KHNX [050212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 050212
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
612 PM PST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0912 PM NON-TSTM WND GST RIDGECREST 35.63N 117.66W
03/03/2010 M48.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH FOR SEVERAL PRECEDING HOURS

0515 AM HEAVY SNOW BEAR VALLEY 35.14N 118.62W
03/04/2010 M5.0 INCH KERN CA BROADCAST MEDIA

RELAYED BY TV METEOROLOGIST

1259 PM NON-TSTM WND GST EDWARDS AFB 34.91N 117.93W
03/04/2010 M48.00 MPH KERN CA ASOS

NORTH EDWARDS ASOS K9L2

0254 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MOJAVE 35.05N 118.18W
03/04/2010 M58.00 MPH KERN CA ASOS

KMHV ASOS. ALSO REPORTED AT MOJAVE NTPS APRS.

0345 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ROSAMOND 34.86N 118.20W
03/04/2010 M51.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

&&

$$

LGRE

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KGJT [050152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 050152
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
652 PM MST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND GST VALLEY OF THE GODS 37.27N 109.93W
03/04/2010 M46 MPH SAN JUAN UT CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000247

$$

DLC

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 050028
SWODY1
SPC AC 050026

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0626 PM CST THU MAR 04 2010

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
LIGHTNING DATA INDICATE THAT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS REMAINED
SPARSE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY TO
CHANGE...BUT ADDITIONAL WEAK THUNDERSTORMS STILL SEEM POSSIBLE INTO
EARLY EVENING...MAINLY IN THE PRE-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT...JUST AHEAD
OF THE WEAKENING CLOSED LOW MIGRATING ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
BASIN. BEYOND 02-03Z...DIURNAL SURFACE COOLING PROBABLY WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASINGLY NEGLIGIBLE THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES.

..KERR.. 03/05/2010

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KLKN [050020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KLKN 050020
LSRLKN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
420 PM PST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM SNOW MCDERMITT 41.99N 117.71W
03/04/2010 M5.0 INCH HUMBOLDT NV CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

JM

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KLKN [050009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KLKN 050009
LSRLKN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
409 PM PST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM SNOW ELY 39.25N 114.88W
03/04/2010 M3.3 INCH WHITE PINE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

JM

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KLKN [041959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KLKN 041959
LSRLKN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1158 AM PST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW WINNEMUCCA 40.97N 117.73W
03/04/2010 M5.0 INCH HUMBOLDT NV CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW CHARLESTON 41.67N 115.53W
03/04/2010 M5.0 INCH ELKO NV CO-OP OBSERVER

0830 AM SNOW AUSTIN 39.48N 117.07W
03/04/2010 M5.0 INCH LANDER NV CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW 8 E AUSTIN 39.48N 116.92W
03/04/2010 M7.0 INCH LANDER NV TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR BOB SCOTT SUMMIT

0945 AM SNOW EUREKA 39.50N 115.95W
03/04/2010 M5.5 INCH EUREKA NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0100 AM SNOW TONOPAH 38.10N 117.25W
03/04/2010 M4.0 INCH NYE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW GREAT BASIN NATIONAL PA 39.01N 114.23W
03/04/2010 M3.0 INCH WHITE PINE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

LEHMAN CAVES VISITOR CENTER...ELEVATION 6850 FEET MSL

&&

$$

JM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041957
SWODY1
SPC AC 041956

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0156 PM CST THU MAR 04 2010

VALID 042000Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

THE CURRENT FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK WITH ONLY SMALL MODIFICATIONS
MADE TO THE GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREA.

..MEAD/ROGERS.. 03/04/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1014 AM CST THU MAR 04 2010/

A WELL-DEFINED UPPER LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN TODAY
PROVIDING SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER UT. OTHERWISE...DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
NATION TODAY.

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KHNX [041949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 041949
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1148 AM PST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1139 AM SNOW LODGEPOLE 36.60N 118.73W
03/04/2010 M0.0 INCH TULARE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

LODGEPOLE HAD 1 FOOT OF SNOW LEAVING THE TOTAL SNOW ON
THE GROUND AT 100 INCHES. RANGERS WERE UNABLE TO GET
WATER CONTENT AT THE TIME.

0800 AM SNOW GRANT GROVE 36.74N 118.96W
03/04/2010 M0.0 INCH TULARE CA PARK/FOREST SRVC

GRANT GROVE RECIEVED 9.5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WITH THE SNOW
ON GROUND AT 69 INCHES. WATER CONTENT OF NEW SNOW WAS
1.77 INCHES

&&

$$

PJON

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KLIX [041721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 041721
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1121 AM CST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NEW ORLEANS 29.97N 90.08W
03/01/2010 ORLEANS LA NWS EMPLOYEE

A FEW TREES BLOWN OVER...SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...AND
TWO CARS BLOWN OFF THE ROAD ALONG INTERSTATE 10.

