KICT [310059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 310059
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
759 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 S MAIZE 37.73N 97.46W
08/30/2008 M1.63 INCH SEDGWICK KS BROADCAST MEDIA

REPORT RELAYED VIA KSN CHANNEL 3.

&&

$$

CWH

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KICT [310056]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 310056
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
756 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 PM TSTM WND GST SSE LINDSBORG 38.57N 97.67W
08/30/2008 E60 MPH MCPHERSON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

CWH

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 310050
SWODY1
SPC AC 310048

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

VALID 310100Z - 311200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE FL KEYS AND ADJACENT
S FL...

...S FL AND THE KEYS...
EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV HAS REACHED THE NRN CUBA COAST ATTM...WITH
LATEST NHC FORECASTS SHOWING GUSTAV CONTINUING ON A NWWD TRACK INTO
THE OPEN GULF OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

WHILE STRONGEST PORTION OF THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OFF THE U.S. COAST
THROUGH THE PERIOD...ENHANCED WIND FIELD WITHIN THE NERN QUADRANT OF
THE STORM CONTINUES TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE KEYS AND ADJACENT S
FL. LATEST VWP FROM KEY WEST -- AND TO A LESSER DEGREE MIAMI --
REVEAL ENHANCED/VEERING FLOW WITH HEIGHT...AND FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR FOR ROTATION. THUS -- AS CELLULAR CONVECTION WITHIN THE OUTER
BANDS CONTINUES SHIFTING NWWD ACROSS THE KEYS AND SRN FL...THREAT
FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

...MT...
MARGINAL INSTABILITY -- GENERALLY LESS THAN 500 J/KG MIXED-LAYER
CAPE -- IS INDICATED ACROSS MT ATTM...INVOF SURFACE COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS WRN MT. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN AND CENTRAL MT...THOUGH THE OVERALL LACK OF
FAVORABLE INSTABILITY HAS LIMITED STORM INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON.

LIMITED SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST FOR A FEW HOURS HOWEVER...AS LACK
OF INSTABILITY IS SOMEWHAT COMPENSATED FOR BY FAVORABLY-STRONG FLOW
ALOFT ACROSS THIS AREA. THUS...A FEW CELLS MAY ORGANIZE BRIEFLY
THIS EVENING...POSSIBLY PRODUCING LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS
AND/OR MARGINAL HAIL.

...AZ...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST ACROSS AZ --
PARTICULARLY OVER PORTIONS OF THE NWRN QUARTER OF THE STATE.
HERE...MIXED-LAYER CAPE UP TO 1000 J/KG MAY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A
FEW STRONGER CELLS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND/OR
MARGINAL HAIL THROUGH THIS EVENING.

...NC...
A FEW STRONGER STORM CLUSTERS PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
ERN NC...NEAR WEAK UPPER CIRCULATION WITHIN MODERATELY-UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT. WHILE STORMS MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING GIVEN
PRESENCE OF THE UPPER FEATURE...ANY LINGERING SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
SLOWLY DIMINISH IN CONJUNCTION WITH DIURNALLY-STABILIZING AIRMASS.

..GOSS.. 08/31/2008

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KRAH [310049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 310049
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
849 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NW CARY 35.82N 78.84W
08/30/2008 WAKE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED MORRISVILLE CARPENTER ROAD TO BE
FLOODED BETWEEN DAVIS DRIVE AND TOWN HALL DRIVE. THE FIRE
DEPARTMENT HAS CLOSED THIS PORTIONS OF MORRISVILLE
CARPENTER ROAD.

&&

$$

BSD

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KICT [310045]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 310045
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
745 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0743 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 W WEST WICHITA 37.69N 97.48W
08/30/2008 M1.49 INCH SEDGWICK KS TRAINED SPOTTER

THE RAIN FELL IN A ONE HOUR PERIOD.

0743 PM HEAVY RAIN WICHITA MID CONTINENT A 37.66N 97.44W
08/30/2008 M0.38 INCH SEDGWICK KS OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE RAIN FELL IN THIRTY MINUTES.

&&

$$

CWH

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KCAE [310027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 310027
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
826 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 N LINCOLNTON 33.84N 82.49W
08/30/2008 LINCOLN GA UTILITY COMPANY

REAL ELECTRIC REPORTED TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES FROM
THUNDERSTORMS AT INTERSECTION OF GEORGIA HWY 79 AND
PRATER ROAD 3 MILES NORTH OF LINCOLNTON AT 730 PM.

&&

$$

TTH

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KICT [310021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 310021
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
721 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND GST 1 W WEST WICHITA 37.69N 97.48W
08/30/2008 E60.00 MPH SEDGWICK KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

CWH

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KKEY [310021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 310021
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
821 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 PM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
08/30/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 KNOTS...OR 46 MILES PER
HOUR...WAS REPORTED BY THE PULASKI SHOAL C-MAN STATION.
ALSO THE PEAK WIND GUST WAS 45 KNOTS...OR 51 MILES PER
HOUR. THE WIND DIRECTION WAS FROM THE EAST NORTH EAST.

&&

$$

WHOVORKA

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KDDC [310016]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 310016
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
716 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM HAIL 2 SW INGALLS 37.81N 100.48W
08/29/2008 M0.75 INCH GRAY KS PUBLIC

1000 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SW INGALLS 37.81N 100.48W
08/29/2008 E70 MPH GRAY KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

06

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2189

ACUS11 KWNS 310002
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310002
FLZ000-310200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2189
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...FL KEYS...EXTREME S FL.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 874...

VALID 310002Z - 310200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 874 CONTINUES.

INCREASE NOTED IN ORGANIZATION AND COVERAGE OF DISCRETE CELLS DURING
LAST 1-2 HOURS OVER CUBA AND FL STRAITS...BASED ON REFLECTIVITY
ANIMATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO
CROSS LOWER-MIDDLE KEYS THROUGH 01Z...FOLLOWED BY BKN BAND EVIDENT
FARTHER SE THAT SHOULD AFFECT KEYS IN 01Z-03Z TIME FRAME.
KINEMATIC PROFILES ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUCH STORMS TO ROTATE
PERSISTENTLY AND PRODUCE A FEW TORNADOES AS THEY CROSS KEYS...GIVEN
OBSERVED VWP HODOGRAPHS AT EYW AND MODIFICATION OF RELATIVELY WEAK
MFL HODOGRAPHS FOR RADAR-INDICATED WINDS ALOFT FARTHER SW OVER
MID/UPPER KEYS. FOR ANOTHER SEVERAL HOURS...0-1 KM SRH SHOULD
CONTINUE TO RANGE FROM 350-500 K/KG AROUND EYW AND MARQUESAS
KEYS...TO 150-200 J/KG BETWEEN HST AND KEY LARGO NWWD ACROSS MOST OF
MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY. WITHOUT APPRECIABLE EXPANSION OF WIND FIELD
DURING NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WHICH IS NOT FCST BY NHC...LOW LEVEL
SHEAR PROFILES IN OUTER PERIPHERY OF CIRCULATION ENVELOPE SHOULD
PEAK WITHIN 3-4 HOURS AS TWO THINGS OCCUR...
1. NE-SW AXIS NORMAL TO STORM MOTION PASSES EYW...EXPOSING GREATEST
LENGTH OF WW AREA TO FAVORABLE WIND FIELDS IN NERN SEMICIRCLE...AND
2. CORE WINDS INTENSIFY AFTER MOVING OFF NWRN CUBA...AS FCST BY NHC.

