KLCH [251537]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 251537
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
937 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0925 AM HAIL ALEXANDRIA 31.29N 92.46W
12/25/2012 E0.25 INCH RAPIDES LA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS VIA FACEBOOK, PEA SIZE HAIL NEAR
ALEXANDRIA. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.


&&

$$

DJONES

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KHGX [251535]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 251535
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
935 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 AM TORNADO 9 NW CROCKETT 31.41N 95.56W
12/25/2012 HOUSTON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

POSSIBLE TORNADO REPORTED NEAR HOUSTON COUNTY LAKE


&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1200061

$$

KP

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KHGX [251533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 251533
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
932 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0922 AM TORNADO 13 SE CROCKETT 31.18N 95.30W
12/25/2012 HOUSTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

PUBLIC REPORT OF TORNADO DAMAGE ON 287 WITH A DESTROYED
BUILDING.

0922 AM TORNADO 15 SE CROCKETT 31.16N 95.28W
12/25/2012 TRINITY TX TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED TORNADO PASSED THROUGH PASTURE
BEHIND HOME.


&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1200059
EVENT NUMBER HGX1200060

$$

KP

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2208

ACUS11 KWNS 251532
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251531
TXZ000-OKZ000-252030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2208
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0931 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SWRN/S-CNTRL OK...WRN NORTH TX AND PARTS OF
N-CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 251531Z - 252030Z

SUMMARY...INITIALLY MIXED PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING OVER...AND 120
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF THE RED RIVER...WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. PRECIPITATION
WILL TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW BETWEEN 17Z AND 21Z.

DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR LOOPS DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC SWIRL
MARKING THE CENTER OF A COMPACT MID-LEVEL VORT MAX 55 NNW ABI AS OF
1445Z...WHICH IS TRACKING EWD. PRECIPITATION RATES WILL LIKELY
INCREASE DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...OWING TO STRONG DCVA
PRECEDING THE CYCLONE CENTER...COMBINED WITH ISENTROPIC ASCENT ATOP
AN OROGRAPHICALLY ENHANCED COLD DOME E OF THE ROCKIES. WITH
LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES EMBEDDED WITHIN A WARM CONVEYOR BELT FAVORING
THE INFLUX OF RELATIVELY RICHER MOISTURE -- UPSTREAM SOUNDINGS AT
00Z AND 12Z SUGGESTING LOWEST 100-MB MEAN MIXING RATIOS OF
4-7 G/KG -- PRECIPITATION RATES WILL FURTHER INCREASE AS THE FORCING
FOR ASCENT INCREASES.

THROUGH 17Z...A MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OWING TO THE
EXISTENCE OF WARMER AIR ALOFT -- E.G. ELEVATED WARM NOSE SAMPLED BY
THE 12Z NORMAN SOUNDING FEATURING 2-2.8C TEMPERATURES IN THE
900-815-MB LAYER. SLEET...ALONG WITH FREEZING RAIN WITH RATES OF
0.05-0.10 IN PER HOUR...WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS S-CNTRL
OK IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO WARMER TEMPERATURES ALOFT. RAIN WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF N-CNTRL TX WHERE ABOVE-FREEZING
TEMPERATURES EXIST THROUGH A DEEPER LAYER IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE.
PRECIPITATION WILL MORE QUICKLY TRANSITION TO SNOW WITHIN AN ARC
FROM CNTRL OK TO SWRN OK AND WRN NORTH TX...AS DEEPER COLD AIR WRAPS
AROUND THE NWRN QUADRANT OF A ERN-TX SFC LOW AND ADIABATIC COOLING
OCCURS WITH FORCING FOR ASCENT LEADING THE MID-LEVEL VORT MAX.

BETWEEN 17Z AND 21Z...SNOW WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD...WITH THE
PRECIPITATION-TYPE TRANSITION ZONE SHIFTING EWD/SEWD ACROSS S-CNTRL
OK AND NRN TX. SNOWFALL RATES REACHING 1-1.5 IN/HR WILL OCCUR AS
MID-LEVEL ASCENT EXTENDS THROUGH THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE CENTERED
AROUND 600 MB. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR ACROSS
SWRN/S-CNTRL OK AND WRN N TX...WHERE CONFLUENCE WITHIN A DEFORMATION
ZONE ALOFT SHOULD LOCALLY ENHANCE THE ASCENDING BRANCH OF A
FRONTOGENETIC CIRCULATION W/NW OF THE DEEPER CYCLONE.

OF NOTE...LOCALIZED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SWRN/S-CNTRL OK AND ADJACENT NRN TX...WHERE FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE 0-1-KM MEAN FLOW INCREASING TO 30-40 KT. OK MESONET
OBSERVATIONS ALREADY INDICATE 20-30 MPH SUSTAINED NLY WINDS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS ONGOING. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD INCREASE OWING TO THE
TIGHTENING SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT AND INCREASING DIFFERENTIAL COLD
ADVECTION IN THE LOW LEVELS SUPPORTING DESTABILIZATION JUST ABOVE
THE SFC. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35-40 MPH MAY OCCUR IN SOME
LOCATIONS...SUPPORTING WHITEOUT CONDITIONS/NEAR-ZERO VISIBILITIES.

..COHEN.. 12/25/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON 33849692 32889699 32519731 32369789 32749902 34089948
34859959 35359924 35709871 35669777 35259734 33849692

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KAMA [251525]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 251525
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
925 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0924 AM SNOW BORGER 35.66N 101.40W
12/25/2012 E1.0 INCH HUTCHINSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200787

$$

ABM

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KPUB [251520]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 251520
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
820 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0803 AM SNOW 1 W MONUMENT 39.10N 104.90W
12/25/2012 M2.0 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STOPPED SNOWING.


&&

$$

PJC

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KMSO [251520]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 251520
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
819 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 PM SNOW 9 SSW HAPPYS INN 47.97N 115.22W
12/24/2012 M4.2 INCH LINCOLN MT PUBLIC



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 694

WWUS20 KWNS 251518
SEL4
SPC WW 251518
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-252200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 694
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
920 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 920 AM UNTIL
400 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HUNTSVILLE TEXAS TO 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 692...WW 693...

