SWODY3
SPC AC 110729
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0129 AM CST SUN MAR 11 2012
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD SWLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS FROM THE MS
VALLEY WWD BY DAY3. ASIDE FROM THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS...MID-HIGH LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY
WEAK-MODEST WITH NONDESCRIPT EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES EXPECTED TO
TRANSLATE ACROSS NRN MEXICO INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY. THIS
FLOW REGIME WILL UNDOUBTEDLY RESULT IN A GRADUAL WARMING/MOISTENING
BOUNDARY LAYER FROM TX...NEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY REGION.
ADDITIONALLY...LEE TROUGHING WILL ENSURE A MODULATING LLJ ANCHORED
ACROSS THE PLAINS. GIVEN THE EXPECTED WEAK FORCING IT/S NOT
ENTIRELY CLEAR IF/WHEN THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIATE ACROSS THE SLOWLY
DESTABILIZING WARM SECTOR. FOR THIS REASON WILL NOT INTRODUCE
SEVERE PROBS...HOWEVER IF THE MODELS UNDERESTIMATE ANY SHORT-WAVE
TROUGHS THEN LOCALIZED STRONG/POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS COULD DEVELOP
WITHIN THE RECOVERY ZONE.
..DARROW.. 03/11/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment