KCRP [010338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KCRP 010338
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1038 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM LIGHTNING 8 W CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.58W
08/31/2007 NUECES TX BROADCAST MEDIA

LIGHTNING HIT A TANK BATTERY IN AN OPEN FIELD JUST OFF
F.M. 70 AND C.R. 63 CAUSING A SMALL EXPLOSION AND FIRE.
ROUGHLY 150 BARRELS OF OIL WERE SPILLED FROM THE TANK
BATTERY.

&&

$$

RUNYEN

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KCRP [010333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 010333
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1033 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM LIGHTNING 8 W CHAPMAN RANCH 27.58N 97.58W
08/31/2007 NUECES TX BROADCAST MEDIA

LIGHTNING HIT A TANK BATTERY IN AN OPEN FIELD JUST OFF
F.M. 70 AND C.R. 63 CAUSING A SMALL EXPLOSION AND FIRE.
ROUGHLY 150 BARRELS OF OIL WERE SPILLED FROM THE TANK
BATTERY.

&&

$$

RUNYEN

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KSGX [010315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010315
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
815 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM FLASH FLOOD WARNER SPRINGS 33.28N 116.63W
08/31/2007 SAN DIEGO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

1 INCH OF RAINFALL DROPPED IN 40 MINUTES BETWEEN 1PM AND
2PM.

&&

$$

JLC

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KSGX [010313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010313
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
813 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM HAIL 3 E YUCAIPA 34.03N 116.99W
08/31/2007 E0.25 INCH SAN BERNARDINO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

ACTUAL CITY IS OAK GLEN. VERY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL.
ROADWAY FLOODING.

&&

$$

JLC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1927

ACUS11 KWNS 010313
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010313
MTZ000-IDZ000-ORZ000-WAZ000-010415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1927
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1013 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WA/NERN OREGON/NRN ID/WRN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 664...

VALID 010313Z - 010415Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 664
CONTINUES.

STORMS CONTINUE TO VACATE WW 664. DOWNSTREAM WATCH NOT ANTICIPATED.

SEVERE THREAT IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY DIMINISH WITH TIME AS DIURNAL
STABILIZATION CONTINUES. THREAT WILL LIKELY LINGER THE LONGEST
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN ID AND PARTICULARLY INTO A SMALL PORTION OF NWRN
AND FAR WRN MT...WHERE A SMALL MCS IS ONGOING AHEAD OF THE MAIN
UPPER CYCLONIC VORTICITY CENTER. THOUGH DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD
REMAINS SUPPORTIVE FOR ORGANIZED/SEVERE STORMS AHEAD OF THIS
ENEWD-MOVING CLUSTER...BOUNDARY-LAYER STABILIZATION SHOULD
EVENTUALLY LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AT THE SURFACE.

.GOSS.. 09/01/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MSO...OTX...PDT...

46481708 47811772 48941805 48901520 46861389 45531476
45201727

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KPDT [010312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 010312
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
811 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 ENE MITCHELL 44.58N 120.11W
08/31/2007 WHEELER OR CO-OP OBSERVER

ESTIMATED WINDS OVER 40 MPH CAUSED 6 INCH TREE LIMB TO
FALL.

&&

$$

AMA

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KSGX [010311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010311
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
810 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM FLASH FLOOD CHERRY VALLEY 33.97N 116.96W
08/31/2007 RIVERSIDE CA CO-OP OBSERVER

TORRENTIAL RAINS, GRAPE SIZED HAIL, ROADS TURNED INTO
RIVERS. OTHER REPORT SAID 3 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING DOWN
DRIVEWAY. STRONG WINDS BLEW DOWN TREES.

&&

$$

JLC

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KSGX [010308]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010308
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
808 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM FLASH FLOOD WRIGHTWOOD 34.36N 117.63W
08/31/2007 SAN BERNARDINO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

LONE PINE CANYON ROAD CLOSED DUE TO ROCK AND MUD SLIDE
FROM THE RAINS.

&&

$$

JLC

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KSGX [010307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010307
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
807 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM FLASH FLOOD PHELAN 34.43N 117.57W
08/31/2007 SAN BERNARDINO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

THUNDERSTORM WITH HAIL AND FLASH FLOODING. PEA SIZE HAIL,
LTG C-G. 0.55 INCHES IN LESS THAN AN HOUR IN ONE REPORT.
ROADS FLOODED. 5-6 INCHES OF MUD ON WILSON AND PHELAN
ROADS.

&&

$$

JLC

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KSGX [010305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010305
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
805 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NE BIG BEAR CITY 34.30N 116.81W
08/31/2007 SAN BERNARDINO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

DUE TO HEAVY RAIN, FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOW NEAR HXY 18
AND 38.

&&

$$

JLC

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KSGX [010300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010300
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
800 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HAIL BIG BEAR CITY 34.27N 116.85W
08/31/2007 E0.50 INCH SAN BERNARDINO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

HAIL ALL OVER THE MOUNTAINS ALONG WITH 1 INCH OF RAIN IN
ONE HOUR IN BIG BEAR.

