KMLB [291705]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 291705
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
105 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW HOBE SOUND 27.10N 80.16W
10/29/2011 MARTIN FL PUBLIC

CARPORT DAMAGE, POWER LINES AND TREES DOWN IN RIDGEWAY
MOBILE HOME PARK. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. POSSIBLE
TORNADO.

&&

$$

JRC

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KMLB [291702]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 291702
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
102 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW HOBE SOUND 27.10N 80.15W
10/29/2011 MARTIN FL TRAINED SPOTTER

ROOFS BLOWN OFF CARPORTS ON OSPREY STREET EAST OF HIGHWAY
US IN RIDGEWAY MOBILE HOME PARK. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON
RADAR. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

$$

JRC

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KIWX [291702]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 291702
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
101 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 PM HAIL 2 N MISHAWAKA 41.69N 86.16W
10/29/2011 M0.50 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL RANGED FROM PEA TO HALF INCH. LASTED ROUGHLY 10
MINUTES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101430

$$

SC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2278

ACUS11 KWNS 291701
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291701
MAZ000-NHZ000-CTZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-292200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2278
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1201 PM CDT SAT OCT 29 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND ERN PA...NRN NJ...SERN NY...NRN CT...NRN
RI...WRN AND CNTRL MA...SRN VT AND NH

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 291701Z - 292200Z

BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL SHIFT ENEWD THROUGH PA...SERN
NY AND SRN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1+
INCH PER HOUR WILL REMAIN LIKELY IN THE HEAVIEST BANDS AND MIGHT
OCCASIONALLY APPROACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW BAND HAS SET UP FROM
CNTRL AND ERN PA ENEWD THROUGH NRN NJ AND SERN NY. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES IN THIS REGION ARE AT OR A FEW DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING
WITH WET BULB TEMPERATURES AROUND 32F. THE 12Z RAOBS AND RUC PFCS
INDICATE SUB-FREEZING WET BULB TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPOSPHERE INLAND FROM THE COAST.
HOWEVER...THE SURFACE WARM LAYER WILL LIKELY REMAIN DEEP ENOUGH TO
KEEP THE PRECIPITATION RAIN IN MOST AREAS WITHIN ABOUT 30 SM OF THE
COAST.

THE SNOW IS DEVELOPING WITHIN A DEEP BAROCLINIC/FRONTOGENETIC ZONE
THAT EXTENDS FROM THE MID ATLANTIC REGION NEWD THROUGH SRN NEW
ENGLAND. WV IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPANDING BAROCLINIC LEAF AND COOLING
CLOUD TOPS OVER THE NERN STATES JUST DOWNSTREAM FROM A NEGATIVELY
TILTED SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ITS ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL JET PIVOTING
NEWD THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. SURFACE LOW OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST WILL DEEPEN AND LIFT NWD TOWARD SRN NEW ENGLAND IN
ASSOCIATION WITH UPPER DIVERGENCE ACCOMPANYING THE UPPER JET. IN THE
PROCESS...FRONTOGENETIC FORCING AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT SHOULD
INCREASE FROM ERN PA THROUGH SRN NEW ENGLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THIS ZONE OF ASCENT IS OCCURRING WITHIN THE PORTION OF THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILE FAVORABLE FOR SNOW GROWTH. IN ADDITION...PFCS AND CROSS
SECTION DATA INDICATE PRESENCE OF AT LEAST WEAK UPRIGHT AND
SLANTWISE INSTABILITY SUGGESTING CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT ALSO REMAINS
LIKELY. WET BULB TEMPERATURES IN THE NEAR SURFACE LAYER WILL REMAIN
AT OR ABOVE FREEZING...PROMOTING A WETTER SNOW...AND THIS COULD
REDUCE ACCUMULATION RATES SOMEWHAT DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF LARGE
FLAKES.

..DIAL.. 10/29/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...

LAT...LON 42107162 41477315 40867422 40127569 40237758 41237755
42527515 43187213 42827118 42107162

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KMLB [291658]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 291658
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1258 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW HOBE SOUND 27.11N 80.16W
10/29/2011 MARTIN FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

MARTIN COUNTY SHERIFF RELAYED REPORT OF PROPERTY DAMAGE
NEAR INTERSECTION OF SKYLARK AVE. AND SWALLOW TERRACE.
TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

$$

JRC

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KMLB [291657]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 291657
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1257 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW HOBE SOUND 27.10N 80.16W
10/29/2011 MARTIN FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

MARTIN COUNTY SHERIFF RELAYED REPORT OF CARPORTS TORN
OFF, TREES DOWN AND OTHER PROPERTY DAMAGE IN VICINITY OF
RIDGEWAY MOBILE HOME PARK. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

$$

JRC

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KMLB [291655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 291655
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1254 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW HOBE SOUND 27.11N 80.16W
10/29/2011 MARTIN FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

MARTIN COUNTY SHERIFF RELAYED REPORT OF HOME LOST ROOF ON
AMENDMENT ST. TIME ESTIAMTED BASED ON RADAR. POSSIBLE
TORNADO.

&&

$$

JRC

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KCYS [291654]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291654
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1054 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 23 W CHEYENNE 41.14N 105.23W
10/29/2011 M54 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 43 MPH.

1041 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
10/29/2011 M51 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 41 MPH.