&&

$$

CBANNAN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 041643
SWODY2
SPC AC 041642

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1042 AM CST THU MAR 04 2010

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

A QUASI-ZONAL SUBTROPICAL JET WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE SRN TIER
OF STATES AND NRN MEXICO THROUGH THE DAY TWO PERIOD. TO THE N OF
THIS FEATURE...A HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN WILL EXIST WITH THE PRIMARY
FEATURE OF INTEREST BEING NEGATIVELY-TILTED MIDLEVEL TROUGH MOVING
INTO THE NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...BROAD SURFACE RIDGING WILL PERSIST FROM THE
GREAT LAKES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. FARTHER W...LEE CYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH ABOVE-MENTIONED MIDLEVEL SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP FROM
ERN CO NEWD TO ALONG THE NEB/KS BORDER. AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT IS
FORECAST TO INTENSIFY OVER PARTS OF THE MID/LOWER MO VALLEY WHILE A
TRAILING COLD OR PACIFIC FRONT PUSHES EWD INTO THE CNTRL AND SRN
HIGH PLAINS.

...NEB/KS...

STEEP LAPSE RATES AND A CONCENTRATED ZONE OF DCVA ASSOCIATED WITH
COMPACT MIDLEVEL SYSTEM WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF TSTMS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO NIGHT INVOF SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING NEWD.
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN QUITE LIMITED OWING TO THE POOR
QUALITY OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR CLOUDINESS
TO INHIBIT STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING. AS SUCH...NO ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED...THOUGH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
SOME SMALL HAIL.

..MEAD.. 03/04/2010

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041615
SWODY1
SPC AC 041614

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1014 AM CST THU MAR 04 2010

VALID 041630Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A WELL-DEFINED UPPER LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN TODAY
PROVIDING SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER UT. OTHERWISE...DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
NATION TODAY.

..HART/HURLBUT/ROGERS.. 03/04/2010

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KBOX [041506]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBOX 041506
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1006 AM EST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS COMMERCIAL AND BRIDGE STREETS

1245 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

NORTH RIVER OUT OF IT/S BANKS DUE TO SURGE

0106 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

COASTAL FLOOD WATERS OVER SEA WALL ON COLUMBUS AVE

0109 AM STORM SURGE PLYMOUTH 41.96N 70.68W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING NEAR INTERSECTION OF LEYDEN AND
WATER STREETS

0111 AM STORM SURGE PLYMOUTH 41.96N 70.68W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WAVES BREAKING OVER SEAWALL AND FLOODING A YARD ON
STEVENS LANE

0122 AM STORM SURGE MARBLEHEAD 42.48N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WAVES CRASHING OVER SEAWALL AT DEVEREAUX BEACH WITH MINOR
FLOODING OF PARKING LOTS

0125 AM STORM SURGE 3 ESE PLYMOUTH 41.94N 70.62W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

ROUTE 3A HAS SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. WATER IS COVERING
ENTIRE ROAD AND WAVES ARE COMING OVER THE ROAD AND INTO
YARDS

0131 AM STORM SURGE SWAMPSCOTT 42.47N 70.89W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON BEACH BLUFF AVE

0132 AM STORM SURGE HULL 42.30N 70.90W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

TWO LANES OF NANTASKET AVE ARE CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL
FLOODING

0145 AM STORM SURGE LYNN 42.47N 70.96W
03/04/2010 M1.60 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

LYNN SHORE DRIVE...WAVES BREAKING ST LIGHT HIGH..HIGHER
THAN MONDAYS HIGH TIDE WHICH WAS ASSESSED MINOR-POCKETS
MDT. STORM TIDE AT BOS NOS TIDE GAGE AT 136AM WAS 12.98
FT WITH 44098 44029 AND 44013 BOUY REPORTS 10-12FT. WE
KNOW A MINIMIM OF AN INCOMING 7 FT SWELL.