0330 PM HAIL BIG BEAR CITY 34.27N 116.85W
08/31/2007 E0.25 INCH SAN BERNARDINO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

HAIL WAS REPORTED TO BE ALL OVER THE MOUNTAINS ALONG WITH
FLASH FLOODING OF 1 INCH OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR.

&&

$$

JLC

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KSGX [010257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010257
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
757 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM FLASH FLOOD BEAUMONT 33.93N 116.98W
08/31/2007 RIVERSIDE CA CO-OP OBSERVER

I-10 FLOODED IN THE BANNING PASS, NUMEROUS CAR ACCIDENTS,
HAIL COVERING THE GROUND. TSTORMS WITH C-G LIGHTNING,
30MPH WINDS.

&&

$$

JLC

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KSGX [010255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010255
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
754 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM FLASH FLOOD LAKE ELSINORE 33.67N 117.32W
08/31/2007 RIVERSIDE CA CO-OP OBSERVER

DOWNED POWER LINES, ROOF DAMAGE, REPORT OF A TORNADO.
STREET AND URBAN FLOODING. TORRENTIAL DOWNPOUR, EXTREMELY
LOW VISIBILITY.

&&

$$

JLC

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KSGX [010252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010252
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
752 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM HEAVY RAIN EL CAJON 32.80N 116.96W
08/31/2007 E0.00 INCH SAN DIEGO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

DOWNPOUR OF RAIN RESULTING IN FLOODED ROADS, C-G
LIGHTNING.

&&

$$

JLC

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KPDT [010240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS56 KPDT 010240
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
740 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL 2 NNE IONE 45.52N 119.81W
08/31/2007 E0.75 INCH MORROW OR TRAINED SPOTTER

3/4 INCH HAIL FELL JUST NORTH OF THE TOWN OF LEXINGTON.

&&

$$

JMITTEL

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KFGF [010152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 010152
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
852 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 PM HAIL 6 WSW DONALDSON 48.54N 97.02W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH KITTSON MN PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL. LATE REPORT FROM THURSDAY AUGUST 30TH
2007.

&&

$$

CS

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KREV [010118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 010118
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
618 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 WNW SIERRAVILLE 39.62N 120.43W
08/31/2007 M0.20 INCH SIERRA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0.20 INCHES OF RAIN IN 2 MINUTES.

0225 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 E BECKWOURTH 39.82N 120.30W
08/31/2007 U0.00 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN, STRONG WINDS, ESTIMATED GUSTS TO 50 MPH WITH
VIS 1/8 MILE ON HIWAY 70 BETWEEN BECKWORTH AND VINTON.

0250 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW COLD SPRINGS VALLE 39.68N 119.97W
08/31/2007 M0.33 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0.33 INCHES OF RAIN IN 10 MINUTES. VISIBILTY 1/8 MILE
WITH HVY RAIN, WIND GUSTS EST 30-35 MPH.

0301 PM HEAVY RAIN 8 SE DOYLE 39.92N 120.01W
08/31/2007 M0.43 INCH LASSEN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0.43 INCHES RAIN IN LESS THAN 20 MINUTES. EST WIND GUSTS
30-40 MPH.

0534 PM DUST STORM 5 NE GERLACH 40.70N 119.28W
08/31/2007 PERSHING NV AMATEUR RADIO

VISIBILITY LESS THAN 100 FEET. WINDS EST 40-50 MPH.

&&

$$

JKIELHOR

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KPDT [010118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 010118
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
617 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG WESTON 45.82N 118.43W
08/31/2007 UMATILLA OR PUBLIC

TREE DOWNED ONTO VEHICLE FROM THUNDERSTORM WINDS. NO
INJURIES.

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG WALLA WALLA 46.07N 118.34W
08/31/2007 WALLA WALLA WA AMATEUR RADIO

AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR RECEIVED REPORT OF ESTIMATED 50

MPH WINDS WHICH CAUSED POWER OUTAGE FOR PORTIONS OF CITY.

&&

$$

AMA

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KLOX [010101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 010101
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
601 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0511 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSW LAKE LOS ANGELES 34.59N 117.84W
08/31/2007 LOS ANGELES CA TRAINED SPOTTER

ROAD FLOODING OCCURED BETWEEN 180TH EAST AND PALMDALE BL
TO THE LOS ANGELES/SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY LINE.

&&

$$

KAPLAN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 010053
SWODY1
SPC AC 010050

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 PM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

VALID 010100Z - 011200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS INTERIOR NW AND NRN
ROCKIES...

