KPSR [160105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 160105
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
605 PM MST MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 SW FIESTA MALL 33.36N 111.89W
07/15/2013 M0.72 INCH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

0.72 IN. OF RAIN MEASURED IN 25 MINUTES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1300082

$$

PSR

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KPSR [160100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 160100
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
600 PM MST MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NNE CHANDLER FASHION 33.34N 111.89W
07/15/2013 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

1-2 IN. DIAMETER BRANCHES BLOWN OFF AND 200 YDS. VSBY
IN HVY. RAIN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1300081

$$

PSR

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KEWX [160100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 160100
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
800 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW BRAUNFELS 29.70N 98.12W
07/15/2013 COMAL TX EMERGENCY MNGR

1 TO 2 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN AT
FREDERICKSBURG RD AND LANDA PARK. WINDS ESTIMATED AT 40
TO 50 MPH.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1300537

$$

CVP

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KGGW [160059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 160059
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
659 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0622 PM HAIL 9 NE FROID 48.43N 104.36W
07/15/2013 E0.75 INCH SHERIDAN MT TRAINED SPOTTER

40 MPH WIND


&&

$$

BB

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KTAE [160053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 160053
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
853 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E GENEVA 31.04N 85.84W
07/15/2013 GENEVA AL 911 CALL CENTER

TREE DOWN ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 4.


&&

$$

DVD

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KPSR [160042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 160042
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
541 PM MST MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 ENE PHOENIX MESA GATE 33.34N 111.59W
07/15/2013 M0.40 INCH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

0.4 IN. RAIN MEASURED IN 15 MINUTES


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1300080

$$

PSR

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160041
SWODY1
SPC AC 160038

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2013

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EXTREME NERN MT INTO NWRN
ND...

...ERN MT INTO WRN ND...
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS CONTINUE EWD ACROSS NERN MT...AND WILL
EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO NWRN ND THIS EVENING. THIS IS OCCURRING ON THE
SRN END OF THE STRONGER SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING MOVING ACROSS SERN SK
AND INTO MB. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A HAIL THREAT...WITH
LOCALIZED SEVERE GUSTS POSSIBLE AS WELL AS BRIEF TORNADOES GIVEN A
25-30 KT LOW LEVEL JET.

FARTHER S...STORMS ACROSS SERN MT AND NERN WY HAVE BEEN
WEAKENING...AND THE 00Z RAP SOUNDINGS SHOWS LITTLE CAPE. THUS...ANY
HAIL OR WIND THREAT ACROSS THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ISOLATED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE MCD 1403.

..JEWELL.. 07/16/2013

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KSJT [160035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 160035
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
735 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM FLOOD BRADY 31.14N 99.33W
07/15/2013 MCCULLOCH TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING OVER BLACKBURN AND ELM STREET AT LOW WATER
CROSSING JUST SOUTH OF 13TH STREET.


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1300396

$$

SN

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KTAE [160029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KTAE 160029
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
829 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0625 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE OZARK 31.42N 85.61W
07/15/2013 DALE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ON A POWER LINE ON LAUREL CT.

0625 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE OZARK 31.42N 85.62W
07/15/2013 DALE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE IN THE ROAD ON PORTER ANDREWS ROAD OFF OF HIGHWAY
123 SOUTH.

0629 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S OZARK 31.41N 85.64W
07/15/2013 DALE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE IN THE ROAD ON LAKEVIEW ROAD AND CAMPGROUND ROAD

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S OZARK 31.43N 85.65W
07/15/2013 DALE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ON POWER LINE ON MIXON SCHOOL ROAD.

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSW OZARK 31.43N 85.66W
07/15/2013 DALE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE IN THE ROAD ON WILLOW OAKS DR


&&

$$

DVD

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KGGW [160028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KGGW 160028
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
628 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0558 PM TSTM WND GST MEDICINE LAKE 48.50N 104.50W
07/15/2013 E60.00 MPH SHERIDAN MT TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1403

ACUS11 KWNS 160028
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160027
NDZ000-SDZ000-MTZ000-160130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1403
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0727 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MT...WRN ND

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 415...

