SWODY1
SPC AC 050036
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 PM CDT THU NOV 04 2010
VALID 050100Z - 051200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...CNTRL THROUGH SRN FL...
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR TAMPA TO JUST NORTH OF THE CAPE
CANAVERAL AREA. THIS BOUNDARY WILL ADVANCE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE FL PENINSULA TONIGHT AS PRIMARY ZONE OF CYCLOGENESIS LIFTS NWD
ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC SEABOARD. A SRN STREAM UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE
PROCESS OF DE-AMPLIFYING AND SHEARING NEWD THROUGH THE ERN GULF IN
RESPONSE TO MUCH STRONGER AMPLIFYING NRN STREAM TROUGH. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE FROM CNTRL THROUGH SRN FL ALONG THE COLD
FRONT AND WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR WHERE CAPPING IS WEAK. THE 00Z RAOB
DATA FROM TAMPA AND KEY WEST INDICATE A MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK LAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITY. THIS ALONG WITH
VEERED AND RELATIVELY WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR
A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT...ESPECIALLY WITH THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL
COOLING. GIVEN STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH SRN
STREAM WAVE...A FEW STORMS COULD STILL DEVELOP UPDRAFT ROTATION AND
ORGANIZE INTO BOWING SEGMENTS. THUS A LIMITED THREAT FOR MAINLY
ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING.
..DIAL.. 11/05/2010
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