0231 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

COMMERCIAL STREET FLOODING UP TO CAR BUMPERS

0234 AM STORM SURGE WINTHROP 42.38N 70.98W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WINTHROP PARKWAY HAS A SECTION OF ROAD FLOODED

&&

$$

WDRAG

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041228
SWODY1
SPC AC 041226

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0626 AM CST THU MAR 04 2010

VALID 041300Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN GREAT BASIN...
COMPACT MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE WRN GREAT BASIN WILL GRADUALLY
SHIFT EWD TOWARDS THE CNTRL ROCKIES THROUGH EARLY FRI. DESPITE
MEAGER MOISTURE FOR DEEP CONVECTION...FORCED ASCENT COUPLED WITH
DIURNAL SURFACE HEATING AND POCKET OF RELATIVELY COLD MID-LEVEL
TEMPERATURES /-26 C AT 500 MB/ SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ISOLATED/SPARSE LIGHTNING COVERAGE...FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

..GRAMS/THOMPSON.. 03/04/2010

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 041000
SWOD48
SPC AC 040959

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0359 AM CST THU MAR 04 2010

VALID 071200Z - 121200Z

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT FOR THIS WEEKEND
BRINGING A WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL LOW INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
ON SUNDAY/DAY 4. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...A LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST
TO STRENGTHEN IN THE SRN PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AS A FAST MOVING
MID-LEVEL JET EJECTS EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. ALTHOUGH THE ECMWF IS
ABOUT 12 HOURS SLOWER...BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS HAVE THE SAME GENERAL
SOLUTION. THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BEGIN THE SRN HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY
NIGHT SPREADING EWD AND INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...THE MODELS ARE FORECASTING
LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN SFC DEWPOINTS MAY
REACH THE LOWER 60S F ACROSS PARTS OF EAST TX. THIS WOULD BE THE
MOST LIKELY TIME FOR A SEVERE THREAT ESPECIALLY IF A SQUALL-LINE CAN
ORGANIZE IN NORTH TX AND MOVE EWD ACROSS THE ARKLATEX DURING THE DAY
ON MONDAY/DAY 5. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS MOVE THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW
INTO THE MID-MS VALLEY TUESDAY/DAY 6 BUT KEEP LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CONFINED TO THE IMMEDIATE CNTRL GULF COAST. STRONG THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY MAY OCCUR TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE GULF COAST BUT A
LOT OF UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AT THAT RANGE CONCERNING THE SPEED OF THE
EJECTING SYSTEM. THE MORE FAVORABLE TIME PERIOD FOR AN OUTLOOK AREA
WOULD BE ON MONDAY/DAY 5 IN THE ARKLATEX. AT THIS TIME...UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS TOO GREAT CONCERNING MOISTURE RETURN FOR A SEVERE THREAT
AREA FOR THE DAY 4 TO 8 OUTLOOK.

..BROYLES.. 03/04/2010

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KBOX [040807]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KBOX 040807
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
307 AM EST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS COMMERCIAL AND BRIDGE STREETS

1245 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

NORTH RIVER OUT OF IT/S BANKS DUE TO SURGE

0106 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

COASTAL FLOOD WATERS OVER SEA WALL ON COLUMBUS AVE

0109 AM STORM SURGE PLYMOUTH 41.96N 70.68W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING NEAR INTERSECTION OF LEYDEN AND
WATER STREETS

0111 AM STORM SURGE PLYMOUTH 41.96N 70.68W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WAVES BREAKING OVER SEAWALL AND FLOODING A YARD ON
STEVENS LANE

0122 AM STORM SURGE MARBLEHEAD 42.48N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WAVES CRASHING OVER SEAWALL AT DEVEREAUX BEACH WITH MINOR
FLOODING OF PARKING LOTS

0125 AM STORM SURGE 3 ESE PLYMOUTH 41.94N 70.62W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

ROUTE 3A HAS SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. WATER IS COVERING
ENTIRE ROAD AND WAVES ARE COMING OVER THE ROAD AND INTO
YARDS

0131 AM STORM SURGE SWAMPSCOTT 42.47N 70.89W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON BEACH BLUFF AVE

0132 AM STORM SURGE HULL 42.30N 70.90W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

TWO LANES OF NANTASKET AVE ARE CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL
FLOODING

0231 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

COMMERCIAL STREET FLOODING UP TO CAR BUMPERS

0234 AM STORM SURGE WINTHROP 42.38N 70.98W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WINTHROP PARKWAY HAS A SECTION OF ROAD FLOODED

&&

$$

MLE

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KBOX [040806]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBOX 040806
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
306 AM EST THU MAR 04 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS COMMERCIAL AND BRIDGE STREETS

1245 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

NORTH RIVER OUT OF IT/S BANKS DUE TO SURGE

0106 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

COASTAL FLOOD WATERS OVER SEA WALL ON COLUMBUS AVE

0109 AM STORM SURGE PLYMOUTH 41.96N 70.68W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA ASOS

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING NEAR INTERSECTION OF LEYDEN AND
WATER STREETS

0111 AM STORM SURGE PLYMOUTH 41.96N 70.68W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

WAVES BREAKING OVER SEAWALL AND FLOODING A YARD ON
STEVENS LANE

0122 AM STORM SURGE MARBLEHEAD 42.48N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

WAVES CRASHING OVER SEAWALL AT DEVEREAUX BEACH WITH MINOR
FLOODING OF PARKING LOTS

0125 AM STORM SURGE 3 ESE PLYMOUTH 41.94N 70.62W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

ROUTE 3A HAS SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. WATER IS COVERING
ENTIRE ROAD AND WAVES ARE COMING OVER THE ROAD AND INTO
YARDS