VALID 160027Z - 160130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 415 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED TO FAR NRN PORTIONS
OF WW. SRN PORTIONS OF WW MAY BE CLEARED BY LOCAL WFOS PRIOR TO WW
EXPIRATION.

DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL OVER NERN MT WEAKENED AS UPSTREAM
STORM DEVELOPMENT OCCURRED ALONG THE DRYLINE ANALYZED 20 E OLF TO
NEAR MLS AT 00Z. POTENTIAL DOES REMAIN FOR THIS CONVECTION TO MERGE
AND/OR INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS THE LLJ STRENGTHENS
OVER WRN ND. DOWNSTREAM BOUNDARY LAYER IS COOLER AND PRESENCE OF
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS SHOULD SLOW THE NOCTURNAL
INCREASE IN MLCIN.

FARTHER S/SW...CONVECTION ALONG THE BIGHORN MTNS HAS DIMINISHED AND
STRUGGLED TO DEVELOP E/NEWD INTO WW 415. WITH THE LACK OF DOWNSTREAM
CU...DRYING OF SURFACE DEW POINTS IN MOST OF WRN SD AND LARGE
CONSISTENCY IN MODEL GUIDANCE IN DEPICTING NEGATIVE LOW-LEVEL
THETA-E ADVECTION THIS EVENING...SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN
CONFINED TO THE CANADIAN BORDER.

..GRAMS.. 07/16/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW...

LAT...LON 48970312 48900087 47380123 46180192 45430466 45870544
47000558 48910495 48970312

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KMKX [160027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 160027
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
727 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM HEAVY RAIN OCONOMOWOC 43.11N 88.50W
07/15/2013 M4.17 INCH WAUKESHA WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL MEASURED IN DOWNTOWN OCONOMOWOC.


&&

$$

REM

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KTWC [160027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 160027
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
527 PM MST MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM TSTM WND DMG RITA RANCH 32.11N 110.79W
07/15/2013 PIMA AZ TWITTER

DOWNED TREE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1300059

$$

GL

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KDTX [160025]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDTX 160025
LSRDTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
825 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 PM FLOOD 3 E ROCHESTER 42.68N 83.07W
07/15/2013 MACOMB MI TRAINED SPOTTER

4 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER COVERING ROAD

0740 PM FLOOD 5 NNE TROY 42.64N 83.10W
07/15/2013 OAKLAND MI TRAINED SPOTTER

MULTIPLE ROADS IN THE AREA ARE FLOODED

0745 PM FLOOD 5 ESE ROCHESTER 42.65N 83.03W
07/15/2013 MACOMB MI TRAINED SPOTTER

6 TO 12 INCHES OF WATER COVERING ROAD

0800 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 ESE ROCHESTER 42.67N 83.03W
07/15/2013 M2.80 INCH MACOMB MI COCORAHS

RAINFALL TOTAL IN THE PAST HOUR


&&

$$

SCHULTZ

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KGGW [160014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 160014
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
614 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0558 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MEDICINE LAKE 48.50N 104.50W
07/15/2013 E60.00 MPH SHERIDAN MT TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BB

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KGGW [160011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 160011
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
611 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0509 PM TORNADO 20 N POPLAR 48.40N 105.20W
07/15/2013 ROOSEVELT MT PUBLIC

VIDEO OF TORNADO SENT TO NWS... TORNADO ON THE GROUND AT
509 PM MDT.


&&

$$

PROTON

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KTBW [160008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KTBW 160008
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
808 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 NE DESOTO LAKES 27.41N 82.45W
07/15/2013 MANATEE FL BROADCAST MEDIA

NUMEROUS PUBLIC AND BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTS OF A FUNNEL
CLOUD NEAR LAKEWOOD RANCH.


