KICT [292319]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 292319
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
619 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0601 PM HAIL 4 SSE TAMPA 38.50N 97.12W
03/29/2012 E0.88 INCH MARION KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MWM

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KOAX [292314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 292314
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
614 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM HAIL 6 N TECUMSEH 40.46N 96.19W
03/29/2012 E1.00 INCH JOHNSON NE TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DFOBERT

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KOAX [292312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 292312
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
612 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM HAIL COOK 40.51N 96.16W
03/29/2012 E1.00 INCH JOHNSON NE FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

$$

DFOBERT

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KICT [292309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 292309
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
608 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM HAIL 2 NW MOUNDRIDGE 38.22N 97.54W
03/29/2012 E0.88 INCH MCPHERSON KS PUBLIC

NICKEL HAIL REPORTED

&&

$$

MWM

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KDVN [292307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 292307
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
607 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 PM HAIL 1 W WASHINGTON 41.28N 91.69W
03/29/2012 M0.25 INCH WASHINGTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LE

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KMFR [292306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 292306
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
406 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 N CAVE JUNCTION 42.19N 123.65W
03/29/2012 M1.26 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR AMOUNT.

0400 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 ESE SELMA 42.26N 123.57W
03/29/2012 M1.45 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR AMOUNT.

&&

$$

DW

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KSEW [292304]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 292304
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
404 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0403 PM HEAVY RAIN NE NAPAVINE 46.58N 122.90W
03/29/2012 M2.00 INCH LEWIS WA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL IN PAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

GRUB

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KMRX [292301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 292301
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
701 PM EDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM HAIL MARYVILLE 35.75N 83.97W
03/29/2012 E0.88 INCH BLOUNT TN PUBLIC

&&

$$

JWINTON

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KDLH [292301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 292301
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
601 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0558 PM SNOW INTERNATIONAL FALLS 48.59N 93.41W
03/29/2012 M0.5 INCH KOOCHICHING MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MELDE

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 116

WWUS20 KWNS 292233
SEL6
SPC WW 292233
KSZ000-OKZ000-300300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 116
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EAST CENTRAL INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 535 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF TOPEKA KANSAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GAGE
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 115...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY ALONG A SURFACE DRYLINE IN NW OK...AND AS THE
DRYLINE IS OVERTAKEN BY A COLD FRONT INTO CENTRAL KS. MODERATE
INSTABILITY IS PRESENT IN ADVANCE OF THE BOUNDARIES...WHERE STRONG
SURFACE HEATING AND FOCUSED LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ARE WEAKENING
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION. DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR IS ON THE LOWER
MARGINS FOR SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS /PRIMARILY IN KS/...BUT THE
MODERATE INSTABILITY/STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THE SEVERE
THREAT SHOULD PEAK BY LATE EVENING...AND THEN DECREASE BY 02-03Z AS
THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO COOL AND THE CAP AGAIN STRENGTHENS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27020.

...THOMPSON

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KBRO [292227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 292227
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
526 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HAIL 10 S SARITA 27.07N 97.80W
03/29/2012 E0.88 INCH KENEDY TX OTHER FEDERAL

DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL ON HIGHWAY 77 REPORTED BY
BORDER PATROL

&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1200004

$$

JGG

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KPQR [292224]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 292224
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
324 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0311 PM NON-TSTM WND GST YACHATS 44.31N 124.10W
03/29/2012 M63 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

&&

$$

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KCRP [292224]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 292224
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
524 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0513 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW ROBSTOWN 27.78N 97.68W
03/29/2012 NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

TELEPHONE POLE SNAPPED AT CR79 AND OLD ROBSTOWN ROAD.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL ALSO REPORTED.

&&

$$

HART

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KMFR [292223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 292223
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
323 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0323 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.73W
03/29/2012 M2.20 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KCRP [292222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 292222
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
521 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0502 PM TSTM WND GST 8 W ROBSTOWN 27.80N 97.79W
03/29/2012 E60 MPH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

50 TO 60 MPH WINDS APPROX 8 MILES WEST OF ROBSTOWN AT HWY
44 AND CR83. POSSIBLE MICROBURT A FEW MILES TO THE SOUTH.
DUST CURL NOTED IN FIELD. TIME IS APPROX.