1040 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SW CHEYENNE 41.04N 104.93W
10/29/2011 M50 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 43 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KMLB [291653]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 291653
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1253 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW HOBE SOUND 27.08N 80.14W
10/29/2011 MARTIN FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

MARTIN COUNTY SHERIFF RELAYED REPORT OF TREES DOWN ON
ROADWAY NEAR DIXIE HIGHWAY NORTH OF PETTWAY ST.

&&

$$

JRC

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KMLB [291651]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 291651
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1251 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 NNW HOBE SOUND 27.11N 80.15W
10/29/2011 MARTIN FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

MARTIN COUNTY SHERIFF RELAYED REPORT OF AWNINGS ON
RESIDENCE TORN OFF AND POWER POLES DOWN NEAR GOMEZ AVE
AND LOBLOLLY BAY DRIVE. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

$$

JRC

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KIWX [291650]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 291650
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1250 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1249 PM HAIL 2 SE GRANGER 41.73N 86.08W
10/29/2011 M0.50 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL RANGED FROM PEA TO HALF INCH. LASTED 9 MINUTES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101429

$$

SC

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KIWX [291633]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 291633
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1233 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1232 PM HAIL 1 N SOUTH BEND 41.70N 86.25W
10/29/2011 M0.88 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL NOW UP TO NICKEL SIZE. ALMOST COVERING THE GROUND
AT THE UNIVERSITY OF NOTRE DAME.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101428

$$

SC

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KCYS [291630]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291630
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1030 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1001 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 15 NNE CENTENNIAL 41.50N 106.00W
10/29/2011 M56 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 31 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291629
SWODY1
SPC AC 291627

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT SAT OCT 29 2011

VALID 291630Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW JUST OFF THE DE/MD COASTS WILL DEVELOP NEWD
TO JUST OFF THE SE NEW ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT...IN ADVANCE OF AN
AMPLIFYING MIDLEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL EJECT NEWD FROM THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS/MID ATLANTIC TO SRN NEW ENGLAND. TRAILING THE
CYCLONE...A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS S FL THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN THE MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
ACROSS S FL AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR AND POOR
LAPSE RATES ALOFT WILL LIMIT ANY RISK FOR STRONG/SEVERE STORMS.
FARTHER N...A BELT OF VERY STRONG LOW-MIDLEVEL WAA/FRONTOGENESIS
IMMEDIATELY N-NW OF THE SURFACE LOW WILL SUPPORT A WELL-DEFINED
PRECIPITATION BAND FROM THE NRN MID ATLANTIC INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND.
STRONG ASCENT COMBINED WITH WEAK SLANTWISE AND UPRIGHT INSTABILITY
COULD SUPPORT A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION.

FARTHER W INTO THE GREAT LAKES...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COLD
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING TO SUPPORT WEAK
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY FROM LOWER MI INTO OH THIS AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES OF 45-50 F AND RESIDUAL BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-UPPER 30S WILL RESULT IN SBCAPE VALUES OF
100-400 J/KG. ASCENT AND THE RISK OF LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE FOCUSED ALONG WEAK BOUNDARIES ACROSS SW LOWER MI AND FROM SE
LOWER MI INTO NW OH. THERE WILL BE SOME RISK FOR SMALL HAIL GIVEN
THE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND COOL TEMPERATURE PROFILES...BUT SEVERE
HAIL IS NOT EXPECTED.

..THOMPSON/SMITH.. 10/29/2011

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KIWX [291628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 291628
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1228 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1227 PM HAIL GRANGER 41.75N 86.11W
10/29/2011 M0.25 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101427

$$

SC

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KCYS [291628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291628
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1028 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/29/2011 M58 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 40 MPG.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KIWX [291627]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 291627
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1227 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1224 PM HAIL 1 N SOUTH BEND 41.70N 86.25W
10/29/2011 M0.50 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED AT THE UNIVERSITY OF NOTRE DAME

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101426

$$

SC

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KCYS [291626]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291626
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1026 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/29/2011 M58 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 46 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KCYS [291624]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291624
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1024 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0944 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 27 WSW WHEATLAND 41.90N 105.44W
10/29/2011 M61 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 30 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KCYS [291622]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291622
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1022 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1010 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 23 W CHEYENNE 41.14N 105.23W
10/29/2011 M51 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 41 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KCYS [291616]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291616
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1016 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0955 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/29/2011 M54 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 43 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KIWX [291611]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 291611
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1211 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1207 PM HAIL 3 N SOUTH BEND 41.73N 86.25W
10/29/2011 M0.25 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER

LOCATED 3 MILES NORTH OF SOUTH BEND NEAR THE
INDIANA-MICHIGAN STATE LINE

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101425

$$

SC

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KPBZ [291610]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPBZ 291610
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1210 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0653 AM SNOW BRUCETON MILLS 39.66N 79.64W
10/29/2011 E4.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

