DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 170050
SWODY1
SPC AC 170047

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008

VALID 170100Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN CONUS...
EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A BOUNDARY EXTENDING EWD FROM
CENTRAL GA THROUGH FAR SRN SC AND THEN NEWD OFF THE SC/NC COAST. A
SECOND BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM OFF THE SC COAST SWWD TO NWRN FL. THE
FORMER BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SWD OVERNIGHT REACHING THE GA/
FL BORDER BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION WITH THE
LOSS OF DAY TIME HEATING COMBINED WITH THE CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE PART
OF THE SC/GA BOUNDARY CONTINUING TO MOVE OFFSHORE THIS EVENING
SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
OVER LAND.

...WRN CONUS...
DIURNALLY DRIVEN ACTIVITY OVER THE SWRN STATES IS EXPECTED TO
DECREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE THIS EVENING AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
STABILIZES WITH THE LOSS OF DAY TIME HEATING. FARTHER NW...TSTM
CHANCES MAY PERSIST BEYOND SUNSET AS STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT
AHEAD OF PACIFIC SHORT WAVE TROUGH SPREADS NNEWD ACROSS NRN CA/WRN
ORE. 00Z MFR SOUNDING INDICATED A DEEP WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER
AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY SUPPORTING THIS TSTM THREAT.

..PETERS.. 09/17/2008

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KCHS [170032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 170032
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
832 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SSW HARLEYVILLE 33.19N 80.46W
09/16/2008 DORCHESTER SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON SHORT CUT ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON
RADAR.

0705 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W CANAAN 32.97N 80.33W
09/16/2008 DORCHESTER SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON HILL BRANCH ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON
RADAR.

&&

$$

JAQ

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KCHS [170014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 170014
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
814 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0802 PM HAIL HARLEYVILLE 33.21N 80.45W
09/16/2008 E0.88 INCH DORCHESTER SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

DEPUTY REPORTED NICKEL SIZE HAIL.

&&

$$

JAQ

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KCHS [170007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 170007
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
807 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 NW CHARLESTON 32.84N 80.01W
09/16/2008 M2.62 INCH CHARLESTON SC NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE MEASURED 2.62 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN 90
MINUTES. RELAYED VIA COCORAHS.

&&

$$

JAQ

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KCHS [170005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KCHS 170005
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
805 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E SAINT GEORGE 33.19N 80.52W
09/16/2008 DORCHESTER SC TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN AND DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT THE SAINT
GEORGE AIRPORT.

&&

$$

VB

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KCHS [170000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 170000
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM FLASH FLOOD NORTH CHARLESTON 32.85N 79.97W
09/16/2008 CHARLESTON SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

CARNER AVE CLOSED TO DUE FLOODING. SEVERAL OTHER ROADWAYS
IN THE CITY ARE FLOODED BUT PASSABLE.

&&

$$

JAQ

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KCHS [170000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 170000
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM TSTM WND DMG SAINT GEORGE 33.19N 80.58W
09/16/2008 DORCHESTER SC TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN AND DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT THE SAINT
GEORGE AIRPORT.

&&

$$

VB

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KCHS [162320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 162320
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
720 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0718 PM HEAVY RAIN WEST ASHLEY 32.80N 80.01W
09/16/2008 E0.00 INCH CHARLESTON SC TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN HAS PRODUCED HIGH WATER AT THE INTERSECTION OF
BEES FERRY ROAD AND STATE ROUTE 61.

&&

$$

JAQ

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KCHS [162317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 162317
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
716 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 N NORTH CHARLESTON 32.90N 79.97W
09/16/2008 M0.92 INCH CHARLESTON SC MESONET

COCORAHS OBSERVER REPORTED 0.92 INCHES OF RAIN IN LESS
THAN 30 MINUTES.

0705 PM HAIL 1 E COTTAGEVILLE 32.94N 80.46W
09/16/2008 E1.00 INCH COLLETON SC TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE ALONG
HIGHWAY 17A.