&&

$$

HART

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KCRP [292214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 292214
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
514 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM HAIL 1 N ROBSTOWN 27.81N 97.66W
03/29/2012 E1.00 INCH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

REPORTED JUST WEST OF FAIRGROUNDS.

&&

$$

HART

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 115

WWUS20 KWNS 292213
SEL5
SPC WW 292213
KSZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-300400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 115
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHWEST MISSOURI
SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 515 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF FALLS CITY
NEBRASKA TO 50 MILES WEST OF LEAVENWORTH KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM INITIATION APPEARS LIKELY BY ABOUT 23Z
ALONG A SURFACE CONVERGENCE ZONE FROM NE KS INTO SE
NEB...IMMEDIATELY IN ADVANCE OF A SURFACE CYCLONE AND UPSTREAM
MIDLEVEL TROUGH. MLCAPE AOA 2500 J/KG...STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES...AND SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS WILL
SUPPORT A RISK FOR VERY LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
ADDITIONALLY...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/MOISTURE ARE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED ALONG
A WNW-ESE ORIENTED WARM FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS NE KS...WHERE
A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
SPREAD EWD INTO NW MO LATER THIS EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.

...THOMPSON

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KDLH [292213]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 292213
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
513 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 PM SNOW 12 N GRAND RAPIDS 47.40N 93.52W
03/29/2012 E0.5 INCH ITASCA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL THROUGH 430 PM. RAIN CURRENTLY FALLING.

&&

$$

MELDE

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KCRP [292212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 292212
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
512 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 PM HAIL 1 W ROBSTOWN 27.80N 97.68W
03/29/2012 E1.75 INCH NUECES TX PUBLIC

REPORTED JUST WEST OF ROBSTOWN.

&&

$$

HART

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KMFR [292211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 292211
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
311 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0309 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 W SILVER LAKE 43.13N 121.20W
03/29/2012 E35 MPH LAKE OR PUBLIC

TREES ARE SWAYING SIGNIFICANTLY

&&

$$

BUNKER

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KCRP [292209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 292209
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
509 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0508 PM HAIL 1 NE ROBSTOWN 27.81N 97.65W
03/29/2012 E0.75 INCH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

FALLING AT FAIRGROUNDS.

&&

$$

HART

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KPQR [292208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 292208
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
308 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW NEWPORT 44.61N 124.07W
03/29/2012 M69 MPH LINCOLN OR C-MAN STATION

&&

$$

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KPQR [292206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 292206
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
305 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0234 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 N FLORENCE 44.17N 124.10W
03/29/2012 M87 MPH LANE OR MESONET

SEA LION CAVES

0155 PM NON-TSTM WND GST NEWPORT 44.63N 124.05W
03/29/2012 E62 MPH LINCOLN OR AWOS

NEWPORT AIRPORT

0210 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FLORENCE 43.99N 124.10W
03/29/2012 M67 MPH LANE OR MESONET

SIUSLAW JETTY

&&

$$

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KCRP [292204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 292204
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
503 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0502 PM HAIL 1 SSE ROBSTOWN 27.79N 97.65W
03/29/2012 E1.00 INCH NUECES TX PUBLIC

REPORTED AT INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 44 AND 77.

&&

$$

HART

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KPQR [292158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 292158
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
258 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0210 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PACIFIC CITY 45.20N 123.96W
03/29/2012 M67 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

&&

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0381

ACUS11 KWNS 292155
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292154
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-IAZ000-292230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0381
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0454 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS/SERN NEB AND FAR NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 292154Z - 292230Z

WW WILL BE NEEDED SOON AND WILL BE COORDINATED WITH AFFECTED WFOS
ACROSS NERN KS...SERN NEB AND FAR NWRN MO.