&&

$$

BH

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KTBW [160005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 160005
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
804 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 NE DESOTO LAKES 27.41N 82.45W
07/15/2013 MANATEE FL BROADCAST MEDIA

NUMEROUS PUBLIC AND BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTS ON A FUNNEL
CLOUD NEAR LAKEWOOD RANCH.


&&

$$

BH

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KPSR [160004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 160004
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
503 PM MST MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0457 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SW AHWATUKEE 33.31N 112.02W
07/15/2013 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR 30TH STREET AND CHANDLER BLVD. PEA TO MARBLE SIZE
HAIL WITH 45-55 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS. NUMEROUS
LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1300079

$$

MEYERS

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KTAE [160000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 160000
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
800 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM TSTM WND DMG WEEKS 31.15N 86.12W
07/15/2013 GENEVA AL 911 CALL CENTER

TREE FELL ON A POWER LINE ALONG COUNTY ROAD 5.


&&

$$

DVD

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KMKX [152340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 152340
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
640 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0638 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 NE OCONOMOWOC 43.12N 88.49W
07/15/2013 M1.50 INCH WAUKESHA WI NWS EMPLOYEE

RETIRED NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS 1.5 INCHES STORM TOTAL.


&&

$$

ET

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KGGW [152338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152338
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
538 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM HAIL 24 NNW BROCKTON 48.47N 105.12W
07/15/2013 E1.00 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0455 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 24 NNW BROCKTON 48.47N 105.12W
07/15/2013 ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

COULD NOT TELL IF FUNNEL ACTUALLY TOUCHED GROUND


&&

$$

BB

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KUNR [152336]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 152336
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
536 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0438 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NNW DOWNTOWN GILLETTE 44.36N 105.54W
07/15/2013 M53 MPH CAMPBELL WY ASOS


&&

$$

KCLARK

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KGRR [152332]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 152332
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
732 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 W STOCKBRIDGE 42.45N 84.30W
07/15/2013 M1.07 INCH INGHAM MI TRAINED SPOTTER

1.07 INCHES OF RAIN FELL BETWEEN 5 PM EDT AND 630 PM EDT.



&&

$$

WH

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KTAE [152320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 152320
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
720 PM EDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0632 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S OZARK 31.43N 85.65W
07/15/2013 DALE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A COUPLE OF TREES REPORTED DOWN JUST SOUTH OF OZARK. TIME
ESTIMATED BY RADAR DATA.


&&

$$

GODSEY

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KGJT [152316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 152316
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
514 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 PM HEAVY RAIN YELLOW JACKET 4NE 37.56N 108.66W
07/15/2013 M1.13 INCH MONTEZUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER

AFTERNOON RAINFALL TOTAL...PONDING ALONG ROADS


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301214

$$

TB

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KGGW [152315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152315
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
515 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM TSTM WND DMG 24 N WOLF POINT 48.44N 105.64W
07/15/2013 ROOSEVELT MT PUBLIC

CROP DAMAGE FROM HAIL


&&

$$

BB

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KBYZ [152309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBYZ 152309
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
509 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0448 PM HAIL 10 NE MOORHEAD 45.17N 105.73W
07/15/2013 M0.88 INCH POWDER RIVER MT CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

BET

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KBYZ [152308]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBYZ 152308
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
508 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM TSTM WND GST 10 NE MOORHEAD 45.17N 105.73W
07/15/2013 E60 MPH POWDER RIVER MT CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

BET

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KUNR [152258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 152258
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
458 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0447 PM TSTM WND GST 7 NNE DOWNTOWN GILLETTE 44.39N 105.46W
07/15/2013 E60 MPH CAMPBELL WY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KCLARK

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KGGW [152244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152244
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
444 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0441 PM TORNADO 22 N POPLAR 48.43N 105.20W
07/15/2013 ROOSEVELT MT PUBLIC

TORNADO IS VISIBLE 22 MILES NORTH OF POPLAR.


&&

$$

PROTON

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1402

ACUS11 KWNS 152240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152239
NDZ000-MTZ000-152345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1402
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0539 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MT...FAR NWRN ND

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 415...