0759 AM SNOW OAKLAND 39.41N 79.41W
10/29/2011 E5.0 INCH GARRETT MD 911 CALL CENTER

0803 AM SNOW KINGWOOD 39.47N 79.68W
10/29/2011 E5.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

0803 AM SNOW TERRA ALTA 39.44N 79.54W
10/29/2011 E9.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

TREES AND LINES DOWN ALL OVER COUNTY

0829 AM SNOW REDHOUSE 39.31N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M7.0 INCH GARRETT MD TRAINED SPOTTER

0833 AM SNOW MARKLEYSBURG 39.73N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M7.0 INCH FAYETTE PA PUBLIC

0837 AM SNOW TERRA ALTA 39.45N 79.55W
10/29/2011 M10.0 INCH PRESTON WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0843 AM SNOW 2 SW CORTLAND 39.05N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M6.5 INCH TUCKER WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0849 AM SNOW FARMINGTON 39.81N 79.57W
10/29/2011 M5.0 INCH FAYETTE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

0907 AM SNOW CANAAN HEIGHTS 39.10N 79.43W
10/29/2011 M5.6 INCH TUCKER WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0912 AM SNOW ACME 40.13N 79.43W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH WESTMORELAND PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 AM SNOW NEW KENSINGTON 40.57N 79.77W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH WESTMORELAND PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1010 AM SNOW PENN HILLS 40.48N 79.83W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH ALLEGHENY PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1014 AM SNOW BRIDGEVILLE 40.36N 80.11W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH ALLEGHENY PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1016 AM SNOW WEST NEWTON 40.21N 79.77W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH WESTMORELAND PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1021 AM SNOW CHAMPION 40.08N 79.36W
10/29/2011 M8.0 INCH FAYETTE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1035 AM SNOW 3 W MARS 40.70N 80.07W
10/29/2011 M1.0 INCH BUTLER PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1101 AM SNOW DONEGAL 40.11N 79.38W
10/29/2011 M6.0 INCH WESTMORELAND PA CO-OP OBSERVER

1121 AM SNOW ROSS TOWNSHIP 40.53N 80.02W
10/29/2011 E2.0 INCH ALLEGHENY PA PUBLIC

1123 AM SNOW 1 NNW CARNOT-MOON 40.53N 80.22W
10/29/2011 M1.6 INCH ALLEGHENY PA NWS OFFICE

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1101208 PBZ1101204 PBZ1101202 PBZ1101203 PBZ1101197
PBZ1101198 PBZ1101199 PBZ1101200 PBZ1101201 PBZ1101206 PBZ1101205
PBZ1101209 PBZ1101210 PBZ1101211 PBZ1101212 PBZ1101213 PBZ1101214
PBZ1101216 PBZ1101217 PBZ1101218

$$

JD

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KCYS [291604]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291604
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1004 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/29/2011 M52 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 39 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KIWX [291602]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 291602
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1202 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1201 PM HAIL NILES 41.83N 86.25W
10/29/2011 M0.25 INCH BERRIEN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101424

$$

SC

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KMFL [291602]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 291602
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1202 PM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM HEAVY RAIN EAST NAPLES 26.14N 81.74W
10/29/2011 M5.75 INCH COLLIER FL TRAINED SPOTTER

24-HOUR TOTAL ENDING 12 NOON TODAY.

&&

$$

MBETTWY

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KCYS [291559]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291559
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
959 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
10/29/2011 M51 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 41 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KCYS [291546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291546
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
946 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/29/2011 M50 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 34 MPH.

0910 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ESE ARLINGTON 41.55N 106.08W
10/29/2011 M50 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 35 MPH. 34G50 AT 0915.

0900 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 19 SE LARAMIE 41.12N 105.32W
10/29/2011 M65 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET

SUSTAINED AT 46 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KIWX [291546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 291546
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1146 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1146 AM HAIL BUCHANAN 41.83N 86.36W
10/29/2011 M0.50 INCH BERRIEN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101423

$$

SC

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KIWX [291540]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 291540
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1140 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM HAIL BERRIEN CENTER 41.96N 86.28W
10/29/2011 E0.25 INCH BERRIEN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101422

$$

PBM

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KCYS [291504]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291504
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
904 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ESE ARLINGTON 41.55N 106.08W
10/29/2011 M50 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 37 MPH. 38G53 AT 0825. 36G53 AT 0830.

0830 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
10/29/2011 M50 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 38. 40G50 AT 0845. 40G50 AT 0840L.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KPBZ [291451]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPBZ 291451
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1051 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0653 AM SNOW BRUCETON MILLS 39.66N 79.64W
10/29/2011 E4.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

0759 AM SNOW OAKLAND 39.41N 79.41W
10/29/2011 E5.0 INCH GARRETT MD 911 CALL CENTER

0803 AM SNOW KINGWOOD 39.47N 79.68W
10/29/2011 E5.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

0803 AM SNOW TERRA ALTA 39.44N 79.54W
10/29/2011 E9.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

TREES AND LINES DOWN ALL OVER COUNTY

0829 AM SNOW REDHOUSE 39.31N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M7.0 INCH GARRETT MD TRAINED SPOTTER

0833 AM SNOW MARKLEYSBURG 39.73N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M7.0 INCH FAYETTE PA PUBLIC

0837 AM SNOW TERRA ALTA 39.45N 79.55W
10/29/2011 M10.0 INCH PRESTON WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0843 AM SNOW 2 SW CORTLAND 39.05N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M6.5 INCH TUCKER WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0849 AM SNOW FARMINGTON 39.81N 79.57W
10/29/2011 M5.0 INCH FAYETTE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

