KBGM [150325]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 150325
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1024 PM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ENDWELL 42.12N 76.02W
11/12/2012 BROOME NY PUBLIC

30 TREES UPROOTED IN ENDWELL GREENS


&&

$$

PN

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMPX [150150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 150150
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
750 PM CST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1121 PM TORNADO 2 N MAHTOMEDI 45.08N 92.96W
11/10/2012 WASHINGTON MN NWS STORM SURVEY

THE TORNADO TOUNCHED DOWN IN MAHTOMEDI, 0.4 MILE NORTH OF
THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 244 AND QUAIL, AND JUST EAST
OF THE WHITE BEAR LAKE SHORE. IT MOVED NORTHEAST INTO THE
NORTHEASTERN PART OF GRANT. HUNDREDS OF TREES WERE
TOPPLED, SNAPPED OR PUSHED OVER. SOME TREES FELL ON CARS,
HOUSES AND SHEDS. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE WAS SHORTLY
AFTER TOUCHDOWN, NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HAZEL AND
MOCCASIN IN FAR NORTHERN MAHTOMEDI, WHERE STRONG EF-0
DAMAGE WAS NOTED.


&&

$$

RAH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 150013
SWODY1
SPC AC 150012

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0612 PM CST WED NOV 14 2012

VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GA/SC...
FORCING WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AS WELL AS MEAGER INSTABILITY MAY
BE ENOUGH TO FORCE WEAK ELEVATED CONVECTION THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...MAINLY FROM CNTRL GA INTO WRN SC. DUE TO THE WEAK
INSTABILITY AND MARGINAL WIND FIELDS...SEVERE WEATHER WILL NOT
OCCUR.

..JEWELL.. 11/15/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTOP [142334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KTOP 142334
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
533 PM CST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0508 PM HAIL ROSSVILLE 39.14N 95.95W
11/14/2012 M1.00 INCH SHAWNEE KS PUBLIC

TEST TEST TEST

0515 PM TORNADO SILVER LAKE 39.10N 95.86W
11/14/2012 SHAWNEE KS EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL *** TEST TEST TEST

0515 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 N WAMEGO 39.24N 96.31W
11/14/2012 POTTAWATOMIE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER SEES FUNNEL CLOUD APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES TO HIS
WEST. TEST TEST TEST

0517 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 ESE ONAGA 39.47N 96.12W
11/14/2012 POTTAWATOMIE KS PUBLIC

ROTATION CITED. NO DAMAGE AT THIS TIME. TEST TEST TEST


&&

$$

BYRNE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTOP [142323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 142323
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
522 PM CST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TORNADO SILVER LAKE 39.10N 95.86W
11/14/2012 SHAWNEE KS EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL ***

0517 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 ESE ONAGA 39.47N 96.12W
11/14/2012 POTTAWATOMIE KS PUBLIC

ROTATION CITED. NO DAMAGE AT THIS TIME.


&&
HOUSE DESTORYED.
$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTOP [142316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 142316
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
516 PM CST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0508 PM HAIL ROSSVILLE 39.14N 95.95W
11/14/2012 M1.00 INCH SHAWNEE KS PUBLIC

0515 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 3 N WAMEGO 39.24N 96.31W
11/14/2012 POTTAWATOMIE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER SEES FUNNEL CLOUD APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES TO HIS
WEST.


&&

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [142148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 142148
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
447 PM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 N FORT SUMTER 32.75N 79.87W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC PARK SERVICE

THE NATIONAL PARK SERVICE REPORTS SHALLOW SALT WATER
FLOODING IN FORT SUMTER.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200819

$$

BSH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KPIH [142116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 142116
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
216 PM MST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0209 PM SNOW 30 SW BURLEY 42.23N 114.20W
11/14/2012 M1.1 INCH CASSIA ID MESONET