VALID 152239Z - 152345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 415 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...INTENSE SUPERCELL OVER ROOSEVELT COUNTY MT MAY BE YIELDING
A LONG-LIVED TORNADO AS IT GRADUALLY TRACKS EWD ACROSS NERN MT.

DISCUSSION...INTENSE MESOCYCLONE WITH A HISTORY OF TORNADO REPORTS
IS GENERALLY PARALLELING THE US-2 CORRIDOR BY ABOUT 20 MILES TO THE
NORTH IN ROOSEVELT COUNTY MT. ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS WILL REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR POTENTIAL MAINTENANCE OF THIS STRONG SUPERCELL...GIVEN
SMALLER DOWNSTREAM SURFACE TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS AND
STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SLYS. OWING TO THE LACK OF CONVECTION TO ITS
IMMEDIATE S...SETUP MAY YIELD A SLOW-MOVING LONG-DURATION TORNADO
THAT COULD EVENTUALLY REACH THE MT HWY 16 CORRIDOR.

..GRAMS.. 07/15/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...GGW...

LAT...LON 48950387 48580353 48150371 48060468 48120542 48630554
48960501 48950387

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KPIH [152225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 152225
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
425 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM TSTM WND GST ABERDEEN 42.94N 112.84W
07/15/2013 M67 MPH BINGHAM ID MESONET

67 MPH WIND GUSTS WITH 43 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS AT TIME OF
GUSTS.


&&

$$

DPHELPS

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KGGW [152221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152221
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
420 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HAIL 6 NW SCOBEY 48.85N 105.51W
07/15/2013 E1.75 INCH DANIELS MT PUBLIC


&&

$$

BB

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KGGW [152219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152219 CCA
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
402 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM TORNADO 20 N WOLF POINT 48.38N 105.64W
07/15/2013 ROOSEVELT MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT IS REPORTING MULTIPLE CALLS OF A TORANDO
ON THE GROUND EAST OF VOLT NEAR STATE HIGHWAY 13.


&&

$$

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KGGW [152218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152218
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
418 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM HAIL 1 S PORT OF SCOBEY 48.98N 105.41W
07/15/2013 E1.00 INCH DANIELS MT LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

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KGGW [152208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152208
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
408 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TORNADO 11 SW BREDETTE 48.39N 105.45W
07/15/2013 ROOSEVELT MT PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS A TORNADO ON THE GROUND ON STATE ROUTE 13
NEAR MILE MARKER 23 AT 4 PM.


&&

$$

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KGGW [152203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152203
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
403 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HAIL 4 NW SCOBEY 48.83N 105.48W
07/15/2013 E1.00 INCH DANIELS MT CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

BB

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KGGW [152203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152203 CCA
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
402 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM TORNADO 20 N WOLF POINT 48.38N 105.64W
07/15/2013 ROOSEVELT MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT IS REPORT MULTIPLE CALLS OF A TORANDO ON
THE GROUND EAST OF VOLT NEAR STATE HIGHWAY 13.


&&

$$

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KGGW [152202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 152202
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
402 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TORNADO 20 N WOLF POINT 48.38N 105.64W
07/15/2013 ROOSEVELT MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT IS REPORT MULTIPLE CALLS OF A TORANDO ON
THE GROUND EAST OF VOLT NEAR STATE HIGHWAY 13.


&&

$$

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KGJT [152148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 152148
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
347 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0343 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 WNW PLACERVILLE 38.03N 108.09W
07/15/2013 SAN MIGUEL CO LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLASH FLOODING HAS HWY 145 CLOSED FROM MM 84-86


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301213

$$

TB

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KBOU [152124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 152124
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
324 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0323 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S BRECKENRIDGE 39.49N 106.04W
07/15/2013 M0.82 INCH SUMMIT CO CO-OP OBSERVER

MINOR STREET FLOODING

0111 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 WSW AURORA 39.67N 104.88W
07/15/2013 M1.19 INCH DENVER CO COCORAHS

