SWODY2
SPC AC 011709
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1209 PM CDT THU NOV 01 2007
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
..SYNOPSIS...
LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH -- COMPRISED OF SEVERAL SMALLER-SCALE
DISTURBANCES -- IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE WRN AND
N-CENTRAL CONUS THIS PERIOD. AS ASSOCIATED/SECONDARY SURFACE FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE N CENTRAL CONUS...A LARGE SURFACE RIDGE IS FORECAST
TO EXPAND ACROSS MUCH OF THE WRN AND CENTRAL U.S. THROUGH THE END OF
THE PERIOD.
FURTHER E...T.S. NOEL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NEWD ACROSS THE
WRN ATLANTIC...AS A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH ALOFT APPROACHES THE
ATLANTIC COAST.
WEAK LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION IS FORECAST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND
VICINITY WITHIN THE NWRN QUADRANT OF NOEL. THIS COMBINED WITH THE
APPROACHING UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH FROM THE W MAY PROVIDE
SUFFICIENT QG FORCING TO SUPPORT SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES --
EMBEDDED WITHIN A BAND OF ELEVATED CONVECTION -- ACROSS THE COASTAL
CAROLINAS AND VICINITY. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...THUNDERSTORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.
.GOSS.. 11/01/2007
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