPH EL PASO CO ASOS

0158 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 WSW FOUNTAIN 38.66N 104.85W
04/03/2011 M62.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

FORT CARSON RAWS SITE

0158 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ESE WETMORE 38.21N 105.00W
04/03/2011 M69.00 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

RED CREEK RAWS

0215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 NNW WALSENBURG 37.75N 104.84W
04/03/2011 M70.00 MPH HUERFANO CO MESONET

BUTTE CREEK CDOT SENSOR

0216 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.98N 104.82W
04/03/2011 M72.00 MPH EL PASO CO ASOS

0232 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M81.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE C5171

0250 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.85W
04/03/2011 M65.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D3529

0252 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 6 SSE COLORADO SPRINGS 38.75N 104.78W
04/03/2011 EL PASO CO LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN AT LAS VEGAS STREET AND HIGHWAY
85.

0258 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ESE WETMORE 38.21N 105.00W
04/03/2011 M78.00 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

RED CREEK RAWS SITE

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 N COLORADO SPRINGS 38.90N 104.83W
04/03/2011 M60.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

I-25 FOUNTAIN CREEK CDOT SENSOR

0302 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW COLORADO CITY 37.98N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M64.00 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D2845

0310 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.85W
04/03/2011 M67.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D3529

0312 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M82.00 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE C5171

0327 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW COLORADO CITY 37.98N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M72.00 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D2845

0357 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WNW COLORADO CITY 37.95N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M61.00 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

COLORADO CITY RAWS

0357 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PUEBLO WEST 38.35N 104.72W
04/03/2011 M70.00 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

0451 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW FOUNTAIN 38.70N 104.77W
04/03/2011 M63.00 MPH EL PASO CO ASOS

KFCS ASOS

0626 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NE AGUILAR 37.42N 104.63W
04/03/2011 M66.00 MPH LAS ANIMAS CO MESONET

CDOT SENSOR AT AGUILAR

0633 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NW TRINIDAD 37.18N 104.52W
04/03/2011 M61.00 MPH LAS ANIMAS CO ASOS

0640 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SW PUEBLO 38.24N 104.67W
04/03/2011 E70.00 MPH PUEBLO CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0131 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 17 NW TWO BUTTES 37.75N 102.60W
04/03/2011 M60.00 MPH PROWERS CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0138 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE CENTER 37.76N 106.09W
04/03/2011 M65.00 MPH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0147 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 W LAMAR 38.07N 102.69W
04/03/2011 M59.00 MPH PROWERS CO ASOS

0224 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNE LA JUNTA 38.05N 103.51W
04/03/2011 M72.00 MPH OTERO CO ASOS

0345 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 S WOLF CREEK PASS 37.45N 106.80W
04/03/2011 M78.00 MPH MINERAL CO MESONET

PAGOSA SPRINGS/WOLF CREEK PASS.

&&

$$

PJC

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KPUB [032156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 032156
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
355 PM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 S WOLF CREEK PASS 37.45N 106.80W
04/03/2011 M78 MPH MINERAL CO MESONET

PAGOSA SPRINGS/WOLF CREEK PASS.

&&

$$

PJC

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KAMA [032155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 032155
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
455 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0451 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N TURPIN 36.90N 100.88W
04/03/2011 E65 MPH BEAVER OK TRAINED SPOTTER

BASKETBALL NET BLOW DOWN AND VSBY NEAR ZERO AT TIMES

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1100187

$$

SMB

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KPUB [030946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030946
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
346 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0327 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW COLORADO CITY 37.98N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M72 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D2845

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030935
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
335 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0258 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ESE WETMORE 38.21N 105.00W
04/03/2011 M78 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

RED CREEK RAWS SITE

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030934]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030934
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
334 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0302 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW COLORADO CITY 37.98N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M64 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D2845

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030933
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
333 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 N COLORADO SPRINGS 38.90N 104.83W
04/03/2011 M60 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

I-25 FOUNTAIN CREEK CDOT SENSOR

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030930]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030930
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
330 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.85W
04/03/2011 M67 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D3529

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030929]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030929
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
329 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0312 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M82 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE C5171

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030925]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030925
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
325 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0216 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.98N 104.82W
04/03/2011 M72 MPH EL PASO CO ASOS

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030909]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030909
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
309 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 NNW WALSENBURG 37.75N 104.84W
04/03/2011 M70 MPH HUERFANO CO MESONET

