SWODY2
SPC AC 051648
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1048 AM CST MON NOV 05 2007
VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..SYNOPSIS...
THE AMPLIFICATION OF THE LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN U.S. IS UNDERWAY. AND...BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY
WEDNESDAY...A NEGATIVELY TILTED POLAR TROUGH AXIS IS PROGGED TO
EXTEND SOUTHWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MODELS
SUGGEST THAT AN OFFSHORE COMPONENT TO THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL
DEVELOP BY EARLY TUESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF AND MID/SOUTH
ATLANTIC COASTS. AND...PRIMARY CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED
NEAR THE GULF STREAM...AS STRONGER FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH MAIN
SHORT WAVE IMPULSE SHIFTS EAST OF NORTHERN/MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS. THE RISK OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION
APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE. HOWEVER...SCATTERED LOW TOPPED CONVECTION WITH
ISOLATED OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY PERSIST TO
THE LEE OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...BENEATH MID-LEVEL LOW CENTER/COLD
CORE.
.KERR.. 11/05/2007
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