1.19 INCHES IN 47 MINUTES

0110 PM HEAVY RAIN DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
07/15/2013 E1.50 INCH DENVER CO PUBLIC

1.5 INCHES FELL IN 48 MINUTES


&&

$$

JK

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KGJT [152114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 152114
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
314 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0224 PM HEAVY RAIN 12 N DOLORES 37.65N 108.54W
07/15/2013 M1.00 INCH DOLORES CO MESONET

1 HOUR TOTAL


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301212

$$

TB

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 415

WWUS20 KWNS 152056
SEL5
SPC WW 152056
MTZ000-NDZ000-160500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 415
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MONTANA
WESTERN AND NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WILLISTON NORTH DAKOTA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF BAKER
MONTANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...SFC-BASED TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO
ALONG LEE TROUGH IN ERN MT...AND POSSIBLY ALONG COLD FRONT IN THE NE
PART OF THE STATE. DEVELOPMENT WILL BE FOSTERED BY CONTINUED SFC
HEATING...LOW-LVL MOISTURE INFLOW...ASCENT ASSOCIATED BOTH MAIN UPR
IMPULSE MOVING ENE FROM SRN AB...AND BY UPLIFT WITH WEAKER
DISTURBANCE MOVING ENE FROM SW MT/NW WY.
DEEP EML ATOP FAIRLY RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE /PW AROUND 1 INCH/ IN
MODERATELY TO STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT COULD YIELD STORMS WITH
VERY LARGE HAIL AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH HIGH WIND. SOME RISK ALSO
WILL EXIST FOR TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY IN NERN MT AND NW ND...WHERE
LOW-LVL WINDS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN SOMEWHAT BACKED...TEMP-DEW POINT
SPREADS WILL BE SMALLEST...AND DEEP SHEAR GREATEST. ACTIVITY MAY
EVOLVE INTO A SQLN WITH EMBEDDED LEWPS CONTINUING A RISK FOR SVR
WIND/HAIL AND ISOLD TORNADOES FARTHER E INTO ND TNGT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.


...CORFIDI

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KPUB [152029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 152029
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
229 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0226 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW RYE 37.91N 104.94W
07/15/2013 M5.05 INCH PUEBLO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL FROM APPROXIMATELY NOON JULY 14TH TO THE
MORNING OF JULY 15TH


&&

$$

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KPIH [152020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 152020
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
220 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM TSTM WND GST 5 ENE OZONE 43.43N 111.76W
07/15/2013 M52 MPH BONNEVILLE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

OBSERVATION BY A WEATHER SPOTTER AS AN AREA
OF WEAKENING SHOWERS AND STORMS PASSED
THROUGH.



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KVEF [151957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 151957
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1256 PM PDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 W CEDAR HILLS 35.18N 113.88W
07/15/2013 MOHAVE AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER 3 FEET DEEP FLOWING ACROSS DW RANCH ROAD. THE WATER
FLOW CONTAINS ROCKS AND OTHER DEBRIS. AT 1130 DW RANCH
ROAD WAS CLOSED BY THE MOHAVE COUNTY S.O. AT MILE MARKER
3 DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. ROAD IS CURRENTLY CLOSED.


&&

$$

METZGER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1401

ACUS11 KWNS 151952
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151951
NDZ000-SDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-152115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1401
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MT...WRN ND...NE WY...NW SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 151951Z - 152115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A SEVERE THREAT APPEARS LIKELY TO DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING. THE MORE INTENSE STORMS SHOULD
CONTAIN A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...WIND DAMAGE AND POSSIBLY A FEW
TORNADOES. WW ISSUANCE WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ONCE THE TIMING OF
INITIATION BECOMES MORE CERTAIN.