BUTTE CREEK CDOT SENSOR

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030907
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
307 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0158 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 WSW FOUNTAIN 38.66N 104.85W
04/03/2011 M62 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

FORT CARSON RAWS SITE

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KUNR [030905]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 030905
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
305 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0222 AM NON-TSTM WND GST RAPID CITY AIRPORT 44.04N 103.06W
04/03/2011 M58 MPH PENNINGTON SD ASOS

&&

$$

WFO UNR

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KPUB [030905]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030905
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
304 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.85W
04/03/2011 M65 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D3529

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030903]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030903
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
303 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0232 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M81 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE C5171

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 030901
SWOD48
SPC AC 030900

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

VALID 061200Z - 111200Z

...DISCUSSION...
IN THE WAKE OF A TROUGH MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST...ZONAL FLOW IS
FORECAST ACROSS THE CONUS ON DAY 4 /WED APR 6/. AFTER DAY 4...THE
MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL TRANSITION TO SWLY...EXTENDING FROM
THE SWRN STATES THROUGH THE PLAINS TO OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC
STATES. THIS EVOLUTION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AS HEIGHTS RISE OVER
THE SERN STATES AND A LONGWAVE TROUGH DEEPENS WEST OF THE ROCKIES
THROUGH DAY 6 /FRI APR 8/. BEYOND DAY 6...THE GFS AND ECMWF DIFFER
WITH THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THIS LONGWAVE TROUGH.

...DAY 5 /THU APR 7/...
THE GFS/ECMWF ARE NOW IN BETTER AGREEMENT ON DAY 4...EJECTING THE
CLOSED LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED WELL WEST OF BAJA INTO THE SWRN STATES
ON WED APR 6...IN ADVANCE OF THE DIGGING WRN U.S. TROUGH THIS
FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER...THESE TWO MODELS DIFFER IN TIMING OF
THIS SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS TO MID MS VALLEY ON DAY
5. TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON DAY 5...BUT UNCERTAINTY IN STORM
COVERAGE AND TIMING OF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT WARRANT A REGIONAL SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT AREA.

...DAY 7 /SAT APR 9/...
DESPITE MODEL DIFFERENCES BEYOND DAY 6 WITH THE EWD PROGRESSION OF
THE WRN STATES LONGWAVE TROUGH...THE GFS/ECMWF ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH STRONGER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN DEVELOPING ON DAY
6 /FRI APR 8/ ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. THIS WILL PERSIST INTO DAY 7
BENEATH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES. EACH MODEL INDICATES CONVECTIVE
INITIATION ALONG THE DRY LINE IN THE SRN PLAINS WITH STORMS
DEVELOPING TOWARD THE LOWER MO VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THAT
THIS IS THE FIRST OUTLOOK PERIOD WITH THE GFS/ECMWF IN GENERAL
AGREEMENT FOR A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS TX/OK/KS SATURDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING...CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE A REGIONAL
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AREA AT THIS TIME.

..PETERS.. 04/03/2011

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KPUB [030825]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030825
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
225 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0144 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 S COLORADO CITY 37.86N 104.83W
04/03/2011 M76 MPH HUERFANO CO MESONET

APACHE CITY CDOT SITE

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030823]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030823
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
223 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0158 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ESE WETMORE 38.21N 105.00W
04/03/2011 M69 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

RED CREEK RAWS

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030822
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
222 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0151 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.85W
04/03/2011 M61 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE D3529

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030820
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
220 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0151 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M77 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE C5171

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KGJT [030817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 030817
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
217 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WSW RED MOUNTAIN PASS 37.88N 107.74W
04/03/2011 M87 MPH SAN JUAN CO MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100324

$$

MALEKSA

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KGJT [030816]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 030816
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
216 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE VERNAL 40.44N 109.51W
04/02/2011 M46 MPH UINTAH UT ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100323

$$

MALEKSA

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KGJT [030815]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 030815
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
215 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNE GRAND JUNCTION 39.12N 108.53W
04/02/2011 M48 MPH MESA CO ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100322

$$

MALEKSA

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KGJT [030814]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 030814
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
214 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0859 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S MEEKER 40.04N 107.89W
04/02/2011 M51 MPH RIO BLANCO CO ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100321

$$

MALEKSA

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KGJT [030813]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 030813
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
213 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1134 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE CRAIG 40.51N 107.53W
04/02/2011 M62 MPH MOFFAT CO ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100320

$$

MALEKSA

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KGJT [030812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 030812
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
212 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E RIFLE 39.55N 107.72W
04/03/2011 M67 MPH GARFIELD CO ASOS