BOSTETTER RANGER STATION - 7503 FEET - 11 HOUR TOTAL

0209 PM SNOW 22 NW KETCHUM 43.91N 114.69W
11/14/2012 M2.7 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

GALENA SUMMIT - 8782 FEET - 11 HOUR TOTAL

0209 PM SNOW 32 NNE DRIGGS 44.15N 110.86W
11/14/2012 M4.2 INCH TETON WY MESONET

GRASSY LAKE - 7265 FEET - 11 HOUR TOTAL

0209 PM SNOW 10 ENE DRIGGS 43.78N 110.92W
11/14/2012 M6.7 INCH TETON WY MESONET

GRAND TARGHEE - 9260 FEET - 11 HOUR TOTAL

0209 PM SNOW 38 E IDAHO FALLS 43.49N 111.28W
11/14/2012 M2.7 INCH BONNEVILLE ID MESONET

PINE CREEK PASS - 6720 FEET - 11 HOUR TOTAL

0209 PM SNOW 17 SE DRIGGS 43.55N 110.87W
11/14/2012 M2.7 INCH XXX XX MESONET

PHILIPS BENCH - 8200 FEET - 11 HOUR TOTAL

0209 PM SNOW 22 NW KETCHUM 43.91N 114.69W
11/14/2012 M3.6 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

VIENNA MINE - 8963 FEET - 11 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

PANGEL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141944
SWODY1
SPC AC 141942

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0142 PM CST WED NOV 14 2012

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST FOR THE U.S. DEPICTING A LACK OF THUNDER WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF THE SOUTHEAST REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH ONLY MINOR
TWEAKS TO THE THUNDER AREA BEING MADE THIS FORECAST. ISOLATED
STRIKES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS FL AND ADJACENT WATERS...WITH ELEVATED
CONVECTION POSSIBLY DEVELOPING FARTHER N INTO GA AND VICINITY LATER
IN THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 11/14/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1019 AM CST WED NOV 14 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CONUS THIS
PERIOD AS A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRACKS FROM THE LOWER MS
VALLEY TO DEEP SOUTH. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WAS DROPPING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND WILL MOVE TOWARD CONFLUENT FLOW
ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN AND NRN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE IS THE DOMINANT FEATURE FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TO THE
EAST COAST. A SHARP FRONT DELINEATES THE CONTINENTAL POLAR AIRMASS
OVER MUCH OF THE COUNTRY FROM THE MARITIME AIRMASS TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST. THIS FRONT EXTENDS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS FL FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND THEN TO THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST.

...FL/GA/SC...
DIURNAL HEATING MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A FEW TSTMS OVER FL
WHERE RELATIVELY WARM/MOIST AIRMASS PERSISTS NEAR STALLED FRONT.
LATER TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT...THERE IS VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN MODEL
GUIDANCE THAT SRN U.S. SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ENHANCE LARGE SCALE
ASCENT AND DESTABILIZATION NORTH OF SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED
ACROSS THE NERN GULF AND NRN FL. PROSPECTS FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW
STORMS SHOULD INCREASE INTO THE EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN FL/GA
AND SC AS THE MID/UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST AND LEADS TO
MOISTENING IN THE 850-700MB LAYER AND STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ABOVE
THAT. STORM UPDRAFTS SHOULD REMAIN REMOVED/DECOUPLED FROM STABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT WITH MUCAPE GENERALLY
AOB 500 J/KG PER LATEST SREF GUIDANCE. SHEAR OF 25-30KT WITHIN THE
STORM UPDRAFT LAYER OVER MOST OF THE REGION WILL ONLY MARGINALLY
SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION/PERSISTENCE AND...GIVEN LACK OF GREATER
DESTABILIZATION...HAIL POTENTIAL WITH THIS CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN
SUB-SEVERE.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KPIH [141753]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 141753
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1053 AM MST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1052 AM SNOW REXBURG 43.83N 111.79W
11/14/2012 E2.5 INCH MADISON ID DEPT OF HIGHWAYS


&&

$$

VALLE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 141726
SWODY2
SPC AC 141725

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CST WED NOV 14 2012

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN ALOFT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
U.S. THIS PERIOD...WITH SOME AMPLIFICATION WITH TIME -- PARTICULARLY
IN THE EAST AS A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH INITIALLY CROSSING THE PLAINS
STATES DIGS SEWD ACROSS THE OH/MID AND LOWER MS VALLEYS DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.