LATE AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
SERN NEB ALONG THE KS BORDER /INVOF JEFFERSON COUNTY NEB/...WITH A
WARM FRONT EXTENDING ESEWD THROUGH THE VICINITY OF FAR SERN NEB/NERN
KS BORDER TO EAST CENTRAL MO. THE WARM FRONT RESIDES GENERALLY N OF
I-70 IN KS. A WIND SHIFT EXTENDED SSWWD FROM THE SURFACE LOW
THROUGH CENTRAL KS TO NWRN OK. STRONG SURFACE HEATING ACROSS THE
WARM SECTOR HAS RESULTED IN WEAKENING OF THE CAP THAT WAS OBSERVED
ON THE SPECIAL 20Z SOUNDING AT TOP. THUS...THE DECREASE IN SURFACE
BASED INHIBITION HAS RESULTED IN DEEPENING CU ALONG THE KS WIND
SHIFT AND ALONG THE WARM FRONT PER VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.

THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY /MLCAPE 2000-3000 J
PER KG/ AND 30-35 KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR ARE SUPPORTIVE FOR ORGANIZED
STORMS. STORMS THAT FORM AND TRACK EWD ALONG THE WARM FRONT WILL
HAVE A POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE TORNADOES GIVEN EFFECTIVE SRH OF 200-300
M2/S2.

..PETERS.. 03/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...

LAT...LON 40069745 40529712 40599572 40539477 39769459 39689476
39519517 39379566 39389652 39599725 40069745

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0380

ACUS11 KWNS 292151
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292150
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-292245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0380
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0450 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL KS...NWRN OK...FAR NERN TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 292150Z - 292245Z

CONVECTIVE INITIATION APPEARS PROBABLE WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS ALONG
A DRYLINE FROM PORTIONS OF CNTRL KS SWWD INTO NWRN OK...PERHAPS
EXTENDING AS FAR S AS THE NERN TX PANHANDLE. THE AREA IS BEING
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW...WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUSTS.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A GROWING TCU FIELD ALONG A NEARLY
STATIONARY DRYLINE...POSITIONED 30 W HUT TO 10 W GAG PER 2100Z SFC
ANALYSIS. ALTHOUGH RUC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS FIELDS INDICATE MOST OF
THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA MAY STILL BE CAPPED...AMPLE SFC HEATING
/TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER-MID 80S/ ALONG WITH STRONG IMPLIED
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INVOF THE DRYLINE /ESPECIALLY OVER NWRN OK/
SHOULD EVENTUALLY ERODE CINH AND FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ISOLATED-SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. ADDITIONALLY...WEAK LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH NOW ENTERING THE
SRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WILL ALSO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING WILL FAVOR
PRIMARY THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS. LOW/MIDLEVEL FLOW IS
STRONGER OVER PORTIONS OF KS...WEAKENING WITH SWD EXTENT ACROSS NWRN
OK. NONETHELESS...VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT COMBINED WITH MODERATE
POTENTIAL INSTABILITY SHOULD SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND BROKEN LINE
SEGMENTS ACROSS KS...WHILE MULTICELL/OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
APPEAR MORE PROBABLE ACROSS NWRN OK AND THE FAR NERN TX PANHANDLE.

..ROGERS.. 03/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

LAT...LON 35569994 36349820 38129697 38739674 39199683 39209729
38459805 37439899 36340033 35640040 35569994

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KPQR [292149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 292149
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
249 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0221 PM NON-TSTM WND GST LINCOLN CITY 44.97N 124.01W
03/29/2012 M68 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

&&

$$

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KPQR [292147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 292147
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
247 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0222 PM NON-TSTM WND GST NEWPORT 44.63N 124.05W
03/29/2012 M72 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

AT YAQUINA BAY BRIDGE

&&

$$

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KPQR [292140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 292140
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
239 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE FOULWEATHER 44.78N 124.07W
03/29/2012 M69 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

0142 PM NON-TSTM WND GST GARIBALDI 45.56N 123.91W
03/29/2012 M59 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

&&

$$

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KCRP [292135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 292135
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
435 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0423 PM HAIL 4 NW CORPUS CHRISTI 27.75N 97.34W
03/29/2012 E1.00 INCH GMZ230 TX PUBLIC

REPORTED FROM STRIPES CONVENIENCE STORE.

&&

$$

HART

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KCRP [292134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 292134
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
434 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0433 PM HAIL CORPUS CHRISTI 27.71N 97.29W
03/29/2012 M0.75 INCH NUECES TX NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL APPROACHING PENNY AND DIME SIZE FALLING AT NWS
OFFICE.