..SYNOPSIS...
SYNOPTIC PATTERN OVER MUCH OF CONUS WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY
PRONOUNCED RIDGING FROM AZ TO NRN PLAINS. DOWNSTREAM...BROAD AREA
OF TROUGHING -- CONTAINING SEVERAL EMBEDDED VORTICITY MAXIMA AND
CYCLONIC SHEAR ZONES -- WILL REMAIN QUASISTATIONARY FROM OFFSHORE
CAROLINAS SWWD OVER FL PANHANDLE...WWD ALONG GULF COAST AND SWWD
TOWARD BAY OF CAMPECHE. STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD
ACROSS SRN QUE AND NEW ENGLAND.

FARTHER W...SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS EVIDENT IN 23Z MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY AND VWP DATA OVER W-CENTRAL PORTIONS WA/ORE. THIS FEATURE
SHOULD LIFT NEWD OVERNIGHT...CROSSING NRN ROCKIES AND CANADIAN
ROCKIES IN 01/09-01/12Z TIME FRAME. ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL FRONTAL
ZONE -- ANALYZED FROM S-CENTRAL BC SWD ACROSS E-CENTRAL WA THEN SWWD
OVER SWRN ORE -- WILL MOVE EWD INTO NRN ROCKIES WHILE MOVING SEWD
AND WEAKENING OVER CENTRAL/ERN ORE AND NWRN CA.

..INLAND NWRN CONUS...
WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS -- SOME POTENTIALLY SVR WITH DAMAGING GUSTS
-- ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NEWD ACROSS OUTLOOK AREA THIS
EVENING...AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH AND ALONG/AHEAD OF FRONTAL ZONE.
REF WW 664 AND LATEST ASSOCIATED MESOSCALE DISCUSSION FOR NEAR-TERM
FCST REASONING. DEEP-LAYER KINEMATIC PROFILES WILL CONTINUE TO
CONTRIBUTE TO FAVORABLE SPEED SHEAR FROM NERN ORE/ERN WA NEWD.
WELL-MIXED/PRE-STORM BOUNDARY LAYER -- AS SAMPLED WELL BY 00Z OTX
RAOB -- AND ACCOMPANYING STEEP LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT
GUST POTENTIAL AS FAR NE AS MOUNTAINS OF NRN ID AND WRN MT...UNTIL
SIGNIFICANT DIABATIC SFC COOLING HAS TAKEN PLACE.

..CENTRAL/SWRN AZ...
WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO FORM FOR ANOTHER COUPLE
HOURS AND MOVE WWD/SWWD OVER DEEP...STRONGLY HEATED AND WELL-MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYERS. ALTHOUGH LOW-MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN WEAK PER
MODIFIED RAOBS AND RUC FCST SOUNDINGS...PULSE/MULTICELLULAR
CONVECTION MAY PRODUCE STG/POSSIBLY DAMAGING DOWNDRAFTS FOR BRIEF
PERIODS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. TUS RAOB INDICATES WEAKENING LAPSE
RATES ALOFT WITH SMALLER BUOYANCY WITH SWD EXTENT.

.EDWARDS.. 09/01/2007

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KPDT [010048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 010048
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
548 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM HAIL 2 NNE IONE 45.52N 119.81W
08/31/2007 E0.75 INCH MORROW OR TRAINED SPOTTER

3/4 INCH HAIL FELL JUST NORTH OF THE TOWN OF LEXINGTON.

0540 PM HEAVY RAIN IMBLER 45.46N 117.96W
08/31/2007 M0.87 INCH UNION OR MESONET

IMBLER HIGH SCHOOL WEATHER STATION RECEIVED STORM TOTAL
PRECIPITATION OF 0.87 IN SIX HOURS.

&&

$$

AMA

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KPDT [010038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 010038
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
538 PM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E COVE 45.30N 117.79W
08/31/2007 UNION OR TRAINED SPOTTER

PEAK WIND GUST OF OVER 50 MPH ESTIMATED CAUSED 4 INCH
TREE LIMBS TO FALL.

&&

$$

AMA

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KTBW [311512]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 311512
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1112 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1041 AM TSTM WND GST 6 E LARGO 27.91N 82.69W
08/31/2007 M39 MPH PINELLAS FL ASOS

MEASURED AT SAINT PETERSBURG/CLEARWATER AIRPORT. NWS
EMPLOYEES ONSITE CONFIRMED.

&&

$$

RJS

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KGSP [311510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 311510
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1110 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 NE CHESTER 34.81N 81.09W
08/30/2007 CHESTER SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SEVERAL TREES DOWN ALONG SC HIGHWAY 72 IN THE AREA OF THE
CHESTER YORK COUNTY LINE NORTH OF LEWIS COMMUNITY.

&&

$$

MOORE

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KCAR [311455]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 311455
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1054 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N MILLINOCKET 45.69N 68.71W
08/30/2007 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES UPROOTED NEAR THE SMITH POND AREA

&&

$$

STUREY

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KCTP [311437]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCTP 311437
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1037 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0221 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N KEENEYVILLE 41.89N 77.26W
08/30/2007 TIOGA PA EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ACROSS CUMMINGS CREEK ROAD

0230 PM HAIL 4 NE DUBOIS 41.16N 78.70W
08/30/2007 E0.88 INCH CLEARFIELD PA BROADCAST MEDIA

NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN SANDY TOWNSHIP NEAR TREASURE
LAKE.