DISCUSSION...SFC-BASED SUPERCELL/TORNADO THREAT FCST TO INCREASE AND
SHIFT EWD ACROSS WW AREA THROUGH AFTN. WARM SECTOR EXPECTED TO
SHIFTS FARTHER INLAND AND BECOMES OVERLAIN BY STRENGTHENING
MID-UPPER FLOW AND ASCENT...PER SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2207.
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LARGE HAIL AND A FEW STG/DAMAGING TORNADOES
WITH ANY SUSTAINED/DISCRETE SUPERCELLS. BOW-ECHO/QLCS CIRCULATIONS
ALSO MAY BECOME TORNADIC...IN ADDITION TO SVR GUST POTENTIAL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.


...EDWARDS

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KMSO [251514]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 251514
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
813 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW 2 NW HERON 48.08N 116.00W
12/24/2012 M3.2 INCH SANDERS MT COOP OBSERVER



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KFWD [251514]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 251514
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
914 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0825 AM HAIL 4 SSE ELKHART 31.57N 95.55W
12/25/2012 E1.00 INCH ANDERSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

QUARTER SIZED HAIL NEAR MOUND CITY

$$

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KMSO [251512]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 251512
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
811 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY SNOW PIERCE 46.49N 115.80W
12/25/2012 M7.4 INCH CLEARWATER ID COOP OBSERVER



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 691

WWUS20 KWNS 251503
SEL1
SPC WW 251503
LAZ000-TXZ000-251500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 691
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
903 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 691 ISSUED AT 140 AM CST FOR PORTIONS OF

LOUISIANA
TEXAS

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 693

WWUS20 KWNS 251459
SEL3
SPC WW 251459
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-252200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 693
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
855 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EXTREME SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
EXTREME WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 855 AM UNTIL
400 PM CST.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF LONGVIEW TEXAS TO 55 MILES EAST OF MONROE LOUISIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 691...WW 692...

DISCUSSION...SVR TSTMS WITH HAIL AND ISOLATED GUSTS SHOULD INCREASE
IN COVERAGE AND SHIFT ENEWD ACROSS WW AREA THROUGH AFTN...N OF SFC
WARM FRONT OVER SE TX AND SRN LA. 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR
MAGNITUDES AND ELEVATED MUCAPE UP TO 1000 J/KG WILL SUPPORT TSTM
ORGANIZATION.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...EDWARDS

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KBOU [251452]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 251452
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
751 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSW BOULDER 40.00N 105.27W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH BOULDER CO NWS EMPLOYEE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE

0745 AM SNOW 2 WSW NORTHGLENN 39.90N 105.01W
12/25/2012 M2.2 INCH ADAMS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW 1 NNW CHEESMAN RESERVOI 39.22N 105.28W
12/25/2012 M5.5 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW N KEN CARYL 39.58N 105.11W
12/25/2012 M4.9 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW 1 WSW BROOMFIELD 39.93N 105.08W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH BROOMFIELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0722 AM SNOW 1 NW GRANT 39.46N 105.68W
12/25/2012 M5.0 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0720 AM SNOW GENOA 39.28N 103.50W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH LINCOLN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0710 AM SNOW 3 SE DENVER 39.69N 104.93W
12/25/2012 M2.3 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 4 WSW THURMAN 39.57N 103.29W
12/25/2012 M1.8 INCH WASHINGTON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 3 SW HOLYOKE 40.55N 102.34W
12/25/2012 M1.7 INCH PHILLIPS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 3 ENE WHITE RANCH OPEN 39.83N 105.24W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW ENE DILLON 39.63N 106.04W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW ESE ESTES PARK 40.37N 105.51W
12/25/2012 M4.3 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 4 E PINECLIFFE 39.94N 105.35W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM SNOW NNW CROOK 40.86N 102.80W
12/25/2012 M1.0 INCH LOGAN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM SNOW HEREFORD 40.97N 104.30W
12/25/2012 M1.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 AM SNOW GENESEE 39.69N 105.27W
12/25/2012 M4.6 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 AM SNOW N LONGMONT 40.17N 105.11W
12/25/2012 M2.5 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 4 NE THORNTON 39.93N 104.90W
12/25/2012 M1.9 INCH ADAMS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 3 SSE SILVER PLUME 39.65N 105.71W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH CLEAR CREEK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 10 NE PAWNEE BUTTES 40.93N 103.87W
12/25/2012 M2.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0550 AM SNOW 1 SSW LAFAYETTE 39.99N 105.10W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0537 AM SNOW BLACK HAWK 39.80N 105.49W
12/25/2012 M3.7 INCH GILPIN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0425 AM SNOW 3 W GREELEY 40.42N 104.80W
12/25/2012 M3.8 INCH WELD CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0410 AM SNOW 1 SE FREDERICK 40.09N 104.93W
12/25/2012 M2.4 INCH WELD CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0410 AM SNOW 4 E FORT COLLINS 40.56N 104.99W
12/25/2012 M1.9 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

1154 PM SNOW 4 S EVERGREEN 39.58N 105.34W
12/24/2012 M2.2 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0954 PM SNOW 5 ESE PINECLIFFE 39.90N 105.35W
12/24/2012 M2.5 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0945 PM SNOW 4 ENE NEDERLAND 39.99N 105.45W
12/24/2012 M2.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0644 PM SNOW 2 SSE ESTES PARK 40.34N 105.51W
12/24/2012 M1.4 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JK

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KPUB [251449]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 251449
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
749 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 AM SNOW 2 ENE MONUMENT 39.11N 104.84W
12/25/2012 M2.8 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

PJC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2207

ACUS11 KWNS 251446
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251446
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-251545-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2207
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0846 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...E AND SE TX/WRN AND NRN LA/PART OF WEST
CENTRAL-SWRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 691...

VALID 251446Z - 251545Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 691
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A NEW SVR TSTM WATCH WILL BE COORDINATED BY 1450Z WITH
AFFECTED WFO/S FROM NE/E TX THROUGH NRN LA TO WEST CENTRAL-SWRN
MS...WITH HAIL AND A LOCAL STRONG WIND GUST POSSIBLE.