&&

$$

HART

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KMFR [292132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 292132
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
232 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0231 PM HEAVY RAIN SSE GOLD BEACH 42.41N 124.42W
03/29/2012 M1.83 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR ACCUMULATION...WIND GUSTING TO 59MPH OUT OF
SOUTHEAST WITH MANY 50MPH GUSTS.

&&

$$

BUNKER

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KCRP [292105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 292105
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
404 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 PM HAIL 2 NW CORPUS CHRISTI 27.79N 97.52W
03/29/2012 E0.75 INCH NUECES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

HART

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KOAX [292030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 292030
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
330 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 PM HAIL 9 S HUMBOLDT 40.04N 95.94W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH RICHARDSON NE PUBLIC

NICEKL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL. ENOUGH HAIL TO MAKE THE
GROUND WHITE.

&&

$$

JB

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KBMX [292024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 292024
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
324 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0314 PM HAIL 4 ESE CARBON HILL 33.88N 87.46W
03/29/2012 E0.75 INCH WALKER AL BROADCAST MEDIA

PENNY SIZE HAIL NEAR JUNCTION OF US HWY 78 AND AL HWY
118.

&&

$$

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KMRX [292018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 292018
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
418 PM EDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0417 PM HAIL MARYVILLE 35.75N 83.97W
03/29/2012 E1.00 INCH BLOUNT TN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JWINTON

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KSEW [292001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 292001
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
101 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1242 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S PE ELL 46.56N 123.30W
03/29/2012 M2.03 INCH LEWIS WA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT. STILL RAINING.

&&

$$

GRUB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291948
SWODY1
SPC AC 291946

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0246 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MO
VALLEY...SRN PLAINS AND CNTRL PLAINS...

THE FIRST CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO MOVE THE SLIGHT RISK IN NW OK
A BIT FURTHER TO THE EAST. THE GAGE OBSERVATION SHOWS A SW WIND WITH
DRYING TAKING PLACE. THE SECOND CHANGE IS TO MOVE THE THUNDER LINE
IN THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS FURTHER TO THE EAST. OTHERWISE...THE
OUTLOOK LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK.

..BROYLES.. 03/29/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1116 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2012/

...CENTRAL PLAINS/LOWER MO VALLEY...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN ELONGATED EWD MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE NRN HIGH PLAINS SSWWD INTO AZ. WITHIN THE
TROUGH...A STRONGER VORTICITY MAX OVER SERN WY IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE EWD INTO CENTRAL NEB BY THIS EVENING...WITH AN ASSOCIATED
BAND OF STRONGER MID/UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS TRANSLATING ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW OVER N CENTRAL KS IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO NERN KS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND PROGRESS
ACROSS NRN MO TOWARD SERN IA TONIGHT. A WARM FRONT CURRENTLY
EXTENDS ESEWD FROM THE LOW ACROSS SRN MO INTO THE TN VALLEY...WHILE
A DRY LINE TRAILS SWD INTO W TX. EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDS NORTH OF THE
WARM FRONT OVER NRN PARTS OF KS AND MO /AND CONVECTION OVER NRN MO/
MAY LIMIT THE NWD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH RECENT SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST CLOUDS MAY
DIMINISH MORE QUICKLY OVER N CENTRAL/NERN KS AND ALLOW THE FRONT TO
LIFT TO NEAR THE NEB BORDER THIS AFTERNOON.