0245 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NE DUBOIS 41.16N 78.70W
08/30/2007 CLEARFIELD PA BROADCAST MEDIA

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN NEAR TREASURE LAKE IN
SANDY TOWNSHIP.

0250 PM HAIL 1 SE EMPORIUM 41.50N 78.22W
08/30/2007 E0.25 INCH CAMERON PA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL ALONG ROUTE 120.

0315 PM HAIL 5 E CLEARFIELD 41.02N 78.34W
08/30/2007 E0.25 INCH CLEARFIELD PA NWS EMPLOYEE

PEA SIZE HAIL ALONG INTERSTATE 80 NEAR CLEARFIELD.

0320 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE DUBOIS 41.15N 78.71W
08/30/2007 CLEARFIELD PA EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND FIVE HOMES DAMAGED IN SABULA.

0440 PM HAIL 4 W STATE COLLEGE 40.79N 77.93W
08/30/2007 E0.25 INCH CENTRE PA NWS EMPLOYEE

PEA SIZE HAIL IN STORMSTOWN.

0505 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 S BLOSSBURG 41.65N 77.07W
08/30/2007 TIOGA PA EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER COVERING THE NORTHBOUND LANE OF ROUTE 15 NEAR
BLOSSBURG.

0536 PM TSTM WND DMG WARRIORS MARK 40.70N 78.11W
08/30/2007 HUNTINGDON PA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN.

0600 PM HAIL WILLIAMSPORT 41.24N 77.02W
08/30/2007 E0.25 INCH LYCOMING PA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL ALONG WITH 35-40 MPH GUSTS. ESTIMATED ONE
INCH OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR IN WILLIAMSPORT.

&&

$$

GAD

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KCAE [311415]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 311415
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1015 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SSW EASTOVER 33.79N 80.73W
08/30/2007 RICHLAND SC PARK/FOREST SRVC

SOMEONE REPORTED HEARING LARGE BRANCHES FALLING WHILE IN
THE CONGAREE NATIONAL PARK

&&

$$

LINTON

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KBTV [311402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBTV 311402
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1001 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL WELLS RIVER 44.15N 72.07W
08/30/2007 E0.50 INCH ORANGE VT TRAINED SPOTTER

FEW BRANCHES DOWN DUE TO WIND.

0300 PM HAIL PARADOX 43.90N 73.63W
08/30/2007 E2.75 INCH ESSEX NY PUBLIC

0300 PM HAIL WELLS RIVER 44.15N 72.07W
08/30/2007 E0.88 INCH ORANGE VT PUBLIC

0300 PM TSTM WND DMG PARADOX 43.90N 73.63W
08/30/2007 ESSEX NY PUBLIC

SEVERAL TREES DOWN.

0315 PM HAIL BENSON 43.71N 73.31W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH RUTLAND VT TRAINED SPOTTER

0335 PM HAIL MORIAH 44.05N 73.50W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH ESSEX NY POST OFFICE

0335 PM HAIL MORIAH 44.05N 73.50W
08/30/2007 E1.75 INCH ESSEX NY PUBLIC

RELAYED VIA MEDIA

0345 PM HAIL PORT HENRY 44.05N 73.46W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH ESSEX NY TRAINED SPOTTER

DELAYED REPORT.

&&

$$

MB

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KGYX [311332]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KGYX 311332
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
931 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1239 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S THE FORKS 45.29N 69.97W
08/30/2007 SOMERSET ME PUBLIC

LARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS ROUTE 201 3 MILES SOUTH OF THE
WEST FORKS.

0255 PM HAIL WOODSVILLE 44.15N 72.04W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

0321 PM HAIL 6 NNE HAVERHILL 44.11N 72.02W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

0345 PM HAIL BENTON 44.59N 69.55W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

0417 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW WILTON 44.61N 70.26W
08/30/2007 FRANKLIN ME PUBLIC

TREES AND BRANCHES DOWN AT WILSON LAKE COUNTRY CLUB. ALSO
HALF INCH HAIL.

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW SHARON 44.64N 70.02W
08/30/2007 FRANKLIN ME AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN ALONG A 20 MILE STRETCH OF ROUTE 27 FROM
BELGRADE LAKES IN KENNEBEC COUNTY TO NEW SHARON IN
FRANKLIN COUNTY.

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG BELGRADE 44.45N 69.83W
08/30/2007 KENNEBEC ME AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN ALONG A 20 MILE STRETCH OF ROUTE 27 FROM
BELGRADE LAKES IN KENNEBEC COUNTY TO NEW SHARON IN
FRANKLIN COUNTY.

