NWUS54 KSHV 162053
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
352 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0308 PM TSTM WND DMG SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 CADDO LA TRAINED SPOTTER
HOUSE HAD ROOF PEELED BACK . PORCH KNOCKED OFF.
0308 PM HAIL SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 M1.75 INCH CADDO LA TRAINED SPOTTER
HOUSE HAD ROOF PEELED BACK . PORCH KNOCKED OFF.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300135
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300136
$$
10
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Thursday, May 16, 2013
KGLD [162051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGLD 162051
LSRGLD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
251 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0245 PM TSTM WND GST 9 ESE BEECHER ISLAND 39.84N 101.96W
05/16/2013 E70 MPH CHEYENNE KS PUBLIC
ALSO COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF PEA AND MARBLE SIZED HAIL
COVERING THE GROUND
&&
$$
024
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LSRGLD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
251 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0245 PM TSTM WND GST 9 ESE BEECHER ISLAND 39.84N 101.96W
05/16/2013 E70 MPH CHEYENNE KS PUBLIC
ALSO COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF PEA AND MARBLE SIZED HAIL
COVERING THE GROUND
&&
$$
024
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KLBF [162050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLBF 162050
LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
350 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0349 PM TSTM WND GST 2 WSW MAYWOOD 40.65N 100.66W
05/16/2013 E50 MPH FRONTIER NE 911 CALL CENTER
ESTIMATED WIND GUST OF 50 MPH.
&&
$$
SJACOBS
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LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
350 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0349 PM TSTM WND GST 2 WSW MAYWOOD 40.65N 100.66W
05/16/2013 E50 MPH FRONTIER NE 911 CALL CENTER
ESTIMATED WIND GUST OF 50 MPH.
&&
$$
SJACOBS
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0662
ACUS11 KWNS 162048
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162048
TXZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-162215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN CO...WRN KS...OK PANHANDLE...WRN TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 162048Z - 162215Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A VERY ISOLATED POTENTIAL FOR MICROBURSTS WITH SVR WIND
GUSTS MAY EXIST INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS NOT
NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES IN THE 0-3-KM-AGL LAYER
ALONG/W OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS DRYLINE ARE SUPPORTING DEEP PBL
CIRCULATIONS INVOF THE DRYLINE. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES
INDICATE ISOLATED TOWERING CUMULUS ALONG THE N/S EXTENT OF THE
DRYLINE...WHERE MODIFIED 12Z RAOBS INDICATE LITTLE...IF
ANY...REMAINING MLCINH. THE MOST ROBUST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THUS
FAR HAS BEEN OVER PARTS OF ERN CO...WHERE RELATIVELY ENHANCED
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS CONTRIBUTING TO
REDUCED ENTRAINMENT FOR INCIPIENT UPDRAFTS. ISOLATED STORMS MAY
EVOLVE FROM THIS ACTIVITY IN CO...AS WELL AS ACROSS LOCATIONS
FARTHER S INTO W TX WHERE RELATIVELY WARMER BOUNDARY-LAYER
TEMPERATURES EXIST INVOF MODESTLY RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE E OF THE
DRYLINE.
HOWEVER...DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT IS LARGELY LACKING...AND STORM
COVERAGE WILL BE VERY LOW. FURTHERMORE...DEEP SHEAR WILL BE LIMITED
ACROSS THE AREA...FOSTERING A PULSE CONVECTIVE MODE.
REGARDLESS...INVERTED-VEE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH
STRONG SUB-CLOUD EVAPORATION/DOWNDRAFTS MAY SUPPORT A VERY ISOLATED
SVR WIND THREAT WITH CONVECTION...WHICH SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET
AS THE BOUNDARY-LAYER NOCTURNALLY STABILIZES.
..COHEN/WEISS.. 05/16/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DDC...SJT...GLD...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...
LAT...LON 38640286 38980228 38740143 37180110 33260100 31920129
31660197 31860247 32500265 33920284 37520289 38640286
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162048
TXZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-162215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN CO...WRN KS...OK PANHANDLE...WRN TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 162048Z - 162215Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A VERY ISOLATED POTENTIAL FOR MICROBURSTS WITH SVR WIND
GUSTS MAY EXIST INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS NOT
NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES IN THE 0-3-KM-AGL LAYER
ALONG/W OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS DRYLINE ARE SUPPORTING DEEP PBL
CIRCULATIONS INVOF THE DRYLINE. RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES
INDICATE ISOLATED TOWERING CUMULUS ALONG THE N/S EXTENT OF THE
DRYLINE...WHERE MODIFIED 12Z RAOBS INDICATE LITTLE...IF
ANY...REMAINING MLCINH. THE MOST ROBUST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THUS
FAR HAS BEEN OVER PARTS OF ERN CO...WHERE RELATIVELY ENHANCED
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS CONTRIBUTING TO
REDUCED ENTRAINMENT FOR INCIPIENT UPDRAFTS. ISOLATED STORMS MAY
EVOLVE FROM THIS ACTIVITY IN CO...AS WELL AS ACROSS LOCATIONS
FARTHER S INTO W TX WHERE RELATIVELY WARMER BOUNDARY-LAYER
TEMPERATURES EXIST INVOF MODESTLY RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE E OF THE
DRYLINE.
HOWEVER...DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT IS LARGELY LACKING...AND STORM
COVERAGE WILL BE VERY LOW. FURTHERMORE...DEEP SHEAR WILL BE LIMITED
ACROSS THE AREA...FOSTERING A PULSE CONVECTIVE MODE.
REGARDLESS...INVERTED-VEE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH
STRONG SUB-CLOUD EVAPORATION/DOWNDRAFTS MAY SUPPORT A VERY ISOLATED
SVR WIND THREAT WITH CONVECTION...WHICH SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER SUNSET
AS THE BOUNDARY-LAYER NOCTURNALLY STABILIZES.
..COHEN/WEISS.. 05/16/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DDC...SJT...GLD...LUB...AMA...MAF...PUB...
LAT...LON 38640286 38980228 38740143 37180110 33260100 31920129
31660197 31860247 32500265 33920284 37520289 38640286
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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KSHV [162047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 162047
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
347 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM TSTM WND DMG WASKOM 32.48N 94.06W
05/16/2013 HARRISON TX BROADCAST MEDIA
*** 2 INJ *** TRUCK SMASHED BY FALLING TREE. OCCUPANTS
RUSHED TO HOSPITAL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300134
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
347 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM TSTM WND DMG WASKOM 32.48N 94.06W
05/16/2013 HARRISON TX BROADCAST MEDIA
*** 2 INJ *** TRUCK SMASHED BY FALLING TREE. OCCUPANTS
RUSHED TO HOSPITAL.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300134
$$
10
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KFWD [162044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KFWD 162044
LSRFWD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
344 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0942 PM TORNADO 6 ESE CLEBURNE 32.32N 97.31W
05/15/2013 JOHNSON TX NWS STORM SURVEY
BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN WITH MINOR DAMAGE. PRELIMINARY
RATING EF-0 WITH ESTIMATED MAX WIND SPEED OF 85 MPH.
$$
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LSRFWD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
344 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0942 PM TORNADO 6 ESE CLEBURNE 32.32N 97.31W
05/15/2013 JOHNSON TX NWS STORM SURVEY
BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN WITH MINOR DAMAGE. PRELIMINARY
RATING EF-0 WITH ESTIMATED MAX WIND SPEED OF 85 MPH.
$$
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KSTO [162040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KSTO 162040
LSRSTO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
139 PM PDT THU MAY 16 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0135 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE REDDING 40.60N 122.34W
05/16/2013 U0 INCH SHASTA CA TRAINED SPOTTER
VERY HEAVY RAIN AND PONDING OF WATER AT I-5
AND HIGHWAY 44
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRSTO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
139 PM PDT THU MAY 16 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0135 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE REDDING 40.60N 122.34W
05/16/2013 U0 INCH SHASTA CA TRAINED SPOTTER
VERY HEAVY RAIN AND PONDING OF WATER AT I-5
AND HIGHWAY 44
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KRLX [162040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KRLX 162040
LSRRLX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
440 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HEAVY RAIN TEAYS VALLEY 38.45N 81.93W
05/16/2013 E1.30 INCH PUTNAM WV BROADCAST MEDIA
STREET FLOODING REPORTED ON RT. 34 NEAR LIBERTY SQUARE
&&
EVENT NUMBER RLX1300582
$$
JM
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LSRRLX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
440 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HEAVY RAIN TEAYS VALLEY 38.45N 81.93W
05/16/2013 E1.30 INCH PUTNAM WV BROADCAST MEDIA
STREET FLOODING REPORTED ON RT. 34 NEAR LIBERTY SQUARE
&&
EVENT NUMBER RLX1300582
$$
JM
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0661
ACUS11 KWNS 162036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162035
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-162200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0661
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN NEB...NERN CO AND NWRN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 163...
VALID 162035Z - 162200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 163
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE EVOLVED INTO A BROKEN LINE FROM SWRN NEB
INTO NWRN KS AND NERN CO. SOME BACKBUILDING HAS BEEN OBSERVED OVER
EXTREME NERN CO WHERE THE SWRN FLANK OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
INTERSECTS THE DRYLINE. STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORWARD PROPAGATE
INTO THE UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER THIS AFTERNOON. INVERTED-V PROFILES
WILL PROMOTE A RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH
1000 J/KG MLCAPE WILL SUPPORT UPDRAFTS SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL.
..DIAL.. 05/16/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 39620270 40220151 40840099 41490038 41439947 40419909
39289960 39170223 39620270
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162035
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-162200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0661
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN NEB...NERN CO AND NWRN KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 163...
VALID 162035Z - 162200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 163
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS NEXT COUPLE HOURS.
DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE EVOLVED INTO A BROKEN LINE FROM SWRN NEB
INTO NWRN KS AND NERN CO. SOME BACKBUILDING HAS BEEN OBSERVED OVER
EXTREME NERN CO WHERE THE SWRN FLANK OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
INTERSECTS THE DRYLINE. STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO FORWARD PROPAGATE
INTO THE UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER THIS AFTERNOON. INVERTED-V PROFILES
WILL PROMOTE A RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH
1000 J/KG MLCAPE WILL SUPPORT UPDRAFTS SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL.
..DIAL.. 05/16/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...
LAT...LON 39620270 40220151 40840099 41490038 41439947 40419909
39289960 39170223 39620270
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KILN [162033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 162033
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
433 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0420 PM FLOOD 4 SW WEST UNION 38.76N 83.60W
05/16/2013 ADAMS OH BROADCAST MEDIA
SR-41 CLOSED NEAR SR-136 DUE TO FLOODING -VIA ODOT
&&
$$
SNYDER
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
433 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0420 PM FLOOD 4 SW WEST UNION 38.76N 83.60W
05/16/2013 ADAMS OH BROADCAST MEDIA
SR-41 CLOSED NEAR SR-136 DUE TO FLOODING -VIA ODOT
&&
$$
SNYDER
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KDVN [162032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDVN 162032
LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
332 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 W CARTHAGE 40.41N 91.23W
05/16/2013 M1.09 INCH HANCOCK IL PUBLIC
30 MINUTE RAINFALL. FARMER REPORT. RELAYED BY WGEM.
&&
$$
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LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
332 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 W CARTHAGE 40.41N 91.23W
05/16/2013 M1.09 INCH HANCOCK IL PUBLIC
30 MINUTE RAINFALL. FARMER REPORT. RELAYED BY WGEM.
&&
$$
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KALY [162030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KALY 162030
LSRALY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
430 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0428 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG STONY CREEK 43.43N 73.93W
05/16/2013 WARREN NY TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES AND BRANCHES ON WIRES. CAUSED FIRE.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ALY1300034
$$
LFM
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LSRALY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
430 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0428 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG STONY CREEK 43.43N 73.93W
05/16/2013 WARREN NY TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES AND BRANCHES ON WIRES. CAUSED FIRE.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ALY1300034
$$
LFM
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KSJT [162029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSJT 162029
LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
329 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0555 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W TRENT 32.49N 100.14W
05/15/2013 TAYLOR TX OTHER FEDERAL
FEW LIMBS DOWN. LARGEST LIMB 2-3 INCH DIAMETER BY 4-5
FEET LONG.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300228
$$
DOLL
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LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
329 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0555 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W TRENT 32.49N 100.14W
05/15/2013 TAYLOR TX OTHER FEDERAL
FEW LIMBS DOWN. LARGEST LIMB 2-3 INCH DIAMETER BY 4-5
FEET LONG.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300228
$$
DOLL
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KALY [162028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KALY 162028
LSRALY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
428 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0427 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NORTH CREEK 43.70N 73.99W
05/16/2013 WARREN NY TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES BRANCHES FELL ON WIRES. CAUSED FIRE.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ALY1300033
$$
LFM
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LSRALY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
428 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0427 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NORTH CREEK 43.70N 73.99W
05/16/2013 WARREN NY TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES BRANCHES FELL ON WIRES. CAUSED FIRE.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ALY1300033
$$
LFM
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KSHV [162026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 162026
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
325 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0313 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SSW SHREVEPORT 32.38N 93.84W
05/16/2013 CADDO LA TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES BLOCKING HALF OF ROAD.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300133
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
325 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0313 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SSW SHREVEPORT 32.38N 93.84W
05/16/2013 CADDO LA TRAINED SPOTTER
TREES BLOCKING HALF OF ROAD.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300133
$$
10
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KSJT [162023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSJT 162023
LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
322 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0535 PM HAIL 1 E ZEPHYR 31.68N 98.78W
05/15/2013 E1.50 INCH BROWN TX PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300227
$$
DOLL
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LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
322 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0535 PM HAIL 1 E ZEPHYR 31.68N 98.78W
05/15/2013 E1.50 INCH BROWN TX PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300227
$$
DOLL
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KRLX [162022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KRLX 162022 CCA
LSRRLX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
420 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0331 PM HEAVY RAIN GRAYS BRANCH 38.65N 82.88W
05/16/2013 U0.00 INCH GREENUP KY 911 CALL CENTER
SOME STREET FLOODING WITH WATER REPORTED OVER ROADS AT
SMITH BRANCH AND RT. 10
&&
EVENT NUMBER RLX1300581
$$
JM
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LSRRLX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
420 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0331 PM HEAVY RAIN GRAYS BRANCH 38.65N 82.88W
05/16/2013 U0.00 INCH GREENUP KY 911 CALL CENTER
SOME STREET FLOODING WITH WATER REPORTED OVER ROADS AT
SMITH BRANCH AND RT. 10
&&
EVENT NUMBER RLX1300581
$$
JM
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KRLX [162020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KRLX 162020
LSRRLX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
420 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0417 PM HEAVY RAIN GRAYS BRANCH 38.65N 82.88W
05/16/2013 U0.00 INCH GREENUP KY 911 CALL CENTER
SOME STREET FLOODING WITH WATER REPORTED OVER ROADS AT
SMITH BRANCH AND RT. 10
&&
EVENT NUMBER RLX1300581
$$
JM
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LSRRLX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
420 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0417 PM HEAVY RAIN GRAYS BRANCH 38.65N 82.88W
05/16/2013 U0.00 INCH GREENUP KY 911 CALL CENTER
SOME STREET FLOODING WITH WATER REPORTED OVER ROADS AT
SMITH BRANCH AND RT. 10
&&
EVENT NUMBER RLX1300581
$$
JM
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KSHV [162018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 162018
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
318 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM HAIL SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 M1.00 INCH CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE
HAIL DAMAGED VEHICLES...TREES DOWN...POWER LINES DOWN
0315 PM TSTM WND DMG SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE
HAIL DAMAGED VEHICLES...TREES DOWN...POWER LINES DOWN
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300131
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300132
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
318 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0315 PM HAIL SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 M1.00 INCH CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE
HAIL DAMAGED VEHICLES...TREES DOWN...POWER LINES DOWN
0315 PM TSTM WND DMG SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE
HAIL DAMAGED VEHICLES...TREES DOWN...POWER LINES DOWN
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300131
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300132
$$
10
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KCYS [162013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 162013
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
213 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0145 PM HAIL 5 S GUERNSEY 42.19N 104.74W
05/16/2013 E0.75 INCH PLATTE WY COCORAHS
&&
$$
HAMMER
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
213 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0145 PM HAIL 5 S GUERNSEY 42.19N 104.74W
05/16/2013 E0.75 INCH PLATTE WY COCORAHS
&&
$$
HAMMER
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0660
ACUS11 KWNS 162012
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162012
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-162145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0660
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0312 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...NEB PANHANDLE...NERN CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 162012Z - 162145Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL/WIND THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS NOT NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...VERY ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING IN A
REGION OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY OVER THE WRN FRINGES OF RICHER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE PLAINS. MLCAPE VALUES WILL ONLY BE
AROUND 300-700 J/KG...THOUGH STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
PROMOTE A FEW VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS. MODEST MID-LEVEL WLY FLOW IS
SUPPORTING SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR FOR OCCASIONALLY ORGANIZED
CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES...AND MARGINALLY SVR WINDS/HAIL CANNOT BE
RULED OUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. STRONG DOWNDRAFTS WILL BE
SUPPORTED BY DCAPE VALUES NEARING 700-1000 J/KG WITH DEEP MIXED
LAYERS/INVERTED-VEE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES. VERY LIMITED DEEP
FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD KEEP ANY SVR THREAT BRIEF/ISOLATED AS
STORM COVERAGE WILL BE LOW.
..COHEN/WEISS.. 05/16/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 41130502 42630469 42930377 42680242 40800253 40110374
40230476 41130502
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162012
NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-162145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0660
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0312 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...NEB PANHANDLE...NERN CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 162012Z - 162145Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL/WIND THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS NOT NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...VERY ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING IN A
REGION OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY OVER THE WRN FRINGES OF RICHER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE OVER THE PLAINS. MLCAPE VALUES WILL ONLY BE
AROUND 300-700 J/KG...THOUGH STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
PROMOTE A FEW VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS. MODEST MID-LEVEL WLY FLOW IS
SUPPORTING SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR FOR OCCASIONALLY ORGANIZED
CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES...AND MARGINALLY SVR WINDS/HAIL CANNOT BE
RULED OUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. STRONG DOWNDRAFTS WILL BE
SUPPORTED BY DCAPE VALUES NEARING 700-1000 J/KG WITH DEEP MIXED
LAYERS/INVERTED-VEE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES. VERY LIMITED DEEP
FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD KEEP ANY SVR THREAT BRIEF/ISOLATED AS
STORM COVERAGE WILL BE LOW.
..COHEN/WEISS.. 05/16/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LBF...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 41130502 42630469 42930377 42680242 40800253 40110374
40230476 41130502
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KSHV [162012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 162012
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
312 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0305 PM HAIL SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 M1.00 INCH CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300130
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
312 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0305 PM HAIL SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 M1.00 INCH CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300130
$$
10
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KRIW [162011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected For Time Of Wind Gust
NWUS55 KRIW 162011 CCA
LSRRIW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR TIME OF WIND GUST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
145 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0111 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NW RIVERTON 43.09N 108.49W
05/16/2013 M62 MPH FREMONT WY ASOS
&&
$$
DLIPSON
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LSRRIW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR TIME OF WIND GUST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
145 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0111 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NW RIVERTON 43.09N 108.49W
05/16/2013 M62 MPH FREMONT WY ASOS
&&
$$
DLIPSON
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KSHV [162008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 162008
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
308 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0307 PM FUNNEL CLOUD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 CADDO LA PUBLIC
9000 BLOCK OF YOUREE DR MOVING SE
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300129
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
308 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0307 PM FUNNEL CLOUD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 CADDO LA PUBLIC
9000 BLOCK OF YOUREE DR MOVING SE
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300129
$$
10
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KCYS [162007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 162007
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
207 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0207 PM HAIL CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
05/16/2013 M0.25 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
BCHAPMAN
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
207 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0207 PM HAIL CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
05/16/2013 M0.25 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
BCHAPMAN
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KSHV [162006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 162006
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
306 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0302 PM HAIL SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 M0.88 INCH CADDO LA CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300128
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
306 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0302 PM HAIL SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
05/16/2013 M0.88 INCH CADDO LA CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300128
$$
10
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KSHV [162005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 162005
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
305 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0304 PM HAIL 5 NNW STONEWALL 32.33N 93.85W
05/16/2013 M1.25 INCH CADDO LA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300127
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
305 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0304 PM HAIL 5 NNW STONEWALL 32.33N 93.85W
05/16/2013 M1.25 INCH CADDO LA TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300127
$$
10
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KILX [162006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KILX 162006
LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
306 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0250 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 N SUMNER 38.78N 87.86W
05/16/2013 LAWRENCE IL EMERGENCY MNGR
WATER 6 TO 8 INCHES DEEP ON THE SUMNER CHAUNCEY BLACKTOP.
WATER HAS BEGUN TO RECEDE RECENTLY.
&&
$$
GEELHART
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LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
306 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0250 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 N SUMNER 38.78N 87.86W
05/16/2013 LAWRENCE IL EMERGENCY MNGR
WATER 6 TO 8 INCHES DEEP ON THE SUMNER CHAUNCEY BLACKTOP.
WATER HAS BEGUN TO RECEDE RECENTLY.
&&
$$
GEELHART
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KFWD [162005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KFWD 162005
LSRFWD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
301 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM TORNADO CLEBURNE 32.35N 97.40W
05/15/2013 JOHNSON TX NWS STORM SURVEY
PRELIMINARY RATING OF EF-3 WITH MAX WINDS ESTIMATED AT
140 MPH. MAX WIDTH ESTIMATED AT 0.6 MILES. MOST
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE JUST SOUTHEAST OF LAKE PAT CLEBURNE.
$$
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LSRFWD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
301 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM TORNADO CLEBURNE 32.35N 97.40W
05/15/2013 JOHNSON TX NWS STORM SURVEY
PRELIMINARY RATING OF EF-3 WITH MAX WINDS ESTIMATED AT
140 MPH. MAX WIDTH ESTIMATED AT 0.6 MILES. MOST
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE JUST SOUTHEAST OF LAKE PAT CLEBURNE.
$$
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KSHV [162004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS54 KSHV 162004
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
304 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0225 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 W WASKOM 32.48N 94.20W
05/16/2013 HARRISON TX BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS LIMBS DOWN ON I-20
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300125
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
304 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0225 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 W WASKOM 32.48N 94.20W
05/16/2013 HARRISON TX BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS LIMBS DOWN ON I-20
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300125
$$
10
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KSHV [162002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 162002
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
301 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM TSTM WND DMG GREENWOOD 32.44N 93.97W
05/16/2013 CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE
SIGNS DOWN ON I-20 AND SHEDS DESTROYED.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300126
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
301 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM TSTM WND DMG GREENWOOD 32.44N 93.97W
05/16/2013 CADDO LA NWS EMPLOYEE
SIGNS DOWN ON I-20 AND SHEDS DESTROYED.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300126
$$
10
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KOAX [162001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KOAX 162001
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
301 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HAIL 5 N WINSIDE 42.25N 97.17W
05/16/2013 E0.50 INCH WAYNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
PEARSON
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LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
301 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HAIL 5 N WINSIDE 42.25N 97.17W
05/16/2013 E0.50 INCH WAYNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
PEARSON
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KLBF [162001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLBF 162001
LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
301 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM HAIL 9 S HAYES CENTER 40.38N 101.02W
05/16/2013 E1.00 INCH HAYES NE PUBLIC
HAIL IS COVERING THE GROUND WITH THE LARGEST STONES BEING
QUARTER SIZED.
&&
$$
SNIVELY
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LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
301 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM HAIL 9 S HAYES CENTER 40.38N 101.02W
05/16/2013 E1.00 INCH HAYES NE PUBLIC
HAIL IS COVERING THE GROUND WITH THE LARGEST STONES BEING
QUARTER SIZED.
&&
$$
SNIVELY
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KCAR [162001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KCAR 162001
LSRCAR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
400 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM HAIL CALAIS 45.19N 67.28W
05/16/2013 M1.75 INCH WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
$$
TFOISY
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LSRCAR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
400 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM HAIL CALAIS 45.19N 67.28W
05/16/2013 M1.75 INCH WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
$$
TFOISY
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KCAR [162000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KCAR 162000
LSRCAR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
400 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM HAIL COOPER 44.96N 67.44W
05/16/2013 M1.75 INCH WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
$$
TFOISY
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LSRCAR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
400 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0357 PM HAIL COOPER 44.96N 67.44W
05/16/2013 M1.75 INCH WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
$$
TFOISY
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KILN [161959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KILN 161959
LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
359 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0354 PM HAIL 3 ESE CARLISLE 39.56N 84.27W
05/16/2013 E0.88 INCH WARREN OH TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
SNYDER
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LSRILN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
359 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0354 PM HAIL 3 ESE CARLISLE 39.56N 84.27W
05/16/2013 E0.88 INCH WARREN OH TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
SNYDER
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KCYS [161959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 161959
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
159 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0158 PM HAIL 15 N HILLSDALE 41.43N 104.48W
05/16/2013 E0.25 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
BCHAPMAN
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
159 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0158 PM HAIL 15 N HILLSDALE 41.43N 104.48W
05/16/2013 E0.25 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
BCHAPMAN
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KSHV [161958]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 161958
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
258 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 W WASKOM 32.48N 94.20W
05/16/2013 HARRISON TX BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS LIMBS DOWN ON I-20
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300125
$$
10
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
258 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 W WASKOM 32.48N 94.20W
05/16/2013 HARRISON TX BROADCAST MEDIA
NUMEROUS LIMBS DOWN ON I-20
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300125
$$
10
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KOAX [161956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KOAX 161956
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
256 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0248 PM HAIL 5 N WINSIDE 42.25N 97.17W
05/16/2013 E0.75 INCH WAYNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL UP TO AROUND DIME SIZE...LASTED ABOUT 5 MINUTES FROM
248 PM TO 253 PM.
0253 PM HAIL 2 N WINSIDE 42.21N 97.17W
05/16/2013 M1.00 INCH WAYNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE
&&
$$
MILLER
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LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
256 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0248 PM HAIL 5 N WINSIDE 42.25N 97.17W
05/16/2013 E0.75 INCH WAYNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL UP TO AROUND DIME SIZE...LASTED ABOUT 5 MINUTES FROM
248 PM TO 253 PM.
0253 PM HAIL 2 N WINSIDE 42.21N 97.17W
05/16/2013 M1.00 INCH WAYNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE
&&
$$
MILLER
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KSJT [161955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSJT 161955
LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
255 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1056 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 ENE RICHLAND SPRINGS 31.30N 98.85W
05/15/2013 SAN SABA TX EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS DOWN.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300226
$$
DOLL
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LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
255 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1056 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 ENE RICHLAND SPRINGS 31.30N 98.85W
05/15/2013 SAN SABA TX EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS DOWN.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300226
$$
DOLL
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 161953
SWODY1
SPC AC 161951
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
VALID 162000Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF VA...
SEVERAL MINOR MODIFICATIONS HAVE BEEN APPLIED TO 1630Z
OUTLOOK...NAMELY TO INCREASE SEVERE PROBS ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS AND TO EXPAND SEVERE THREAT ACROSS PARTS OF NRN LA.
OTHERWISE...SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED OVER THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC TO BETTER REFLECT ONGOING THREAT.
...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY INCREASED MARKEDLY IN ASSOCIATION WITH WEAK
MID LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER NERN CO/SWRN NEB. THIS ACTIVITY IS
EVOLVING WITHIN A STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY
SFC-6KM SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 30KT. LATEST WDSS-II HAIL ALGORITHM
SUGGESTS HAIL MAY APPROACH GOLF BALL SIZE...ESPECIALLY WITH
STRONGEST ACTIVITY ACROSS YUMA INTO DUNDY COUNTIES. CURRENT
THINKING IS CONVECTION MAY REMAIN ORGANIZED AS IT SPREADS ALONG THE
NEB/KS BORDER.
...ARKLATEX...
LONG LIVED SHORT LINE SEGMENT CONTINUES ITS SEWD MOVEMENT ACROSS
NERN TX INTO NWRN LA. THIS BAND OF STORMS APPEARS CLOSELY
CORRELATED WITH LARGER CONVECTIVE CIRCULATION THAT IS DRIFTING INTO
SWRN AR. 51KT WIND GUST HAS RECENTLY BEEN RECORDED IN HARRISON
COUNTY TX AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY AS IT
SPREADS ACROSS PARTS OF SHV COUNTY WARNING AREA. 18Z SOUNDING FROM
SHV DEPICTS DEEP LAYER SHEAR MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR MAINTENANCE OF
ORGANIZED LINE SEGMENT AND FOR THIS REASON HAVE ADJUSTED SEVERE
PROBS ACROSS MUCH OF NRN LA.
...VA...
EARLIER THOUGHTS REGARDING SEVERE ACROSS VA REMAIN. E-W LINE
SEGMENT HAS EVOLVED OVER CNTRL VA WHERE SFC TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED
INTO THE MID 80S. GUSTY WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS
IT PROPAGATES SEWD.
..DARROW.. 05/16/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013/
...CENTRAL VA/SRN MD...
A PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF CONVECTION/ASSOCIATED CLOUDS EXTENDS FROM
NRN/CENTRAL WV INTO NRN PARTS OF THE DELMARVA REGION. VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES OVER CENTRAL VA AND SRN MD WHERE
STRONG DIABATIC HEATING IS OCCURRING. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE MID/UPPER 80S THIS AFTERNOON AND WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE LOW/MID 50S...A DEEP SURFACE-BASED MIXED LAYER
/INVERTED-V SOUNDING STRUCTURE/ IS DEVELOPING. CONTINUED HEATING
WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE LIMITED CIN WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.
UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY LOW/MID LEVEL WINDS OF 25-35 KT WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR A FEW ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS TO
FORM WITH STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY THIS EVENING AS BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLING/STABILIZATION COMMENCES.
...NERN TX/SRN AR/NRN LA...
UPPER LOW OVER ERN OK IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING EWD INTO AR
THROUGH TONIGHT AND PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. STORMS HAVE PERSISTED
THIS MORNING NEAR THE RED RIVER WITHIN A LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
ZONE ALONG/NORTH OF AN EARLIER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THIS ACTIVITY MAY
ALSO BE ENHANCED BY A SMALL VORTICITY CENTER ROTATING CYCLONICALLY
INTO THE SRN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE UPPER LOW.
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLEAR SLOT PROGRESSING EWD OVER ERN TX WHERE
STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING WILL OCCUR...CONTRIBUTING TO
DESTABILIZATION SPREADING INTO NWRN LA THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS ARE
LIKELY TO INTENSIFY ALONG THE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE FROM NERN TX
INTO SWRN AR/NWRN LA THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EWD INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. 35-45 KT WLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT
DEEP LAYER SHEAR /40-50 KT IN THE LOWEST 6 KM/ TO ENHANCE STORM
ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY...WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...AND POSSIBLY SEVERAL TORNADOES.
...OH VALLEY INTO WV...
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
IN THE WAKE OF THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES. THUS...IT APPEARS THAT LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
SURFACE FRONT WILL BE THE PRIMARY MECHANISM FORCING SURFACE-BASED
TSTM DEVELOPMENT. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CORRIDORS OF STRONGER
INSTABILITY WITH AFTERNOON MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000-1500 J/KG.
HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD AND RESULTING VERTICAL
SHEAR WILL REMAIN DISPLACED TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT. THIS
WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
EPISODE...THOUGH ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING.
...HIGH PLAINS INTO MID-MO VALLEY...
FORCING FOR ASCENT/DCVA ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH EMERGING
FROM THE CNTRL ROCKIES HAS CONTRIBUTED TO ELEVATED TSTMS MOVING
ACROSS CENTRAL NEB WITHIN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT. EXPECT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TSTM ACTIVITY AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A NWD-MOVING SURFACE FRONT ACROSS
SD/NEB...WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON TSTMS POSSIBLE
WITHIN A WEAKER-FORCED ENVIRONMENT FROM THE VICINITY OF THE LEE LOW
OVER WRN SD SWD ALONG THE LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE.
THE COMBINATION OF MODERATELY STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES...A
MOISTENING BOUNDARY...AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL YIELD AFTERNOON
MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000-1500 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH MODEST /30-35
KT/ DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 161951
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
VALID 162000Z - 171200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE ARKLATEX...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF VA...
SEVERAL MINOR MODIFICATIONS HAVE BEEN APPLIED TO 1630Z
OUTLOOK...NAMELY TO INCREASE SEVERE PROBS ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS AND TO EXPAND SEVERE THREAT ACROSS PARTS OF NRN LA.
OTHERWISE...SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED OVER THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC TO BETTER REFLECT ONGOING THREAT.
...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY INCREASED MARKEDLY IN ASSOCIATION WITH WEAK
MID LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER NERN CO/SWRN NEB. THIS ACTIVITY IS
EVOLVING WITHIN A STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY
SFC-6KM SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 30KT. LATEST WDSS-II HAIL ALGORITHM
SUGGESTS HAIL MAY APPROACH GOLF BALL SIZE...ESPECIALLY WITH
STRONGEST ACTIVITY ACROSS YUMA INTO DUNDY COUNTIES. CURRENT
THINKING IS CONVECTION MAY REMAIN ORGANIZED AS IT SPREADS ALONG THE
NEB/KS BORDER.
...ARKLATEX...
LONG LIVED SHORT LINE SEGMENT CONTINUES ITS SEWD MOVEMENT ACROSS
NERN TX INTO NWRN LA. THIS BAND OF STORMS APPEARS CLOSELY
CORRELATED WITH LARGER CONVECTIVE CIRCULATION THAT IS DRIFTING INTO
SWRN AR. 51KT WIND GUST HAS RECENTLY BEEN RECORDED IN HARRISON
COUNTY TX AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY AS IT
SPREADS ACROSS PARTS OF SHV COUNTY WARNING AREA. 18Z SOUNDING FROM
SHV DEPICTS DEEP LAYER SHEAR MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR MAINTENANCE OF
ORGANIZED LINE SEGMENT AND FOR THIS REASON HAVE ADJUSTED SEVERE
PROBS ACROSS MUCH OF NRN LA.
...VA...