A TORNADO WATCH IS LIKELY TO BE ISSUED FOR MUCH OF SERN TX/UPPER TX
COAST AREA INTO SWRN LA TO THE WEST OF WW 692...AS AN INCREASE IN
SURFACE-BASED DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AFTER 15Z.

DISCUSSION...EARLY MORNING TRENDS IN UPPER AIR DATA/SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWED A VIGOROUS...DIGGING SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ESEWD
ACROSS WRN INTO CENTRAL TX...WITH 140 METER/12 HR 500 MB HEIGHT
FALLS AT 12Z AT MAF. STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT/DPVA WILL SPREAD EWD
INTO E TX/LOWER MS VALLEY TODAY. AT 14Z...A WARM FRONT EXTENDED EWD
FROM A SURFACE LOW NEAR CLL THROUGH SRN LA /60-80 MILES N OF THE
GULF COAST/ AND INTO FAR SERN MS TO ALONG THE COAST OF THE WRN FL
PANHANDLE.

...NERN TX/NRN LA/WEST CENTRAL-SWRN MS...
REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED ONGOING TSTMS ALONG AND N OF THE WARM
FRONT IN MUCH OF THE NERN QUARTER OF TX...WITH THIS ACTIVITY
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/ADVANCE ENEWD INTO NRN LA AND EVENTUALLY WEST
CENTRAL-SWRN MS THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES AOA 8 C/KM PER 12Z TX AND LCH SOUNDINGS AND STRONG EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR EXCEEDING 60 KT WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED SUPERCELLS WITH
HAIL BEING THE PRIMARY THREAT. HOWEVER...A LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUST
CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS MORE
SHALLOW.

...SERN TX TO SWRN LA...
STRONG VERTICALLY VEERING WINDS ARE RESULTING IN EFFECTIVE SRH OF
300-400 MS/S2 ALONG AND S OF THE WARM FRONT. THESE VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE LLJ
STRENGTHENS TO AROUND 50 KT AND A 90-100 KT WLY MIDLEVEL JET
TRANSLATES EWD INTO SE TX...LA AND SRN MS. THIS COMBINED WITH
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG BULK SHEAR WILL SUPPORT WELL
ORGANIZED STORMS/SUPERCELLS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED SOME
POTENTIAL SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF A LEAD IMPULSE IN THE NWRN GULF.
HOWEVER...STRONG/DEEP LAYER ASCENT WILL MOVE INTO SERN TX THIS
MORNING...PROMOTING SURFACE-BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT AND THE THREAT
FOR TORNADOES.

..PETERS/EDWARDS.. 12/25/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON 31459601 32399515 32699297 32619093 32199065 31359145
31039175 30559251 29629263 29619335 29199464 28599583
28299625 29759624 31459601

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KBOU [251446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 251446
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
746 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 AM SNOW 2 WSW NORTHGLENN 39.90N 105.01W
12/25/2012 M2.2 INCH ADAMS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW 1 WSW BROOMFIELD 39.93N 105.08W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH BROOMFIELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW N KEN CARYL 39.58N 105.11W
12/25/2012 M4.9 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0722 AM SNOW 1 NW GRANT 39.46N 105.68W
12/25/2012 M5.0 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0720 AM SNOW GENOA 39.28N 103.50W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH LINCOLN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0710 AM SNOW 3 SE DENVER 39.69N 104.93W
12/25/2012 M2.3 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 3 ENE WHITE RANCH OPEN 39.83N 105.24W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW ENE DILLON 39.63N 106.04W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 3 SW HOLYOKE 40.55N 102.34W
12/25/2012 M1.7 INCH PHILLIPS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW ESE ESTES PARK 40.37N 105.51W
12/25/2012 M4.3 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 4 E PINECLIFFE 39.94N 105.35W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 4 WSW THURMAN 39.57N 103.29W
12/25/2012 M1.8 INCH WASHINGTON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM SNOW NNW CROOK 40.86N 102.80W
12/25/2012 M1.0 INCH LOGAN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM SNOW HEREFORD 40.97N 104.30W
12/25/2012 M1.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 AM SNOW GENESEE 39.69N 105.27W
12/25/2012 M4.6 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 AM SNOW N LONGMONT 40.17N 105.11W
12/25/2012 M2.5 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 10 NE PAWNEE BUTTES 40.93N 103.87W
12/25/2012 M2.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 3 SSE SILVER PLUME 39.65N 105.71W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH CLEAR CREEK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 4 NE THORNTON 39.93N 104.90W
12/25/2012 M1.9 INCH ADAMS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0550 AM SNOW 1 SSW LAFAYETTE 39.99N 105.10W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0537 AM SNOW BLACK HAWK 39.80N 105.49W
12/25/2012 M3.7 INCH GILPIN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 AM SNOW 2 SSW BOULDER 40.00N 105.27W
12/25/2012 M5.5 INCH BOULDER CO NWS EMPLOYEE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE

0425 AM SNOW 3 W GREELEY 40.42N 104.80W
12/25/2012 M3.8 INCH WELD CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0410 AM SNOW 1 SE FREDERICK 40.09N 104.93W
12/25/2012 M2.4 INCH WELD CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0410 AM SNOW 4 E FORT COLLINS 40.56N 104.99W
12/25/2012 M1.9 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

1154 PM SNOW 4 S EVERGREEN 39.58N 105.34W
12/24/2012 M2.2 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0954 PM SNOW 5 ESE PINECLIFFE 39.90N 105.35W
12/24/2012 M2.5 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0945 PM SNOW 4 ENE NEDERLAND 39.99N 105.45W
12/24/2012 M2.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0644 PM SNOW 2 SSE ESTES PARK 40.34N 105.51W
12/24/2012 M1.4 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JK

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KFWD [251439]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 251439
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
839 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 AM HAIL PALESTINE 31.75N 95.63W
12/25/2012 E0.88 INCH ANDERSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN PALESTINE

$$

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KCYS [251438]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 251438
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
738 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 AM SNOW 6 NE ALBIN 41.48N 104.02W
12/25/2012 M4.0 INCH BANNER NE OTHER FEDERAL

0715 AM SNOW 8 NW SIDNEY 41.22N 103.08W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH CHEYENNE NE OTHER FEDERAL

0715 AM SNOW 1 W CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.81W
12/25/2012 M2.5 INCH LARAMIE WY OTHER FEDERAL

AT F.E. WARREN AFB.