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1100319

$$

MALEKSA

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KPUB [030802]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030802
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
202 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0134 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 S COLORADO CITY 37.86N 104.83W
04/03/2011 M74 MPH HUERFANO CO MESONET

APACHE CITY CDOT SENSOR

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030801]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030801
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
200 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0152 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WNW FOUNTAIN 38.70N 104.77W
04/03/2011 M61 MPH EL PASO CO ASOS

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030758]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030758
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
158 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0151 AM NON-TSTM WND GST AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.98N 104.86W
04/03/2011 M69 MPH EL PASO CO ASOS

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030737]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030737
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
137 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0121 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M71 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE C5171

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 030730
SWODY3
SPC AC 030729

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
THE 03/00Z ECMWF IS IN GREATER AGREEMENT WITH THE 02/21Z SREF MEAN
500 MB HEIGHTS...BUT REMAINS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE 03/00Z GFS AND
SWD WITH STRONGER FORCING ALOFT INTO THE SERN STATES BY 12Z TUESDAY.
EACH MODEL MOVES THIS TROUGH OFF THE EAST COAST TUESDAY NIGHT. IN
THE LOW LEVELS...GIVEN TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THE MID-UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH...THE INITIAL POSITION OF THE COLD FRONT AT 12Z TUESDAY
VARIES BETWEEN THE ECMWF...GFS AND SREF MEAN SURFACE PRESSURE FIELD.
THE LATTER TWO MODELS AND A MAJORITY OF THE SREF MEMBERS POSITION
THIS FRONT FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SWWD THROUGH NRN FL AT THE
START OF DAY 3...WITH THE ECMWF MORE INLAND FROM CENTRAL VA TO ERN
GA. DESPITE THESE DIFFERENCES...MODELS DO AGREE THE COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST THIS FORECAST PERIOD AND SWD THROUGH THE FL
PENINSULA.

...FL PENINSULA...
MOISTENING OF THE AIR MASS ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA IS EXPECTED PRIOR
TO THE START OF DAY 3 /TUESDAY/...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID
60S LIKELY OVER NRN/CENTRAL FL AND AROUND 70F ALONG THE WEST COAST
AND OVER S FL. DESPITE MODEST MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES /6.5-7 C PER KM/
ACROSS FL...SURFACE HEATING S OF THE COLD FRONT COMBINED WITH THE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE SHOULD RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY. SHOWERS
AND TSTMS WILL BE LIKELY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SWD ENCOUNTERING
THE UNSTABLE AIR MASS. STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD REMAIN N
OF FL WITH VEERING LOW LEVEL WINDS TENDING TO LIMIT LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD ROBUST UPDRAFTS.
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A WEAK IMPULSE MAY MOVE ACROSS FL TO
SUPPORT PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...IN ADDITION TO THE
CONVECTION EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONT. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IS
EXPECTED TO DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY WHICH WILL TEND TO LIMIT THE
OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

...SERN GA AND ERN CAROLINAS...
GIVEN MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS
THESE STATES AT THE START OF DAY 3...A 5 PERCENT SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT IS BEING INTRODUCED. IF THE ECMWF IS THE MORE CORRECT MODEL
IN LATER OUTLOOKS...THEN PARTS OF THIS REGION MAY NEED TO BE
UPGRADED TO A SLIGHT RISK. DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY WITH NWD EXTENT
ACROSS THIS REGION...STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WOULD SUPPORT AT
LEAST A DAMAGING WIND THREAT DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD
PRIOR TO THE FRONT MOVING OFFSHORE.

..PETERS.. 04/03/2011

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KPUB [030730]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030730
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
130 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SE MONUMENT 39.05N 104.83W
04/03/2011 E85 MPH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SUSTAINED 60-65

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030728]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030728
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
127 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1224 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 S COLORADO CITY 37.86N 104.83W
04/03/2011 M66 MPH HUERFANO CO MESONET

APACHE CITY CDOT SENSOR

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030723]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030723
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
123 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 ESE WETMORE 38.21N 105.00W
04/03/2011 M64 MPH PUEBLO CO MESONET

RED CREEK RAWS SITE

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030722
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
122 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1214 AM NON-TSTM WND GST AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.98N 104.86W
04/03/2011 M61 MPH EL PASO CO ASOS

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030720]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030720
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
120 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1137 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW MANITOU SPRINGS 38.83N 104.93W
04/02/2011 M70 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE KV60