EARLIER THOUGHTS REGARDING SEVERE ACROSS VA REMAIN. E-W LINE
SEGMENT HAS EVOLVED OVER CNTRL VA WHERE SFC TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED
INTO THE MID 80S. GUSTY WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY AS
IT PROPAGATES SEWD.
..DARROW.. 05/16/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013/
...CENTRAL VA/SRN MD...
A PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF CONVECTION/ASSOCIATED CLOUDS EXTENDS FROM
NRN/CENTRAL WV INTO NRN PARTS OF THE DELMARVA REGION. VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES OVER CENTRAL VA AND SRN MD WHERE
STRONG DIABATIC HEATING IS OCCURRING. SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE MID/UPPER 80S THIS AFTERNOON AND WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE LOW/MID 50S...A DEEP SURFACE-BASED MIXED LAYER
/INVERTED-V SOUNDING STRUCTURE/ IS DEVELOPING. CONTINUED HEATING
WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE LIMITED CIN WITH ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON.
UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY LOW/MID LEVEL WINDS OF 25-35 KT WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR A FEW ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS TO
FORM WITH STRONGER STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY THIS EVENING AS BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLING/STABILIZATION COMMENCES.
...NERN TX/SRN AR/NRN LA...
UPPER LOW OVER ERN OK IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING EWD INTO AR
THROUGH TONIGHT AND PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THE SRN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. STORMS HAVE PERSISTED
THIS MORNING NEAR THE RED RIVER WITHIN A LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
ZONE ALONG/NORTH OF AN EARLIER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THIS ACTIVITY MAY
ALSO BE ENHANCED BY A SMALL VORTICITY CENTER ROTATING CYCLONICALLY
INTO THE SRN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE UPPER LOW.
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLEAR SLOT PROGRESSING EWD OVER ERN TX WHERE
STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING WILL OCCUR...CONTRIBUTING TO
DESTABILIZATION SPREADING INTO NWRN LA THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS ARE
LIKELY TO INTENSIFY ALONG THE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE FROM NERN TX
INTO SWRN AR/NWRN LA THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EWD INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. 35-45 KT WLY MID LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT
DEEP LAYER SHEAR /40-50 KT IN THE LOWEST 6 KM/ TO ENHANCE STORM
ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY...WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS...AND POSSIBLY SEVERAL TORNADOES.
...OH VALLEY INTO WV...
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
IN THE WAKE OF THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES. THUS...IT APPEARS THAT LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
SURFACE FRONT WILL BE THE PRIMARY MECHANISM FORCING SURFACE-BASED
TSTM DEVELOPMENT. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CORRIDORS OF STRONGER
INSTABILITY WITH AFTERNOON MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000-1500 J/KG.
HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD AND RESULTING VERTICAL
SHEAR WILL REMAIN DISPLACED TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT. THIS
WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
EPISODE...THOUGH ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING.
...HIGH PLAINS INTO MID-MO VALLEY...
FORCING FOR ASCENT/DCVA ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH EMERGING
FROM THE CNTRL ROCKIES HAS CONTRIBUTED TO ELEVATED TSTMS MOVING
ACROSS CENTRAL NEB WITHIN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT. EXPECT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TSTM ACTIVITY AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A NWD-MOVING SURFACE FRONT ACROSS
SD/NEB...WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON TSTMS POSSIBLE
WITHIN A WEAKER-FORCED ENVIRONMENT FROM THE VICINITY OF THE LEE LOW
OVER WRN SD SWD ALONG THE LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE.
THE COMBINATION OF MODERATELY STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES...A
MOISTENING BOUNDARY...AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL YIELD AFTERNOON
MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000-1500 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH MODEST /30-35
KT/ DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED SEVERE
STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
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KFWD [161952]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KFWD 161952
LSRFWD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
252 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0806 PM TORNADO GRANBURY 32.45N 97.80W
05/15/2013 HOOD TX NWS EMPLOYEE
PRELIMINARY RATING OF EF-4
$$
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LSRFWD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
252 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0806 PM TORNADO GRANBURY 32.45N 97.80W
05/15/2013 HOOD TX NWS EMPLOYEE
PRELIMINARY RATING OF EF-4
$$
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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 164
WWUS20 KWNS 161949
SEL4
SPC WW 161949
LAZ000-170100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 164
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ALEXANDRIA
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 163...
DISCUSSION...A SHORT BOWING LINE SEGMENT WITH WEAK ROTATION ON THE
SRN FLANK HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF INTENSIFYING RECENTLY. STORM IS MOVING
INTO AN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT AS
EVIDENCED BY RECENT DOWNSTREAM CU FIELD DEVELOPMENT WHERE STRONG
HEATING IS OCCURRING. 18Z SHV RAOB AND LATEST SHV VAD PROFILE SHOW
STRONG VEERING WITH HEIGHT AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR TO SUPPORT AN
ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT WITH SUPERCELLS AND POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO
OR TWO.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
...WEISS
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SEL4
SPC WW 161949
LAZ000-170100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 164
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
SHREVEPORT LOUISIANA TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ALEXANDRIA
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 163...
DISCUSSION...A SHORT BOWING LINE SEGMENT WITH WEAK ROTATION ON THE
SRN FLANK HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF INTENSIFYING RECENTLY. STORM IS MOVING
INTO AN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT AS
EVIDENCED BY RECENT DOWNSTREAM CU FIELD DEVELOPMENT WHERE STRONG
HEATING IS OCCURRING. 18Z SHV RAOB AND LATEST SHV VAD PROFILE SHOW
STRONG VEERING WITH HEIGHT AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR TO SUPPORT AN
ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT WITH SUPERCELLS AND POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO
OR TWO.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
...WEISS
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KSJT [161948]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSJT 161948
LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
248 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1136 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W SAN SABA 31.20N 98.80W
05/15/2013 SAN SABA TX EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL LARGE BRANCHES DOWN. LARGEST BRANCHES WERE 12
INCH DIAMETER BY 8-10 FEET LONG.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300225
$$
DOLL
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LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
248 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1136 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W SAN SABA 31.20N 98.80W
05/15/2013 SAN SABA TX EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL LARGE BRANCHES DOWN. LARGEST BRANCHES WERE 12
INCH DIAMETER BY 8-10 FEET LONG.