TORNADO THREAT DURING THAT TIME FRAME WILL BE DICTATED LARGELY BY
FORTUITOUS JUXTAPOSITION OF STORM MODE AND LAND CROSSING...AMIDST
VERY STG SHEAR...MRGLLY FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL BUOYANCY AND NEARLY
MOIST-ADIABATIC DEEP-LAYER LAPSE RATES. REF NHC ADVISORIES UNDER
WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC FOR LATEST TROPICAL WATCHES/WARNINGS AND
TRACK/INTENSITY FCST.

..EDWARDS.. 08/31/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...

24648295 24588240 24628191 24788148 24838105 24958098
25068104 25158112 25338117 25468117 25678128 25798139
25818087 25328024 25048045 24808075 24678110 24638135
24518173 24528192 24538250 24588284

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KGID [310002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 310002
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
701 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0655 PM TSTM WND GST 17 S OSBORNE 39.19N 98.70W
08/30/2008 E60 MPH OSBORNE KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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KSGX [302358]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 302358
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
458 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM FLASH FLOOD FOREST FALLS 34.09N 116.92W
08/30/2008 SAN BERNARDINO CA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY FIRE REPORTS 7 PEOPLE WERE TRAPPED
IN THE MIDDLE OF MILL CREEK. THEY WERE ON HIGH GROUND
SURROUNDED BY 2 TO 3 FEET OF FLOWING WATER AND DEBRIS,
INCLUDING BOULDERS AND LOGS. SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY
OFFICIALS WERE ON SITE, AND ADVISED THE GROUP TO REMAIN
WHERE THEY WERE UNTIL THE WATER RECEDED TO ITS NORMAL
DEPTH OF 6 TO 8 INCHES.

&&

$$

PURPURA

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KRAH [302343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 302343
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
743 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 PM HAIL CARY 35.78N 78.80W
08/30/2008 E1.00 INCH WAKE NC BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN CARY.

&&

$$

BSD

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KKEY [302324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...correction

NWUS52 KKEY 302324 AAA
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
719 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...CORRECTION FOR C-MAN LOCATION

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0612 PM TROPICAL STORM 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.88W
08/30/2008 GMZ075 FL C-MAN STATION

A GUST OF 48 KNOTS...OR 55 MILES PER HOURS...WAS REPORTED
BY THE SAND KEY C-MAN STATION. THE WIND DIRECTION WAS
FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST.

0614 PM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
08/30/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 34 KNOTS...OR 39 MILES PER HOUR...WAS
REPORTED BY THE PULASKI SHOAL C-MAN STATION. THE WIND
DIRECTION WAS FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST.

&&

$$

WHOVORKA

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KKEY [302320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 302320
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
719 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0612 PM TROPICAL STORM 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.88W
08/30/2008 GMZ075 FL C-MAN STATION

A GUST OF 48 KNOTS...OR 55 MILES PER HOURS...WAS REPORTED
BY THE SAND KEY C-MAN STATION. THE WIND DIRECTION WAS
FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST.

0614 PM TROPICAL STORM 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
08/30/2008 GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 34 KNOTS...OR 39 MILES PER HOUR...WAS
REPORTED BY THE DRY TORTUGAS C-MAN STATION. THE WIND
DIRECTION WAS FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST.

&&

$$

WHOVORKA

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KSGX [302300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 302300
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
400 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE IDYLLWILD-PINE COV 33.77N 116.70W
08/30/2008 RIVERSIDE CA AMATEUR RADIO

FLASH FLOOD DEBRIS FLOW IN THE FERN VALLEY AREA. SIX TO
EIGHT INCHES OF DEBRIS COVERED THE ROADS IN THE FERN
VALLEY AREA NORTHEAST OF IDYLLWILD.

&&

$$

PURPURA

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KSGX [302250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 302250
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
349 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM FLASH FLOOD LAKE HEMET 33.66N 116.71W
08/30/2008 RIVERSIDE CA UTILITY COMPANY

FLASH FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN THE CAMPGROUND AT LAKE
HEMET BY A CAMPGROUND EMPLOYEE. SMALL HAIL AND STRONG
WINDS WERE ALSO REPORTED. HIGHWAY 74 WAS REPORTED TO BE
FLOODED IN THE LAKE HEMET AREA.

0320 PM FLASH FLOOD LAKE HEMET 33.66N 116.71W
08/30/2008 RIVERSIDE CA UTILITY COMPANY

&&

$$

PURPURA

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KVEF [302153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 302153
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
253 PM PDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1231 PM HAIL 16 SSE PEACH SPRINGS 35.30N 113.37W
08/30/2008 E0.50 INCH MOHAVE AZ CO-OP OBSERVER

A COOP OBSERVER REPORTED STEADY RAIN AND MARBLE SIZE HAIL
AT DIAMOND M RANCH AT 1230 PM.

0225 PM HAIL 4 NNE KINGMAN 35.26N 114.02W
08/30/2008 E0.88 INCH MOHAVE AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED AT THE INTERSECTION OF E
SNAVELY AVE AND N BENTON ST IN KINGMAN.

