Wednesday, October 10, 2007

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101943
SWODY1
SPC AC 101941

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 PM CDT WED OCT 10 2007

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
HIGH PLAINS WITH A WELL-DEFINED VORTICITY MAX EMBEDDED IN THE RIDGE
OVER SE CO. SFC HEATING...COLD AIR ALOFT AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS FEATURE ARE SUPPORTING SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NM. THIS CONVECTION
SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MOVE EWD ACROSS ERN NM THROUGH EARLY
EVENING.

ALONG THE WEST COAST...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED 70 KT
MID-LEVEL JET WILL MOVE NEWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES THIS EVENING.
STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS WRN AND
CNTRL MT THIS EVENING.

.BROYLES.. 10/10/2007

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