&&

$$

JAQ

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KSLC [162316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 162316
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
515 PM MDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM TSTM WND GST ST. GEORGE 37.08N 113.58W
09/16/2008 M59.00 MPH WASHINGTON UT AWOS

&&

$$

MPS

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KILM [162026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 162026
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
425 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0352 PM TSTM WND GST PLANTERSVILLE 33.55N 79.22W
09/16/2008 E65.00 MPH GEORGETOWN SC TRAINED SPOTTER

14 INCH TREES SNAPPED OFF AT 8 FEET...BLOCKING DIELTON
ROAD.

&&

$$

HOEHLER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161951
SWODY1
SPC AC 161948

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008

VALID 162000Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SYNOPTIC PATTERN FEATURES TROUGHING FROM POLAR VORTEX OVER CANADIAN
ARCTIC...SWD ACROSS HUDSON BAY REGION AND GREAT LAKES. SRN EXTENSION
OF THIS HEIGHT WEAKNESS BENDS SWWD ACROSS TN VALLEY AND LOWER MS
VALLEY REGIONS...WWD ACROSS CENTRAL TX INTO QUASISTATIONARY CYCLONIC
SHEAR ZONE ALOFT OVER PORTIONS NM/AZ. UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WILL
DOMINATE PATTERN FROM INTERIOR PACIFIC NW SEWD ACROSS CENTRAL
ROCKIES AND CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...WITH UPPER HIGH SHIFTING SEWD
ACROSS ROCKIES. FARTHER W...SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- EVIDENT IN MOISTURE
CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER PACIFIC JUST OFFSHORE SFO AREA -- SHOULD LIFT
NEWD ACROSS COASTAL NRN CA DURING REMAINDER PERIOD.

AT SFC...WAVY FRONTAL ZONE -- ANALYZED FROM EXTREME SRN NC SWWD
ACROSS SC...S-CENTRAL GA...FL PANHANDLE AND NERN GULF...SHOULD DRIFT
SEWD AS COLD FRONT AGAIN THROUGH REMAINDER DAY-1.

...SERN CONUS...
SCATTERED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS
PORTIONS CAROLINAS COASTAL AREAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL PLAIN. SVR
POTENTIAL APPEARS MRGL/ISOLATED...HOWEVER...HAIL OR VERY
BRIEF/DAMAGING GUST CANNOT BE RULED OUT FROM BEST-ORGANIZED
MULTICELL CONVECTION. SFC-BASED CONVECTION SHOULD PREDOMINATE FROM
IMMEDIATE FRONTAL AREA EWD THROUGH SEA BREEZE REGIME...WITH SOME STG
GUSTS POSSIBLE IN MOST VIGOROUS ACTIVITY. LOW-MIDLEVEL FLOW AND
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ARE FCST TO REMAIN WEAK ACROSS MOST OF THIS
REGION...ALTHOUGH INCREASING UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH NWD
EXTENT OVER CAROLINAS BENEATH LEFT ENTRANCE REGION OF NERN CONUS 250
MB JET MAX. ASSOCIATED WEAK ASCENT ALOFT...COMBINED WITH LOW LEVEL
WAA...IS EXPECTED SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED/ELEVATED TSTMS ON COLD SIDE OF SFC FRONT AS WELL. WEAK
LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT BUOYANCY...BUT
ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS OF DIURNALLY DRIVEN 1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE STILL IS
POSSIBLE IN NARROW ZONE BETWEEN FRONT AND COAST.

...WRN CONUS...
RELATIVELY STEEP LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH REMAINDER AFTERNOON ACROSS BROAD SWATH OF WRN
CONUS...PRIMARILY SW OF UPPER RIDGE...AND ENHANCED BY CONTINUED
DIABATIC SFC HEATING. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT TSTM POTENTIAL
WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS AT LEAST MRGL...WITH INITIATION
PRIMARILY OCCURRING OVER HIGHER TERRAIN WHERE CINH IS WEAKEST.
ADDITIONAL SUPPORT WILL BE PRESENT OVER PORTIONS INTERIOR NRN CA/ORE
IN REGIME OF WEAK DPVA...AHEAD OF EJECTING PACIFIC TROUGH. STG
LOCAL GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE GIVEN PRESENCE OF DEEP/WELL-MIXED SUBCLOUD
LAYER BENEATH HIGH BASED CONVECTION.

