SWODY2
SPC AC 041642
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1042 AM CST THU MAR 04 2010
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A QUASI-ZONAL SUBTROPICAL JET WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE SRN TIER
OF STATES AND NRN MEXICO THROUGH THE DAY TWO PERIOD. TO THE N OF
THIS FEATURE...A HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN WILL EXIST WITH THE PRIMARY
FEATURE OF INTEREST BEING NEGATIVELY-TILTED MIDLEVEL TROUGH MOVING
INTO THE NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.
IN THE LOW LEVELS...BROAD SURFACE RIDGING WILL PERSIST FROM THE
GREAT LAKES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. FARTHER W...LEE CYCLONE
ASSOCIATED WITH ABOVE-MENTIONED MIDLEVEL SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP FROM
ERN CO NEWD TO ALONG THE NEB/KS BORDER. AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT IS
FORECAST TO INTENSIFY OVER PARTS OF THE MID/LOWER MO VALLEY WHILE A
TRAILING COLD OR PACIFIC FRONT PUSHES EWD INTO THE CNTRL AND SRN
HIGH PLAINS.
...NEB/KS...
STEEP LAPSE RATES AND A CONCENTRATED ZONE OF DCVA ASSOCIATED WITH
COMPACT MIDLEVEL SYSTEM WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF TSTMS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO NIGHT INVOF SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING NEWD.
CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN QUITE LIMITED OWING TO THE POOR
QUALITY OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR CLOUDINESS
TO INHIBIT STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING. AS SUCH...NO ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED...THOUGH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
SOME SMALL HAIL.
..MEAD.. 03/04/2010
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