KMKX [052258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMKX 052258
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
457 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG MILWAUKEE 43.03N 87.92W
11/05/2007 MILWAUKEE 07 PUBLIC

STREET LIGHTS BLOWN DOWN IN DOWNTOWN MILWAUKEE AROUND
1130 AM ON JEFFERSON STREET.

1134 AM NON-TSTM WND GST TAYCHEEDAH 43.81N 88.40W
11/05/2007 M48.00 MPH FOND DU LAC WI TRAINED SPOTTER

SHORT DURATION OF SLEET ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH WIND GUST.

1135 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MONTELLO 43.79N 89.33W
11/05/2007 M45.00 MPH MARQUETTE WI MESONET

1233 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BEAVER DAM 43.46N 88.84W
11/05/2007 E45.00 MPH DODGE WI PUBLIC

TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE ON NORTH UNIVERSITY AVE. SNOW AND
SLEET ALSO OBSERVED AT THE TIME OF THE ESTIMATED WIND
GUST.

1241 PM NON-TSTM WND GST JUNEAU 43.41N 88.70W
11/05/2007 M45.00 MPH DODGE WI AWOS

1245 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WAUKESHA 43.01N 88.24W
11/05/2007 M47.00 MPH WAUKESHA WI AWOS

1253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WEST BEND 43.42N 88.18W
11/05/2007 M43.00 MPH WASHINGTON WI AWOS

1253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MADISON 43.08N 89.38W
11/05/2007 M43.00 MPH DANE WI ASOS

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SLINGER 43.33N 88.29W
11/05/2007 M45.00 MPH WASHINGTON WI MESONET

0105 PM NON-TSTM WND GST RICHFIELD 43.26N 88.19W
11/05/2007 M49.00 MPH WASHINGTON WI MESONET

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SHOREWOOD 43.09N 87.89W
11/05/2007 M54.00 MPH MILWAUKEE WI MESONET

MEASURED AT ST. ROBERTS SCHOOL.

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MILWAUKEE 43.03N 87.92W
11/05/2007 M45.00 MPH MILWAUKEE 07 MESONET

MEASURED AT THE UW-MILWAUKEE CAMPUS.

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MILWAUKEE 43.03N 87.92W
11/05/2007 M48.00 MPH MILWAUKEE 07 MESONET

MEASURED AT WALKER MIDDLE SCHOOL.

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MILWAUKEE INTL ARPT(KMK 42.96N 87.90W
11/05/2007 M52.00 MPH MILWAUKEE WI ASOS

0149 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SHEBOYGAN ARPT(KSBM) 43.78N 87.85W
11/05/2007 M45.00 MPH SHEBOYGAN WI ASOS

0159 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FOND DU LAC ARPT(KFLD) 43.77N 88.49W
11/05/2007 M46.00 MPH FOND DU LAC WI ASOS

0200 PM HIGH SUST WINDS BURLINGTON ARPT(KBUU) 42.69N 88.31W
11/05/2007 M33.00 MPH WALWORTH WI AWOS

&&
EVENT TIMES ARE ESTIMATED WITH ALL MESONET ENTRIES.
$$

BORGHOFF

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KILN [052249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KILN 052249
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
549 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0156 PM HAIL HAMILTON 39.39N 84.56W
11/05/2007 E0.88 INCH BUTLER OH TRAINED SPOTTER

0215 PM HAIL MORROW 39.35N 84.13W
11/05/2007 E1.25 INCH WARREN OH PUBLIC

0222 PM HAIL 2 N WILMINGTON 39.47N 83.83W
11/05/2007 M0.50 INCH CLINTON OH NWS EMPLOYEE

0229 PM HAIL ERLANGER 39.01N 84.59W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH KENTON KY TRAINED SPOTTER

0238 PM HAIL WILMINGTON 39.44N 83.83W
11/05/2007 M0.75 INCH CLINTON OH NWS EMPLOYEE

0241 PM HAIL ALEXANDRIA 38.96N 84.38W
11/05/2007 E0.88 INCH CAMPBELL KY EMERGENCY MNGR

MANY LOCATIONS IN THE COUNTY.