..EDWARDS.. 09/16/2008

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KILN [161830]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 161830
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
230 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0444 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SOUTH BLOOMFIELD 39.72N 82.99W
09/14/2008 M69 MPH PICKAWAY OH TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KGRR [161822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected For Event Location

NWUS53 KGRR 161822 CCB
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR EVENT LOCATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
222 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM TORNADO 1 W PAW PAW 42.21N 85.92W
09/13/2008 VAN BUREN MI NWS STORM SURVEY

A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST WEST OF PAW PAW. DAMAGE TO
TREES WAS FOUND ALONG WITH A TWISTED METAL FENCE NEAR A
SCHOOL. THE TORNADO THEN MOVED INTO THE TOWN OF PAW PAW.
DAMAGE TO A CAR DEALERSHIP OCCURRED. A RESTAURANT ALSO
SUSTAINED DAMAGE FROM FALLEN TREES. THE TORNADO LIFTED AT
LATITUDE 42.2143 AND LONGITUDE -85.8801. THE TORNADO WAS
ON THE GROUND FOR NEARLY TWO MILES AND RATED EF1.

0433 PM TORNADO 5 ENE PAW PAW 42.23N 85.80W
09/13/2008 VAN BUREN MI NWS STORM SURVEY

DAMAGE TO TREES WAS SUSTAINED WHEN A BRIEF TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN. THIS TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR LESS
THAN ONE MINUTE. IT TRAVELED FOR ONE QUARTER MILE BEFORE
LIFTING. THE TORNADO LIFTED AT LATITUDE 42.2344 AND
LONGITUDE -85.8003. THE TORNADO WAS GIVEN AN EF0 RATING.

0440 PM TORNADO 6 WSW WESTWOOD 42.26N 85.73W
09/13/2008 KALAMAZOO MI NWS STORM SURVEY

A TORNADO DID DAMAGE TO TREES JUST WEST OF WESTWOOD. IT
REMAINED ON THE GROUND FOR ONE HALF MILE BEFORE LIFTING.
THE TORNADO LIFTED AT LATITUDE 42.2684 AND LONGITUDE
-85.7090. A RATING OF EF0 WAS GIVEN TO THIS TORNADO.

0600 PM TORNADO 2 WSW BROOKFIELD 42.44N 84.84W
09/13/2008 EATON MI NWS STORM SURVEY

NUMEROUS TREES SUSTAINED DAMAGE FROM A TORNADO. A HOME
SUSTAINED DAMAGE WHEN A TREE FELL ON IT. DEBRIS WAS
TOSSED INTO A NEARBY FIELD. THIS TORNADO REMAINED ON THE
GROUND FOR THREE AND A QUARTER MILES. THE TORNADO LIFTED
AT LATITUDE 42.4585 AND LONGITUDE -84.7786. A RATING OF
EF0 WAS GIVEN.

&&

$$

JB

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 161732
SWODY2
SPC AC 161730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER AIR PATTERN FCST TO REMAIN CHARACTERIZED BY RIDGING FROM
INTERIOR NWRN CONUS TO S-CENTRAL PLAINS AND TROUGHING FROM QUE TO
NERN GULF...THOUGH EACH WILL LOSE AMPLITUDE GRADUALLY THROUGH
PERIOD. SRN PORTION OF DIFFUSE/POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH --
INITIALLY ANALYZED FROM LOWER GREAT LAKES TO NRN AL TO CENTRAL TX --
WILL MOVE SLOWLY ESEWD ACROSS GA/SC AND ERN GULF COAST
REGION....WITH TRAILING PORTION QUASISTATIONARY ACROSS CENTRAL/W TX.
SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY
OFFSHORE CENTRAL/NRN CA -- IS FCST TO DEAMPLIFY AS IT EJECTS NNEWD
OVER NRN CA AND ORE DAY-2...AHEAD OF PROGRESSIVE NERN PACIFIC UPPER
LOW.

AT SFC...CURRENTLY QUASISTATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE -- ANALYZED FROM
OFFSHORE NERN NC SWWD ACROSS SC AND SRN GA TO W-CENTRAL GULF -- IS
FCST TO DRIFT SWD AS WEAK UPPER TROUGHING MOVES OVER SERN CONUS.
NRN STREAM COLD FRONT -- ANALYZED ATTM FROM FAR NWRN ONT SWWD ACROSS
ND -- SHOULD MOVE SEWD OVER UPPER GREAT LAKES AND ST. LAWRENCE
VALLEY THIS PERIOD...REACHING VICINITY NRN NY...NWRN PA...OH AND
INDIANA BY 18/12Z. ATTM MOISTURE APPEARS TOO WEAK TO SUPPORT GEN
THUNDER RISK AREA ALONG THIS FRONT...HOWEVER VERY ISOLATED/BRIEF
CONVECTION DEEP ENOUGH FOR LIGHTNING CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