&&

$$

KLABELLE

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KDDC [302148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 302148
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
448 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0948 PM HAIL 5 NNE MONTEZUMA 37.66N 100.41W
08/29/2008 E0.88 INCH GRAY KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

06

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KDDC [302147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 302147
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
447 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0943 PM HAIL 3 NNE MONTEZUMA 37.64N 100.41W
08/29/2008 E0.75 INCH GRAY KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

06

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KFFC [302114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 302114
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
514 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 PM HAIL 4 N EASTMAN 32.25N 83.18W
08/30/2008 E0.75 INCH DODGE GA PUBLIC

&&

$$

MSR

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 874

WWUS20 KWNS 302052
SEL4
SPC WW 302052
FLZ000-CWZ000-310500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 874
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EXTREME SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 450 PM
UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 25 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
MARATHON FLORIDA TO 25 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WILL CONTINUE
TO OVERSPREAD THE KEYS AND SW FL THROUGH TONIGHT. THE EYW VWP HAS
SHOWN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL SHEAR THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...WHILE CELLULAR CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP IN
SEVERAL BANDS APPROACHING THE KEYS AND SW FL. THE THREAT FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADOES/ WATERSPOUTS WILL LIKEWISE INCREASE
THROUGH THE EVENING INTO TONIGHT AS GUSTAV MAKES ITS CLOSEST
APPROACH THE TO FL KEYS LATE TONIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 11040.

...THOMPSON

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KDDC [302050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 302050
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
349 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0947 PM HAIL 10 WNW MEADE 37.34N 100.51W
08/29/2008 E0.75 INCH MEADE KS PUBLIC

HAIL STRIPPED THE LEAVES FROM MATURE CORN PLANTS.

&&

$$

01

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KTSA [302046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 302046
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
345 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0312 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N SILOAM SPRINGS 36.22N 94.54W
08/30/2008 BENTON AR EMERGENCY MNGR

POWER LINE DOWN AND SOME TREE DAMAGE

&&

$$

JDS

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KKEY [302037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 302037
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
437 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0303 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 6 SSW MARATHON 24.63N 81.11W
08/30/2008 M41.00 MPH GMZ053 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 36 KTS...OR 41 MPH...WAS MEASURED BY THE
C-MAN STATION ON SOMBRERO KEY LIGHT AT 303 PM EDT. THIS
GUST WAS FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH
A PASSING RAIN BAND FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV.

0312 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.88W
08/30/2008 M53.00 MPH GMZ075 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 46 KTS...OR 53 MPH...WAS MEASURED BY THE
C-MAN STATION ON SAND KEY LIGHT AT 312 PM EDT. THIS GUST
WAS FROM THE EAST AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING RAIN
BAND FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV.

0336 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 8 SSE KEY LARGO 25.01N 80.38W
08/30/2008 M44.00 MPH GMZ052 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 38 KTS...OR 44 MPH...WAS MEASURED BY THE
C-MAN STATION ON MOLASSES REEF LIGHT AT 336 PM EDT. THIS
GUST WAS FROM THE EAST AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING
RAIN BAND FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV.

0351 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 NW LONG KEY 24.84N 80.86W
08/30/2008 M48.00 MPH GMZ031 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 42 KTS...OR 48 MPH...WAS MEASURED BY THE
C-MAN STATION ON LONG KEY LIGHT AT 351 PM EDT. THIS GUST
WAS FROM THE EAST AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING RAIN
BAND FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV.

&&

$$

ROSS

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KFGZ [301957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 301957
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1255 PM MST SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM HAIL TUSAYAN 35.98N 112.12W
08/30/2008 E0.88 INCH COCONINO AZ OTHER FEDERAL

HAIL SLIGHTLY LARGER THAN NICKLES REPORTED AT GRAND
CANYON AIRPORT.

&&

$$

BAK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 301945
SWODY1
SPC AC 301942

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

VALID 302000Z - 311200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE FL KEYS...

...FL KEYS THROUGH TONIGHT...

18Z EYW SOUNDING AND VAD TRENDS SHOW LOW-LEVEL SHEAR STEADILY
INCREASING IN THE RIGHT FORWARD QUADRANT OF HURRICANE GUSTAV. NRN
MOST CONVECTIVE SPIRAL BAND IS ALREADY IMPACTING THE KEYS AND FL
STRAITS WITH RADAR VELOCITY DATA INDICATING SOME TRANSIENT SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES. PER LATEST NHC GUIDANCE...GUSTAV WILL CONTINUE NWWD
TONIGHT WITH THE KEYS REMAINING IN FAVORABLE RIGHT SEMICIRCLE OF
SYSTEM. THUS...THE SUPERCELL/TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
WITH NERN/ERN MOST SPIRAL BAND. FOR ADDITIONAL NEAR TERM
GUIDANCE...SEE MCD 2188.

...MT/ND THROUGH TONIGHT...

SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM NERN MT SWWD INTO SWRN ID WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY SHIFT SEWD THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF
AMPLIFYING MIDLEVEL TROUGH OVER WRN CANADA INTO THE PACIFIC NW.
CONSIDERABLE HEATING AND SOME MOISTENING IS OCCURRING IN BOUNDARY
LAYER INVOF LEE TROUGH OVER THE WRN DAKOTAS. HOWEVER...A RATHER
WARM EML /PER 12Z SOUNDINGS/ IS LIMITING CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY A
NOTABLE CAP STILL REMAINING. AS SUCH...THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO
WHETHER STORM INITIATION WILL OCCUR OVER THE WRN DAKOTAS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

IT APPEARS THAT THE BETTER POTENTIAL FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT IS ALONG
COLD FRONT OR IN IMMEDIATE POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS OVER MT...IN CLOSER
PROXIMITY TO HEIGHT FALLS/DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
EVOLVING UPPER TROUGH. AIR MASS IS RELATIVELY DRY WITH PW VALUES OF
GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.5-0.7 INCH. BUT...THE PRESENCE OF STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND THE NEWD ADVECTION OF MIDLEVEL MOISTURE PLUME MAY YIELD
SUFFICIENT CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT SCATTERED TSTM
DEVELOPMENT LATER TONIGHT. AS UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EWD...VERTICAL
SHEAR WILL STRENGTHEN WITH TIME ALONG FRONTAL ZONE WITH ENVIRONMENT
BECOMING FAVORABLE FOR A FEW ORGANIZED STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL.

...LOWER CO VALLEY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

SUBSEQUENT NOCTURNAL TSTM EVENTS HAVE OVERTURNED AIR MASS
SUFFICIENTLY SUCH THAT CURRENT OBJECTIVE FIELDS AND 12Z SOUNDINGS
INDICATE A MORE STABLE AIR MASS THAN THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF DAYS.
NONETHELESS...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S COMBINED WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO LOWER/MID 90S ARE RESULTING IN POCKETS OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY. WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR HAS ALSO DECREASED
SLIGHTLY TODAY...ENVIRONMENT WILL STILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SOME
ORGANIZATION OF STORM CLUSTERS WITH THE THREAT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND
PERHAPS SOME HAIL.