0245 PM HAIL NEW RICHMOND 38.96N 84.28W
11/05/2007 M1.00 INCH CLERMONT OH TRAINED SPOTTER

0245 PM HAIL BETHEL 38.96N 84.08W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH CLERMONT OH PUBLIC

0250 PM HAIL INDEPENDENCE 38.95N 84.55W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH KENTON KY PUBLIC

0250 PM HAIL REYNOLDSBURG 39.96N 82.80W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN OH PUBLIC

0257 PM HAIL BETHEL 38.96N 84.08W
11/05/2007 M1.00 INCH CLERMONT OH TRAINED SPOTTER

0259 PM HAIL GROVE CITY 39.87N 83.07W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN OH PUBLIC

0300 PM HAIL NEW HOPE 38.96N 83.91W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH BROWN OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

0305 PM HAIL CANAL WINCHESTER 39.85N 82.82W
11/05/2007 E0.88 INCH FRANKLIN OH PUBLIC

0310 PM HAIL NEWARK 40.07N 82.42W
11/05/2007 E0.25 INCH LICKING OH PUBLIC

0310 PM HAIL PICKERINGTON 39.89N 82.77W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH FAIRFIELD OH PUBLIC

0312 PM HAIL 4 S NEWARK 40.01N 82.42W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH LICKING OH PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL WINCHESTER 38.94N 83.65W
11/05/2007 E1.00 INCH ADAMS OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

0315 PM HAIL CIRCLEVILLE 39.60N 82.94W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH PICKAWAY OH PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL CIRCLEVILLE 39.60N 82.94W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH PICKAWAY OH PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL CIRCLEVILLE 39.60N 82.94W
11/05/2007 E1.00 INCH PICKAWAY OH PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL BUCKEYE LAKE 39.94N 82.48W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH LICKING OH PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL CANAL WINCHESTER 39.85N 82.82W
11/05/2007 E1.00 INCH FRANKLIN OH PUBLIC

0320 PM HAIL LANCASTER 39.72N 82.60W
11/05/2007 E0.88 INCH FAIRFIELD OH PUBLIC

0320 PM HAIL PICKERINGTON 39.89N 82.77W
11/05/2007 E1.25 INCH FAIRFIELD OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

RYAN

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KGRR [052214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 052214
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
514 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 PM SLEET MUSKEGON 43.23N 86.26W
11/05/2007 E0.20 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

COVERED THE GROUND

&&

$$

TTURNAGE

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KLMK [052200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLMK 052200
LSRLMK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
459 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0433 PM TSTM WND DMG LEWISBURG 36.99N 86.95W
11/05/2007 LOGAN KY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE FELL ON HOME

&&

$$

JDG

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KMKX [052128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 052128
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
328 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0159 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FOND DU LAC ARPT(KFLD) 43.77N 88.49W
11/05/2007 M46.00 MPH FOND DU LAC WI ASOS

&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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KMKX [052120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 052120
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
319 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1135 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MONTELLO 43.79N 89.33W
11/05/2007 M45.00 MPH MARQUETTE WI MESONET

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SLINGER 43.33N 88.29W
11/05/2007 M45.00 MPH WASHINGTON WI MESONET

0105 PM NON-TSTM WND GST RICHFIELD 43.26N 88.19W
11/05/2007 M49.00 MPH WASHINGTON WI MESONET

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MILWAUKEE 43.03N 87.92W
11/05/2007 M48.00 MPH MILWAUKEE 07 MESONET

MEASURED AT WALKER MIDDLE SCHOOL.

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MILWAUKEE 43.03N 87.92W
11/05/2007 M45.00 MPH MILWAUKEE 07 MESONET

MEASURED AT THE UW-MILWAUKEE CAMPUS.