0907 AM SNOW CANAAN HEIGHTS 39.10N 79.43W
10/29/2011 M5.6 INCH TUCKER WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0912 AM SNOW ACME 40.13N 79.43W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH WESTMORELAND PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 AM SNOW NEW KENSINGTON 40.57N 79.77W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH WESTMORELAND PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1010 AM SNOW PENN HILLS 40.48N 79.83W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH ALLEGHENY PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1014 AM SNOW BRIDGEVILLE 40.36N 80.11W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH ALLEGHENY PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1016 AM SNOW WEST NEWTON 40.21N 79.77W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH WESTMORELAND PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1021 AM SNOW CHAMPION 40.08N 79.36W
10/29/2011 M8.0 INCH FAYETTE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1035 AM SNOW 3 W MARS 40.70N 80.07W
10/29/2011 M1.0 INCH BUTLER PA TRAINED SPOTTER

1049 AM SNOW 1 NNW CARNOT-MOON 40.53N 80.22W
10/29/2011 M1.3 INCH ALLEGHENY PA NWS OFFICE

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1101208 PBZ1101204 PBZ1101202 PBZ1101203 PBZ1101197
PBZ1101198 PBZ1101199 PBZ1101200 PBZ1101201 PBZ1101206 PBZ1101205
PBZ1101209 PBZ1101210 PBZ1101211 PBZ1101212 PBZ1101213 PBZ1101214
PBZ1101215

$$

JD

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KTFX [291448]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KTFX 291448
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
847 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
10/28/2011 M83 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

LOGAN PASS VISITOR CENTER REPORTS 83 MPH WIND GUST

0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 W SAINT MARY 48.74N 113.74W
10/28/2011 M60 MPH GLACIER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

60 MPH WIND GUST AT GARDEN WALL

1021 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
10/28/2011 M64 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

64 MPH WIND GUST AT DEEP CREEK RAWS

1205 AM NON-TSTM WND GST HEART BUTTE 48.29N 112.84W
10/29/2011 M62 MPH PONDERA MT MESONET

62 MPH WIND GUST AT HEART BUTTE

1226 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.61N 112.38W
10/29/2011 M56 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

56 MPH WIND GUST AT THE CUT BANK AIRPORT.

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.59W
10/29/2011 M59 MPH TETON MT MESONET

1255 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW PENDROY 48.07N 112.33W
10/29/2011 M57 MPH TETON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

57 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST WEST OF
PENDROY.

0230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SE HILGER 47.18N 109.25W
10/29/2011 M57 MPH FERGUS MT MESONET

57 MPH PEAK WIND GUST AT THE JUDITH PEAK RAWS LOCATION.

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
10/29/2011 M95 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

95 MPH WIND GUST AT LOGAN PASS VISITOR CENTER

&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [291447]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 291447
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
847 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1226 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.61N 112.38W
10/29/2011 M56 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

56 MPH WIND GUST AT THE CUT BANK AIRPORT.

&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [291436]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 291436
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
836 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SE HILGER 47.18N 109.25W
10/29/2011 M57 MPH FERGUS MT MESONET

57 MPH PEAK WIND GUST AT THE JUDITH PEAK RAWS LOCATION.

&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [291422]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 291422
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
822 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.59W
10/29/2011 M59 MPH TETON MT MESONET

&&

$$

BLANK

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KTFX [291421]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 291421
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
821 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1255 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW PENDROY 48.07N 112.33W
10/29/2011 M57 MPH TETON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

57 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST WEST OF
PENDROY.

&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KCYS [291345]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291345
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
745 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/29/2011 M52 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 37 MPH.

0720 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ESE ARLINGTON 41.55N 106.08W
10/29/2011 M50 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 35 MPH.

0721 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NW ARLINGTON 41.62N 106.25W
10/29/2011 M50 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 39 MPH.

0720 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
10/29/2011 M52 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 43 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KPBZ [291326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPBZ 291326
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
926 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0653 AM SNOW BRUCETON MILLS 39.66N 79.64W
10/29/2011 E4.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

0700 AM SNOW NE MCMURRAY 40.28N 80.09W
10/29/2011 M1.1 INCH WASHINGTON PA COCORAHS

COCORAHS

0759 AM SNOW OAKLAND 39.41N 79.41W
10/29/2011 E5.0 INCH GARRETT MD 911 CALL CENTER

0803 AM SNOW KINGWOOD 39.47N 79.68W
10/29/2011 E5.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

0803 AM SNOW TERRA ALTA 39.44N 79.54W
10/29/2011 E9.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

TREES AND LINES DOWN ALL OVER COUNTY

0829 AM SNOW REDHOUSE 39.31N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M7.0 INCH GARRETT MD TRAINED SPOTTER

0833 AM SNOW MARKLEYSBURG 39.73N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M7.0 INCH FAYETTE PA PUBLIC

0837 AM SNOW TERRA ALTA 39.45N 79.55W
10/29/2011 M10.0 INCH PRESTON WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0843 AM SNOW 2 SW CORTLAND 39.05N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M6.5 INCH TUCKER WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0849 AM SNOW FARMINGTON 39.81N 79.57W
10/29/2011 M5.0 INCH FAYETTE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