0715 AM SNOW 12 NE SIDNEY 41.26N 102.81W
12/25/2012 M0.5 INCH CHEYENNE NE OTHER FEDERAL

0715 AM SNOW 8 NE SIDNEY 41.22N 102.86W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH CHEYENNE NE OTHER FEDERAL

0715 AM SNOW 5 S DIX 41.16N 103.49W
12/25/2012 M2.0 INCH KIMBALL NE OTHER FEDERAL

0715 AM SNOW DIX 41.23N 103.49W
12/25/2012 M2.0 INCH KIMBALL NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

HAHN

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KPUB [251430]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 251430
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
730 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 AM SNOW 5 WSW WALSENBURG 37.59N 104.87W
12/25/2012 M2.5 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0609 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24HR TOTAL. WOLF CREEK SKI AREA.

0344 AM SNOW 1 NNW MONARCH PASS 38.51N 106.33W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL. MONARCH SKI AREA.

0123 AM SNOW 6 E MONUMENT 39.10N 104.76W
12/25/2012 M2.7 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1019 PM SNOW 1 W MONUMENT 39.10N 104.90W
12/24/2012 M1.0 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

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KPUB [251428]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 251428
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
728 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 AM SNOW 5 WSW WALSENBURG 37.59N 104.87W
12/25/2012 M2.5 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0609 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24HR TOTAL. WOLF CREEK SKI AREA.

0344 AM SNOW 1 NNW MONARCH PASS 38.51N 106.33W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL. MONARCH SKI AREA.

0123 AM SNOW 6 E MONUMENT 39.10N 104.76W
12/25/2012 M2.7 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1019 PM SNOW 1 W MONUMENT 39.10N 104.90W
12/24/2012 M1.0 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

THE TOTALS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET
CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE
FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION.


SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT

INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
6.00 1 NNW MONARCH PASS CO CHAFFEE 0344 AM
24 HOUR TOTAL. MONARCH SKI AREA.
6.00 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS CO MINERAL 0609 AM
24HR TOTAL. WOLF CREEK SKI AREA.
2.70 6 E MONUMENT CO EL PASO 0123 AM
2.50 5 WSW WALSENBURG CO HUERFANO 0720 AM
1.00 1 W MONUMENT CO EL PASO 1019 PM

$$

PJC

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KPUB [251428]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 251428
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
728 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 AM SNOW 5 WSW WALSENBURG 37.59N 104.87W
12/25/2012 M2.5 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0609 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24HR TOTAL. WOLF CREEK SKI AREA.

0344 AM SNOW 1 NNW MONARCH PASS 38.51N 106.33W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL. MONARCH SKI AREA.

0123 AM SNOW 6 E MONUMENT 39.10N 104.76W
12/25/2012 M2.7 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1019 PM SNOW 1 W MONUMENT 39.10N 104.90W
12/24/2012 M1.0 INCH EL PASO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

PJC

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KBOU [251425]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 251425
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
725 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0722 AM SNOW 1 NW GRANT 39.46N 105.68W
12/25/2012 M5.0 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0710 AM SNOW 3 SE DENVER 39.69N 104.93W
12/25/2012 M2.3 INCH DENVER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW ESE ESTES PARK 40.37N 105.51W
12/25/2012 M4.3 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 4 WSW THURMAN 39.57N 103.29W
12/25/2012 M1.8 INCH WASHINGTON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 3 SW HOLYOKE 40.55N 102.34W
12/25/2012 M1.7 INCH PHILLIPS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 AM SNOW NNW CROOK 40.86N 102.80W
12/25/2012 M1.0 INCH LOGAN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0625 AM SNOW GENESEE 39.69N 105.27W
12/25/2012 M4.6 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 AM SNOW N LONGMONT 40.17N 105.11W
12/25/2012 M2.5 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 3 SSE SILVER PLUME 39.65N 105.71W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH CLEAR CREEK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 4 NE THORNTON 39.93N 104.90W
12/25/2012 M1.9 INCH ADAMS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 AM SNOW 10 NE PAWNEE BUTTES 40.93N 103.87W
12/25/2012 M2.0 INCH WELD CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0550 AM SNOW 1 SSW LAFAYETTE 39.99N 105.10W
12/25/2012 M3.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0537 AM SNOW BLACK HAWK 39.80N 105.49W
12/25/2012 M3.7 INCH GILPIN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 AM SNOW 2 SSW BOULDER 40.00N 105.27W
12/25/2012 M5.5 INCH BOULDER CO NWS EMPLOYEE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE

0425 AM SNOW 3 W GREELEY 40.42N 104.80W
12/25/2012 M3.8 INCH WELD CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0410 AM SNOW 4 E FORT COLLINS 40.56N 104.99W
12/25/2012 M1.9 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0410 AM SNOW 1 SE FREDERICK 40.09N 104.93W
12/25/2012 M2.4 INCH WELD CO NWS EMPLOYEE

1154 PM SNOW 4 S EVERGREEN 39.58N 105.34W
12/24/2012 M2.2 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0954 PM SNOW 5 ESE PINECLIFFE 39.90N 105.35W
12/24/2012 M2.5 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0945 PM SNOW 4 ENE NEDERLAND 39.99N 105.45W
12/24/2012 M2.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0644 PM SNOW 2 SSE ESTES PARK 40.34N 105.51W
12/24/2012 M1.4 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JK

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KGLD [251422]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 251422
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
722 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0721 AM SNOW 4 E VERNON 39.93N 102.24W
12/25/2012 M2.5 INCH YUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

JMARTIN

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KPUB [251420]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 251420
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
720 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 AM SNOW 5 WSW WALSENBURG 37.59N 104.87W
12/25/2012 M2.5 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

PJC

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KDDC [251346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 251346
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
746 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0743 AM SNOW 12 NNW LAKIN 38.10N 101.36W
12/25/2012 M1.0 INCH KEARNY KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MSCOTT

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KDDC [251342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 251342
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
742 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0741 AM SNOW LAKIN 37.94N 101.26W
12/25/2012 E1.0 INCH KEARNY KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MSCOTT

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 692

WWUS20 KWNS 251326
SEL2
SPC WW 251326
LAZ000-CWZ000-251900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 692
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
725 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 725 AM UNTIL
100 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA TO 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF SLIDELL
LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 691...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE RECENTLY INTENSIFIED OVER S-CNTRL
LA...APPARENTLY IN RESPONSE TO A LOW-LATITUDE PERTURBATION
TRANSLATING ENEWD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. 12Z LCH/LIX SOUNDINGS
SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF A MOIST AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
A WEAKENING CAP WITH EWD EXTENT ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. GIVEN THE
PRESENCE OF ALREADY SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS...A RISK FOR TORNADOES AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL
EXIST WITH ANY SUSTAINED STORMS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.