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SHOREWOOD 43.09N 87.89W
11/05/2007 M54.00 MPH MILWAUKEE WI MESONET

MEASURED AT ST. ROBERTS SCHOOL.

&&
ALL TIMES ARE ESTIMATED.
$$

BORGHOFF

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KILN [052053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052053
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
353 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0312 PM HAIL 4 S NEWARK 40.01N 82.42W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH LICKING OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KRLX [052051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 052051
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
349 PM EST MON NOV 5 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0327 PM HAIL THORNVILLE 39.89N 82.39W
11/05/2007 U0.25 INCH PERRY OH PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN
312 PM 11/05/2007 AND 327 PM 11/05/2007

&&

$$

NNNN

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KILN [052043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052043
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
343 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM HAIL LANCASTER 39.72N 82.60W
11/05/2007 E0.88 INCH FAIRFIELD OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052042
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
342 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL CIRCLEVILLE 39.60N 82.94W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH PICKAWAY OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052038
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
338 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL CIRCLEVILLE 39.60N 82.94W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH PICKAWAY OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052037
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
337 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL CIRCLEVILLE 39.60N 82.94W
11/05/2007 E1.00 INCH PICKAWAY OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KMKX [052036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 052036
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
236 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1233 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BEAVER DAM 43.46N 88.84W
11/05/2007 E45.00 MPH DODGE WI PUBLIC

TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE ON NORTH UNIVERSITY AVE. SNOW AND
SLEET ALSO OBSERVED AT THE TIME OF THE ESTIMATED WIND
GUST.

&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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KILN [052035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052035
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
335 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM HAIL PICKERINGTON 39.89N 82.77W
11/05/2007 E1.25 INCH FAIRFIELD OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052032
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
332 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL BUCKEYE LAKE 39.94N 82.48W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH LICKING OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052031
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
331 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL CANAL WINCHESTER 39.85N 82.82W
11/05/2007 E1.00 INCH FRANKLIN OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052024
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
324 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL NEWARK 40.07N 82.42W
11/05/2007 E0.25 INCH LICKING OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052023
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
323 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL PICKERINGTON 39.89N 82.77W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH FAIRFIELD OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052021
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
321 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM HAIL CANAL WINCHESTER 39.85N 82.82W
11/05/2007 E0.88 INCH FRANKLIN OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052019]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052019
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
319 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0259 PM HAIL GROVE CITY 39.87N 83.07W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052016]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052016
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
316 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM HAIL INDEPENDENCE 38.95N 84.55W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH KENTON KY PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052015
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
315 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM HAIL REYNOLDSBURG 39.96N 82.80W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KMKX [052013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 052013
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
213 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG MILWAUKEE 43.03N 87.92W
11/05/2007 MILWAUKEE 07 PUBLIC

STREET LIGHTS BLOWN DOWN IN DOWNTOWN MILWAUKEE AROUND
1130 AM ON JEFFERSON STREET.

&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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KILN [052013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052013
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
312 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL BETHEL 38.96N 84.08W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH CLERMONT OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [052010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052010
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
310 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM HAIL MORROW 39.35N 84.13W
11/05/2007 E1.25 INCH WARREN OH PUBLIC

&&

$$

MJP

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KMKX [052008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 052008
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
207 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0133 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MILWAUKEE INTL ARPT(KMK 42.96N 87.90W
11/05/2007 M52.00 MPH MILWAUKEE WI ASOS

0149 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SHEBOYGAN ARPT(KSBM) 43.78N 87.85W
11/05/2007 M45.00 MPH SHEBOYGAN WI ASOS

0200 PM HIGH SUST WINDS BURLINGTON ARPT(KBUU) 42.69N 88.31W
11/05/2007 M33.00 MPH WALWORTH WI AWOS

&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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KILN [052002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 052002
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
302 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0257 PM HAIL BETHEL 38.96N 84.08W
11/05/2007 M1.00 INCH CLERMONT OH TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

SFH

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KILN [051959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 051959
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
259 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL NEW RICHMOND 38.96N 84.28W
11/05/2007 M1.00 INCH CLERMONT OH TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

SFH

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KILN [051956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 051956
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
256 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0241 PM HAIL ALEXANDRIA 38.96N 84.38W
11/05/2007 E0.88 INCH CAMPBELL KY EMERGENCY MNGR

MANY LOCATIONS IN THE COUNTY.