...SERN CONUS...
SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN DAY-2 INVOF FRONTAL ZONE.
PRECURSORY REGIME OF WEAK LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE
DESTABILIZED WEAKLY BY LARGE SCALE ASCENT IMMEDIATELY PRECEDING
UPPER TROUGH. POCKETS OF WEAK DIABATIC HEATING AMIDST BKN CLOUD
COVER...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT FRONTAL FORCING...WEAK SBCINH AND RICH
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WILL SUPPORT CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.
ADDITIONALLY...WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD FORM IN WARM SECTOR
ALONG SEA BREEZE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. ALTHOUGH LOW-MIDLEVEL
WINDS AND BULK SHEAR EACH WILL REMAIN RATHER WEAK...BELT OF 50-65 KT
UPPER LEVEL WINDS FROM CENTRAL/NRN FL TO EXTREME SRN GA MAY AID
STORM VENTILATION ALOFT AND SUPPORT SOMEWHAT ORGANIZED MULTICELLULAR
CONVECTION...WITH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS.

...WRN CONUS...
PRIMARILY DIURNAL CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WILL BE MAXIMIZED OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN. DIABATIC SFC HEATING AND AT LEAST MRGL LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL COMBINE WITH STEEP LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES TO YIELD MLCAPES
GENERALLY BELOW 500 J/KG MOST AREAS...BUT STILL SUFFICIENT TO
SUPPORT HIGH BASED CB. SUBTLE DESTABILIZATION FROM EJECTING
MID-UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALSO MAY CONTRIBUTE TO CONVECTIVELY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS PACIFIC NW. SOME STG
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM TSTMS MOVING OVER RELATIVELY WELL-MIXED/DEEP
BOUNDARY LAYERS OF LOWER ELEVATIONS...HOWEVER SVR POTENTIAL APPEARS
TOO BRIEF/ISOLATED ATTM TO JUSTIFY ANY PARTICULAR AREA OF AOA
5-PERCENT SVR PROBABILITIES.

..EDWARDS.. 09/16/2008

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KILN [161722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 161722
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
122 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG OWENTON 38.54N 84.84W
09/14/2008 OWEN KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MONTEZUMA 40.49N 84.55W
09/14/2008 MERCER OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.
MINOR DAMAGE TO LAKEFIELD AIRPORT IN MONTEZUMA AND TREE
ON HOUSE.

0600 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CIRCLEVILLE 39.60N 82.94W
09/14/2008 PICKAWAY OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES ACROSS THE
COUNTY. SOME TREES ON HOUSES.

&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161619
SWODY1
SPC AC 161615

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008

VALID 161630Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHEAST...
PRIMARY INSTABILITY/LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND RESULTANT POTENTIAL FOR
DEEP MOIST CONVECTION WILL REMAIN SHUNTED INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN
STATES EAST OF THE ROCKIES AHEAD OF SLOW MOVING/STALLING SURFACE
FRONT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE WITH
AFTERNOON HEATING AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY FROM PORTIONS OF SERN
NC/ERN SC INTO FL. ADDITIONAL...ELEVATED DEVELOPMENT WILL CONTINUE
WITHIN REGION OF DEEP ASCENT JUST NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY OVER UPSTATE
SC INTO NRN NC THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. WEAK MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND WARM AIR ALOFT...ALONG WITH MARGINAL SHEAR...WILL
LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE THREAT.

...WESTERN STATES...
LARGE MID/UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WILL REMAIN DOMINANT OVER MUCH OF
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES...WHILE SLOW MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH
OVERSPREADS NRN CA INTO WRN ORE TODAY. RELATIVELY STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT LARGE AREA OF WEAK INSTABILITY ALONG
PERIPHERY OF .5-.7 PWS EXTENDING AROUND EDGE OF LARGE ANTICYCLONE.
THIS SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS THE REGION...WITH MORE CONCENTRATED AREA
POSSIBLE NEAR THE SLOW MOVING MID LEVEL IMPULSE OVER PARTS OF NRN
CA/SWRN ORE. OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN MINIMAL...ALTHOUGH A
STRONGER GUST IS POSSIBLE DUE TO VERY STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