...MEAD

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KAMA [251324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 251324
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
724 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0723 AM SNOW SKELLYTOWN 35.57N 101.17W
12/25/2012 E1.0 INCH CARSON TX PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200786

$$

ABM

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KAMA [251322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 251322
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
721 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0719 AM SNOW VEGA 35.25N 102.43W
12/25/2012 E2.0 INCH OLDHAM TX LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200785

$$

BUFFALO

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KAMA [251320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 251320
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
720 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0719 AM SNOW 5 ENE GLENRIO 35.21N 102.94W
12/25/2012 M4.0 INCH OLDHAM TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NEAR ZERO VISIBILITIES ALSO REPORTED


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200784

$$

BUFFALO

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KPUB [251320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 251320
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
620 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0609 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24HR TOTAL. WOLF CREEK SKI AREA.

0344 AM SNOW 1 NNW MONARCH PASS 38.51N 106.33W
12/25/2012 M6.0 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL. MONARCH SKI AREA.


&&

$$

PJC

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KCYS [251315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 251315
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
615 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0611 AM SNOW LINGLE 42.14N 104.35W
12/25/2012 M4.0 INCH GOSHEN WY TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MWEILAND

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KCYS [251314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 251314
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
613 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 19 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.10N 107.13W
12/25/2012 E7.2 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE DIVIDE PEAK SNOTEL SITE IN THE SIERRA
MADRE RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 8880 FEET. NO NEW
MEASUREABLE SNOW WAS ESTIMATED SINCE 7 PM. THE SNOWFALL
IS THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 2 AM.

0500 AM SNOW 17 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.03N 107.03W
12/25/2012 E9.9 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE SANDSTONE RANGER STATION SNOTEL SITE IN
THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 8150 FEET.
SINCE 7 PM THE SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT WAS 0.1 AND THE SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIO WAS 15 TO 1. THE ESTIMATED SNOWFALL BETWEEN
7 PM AND 2 AM WAS 1.5 AND THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS
9.9 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 10 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.15N 106.97W
12/25/2012 E12.0 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE OLD BATTLE SNOTEL SITE IN THE SIERRA
MADRE RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 10000 FEET. SINCE 7 PM...
THE SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT WAS 0.1 AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID
RATIO WAS 15 TO 1. THE ESTIMATED SNOWFALL BETWEEN 7 PM AND
2 AM WAS 1.5 AND THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 12.0 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 5 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.16N 106.86W
12/25/2012 E9.0 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE WEBBER SPRINGS SNOTEL SITE IN THE SIERRA
MADRE RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 9250 FEET. SINCE 7 PM...THE
SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT WAS 0.1 AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO
WAS 15 TO 1. THE SNOWFALL BETWEEN 7 PM AND 2 AM WAS 1.5 AND
THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 9.0 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 35 S RAWLINS 41.40N 107.26W
12/25/2012 E9.0 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE SAGE CREEK BASIN SNOTEL SITE IN THE
SIERRA MADRE RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 7850 FEET. SINCE
7 PM...THE SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT WAS 0.2 AND THE SNOW TO
LIQUID RATIO WAS 15 TO 1. THE SNOWFALL BETWEEN 7 PM AND
2 AM WAS 3.0 INCHES AND THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 9.0
INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 28 E SAVERY 41.02N 106.91W
12/25/2012 E9.9 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE WHISKEY PARK SNOTEL SITE IN THE SIERRA
MADRE RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 8950 FEET. SINCE 7 PM...
THE SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT WAS 0.1 AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID
RATIO WAS 15 TO 1. THE SNOWFALL BETWEEN 7 PM AND 2 AM WAS
1.5 INCHES AND THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS 9.9 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 11 SSE ENCAMPMENT 41.06N 106.71W
12/25/2012 E12.0 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE BLACKHALL MOUNTAIN SNOTEL SITE IN THE
SIERRA MADRE RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 9820 FEET. SINCE
7 PM...THE SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT WAS .1 AND THE SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIO WAS 15 TO 1. THE SNOWFALL BETWEEN 7 PM
AND 2 AM WAS 1.5 INCHES AND THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS
12.0 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 14 E DIXON 41.05N 107.27W
12/25/2012 E6.6 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE BATTLE MOUNTAIN SNOTEL SITE IN THE
SIERRA MADRE RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 7440 FEET. SINCE
7 PM...THE SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT WAS .2 AND THE SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIO WAS 15 TO 1. THE SNOWFALL BETWEEN 7 PM
AND 2 AM WAS 3.0 INCHES AND THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WAS
6.6 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 17 ENE RIVERSIDE 41.31N 106.48W
12/25/2012 E2.4 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE SOUTH BRUSH CREEK SNOTEL SITE IN THE
SNOWY RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 8440 FEET. NO NEW
MEASUREABLE SNOW FELL SINCE 7 PM. THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL
IS 2.4 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 12 WNW CENTENNIAL 41.37N 106.32W
12/25/2012 E3.0 INCHES ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE NORTH FRENCH CREEK SNOTEL SITE IN THE
SNOWY RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 10130 FEET. NO NEW
MEASUREABLE SNOW FELL SINCE 7 PM. THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL
IS 3.0 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 30 WNW LARAMIE 41.48N 106.12W
12/25/2012 E7.5 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE SAND LAKE SNOTEL SITE IN THE SNOWY RANGE
AT AN ELEVATION OF 10050 FEET. NO NEW MEASUREABLE SNOW
FELL SINCE 7 PM. THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IS 7.5 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 7 NW CENTENNIAL 41.37N 106.21W
12/25/2012 E6.0 INCH ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE BROOKLYN SNOTEL SITE IN THE SNOWY RANGE
AT AN ELEVATION OF 10240 FEET. NO NEW MEASUREABLE SNOW
FELL SINCE 7 PM. THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IS 6.0 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 6 SW CENTENNIAL 41.24N 106.19W
12/25/2012 E10.0 INCHES ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE CINNABAR PARK SNOTEL SITE IN THE SNOWY
RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 9574 FEET. THE SNOW WATER
EQUIVALENT WAS 0.2 AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO WAS 15 TO
1. THE SNOWFALL BETWEEN 7 PM AND 2 AM WAS 3.0 INCHES AND
THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IS 10.0 INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 21 SSE ELK MOUNTAIN 41.41N 106.26W
12/25/2012 E6.0 INCHES CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE MEDICINE BOW SNOTEL SITE IN THE SNOWY
RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 10510 FEET. NO NEW MEASUREABLE
SNOW FELL SINCE 7 PM. THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IS 6.0
INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 12 SW ESTERBROOK 42.28N 105.38W
12/25/2012 E2.4 INCHES ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE WINDY PEAK SNOTEL SITE IN THE LARAMIE
RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 7900 FEET. NO NEW MEASUREABLE
SNOW FELL SINCE 7 PM. THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IS 2.4
INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 38 SW DOUGLAS 42.44N 105.86W
12/25/2012 E4.5 INCHES ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE LA PRELE CREEK SNOTEL SITE IN THE LARAMIE
RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 8375 FEET. NO NEW MEASUREABLE
SNOW FELL SINCE 7 PM. THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IS 4.5
INCHES.