&&

$$

MJP

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KILN [051948]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 051948
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
248 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0238 PM HAIL WILMINGTON 39.44N 83.83W
11/05/2007 M0.75 INCH CLINTON OH NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

$$

MJP

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051946
SWODY1
SPC AC 051944

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0144 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTN/EARLY EVE FOR
PARTS OF THE MID MS/LWR OH VALLEYS....

..MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI/OHIO VALLEYS...
A WEAK RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE REMAINS THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR
WITH REGARD TO POTENTIAL FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
AHEAD OF STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW DIGGING SOUTHEAST OF THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES REGION. AND...THE HIGHER MOISTURE CONTENT
AIR...CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE DEW POINTS NEAR/ABOVE 60F AND
PRECIPITABLE WATER NEAR 1 INCH...GENERALLY APPEARS LIKELY TO REMAIN
SOUTH OF STRONGER FORCING SHIFTING THROUGH THE MID/UPPER OHIO VALLEY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WEAK DESTABILIZATION HAS BEEN
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT INCREASING THUNDERSTORMS NEAR A SOUTHEASTWARD
ADVANCING FRONTAL ZONE. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...AND
MAY INCREASE FURTHER...THROUGH THIS EVENING...BEFORE DEEPER COLD AIR
SURGE THROUGH THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS CUTS OFF NORTHEASTWARD
MOISTURE RETURN.

POTENTIAL FOR BOUNDARY LAYER BASED...OR NEAR BOUNDARY LAYER BASED
STORMS...STILL SEEMS BEST NEAR/SOUTHEAST OF THE CONFLUENCE OF THE
OHIO AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS. THIS IS ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF THE
STRONGER MID-LEVEL FORCING...WHERE POTENTIAL INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED
WITH MORE FAVORABLE HEATING/MOISTURE IS THE GREATEST. MIXED LAYER
CAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG APPEARS POSSIBLE FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON...IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR
SUPPORTIVE OF UPDRAFT ROTATION.

.KERR.. 11/05/2007

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KILN [051931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 051931
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
231 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0229 PM HAIL ERLANGER 39.01N 84.59W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH KENTON KY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

RYAN

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KILN [051926]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 051926
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
226 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0222 PM HAIL 2 N WILMINGTON 39.47N 83.83W
11/05/2007 M0.50 INCH CLINTON OH NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

$$

SFH

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KMKX [051910]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 051910
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
110 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WEST BEND 43.42N 88.18W
11/05/2007 M43 MPH WASHINGTON WI AWOS

&&

$$

GD

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KILN [051908]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 051908
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
208 PM EST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0156 PM HAIL HAMILTON 39.39N 84.56W
11/05/2007 E0.88 INCH BUTLER OH TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KMKX [051858]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 051858
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1258 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MADISON 43.08N 89.38W
11/05/2007 M43 MPH DANE WI ASOS

&&

$$

GD

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KMKX [051852]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 051852
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1251 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WAUKESHA 43.01N 88.24W
11/05/2007 M47 MPH WAUKESHA WI AWOS

&&

$$

GD

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KMKX [051843]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 051843
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1242 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1241 PM NON-TSTM WND GST JUNEAU 43.41N 88.70W
11/05/2007 M45 MPH DODGE WI AWOS

&&

$$

GD

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KMKX [051816]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 051816
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1216 PM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1134 AM NON-TSTM WND GST TAYCHEEDAH 43.81N 88.40W
11/05/2007 M48.00 MPH FOND DU LAC WI TRAINED SPOTTER

SHORT DURATION OF SLEET ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH WIND GUST.