OVERALL HOWEVER...PREVALENCE OF A LARGE/COOL SURFACE HIGH WILL LIMIT
INSTABILITY -- AND THUS CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL -- OVER MOST OF THE
COUNTRY.

THE TWO EXCEPTIONS TO THE OVERALL LACK OF CONVECTION WILL EXIST
ACROSS PARTS OF THE SWRN AND SERN CONUS -- SPECIFICALLY ACROSS SRN
CA WHERE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS ENERGETIC SHORT-WAVE TROUGHING
CROSSES THE AREA...AND ACROSS PARTS OF FL/GA/SC WHERE
MODEST/GENERALLY ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD PERSIST N OF THE
REMNANT SURFACE FRONT. OVERALL HOWEVER...LIMITED CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL AND LITTLE IF ANY SEVERE THREAT CAN BE EXPECTED
COUNTRY-WIDE.

..GOSS.. 11/14/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [141627]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 141627
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1127 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES BRUNSWICK 31.14N 81.47W
11/14/2012 GLYNN GA NEWSPAPER

BRUNSWICK NEWS REPORTED THREE STREETS WITH MINOR FLOODING
IN DOWNTOWN BRUNSWICK DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE. STREETS
WERE NOT CLOSED AS PER CITY MANAGER.


&&

$$

JHESS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141621
SWODY1
SPC AC 141619

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CST WED NOV 14 2012

VALID 141630Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE MID/UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CONUS THIS
PERIOD AS A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH TRACKS FROM THE LOWER MS
VALLEY TO DEEP SOUTH. ANOTHER SHORT WAVE WAS DROPPING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND WILL MOVE TOWARD CONFLUENT FLOW
ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN AND NRN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE IS THE DOMINANT FEATURE FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TO THE
EAST COAST. A SHARP FRONT DELINEATES THE CONTINENTAL POLAR AIRMASS
OVER MUCH OF THE COUNTRY FROM THE MARITIME AIRMASS TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST. THIS FRONT EXTENDS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS FL FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND THEN TO THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST.

...FL/GA/SC...
DIURNAL HEATING MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A FEW TSTMS OVER FL
WHERE RELATIVELY WARM/MOIST AIRMASS PERSISTS NEAR STALLED FRONT.
LATER TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT...THERE IS VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN MODEL
GUIDANCE THAT SRN U.S. SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ENHANCE LARGE SCALE
ASCENT AND DESTABILIZATION NORTH OF SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED
ACROSS THE NERN GULF AND NRN FL. PROSPECTS FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW
STORMS SHOULD INCREASE INTO THE EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN FL/GA
AND SC AS THE MID/UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST AND LEADS TO
MOISTENING IN THE 850-700MB LAYER AND STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ABOVE
THAT. STORM UPDRAFTS SHOULD REMAIN REMOVED/DECOUPLED FROM STABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT WITH MUCAPE GENERALLY
AOB 500 J/KG PER LATEST SREF GUIDANCE. SHEAR OF 25-30KT WITHIN THE
STORM UPDRAFT LAYER OVER MOST OF THE REGION WILL ONLY MARGINALLY
SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION/PERSISTENCE AND...GIVEN LACK OF GREATER
DESTABILIZATION...HAIL POTENTIAL WITH THIS CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN
SUB-SEVERE.

..CARBIN/MOSIER.. 11/14/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141621
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1121 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 2 W TYBEE ISLAND 32.02N 80.90W
11/14/2012 CHATHAM GA BROADCAST MEDIA

WATER COVERING ENTRANCE TO MCQUEENS ISLAND HISTORIC
TRAIL ON HIGHWAY 80. TIME IS ESTIMATED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200818

$$

RJB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [141621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 141621
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1120 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES ST. SIMONS 31.18N 81.38W
11/14/2012 GLYNN GA NEWSPAPER

BRUNSWICK NEWS REPORTED ONE STREET CLOSED DUE TO COASTAL
FLOODING ON ST SIMONS ISLAND DURING THE MORNING HIGH TIDE
CYCLE.


&&

$$

JHESS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KPIH [141611]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 141611
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
911 AM MST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM SNOW S ASHTON 44.07N 111.45W
11/14/2012 E1.0 INCH FREMONT ID TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE INCHE NEW SNOW AND IT IS STILL SNOWING


&&

$$

DPHELPS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [141449]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 141449
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
949 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES FERNANDINA BEACH 30.66N 81.45W
11/14/2012 NASSAU FL OTHER FEDERAL

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 8.79 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT THE
FERNANDINA BEACH TIDE GAGE WHICH WAS +0.60 FT ABOVE THE
PREDICTED HIGH TIDE. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TYPICALLY
BEGINS WHEN TIDE LEVELS REACH 8.5 FT MLLW AT FERNANDINA
BEACH.


&&

$$

JHESS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [141445]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 141445
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
945 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0836 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES MAYPORT 30.38N 81.41W
11/14/2012 DUVAL FL OTHER FEDERAL

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 6.69 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT THE
MAYPORT TIDE GAGE WHICH WAS +0.53 FT ABOVE THE PREDICTED
HIGH TIDE. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TYPICALLY BEGINS WHEN
TIDE LEVELS REACH 6.4 FT MLLW AT MAYPORT.


&&

$$

JHESS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141402
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
902 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0818 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 3 WNW FORT SCREVEN 32.03N 80.90W
11/14/2012 CHATHAM GA TIDE GAGE

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 9.66 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT
THE FORT PULASKI TIDE GAGE. SHALLOW COASTAL FLOODING
TYPICALLY BEGINS ALONG THE UPPER GEORGIA COAST WHEN TIDE
LEVELS REACH 9.2 FT MLLW AT FORT PULASKI.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200817

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141400
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
859 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 SE CHARLESTON 32.77N 79.92W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC PILOT BOAT

SALT WATER FLOODING IN THE PARKING LOT OF THE
CHARLESTON BRANCH PILOTS ASSOCIATION PARKING LOT.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200816

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141346
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
846 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 W CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.95W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC SOCIAL MEDIA

SHALLOW SALT WATER FLOODING ON CALHOUN STREET NEAR
ROPER HOSPITAL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200815

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141336]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141336
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
836 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 E CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.93W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC TIDE GAGE

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 7.84 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT
THE CHARLESTON HARBOR TIDE GAGE. SHALLOW COASTAL
FLOODING TYPICALLY BEGINS ALONG THE LOWER SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST WHEN TIDE LEVELS REACH 7.0 FT MLLW IN THE
CHARLESTON HARBOR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200814

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141334
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
834 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 ESE CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.93W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC EMERGENCY MNGR

SALT WATER FLOODING ON SOUTH MARKET STREET. THE ROAD
WAS PASSABLE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200813

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141332]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141332
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
830 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 WNW CHARLESTON 32.79N 79.96W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC EMERGENCY MNGR

SALT WATER FLOODING AT HAGOOD AVENUE AND FISHBURNE ST.
ROAD WAS PASSABLE. WATER COVERING THE PARKING LOT AT THE
CHARLESTON MARINA.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200812

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141322
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
822 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0803 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 W CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.96W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC SOCIAL MEDIA

SALT WATER FLOODING ON THE LOCKWOOD EXIT FROM HIGHWAY
17.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200811

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141258
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
758 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 SW CHARLESTON 32.77N 79.94W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC TRAINED SPOTTER