0500 AM SNOW 10 SE LARAMIE 41.23N 105.38W
12/25/2012 E4.5 INCHES ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

THIS IS FROM THE CROW CREEK SNOTEL SITE IN THE LARAMIE
RANGE AT AN ELEVATION OF 8330 FEET. SINCE 7 PM...THE SNOW
WATER EQUIVALENT WAS 0.1 AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO WAS
15 TO 1. THE SNOWFALL BETWEEN 7 PM AND 2 AM WAS 1.5 INCHES
AND THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IS 2.7 INCHES.

&&

$$

MWEILAND

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KAMA [251305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 251305
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
705 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0703 AM SNOW DALHART 36.06N 102.52W
12/25/2012 E1.0 INCH HARTLEY TX PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200783

$$

BUFFALO

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2206

ACUS11 KWNS 251300
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251300
LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-251400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2206
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0700 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN LA AND PORTIONS OF SERN TX INCLUDING THE UPPER
TX COAST

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 251300Z - 251400Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AN INCREASE IN SURFACE-BASED TSTMS IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING HOURS IN THE WARM SECTOR SOUTH OF A
WARM FRONT. SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS ARE LIKELY WITH A THREAT
FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. ONE OR MORE TORNADO
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BY 16Z.

DISCUSSION...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE OVER S
TX THIS MORNING AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. A
WARM FRONT EXTENDED FROM NR GYB TO BTR AT 12Z AND WILL LIFT SLOWLY
NWD THIS MORNING AS THE SFC LOW MOVES EWD TO N OF HOU BY 16Z.
CONTINUED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION COUPLED WITH COOLING
MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES AS THE SHORTWAVE APPROACHES WILL RESULT IN A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH SBCAPE INCREASING TO BETWEEN 1500
AND 2000 J/KG. WIND FIELDS THROUGHOUT THE LOWER/MIDDLE TROPOSPHERE
WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME INCREASINGLY SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELL TSTM DEVELOPMENT AS DEEP LAYER SHEAR VALUES EXCEED 60 KTS.
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL RESULT IN 0-1 KM SRH OF 300 M2/S2 OR
GREATER THROUGHOUT THE WARM SECTOR AND NEAR THE WARM
FRONT...FAVORING LOW-LEVEL ROTATION AND TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. WITH
TIME...INITIALLY DISCRETE CELLS MAY MERGE INTO LINE SEGMENTS WITH AN
ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT DUE TO BOWING STRUCTURES/MESOVORTEX
DEVELOPMENT. LARGE HAIL IS ALSO LIKELY WITH DISCRETE SUPERCELLS. ONE
OR MORE TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED PRIOR TO 16Z.

..BUNTING/MEAD.. 12/25/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...HGX...

LAT...LON 30929524 30939398 30959320 30909169 30749110 30519014
30308948 29758899 29048905 29119095 29689291 29479430
29079486 29139545 29749587 30679580 30929524

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KGJT [251255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 251255
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
554 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0552 AM SNOW 1 NNW FRUITA 39.17N 108.73W
12/25/2012 M4.7 INCH MESA CO NWS EMPLOYEE

24 HOUR SNOWFALL... WITH WATER CONTENT 0.32 INCHES ...
7 INCHES ON GROUND


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200633

$$

BK

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KBOU [251252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOU 251252
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
552 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0537 AM SNOW BLACK HAWK 39.80N 105.49W
12/25/2012 M3.7 INCH GILPIN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 AM SNOW 2 SSW BOULDER 40.00N 105.27W
12/25/2012 M5.5 INCH BOULDER CO NWS EMPLOYEE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE

0425 AM SNOW 3 W GREELEY 40.42N 104.80W
12/25/2012 M3.8 INCH WELD CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0410 AM SNOW 1 SE FREDERICK 40.09N 104.93W
12/25/2012 M2.4 INCH WELD CO NWS EMPLOYEE

0410 AM SNOW 4 E FORT COLLINS 40.56N 104.99W
12/25/2012 M1.9 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

1154 PM SNOW 4 S EVERGREEN 39.58N 105.34W
12/24/2012 M2.2 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0954 PM SNOW 5 ESE PINECLIFFE 39.90N 105.35W
12/24/2012 M2.5 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0945 PM SNOW 4 ENE NEDERLAND 39.99N 105.45W
12/24/2012 M2.0 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0644 PM SNOW 2 SSE ESTES PARK 40.34N 105.51W
12/24/2012 M1.4 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JK

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KGJT [251252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 251252
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
552 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0549 AM HEAVY SNOW LA SAL SNOTEL 38.48N 109.27W
12/25/2012 M21.0 INCH SAN JUAN UT MESONET


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200632

$$

BK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 251230
SWODY1
SPC AC 251228

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0628 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

VALID 251300Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SERN TX THROUGH PORTIONS OF
CNTRL/SRN LA...CNTRL/SRN MS INTO THE SWRN QUARTER OF AL AND THE WRN
FL PNHDL...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM CNTRL TX EWD ACROSS THE
GULF COAST STATES TO WRN SC...

--SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT FROM SERN TX
ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. STRONG...LONG-TRACKED TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE--

...SYNOPSIS...

A 100+KT MIDLEVEL JET STREAK OVER SWRN TX WILL PROGRESS ESEWD TO
ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST BY LATE TONIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY...
CONTRIBUTING TO SUBSEQUENT AMPLIFICATION OF THE COMPANION SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND EVENTUAL EVOLUTION OF A CLOSED CIRCULATION OVER THE LOWER
MS VALLEY. THESE DEVELOPMENTS WILL PROMOTE SIGNIFICANT FORCING FOR
ASCENT WITH A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS OF 100-150M/12HR
SPREADING FROM CNTRL TX INTO THE TN VALLEY BY 26/12Z.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...SURFACE CYCLONE OVER THE TX HILL COUNTRY WILL
DEEPEN TODAY WHILE DEVELOPING ENEWD ALONG A RETREATING WARM FRONT
INTO W-CNTRL MS BY 26/00Z AND MIDDLE TN BY THE END OF THE D1 PERIOD.
MEANWHILE...A STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EWD THROUGH THE
SABINE RIVER VALLEY TODAY AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT.

...ERN TX EWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES...

A NW-SE ORIENTED BAND OF ELEVATED TSTMS IS IN PROGRESS THIS MORNING
TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE WARM FRONT FROM N-CNTRL/NERN TX INTO
CNTRL LA...DRIVEN BY ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND WAA AT THE TERMINUS OF AN
INTENSIFYING LLJ. HERE...STEEPENING MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES COINCIDE
WITH A MOISTENING...LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS...CONTRIBUTING TO MUCAPE
VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG PER 12Z FWD SOUNDING. GIVEN A KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT FEATURING 35-50 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR...THE SETUP
WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL.

TO THE S/SW OF THE ELEVATED TSTMS...AN OVERALL DEEPENING TO THE
SYNOPTIC SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN THE INTENSIFICATION AND BROADENING OF
A LLJ WHICH WILL AID IN THE NWD EXPANSION OF THE WARM SECTOR FROM
THE GULF COAST TODAY. WHILE DAYTIME HEATING WILL BE LIMITED BY
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS...STEEPENING MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND BOUNDARY
LAYER DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S WILL YIELD A MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS BY AFTERNOON TO THE S OF THE WARM FRONT WHERE
MLCAPE VALUES WILL APPROACH 1000-1500 J/KG.

LATEST CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT
SURFACE-BASED OR NEAR SURFACE BASED STORMS /INCLUDING SUPERCELLS/
WILL DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS MORNING INTO AFTERNOON
INVOF THE RETREATING WARM FRONT OVER PORTIONS OF SERN TX EWD INTO
CNTRL LA. BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...THESE DATA SUGGEST THAT STORMS
WILL BECOME ORIENTED IN A N-S ORIENTED BROKEN BAND /LIKELY COMPRISED
OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS/ FROM NEAR THE DEEPENING SURFACE
LOW ALONG THE MS/LA BORDER SWD ALONG THE SURGING COLD FRONT. A
SIMILAR CONVECTIVE CONFIGURATION IS LIKELY TO PERSIST ACROSS MS AND
AT LEAST THE WRN HALF OF AL THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
THEREAFTER...INTENSE DCVA ASSOCIATED WITH NEGATIVELY-TILTED UPPER
SYSTEM AND LOW-LEVEL UPLIFT ALONG COLD FRONT MAY RESULT IN A
TRANSITION TO A NARROW BUT CONTINUOUS CONVECTIVE BAND WHICH WILL
ADVANCE EWD INTO GA...THE FL PNHDL AND WRN SC BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE EWD PROGRESSION OF THE 100+KT MIDLEVEL JET STREAK ACROSS THE
WARM SECTOR AND CONCOMITANT INTENSIFICATION OF THE LLJ WILL RESULT
IN STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...ESPECIALLY DURING
THE DEEPENING PHASE OF THE PARENT SYSTEM LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
INDEED...FORECAST HODOGRAPHS AND PLAN VIEW KINEMATIC FIELDS INDICATE
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES OF 50-70 KT WITH EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES
INCREASING FROM 200-350 M2/S2 TODAY...TO IN EXCESS OF 400-500 M2/S2
TONIGHT.

EXPECT A MIXTURE OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS/LEWPS TO
EVOLVE WITH AN ASSOCIATED RISK FOR TORNADOES...SOME OF WHICH COULD
BE POTENTIALLY LONG-TRACKED AND STRONG. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY WIDESPREAD LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS AS CONVECTION GROWS UPSCALE INTO A QLCS. FINALLY...HAIL
--SOME IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER-- WILL BE POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN TX AND SWRN LA WHERE 12Z CRP/LCH
SOUNDINGS SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED EML WITH 700-500-MB
LAPSE RATES OF 8-8.5 C/KM.

..MEAD/LEITMAN.. 12/25/2012

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KSHV [251158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 251158
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
557 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 N LINDEN 33.04N 94.36W
12/25/2012 CASS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINE BLOWN DOWN, SMALL FIRE RESULTED ON HWY 8 NORTH
OF LINDEN


&&

$$

25

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2205

ACUS11 KWNS 251156
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251156
LAZ000-TXZ000-251330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2205
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0556 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/ERN TX...WRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 691...