&&

$$

GD

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 051649
SWODY2
SPC AC 051648

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 AM CST MON NOV 05 2007

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
THE AMPLIFICATION OF THE LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN U.S. IS UNDERWAY. AND...BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY
WEDNESDAY...A NEGATIVELY TILTED POLAR TROUGH AXIS IS PROGGED TO
EXTEND SOUTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MODELS
SUGGEST THAT AN OFFSHORE COMPONENT TO THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL
DEVELOP BY EARLY TUESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF AND MID/SOUTH
ATLANTIC COASTS. AND...PRIMARY CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED
NEAR THE GULF STREAM...AS STRONGER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH MAIN
SHORT WAVE IMPULSE SHIFTS EAST OF NORTHERN/MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS. THE RISK OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION
APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE. HOWEVER...SCATTERED LOW TOPPED CONVECTION WITH
ISOLATED OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY PERSIST TO
THE LEE OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...BENEATH MID-LEVEL LOW CENTER/COLD
CORE.

.KERR.. 11/05/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051627
SWODY1
SPC AC 051624

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1024 AM CST MON NOV 05 2007

VALID 051630Z - 061200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE MID SOUTH...

..OH RIVER VALLEY INTO THE MID SOUTH...
STRONG UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
PROGRESSING ESEWD ACROSS THE MIDDLE U.S. TODAY. AHEAD OF
WHICH...SEASONABLY MILD SURFACE CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE WITH
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALREADY INTO THE MID/UPPER 60S OVER THE MID
SOUTH. STRONG WLY LLJ IS MAINTAINING LOW LEVEL WAA AND ELEVATED
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER WRN AND CENTRAL KY THIS MORNING. THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS MUCH OF
THE OH RIVER VALLEY/KY AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT INCREASES. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE THESE STORMS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED...ALTHOUGH
MODEST EFFECTIVE SHEAR...MODERATELY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL DESPITE
MEAGER MUCAPE AOB 500 J/KG.

MORE ROBUST CONVECTION...LIKELY ROOTING IN OR NEAR THE
SURFACE...SHOULD DEVELOP LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING INTO THE MID
SOUTH WHERE HEATING AND FRONTAL CONVERGENCE MAY OVERCOME WEAK CAP.
MODELS ARE QUITE CONSISTENT IN PAINTING QPF ACROSS THIS REGION...AND
HIGH-RES WRF SOLUTIONS ALSO SUPPORT STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS FORMING
SWWD WITH TIME ACROSS THE MID SOUTH AFTER 21Z. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
FROM THE NAMKF AND THE RUC INDICATE MLCAPE WILL APPROACH 1000 J/KG
AFTER 21Z OVER SWRN KY/FAR WRN TN. GIVEN AMOUNT OF LOW AND DEEP
LAYER SHEAR EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION /40-50 KT SFC-6 KM AND 150+
M2/S2 SFC-1 KM SRH/...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT WLY STEERING COMPONENT
FOR STORMS TO AVOID BEING UNDERCUT TOO QUICKLY BY SURFACE COLD
FRONT...SEVERE POTENTIAL WARRANTS SLGT RISK PROBABILITIES. LARGE
HAIL WILL BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS AND EVEN PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL ROTATION WILL BE POSSIBLE IF
STORMS DO INDEED BECOME SURFACE-BASED.

.EVANS/BOTHWELL.. 11/05/2007

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2140

ACUS11 KWNS 051605
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051604
KYZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ALZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-051700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2140
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1004 AM CST MON NOV 05 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF LOWER OH VALLEY SWD INTO WRN/MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 051604Z - 051700Z

POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ADDITIONAL ELEVATED TSTMS TO DEVELOP FROM FAR
SRN IL EWD THROUGH WRN/CENTRAL KY LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED HAIL...SOME SEVERE...REMAINS POSSIBLE WITH THE
STRONGER ACTIVITY.

TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS MORNING ACROSS THE LOWER OH VALLEY FROM
SRN IL EWD INTO WRN KY WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/WARM AIR ADVECTION
ARE AIDING IN SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION ALONG NOSE OF WSWLY LLJ FOR
ELEVATED TSTM ACTIVITY. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING FROM LM SWWD THROUGH IL TO CENTRAL MO INTO CENTRAL OK.
STRENGTHENING SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THIS
PROGRESSIVE FRONT WILL MAINTAIN MOISTURE RETURN INTO LOWER OH/TN
VALLEYS. HOWEVER...MODEST MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /6.5-7.0 C/KM/ DUE
TO LACK OF STRONGER MID LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION AS THIS REGION
REMAINS S OF MID/UPPER LEVEL JET AXIS ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN WEAK
INSTABILITY TODAY. DESPITE THIS FACTOR...WAA AND EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR OF 25-30 KT THIS MORNING SUGGEST A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL.

GREATER SEVERE THREAT MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS DEEP LAYER SHEAR
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE LOWER OH/TN VALLEYS AS BOTH THE
LLJ AND MID LEVEL WINDS STRENGTHEN WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING
INTO THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES. THIS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AS SURFACE
HEATING RESULTS IN POTENTIAL FOR SOME STORMS TO BECOME SURFACE
BASED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WRN TN/NERN AR PER RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS
WHERE HEATING WILL BE THE STRONGEST TO WEAKEN THE CINH.
GIVEN THIS POTENTIAL...PART OF MID SOUTH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A
SLIGHT RISK.

.PETERS.. 11/05/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...LZK...

35739181 37338987 38078754 38638501 38008420 36718490
35698680 34498836 34689109

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KPAH [051455]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 051455
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
855 AM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 AM HAIL OWENSBORO 37.76N 87.12W
11/05/2007 E0.75 INCH DAVIESS KY TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN OWENSBORO.

&&

$$

DLL

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KPAH [051454]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 051454
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
854 AM CST MON NOV 05 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0844 AM HAIL OWENSBORO 37.76N 87.12W
11/05/2007 E0.88 INCH DAVIESS KY EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

DLL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051258
SWODY1
SPC AC 051255

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 AM CST MON NOV 05 2007

VALID 051300Z - 061200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
100 KT MID LVL JET STREAK AND ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER
THE NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY WILL AMPLIFY SE ACROSS THE MID MS VLY THIS
EVENING BEFORE CONTINUING E TO THE LWR GRT LKS/OH VLY EARLY TUESDAY.
ATTENDANT SFC LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE UPR GRTLKS...
WITH TRAILING COLD FRONT ACCELERATING SE ACROSS THE SRN PLNS AND THE
OH/TN VLYS TODAY...REACHING THE NWRN GULF AND MID ATLANTIC CST BY
12Z TUESDAY.

..LWR TN AND OH VLYS...
CURRENT SFC AND VWP/PROFILER DATA SHOW 30-40 KT WSWLY 925-850 MB
FLOW CONTINUING FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO THE MID-SOUTH. BENEATH THIS
LAYER...PERSISTENT RIDGING ALONG THE CNTRL GULF WILL LIMIT TRUE GULF
INFLOW. BUT SWLY NEAR-SFC FLOW WILL TAP MODIFIED CP AIR MASS WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPR 50S TO LWR 60S OVER SE TX AND THE NWRN GULF.
THIS SETUP SHOULD ALLOW A NARROW AXIS OF MODEST MOISTURE RETURN
/DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S...WITH PWS AROUND .75 IN/ TO SPREAD NE
INTO AR AND THE LWR TN/OH VLYS THIS AFTN AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.

CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN SCTD TO BKN...SUPPORTING SEASONABLY STRONG LOW
LVL HEATING FROM WRN/NRN KY SW INTO WRN AND MIDDLE TN. BUT MID LVL
LAPSE RATES LIKELY WILL REMAIN COMPARATIVELY WEAK...AROUND 6.5C/KM
ON S SIDE OF UPR JET. NEVERTHELESS...WITH AFTN HEATING EXPECT TSTMS
TO FORM ALONG AN/OR AHEAD OF FRONT AS MLCAPE INCREASES TO AOA 500
J/KG.

WIND FIELDS CERTAINLY WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED STORMS/
SUPERCELLS...ESPECIALLY WITH NE EXTENT ACROSS THE OH VLY...WHERE
DEEP W TO WNWLY SHEAR WILL EXCEED 50 KTS. BUT LIMITED INSTABILITY
SUGGESTS THAT INDIVIDUAL UPDRAFTS WILL BE SHORT-LIVED. THE CORRIDOR
WITH THE GREATEST OVERALL PROBABILITY FOR SUSTAINED STORMS/
SUPERCELLS SHOULD EXTEND FROM SRN/WRN KY SW INTO NRN/WRN TN AND NE
AR...WHERE MODEST INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE NWLY DEEP SHEAR WILL BE
JUXTAPOSED. ANTICIPATED STORM MOTION...AND ORIENTATION OF FRONT
BENEATH DEEP NWLY SHEAR SUGGEST THAT UPDRAFTS COULD REMAIN ROOTED IN
THE WARM SECTOR FOR SOME TIME BEFORE BEING UNDERCUT BY SURGING COLD
AIR MASS.

HIGH SHEAR/LOW BUOYANCY SETUPS LIKE THIS CAN YIELD A WIDE RANGE OF
OUTCOMES DEPENDING UPON STORM SUSTENANCE AND EVOLUTION. WHILE
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF ONE OR TWO SHORT BANDS
OF STORMS WITH EMBEDDED SMALL SCALE BOWS AND POSSIBLY HIGH WIND
..OVERALL THREAT APPEARS TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT A SLIGHT RISK FCST
ATTM.

.CORFIDI/GUYER.. 11/05/2007

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 050905
SWOD48
SPC AC 050904

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0304 AM CST MON NOV 05 2007

VALID 081200Z - 131200Z

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS START OUT WITH A NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN
THURSDAY ACROSS THE NRN AND CNTRL STATES DEVELOPING A ZONAL FLOW
PATTERN THIS WEEKEND. AT THE SFC...THE MODELS SHOW A LARGE HIGH
PRESSURE AREA ACROSS THE ERN U.S. EARLY IN THE DAY 4-8 PERIOD WITH A
LEE TROUGH DEVELOPING IN THE HIGH PLAINS BY THIS WEEKEND. THE LEE
TROUGH SHOULD RESULT IN MOISTURE RETURN INTO THE PLAINS AND MS
VALLEY WITH THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE ALONG THE MOIST AXIS
SATURDAY OR SUNDAY. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS SOLUTIONS DEVELOP AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN U.S. EARLY NEXT WEEK. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SRN PLAINS IF THIS SCENARIO PANS OUT AND
SOME COULD BECOME ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...THE TIMING AND AMPLITUDE OF
THE TROUGH REMAINS HIGHLY QUESTIONABLE AND AN OUTLOOK AREA CAN NOT
BE FORECAST ATTM.

.BROYLES.. 11/05/2007

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 050722
SWODY3
SPC AC 050720

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0120 AM CST MON NOV 05 2007

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A BROAD ZONE OF NORTHWEST FLOW IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY FROM THE NRN ROCKIES SEWD INTO THE GULF COAST
STATES. AT THE SFC...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE SERN THIRD OF
THE U.S. SUPPRESSING MOISTURE RETURN WEDNESDAY. AS A
RESULT...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE DAY 3
PERIOD.