...CNTRL HIGH PLAINS INTO LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THIS EVENING...

VISIBLE SATELLITE AND LIGHTNING DATA INDICATE TSTMS INCREASING IN
COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE FROM S-CNTRL
KS INTO ERN OK/NERN AR. AMBIENT AIR MASS IS HOT AND MOIST WITH
MLCAPES OF 2000-2500 J/KG. VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS QUITE WEAK OWING
TO PROXIMITY OF UPPER HIGH. STILL...LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
SOME HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE PULSE-TYPE STORMS
THAT DEVELOP.

...SE ATLANTIC COAST INTO THIS EVENING...

A WEAK NE-SW ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES HAVE
BEEN THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN
A MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPES OF 1500-2500 J/KG. HERE
TOO...VERTICAL SHEAR IS WEAK...THOUGH STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY MORE ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS.

..MEAD.. 08/30/2008

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KFGZ [301942]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 301942
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1242 PM MST SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1218 PM HAIL 8 SE CROSS MOUNTAIN 35.09N 113.12W
08/30/2008 E1.00 INCH YAVAPAI AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BAK

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KKEY [301910]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 301910
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
309 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM TROPICAL STORM 1 WSW KEY WEST 24.56N 81.79W
08/30/2008 LOWER KEYS IN MONR FL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

A WIND GUST OF 47 KNOTS...OR 54 MPH...WAS RECORDED DURING
A STRONG SQUALL ATOP THE UPPER-AIR TOWER AT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FACILITY IN KEY WEST...AT 305 PM EDT.

&&

$$

KASPER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2188

ACUS11 KWNS 301906
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301906
FLZ000-302030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2188
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...MID/LWR FL KEYS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 301906Z - 302030Z

RAINBANDS ASSOCD WITH HRCN GUSTAV WILL ROTATE NWD THROUGH THE FL
STRAITS AND INTO THE MID/LWR FL KEYS THROUGH TONIGHT. ISOLD
TORNADOES/WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY AND A WW MAY BE REQUIRED BY
LATE AFTN.

KEY WEST VWP HAS SHOWN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE LLVL WIND PROFILES
SINCE THIS MORNING AS GUSTAV CONTINUES A NWWD TREK AND DEEPENS.
PROMINENT RAINBAND STRADDLING THE OFFSHORE WATERS WILL CONTINUE NWD
INTO THE MID/LWR KEYS THROUGH THE EVE. EMBEDDED STRONGER STORMS
HAVE RECENTLY EXHIBITED VERY BRIEF SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH MODEST
LLVL ROTATION.

WATERSPOUT/TORNADO RISKS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO THIS EVE AS
THE NEAR SFC FLOW BACKS TO A MORE NE COMPONENT...RESULTING IN
ENHANCED 0-1KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITY. IT APPEARS THAT THE HIGHER
PROBABILITIES WILL OCCUR FROM LATE AFTN INTO TONIGHT AS ADDITIONAL
BANDS ROTATE NWD FROM CUBA AND THE ENVELOPE OF STRONGER BUOYANCY
WITHIN THE ERN PERIPHERY OF GUSTAV ARRIVES.

..RACY.. 08/30/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...KEY...

25048262 25198162 24838090 24348085 23838119 23788182
23848241 24018296 24538313 24938289

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KJKL [301822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 301822
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
222 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0210 PM HAIL 6 ESE INEZ 37.83N 82.44W
08/30/2008 E0.50 INCH MARTIN KY COUNTY OFFICIAL

MARBLE SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT INTERSECTION OF STATE
HIGHWAY 1714 AND KY 2032. HALF INCH HAIL ALSO REPORTED AT
COALPOINT ON HIGHWAY 1439.

0212 PM HAIL 4 NE WHITESBURG 37.16N 82.77W
08/30/2008 E0.75 INCH LETCHER KY COUNTY OFFICIAL

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED NEAR MILLSTONE ON HIGHWAY 2545.

&&

$$

BT

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KKEY [301723]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 301723
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
123 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1238 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
08/30/2008 M48 MPH GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUSTS OF 42 KNOTS...OR 48 MPH...WAS MEASURED BY
THE C-MAN STATION AT PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT AT 1238 PM EDT.
THIS GUST WAS FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AND WAS ASSOCIATED
WITH A PASSING RAINBAND FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV.

&&

$$

AALBANES

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 301719
SWODY2
SPC AC 301717

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1217 PM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING ALONG THE SERN LA COAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY THROUGH THE DAY TWO
PERIOD AS WRN U.S. TROUGH INTENSIFIES AND EFFECTIVELY BUILDS
DOWNSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE GREAT LAKES INTO ERN CANADA.
ELSEWHERE...HURRICANE GUSTAV WILL MOVE TOWARD THE SHELF WATERS OFF
THE SERN LA COAST.

...THE FL KEYS INTO THE SERN LA COAST...

LATEST GFS AND NHC GUIDANCE TAKES THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV
FROM APPROXIMATELY 230 W EYW AT 31/12Z TO NEAR 100 S BVE BY 01/12Z.
OUTER CONVECTIVE BANDS ALONG THE ERN SEMICIRCLE OF SYSTEM WILL
LIKELY BE IMPACTING THE LOWER KEYS AT THE ONSET OF THE PERIOD WITH
AT LEAST A MARGINAL THREAT FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND BRIEF
TORNADOES. THEREAFTER...THE SUPERCELL/TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY
REMAIN OFFSHORE UNTIL MONDAY MORNING WHEN BOTH VERTICAL SHEAR AND
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SERN LA COAST.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...A SMALL TORNADO RISK /GENERALLY LESS THAN 5
PERCENT PROBABILITY/ WILL EXIST FROM THE FL KEYS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
WRN FL PENINSULAR COAST WITH THE GREATEST THREAT LATE OVER SERN LA.
THEREFORE...THE 5 PERCENT PROBABILITY LINE AND A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT
RISK WILL BE INCLUDED IN THIS AREA.

...NRN PLAINS...

SURFACE LOW INITIALLY OVER FAR SERN MT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EWD INTO
NWRN SD THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SAGGING SEWD
THROUGH ERN MT...NRN WY AND THE WRN DAKOTAS. STRONG HEATING AND THE
DEVELOPMENT OF STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR
ALONG AND AHEAD OF FRONT SUNDAY. HOWEVER...A WARM EML IN
CONJUNCTION WITH ONLY MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /I.E. DEWPOINTS
IN THE 50S/ MAY CAP MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT /MLCAPES OF
1000-1500 J PER KG/ THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. TSTMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING ALONG OR PERHAPS IN
IMMEDIATE POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS AS SUSTAINED MESOSCALE ASCENT ALONG
THE FRONT OVERCOMES CAP.