DISCUSSION...SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 1010 MB LOW NORTH OF GREAT FALLS
WITH BACKED WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST ACROSS NRN AND ERN MT. A MOIST
AXIS IS LOCATED ACROSS WRN ND EXTENDING NWWD ACROSS NE MT.
MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THE CAP HAS WEAKENED ACROSS ERN MT WITH
MLCAPE ESTIMATED FROM 1500 TO 2500 J/KG. THIS COMBINED WITH
INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A MINOR SHORTWAVE
TROUGH EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER NRN WY AND SE MT...SHOULD
ALLOW FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION ALONG AND WEST OF THE INSTABILITY
AXIS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. CUMULUS IS ALREADY DEVELOPING NORTH OF
GLASGOW AND THE HRRR INITIATES STORMS AROUND 21Z FROM NEAR GLASGOW
SWD INTO NE WY. IF THIS OCCURS...THEN MODERATE INSTABILITY COMBINED
WITH 40 TO 50 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. A FEW HAILSTONES
OVER 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE DOMINANT
SUPERCELLS. A TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW
STRENGTHENS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. WIND DAMAGE
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

..BROYLES/CORFIDI.. 07/15/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW...

LAT...LON 44460319 45010291 46240326 47210309 48000256 48600240
48970255 49180279 49260393 49290554 49150696 48690754
48200748 46980633 46010580 45000558 44540525 44290469
44180420 44460319

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151945
SWODY1
SPC AC 151943

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT MON JUL 15 2013

VALID 152000Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ERN MT THROUGH WRN ND...

...DISCUSSION...

CURRENT FORECAST STILL APPEARS ON TRACK. EXPECT PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT TO EVOLVE FROM ERN MT THROUGH WRN ND LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE EARLY EVENING WITH STORMS DEVELOPING ON COLD FRONT AND ON THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. OTHERWISE...HAVE INCLUDED A 5% PROBABILITY LINE FROM
THE LOWER-MID MS VALLEY INTO ERN KS FOR POSSIBILITY OF STRONG WIND
GUSTS WITH SCATTERED STORMS DEVELOPING WITHIN BELT OF 30-40 KT SELY
WINDS ALOFT AND AN UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.

...ERN TX...SWRN LA AND SWRN AR...

REFERENCE SWOMCD 1400.

..DIAL.. 07/15/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT MON JUL 15 2013/

...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG ANTICYCLONE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE UPR OH VLY THROUGH
TUE AS SRN PLNS UPR LOW CONTINUES SLOWLY WWD AND SLIGHTLY WEAKENS. A
RIDGE WILL PERSIST N AND W OF THE LOW...EXTENDING FROM AZ THROUGH
THE GRT BASIN TO THE NRN PLNS. N OF THE RIDGE...A BELT OF FAST WSW
FLOW WILL CONTINUE FROM SRN BC TO NRN ONT. A FAIRLY STRONG IMPULSE
IN THIS FLOW...NOW ENTERING SRN AB...WILL REACH SW SK THIS EVE AND
WRN MB EARLY TUE.

SFC LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE AB IMPULSE WILL TRACK E/NE ALONG MARKED
FRONTAL ZONE OVER SRN SK LATER TODAY. THE FRONT WILL SETTLE SE INTO
NRN MT THIS EVE/EARLY TUE AS AN ATTENDANT LEE TROUGH DEEPENS OVER
THE ERN PART OF THAT STATE. ELSEWHERE...SFC FEATURES WILL REMAIN
WEAK. LARGE-SCALE COOL-AIR DOME ASSOCIATED WITH SRN PLNS UPR LOW
WILL EXPAND FARTHER W INTO NM AND S ACROSS S TX...WHILE ITS ERN
FRINGE ERODES OVER ERN OK AND THE ARKLATEX.

CONDITIONS SHOULD BECOME FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SVR TSTMS
ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND LEE TROUGH IN SK AND NE MT LATER
TODAY...AND SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD AFFECT ADJACENT PARTS OF
WY/ND. OTHERWISE...RELATIVELY WEAK LAPSE RATES AND/OR MODEST SHEAR
SHOULD MINIMIZE SVR THREAT ELSEWHERE IN THE NATION.