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030719]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030719
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
119 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1231 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 S AIR FORCE ACADEMY 38.93N 104.87W
04/03/2011 M67 MPH EL PASO CO MESONET

APRSWXNET SITE

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030658]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030658
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1258 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1244 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE AIR FORCE ACADEMY 39.03N 104.80W
04/03/2011 M73 MPH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KPUB [030643]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 030643
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1243 AM MDT SUN APR 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1242 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NE AIR FORCE ACADEMY 39.03N 104.80W
04/03/2011 M70 MPH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 030600
SWODY1
SPC AC 030558

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF ERN KS AND NW
MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-MO
VALLEY...CNTRL PLAINS...SRN PLAINS...WRN OZARKS AND WRN GREAT
LAKES...

...SEVERE WEATHER EVENT EXPECTED FROM ERN KS NEWD ACROSS NRN MO INTO
WRN AND NRN IL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

...MID-MO VALLEY/CNTRL PLAINS/MID-MS VALLEY/WRN GREAT LAKES...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN PLAINS AND CNTRL
ROCKIES TODAY. WELL AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...A POWERFUL 65 TO 80 KT
LOW-LEVEL JET WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE MID-MO VALLEY AND LOWER OH
VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW-LEVEL JET WILL RAPIDLY TRANSPORT
MOISTURE NEWD INTO THE SLIGHT RISK AREA BY MID-AFTERNOON WITH SFC
DEWPOINTS LIKELY REACHING INTO THE MID 60S F FROM ERN KS NEWD TO WRN
IL. THE MOIST AIRMASS SHOULD ALLOW MODERATE INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP
ACROSS A BROAD AREA AHEAD OF A FAST-MOVING COLD FRONT. AS THE
CAPPING INVERSION WEAKENS AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INCREASES ALONG
THE FRONT...NUMEROUS STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INITIATE
WITH A BROKEN LINE DEVELOPING DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 21Z SUGGEST THE STRONGEST INSTABILITY WILL BE
LOCATED IN ERN KS AND WRN MO WHERE MLCAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO
REACH THE 2500 TO 3500 J/KG RANGE. IN ADDITION...A PLUME OF STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES IS FORECAST TO NOSE INTO ERN KS AND NW MO
WHERE DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD BE QUITE STRONG. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL
LIKELY SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WITH A WIDESPREAD THREAT FOR
LARGE HAIL ESPECIALLY ACROSS ERN KS AND NW MO WHERE A MODERATE RISK
AREA HAS BEEN OUTLOOKED. VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
MORE DOMINATE SUPERCELLS THAT REMAIN DISCRETE. TORNADOES WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE BETTER-ORGANIZED SUPERCELLS. THE TORNADO THREAT
MAY BE GREATEST NEWD ACROSS NRN MO INTO WRN AND NRN IL WHERE THE
STORMS WILL HAVE ACCESS TO GREATER LOW-LEVEL SHEAR. IF DISCRETE
ROTATING STORMS CAN PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING WHEN THE
LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...THEN AN ISOLATED STRONG
TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE. DUE TO THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW OF 60 TO
70 KT AND BECAUSE OF THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY FORECAST...WIND
DAMAGE COULD BE WIDESPREAD FROM ERN KS NEWD ACROSS NRN MO INTO NW IL
ESPECIALLY IF A NEARLY CONTINUOUS LINE OF INTENSE STORMS DEVELOPS
DURING THE EARLY EVENING.

...SRN PLAINS/WRN OZARKS...
MOISTENING OF THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TODAY
AS THE SRN END OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL JET MOVES EWD ACROSS THE
REGION. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
FROM CNTRL AND NORTH TX EXTENDING NWD INTO CNTRL AND ERN OK WHERE
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 2500 J/KG. IN SPITE OF
THE INSTABILITY...A CAPPING INVERSION WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN PLACE
FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SUPPRESSING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. SEVERAL MODEL FORECASTS INITIATE STORMS IN NE OK AND NW
AR DURING THE LATE EVENING WITH STORMS EXPANDING SWWD ALONG A COLD
FRONT DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. THE MODERATE INSTABILITY...STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE THREAT. AFTER
MIDNIGHT...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR SWWD ACROSS
CNTRL AND NORTH TX AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN CNTRL AND NORTH TX AT 09Z TO 12Z
SUGGEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL WIND
DAMAGE AND HAIL THREAT.