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE STRONGEST VERTICAL SHEAR
WILL RESIDE TO THE N/NW OF FRONTAL ZONE WHICH MAY TEND TO LIMIT A
MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT IN THE WARM SECTOR. NONETHELESS...A
FEW ORGANIZED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

...ERN GREAT BASIN/LOWER CO VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES...

PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EWD/SEWD THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN IN
ASSOCIATION WITH INTENSIFYING MIDLEVEL TROUGH. PW VALUES OF 0.7-1.0
INCH COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POCKETS OF
STRONGER INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH MLCAPES APPROACHING
500-1000 J/KG. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL STRENGTHEN MOST SUBSTANTIALLY
ACROSS NRN/CNTRL UT INTO SERN ID/WRN WY...COINCIDENT WITH 40-50 KT
MIDLEVEL JET STREAK EMERGING FROM THE BASE OF EVOLVING TROUGH. AS
SUCH...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL. CURRENTLY...IT APPEARS THAT THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY MAY TEND
TO LIMIT A MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT.

..MEAD.. 08/30/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 301630
SWODY1
SPC AC 301627

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

VALID 301630Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL KEYS THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...
HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY S OF WRN CUBA WHILE MOVING
GENERALLY TO THE NW. THE OUTER NERN CONVECTIVE BANDS AND
STRENGTHENING LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE KEYS THROUGH
TONIGHT. THE MORE FAVORABLE AREA FOR SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES WILL
LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE MAIN OUTER BAND THAT NOW EXTENDS FROM
CENTRAL CUBA INTO THE FL STRAITS...WHILE EXTRAPOLATION OF RECENT
STORM MOTION AND THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST TRACK BOTH SUGGEST THAT
THIS MORE FAVORABLE CORRIDOR WILL JUST BRUSH THE LOWER KEYS LATER
TODAY INTO TONIGHT. STILL...THE FL KEYS AREA WILL BE MONITORED
CLOSELY...AND IT IS STILL POSSIBLE THAT A SLIGHT RISK UPGRADE COULD
BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY TONIGHT.

...MT/ND AREA THROUGH TONIGHT...
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS QUITE LIMITED THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL AND
ERN MT WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO MID
40S...WHILE MID 50S DEWPOINTS ARE STILL LOCATED S NEAR AND S OF
I-90. SOME OF THIS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NWD TOWARD ND IN
RESPONSE TO LEE CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS SE MT AND INCREASING SLY FLOW
ACROSS THE PLAINS...BUT AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER WILL LIKELY PROVIDE
SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT THAT WILL
MOVE INTO NW ND THIS EVENING. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS
COULD OCCUR ACROSS N/NW ND THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TONIGHT IF STORMS
FORM ALONG THE BOUNDARY...BUT CONFIDENCE IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
IS RATHER LOW.

FARTHER W...MT WILL BE IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM FROM A MID LEVEL
TROUGH THAT IS BEGINNING TO AMPLIFY OVER THE PAC NW. THIS MID LEVEL
TROUGH WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT ACROSS WRN AND NRN MT. INSTABILITY WILL BE QUITE LIMITED
THROUGH THE PERIOD OVER MT...THOUGH SOME WEAK MID LEVEL INSTABILITY
MAY DEVELOP IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND THE NWD
SPREAD OF MID LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE NRN FRINGES OF THE GREAT BASIN
MONSOONAL MOISTURE PLUME. THE INCREASING MID LEVEL FLOW AND STEEP
LAPSE RATES COULD SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH STRONG OUTFLOW
WINDS...DESPITE THE VERY MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

...SE ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAIN THIS AFTERNOON...
DAYTIME HEATING...A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH...AND THE SEA BREEZE WILL
ALL COMBINE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON FROM
SE GA TO SRN NC. A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH COINCIDES WITH THE
LOW-LEVEL BOUNDARIES AND THE CORRIDOR OF STRONGEST INSTABILITY.
MODIFIED 12Z SOUNDINGS SUPPORT MLCAPE NEAR 3000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON
IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF RATHER WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR...THUS A FEW STORMS
MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING MICROBURSTS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL.

...CENTRAL AND WRN AZ THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
DEBRIS CLOUDS FROM OVERNIGHT AND ONGOING STORMS WILL SLOW DAYTIME
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION OVER EXTREME WRN AZ/SE CA/SE NV.
HOWEVER...STRONGER SURFACE HEATING WILL OCCUR FARTHER E INTO CENTRAL
AZ...WHERE MODIFIED 12Z SOUNDINGS SUPPORT MODERATE INSTABILITY AGAIN
THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE PRONOUNCED ELY MID LEVEL FLOW OF THE
PAST FEW DAYS HAS ALREADY WEAKENED SOME SINCE YESTERDAY...AND THE
FLOW SHOULD BECOME MORE SLY AND CONTINUE WEAKENING LATER TODAY INTO
TONIGHT. THUS...THE FLOW REGIME WILL BE LESS FAVORABLE FOR
CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS TO MOVE OFF THE HIGH TERRAIN INTO THE LOWER
DESERTS...THOUGH ISOLATED DOWNBURSTS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
WRN AZ WHERE INSTABILITY WILL BE GREATEST THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

...KS/OK/AR THIS AFTERNOON...
A DIFFUSE BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL KS ACROSS NE OK INTO
CENTRAL AR. THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY ACROSS
THIS AREA...WHILE MID LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME WEAK SELY AS OPPOSED TO
NELY YESTERDAY. THE NET RESULT SHOULD BE A FEW PULSE-TYPE STORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED MICROBURSTS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL.

..THOMPSON/GRAMS.. 08/30/2008

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KKEY [301615]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 301615
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1214 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1112 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.88W
08/30/2008 M51 MPH GMZ075 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 44 KTS...OR 51 MPH...WAS MEASURED BY THE
C-MAN STATION ON SAND KEY LIGHT AT 1112 AM EDT. THIS GUST
WAS FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING
RAINBAND FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV.

&&

$$

ROSS

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KKEY [301543]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 301543
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1143 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1048 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.88W
08/30/2008 M55 MPH GMZ075 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 48 KTS...OR 55 MPH...WAS MEASURED BY THE
C-MAN STATION ON SAND KEY LIGHT...AT 1048 EDT. THIS GUST
WAS FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AND WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A
PASSING RAINBAND FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV.