0452 PM HAIL DIXFIELD 44.53N 70.46W
08/30/2007 E0.75 INCH OXFORD ME AMATEUR RADIO

0500 PM HAIL LYME 43.81N 72.16W
08/30/2007 E0.75 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

0504 PM HAIL JAY 44.50N 70.22W
08/30/2007 E1.25 INCH FRANKLIN ME PUBLIC

0505 PM HAIL 5 W WATERVILLE 44.55N 69.73W
08/30/2007 E1.25 INCH KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

REPORT FROM BELGRADE ON THE SMITHFIELD TOWN LINE.

0505 PM HAIL LIVERMORE FALLS 44.48N 70.19W
08/30/2007 E0.75 INCH ANDROSCOGGIN ME PUBLIC

0506 PM HAIL BELGRADE 44.45N 69.83W
08/30/2007 E0.50 INCH KENNEBEC ME EMERGENCY MNGR

UP TO 4 INCHES OF HAIL ACCUMULATION NEAR ROUTE 27 AND
WATSON POND ROAD.

0506 PM TSTM WND DMG BELGRADE 44.45N 69.83W
08/30/2007 KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

TREES DOWN

0510 PM HAIL WEST PARIS 44.32N 70.57W
08/30/2007 E0.75 INCH OXFORD ME PUBLIC

0510 PM HAIL WEST PARIS 44.32N 70.57W
08/30/2007 E1.25 INCH OXFORD ME PUBLIC

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG WATERVILLE 44.55N 69.63W
08/30/2007 KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

TREES DOWN.

0515 PM HAIL OAKLAND 44.54N 69.72W
08/30/2007 E1.75 INCH KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

0516 PM HAIL CLAREMONT 43.38N 72.35W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH SULLIVAN NH PUBLIC

0516 PM TSTM WND DMG CLAREMONT 43.38N 72.35W
08/30/2007 SULLIVAN NH LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON WEBSTER AVE AND WALKER LANE.

0520 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NW WATERVILLE 44.63N 69.75W
08/30/2007 SOMERSET ME PUBLIC

TREES DOWN. QUARTER SIZE HAIL. EVENT OCCURRED IN
SMITHFIELD.

0520 PM TSTM WND DMG LOVELL 44.13N 70.89W
08/30/2007 OXFORD ME NEWSPAPER

TREES DOWN - RELAYED FROM OXFORD COUNTY SHERIFF

0535 PM TSTM WND DMG FAIRFIELD 44.59N 69.60W
08/30/2007 KENNEBEC ME AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES.

0545 PM HAIL ROME 44.58N 69.87W
08/30/2007 E2.00 INCH KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

LOTS OF DAMAGE FROM 2 INCH HAIL.

0616 PM TSTM WND DMG PITTSFIELD 44.77N 69.38W
08/30/2007 SOMERSET ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN

0620 PM HAIL 1 W BRISTOL 43.59N 71.76W
08/30/2007 E0.88 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED IN BRISTOL.

0620 PM HAIL W BRISTOL 43.59N 71.74W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

0625 PM TSTM WND DMG DETROIT 44.79N 69.30W
08/30/2007 SOMERSET ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN

0659 PM HAIL FRANKLIN 43.45N 71.67W
08/30/2007 E0.88 INCH MERRIMACK NH PUBLIC

&&

$$

KIRKA

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KGYX [311330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 311330
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
929 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG BELGRADE 44.45N 69.83W
08/30/2007 KENNEBEC ME AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN ALONG A 20 MILE STRETCH OF ROUTE 27 FROM
BELGRADE LAKES IN KENNEBEC COUNTY TO NEW SHARON IN
FRANKLIN COUNTY.

&&

$$

KIRKA

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KGYX [311328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 311328
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
927 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0516 PM TSTM WND DMG CLAREMONT 43.38N 72.35W
08/30/2007 SULLIVAN NH LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON WEBSTER AVE AND WALKER LANE.

0506 PM HAIL BELGRADE 44.45N 69.83W
08/30/2007 E0.50 INCH KENNEBEC ME EMERGENCY MNGR

UP TO 4 INCHES OF HAIL ACCUMULATION NEAR ROUTE 27 AND
WATSON POND ROAD.

&&

$$

KIRKA

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KFWD [311255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 311255
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
755 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM TSTM WND DMG LAMPASAS 31.06N 98.18W
08/30/2007 LAMPASAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE AND ROOF DAMAGE...TIME ESTIMATED

$$

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KFWD [311253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 311253
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
753 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG ARLINGTON 32.69N 97.13W
08/29/2007 TARRANT TX TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE LIMBS DOWN ACROSS NORTH ARLINGTON

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 311252
SWODY1
SPC AC 311250

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

VALID 311300Z - 011200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
TONIGHT FROM CENTRAL/NE ORE INTO SE WA AND THE ID PANHANDLE...