SALT WATER FLOODING AT BROAD STREET AND LOCKWOOD BLVD.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200810

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141256
SWODY1
SPC AC 141254

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0654 AM CST WED NOV 14 2012

VALID 141300Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
TWO-STREAM...LARGELY ZONAL FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE WRN AND CNTRL
STATES THIS PERIOD...WHILE SRN STREAM IMPULSE NOW OVER AR FURTHER
AMPLIFIES AS IT CONTINUES ESE INTO GA. AT THE SFC...WEAK FRONT WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STNRY FROM THE CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO ENE ACROSS N CNTRL
FL TO OFF CAPE HATTERAS. DRY...STABLE AIR WILL PREVAIL AT LWR LVLS
OVER MOST OF THE CONUS.

SFC HEATING MAY PROVE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE SCTD CONVECTION DEEP
ENOUGH TO YIELD THUNDER OVER THE FL PENINSULA TODAY...WHERE
RELATIVELY WARM/MOIST AIR WILL PERSIST S OF STALLED FRONT. THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BE MAINLY DIURNAL...AND SHOULD FOCUS ALONG BOTH
THE FRONT AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES. SOME OF THE STORMS
WILL...HOWEVER...LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH EARLY THU OVER THE SHELF
WATERS OF THE NERN GULF...AND OVER THE GULF STREAM OFF ERN FL/GA/SC.

OTHER TSTMS ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY INTO TNGT ACROSS N
FL...GA...AND ADJACENT PARTS OF AL AND SC AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT
INCREASES AND MID LVL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN WITH THE APPROACH OF AR
UPR IMPULSE. THE STORMS WILL BE ELEVATED ATOP A FAIRLY DEEP
SFC-BASED COOL DOME. WHILE A FEW INSTANCES OF HAIL CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...ESPECIALLY THIS EVE...MAGNITUDE OF BOTH ELEVATED BUOYANCY AND
CLOUD-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN TOO WEAK FOR THE ACTIVITY TO POSE A
RISK FOR SVR WEATHER.

..CORFIDI/SMITH.. 11/14/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141252
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
752 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0729 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 WNW CHARLESTON 32.79N 79.95W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC SOCIAL MEDIA

SALT WATER FLOODING AT HAGOOD AVENUE AND LINE STREET.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200809

$$

VB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [141244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141244
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
744 AM EST WED NOV 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0731 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 WSW CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.95W
11/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC TRAINED SPOTTER

SALT WATER FLOODING PORTIONS OF EAST BAY STREET NEAR
SANDERS-CLYDE ELEMENTARY. STATUS OF ROAD IS UNKNOWN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200808

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 140949
SWOD48
SPC AC 140948

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 AM CST WED NOV 14 2012

VALID 171200Z - 221200Z

...DISCUSSION...
DAY 4-5...SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN LOW THROUGH AT LEAST DAY 5
WITH A CUTOFF UPPER LOW MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH THE SERN U.S. AND
OFFSHORE FLOW OVER MOST OF THE GULF WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE WRN
GULF DAY 5.

DAY 6-7...THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS COULD INCREASE DAY 6-7 OVER TX.
MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL
MOVE THROUGH TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY DURING THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...AMPLITUDE AND TIMING DIFFERENCES PERSIST AMONG
DETERMINISTIC RUNS AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. PRIMARY CONCERN IS DEGREE
OF MOISTURE RETURN IN ADVANCE OF THIS FEATURE. ECMWF IS SLOWER
MOVING THE ERN U.S. TROUGH OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD...RESULTING IN
LESS TIME FOR GULF MODIFICATION AND A MORE LIMITED RETURN OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE THAN THE GFS. GIVEN PERSISTENT MODEL DIFFERENCES AND
POTENTIAL FOR LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN...WILL MAINTAIN LOW
PREDICTABILITY THIS FORECAST.