..EVANS/GRAMS.. 09/16/2008

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KJAN [161619]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 161619
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1119 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N PEYTON 31.85N 90.80W
09/13/2008 CLAIBORNE MS PUBLIC

TREES DOWN JUST NORTH OF PEYTON...POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

$$

27

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KGRR [161223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected For Event Time

NWUS53 KGRR 161223 CCA
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR EVENT TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
821 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM TORNADO 1 W PAW PAW 42.22N 85.92W
09/13/2008 VAN BUREN MI NWS STORM SURVEY

A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN JUST WEST OF PAW PAW. DAMAGE TO
TREES WAS FOUND ALONG WITH A TWISTED METAL FENCE NEAR A
SCHOOL. THE TORNADO THEN MOVED INTO THE TOWN OF PAW PAW.
DAMAGE TO A CAR DEALERSHIP OCCURRED. A RESTAURANT ALSO
SUSTAINED DAMAGE FROM FALLEN TREES. THE TORNADO LIFTED AT
LATITUDE 42.2143 AND LONGITUDE -85.8801. THE TORNADO WAS
ON THE GROUND FOR NEARLY TWO MILES AND RATED EF1.

0433 PM TORNADO 5 ENE PAW PAW 42.23N 85.80W
09/13/2008 VAN BUREN MI NWS STORM SURVEY

DAMAGE TO TREES WAS SUSTAINED WHEN A BRIEF TORNADO
TOUCHED DOWN. THIS TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR LESS
THAN ONE MINUTE. IT TRAVELED FOR ONE QUARTER MILE BEFORE
LIFTING. THE TORNADO LIFTED AT LATITUDE 42.2344 AND
LONGITUDE -85.8003. THE TORNADO WAS GIVEN AN EF0 RATING.

0440 PM TORNADO 6 WSW WESTWOOD 42.26N 85.73W
09/13/2008 KALAMAZOO MI NWS STORM SURVEY

A TORNADO DID DAMAGE TO TREES JUST WEST OF WESTWOOD. IT
REMAINED ON THE GROUND FOR ONE HALF MILE BEFORE LIFTING.
THE TORNADO LIFTED AT LATITUDE 42.2684 AND LONGITUDE
-85.7090. A RATING OF EF0 WAS GIVEN TO THIS TORNADO.

0600 PM TORNADO 2 WSW BROOKFIELD 42.44N 84.84W
09/13/2008 EATON MI NWS STORM SURVEY

NUMEROUS TREES SUSTAINED DAMAGE FROM A TORNADO. A HOME
SUSTAINED DAMAGE WHEN A TREE FELL ON IT. DEBRIS WAS
TOSSED INTO A NEARBY FIELD. THIS TORNADO REMAINED ON THE
GROUND FOR THREE AND A QUARTER MILES. THE TORNADO LIFTED
AT LATITUDE 42.4585 AND LONGITUDE -84.7786. A RATING OF
EF0 WAS GIVEN.

&&

$$

JB

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KILN [161219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 161219
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
819 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CENTERVILLE 39.82N 85.00W
09/14/2008 E51.00 MPH WAYNE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN...SOME ON HOUSES. MANY POWER OUTAGES.

0330 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BATESVILLE 39.30N 85.22W
09/14/2008 RIPLEY IN TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREES DOWN ON ROADS...SOME POWER LINES DOWN AS
WELL. SOME ROOF DAMAGE...HIGHWAY EXIT SIGN BLOWN DOWN.

&&

$$

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KILN [161201]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KILN 161201
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CARROLLTON 38.68N 85.16W
09/14/2008 CARROLL KY EMERGENCY MNGR

EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE ACROSS THE COUNTY AND WIDESPREAD
POWER OUTAGES. MANY REPORTS OF ROOF DAMAGE...SOME ROOFS
COMPLETELY REMOVED OF SHINGLES. A FEW TREES ON MOBILE
HOMES.

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LIBERTY 39.63N 84.93W
09/14/2008 UNION IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

*** 8 INJ *** TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
SEVERAL TREES ON HOUSES AND SOME STRUCTURES ON FIRE. 8-9
INJURIES FROM FALLING TREES AND FLYING DEBRIS. PART OF
SCHOOL ROOF TORN OFF IN LIBERTY.