VALID 251156Z - 251330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 691
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...AN INCREASE IN ELEVATED TSTMS IS EXPECTED THRU 15Z ACROSS
THE WW AREA WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL.

DISCUSSION...STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN INTENSE
SHORTWAVE OVER W TX HAS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE
OVER CENTRAL/NRN TX SINCE 09Z. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FARTHER EAST WITH TIME ACROSS WW 691. LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATES
MUCAPES OF 1000 TO LOCALLY 2000 J/KG OVER THE WW AREA ALONG WITH
DEEP LAYER SHEAR GENERALLY BETWEEN 35 AND 45 KTS...SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELL TSTMS WITH MID-LEVEL ROTATION AND A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL.
HIGH-RESOLUTION NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT IN DEPICTING THIS
INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WW VALID
TIME...AND LOCAL WFO EXTENSION OF THE WW TO THE N AND NW MAY BE
NEEDED AS THIS DEVELOPMENT TAKES PLACE.

..BUNTING/MEAD.. 12/25/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON 30089199 30049287 30049485 30089629 30119697 30489781
31469817 32009798 32369703 32619555 32369410 32119290
31279167 30399166 30089199

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KAMA [251149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 251149
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
548 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM SNOW DALHART 36.06N 102.52W
12/25/2012 E1.0 INCH HARTLEY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE HALF INCH TO AN INCH


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200782

$$

BUFFALO

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KCYS [251140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 251140
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
439 AM MST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0408 AM SNOW LARAMIE 41.31N 105.58W
12/25/2012 E2.0 INCH ALBANY WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0409 AM SNOW RAWLINS 41.78N 107.23W
12/25/2012 E2.0 INCH CARBON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0411 AM SNOW DOUGLAS 42.76N 105.39W
12/25/2012 E2.0 INCH CONVERSE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0413 AM SNOW TORRINGTON 42.07N 104.18W
12/25/2012 E3.0 INCH GOSHEN WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ESTIMATED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW.

0415 AM SNOW LUSK 42.76N 104.45W
12/25/2012 E2.0 INCH NIOBRARA WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0416 AM SNOW WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
12/25/2012 E4.0 INCH PLATTE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0418 AM SNOW PINE BLUFFS 41.18N 104.07W
12/25/2012 E6.0 INCH LARAMIE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0419 AM SNOW KIMBALL 41.23N 103.66W
12/25/2012 E1.0 INCH KIMBALL NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0420 AM SNOW CHADRON 42.83N 103.00W
12/25/2012 E1.0 INCH DAWES NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

ESTIMATED 0.5 TO 1.0 INCH OF SNOWFALL.

0422 AM SNOW ALLIANCE 42.10N 102.87W
12/25/2012 E1.0 INCH BOX BUTTE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0423 AM SNOW SIDNEY 41.13N 102.97W
12/25/2012 E2.0 INCH CHEYENNE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0425 AM SNOW SARATOGA 41.45N 106.81W
12/25/2012 E1.0 INCH CARBON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0426 AM SNOW CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
12/25/2012 M2.7 INCH LARAMIE WY OFFICIAL NWS OBS


&&

$$

MWEILAND

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KOTX [251119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 251119
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
319 AM PST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 NE TROY 46.78N 116.71W
12/24/2012 E6.0 INCH LATAH ID PUBLIC

6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW AS OF 8PM ON 12/24/2012 REPORTED BY
PUBLIC.


&&

$$

FLIEHMAN

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KSHV [251008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 251008
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
408 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0332 AM HAIL RUSK 31.80N 95.15W
12/25/2012 E1.00 INCH CHEROKEE TX TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

25

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KLCH [250952]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 250952
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
352 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM HAIL JENNINGS 30.22N 92.66W
12/25/2012 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON DAVIS LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

A BRIEF PERIOD OF DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY
THE JENNINGS POLICE DEPARTMENT.


&&

$$

ATINGLER

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KSHV [250949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 250949
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
349 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0332 AM HAIL RUSK 31.80N 95.15W
12/25/2012 E1.00 INCH CHEROKEE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

25

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 250946
SWOD48
SPC AC 250946

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

VALID 281200Z - 021200Z

...DISCUSSION...
THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS EXTENDING SWWD INTO THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION. THE MODELS MOVE THIS SYSTEM EWD INTO THE SRN
PLAINS ON FRIDAY/DAY 4. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
LOWER MS VALLEY AND CNTRL GULF COAST STATES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT
AS A LOW-LEVEL JET DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO THE ERN
GULF COAST STATES AND FL ON SATURDAY/DAY 5. WEAK INSTABILITY AND
SOMEWHAT LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN IN THE GULF COAST STATES IS
EXPECTED TO KEEP ANY SEVERE THREAT ISOLATED IN NATURE FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY.

..BROYLES.. 12/25/2012

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2204

ACUS11 KWNS 250833
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250832
OKZ000-251230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2204
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0232 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 250832Z - 251230Z

SUMMARY...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL IMPACTS PARTS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OK THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WHILE PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO BE SCATTERED AND LIGHT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN
DEVELOP WITH ONLY SMALL ICE ACCUMULATION.

DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WAS BEING TRANSPORTED INTO THE AREA
VIA ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW /AS EVIDENT IN KTLX 88-D VWP DATA/. AN
INITIAL SHORTWAVE IMPULSE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS
MORNING AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH WAS PROVIDING FORCING FOR
ASCENT AND RESULTING IN LIGHT WINTRY MIX PRECIP TYPES. FREEZING
RAIN/SLEET AND SNOW RATES WILL BE LOW THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS MIDLEVEL
MOISTURE ONLY SLOWLY INCREASES. HOWEVER...LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ON ROADWAYS WILL LEAD TO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS. AS MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES COOL AFTER SUNRISE...SLEET MAY
MIX WITH SNOW FOR A BRIEF PERIOD BEFORE A TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW
OCCURS AND PRECIPITATION BECOMES HEAVIER.

..LEITMAN.. 12/25/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON 34689926 35049947 35699940 36289885 36409816 36439732
36479686 36349657 35899631 35119626 34819638 34569688
34509742 34459799 34559871 34689926

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