0907 AM SNOW CANAAN HEIGHTS 39.10N 79.43W
10/29/2011 M5.6 INCH TUCKER WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0912 AM SNOW ACME 40.13N 79.43W
10/29/2011 M2.0 INCH WESTMORELAND PA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1101208 PBZ1101207 PBZ1101204 PBZ1101202 PBZ1101203
PBZ1101197 PBZ1101198 PBZ1101199 PBZ1101200 PBZ1101201 PBZ1101206
PBZ1101205

$$

JD

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KPBZ [291305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPBZ 291305
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
904 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0759 AM SNOW OAKLAND 39.41N 79.41W
10/29/2011 E5.0 INCH GARRETT MD 911 CALL CENTER

0803 AM SNOW KINGWOOD 39.47N 79.68W
10/29/2011 E5.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

0803 AM SNOW TERRA ALTA 39.44N 79.54W
10/29/2011 E9.0 INCH PRESTON WV MEDIA

TREES AND LINES DOWN ALL OVER COUNTY

0829 AM SNOW REDHOUSE 39.31N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M7.0 INCH GARRETT MD TRAINED SPOTTER

0833 AM SNOW MARKLEYSBURG 39.73N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M7.0 INCH FAYETTE PA PUBLIC

0837 AM SNOW TERRA ALTA 39.45N 79.55W
10/29/2011 M10.0 INCH PRESTON WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0843 AM SNOW 2 SW CORTLAND 39.05N 79.45W
10/29/2011 M6.5 INCH TUCKER WV CO-OP OBSERVER

0849 AM SNOW FARMINGTON 39.81N 79.57W
10/29/2011 M5.0 INCH FAYETTE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1101204 PBZ1101202 PBZ1101203 PBZ1101197 PBZ1101198
PBZ1101199 PBZ1101200 PBZ1101201

$$

JD

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KCYS [291244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291244
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
644 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/29/2011 M54 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 41 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KCYS [291242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291242
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
642 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
10/29/2011 M55 MPH PLATTE WY MESONET

SUSTAINED AT 44 MPH.

0602 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VEDAUWOO 41.15N 105.40W
10/29/2011 M51 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 39 MPH. 0607L 38G51 MPH. 0612 42G50 MPH.

0606 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE ARLINGTON 41.58N 106.17W
10/29/2011 M51 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 40 MPH.

0615 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
10/29/2011 M51 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED AT 40 MPH.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 291223
SWODY1
SPC AC 291221

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0721 AM CDT SAT OCT 29 2011

VALID 291300Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION...

AN INTENSE VORTICITY MAXIMUM AND ATTENDANT MIDLEVEL JET STREAK OVER
THE OH/TN VALLEYS WILL LIFT NEWD THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES
TODAY...SUBSEQUENTLY CONTRIBUTING TO THE FORMATION OF A DEEP-LAYER
CYCLONE OVER NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE
TROUGH OVER THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY
WHILE TRANSLATING SEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MS VALLEY. IN
THE LOW LEVELS...INCREASING LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT
TO THE FORMER VORTICITY MAXIMUM WILL HASTEN CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TODAY WITH THE CYCLONE DEVELOPING TO OFF THE ME COAST
BY 30/12Z. A TRAILING COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACCELERATING SEWD
THROUGH NRN FL IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
STATE BY THIS EVENING.

THE COUPLING OF LOW-LEVEL WAA AND DCVA AHEAD OF NEGATIVELY TILTED
MIDLEVEL TROUGH WILL ENHANCE DEEP-LAYER ASCENT ACROSS THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES TODAY...AND INTO CNTRL/SRN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.
THIS FORCING WILL ALIGN WITH A SATURATED AND WEAKLY BUOYANT
ENVIRONMENT TO SUPPORT BURSTS OF LIGHTNING ACTIVITY FOR PARCELS
BASED IN THE 850-700 MB LAYER.

OVER FL...THE SEWD-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR
DIURNALLY ENHANCED TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A VERY MOIST WARM
SECTOR WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S AND PW VALUES OF
AROUND TWO INCHES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS EXHIBIT POOR LAPSE
RATES...WHICH WHEN COUPLED WITH RATHER WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR...WILL
PRECLUDE ORGANIZED SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT.

OVER THE GREAT LAKES...FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH MIDLEVEL
VORTICITY MAXIMUM TRANSLATING ESEWD ACROSS THE REGION WILL ACT ON A
WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT INVOF THE LAKES TO SUPPORT SPORADIC
LIGHTNING ACTIVITY TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.

..MEAD/HURLBUT.. 10/29/2011

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KTFX [291149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 291149
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
549 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
10/29/2011 M95 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

95 MPH WIND GUST AT LOGAN PASS VISITOR CENTER

&&

$$

MPJ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2277

ACUS11 KWNS 291137
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291136
NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-291700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2277
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 AM CDT SAT OCT 29 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NERN WV...SERN NY...NWRN MD INCLUDING
PANHANDLE...CENTRAL/ERN PA...NWRN NJ...EXTREME NRN VA.

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 291136Z - 291700Z

PRIND HEAVIEST SNOW RATES THROUGH 18Z...AND MOST SUSTAINED AT 1-2
INCHES/HOUR...WILL BE OVER AND W OF BLUE RIDGE FROM NERN WV AND VA
BORDER REGION NEWD ACROSS NWRN MD TO S-CENTRAL PA...SHIFTING NEWD
ACROSS NERN PA INTO INTERIOR SERN NY BY ABOUT 18Z. RAIN SHOULD
BECOME SNOW OVER PORTIONS CENTRAL-ERN PA THROUGH 16Z. ISOLATED
CONVECTIVE BURSTS ALSO ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THAT PORTION OF RAIN/SNOW
MIX ZONE FROM NRN VA TO SERN PA AND EVENTUALLY NWRN NJ.