..DIAL.. 11/14/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 140831
SWODY3
SPC AC 140830

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CST WED NOV 14 2012

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS WILL
AMPLIFY AND EVENTUALLY CUT OFF OVER THE ERN STATES...WHILE A FAST
ZONAL REGIME WILL PREVAIL OVER THE WRN HALF OF THE COUNTRY. AT THE
SFC A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL PERSIST OVER THE ERN U.S. AND A
WEAK FRONT SHOULD REMAIN OVER SCNTRL FL.

...CNTRL AND S FL...

DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 60S WILL EXIST IN THE S FL WARM SECTOR. WEAK
LAPSE RATES SHOULD LIMIT OVERALL DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...BUT
DIABATIC WARMING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 500-1000
J/KG MLCAPE. VORT MAXES ROTATING THROUGH THE AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH
MAY AFFECT THE FL PENINSULA...ESPECIALLY LATER IN PERIOD. CONVECTION
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN ASSOCIATION WITH SEA-BREEZE BOUNDARIES AND IN
WARM SECTOR AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES. SOME FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE A MID LEVEL INVERSION AND PROFILES ALOFT APPEAR SUBSIDENT
DURING THE DAY WHICH COULD LIMIT CONVECTIVE DEPTH AND LIGHTNING
PRODUCTION. HOWEVER...POTENTIAL FOR DEEPER ASCENT WITH ANY VORT MAX
ROTATING THROUGH THE TROUGH MAY MODIFY THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

..DIAL.. 11/14/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 140610
SWODY2
SPC AC 140609

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1209 AM CST WED NOV 14 2012

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

A SRN BRANCH SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT SHOULD BE LOCATED OVER GA EARLY
THURSDAY WILL DEAMPLIFY WHILE EJECTING NEWD AS AN UPSTREAM TROUGH
AMPLIFIES OVER THE MID-LOWER MS VALLEY REGION. EJECTION OF THE LEAD
WAVE SHOULD SERVE TO REINFORCE A QUASISTATIONARY FRONT LOCATED OVER
NRN FL...AND THIS BOUNDARY MAY SHIFT A LITTLE FARTHER SWD THROUGH
THE PENINSULA. FARTHER WEST A PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE
INTO CA THURSDAY NIGHT.

...ERN GA...NRN FL THROUGH SC AND EXTREME SERN NC...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A POSSIBLY FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY BE ONGOING FROM PORTIONS OF ERN GA...NRN FL AND SC IN
ASSOCIATION WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER GA. NEAR SFC STABLE
LAYER WILL BE MAINTAINED BY EXPANSIVE ERN U.S. HIGH PRESSURE.
HOWEVER...WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD EXIST IN THE 850-500 MB
LAYER PROMOTED BY COLDER AIR ALOFT AND SLIGHTLY STEEPER MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ATTENDING THE UPPER TROUGH. ACTIVITY WILL DEVELOP EWD
DURING THE DAY...BUT THUNDERSTORM PROSPECTS WILL PROBABLY DECREASE
WITH TIME AS THE UPPER TROUGH DEAMPLIFIES AND REMAINING WEAK
INSTABILITY IS EXHAUSTED BY ONGOING ACTIVITY.

...CNTRL AND SRN FL...

A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL EXIST ACROSS CNTRL AND S FL TO
THE SOUTH OF A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS APPEAR
PROBABLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS AND AS THE
FRONT IS REINFORCED DURING THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE DEEPER
FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL LIKELY REMAIN
NORTH OF THIS REGION AND MID LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES IMPLY
SUBSIDENCE ALOFT. WHILE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...EXPECTED COVERAGE OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROBABLY REMAIN
SPARSE.

..DIAL.. 11/14/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 140552
SWODY1
SPC AC 140550

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 PM CST TUE NOV 13 2012

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE
CNTRL GULF COAST STATES TODAY. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS SCNTRL GA EXTENDING SWD INTO NRN FL EARLY THIS
EVENING AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES FROM THE WEST.
HOWEVER...INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
BE VERY WEAK AND FOR THIS REASON...A SEVERE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ERN GULF COAST STATES. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
CONUS...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

..BROYLES/GARNER.. 11/14/2012

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.