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CONNERSVILLE 39.66N 85.14W
09/14/2008 FAYETTE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 INJ *** 150-FOOT COMMUNICATIONS TOWER TOPPLED.
TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY. ONE INJURY
DUE TO FALLING TREE...VICTIM IN CRITICAL CONDITION.

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 N VEVAY 38.80N 85.07W
09/14/2008 SWITZERLAND IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES ON HOUSES AND CARS...ROOF DAMAGE
ACROSS THE COUNTY. A FEW BARNS BLOWN DOWN.

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG RICHMOND 39.83N 84.89W
09/14/2008 WAYNE IN COUNTY OFFICIAL

*** 15 INJ *** EXTENSIVE TREE AND POWER LINE DAMAGE
COUNTYWIDE. MANY REPORTS OF TREES ON HOUSES. 15 MINOR
INJURIES.

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WAPAKONETA 40.57N 84.19W
09/14/2008 AUGLAIZE OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER POLES ACROSS THE
COUNTY

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BELLEFONTAINE 40.36N 83.76W
09/14/2008 LOGAN OH EMERGENCY MNGR

MANY TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY...50-FT PINE TREE
SNAPPED AT THE BASE. MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IN
BELLEFONTAINE.

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BROOKSVILLE 38.68N 84.07W
09/14/2008 BRACKEN KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN COUNTYWIDE

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ABERDEEN 38.67N 83.77W
09/14/2008 BROWN OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS LIMBS AND TREES BLOWN DOWN

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GEORGETOWN 38.87N 83.90W
09/14/2008 BROWN OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWN OR SPLIT

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FALMOUTH 38.67N 84.33W
09/14/2008 PENDLETON KY EMERGENCY MNGR

MANY TREES AND POWER POLES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY...SOME
BLOCKING ROADS.

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WEST UNION 38.79N 83.54W
09/14/2008 ADAMS OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES DOWN

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MOUNT ORAB 39.03N 83.92W
09/14/2008 BROWN OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOTS OF TREES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY...SOME ON HOUSES

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE 39.54N 83.43W
09/14/2008 FAYETTE OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE...MANY REPORTS OF
ROOF DAMAGE. MUCH OF THE COUNTY IS WITHOUT POWER. TWO
SEMI-TRAILERS BLOWN OVER.

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MAYSVILLE 38.63N 83.78W
09/14/2008 MASON KY EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE. TRAILER BLOWN
OVER IN MAYSVILLE.

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG KENTON 40.64N 83.61W
09/14/2008 HARDIN OH EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.
SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MOUNT OLIVET 38.53N 84.04W
09/14/2008 ROBERTSON KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROOF OFF TRAILER HOME...A FEW TREES BLOCKING ROADS.

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG HILLSBORO 39.21N 83.61W
09/14/2008 HIGHLAND OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE AND POWER LINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE.

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PIKETON 39.07N 83.00W
09/14/2008 PIKE OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

MANY TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PORTSMOUTH 38.76N 82.95W
09/14/2008 SCIOTO OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE LIMBS DOWN ACROSS PARTS OF SCIOTO COUNTY

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG VANCEBURG 38.59N 83.32W
09/14/2008 LEWIS KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY

0530 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CHILLICOTHE 39.34N 82.99W
09/14/2008 ROSS OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS THE
COUNTY. SEVERAL REPORTS OF ROOF AND STRUCTURE DAMAGE IN
CHILLICOTHE.

0600 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LOGAN 39.54N 82.40W
09/14/2008 HOCKING OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE ACROSS THE COUNTY. SOME TREES ON
HOUSES AND CARS.

&&

$$

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 160838
SWOD48
SPC AC 160838

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008

VALID 191200Z - 241200Z

...DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY WEATHER STORY WILL REVOLVE AROUND AN APCHG UPR LOW ACROSS
THE PAC NW IN THE LATE WEEK/WEEKEND TIME FRAME. 00Z ECMWF/GFS/GEFS
ENSEMBLES AND NAEFS PORTRAY CONSIDERABLE SPREAD WITH THE
DEPTH...TIMING AND TRACK OF THIS FEATURE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE NWRN
HALF OF THE COUNTRY. IT IS DOUBTFUL THAT MEANINGFUL RETURN
FLOW/MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL OCCUR OVER THE PLNS THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PD. BUT...GIVEN POOR MODEL PERFORMANCE...THE MEDIUM RANGE
SVR FCST WILL REMAIN IN THE LOW PREDICTABILITY REALM.