&&

$$

ROSS

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KPUB [301521]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 301521
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
921 AM MDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM HEAVY RAIN 20 S HOLLY 37.77N 102.12W
08/30/2008 M0.30 INCH PROWERS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT PRECIPITATION. FAMILY MEMBER...18S OF HOLLY...
2.30 PRECIPITATION.

&&

$$

RMG

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KKEY [301355]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 301355
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
954 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0828 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 6 SSW MARATHON 24.63N 81.12W
08/30/2008 M39.00 MPH GMZ053 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 34 KNOTS FROM THE EAST WAS MEASURED DURING
A PASSING THUNDERSTORM AT THE SOMBRERO KEY LIGHT C-MAN
STATION. ANEMOMETER HEIGHT 159 FEET ABOVE MSL.

&&

$$

KASPER

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KEAX [301353]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 301353
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
853 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0852 PM TSTM WND DMG HARRISONVILLE 38.66N 94.35W
08/28/2008 CASS MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN - TIME ESTIMATED

&&

$$

DB

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KEAX [301336]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 301336
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
836 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG HOLDEN 38.71N 93.99W
08/28/2008 JOHNSON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

&&

$$

DB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 301255
SWODY1
SPC AC 301252

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

VALID 301300Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
NRN STREAM PATTERN WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE THROUGH PERIOD. AS A
PRECURSOR TO DEEP TROUGHING FCST TO DEVELOP IN SUBSEQUENT DAYS
ACROSS ERN CONUS...EXPECT HEIGHT FALLS AND TIGHTENING MID/UPPER
LEVEL HEIGHT GRADIENTS ACROSS MUCH OF NERN GREAT BASIN AND NRN
ROCKIES...AS TROUGHING SHIFTS EWD FROM NERN PACIFIC. AS THIS
OCCURS...RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN ACROSS 4-CORNERS
REGION...WITH PRIMARY ANTICYCLONE SHIFTING/REDEVELOPING EWD TO MID
MS VALLEY REGION. PERSISTENT/WEAK TROUGHING WILL REMAIN OVER SERN
CONUS.

AT SFC...FRONTAL ZONE IS EVIDENT FROM SRN ONT SWWD ACROSS OH AND SRN
OZARKS...OK...NERN NM. ERN PORTION OF FRONT WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS
NERN CONUS...WHILE TRAILING PORTION OVER LOWER MS VALLEY AND SRN
PLAINS BECOMES MORE ILL-DEFINED. SRN HIGH PLAINS SEGMENT OF THIS
FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD RETREAT NWD ACROSS ERN CO/WRN KS...DEMARCATING
NRN FRINGE OF SELY RETURN FLOW AT LEAST AS MUCH FOR MOISTURE AS FOR
THERMAL IDENTITY OF AIR MASS. THIS WILL OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO
COMBINATION OF LEE-SIDE AND FRONTAL-WAVE CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS
S-CENTRAL/SERN MT. BY 31/00Z...STRENGTHENING FRONTAL ZONE WILL
EXTEND FROM SWRN MB SWWD THROUGH MT LOW ACROSS S-CENTRAL/SWRN MT AND
SRN ID...WITH LEE TROUGHING SSEWD ACROSS ERN WY AND ERN CO.

...NRN HIGH PLAINS...NRN ROCKIES...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP DURING AFTERNOON AND
PERSIST INTO EVENING ALONG OR BEHIND SFC COLD FRONT...IN ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY STRENGTHENING MID-UPPER LEVEL WINDS.
ASSOCIATED FAST MOVEMENT OF HIGH-BASED CONVECTION...MOVING OVER
DEEPLY MIXED SUBCLOUD LAYER...SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR STG/LOCALLY SVR
GUSTS WITH MOST PERSISTENT/INTENSE TSTMS. STG LIMITING FACTOR WILL
BE LACK OF MORE ROBUST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...KEEPING BUOYANCY WEAK
AND LIMITING COVERAGE/DURATION OF TSTMS. FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
MLCAPES LESS THAN 250 J/KG OVER MOST OF THIS REGION DURING MOST
UNSTABLE PERIOD OF MID-LATE AFTERNOON. TSTM COVERAGE MAY INCREASE
AFTER DARK IN ELEVATED WAA REGIME...WITH ISOLATED HAIL POSSIBLE IN
NE-SW ALIGNED BAND OF TSTMS. HOWEVER...MUCAPES STILL WILL BE RATHER
WEAK -- GENERALLY AOB 250 J/KG. GIVEN THESE CONCERNS...ORGANIZED
SVR THREAT APPEARS TOO MRGL/CONDITIONAL ATTM FOR PROBABILITIES
SUPPORTING CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK.

...MID MS VALLEY TO S-CENTRAL PLAINS...
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP INVOF
RESIDUAL FRONTAL ZONE. COMBINATION OF WEAK FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE...DIURNAL HEATING AND RICH BOUNDARY LAYER THETAE WILL
RESULT IN WEAK CINH AND TSTM INITIATION...SOME OF WHICH MAY EVOLVE
UPSCALE INTO A FEW OUTFLOW-DOMINANT/MULTICELLULAR CLUSTERS. MLCAPES
2500-3000 J/KG ARE POSSIBLE IN PRECONVECTIVE AIR MASS...BUT WITH
VERY WEAK DEEP-LAYER WINDS UNDER UPPER RIDGING...E.G. EFFECTIVE
SHEAR MAGNITUDES LESS THAN 5 KT IN NAM-KF FCST SOUNDINGS ACROSS MUCH
OF REGION.

...SWRN CONUS...
AFOREMENTIONED BREAKDOWN OF UPPER RIDGE WILL RESULT IN WEAKENING OF
HEIGHT GRADIENT ALOFT AND OF DEEP-LAYER BULK SHEAR...ALONG WITH
CONSIDERABLE VEERING/WEAKENING OF MIDLEVEL WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN
AZ. THERFORE...POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS FCST TO
DECREASE RELATIVE TO PREVIOUS DAYS...INCLUDING THREAT FOR TSTMS TO
PRODUCE AMALGAMATED OUTFLOWS ACROSS DESERTS. HOWEVER...FAVORABLE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND HEATING OF HIGHER TERRAIN SHOULD YIELD WIDELY
SCATTERED TO SCATTERED TSTMS DURING MID-LATE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST
OF THESE MAY PRODUCE HAIL/GUSTS NEAR SVR LEVELS.