..INTERIOR NW/NRN ROCKIES AREA THROUGH TONIGHT...
A SERIES OF LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGHS AND THE ACCOMPANYING MONSOONAL
MOISTURE PLUME WILL EJECT NEWD OVER THE NRN GREAT BASIN AND NRN
ROCKIES...IN ADVANCE OF A STRONGER MID LEVEL TROUGH NEAR 130 W THAT
WILL MOVE INLAND OVER WA/ORE/ID BY LATE EVENING. ASCENT DOWNSTREAM
FROM THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AND IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE LOW-LEVEL
BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
TONIGHT.

RESIDUAL LOW-MID LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG THE W EDGE OF THE MONSOONAL
PLUME...AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING FROM RAINFALL THROUGH THIS
MORNING...WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING/STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES TO SUPPORT MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-750 J/KG. POTENTIAL LIMITING
FACTORS FOR THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY WILL BE RATHER MODEST MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LINGERING CLOUD COVER. STILL...SURFACE
HEATING SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE INVERTED-V PROFILES IN THE
LOW LEVELS AND PROMOTE STRONG DOWNDRAFT POTENTIAL...WHILE INCREASING
DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES.
THEREFORE...WILL MAINTAIN A LOW END SLIGHT RISK FOR THE DAMAGING
WIND POTENTIAL LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

..ELSEWHERE...
A WEAK NELY MID LEVEL FLOW REGIME OVER SE AZ MAY ALLOW DIURNAL
CONVECTION OVER THE SE MOUNTAINS AND RIM TO PROPAGATE SWWD INTO THE
LOWER DESERTS THIS EVENING. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER THE INTERIOR MOUNTAINS OF SRN CA NWD
ALONG THE SIERRA NEVADA. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED
STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

FARTHER E...A DIFFUSE LOW-LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE AND ASSOCIATED WEAK MID
LEVEL TROUGHING WILL FOCUS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM
TX EWD TO THE SE ATLANTIC STATES TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THE STRONGER
INSTABILITY AND MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL OCCUR
DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS...THOUGH MOIST PROFILES WILL
SUPPORT SOME CONVECTION THROUGH TONIGHT.

.THOMPSON/CROSBIE.. 08/31/2007

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KRNK [311248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 311248
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
847 AM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0422 PM TSTM WND DMG PILOT 37.05N 80.37W
08/30/2007 MONTGOMERY VA POST OFFICE

LARGE LIMBS DOWN ON PILOT ROAD.

&&

$$

JH

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KMFR [311206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 311206
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
506 AM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 AM HEAVY RAIN N KENO 42.13N 121.93W
08/31/2007 M0.00 INCH KLAMATH OR TRAINED SPOTTER

.02 INCHES FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH 5AM

0505 AM HEAVY RAIN N KENO 42.13N 121.93W
08/31/2007 M0.02 INCH KLAMATH OR TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCUMULATION FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH 5AM

&&

$$

BUNKER

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KLKN [310915]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KLKN 310915
LSRLKN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
214 AM PDT FRI AUG 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM TSTM WND GST CARLIN 40.72N 116.11W
08/30/2007 E50.00 MPH ELKO NV FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0247 PM TSTM WND GST ELKO 40.84N 115.76W
08/30/2007 M54.00 MPH ELKO NV ASOS

0255 PM TSTM WND GST ELKO 40.84N 115.76W
08/30/2007 M62.00 MPH ELKO NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

MEASURED AT ELKO NWS OFFICE

0300 PM DUST STORM ELKO 40.84N 115.76W
08/30/2007 ELKO NV NWS EMPLOYEE

DUSTSTORM OVERSPREAD ELKO VICINITY WITH WIDESPREAD
VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4 MILE. ELKO ASOS ALSO REPORTED
VISIBILITY REDUCED TO 1/4 MILE.

0320 PM TSTM WND GST DEETH 41.07N 115.27W
08/30/2007 E60.00 MPH ELKO NV TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JM/RCM

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 310830
SWOD48
SPC AC 310829

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0329 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

VALID 031200Z - 081200Z

..DISCUSSION...
UPR FLOW REGIME WILL SPLIT EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE NRN PAC TROUGH
BEGINS TO SPREAD INLAND. THE PREFERRED 00Z GFS/ECMWF...DEPICTING
THIS SPLIT FLOW REGIME...DIFFER IN THE TIMING OF THE
TROUGH...HOWEVER...WITH THE ECMWF MUCH FASTER. RICHER BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE...NOW RELEGATED TO THE SRN THIRD OF THE
COUNTRY...SHOULD BEGIN TO RETURN NWD AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH SOMETIME
DURING THE MID-WEEK TIME FRAME...POTENTIALLY INCREASING BUOYANCY.
BUT...THE SIGNIFICANT TIMING DIFFERENCES RENDER THE MEDIUM RANGE SVR
PREDICTABILITY VERY LOW AND DOES NOT JUSTIFY A RISK AREA ATTM.