12Z AREA SOUNDINGS INDICATE STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED
WITH AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER REMAINING OVER THE AREA. STRONG
DIURNAL HEATING SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT WILL ENHANCE THE THERMAL
CONTRAST ACROSS THE BOUNDARY. SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE LOW-MID 60S
ARE EXPECTED OVER ERN KS AND NWRN MO THIS AFTERNOON. CONTINUED
DESTABILIZATION WILL RESULT IN MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-3000 J/KG IN
THE WARM SECTOR...WITH ELEVATED CAPE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING WITH NWD
EXTENT NORTH OF WARM FRONT. ELEVATED STORMS MAY PERSIST ACROSS
PARTS OF NRN MO THIS AFTERNOON IN ASSOCIATION WITH LOW LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION...WITH STRONGER CELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL. HOWEVER...THE EML WILL LIKELY INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT OF
SURFACE-BASED STORMS NEAR THE SURFACE LOW AND IN THE WARM SECTOR
UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON WHEN CONTINUED HEATING AND INCREASING
LARGE SCALE ASCENT REDUCE THE STRENGTH OF THE CAP. INITIAL STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER PARTS OF SERN NEB/SWRN IA/NERN KS AND NWRN
MO LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE EVENING. STRONG
CAPE AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR /30-40 KT IN THE LOWEST 6 KM/
WILL PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE
STRUCTURES...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...WITH POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER
STORMS TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EWD ACROSS
PARTS OF IA AND NRN MO TONIGHT WITH THE SEVERE POTENTIAL SLOWLY
DIMINISHING AFTER 03-06Z.

...SRN KS INTO WRN OK...
SCATTERED STORMS MAY GRADUALLY DEVELOP SWWD ALONG THE DRY LINE
ACROSS S CENTRAL KS INTO WRN OK BY THIS EVENING AS WEAK LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE COUPLED WITH STRONG HEATING LOCALLY WEAKENS THE CAP.
ALTHOUGH WINDS ALOFT/VERTICAL SHEAR WEAKEN WITH SWD EXTENT AND
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL BE MORE ISOLATED...STRONGER CELLS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.

...SC...
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD
FRONT MOVING SWD FROM NC TOWARD SC. STRONG HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO A RELATIVELY DEEP MIXED LAYER WITH DCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 1000
J/KG. THE THERMODYNAMIC STRUCTURE SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR DOWNDRAFTS
TO BE ENHANCED WITH A THREAT FOR A FEW DOWNBURSTS...ALONG WITH
MARGINAL HAIL...THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.

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KTOP [291926]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 291926
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
225 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0934 PM HAIL 4 SE ADMIRE 38.60N 96.05W
03/28/2012 E0.75 INCH LYON KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

GARGAN

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KEAX [291921]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 291921
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
221 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 PM HAIL 6 WNW GALLATIN 39.94N 94.07W
03/29/2012 E1.50 INCH DAVIESS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL FELL AT LAKE VIKING

&&

$$

ABAILEY

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KTOP [291921]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 291921
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
221 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1136 PM HAIL SW BERN 39.96N 95.97W
03/28/2012 M1.00 INCH NEMAHA KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

GARGAN

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0379

ACUS11 KWNS 291920
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291919
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-292115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0379
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0219 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN TENNESSEE/WRN NORTH CAROLINA/NE
GEORGIA AND WRN/CNTRL SOUTH CAROLINA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 291919Z - 292115Z

DEEPENING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...AS SURFACE HEATING CONTRIBUTES TO A DESTABILIZING BOUNDARY
LAYER. CAPE NOW AROUND 500-1000 J/KG SHOULD INCREASE FURTHER
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO FORM ON
THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...AND DEVELOPMENT ON
THE EASTERN SLOPES...ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS ...APPEARS
INCREASINGLY LIKELY THROUGH 21-22Z. AIDED BY A MODESTLY SHEARED
20-30 KT WEST NORTHWESTERLY DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW...STORMS WILL TEND
TO ADVECT OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA PIEDMONT...WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS BECOMING
MORE STRONGLY HEATED AND DEEPLY MIXED. STRONGEST STORMS WILL BECOME
FOCUSED WITHIN A NARROW CORRIDOR OF HIGHER PRECIPITABLE WATER /UP TO
AROUND 1 INCH/...WHERE PRECIPITATION LOADING AND SUB-CLOUD
EVAPORATIVE COOLING WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST LOCALIZED
STRONG...AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING...WIND GUSTS.

..KERR.. 03/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...