...LOWER-MIDDLE FL KEYS...
NHC TRACK AND WIND RADII FCSTS INDICATE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS
WELL SW OF THIS REGION...BUT THAT PERIPHERAL NERN QUADRANT OF
CIRCULATION ENVELOPE MAY BRUSH ACROSS KEYS MAINLY DURING LATTER HALF
OF PERIOD. FCST HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST CONSIDERABLE TURNING WITH HEIGHT
IN LOW LEVELS...EXPANDING IN SIZE WITH SWWD EXTENT DOWN KEYS. A FEW
SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN OUTERMOST BANDS...AS WELL AS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR ROTATION WITH ANY RELATIVELY DISCRETE/PERSISTENT
CELLS. THEREFORE...WILL INTRODUCE MRGL/SUB-CATEGORICAL TORNADO
PROBABILITIES ATTM. ANY EXPANSION/INTENSIFICATION OF PERIPHERAL LOW
LEVEL WINDS OR RIGHTWARD SHIFT IN PATH WOULD INCREASE TORNADO
THREAT...AND DECREASE PROBABILITIES WITH MORE WWD TRACK OR
WEAKER/SMALLER WIND ENVELOPE.

..DIAL/EDWARDS/CROSBIE.. 08/30/2008

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KDDC [301222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 301222
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
722 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 N BIG BOW 37.68N 101.56W
08/30/2008 M3.40 INCH STANTON KS AMATEUR RADIO

THIS WAS A 24-HOUR AMOUNT REPORT.

&&

$$

BURKE

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KDDC [301211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDDC 301211
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
711 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0748 PM HAIL 13 S COLDWATER 37.07N 99.34W
08/29/2008 E0.88 INCH COMANCHE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0815 PM HAIL 8 S COLDWATER 37.14N 99.34W
08/29/2008 E1.00 INCH COMANCHE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0815 PM HAIL 7 SSW COLDWATER 37.16N 99.39W
08/29/2008 E1.00 INCH COMANCHE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0838 PM HAIL 5 S COLDWATER 37.19N 99.34W
08/29/2008 E1.50 INCH COMANCHE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0915 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 W SYRACUSE 37.98N 101.82W
08/29/2008 M1.20 INCH HAMILTON KS CO-OP OBSERVER

1020 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SSE INGALLS 37.77N 100.42W
08/29/2008 M1.05 INCH GRAY KS CO-OP OBSERVER

1110 PM HAIL JOHNSON CITY 37.57N 101.75W
08/29/2008 M1.00 INCH STANTON KS COUNTY OFFICIAL

&&

$$

BURKE

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KKEY [301107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 301107
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
707 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0542 AM TSTM WND GST 8 SSE KEY LARGO 25.01N 80.38W
08/30/2008 M39 MPH GMZ052 FL C-MAN STATION

A THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 34 KNOTS WAS MEASURED AT THE
MOLASSES REEF LIGHT C-MAN STATION AT 542 AM EDT.

&&

$$

BS

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 873

WWUS20 KWNS 300903
SEL3
SPC WW 300903
AZZ000-300900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 873
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
203 AM MST SAT AUG 30 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 873 ISSUED AT 450 PM MST FOR PORTIONS OF

ARIZONA

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KPSR [300820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 300820
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
120 AM MST SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 PM TSTM WND GST 9 E PEORIA 33.69N 112.08W
08/29/2008 M51.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ ASOS

51 MPH PEAK WIND GUST AT DEER VALLEY AIRPORT ASOS

1105 PM HEAVY RAIN 8 E PEORIA 33.68N 112.11W
08/29/2008 M1.00 INCH MARICOPA AZ AMATEUR RADIO

ONE INCH OF RAIN IN 10 MINUTES AT INTERSECTION OF
INTERSTATE 17 AND DEER VALLEY ROAD. VISIBILITY LOWERED TO
AN ESTIMATED 25 FEET DURING THIS CLOUDBURST.

1110 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 S CAVE CREEK 33.77N 111.96W
08/29/2008 M0.50 INCH MARICOPA AZ AMATEUR RADIO

ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN IN 10 MINUTES NEAR CAVE CREEK.

1113 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NNW GLENDALE 33.65N 112.25W
08/29/2008 M49.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ AMATEUR RADIO

PEAK WIND GUST OF 49 MPH NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF 91ST
AVENUE AND UNION HILLS ROAD.

1118 PM TSTM WND GST 8 E PEORIA 33.68N 112.11W
08/29/2008 M52.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ AMATEUR RADIO

52 MPH PEAK WIND GUST MEASURED NEAR 35TH AVENUE AND
THUNDERBIRD.

1124 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NNW PEORIA 33.72N 112.26W
08/29/2008 M60.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ AMATEUR RADIO

60 MPH WIND GUST AT 91ST AVENUE AND JOMAX. SPOTTER
INDICATED WINDS WERE LIKELY STRONGER...SINCE 60 MPH WAS
THE PEAK READING PROVIDED BY THE ANEMOMETER.

1155 PM DUST STORM 7 NW BUCKEYE 33.44N 112.70W
08/29/2008 MARICOPA AZ AMATEUR RADIO

ONE EIGHTH MILE VISIBILITY IN BLOWING DUST REPORTED AT
INTERSTATE 10 AND 300TH AVENUE. SEMI TRUCKS AT A
STANDSTILL.

1156 PM TSTM WND GST 11 NNW PERRYVILLE 33.58N 112.58W
08/29/2008 M58.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ MESONET

58 MPH PEAK WIND GUST AT WHITE TANK MOUNTAIN MESONET
SITE.

&&

$$

DG

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 300820
SWOD48
SPC AC 300820

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0320 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

VALID 021200Z - 071200Z

...DISCUSSION...
LATEST MEDIUM RANGE DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION EASTWARD
ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES...WHILE THE EASTERN STATES BROAD UPPER
RIDGE SHIFTS TOWARD THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. SIMILAR TO DAY
3/MONDAY...SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY BE FOCUSED ALONG A COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE MIDWEST/CENTRAL PLAINS ON DAY 4/TUESDAY...BUT AN
APPRECIABLE/OVERLY ORGANIZED SEVERE RISK IS NOT EXPECTED.

WITH THE FORECAST LANDFALL OF GUSTAV ON DAY 3/MONDAY -- SEE LATEST
NHC GUIDANCE FOR DETAILS -- ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY AT LEAST DAY 4/TUESDAY AND PERHAPS DAY 5/WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX VICINITY/MID-SOUTH REGION AS GUSTAV MOVES
INLAND/WEAKENS. HOWEVER...INHERENT UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING THE
POSITIONING/TIMING OF GUSTAV PRECLUDES SEVERE/TORNADO PROBABILITIES
AT THIS TIME. TROPICAL SYSTEM HANNA MAY ALSO EVENTUALLY BE A FACTOR
FOR TORNADOES /INITIALLY ACROSS FL/ BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK PER
LATEST NHC FORECASTS...BUT MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS.