CONCENTRATION OF HEAVY SNOW POTENTIAL ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA WILL BE
RELATED TO SEVERAL JUXTAPOSED REGIMES OF LIFT AND INSTABILITY.
THESE INCLUDE...FROM TOP TO BOTTOM OF TROPOSPHERE...
-- STRENGTHENING/NEWD-MOVING UPPER DIVERGENCE AS STG SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER PORTIONS
IL/INDIANA/WRN KY/TN...APCHS AREA WITH MORE NEGATIVE TILT.
ASSOCIATED BAROCLINIC-LEAF SIGNATURE HAS BECOME VERY WELL-DEFINED
WITH COOLING IR CLOUD TOPS ACROSS NRN WV AND WRN PA DURING PAST 2-3
HOURS.
-- MIDLEVEL DCVA PRECEDING THAT TROUGH.
-- NARROW SW-NE ALIGNED RIBBONS OF MIDLEVEL CONDITIONAL SYMMETRIC
INSTABILITY SUPPORTING SLANTWISE CAPE UP TO ABOUT 200 J/KG.
-- LOW-MIDDLE LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING...ESPECIALLY STRONG 15-18Z
OVER S-CENTRAL THROUGH NERN PA AND INTERIOR SERN NY PER SREF
GUIDANCE.
-- ZONE OF ELEVATED CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY IN LOW-MIDDLE
LEVELS...INVOF RAIN/SNOW TRANSITON ZONE...SUPPORTING 100-300 J/KG
ELEVATED MUCAPE OVER ERN FRINGES OF DISCUSSION AREA THAT IN TURN CAN
ENABLE CONVECTIVELY AIDED SNOW BURSTS WITH OCNL THUNDER.

MODIFIED 6Z RNK/DCA RAOBS AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
NEAR-SATURATION IN LOW LEVELS...PRECLUDING APPRECIABLE WET-BULB
COOLING. HOWEVER...COLUMNAR DYNAMIC COOLING SHOULD OFFSET WAA IN
ELEVATED CONVEYOR ENOUGH TO YIELD DOMINANT PRECIP TYPE AS SNOW OVER
APPALACHIANS.

..EDWARDS.. 10/29/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...

LAT...LON 38997991 41957649 41897395 38947787 38997991

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KCYS [291112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291112
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
512 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 13 SE LARAMIE 41.18N 105.41W
10/29/2011 M42 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

VEDAUWOO WYDOT SITE. 40 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS FOR PAST
HOUR. PEAK GUST 52 MPH AT 417 AM.

&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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KCYS [291040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KCYS 291040
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
440 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
10/29/2011 M43.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

HALLECK RIDGE WYDOT SENSOR. SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF
40 MPH OVER THE PAST HOUR. PEAK GUST WAS 53 MPH AT 335
AM.

0425 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 5 NW ARLINGTON 41.64N 106.28W
10/29/2011 E43.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WAGONHOUND WYDOT SENSOR. SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40
MPH OVER THE PAST HOUR. PEAK GUST 52 MPH AT 335 AM.
CORRECTED REPORT.

&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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KCYS [291034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291034
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
434 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 NW ARLINGTON 41.64N 106.28W
10/29/2011 M43.0 INCH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WAGONHOUND WYDOT SENSOR. SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40
MPH OVER THE PAST HOUR. PEAK GUST 52 MPH AT 335 AM.

&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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KCYS [291030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 291030
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
430 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.76N 106.51W
10/29/2011 M43 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

HALLECK RIDGE WYDOT SENSOR. SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF
40 MPH OVER THE PAST HOUR. PEAK GUST WAS 53 MPH AT 335
AM.

&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 290837
SWOD48
SPC AC 290836

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 AM CDT SAT OCT 29 2011

VALID 011200Z - 061200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A PATTERN SHIFT WILL BE WELL UNDERWAY BY TUE/D4...AS UPPER RIDGING
TAKES PLACE OVER THE ERN STATES AND THE FIRST OF SEVERAL LARGE UPPER
TROUGHS DEVELOPS OVER THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS. LOW PRESSURE
WILL FORM OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS ON TUE/D4...WITH SLY FLOW
RETURNING ACROSS THE PLAINS. HOWEVER...ONCE AGAIN...LOW LEVEL
TRAJECTORIES WILL NOT FAVOR SUBSTANTIAL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTENING
WITH DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR ONLY IN THE 40S F.

BY WED/D5...MID TO UPPER 50S F DEWPOINTS WILL EXIST ACROSS OK AND
TX...AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A TIGHT
CYCLONICALLY CURVED JET MAX TRAVERSING THE SRN PLAINS DURING THE
DAY....AND DEVELOPING EWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BY THUR MORNING.

ALTHOUGH FORCING WILL BE STRONG ALONG THE COLD FRONT...INSTABILITY
WILL BE VERY WEAK DESPITE STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION PROFILES.
FORECAST GFS SOUNDINGS SHOW GENERALLY LESS THAN 200 J/KG MUCAPE
ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...WHICH WILL BE NARROWING WITH TIME...GETTING
PINCHED-OFF BETWEEN THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT INTO ERN OK/NERN TX AND
THE EXISTING DRY AIR/SURFACE HIGH OVER THE MS VALLEY REGION. AS A
RESULT...ONLY GENERAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED...WITH ANY SEVERE
THREAT BEING ISOLATED.