.RACY.. 08/31/2007

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 310730
SWODY3
SPC AC 310728

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..NRN PLAINS...
A WAVE TRAIN OF MID-LEVEL IMPULSES EJECTING OUT OF THE NRN PAC
TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SKIRT ACROSS THE CANADIAN BORDER THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. PRIMARY IMPULSE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIES ON SATURDAY WILL CONTINUE INTO ONTARIO ON SUNDAY WITH A
WEAK COLD FRONT SETTLING SEWD INTO THE UPR MS VLY AND CNTRL PLAINS.
TAIL END OF THIS FRONT WILL REMAIN ALONG THE NRN ROCKIES...BUT
REDEVELOP NEWD LATE SUNDAY INTO THE DAKOTAS IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
IMPULSE. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS...MAINTAINING MINIMAL CAPE. HOWEVER...WARM/MOIST ADVECTION
REGIME ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE N OF THE WARM FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF ND WHERE BANDS OF TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM LATE
AT NIGHT. MARGINALLY SVR HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER
STORMS...BUT WIDESPREAD SVR STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

.RACY.. 08/31/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 310542
SWODY2
SPC AC 310541

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1241 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..ERN ND AND NWRN MN...
THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL APPROACH THE PAC NW ON
FRIDAY WILL GLANCE OFF THE STRONG SONORAN RIDGE AND TRANSLATE INTO
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES BY SATURDAY AFTN. SWD EXTENT OF THE WEAK
LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS WILL SKIRT ACROSS ND AND FAR NW MN SATURDAY
AFTN/EVE. A ZONE OF MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO EXIST
AHEAD OF THE ASSOCD SFC PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH AND FRONT FROM THE ERN
PLAINS INTO NWRN MN...ALONG THE ERN EDGE OF HOT TEMPERATURES. THIS
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPES OF 1000-2000 J/KG...PRIMARILY ACROSS ERN
ND. MAIN NEGATIVE FACTOR FOR SUSTAINED SVR TSTMS WILL BE THE WEAK
SUPPORT ALOFT...WITH THE PRIMARY TSTM INITIATION ZONE LIKELY ACROSS
MANITOBA. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO BACKBUILD SWWD
INTO ERN ND DURING THE LATE AFTN/EARLY EVE AS THE COLD FRONT
OVERTAKES THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. GIVEN A STORM...30-35 KTS OF BULK
SHEAR AND MODEST INSTABILITY MAY YIELD ISOLD STRONGER STORMS WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

OTHER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO FORM LATER SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS
NRN/CNTRL MN ALONG THE AXIS OF AN ACCELERATING SWLY LLJ. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL BE ROOTED ABOVE A MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH
SUFFICIENT CAPE IN THE CLOUD LAYER TO SUPPORT MARGINALLY SVR HAIL.

..SWRN STATES...
UPR HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER SRN NV INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH NELY FLOW
REGIME INCREASING ACROSS PARTS OF AZ AND NM. TSTMS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN SRN CO...CNTRL NM AND NRN AZ SATURDAY
AFTN AND MOVE WSWWD INTO THE VLYS/PLATEAUS DURING THE EVENING.
STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEEP ENELY FLOW THROUGH THE
TROPOSPHERE WILL YIELD FAST MOVING MULTICELL STORMS WITH THE THREAT
FOR ISOLD SVR/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...PARTICULARLY IN THE SCNTRL VLYS
OF AZ.

..LWR TN INTO THE LWR MS VLY...
A MID-LEVEL WEAKNESS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SERN STATES ON
SATURDAY. CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONGEST HEATING ON SATURDAY SHOULD OCCUR ALONG
NRN/WRN PERIPHERY OF THIS ACTIVITY...FAVORING A WEAK INVERTED-TROUGH
FROM THE LWR TN INTO THE LWR MS VLY. ENHANCED ELY FLOW IN THE
LWR-MID TROPOSPHERE ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THIS WEAKNESS MAY AUGMENT
W AND SW PROPAGATION OF MULTICELL STORM CLUSTERS. ISOLD STORMS MAY
PRODUCE DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS AND PERHAPS SMALL HAIL.

.RACY.. 08/31/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 310534
SWODY1
SPC AC 310532

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1232 AM CDT FRI AUG 31 2007

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS CENTRAL/ERN
ORE...SERN/ERN WA...NWRN ID...

..SYNOPSIS...
IN MID/UPPER LEVELS...SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO BE DOMINATED
BY TROUGHING FROM CANADIAN MARITIMES SWWD ACROSS CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO...STRONG RIDGING OVER 4-CORNERS REGION AND CENTRAL/NRN
PLAINS...AND PERSISTENT CYCLONIC VORTEX OVER ERN GULF OF AK.
SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY W OF ORE
AND NRN CA NEAR 136W -- IS FCST TO EJECT NEWD TODAY FROM MEAN TROUGH
POSITION. THIS PERTURBATION WILL CROSS MUCH OF ORE/WA DURING
31/18Z-01/06Z TIME FRAME...THEN DEAMPLIFY AS IT MOVES THROUGH
CANADIAN ROCKIES TOWARD MEAN RIDGE. AHEAD OF THAT TROUGH...LOW
LEVEL COLD FRONT IS FCST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS WA...ORE AND NWRN CA.
SRN PORTION OF FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD WEAKEN OVER INLAND PACIFIC NW AND
NRN GREAT BASIN DURING OVERNIGHT HOURS AS TROUGH EJECTS AWAY FROM
AREA.