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300225
$$
DOLL
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KRIW [161945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KRIW 161945
LSRRIW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
145 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NW RIVERTON 43.09N 108.49W
05/16/2013 M62 MPH FREMONT WY ASOS
&&
$$
DLIPSON
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LSRRIW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
145 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0110 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NW RIVERTON 43.09N 108.49W
05/16/2013 M62 MPH FREMONT WY ASOS
&&
$$
DLIPSON
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KCYS [161929]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KCYS 161929
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
129 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0128 PM HAIL 10 E WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.76W
05/16/2013 E0.25 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
BCHAPMAN
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
129 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0128 PM HAIL 10 E WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.76W
05/16/2013 E0.25 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
BCHAPMAN
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KSHV [161928]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSHV 161928
LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
628 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 W WASKOM 32.48N 94.20W
05/16/2013 HARRISON TX STORM CHASER
LARGE TREE SNAPPED 8 MILES WEST OF WASKOM
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300124
$$
MDV
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LSRSHV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
628 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0220 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 W WASKOM 32.48N 94.20W
05/16/2013 HARRISON TX STORM CHASER
LARGE TREE SNAPPED 8 MILES WEST OF WASKOM
&&
EVENT NUMBER SHV1300124
$$
MDV
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KGLD [161927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGLD 161927
LSRGLD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
127 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0127 PM HAIL WRAY 40.08N 102.23W
05/16/2013 E1.00 INCH YUMA CO TRAINED SPOTTER
NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN WRAY.
&&
$$
BRB
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LSRGLD
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
127 PM MDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0127 PM HAIL WRAY 40.08N 102.23W
05/16/2013 E1.00 INCH YUMA CO TRAINED SPOTTER
NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN WRAY.
&&
$$
BRB
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KSJT [161923]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KSJT 161923
LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
223 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 PM HAIL ZEPHYR 31.68N 98.79W
05/15/2013 E1.00 INCH BROWN TX POST OFFICE
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300224
$$
DOLL
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LSRSJT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
223 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 PM HAIL ZEPHYR 31.68N 98.79W
05/15/2013 E1.00 INCH BROWN TX POST OFFICE
&&
EVENT NUMBER SJT1300224
$$
DOLL
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0659
ACUS11 KWNS 161921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161920
OHZ000-INZ000-162045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0659
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN OHIO...CNTRL/ERN INDIANA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 161920Z - 162045Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED STORMS MAY BRIEFLY APPROACH SVR LEVELS THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS NOT NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...BASED ON A MODIFIED 12Z WILMINGTON OHIO RAOB...MLCAPE
VALUES ARE REACHING 1000-1500 J/KG. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO MODEST
INSOLATION AMIDST SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE 60S BETWEEN A
WAVY QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT LYING WITHIN 1-2 COUNTIES OF INTERSTATE
70 AND ONGOING CONVECTION/CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS NEAR THE OHIO
RIVER. WILMINGTON OHIO VWP DATA INDICATE THAT 20-30 KT OF WNWLY/NWLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW MAY SUPPORT ENOUGH DEEP SHEAR FOR ONE OR TWO
ORGANIZED MULTICELL CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS EVOLVING FROM THE SWELLING
CUMULUS FIELD INVOF THE FRONT. WATER LOADING MAY ENHANCE DOWNDRAFT
POTENTIAL...WITH ONE OR TWO STORMS POTENTIALLY PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
NEARING SVR LEVELS...AND AN ISOLATED STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL TO
QUARTER SIZE. WITH ONLY WEAK FRONTAL CONVERGENCE/DEEP-LAYER FORCING
FOR ASCENT...ANY SVR POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED/BRIEF.
..COHEN/WEISS.. 05/16/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND...
LAT...LON 39308505 39548599 39848655 40168659 40088560 39808465
39828410 39668362 39388352 39218393 39308505
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161920
OHZ000-INZ000-162045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0659
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SWRN OHIO...CNTRL/ERN INDIANA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 161920Z - 162045Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED STORMS MAY BRIEFLY APPROACH SVR LEVELS THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS NOT NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...BASED ON A MODIFIED 12Z WILMINGTON OHIO RAOB...MLCAPE
VALUES ARE REACHING 1000-1500 J/KG. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO MODEST
INSOLATION AMIDST SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER/MIDDLE 60S BETWEEN A
WAVY QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT LYING WITHIN 1-2 COUNTIES OF INTERSTATE
70 AND ONGOING CONVECTION/CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS NEAR THE OHIO
RIVER. WILMINGTON OHIO VWP DATA INDICATE THAT 20-30 KT OF WNWLY/NWLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW MAY SUPPORT ENOUGH DEEP SHEAR FOR ONE OR TWO
ORGANIZED MULTICELL CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS EVOLVING FROM THE SWELLING
CUMULUS FIELD INVOF THE FRONT. WATER LOADING MAY ENHANCE DOWNDRAFT
POTENTIAL...WITH ONE OR TWO STORMS POTENTIALLY PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
NEARING SVR LEVELS...AND AN ISOLATED STORM MAY PRODUCE HAIL TO
QUARTER SIZE. WITH ONLY WEAK FRONTAL CONVERGENCE/DEEP-LAYER FORCING
FOR ASCENT...ANY SVR POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED/BRIEF.
..COHEN/WEISS.. 05/16/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...ILN...IND...
LAT...LON 39308505 39548599 39848655 40168659 40088560 39808465
39828410 39668362 39388352 39218393 39308505
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