LAT...LON 36368529 35748282 35378174 34298066 33888134 33788234
34618377 35568471 36368529

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KMFR [291900]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 291900
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1200 PM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1159 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW OBRIEN 42.05N 123.71W
03/29/2012 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HOUR ACCUMULATION

&&

$$

BUNKER

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KRLX [291824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 291824
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
224 PM EDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM HAIL CENTRALIA 38.62N 80.57W
03/28/2012 E0.88 INCH BRAXTON WV PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200230

$$

NW

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KPQR [291812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 291812
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1112 AM PDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WARRENTON 46.17N 123.92W
03/28/2012 M62.00 MPH CLATSOP OR MESONET

SOUTH WIND SUSTAINED 45 TO 50 MPH. GUST 62 MPH.

1133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST LINCOLN CITY 44.97N 124.01W
03/28/2012 M63.00 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

1154 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE DISAPPOINTMENT 46.27N 124.08W
03/28/2012 M60.00 MPH PACIFIC WA MESONET

SOUTH WIND SUSTAINED 45 TO 50 MPH. GUSTS 60 MPH.

1154 PM NON-TSTM WND GST LINCOLN CITY 44.97N 124.01W
03/28/2012 M63.00 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

SOUTH WIND SUSTAINED 30 TO 35 MPH. GUST 63 MPH.

1154 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE FOULWEATHER 44.78N 124.07W
03/28/2012 M60.00 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

SOUTH WIND SUSTAINED 30 MPH. GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

1215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 WSW OYSTERVILLE 46.54N 124.06W
03/29/2012 M64.00 MPH PACIFIC WA TRAINED SPOTTER

1254 AM TSTM WND GST NEWPORT 44.63N 124.05W
03/29/2012 E50.00 MPH LINCOLN OR AWOS

SUSTAINED SOUTH WIND 30 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

0156 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CANNON BEACH 45.89N 123.96W
03/29/2012 M58.00 MPH CLATSOP OR MESONET

SUSTAINED SOUTH WIND 30 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS 58 MPH.

0156 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CANNON BEACH 45.89N 123.96W
03/29/2012 M58.00 MPH CLATSOP OR MESONET

SUSTAINED 25 TO 30 MPH. GUSTS TO 58 MPH.

0233 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N ASTORIA 46.22N 123.82W
03/29/2012 M62.00 MPH PZZ210 WA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

ON MEGLER BRIDGE. SUSTAINED 40 TO 50 MPH. GUSTS 62 MPH.

0255 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ASTORIA 46.19N 123.82W
03/29/2012 M52.00 MPH CLATSOP OR ASOS

SOUTH WIND SUSTAINED 20 TO 30 MPH. GUST TO 52 MPH.

0324 AM NON-TSTM WND GST GARIBALDI 45.56N 123.91W
03/29/2012 E70.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

SOUTH WIND SUSTAINED 50 TO 55 MPH. GUST 70 MPH.

0440 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PACIFIC CITY 45.20N 123.96W
03/29/2012 M63.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

SOUTH WIND SUSTAINED 30 TO 40 MPH. GUSTS 63 MPH.

0705 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE FOULWEATHER 44.78N 124.07W
03/29/2012 M64.00 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

SOUTH WIND SUSTAINED 30 TO 40 MPH. GUSTS TO 64 MPH.

0820 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PACIFIC CITY 45.20N 123.96W
03/29/2012 M69.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

&&

$$

CROCKEY

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KEAX [291751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 291751
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1251 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM HAIL GALLATIN 39.91N 93.96W
03/29/2012 E1.00 INCH DAVIESS MO CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

HMORGAN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 291732
SWODY2
SPC AC 291730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OH
VALLEY...