OTHERWISE...LOOSELY ORGANIZED TROUGHING...WITH SEVERAL
EMBEDDED/ERRATICALLY DRIFTING CYCLONIC CENTERS ALOFT...WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS MOST OF GULF COAST REGION...AND WILL BE AT LEAST LOOSELY
PHASED WITH DIFFUSE SRN END OF SYNOPTIC TROUGHING ON ATLANTIC
SEABOARD. DIFFUSE SFC FRONTAL ZONE WILL EXTEND FROM VA AND CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS SWWD ACROSS MS/LA INTO CENTRAL/NRN TX. GEN TSTM
POTENTIAL -- OVER A LARGE AREA OF GULF/ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAINS --
WILL BE SUPPORTED BY COMBINATION OF SUBTLE ASCENT/DESTABILIZATION
ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGHING ALOFT...STG SFC HEATING...WEAKENING
CINH...MODEST FRONTAL FORCING...AND ASSORTED MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES
FROM PREVIOUS DAY.

..INLAND NWRN CONUS...
SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN TODAY -- PRIMARILY
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING -- AND MOVE NEWD ACROSS OUTLOOK AREA.
ACTIVITY MAY ORGANIZE INTO LINE SEGMENTS AND/OR BOWS WITH DAMAGING
WIND BEING MAIN THREAT. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL ALSO IS
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY FROM ANY DISCRETE TSTMS OVER NRN/WRN
PORTIONS OUTLOOK AREA WHERE SHEAR WILL BE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
FOR STORM ROTATION. DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL MAY EXTEND NEWD ACROSS
NRN ID INTO BITTERROOT AND ADJOINING HIGHER TERRAIN...BEFORE
DIMINISHING DURING MID-LATE EVENING.

LARGE SCALE ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD NEWD ACROSS WA/ORE E OF
CASCADES...DURING AND JUST PRIOR TO FROPA. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH
DIURNAL SFC HEATING TO STEEPEN LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS
REGION...CREATING DEEP AND WELL-MIXED PRECONVECTIVE BOUNDARY LAYERS
SUITABLE FOR MAINTAINING STG-SVR DOWNDRAFTS. ALSO...TIGHTENING
HEIGHT GRADIENTS AHEAD OF TROUGH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STRENGTHENING OF
DEEP-LAYER BULK SHEAR PROFILES DURING DAY. ALTHOUGH NEARLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS ARE PROGGED...EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES OF
35-45 KT MAY DEVELOP IN SUPPORT OF SVR POTENTIAL. EXPECT SFC DEW
POINTS 40S/50S F ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION...WITH
EVAPOTRANSPIRATIVE BOOST FROM WIDESPREAD PRECIP THAT FELL ON
THURSDAY...HELPING TO YIELD MLCAPES 500-1000 J/KG.

.EDWARDS/CROSBIE.. 08/31/2007

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KPDT [310521]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 310521
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
1021 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW SUNRIVER 43.84N 121.46W
08/30/2007 M0.40 INCH DESCHUTES OR TRAINED SPOTTER

RECEIVED 0.40 INCH RAIN IN PAST HOUR.

&&

$$

AMA

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KPDT [310452]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 310452
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
952 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 PM TSTM WND GST HERMISTON 45.83N 119.28W
08/30/2007 E40 MPH UMATILLA OR AMATEUR RADIO

MOBILE AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED ESTIMATED WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH FROM THUNDERSTORM REDUCED VISIBILITY ON
INTERSTATE 84 DOWN TO A QUARTER MILE.

&&

$$

AMA

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KPDT [310439]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 310439
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
939 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 N REDMOND 44.30N 121.18W
08/30/2007 DESCHUTES OR TRAINED SPOTTER

LOCALIZED FLOODING FROM VERY HEAVY RAINS PRODUCED BY
THUNDERSTORM OCCURED IN SOUTHWEST REDMOND.

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD REDMOND 44.26N 121.17W
08/30/2007 DESCHUTES OR AMATEUR RADIO

HIGHWAY 97 NEAR YEW AVENUE IN REDMOND HAD 2 INCHES OF
STANDING WATER FROM HEAVY RAIN SHOWER PRODUCED BY
THUNDERSTORM.

&&

$$

AMA

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KPDT [310429]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 310429
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
929 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0742 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NNE IONE 45.52N 119.81W
08/30/2007 M52.00 MPH MORROW OR TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED PEAK WIND GUST TO 52 MPH ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORM.

&&

$$

AMA

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