Saturday, October 30, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 301239
SWODY1
SPC AC 301237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0737 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010

VALID 301300Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CA COAST THIS MORNING WILL
EJECT ENEWD ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN THIS AFTERNOON TO THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE LAPSE RATES AND
ASCENT IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE MID-UPPER JET STREAK WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK INSTABILITY AND AN ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WHILE IN PHASE
WITH THE DIURNAL CYCLE. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME SMALL HAIL MAY OCCUR
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...BUT THE SEVERE STORM THREAT APPEARS
NEGLIGIBLE. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY AREA WITH ANY CONCERN FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE FL KEYS AND EXTREME SE FL COAST...THOUGH
THE PRIMARY STORM THREAT WILL BE CONFINED TO A STALLED FRONT WHICH
SHOULD REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE IN THE FL STRAITS.

..THOMPSON/STOPPKOTTE.. 10/30/2010

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