..GUYER.. 08/30/2008

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 300732
SWODY3
SPC AC 300730

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF
COAST STATES...

...SYNOPSIS...
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.
THIS WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED BY AN UPPER TROUGH SPREADING EASTWARD OVER
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...WITH A SLOW EAST-MOVING COLD FRONT
FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. FARTHER
EAST...EXPANSIVE UPPER RIDGE/SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
DOMINANT OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE CONUS...WHILE
HURRICANE GUSTAV WILL LIKELY BE A CONCERN AS IT APPROACHES THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.

...CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST STATES...
IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT HURRICANE GUSTAV WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH/MAKE
LANDFALL ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION ON MONDAY...SEE NHC FORECASTS
FOR THE LATEST DETAILS. ACCORDINGLY...STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WIND
FIELDS/SRH ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE FRONT-RIGHT QUADRANT OF GUSTAV WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.

...EASTERN DAKOTAS/WESTERN MN TO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
LARGELY PARALLEL TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT...SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL MAKE A SLOW EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD PROGRESSION ACROSS THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS ON MONDAY. AIDED BY LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR
ASCENT OWING TO THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH...TSTMS SHOULD INCREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ALONG AND JUST BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT. WHILE SEVERE HAIL/WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST
TSTMS MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...MODEST INSTABILITY/WEAK MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND FRONT-LAGGING SHEAR IMPLIES THE OVERALL SEVERE RISK
WILL REMAIN MARGINAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.

..GUYER.. 08/30/2008

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KEAX [300622]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KEAX 300622
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
122 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM TSTM WND GST COFFEY 40.11N 94.01W
08/28/2008 E60.00 MPH DAVIESS MO PUBLIC

0452 PM HAIL AVENUE CITY 39.88N 94.78W
08/28/2008 E0.88 INCH ANDREW MO EMERGENCY MNGR

0512 PM HAIL 5 W STEWARTSVILLE 39.75N 94.59W
08/28/2008 E0.75 INCH DEKALB MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG TRENTON 40.08N 93.60W
08/28/2008 GRUNDY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREES LIMB DOWN AND BLOCKING TRAFFIC ON MAPLE ROAD.
ALSO TREE LIMBS DOWN ON MERRILL ROAD.

0536 PM HAIL 3 SW INDEPENDENCE 39.06N 94.39W
08/28/2008 M0.88 INCH JACKSON MO NWS EMPLOYEE

REPORTED OUTSIDE ARROWHEAD STADIUM

0540 PM HAIL KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
08/28/2008 E0.88 INCH JACKSON MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED AT STERLING AND 49TH
STREET.

0608 PM HAIL BLUE SPRINGS 39.02N 94.28W
08/28/2008 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO PUBLIC

GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH

0610 PM HAIL 6 N LEES SUMMIT 39.00N 94.38W
08/28/2008 E0.88 INCH JACKSON MO CO-OP OBSERVER

0610 PM TSTM WND DMG MACON 39.74N 92.47W
08/28/2008 MACON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

WINDS WERE REPORTED TO GUST TO 60 MPH...WITH 1/2 INCH
HAIL. AT LEAST TWO TREES WERE UPROOTED AND BRANCHES UP TO
1 1/2 FEET IN DIAMETER WERE SNAPPED OFF.

0612 PM HAIL 2 SW BLUE SPRINGS 39.00N 94.30W
08/28/2008 E1.50 INCH JACKSON MO PUBLIC

0615 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S NEW BOSTON 39.92N 92.88W
08/28/2008 LINN MO PUBLIC

TREES DOWN

0630 PM HAIL 1 W EDGERTON 38.76N 95.03W
08/28/2008 E1.75 INCH JOHNSON KS PUBLIC

ALONG JOHNSON/DOUGLAS COUNTY LINE. RELAYED FROM WFO TOP.

0635 PM TSTM WND DMG MOBERLY 39.42N 92.44W
08/28/2008 RANDOLPH MO EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN MOBERLY. AIRPORT REPORTED WIND GUST TO 54
MPH.

0645 PM HAIL 7 NW PAOLA 38.65N 94.96W
08/28/2008 E1.75 INCH MIAMI KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TIME AND LOCATION ESTIMATED.

0650 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 SW ODESSA 38.94N 94.03W
08/28/2008 LAFAYETTE MO PUBLIC

TREES DOWN

0655 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W PITTSVILLE 38.83N 94.04W
08/28/2008 JOHNSON MO EMERGENCY MNGR

2 TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 50 NEAR ELM. TIME ESTD.

0710 PM TSTM WND DMG WARRENSBURG 38.76N 93.73W
08/28/2008 JOHNSON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES IN THE VICINITY
OF WARRENSBURG.

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG LEETON 38.58N 93.70W
08/28/2008 JOHNSON MO EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN. TIME ESTD.

0745 PM TSTM WND DMG LA MONTE 38.77N 93.42W
08/28/2008 PETTIS MO EMERGENCY MNGR

WINDS BLEW AN EIGHT INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMB DOWN. MANY
SMALLER BRANCHES WERE DOWN AS WELL. TOWN IS STILL WITHOUT
POWER.

0757 PM TSTM WND DMG CREIGHTON 38.50N 94.07W
08/28/2008 CASS MO PUBLIC

TREE LIMBS FROM 3 TO 14 INCHES IN DIAMETER WERE BLOWN
DOWN. DAMAGE WAS REPORTED TO GUTTERS ON A HOME WITH A
FRONT PORCH POST BLOWN OFF. ALSO DAMAGE TO A CHIMNEY WAS
REPORTED.

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E CREIGHTON 38.50N 94.02W
08/28/2008 HENRY MO PUBLIC

TREES DOWN

0805 PM TSTM WND DMG OTTERVILLE 38.70N 93.00W
08/28/2008 COOPER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN

0815 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S PRAIRIE HOME 38.77N 92.59W
08/28/2008 COOPER MO PUBLIC

TREES DOWN

&&

$$

MJ

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KEAX [300620]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 300620
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
120 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0655 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W PITTSVILLE 38.83N 94.04W
08/28/2008 JOHNSON MO EMERGENCY MNGR

2 TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 50 NEAR ELM. TIME ESTD.

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG LEETON 38.58N 93.70W
08/28/2008 JOHNSON MO EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN. TIME ESTD.

&&

$$

MJ

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