..RACY.. 09/16/2008

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 160727
SWODY3
SPC AC 160724

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FCST...
LEAD WAVE EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN W ON WEDNESDAY WILL
WEAKEN FURTHER ON THURSDAY AS IT MINORS OUT ACROSS THE CANADIAN
ROCKIES. A COLD FRONT...TIED TO A STRONGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGGED
TO MOVE THROUGH SRN CANADA...WILL SETTLE SEWD INTO PARTS OF THE NRN
PLNS BY THURSDAY EVENING. DESPITE THE POSSIBILITY FOR WEAK LARGE
SCALE HEIGHT FALLS ALONG SRN PERIPHERY OF THE CANADIAN WAVE
SPREADING ACROSS THE NRN PLNS...SCANT MOISTURE IN THE COLUMN IS
EXPECTED TO LIMIT CHANCES FOR TSTMS ALONG THE FRONT. FARTHER W...A
STRONGER UPR LOW...LOCATED VCNTY 44N154W AT 07Z...WILL ARRIVE ALONG
THE PAC NW CST THURSDAY AFTN WITH SHOWERS.

MEANWHILE...TO THE EAST...WEAK UPR TROUGH/SHEAR AXIS WILL REMAIN
ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD. PRIMARY FRONT AND SEABREEZES ARE EXPECTED
TO ONCE AGAIN ENHANCE SCTD TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL/SRN FL ON THURSDAY
ALONG FAR SRN REACHES OF THE TROUGH. WHILE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL
HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE STRONGEST OF STORMS...WIDESPREAD SVR
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..RACY.. 09/16/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 160559
SWODY2
SPC AC 160558

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD UPR TROUGH CURRENTLY SITUATED FROM QUEBEC SWWD TO THE SPLNS
WILL MOVE SLOWLY E TO LIE FROM NEW ENGLAND TO THE SERN STATES BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING. STRONGER PART OF THIS TROUGH WILL EXIST ACROSS
SERN CANADA ASSOCD WITH A STRONG VORTEX OVER FAR NRN QUEBEC. TO THE
W...IN WAKE OF AN UPR HIGH THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTER OF THE
COUNTRY...THE UPR LOW A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES W OF KSFO WILL OPEN
INTO A WAVE AND MIGRATE INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN W/NW GRT BASIN REGION
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

...N FL AND PORTIONS OF CSTL GA...
BUILDING SFC PRESSURES ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN STATES WILL FORCE THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE SERN STATES SLOWLY SWD INTO NEARSHORE
WATERS OF NC/SC AND CSTL GA SWWD INTO PARTS OF N FL THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. AIR MASS ALONG/S OF THE FRONT WILL REMAIN
MOIST...CHARACTERIZED BY PWAT VALUES AOA 1.75 IN AND SFC DEW POINTS
IN THE LWR-MID 70S. AS SRN PORTION OF THE UPR TROUGH SPREADS
EWD...MID-LVL TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE INTO THE MINUS 8 TO MINUS
10C RANGE ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN H25 SWLY WINDS AOA 40-50 KTS.
TSTMS WILL DEVELOP VCNTY THE FRONT AND SWD THROUGH THE FL PENINSULA
ALONG LAKE/SEABREEZES WEDNESDAY AFTN. GIVEN THE INCREASING HIGH LVL
WINDS...APCHG TROUGH/LIFT AND FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS...ISOLD TSTMS
MAY APCH OR EXCEED SVR LIMITS WITH LRG HAIL/DMGG WIND GUSTS.