.BROYLES.. 11/05/2007

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KTFX [050624]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 050624
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1123 PM MST SUN NOV 04 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM SNOW 2 SW CHOTEAU 47.79N 112.21W
11/04/2007 M1.0 INCH TETON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE INCH OF SNOW FELL IN THE PAST HOUR.

&&

$$

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 050557
SWODY2
SPC AC 050556

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1156 PM CST SUN NOV 04 2007

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A CLOSED-OFF UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION MONDAY
NIGHT WILL MOVE EWD INTO QUEBEC AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TRANSLATES
EWD ACROSS THE APPALACHIAN MTNS TUESDAY. AT THE SFC...A FAST MOVING
COLD FRONT IN THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY WILL MOVE SWD INTO
THE GULF OF MEXICO TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL SUPPRESS MOISTURE
RETURN ACROSS THE SRN STATES AS NLY FLOW RETURNS TO THE GULF COAST
REGION...LIMITING INSTABILITY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION ALONG
THE BOUNDARY APPEARS TO BE OVER SOUTH TX WHERE VERY WEAK INSTABILITY
MAY DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE LIGHTNING POTENTIAL
APPEARS VERY LOW ATTM.

.BROYLES.. 11/05/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 050546
SWODY1
SPC AC 050543

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 PM CST SUN NOV 04 2007

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..LWR OH AND TN VLYS...
POTENT MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY EVOLVING ACROSS THE NRN
PLAINS WILL QUICKLY TRANSLATE SEWD REACHING THE GRTLKS AND OH VLYS
REGIONS BY MONDAY EVENING. AN ATTENDANT SFC LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT
MOVES ACROSS THE GRTLKS WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SWEEPING SEWD
ACROSS THE OH/TN VLYS AND SWD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND NWRN GULF BY 12Z
TUE.

LOW-LEVEL 30 KT WSWLY FLOW CURRENTLY IN PLACE FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO
THE MID-SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT A RIBBON OF MODEST MOISTURE
NEWD INTO THE LWR OH/TN VLYS THROUGH MONDAY AFTN. SFC DEW POINTS
SHOULD RISE INTO THE 55-60 DEG F RANGE ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/WRN KY
AND NWRN TN JUST AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT DURING THE
MID-AFTN HOURS. COMBINED WITH SUBSTANTIAL BOUNDARY LAYER
HEATING...THE AIR MASS WILL DESTABILIZE WITH MLCAPES OF 750-1000
J/KG. TSTMS SHOULD FORM ALONG AND IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT...ESPECIALLY AS LARGER SCALE ASCENT BEGINS TO SPREAD SEWD...BY
MONDAY MID-AFTN.

FORECAST HODOGRAPHS EXHIBIT SUPERCELL WIND PROFILES...ESPECIALLY
EAST OF THE OH/MS RVR CONFLUENCE. LAPSE RATES/BUOYANCY...
HOWEVER...ARE EXPECTED TO BE MODEST AT BEST AND GIVEN SUCH STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR...UPDRAFT MAINTENANCE WILL LIKELY BE SHORT-LIVED.
SHOULD A STORM BECOME SUSTAINED...BRIEF SUPERCELL STRUCTURES MAY
RESULT. ANTICIPATED BUNKERS MOTION AND FRONT MOVEMENT SUGGESTS THAT
UPDRAFTS COULD REMAIN ROOTED IN THE WARM SECTOR FOR A COUPLE HOURS
BEFORE DIMINISHING AND/OR BECOMING UNDERCUT BY THE SURGING COLD
FRONT. HIGH SHEAR AND LOW BUOYANCY SITUATIONS LIKE THESE CAN OFTEN
BE QUITE CHALLENGING WITH A HIGH VARIANCE OF OUTCOMES. AT THIS
POINT...WILL TREND TOWARD AN INTRODUCTION OF LOW SVR PROBABILITIES.
ANY SVR THREATS THAT DO MATERIALIZE SHOULD BE LIMITED...BOTH
SPATIALLY AND TEMPORALLY.

.RACY/GUYER.. 11/05/2007

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