...OH VALLEY AND MID-MS VALLEY...
A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ESEWD ACROSS THE OH
VALLEY ON FRIDAY AS A SFC LOW GRADUALLY DEEPENS...MOVING EWD ACROSS
IL...IND AND OH DURING DAY. ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE TRACK OF THE
LOW...SFC DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S F
WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPING AROUND MIDDAY. MODEL FORECASTS
INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE SFC LOW IN THE
VICINITY OF CHICAGO FRIDAY MORNING WITH THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING
ESEWD ACROSS IND AND OH DURING THE AFTERNOON.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 21Z FRIDAY AT INDIANAPOLIS AND CINCINNATI SHOW
MLCAPE VALUES FROM 1000 TO 1500 J/KG WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES NEAR 7.0 C/KM. IN ADDITION...THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A
MID-LEVEL JET SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE OH VALLEY HELPING TO ENHANCE
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING 0-6 KM SHEAR IN THE
30 TO 40 KT RANGE. THE SHEAR AND THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT SHOULD
SUPPORT A SEVERE THREAT AS STORMS INCREASE IN COVERAGE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THE STORMS MAY DEVELOP INTO A LINE AS A COLD FRONT
ADVANCES ESEWD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ALONG WITH VEERED LOW-LEVEL
FLOW AND 0-3 KM LAPSE RATES OF 8.5 TO 9.0 C/KM SHOULD BE FAVORABLE
FOR ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE. A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL SHOULD ALSO EXIST
WITH THE GREATEST THREAT JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE SFC LOW TRACK
WHERE THE GREATEST COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR IS FORECAST.

FURTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE MID MS VALLEY...MODERATE INSTABILITY
WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS A BROAD CORRIDOR WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN VERY WEAK KEEPING ANY SEVERE
THREAT MARGINAL.

...SRN PLAINS...
A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY SEWD INTO THE
SRN PLAINS FRIDAY. AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...A BROAD WARM
SECTOR SHOULD EXIST WITH MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IN PLACE BY
AFTERNOON. AT THE SFC...A LOW IS FORECAST ACROSS WEST TX WITH A
DRYLINE EXTENDING SWD FROM THE LOW AND A PRONOUNCED MOIST AXIS
EXTENDING NWWD ACROSS ECNTRL TX INTO SW OK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AS THE CAPPING INVERSION WEAKENS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE WRN
EDGE OF THE MOIST AXIS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES FROM 1000 TO 2000
J/KG...0-6 KM SHEAR IN THE 25 TO 35 KT RANGE ALONG WITH STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A SEVERE THREAT
LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHOULD REMAIN
WEAK ACROSS THE REGION WITH MUCH UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING WHERE THE
GREATEST COVERAGE OF CONVECTION WILL BE. WILL LEAVE A SEE TEXT IN
THE SRN PLAINS ATTM.

..BROYLES.. 03/29/2012

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KTOP [291720]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 291720
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1219 PM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 PM HAIL 5 W MAYETTA 39.34N 95.82W
03/28/2012 E1.00 INCH JACKSON KS COCORAHS

DELAYED REPORT

&&

$$

JL

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0378

ACUS11 KWNS 291653
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291653
MOZ000-291830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0378
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT THU MAR 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF N CNTRL MISSOURI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 291653Z - 291830Z

AN INCREASE IN SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THE NEAR TERM IS NOT
ANTICIPATED...BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

A MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY CENTER IS READILY EVIDENT IN
SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHIFTING EAST OF KIRKSVILLE MO TOWARD
THE QUINCY IL AREA. IN ITS WAKE...MID-LEVEL INHIBITION REMAINS WEAK
ENOUGH ALONG A LINGERING LOW-LEVEL WARM FRONTAL ZONE TO ALLOW
CONTINUING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NEAR AND NORTHWEST OF CHILLICOTHE
MO. BENEATH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...MOIST WESTERLY STORM
INFLOW...ABOVE A RESIDUAL NEAR SURFACE STABLE LAYER...APPEARS TO BE
CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATELY LARGE CAPE OF 1000-2000 J/KG. THIS IS
SUPPORTING OCCASIONALLY VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS...WITH AT LEAST MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL...PERHAPS ENHANCED BY MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR DUE
PRIMARILY TO VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT BENEATH 20-30 KT WEST
NORTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS COULD CONTINUE
ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH A GRADUAL EAST SOUTHEASTWARD
PROGRESSION ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. HOWEVER...WITH
TIME...LATEST RUC GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTIVE THAT INCREASING INHIBITION
WITH CONTINUED MID-LEVEL WARMING...AND WEAKENING LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT...COULD RESULT IN DIMINISHING TRENDS TO CONVECTION BY
20-21Z...IF NOT BEFORE.

..KERR.. 03/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...

LAT...LON 40189392 40139290 39789205 39039216 39009300 39489431
39909434 40189392

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