0131 AM STORM SURGE SWAMPSCOTT 42.47N 70.89W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON BEACH BLUFF AVE

0132 AM STORM SURGE HULL 42.30N 70.90W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT PLYMOUTH MA AMATEUR RADIO

TWO LANES OF NANTASKET AVE ARE CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL
FLOODING

0231 AM STORM SURGE SALEM 42.53N 70.87W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT ESSEX MA AMATEUR RADIO

COMMERCIAL STREET FLOODING UP TO CAR BUMPERS

0234 AM STORM SURGE WINTHROP 42.38N 70.98W
03/04/2010 E0.00 FT SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO

WINTHROP PARKWAY HAS A SECTION OF ROAD FLOODED

&&

$$

MLE

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 040714
SWODY3
SPC AC 040712

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0112 AM CST THU MAR 04 2010

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

A NEGATIVELY-TILED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
UPPER MIDWEST SATURDAY AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SRN
PLAINS AND CNTRL ROCKIES. FURTHER WEST...AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD ALONG THE CA COAST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE CORE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW
SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY TO THE LA BASIN DUE TO
SFC HEATING AND COLD AIR ALOFT. WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP THE
CONVECTION BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

..BROYLES.. 03/04/2010

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 040545
SWODY2
SPC AC 040544

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST WED MAR 03 2010

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL PLAINS...
A NEGATIVELY-TILTED UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
CNTRL HIGH PLAINS FRIDAY. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...A 45 TO 55 KT SHOULD
BE LOCATED IN THE CNTRL PLAINS ALTHOUGH MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE
QUITE LIMITED AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NW KS AND SW NEB ON THE
WRN SIDE OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES IN THE
CNTRL PLAINS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN NW KS LATE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON JUST AHEAD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW SHOW MID-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AROUND 7.5 C/KM AND 500 MB TEMPS OF -22 TO -24 C. THIS
ALONG WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES COULD SUPPORT A MARGINAL
THREAT FOR HAIL. HOWEVER...WEAK INSTABILITY AND LIMITED LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP THE THREAT ISOLATED. AT THIS TIME...THE
MAGNITUDE OF THE THREAT STILL APPEARS CONDITIONAL. ONCE CERTAINTY
INCREASES...LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES MAY BECOME NECESSARY ACROSS THE
REGION.

..BROYLES.. 03/04/2010

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 040519
SWODY1
SPC AC 040517

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 PM CST WED MAR 03 2010

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AS THE UPSTREAM PATTERN BEGINS TO AMPLIFY...MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF A SPLITTING SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST
PACIFIC WILL BEGIN TO DIG AND GRADUALLY EVOLVE INTO ANOTHER
SIGNIFICANT CLOSED LOW DURING THIS PERIOD. WHILE THIS FEATURE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY WEST OF THE PACIFIC COAST
...IT IS ALREADY CLOSE ENOUGH TO CONTRIBUTE TO THE EASTWARD
PROGRESSION OF A DOWNSTREAM CLOSED LOW...INLAND AND ACROSS THE
SIERRA NEVADA. GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THIS LEAD IMPULSE WILL
ADVANCE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES BY 12Z FRIDAY
...SLOWLY WEAKENING WITHIN BROADER SCALE RIDGING.

OTHERWISE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE LARGE-SCALE BLOCKING PATTERN
ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF NORTH AMERICA IS FORECAST. SURFACE RIDGING
APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN PROMINENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S.
AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...BENEATH A LINGERING CONFLUENT MID-LEVEL
FLOW REGIME. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO GENERALLY STABLE
CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO NEGLIGIBLE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS MOST
AREAS.

...GREAT BASIN...
A MODEST INFLUX OF PACIFIC MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE INLAND PROGRESSING
CLOSED LOW/SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS ALREADY BECOMING CUT- OFF. AND
MOISTURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST IS LIMITED.
HOWEVER...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
IMPULSE APPEAR LIKELY TO REMAIN SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT AT LEAST LOW
PROBABILITIES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THIS
POTENTIAL BECOMING REALIZED APPEARS TO BE ACROSS UTAH...WHERE
STRONGEST DIFFERENTIAL THERMAL ADVECTION ON THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
MID-LEVEL COLD CORE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FOCUSED DURING THE PEAK
AFTERNOON HEATING HOURS.

..KERR/STOPPKOTTE/GARNER.. 03/04/2010

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