...INTERMOUNTAIN W...
MODELS ARE INSISTENT ON GRADUALLY INCREASING LOW/MID-LVL MOISTURE
ACROSS THE LWR CO RVR VLY/SRN CA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
/SOME SIGNS OF THIS PROCESS ALREADY ONGOING IN NRN MEXICO ATTM/.
SOME OF THIS MOISTURE WILL ADVECT NWD AHEAD OF THE NEGATIVE-TILT UPR
WAVE INTO THE GRT BASIN. STEEP LOW/MID-LVL LAPSE RATES... COURTESY
OF STRONG LOW-LVL WARMING AND H5 TEMPERATURES AOB MINUS 12 DEG
C...WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR WDLY SCT TSTMS ACROSS PRIMARILY HIGHER
TERRAIN LOCATIONS OF SRN CA/SRN SIERRA EWD INTO PARTS OF THE
AZ/NM/CO PLATEAU AND UT. FARTHER N...FCST SOUNDINGS INDICATE
PRIMARILY MID-LVL MOISTENING ASSOCD WITH ASCENT/COOLING AHEAD OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED WAVE. PWAT VALUES LESS THAN 0.75 IN WILL FOSTER
HIGH-BASED TCU/CBS OVER THE MOUNTAINS WITH GENERALLY DRY
LIGHTNING/GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED OVER NRN NV/SW ID AND PARTS OF ORE.

..RACY.. 09/16/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160556
SWODY1
SPC AC 160553

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1253 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2008

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG...LOW AMPLITUDE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND N OF
THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER BY THE END OF THE DAY 1 FORECAST PERIOD.
THIS FLOW PATTERN WILL EVOLVE AS THE WRN STATES UPPER RIDGE BUILDS
EWD INTO THE PLAINS TOWARD THE MS RIVER VALLEY AND A DOWNSTREAM
SHORT WAVE TROUGH LIFTS NEWD FROM THE OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES
THROUGH THE NERN STATES. MEANWHILE...A CLOSED UPPER LOW...CURRENTLY
LOCATED OFF THE CA COAST AT 38N/127W...WILL BECOME AN OPEN WAVE
MOVING INLAND ACROSS NRN CA THIS AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A STRONGER
UPSTREAM PACIFIC TROUGH. FARTHER SE...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATED
A COMPRESSED TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE ERN BAY OF CAMPECHE TO THE
WRN FL PANHANDLE.

...SERN STATES...
VORTICITY LOBE/TROUGH EXTENDING SWWD FROM THE OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT
LAKES SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO
CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES THIS FORECAST PERIOD. MEANWHILE...WEAK
MID LEVEL IMPULSES WILL TRACK NNEWD ALONG THE ERN EXTENT OF THE GULF
OF MEXICO COMPRESSED TROUGH INTO THE SERN STATES TODAY. AT 12Z
TODAY...A SURFACE FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM THE NC COAST SSWWD ALONG
THE SC COAST THROUGH SRN GA TO NWRN FL. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY WITH THE APPROACH OF THE SRN EXTENT OF
THE OH VALLEY TROUGH. A WEAK SURFACE LOW LIKELY LOCATED OVER SRN
SC/SERN GA THIS MORNING SHOULD MAINTAIN AN ONSHORE COMPONENT OVER A
SMALL PORTION OF ERN SC AND/OR SE GA WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS AROUND
70F. ISENTROPIC LIFT ATOP THE FRONTAL INVERSION WILL SUPPORT A ZONE
OF CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION OVER THE SRN APPALACHIANS INTO THE
CAROLINAS...GENERALLY N OF THE SURFACE FRONT. ALTHOUGH SURFACE-
BASED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR CLOSER TO THE COAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON...WEAK FLOW/LAPSE RATES THROUGH THE TROPOSPHERE
WILL LIMIT PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE TSTMS...BUT GUSTY WINDS MAY
ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER CORES.

...SRN GREAT BASIN/SERN CA NWD TO THE ORE CASCADES...
DESPITE SCANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EXTENDING FROM THE SWRN STATES TO
THE PACIFIC NW...STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST WEAK
INSTABILITY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. FORCING FOR
ASCENT AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A COUPLE OF WWD MOVING
IMPULSES FROM THE SRN ROCKIES TO SERN CA AND AHEAD OF THE OPEN WAVE
MOVING ACROSS NRN CA/WRN ORE LATER TODAY SHOULD SUPPORT HIGH BASED
TSTMS. WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS
AND PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES.
HOWEVER...A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN THAT
THE STORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED.

..PETERS/CROSBIE.. 09/16/2008

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KSGF [160434]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 160434
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1134 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM FLOOD 2 NW FAULKNER 37.12N 95.04W
09/15/2008 CHEROKEE KS EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER RESCUE OF A DRIVER ATTEMPTING TO CROSS A FLOODED
ROAD.

&&

$$

AF

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