WED NIGHT INTO THUR...THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO A RATHER
DRY AIR MASS WITH LITTLE INSTABILITY FOR SEVERE STORMS.

BEHIND THIS TROUGH...ANOTHER VERY POWERFUL TROUGH IS FORECAST BY THE
MODELS...WHICH ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THIS VERY STRONG TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS ON FRI/D7
AND INTO SAT/D8. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE LITTLE TIME FOR MOISTURE
RETURN AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...AS THE PREVIOUS TROUGH WILL HAVE SENT
HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE WRN GULF THE DAY BEFORE. SO
AGAIN...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...BY VERY WEAK INSTABILITY
SHOULD MITIGATE SEVERE POTENTIAL.

..JEWELL.. 10/29/2011

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KTFX [290732]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 290732
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
132 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 14 W SAINT MARY 48.74N 113.74W
10/28/2011 M60 MPH GLACIER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

60 MPH WIND GUST AT GARDEN WALL

&&

$$

MPJ

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KTFX [290721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 290721
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
121 AM MDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 AM NON-TSTM WND GST HEART BUTTE 48.29N 112.84W
10/29/2011 M62 MPH PONDERA MT MESONET

62 MPH WIND GUST AT HEART BUTTE

&&

$$

MPJ

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 290658
SWODY3
SPC AC 290657

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 AM CDT SAT OCT 29 2011

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL EXTEND FROM THE LOW CENTER OVER THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES SWD INTO THE OH/TN VALLEYS AND TOWARDS THE CNTRL
GULF COAST MON MORNING. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL
BE SIMILARLY POSITIONED...WITH A SURFACE HIGH FROM THE E COAST SWWD
INTO THE GULF COAST STATES. WIND TRAJECTORIES WILL REMAIN DRY OUT OF
THIS HIGH...AND AS SUCH...LITTLE IF ANY CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WILL
BE PRESENT AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE OH VALLEY AND INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC DURING THE DAY.

AS THIS TROUGH EXITS THE E COAST OVERNIGHT...LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEEPEN OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
OFFSHORE.

ELSEWHERE...COOL BUT MOIST PROFILES WILL REMAIN OVER SRN FL...WITH
MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS AND NO CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER.

..JEWELL.. 10/29/2011

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 290526
SWODY1
SPC AC 290524

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 AM CDT SAT OCT 29 2011

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT A SIGNIFICANT UPPER TROUGH...NOW EVOLVING
ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS...WILL TURN EASTWARD
ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND MIDDLE/NORTH ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS
DURING THIS PERIOD...AS ANOTHER STRONG IMPULSE DIGS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. FORCING WITH THE LEAD
SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO SUPPORT STRONG CYCLOGENESIS...WITH RAPID
DEEPENING OF THE LOW EXPECTED ALONG A SURFACE FRONT OFF MID ATLANTIC
COASTAL AREAS BY MIDDAY TODAY...BEFORE IT MIGRATES NORTHEASTWARD AND
DEEPENS CONSIDERABLY FURTHER...TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT.

WITH PRE-FRONTAL LOW-LEVEL FLOW EXPECTED TO VEER TO A WESTERLY
COMPONENT ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA EARLY IN THE DAY...AND THE
WARM SECTOR OF THE CYCLONE TO THE NORTH OTHERWISE LIKELY TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW.
HOWEVER...STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT MAY CONTRIBUTE TO
CONSIDERABLE CONVECTION AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...BASED
WITHIN AN ELEVATED ZONE OF STEEPENING ISENTROPIC ASCENT...
INLAND...TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF THE DEEPENING LOW.
OTHERWISE...LOW THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES COULD LINGER THROUGH THE
DAYTIME HOURS NEAR SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS...AND PERHAPS
NEAR THE GREAT LAKES...BUT THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS
NEGLIGIBLE.

..KERR/COHEN.. 10/29/2011

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KTFX [290516]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 290516
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1115 PM MDT FRI OCT 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1021 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
10/28/2011 M64 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

64 MPH WIND GUST AT DEEP CREEK RAWS

&&

$$

MPJ

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KTFX [290511]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 290511
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1111 PM MDT FRI OCT 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
10/28/2011 M83 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

LOGAN PASS VISITOR CENTER REPORTS 83 MPH WIND GUST

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

$$

MPJ

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KTFX [290510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 290510
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1110 PM MDT FRI OCT 28 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
10/28/2011 M83 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

LOGAN PASS VISITOR CENTER REPORTS 83 MPH WIND GUST

&&

$$

MPJ

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 290438
SWODY2
SPC AC 290437

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 PM CDT FRI OCT 28 2011

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL STRETCH FROM THE PLAINS STATES EWD TO THE
ATLANTIC COAST...WITH EMBEDDED STRONG SHORTWAVES WITHIN. THE LEAD
WAVE WILL MOVE QUICKLY NEWD FROM NEW ENGLAND INTO SERN
CANADA...WHILE ANOTHER WAVE DIGS SEWD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY WITH
70+ KT MID LEVEL JET NOSING INTO THE MID MO VALLEY.