...NRN HIGH PLNS THIS AFTN THROUGH TNGT...
STRONG SFC HEATING WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF COLD FRONT AND DEEPENING LEE
TROUGH OVER NRN/ERN MT NWD INTO SRN SK. APPRECIABLE LOW-LVL MOISTURE
INFLOW ALSO SHOULD PERSIST...ESPECIALLY OVER FAR ERN AND NERN MT.
SFC DEWPOINTS IN THAT AREA LIKELY WILL AVERAGE IN THE LOW 60S
F...AND CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE AOA 2000 J/KG GIVEN CONTINUING PRESENCE
OF DEEP EML.

ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH AB UPR IMPULSE WILL
REMAIN N OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER...SUFFICIENT UPR
DIVERGENCE/DCVA SHOULD OVERSPREAD PARTS OF MT TO HELP INITIATE
STORMS THERE GIVEN LOW-LVL UPLIFT ALONG COLD FRONT AND/OR LEE
TROUGH. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP E/NE INTO WRN AND NRN ND
THIS EVE AS THE FRONT/TROUGH CONTINUE ENEWD.

35-40 KT WSWLY 500 MB FLOW ON SRN FRINGE OF UPR IMPULSE WILL PROVIDE
AMPLE DEEP SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DMGG
WIND. ALTHOUGH SIZABLE SFC T/TD SPREADS WILL EXIST OVER PARTS OF
MT...SATELLITE SUGGESTS THAT SCTD TO BKN CLOUDS MAY LINGER OVER THE
FAR NE PART OF THE STATE EWD INTO ND. COUPLED WITH SLIGHTLY BACKED
SFC FLOW IN THIS REGION...SOME RISK ALSO WILL EXIST FOR TORNADOES.

MERGING STORM OUTFLOWS AND THE CONTINUED ENE ADVANCE OF UPR IMPULSE
SHOULD SUPPORT EVOLUTION INTO A SMALL MCS BY MID EVE...EXTENDING THE
THREAT FOR SVR WIND/HAIL FARTHER E/NE INTO ND.

SWD ALONG LEE TROUGH INTO WY...THE SVR RISK APPEARS MORE
MARGINAL/CONDITIONAL GIVEN WEAKER FORCING FOR ASCENT...WEAKER
SHEAR...AND MORE LIMITED MOISTURE. NEVERTHELESS...TERRAIN
CIRCULATIONS IN THE PRESENCE OF DEEP EML AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR
STORMS SUGGEST A POTENTIAL FOR SVR WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY HAIL WITH
ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM IN THE MORE DEEPLY MIXED ENVIRONMENT.

...S TX THIS AFTN THROUGH TNGT...
SFC HEATING AND CONTINUED MOISTURE INFLOW WILL YIELD MODEST LOW-LVL
DESTABILIZATION ALONG DIFFUSE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DRIFTING SLOWLY S
ACROSS S CNTRL TX TODAY. BUT WWD MOTION OF OK UPR LOW WILL DO LITTLE
TO ERODE WARM MID-LVL TEMPS ACROSS REGION. COUPLED WITH ABUNDANT
CLOUDS SPREADING SWD WITH NNWLY UPR-LVL FLOW AND THE ABSENCE OF
STRONG WLYS IN THE MID-LVLS...PROSPECTS FOR SUSTAINED SVR STORMS
APPEAR MINIMAL. HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PW AND 25 KT SELY LOW-LVL FLOW
PERSISTING OVER REGION...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR AN OCCASIONAL
STORM OR TWO POSING A TRANSIENT RISK FOR A LOCALLY DMGG WIND GUST OR
BRIEF TORNADO.

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KBOU [151946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOU 151946
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
146 PM MDT MON JUL 15 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM HEAVY RAIN DENVER 39.73N 104.96W
07/15/2013 E1.50 INCH DENVER CO PUBLIC

1.5 INCHES FELL IN 48 MINUTES

0111 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 WSW AURORA 39.67N 104.88W
07/15/2013 M1.19 INCH DENVER CO COCORAHS

1.19 INCHES IN 47 MINUTES


&&

$$

KBOWEN

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