..BROYLES/GARNER.. 04/03/2011

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 030557
SWODY2
SPC AC 030556

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS EXTENDING FROM E TX TO CENTRAL
GULF COAST STATES AND NWD TO THE OH VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE 02/12Z ECMWF IS CONSISTENT WITH ITS 02/00Z RUN...AND REMAINS THE
SLOWEST AND FARTHEST SOUTH OF THE OPERATIONAL AND LATEST 21Z SREF
500 MB MEAN HEIGHTS...SHOWING THE BASAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO
THE LOWER MS VALLEY DURING THE LATTER HALF OF DAY 2. HOWEVER...EVEN
WITH THE SLOWER ECMWF SOLUTION...60-100 METER HEIGHT FALLS ARE
EXPECTED IN ADVANCE OF THE PROGRESSIVE FULL LATITUDE TROUGH FROM THE
OH VALLEY TO MID SOUTH/LOWER MS VALLEY SUPPORTING STRONG DEEP LAYER
SSWLY WIND FIELDS. THE 03/00Z GFS COMPARED TO THIS MODEL RUN FROM
02/00Z IS NOW INDICATING STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT INTO THE MID
SOUTH BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...THE LATEST GFS CONTINUES TO INDICATE STRONGER
DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE LOW...WITH BOTH THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF
TRACKING THE LOW FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TO QUEBEC. EACH MODEL
CONTINUES TO SHOW STRONG BAROCLINICITY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD
ACROSS THE OH/TN AND LOWER MS VALLEYS AND CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES.
THE ECMWF REMAINS THE SLOWER MODEL WITH EWD PROGRESSION OF THE COLD
FRONT...AND IN AGREEMENT WITH HPC MODEL DIAGNOSTICS HAVE KEPT SERN
EXTENT OF THE SLIGHT RISK IN LINE WITH THE ECMWF TIMING OF THE COLD
FRONT INTO GA BY 12Z TUESDAY.

...E TX TO CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES NWD TO TN/OH VALLEYS...
GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AREA /COVERAGE AND INTENSITY/...
INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS THE LOWER MS/TN VALLEYS.

DESPITE THE MODEL DIFFERENCES DISCUSSED IN THE SYNOPSIS...EVEN 60-90
METER HEIGHT FALLS PER ECMWF FROM THE OH VALLEY TO THE MID
SOUTH/LOWER MS VALLEY AND MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BECOMING NEUTRALLY
ORIENTED WILL SUPPORT FORCING FOR ASCENT SPREADING EWD ATOP THE COLD
FRONT AND ADJACENT WARM SECTOR. STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES /8-9 C
PER KM/ ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA AT 12Z MONDAY WILL INITIALLY CAP
THE AIR MASS. HOWEVER...THE HEIGHT FALLS ARE EXPECTED TO ELIMINATE
THE CAP EARLY IN THE PERIOD /MONDAY MORNING/. FORCING ATTENDANT TO
THE TROUGH SHOULD MAINTAIN ONGOING TSTMS ALONG THE FRONT WHICH WILL
EXTEND FROM LOWER MI SWWD TO NERN AND CENTRAL TX...WHILE NEW STORMS
WILL ALSO DEVELOP AS THE CAP WEAKENS FROM W-E MONDAY MORNING INTO
THE AFTERNOON.

SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL SPREAD MOISTURE NWD IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD
FRONT...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S SPREADING ACROSS THE
OH VALLEY...AND MID-UPPER 60S SWD FROM TN. VALUES AROUND 70 SHOULD
BE ALONG THE GULF COAST. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH RELATIVELY
STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY
FROM E TX TO CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES AND INTO PARTS OF THE TN
VALLEY. INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR VECTORS BECOMING LESS PARALLEL
TO THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THIS REGION SUGGESTS SUPERCELLS WILL BE
MORE LIKELY. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR...TORNADOES
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL /SOME VERY
LARGE/. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST STATES MONDAY NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT SPREADS EWD INTO A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

FARTHER N INTO THE OH VALLEY INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAKER. HOWEVER...
FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THE UPPER TROUGH AND POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED
WITH A LEAD IMPULSE WILL SUPPORT TSTM DEVELOPMENT AS THE COLD FRONT
ADVANCES EWD. BULK SHEAR VECTORS ORIENTED MORE PARALLEL TO THE
FRONT SUGGEST A LINEAR MODE WITH THE STRENGTH OF LOW LEVEL WINDS
/50-60 KT/ SUGGEST DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

..PETERS.. 04/03/2011

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