THIS SECOND SHORTWAVE WILL INDUCE A WEAK SURFACE LOW...OVER WI AT
00Z...WITH COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD INTO SRN MO. GIVEN PRESENCE OF
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN U.S...MOISTURE FOR INSTABILITY WILL BE
EXTREMELY LIMITED...AND MAY NOT EXIST AT ALL DESPITE STRONG LIFT AND
COOLING ALOFT. AS SUCH...ANY CONVECTION THAT DOES FORM ALONG THE
FRONT WILL NOT BE SEVERE.

ELSEWHERE...MOIST PROFILES WILL REMAIN OVER SRN FL...WHERE A WEAK
INSTABILITY GRADIENT WILL EXIST WITH ESELY WINDS OFF THE ATLANTIC.
HERE...LAPSE RATE PROFILES WILL BE QUITE POOR...BUT AN ISOLATED
LIGHTNING STRIKE CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

..JEWELL.. 10/29/2011

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2276

ACUS11 KWNS 290435
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290434
PAZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-291030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2276
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 PM CDT FRI OCT 28 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN VA...ERN WV...WRN/CNTRL MD...S-CNTRL PA

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 290434Z - 291030Z

EARLY-SEASON HEAVY SNOW...WITH RATES OF 1 TO LOCALLY 2 IN/HR...WILL
DEVELOP AND SPREAD NNEWD AFTER 09Z...AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

A STRONG MID-LEVEL IMPULSE ROUNDING THE BASE OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS WILL PROGRESS ENEWD TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC
TONIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS...INTENSE LOW/MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WILL
OCCUR BENEATH A POWERFUL UPPER-LEVEL SWLY JET MAX /CORE SPEEDS
REACHING 150 KT AT 250 MB AFTER 09Z/ OFFERING STRONG DCVA. THESE
ELEMENTS ARE BEING MANIFESTED IN THE BAROCLINIC LEAF STRUCTURE
ALREADY TAKING SHAPE OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY PER
RECENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF AN 850-MB WAVE...WHICH IS FORECAST TO RIDE NEWD ALONG
A BAROCLINIC ZONE STRETCHING FROM THE WRN CAROLINAS INTO THE
DELMARVA REGION. INCREASING ELY/SELY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS WAVE WILL
ENHANCE UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS. ALSO OF
NOTE...SUBSTANTIAL LOW/MID-LEVEL MOISTENING HAS ALREADY TAKEN PLACE
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE EARLIER PASSAGE OF A LEAD WAVE /REF
BLACKSBURG AND STERLING VA 00Z RAOBS/. GIVEN THESE FACTORS...AN
INCREASE IN SNOWFALL RATES IS ANTICIPATED FROM SSW TO NNE AFTER
09Z...AS AFFIRMED BY RECENT RUNS OF THE EXPERIMENTAL HRRR AND
EXPERIMENTAL ENSEMBLE HIGH-RESOLUTION WRF GUIDANCE.

SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 IN/HR WILL BE LIKELY THROUGHOUT THE DISCUSSION
AREA. HOWEVER...THE MOST FAVORABLE JUXTAPOSITION OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED FORCING MECHANISMS COULD SUPPORT LOCALLY HIGHER RATES
/POSSIBLY UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR/ WITHIN 35 MILES EITHER SIDE OF A
LINE FROM STAUNTON VA TO HAGERSTOWN MD TO HARRISBURG PA. ALSO IN
THIS AREA...NAM/GFS CROSS SECTIONS OF THETA-E AND GEOSTROPHIC
MOMENTUM SUGGEST CONDITIONAL SYMMETRIC INSTABILITY DEVELOPING IN THE
MID LEVELS TOWARD 12Z...COINCIDENT WITH SLANTWISE CAPE INCREASING TO
150-200 J/KG PER EXPERIMENTAL NAM OUTPUT. THIS WILL FAVOR
WSW-ENE-ORIENTED HEAVY SNOW BANDS...AND AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE
OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE HEAVY SNOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...WITH RATES TAPERING OFF FROM SSW TO NNE
AFTER 18Z. FOR LOCATIONS FARTHER EAST /INCLUDING AREAS FROM
BALTIMORE TO THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA/...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
THAT WARMER THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL BE LESS CONDUCIVE FOR HEAVY
SNOW.

..COHEN.. 10/29/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...

LAT...LON 37757909 37457967 37508016 37838050 38848036 39697979
40187921 40447854 40507743 40247664 39517678 38687774
38087850 37757909

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KMFL [290431]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KMFL 290431
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1231 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 PM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH MIAMI 25.71N 80.30W
10/28/2011 MIAMI-DADE FL PUBLIC

A PRIVATE CITIZEN CALLED IN TO SAY A TREE WAS DOWNED IN
HER YARD THAT KNOCKED DOWN POWER LINES IN HER AREA.

&&

$$

DIEHL

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KMFL [290424]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 290424
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1223 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1217 AM TSTM WND DMG SOUTH MIAMI 25.71N 80.30W
10/29/2011 MIAMI-DADE FL UNKNOWN

A PRIVATE CITIZEN CALLED IN TO SAY A TREE WAS DOWNED IN
HER YARD THAT KNOCKED DOWN POWER LINES IN HER AREA.

&&

$$

DIEHL

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